Prospective External Validation of the Esbenshade Vanderbilt Models Accurately Predicts Bloodstream Infection Risk in Febrile Non-Neutropenic Children With Cancer.

PURPOSE: The optimal management of fever without severe neutropenia (absolute neutrophil count [ANC] ≥500/µL) in pediatric patients with cancer is undefined. The previously proposed Esbenshade Vanderbilt (EsVan) models accurately predict bacterial bloodstream infections (BSIs) in this population and provide risk stratification to aid management, but have lacked prospective external validation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Episodes of fever with a central venous catheter and ANC ≥500/µL occurring in pediatric patients with cancer were prospectively collected from 18 academic medical centers. Variables included in the EsVan models and 7-day clinical outcomes were collected. Five versions of the EsVan models were applied to the data with calculation of C-statistics for both overall BSI rate and high-risk organism BSI (gram-negative and Staphylococcus aureus BSI), as well as model calibration. RESULTS: In 2,565 evaluable episodes, the BSI rate was 4.7% (N = 120). Complications for the whole cohort were rare, with 1.1% (N = 27) needing intensive care unit (ICU) care by 7 days, and the all-cause mortality rate was 0.2% (N = 5), with only one potential infection-related death. C-statistics ranged from 0.775 to 0.789 for predicting overall BSI, with improved accuracy in predicting high-risk organism BSI (C-statistic 0.800-0.819). Initial empiric antibiotics were withheld in 14.9% of episodes, with no deaths or ICU admissions attributable to not receiving empiric antibiotics. CONCLUSION: The EsVan models, especially EsVan2b, perform very well prospectively across multiple academic medical centers and accurately stratify risk of BSI in episodes of non-neutropenic fever in pediatric patients with cancer. Implementation of routine screening with risk-stratified management for non-neutropenic fever in pediatric patients with cancer could safely reduce unnecessary antibiotic use.

Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for Kidney Failure in Long-Term Survivors of Childhood Cancer.

PURPOSE: Kidney failure is a rare but serious late effect following treatment for childhood cancer. We developed a model using demographic and treatment characteristics to predict individual risk of kidney failure among 5-year survivors of childhood cancer. METHODS: Five-year survivors from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) without history of kidney failure (n = 25,483) were assessed for subsequent kidney failure (ie, dialysis, kidney transplantation, or kidney-related death) by age 40 years. Outcomes were identified by self-report and linkage with the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network and the National Death Index. A sibling cohort (n = 5,045) served as a comparator. Piecewise exponential models accounting for race/ethnicity, age at diagnosis, nephrectomy, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, congenital genitourinary anomalies, and early-onset hypertension estimated the relationships between potential predictors and kidney failure, using area under the curve (AUC) and concordance (C) statistic to evaluate predictive power. Regression coefficient estimates were converted to integer risk scores. The St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study and the National Wilms Tumor Study served as validation cohorts. RESULTS: Among CCSS survivors, 204 developed late kidney failure. Prediction models achieved an AUC of 0.65-0.67 and a C-statistic of 0.68-0.69 for kidney failure by age 40 years. Validation cohort AUC and C-statistics were 0.88/0.88 for the St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study (n = 8) and 0.67/0.64 for the National Wilms Tumor Study (n = 91). Risk scores were collapsed to form statistically distinct low- (n = 17,762), moderate- (n = 3,784), and high-risk (n = 716) groups, corresponding to cumulative incidences in CCSS of kidney failure by age 40 years of 0.6% (95% CI, 0.4 to 0.7), 2.1% (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.9), and 7.5% (95% CI, 4.3 to 11.6), respectively, compared with 0.2% (95% CI, 0.1 to 0.5) among siblings. CONCLUSION: Prediction models accurately identify childhood cancer survivors at low, moderate, and high risk for late kidney failure and may inform screening and interventional strategies.

Long-term patient-reported neurocognitive outcomes in adult survivors of hematopoietic cell transplant.

Survivors of hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) are at risk for neurocognitive impairments, which can negatively affect quality of life. Given limited studies, we aimed to describe the neurocognitive outcomes in a cohort of long-term adult HCT survivors. Eligible survivors (age ≥21 years at HCT and alive ≥2 years following HCT) completed a 60-question survey of neurocognitive function and quality of life, which included the Neuro-Quality of Life Cognitive Function Short Form (Neuro-QoL) and the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study Neurocognitive Questionnaire (NCQ). Analyses of risk factors included univariate comparisons and multivariable logistic regression. Survivors (n = 1861, 47.7% female, 65.6% allogeneic HCT) were surveyed at a median age of 64.2 years (interquartile range [IQR], 56.8-70.5) and a median 12.0 years (IQR, 6.0-21.0) from HCT. Survivors reported average Neuro-QoL scores (50.0 allogeneic; 49.2 autologous survivors) compared with an expected mean of 50 in the general population. On the NCQ, 17.4% to 31.2% of survivors reported impairments (Z-score >1.28) in task efficiency, memory, emotional regulation, or organization, compared with an expected 10% in the general population (all P < .01). In multivariable regression analyses, impaired Neuro-QoL (T-score <40) was independently associated with hearing issues (odds ratio [OR], 2.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.46-3.10) and sleep impairment (OR, 4.41; 95% CI, 2.80-6.94) among allogeneic survivors, with comparable associations in autologous survivors. Overall, long-term adult HCT survivors reported average cognitive quality of life compared with the general population. Subsets of survivors with hearing issues and sleep impairments were more likely to report lower quality of life and impaired neurocognitive function, which may facilitate targeted monitoring or interventions following HCT.

Long-term neurocognitive and quality of life outcomes in survivors of pediatric hematopoietic cell transplant.

PURPOSE: Pediatric patients who undergo hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) are at risk for neurocognitive impairments, which can impact quality of life. Given limited long-term studies, we aimed to characterize the late neurocognitive outcomes in a cohort of pediatric HCT survivors. METHODS: Eligible survivors (HCT at age < 21 year and ≥ 1 year post-HCT) completed a 60-question survey of neurocognitive function and quality of life, which included the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study Neurocognitive Questionnaire (CCSS-NCQ) and the Neuro-Quality of Life Cognitive Function Short Form (Neuro-QoL). Analyses of risk factors included univariate comparisons and multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Participants (n = 199, 50.3% female, 53.3% acute leukemia, 87.9% allogeneic transplants) were surveyed at median age of 37.8 years (interquartile range [IQR] 28.5-48.8) at survey and median 27.6 years (IQR 17.0-34.0) from transplant. On the CCSS-NCQ, 18.9-32.5% of survivors reported impairments (Z score > 1.28) in task efficiency, memory, emotional regulation, or organization, compared with expected 10% in the general population (all p < 0.01). In contrast, survivors reported average Neuro-QoL (T score 49.6±0.7) compared with population normative value of 50 (p = 0.52). In multivariable regression, impaired Neuro-QoL (T score < 40) was independently associated with hearing issues (OR 4.97, 95% CI 1.96-12.6), history of stroke or seizure (OR 4.46, 95% CI 1.44-13.8), and sleep disturbances (OR 6.95, 95% CI 2.53-19.1). CONCLUSIONS: Although long-term survivors of pediatric HCT reported higher rates of impairment in specific neurocognitive domains, cognitive quality of life was perceived as similar to the general population. Subsets of survivors with certain co-morbidities had substantially worse neurocognitive outcomes. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: While the long-term impact of pediatric HCT can include neurocognitive deficits, survivors report average cognitive quality of life.

Late Kidney Morbidity and Mortality in Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Survivors.

Increasing numbers of patients are undergoing hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT); however, further characterization of late kidney outcomes in HCT recipients is needed. This study investigated long-term kidney outcomes in HCT survivors and compared the risk of late kidney morbidity/mortality in these survivors with that in non-HCT cancer survivors and the general population. A cohort of long-term (≥2 years) allogeneic and autologous HCT survivors treated for cancer at our institution between 1992 and 2009 (n = 1792) was compared with a non-HCT cancer cohort selected from the state cancer registry (n = 5455) matched on diagnosis, sex, and age at year of cancer diagnosis/HCT (index date). Additional comparisons were made with a matched general population sample drawn from state driver's licensing files (DOL; n = 16,340). Statewide hospital discharge codes and death registry codes (International Classification of Diseases 9/10) were used to identify cases of acute kidney failure (AKF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) occurring ≥2 years after the index date. Cumulative incidence rates and hazard ratios (HRs; according to multivariable proportional hazard models) estimated the absolute and relative risks of AKF and CKD. Among HCT survivors, we examined the influence of additional characteristics including estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 1-year post-HCT. The cumulative incidence rates of late kidney complications were slightly greater in the HCT survivors versus the non-HCT cancer survivors at 10 years after the index date. Both groups were more likely to experience late AKF or CKD morbidity/mortality compared with the general population (AKF: HCT, 9.4%; non-HCT, 7.7%; DOL, 1.8%; CKD: HCT, 5.7%; non-HCT, 5.0%; DOL, 1.2%). Differences between HCT survivors and non-HCT survivors were seen primarily starting 5 years after the index date, with increased hazards for late AKF (HR, 1.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1 to 1.9) and CKD (HR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.3 to 2.8). Among allogeneic HCT survivors, the presence of hypertension at <2 years post-HCT was significantly associated with subsequent AKF (HR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.7 to 5.0) and CKD (HR, 5.2; 95% CI, 2.7 to 10.0) at 2 to 10 years post-HCT, with similar associations seen for autologous HCT survivors. Low eGFR (<60 mL/min/1.73 m2) at 1 year post-HCT was associated with late AKF morbidity/mortality for both allogeneic (HR, 5.3; 95% CI, 2.1 to 13.2) and autologous HCT (HR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.2 to 6.3) compared with survivors with normal eGFR (>90 mL/min/1.73 m2). Overall, the risk for hospitalization or death from AKF or CKD continued to increase with time from HCT and exceeded that of non-HCT cancer survivors at >5 years after treatment. Appropriate screening and early intervention with medication adjustments or lifestyle modifications in those with hypertension or evidence of abnormal eGFR post-HCT could potentially mitigate this risk.

Outcomes of kidney injury including dialysis and kidney transplantation in pediatric oncology and hematopoietic cell transplant patients.

Pediatric oncology and hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) patients are susceptible to both acute kidney injury (AKI) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). The etiologies of AKI vary but include tumor infiltration, radiation, drug-induced toxicity, and fluid and electrolyte abnormalities including tumor lysis syndrome. HCT patients can also have additional complications such as sinusoidal obstructive syndrome, graft-versus-host disease, or thrombotic microangiopathy. For patients with severe AKI requiring dialysis, multiple modalities can be used successfully, although continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT) is often the principal modality for critically ill patients. While increasing numbers of pediatric cancer and HCT patients are now surviving long term, they remain at risk for a number of chronic medical conditions, including CKD. Certain high-risk patients, due to underlying risk factors or treatment-related complications, eventually develop kidney failure and may require kidney replacement therapies. Management of co-morbidities and complications associated with kidney failure, including use of erythropoietin for anemia and potential need for ongoing cancer-related treatment while on dialysis, is an additional consideration in this patient population. Kidney transplantation can be successfully performed in pediatric cancer survivors, although additional features such as specific cancer diagnosis and duration of remission should be considered.