How Good Are Cardiologists at Predicting Major Adverse Events in Fontan Patients?

Background: It is unknown how well cardiologists predict which Fontan patients are at risk for major adverse events (MAEs). Objectives: The purpose of this study was to examine the accuracy of cardiologists' ability to identify the "good Fontan" patient, free from MAE within the following year, and compare that predicted risk cohort to patients who experienced MAE. Methods: This prospective, multicenter study included patients ≥10 years with lateral tunnel or extracardiac Fontan. The cardiologist was asked the yes/no "surprise" question: would you be surprised if your patient has a MAE in the next year? After 12 months, the cardiologist was surveyed to assess MAE. Agreement between cardiologist predictions of MAE and observed MAE was determined using the simple kappa coefficient. Multivariable generalized linear mixed effects models were performed to identify factors associated with MAE. Results: Overall, 146 patients were enrolled, and 99/146 (68%) patients w`ere predicted to be a "good Fontan." After 12 months, 17 (12%) experienced a MAE. The simple kappa coefficient of cardiologists' prediction was 0.17 (95% CI: 0.02-0.32), suggesting prediction of MAE was 17% better than random chance. In the multivariable cardiologist-predicted MAE (N = 47) model, diuretic/beta-blocker use (P ≤ 0.001) and systolic dysfunction (P = 0.005) were associated with MAE. In the observed multivariable MAE (N = 17) model, prior unplanned cardiac admission (P = 0.006), diuretic/beta-blocker use (P = 0.028), and ≥moderate atrioventricular valve regurgitation (P = 0.049) were associated with MAE. Conclusions: Cardiologists are marginally able to predict which Fontan patients are at risk for MAE over a year. There was overlap between factors associated with a cardiologist's prediction of risk and observed MAE, namely the use of diuretic/beta-blocker.

Number of CAG repeats and mortality in middle aged and older men.

DESIGN: The androgen receptor (AR) mediates peripheral effects of testosterone. Previous data suggests an association between the number of CAG repeats in exon-1 of the AR gene and AR transcriptional activity. The aim of this analysis was to determine the association between the number of AR CAG repeats and all-cause mortality in men and the influence of testosterone level on the association. PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS: Follow-up data to 27 January 2018 were available for men aged 40-79 years recruited across six countries of the European Male Aging Study between 2003 and 2005. Cox proportional hazards modelling was used to determine the association between CAG repeat number/mortality. Results were expressed as hazard ratios (HR)/95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: One thousand nine hundred and seventy-seven men were followed up. Mean baseline age was 60 ± 11.1 years. Mean duration of follow-up was 12.2 years. At follow up 25.1% of men had died. CAG repeat length ranged from 6 to 39, with the highest proportion of CAG repeat number at 21 repeats (16.4%). In a multivariable model, compared to men with 22-23 AR CAG repeats: for men with <22 and >23 AR CAG HR, 95% CI for mortality were, <22 CAG repeats 1.17 (0.93-1.49) and >23 CAG repeats 1.14 (0.88-1.47). In a post-hoc analysis, the association was significant for men in the lowest tertile of baseline testosterone (<14.2 nmol/L) with >23 CAG repeats: in the adjusted model for <22 and >23 CAG repeats, respectively, 1.49 (0.97-2.27) and 1.68 (1.06-2.67) versus 22-23 repeats. CONCLUSIONS: Our European-wide cohort data overall found no association of androgen receptor CAG repeat number and mortality in men. However, post hoc analysis suggested that an association might be present in men with lower baseline testosterone concentrations, which merits further investigation.

Mobile Cardiac Telemetry Use to Predict Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes in Patients With Congenital Heart Disease.

Background: Patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) have a higher incidence of arrhythmias during pregnancy, yet the utility of mobile cardiac telemetry (MCT) to predict adverse outcomes is unknown. Objectives: The purpose of this study is to determine whether arrhythmias on screening MCT correlate with adverse pregnancy outcomes. Methods: Patients with CHD prospectively enrolled in the Standardized Outcomes in Reproductive Cardiovascular Care initiative underwent 24-hour MCT (within 18 months prior to pregnancy). Positive findings on MCT were defined as episodes of bradyarrhythmia, symptomatic atrioventricular block, ectopic atrial or ventricular activity, and supraventricular or ventricular tachycardia. Clinically significant arrhythmia events (CSAEs) were those requiring medical or device intervention or an emergency room visit. Clinical events during the antepartum, intrapartum, and postpartum periods were compared using Fisher's exact test. Analyses were performed using Stata version 16. Results: In 141 pregnancies in 118 patients with CHD, MCT detected positive findings in 17%. Adverse cardiac outcomes occurred in 11% of pregnancies, of which CSAE occurred in 3.5%. Positive MCT was significantly associated with subsequent CSAE (21% vs 0%, P < 0.001) and cumulative adverse maternal cardiac outcomes (33% vs 7%, P = 0.001) but did not correlate with obstetric (46% vs 41%, P = 0.660) or neonatal outcomes (33% vs 31%, P = 0.810). Of the patients with CSAE, 75% had ≥moderate CHD complexity. Conclusions: Patients with CHD had a high rate of positive MCT findings. This was associated with CSAE and adverse maternal cardiac outcomes. Patients with ≥moderate CHD complexity may benefit from screening MCT to improve preconceptual counseling and planning.

The number of androgen receptor CAG repeats and mortality in men.

INTRODUCTION: The androgen receptor (AR) mediates peripheral effects of testosterone. Evidence suggests that the number of CAG repeats in exon-1 of the AR gene negatively correlates with AR transcriptional activity. The aim of this analysis was to determine the association between CAG repeat number and mortality in men. METHODS: Men aged 40-79 years were recruited from primary care for participation in the UK arm of the European Male Aging Study between 2003 and 2005. Cox proportional hazards modelling was used to determine the association between CAG repeat number/mortality. Results were expressed as hazard ratios(HR)/95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: 312 men were followed up. The mean baseline age was 59.5 years. At follow up, 85/312(27%) men had died. CAG repeat length ranged from 14 to 39, with the highest proportion of CAG repeat number at 21 repeats(16.4%). In a multivariable model, using men with CAG repeat numbers of 22-23 as the reference, men with a lower number of CAG repeats(<22) showed a trend for a higher mortality in the follow-up period (HR 1.46 (0.75, 2.81)) as did men with higher number of repeats (>23) (1.37 (0.65, 2.91)). CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that CAG repeat number may partially influence the risk of mortality in men. Further larger studies are required to quantify the effect.

Serial cardiac biomarker assessment in adults with congenital heart disease hospitalized for decompensated heart failure☆.

Background: Biomarkers are increasingly part of assessing and managing heart failure (HF) in adults with congenital heart disease (CHD). Objectives: To understand the response of cardiac biomarkers with therapy for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) and the relationship to prognosis after discharge in adults with CHD. Design: A prospective, observational cohort study with serial blood biomarker measurements. Settings: Single-center study in the inpatient setting with outpatient follow-up. Participants: Adults (≥18 years old) with CHD admitted with ADHF between August 1, 2019, and March 1, 2020. Exposure: We measured body mass, Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ-12) score, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) at enrollment, discharge, and 1st clinic follow-up visit; soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2) was measured at the first two time points. Measures: Univariate regression assessed the association between changes in weight, biomarkers, and changes in KCCQ-12 scores, between enrollment and discharge (Δ Hospitalization ) and between discharge and 1st clinical follow-up visit (Δ Post-discharge ). Wilcoxon rank-sum tests assessed the association between change in biomarkers, KCCQ-12 scores, and the composite outcome of cardiovascular death or rehospitalization for ADHF. Results: A total of 26 patients were enrolled. The median age was 51.9 years [IQR: 38.8, 61.2], 13 (54.2%) were women, and median hospital stay was 6.5 days [IQR: 4.0, 15.0] with an associated weight loss of 2.8 kg [IQR -5.1, -1.7]. All three cardiac biomarkers decreased during hospitalization with diuresis while KCCQ-12 scores improved; a greater decrease in sST2 was associated with an improved KCCQ-12 symptom frequency (SF) subdomain score (p = 0.012), but otherwise, there was no significant relationship between biomarkers and KCCQ-12 change. Change in hsCRP and NT-proBNP after discharge was not associated with the composite outcome (n = 8, vs. n = 16 who did not experience the outcome; Δ Post-discharge hsCRP +5.1 vs. -1.0 mg/l, p = 0.061; NT-proBNP +785.0 vs. +130.0 pg/ml, p = 0.220). Conclusions: Serial biomarker measurements respond to acute diuresis in adults with CHD hospitalized for ADHF. These results should motivate further research into the use of biomarkers to inform HF therapy in adults with CHD.

Timing of Delivery in Women with Cardiac Disease.

OBJECTIVE: Guidelines do not exist to determine timing of delivery for women with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in pregnancy. The neonatal benefit of a term delivery as compared with an early term delivery is well described. We sought to examine maternal outcomes in women with CVD who delivered in the early term period (370/7 through 386/7 weeks) compared with those who delivered later. STUDY DESIGN: This is a prospective cohort study examining cardiac and obstetric outcomes in women with CVD delivering between September 2011 and December 2016. The associations between gestational age at delivery and maternal, fetal, and obstetric characteristics were evaluated. RESULTS: Two-hundred twenty-five women with CVD were included, 83 (37%) delivered in the early term period and 142 (63%) delivered at term. While the early term group had significantly higher rates of any hypertension during pregnancy (18.1 vs. 7%, p = 0.01) and intrauterine growth restriction (22.9 vs. 2.8%, p < 0.001), there was no difference in high-risk cardiac or obstetric characteristics. No difference in composite cardiac morbidity was found (4.8 vs. 3.5%, p = 0.24). Women in the early term group were more likely to undergo cesarean delivery than women in the term group (43.4 vs. 24.7%, p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: There is no maternal benefit of an early term delivery in otherwise healthy women with CVD. Given the known fetal consequences of early term delivery, this study offers support to existing literature suggesting term delivery in these women. KEY POINTS: · Question of delivery timing in women with cardiac disease.. · No difference in cardiac morbidity, term versus early term.. · Term delivery in women with asymptomatic cardiac disease..

Placental Findings in Pregnancies Complicated by Maternal Cardiovascular Disease.

Background: The incidence of pregnancy in women with cardiovascular disease (CVD) has increased, yet little is known about placental pathology in these women. Objectives: The objectives of this study were to describe placental pathology in pregnancies complicated by maternal CVD and to compare findings among categories of maternal CVD. Methods: A retrospective, single-center study was conducted. Pathology reports for 264 placentas from pregnancies complicated by maternal CVD were reviewed for prespecified pathologic findings which were then compared against maternal characteristics. Results: Placentas were from pregnancies associated with maternal congenital heart disease (n = 171), arrhythmia (n = 43), cardiomyopathy (n = 20), connective tissue disease (n = 20), and valvular heart disease (n = 10). Median maternal age at delivery was 32 years (range: 19-49). Median gestational age at delivery was 39 weeks (range: 25-41). Placental pathology was identified in 75% (199/264) of placentas. Anatomic pathology, primarily small placenta by weight, was present in 45% (119/264) of placentas. Vascular pathology, primarily maternal vascular malperfusion or fetal vascular malperfusion, was seen in 41% (107/264) of placentas. Acute chorioamnionitis and villitis of unknown etiology (VUE) were seen in 23% (61/264) and 11% (28/264) of placentas, respectively. Prevalence of VUE differed across CVD categories (P = 0.008) and was most common in maternal congenital heart disease; there were no differences in anatomic, infectious, and vascular pathologies across CVD categories. Conclusions: Pregnancies among women with CVD commonly demonstrate abnormal placental findings, especially anatomic and vascular pathology. Prevalence of VUE differed across CVD categories. Otherwise, the incidence of specific pathology findings did not differ based on maternal characteristics.

Dyslipidemia Among Adults With Congenital Heart Disease.

Background: Atherosclerotic disease is an important cause of morbidity among adults with congenital heart disease (CHD). Prevalence of dyslipidemia in this group is poorly described. Objectives: This study aimed to describe the prevalence of dyslipidemia among adults with CHD. Methods: A prospective, outpatient screening study was conducted among adults aged ≥18 years at 4 New England ambulatory congenital cardiology centers. Participants were surveyed regarding cardiovascular risk factors. Nonfasting fingerstick samples were obtained for analysis using a point-of-care lipid analyzer. Results: Lipid screening was completed on 186 participants (median age 30 [range 18-71] years, 50% female). Eighteen (10%) had simple CHD anatomy, and 63 (34%) had complex anatomy. Only 15% of 169 respondents reported history of high cholesterol. Eighty-five (46%) participants met National Cholesterol Education Program definition of dyslipidemia with 60 (32%), 62 (34%), and 37 (20%) having low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C <40 mg/dL), high non-HDL-C (≥130 mg/dL), and high total cholesterol (TC ≥200 mg/dL), respectively. TC was higher among participants with simple CHD than among those with moderate and complex lesions (mean 178.4 ± 48.7 vs 170.1 ± 35.0 vs 157.6 ± 34.5 mg/dL; P = 0.03). HDL-C was lower among participants with complex CHD than among those with simple and moderate lesions (mean 44.1 ± 13.5 vs 46.9 ± 12.5 vs 49.8 ± 15.3 mg/dL; P = 0.05). Conclusions: Dyslipidemia is highly prevalent among our cohort of adults with CHD, despite <15% reporting a prior diagnosis. Low HDL-C was more common in complex CHD, and high TC was more common in simple or moderate CHD. Lipid screening should be part of preventive health maintenance for all adults with CHD.

Comparing Physician Assistant and Nurse Practitioner Practice in U.S. Emergency Departments, 2010-2017.

INTRODUCTION: We sought to compare physician assistant (PA) and nurse practitioner (NP) practice in United States emergency departments (ED) based on ED visits as reported by the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS). METHODS: We performed a retrospective, secondary analysis of the 2010 to 2017 NHAMCS with analysis of ED visits, patient demographics, and hospital characteristics. RESULTS: Between 2010 to 2017, 21.0% (95% confidence interval, [CI] +/-3.1%) of ED visits were seen by either a PA/NP (with and without physician involvement) and 8.6% (+/-2.9%) were seen by PA/NP alone. We identified an increase for NP visits between 2014-2016 and found that PA/NP visits share many of the same characteristics. CONCLUSION: While emergency medicine has predominately been a specialty for PAs, the number of ED visits with NPs has been increasing over the past several years. While there are some differences, PAs/NPs share many similar practice characteristics in the ED.

Associations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System.

Background American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology consensus guidelines introduce an adult congenital heart disease anatomic and physiological (AP) classification system. We assessed the association between AP classification and clinical outcomes. Methods and Results Data were collected for 1000 outpatients with ACHD prospectively enrolled between 2012 and 2019. AP classification was assigned based on consensus definitions. Primary outcomes were (1) all-cause mortality and (2) a composite of all-cause mortality or nonelective cardiovascular hospitalization. Cox regression models were developed for AP classification, each component variable, and additional clinical models. Discrimination was assessed using the Harrell C statistic. Over a median follow-up of 2.5 years (1.4-3.9 years), the composite outcome occurred in 185 participants, including 49 deaths. Moderately or severely complex anatomic class (class II/III) and severe physiological stage (stage D) had increased risk of the composite outcome (AP class IID and IIID hazard ratio, 4.46 and 3.73, respectively, versus IIC). AP classification discriminated moderately between patients who did and did not suffer the composite outcome (C statistic, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.67-0.71]), similar to New York Heart Association functional class and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide); it was more strongly associated with mortality (C statistic, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.78-0.84]), as were NT-proBNP and functional class. A model with AP class and NT-proBNP provided the strongest discrimination for the composite outcome (C statistic, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.71-0.75]) and mortality (C statistic, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.82-0.88]). Conclusions The addition of physiological stage modestly improves the discriminative ability of a purely anatomic classification, but simpler approaches offer equivalent prognostic information. The AP system may be improved by addition of key variables, such as circulating biomarkers, and by avoiding categorization of continuous variables.

Atrial pacing in Fontan patients: The effect of transvenous lead on clot burden.

BACKGROUND: Transvenous permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation is an available option for Fontan patients with sinus node dysfunction. However, the thrombogenic potential of leads within the Fontan baffle is unknown. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare the clot burden in Fontan patients with a transvenous atrial PPM to those without a PPM and those with an epicardial PPM. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of all transvenous PPM implantations in Fontan patients followed at our institution (2000-2018). We performed frequency matching on Fontan type and age group. Primary outcome was identification of intracardiac clot, pulmonary embolus, or embolic stroke. RESULTS: Of 1920 Fontan patients, 58 patients (median age 23 years; interquartile range [25th-75th percentiles] 14-33) at the time of transvenous PPM implantation and 174 matched subjects formed our cohort. The type of Fontan performed in case subjects was right atrium-pulmonary artery or right atrium-right ventricle conduit (54%), lateral tunnel (43%), and extracardiac (3%). The cumulative incidence of clot was highest in patients with transvenous PPM, followed by patients with epicardial PPM and no PPM (1.2 vs 0.87 vs 0.67 per 100 person-years of follow-up, respectively). In multivariable analysis, anticoagulation and/or antiplatelet therapy were protective against clot and resulted in reduction of clot risk by 3-fold (incidence rate ratio 0.33; 95% confidence interval 0.21-0.53; P <.001). CONCLUSION: In a large cohort of Fontan patients matched for age and Fontan type, patients with transvenous PPM had a higher but not statistically significant incidence of clot compared to those with no PPM and epicardial PPM. Patients treated with warfarin/aspirin had lower clot risk.

The SARS-CoV-2 SSHHPS Recognized by the Papain-like Protease.

Viral proteases are highly specific and recognize conserved cleavage site sequences of ∼6-8 amino acids. Short stretches of homologous host-pathogen sequences (SSHHPS) can be found spanning the viral protease cleavage sites. We hypothesized that these sequences corresponded to specific host protein targets since >40 host proteins have been shown to be cleaved by Group IV viral proteases and one Group VI viral protease. Using PHI-BLAST and the viral protease cleavage site sequences, we searched the human proteome for host targets and analyzed the hit results. Although the polyprotein and host proteins related to the suppression of the innate immune responses may be the primary targets of these viral proteases, we identified other cleavable host proteins. These proteins appear to be related to the virus-induced phenotype associated with Group IV viruses, suggesting that information about viral pathogenesis may be extractable directly from the viral genome sequence. Here we identify sequences cleaved by the SARS-CoV-2 papain-like protease (PLpro) in vitro within human MYH7 and MYH6 (two cardiac myosins linked to several cardiomyopathies), FOXP3 (an X-linked Treg cell transcription factor), ErbB4 (HER4), and vitamin-K-dependent plasma protein S (PROS1), an anticoagulation protein that prevents blood clots. Zinc inhibited the cleavage of these host sequences in vitro. Other patterns emerged from multispecies sequence alignments of the cleavage sites, which may have implications for the selection of animal models and zoonosis. SSHHPS/nsP is an example of a sequence-specific post-translational silencing mechanism.

Fontan-Associated Dyslipidemia.

Background Hypocholesterolemia is a marker of liver disease, and patients with a Fontan circulation may have hypocholesterolemia secondary to Fontan-associated liver disease or inflammation. We investigated circulating lipids in adults with a Fontan circulation and assessed the associations with clinical characteristics and adverse events. Methods and Results We enrolled 164 outpatients with a Fontan circulation, aged ≥18 years, in the Boston Adult Congenital Heart Disease Biobank and compared them with 81 healthy controls. The outcome was a combined outcome of nonelective cardiovascular hospitalization or death. Participants with a Fontan (median age, 30.3 [interquartile range, 22.8-34.3 years], 42% women) had lower total cholesterol (149.0±30.1 mg/dL versus 190.8±41.4 mg/dL, P<0.0001), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (82.5±25.4 mg/dL versus 102.0±34.7 mg/dL, P<0.0001), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (42.8±12.2 mg/dL versus 64.1±16.9 mg/dL, P<0.0001) than controls. In those with a Fontan, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was inversely correlated with body mass index (r=-0.30, P<0.0001), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (r=-0.27, P=0.0006), and alanine aminotransferase (r=-0.18, P=0.02) but not with other liver disease markers. Lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was independently associated with greater hazard for the combined outcome adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and functional class (hazard ratio [HR] per decrease of 10 mg/dL, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.04-1.81 [P=0.03]). This relationship was attenuated when log high-sensitivity C-reactive protein was added to the model (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.95-1.67 [P=0.10]). Total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides were not associated with the combined outcome. Conclusions The Fontan circulation is associated with decreased cholesterol levels, and lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol is associated with adverse outcomes. This association may be driven by inflammation. Further studies are needed to understand the relationship between the severity of Fontan-associated liver disease and lipid metabolism.

Physician assistant utilization in U.S. emergency departments; 2010 to 2017.

BACKGROUND: Physician Assistants (PAs) are widely used in United States (US) Emergency Departments (EDs). We sought to characterize ED PA utilization and practice characteristics in US EDs 2010-2017. METHODS: A retrospective, secondary analysis of the 2010 to 2017 Center for Disease Control's National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) was performed. National estimates of ED visits involving PAs alone (PA), PAs with physician involvement (PA+), or physician only (PHYS) were analyzed for patient demographics and hospital characteristics. RESULTS: Between 2010 and 2017, an estimated 1 billion US ED visits occurred. 5.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] ±2.7%) of visits were seen by a PA, and 8.2% (±2.7%) by a PA+; 76.3% (±7.2%) by PHYS. No linear trends by year were identified in PA or PA+ visits. PA acuity was highest for semi-urgent/nonurgent (56.4%, ±10.7%). PA see the minority of ambulance arrival [5.8% (±1.3)] and admit less patients [1.7% (±0.7%)]. Less laboratory [53.3% (±10.2%) vs. 67.0% (±6.2%)] and radiographic [38.8% (±6.6%) vs. 51.6% (±4.6%) studies were performed during PA vs. PHYS visits. PA visits were most common for patients 25-44 years old (yo) (32.9%, ±6.2%) and 15-24 yo (19.2%, ±3.7%). Most PA visits result in a length of stay (LOS) between 1 and 1.9 h (32.9%, ±6.7%) compared to most PHYS visits resulting in a LOS >3 h (40.3%, ±3%). CONCLUSIONS: From 2010 to 2017, no linear trends in US ED PA and PA+ utilization were identified. PHYS continue to see the majority of ED patients.