Optimal time point for neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio to predict stroke-associated pneumonia.

PURPOSE: This study aimed at the population receiving thrombolytic therapy and to explore the optimal time point for neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP). METHODS: We assessed patients undergoing intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) for acute ischemic stroke. Blood parameters were sampled before thrombolysis (within 30 min after admission) and within 24-36 h after thrombolysis, respectively. The primary outcome measure was the occurrence of SAP. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze the association between admission blood parameters and the event of SAP. We also used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to assess the discriminative ability of blood parameters measured at different times in predicting SAP. RESULTS: Among the 388 patients, SAP occurred in 60 (15%) patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NLR was significantly associated with SAP (NLR before IVT: aOR = 1.288; 95%CI = 1.123-1.476; p < 0.001; NLR after IVT: (aOR = 1.127, 95%CI = 1.017-1.249; p = 0.023). The ROC curve showed that the predictive ability of NLR after IVT was better than NLR before IVT, not only in predicting the occurrence of SAP but also in predicting short-term and long-term functional outcomes, hemorrhagic transformation, and 1-year mortality. CONCLUSION: Increased NLR measured within 24-36 h after IVT has a significant predictive effect on the occurrence of SAP and can be used to predict short-term and long-term poor functional outcomes, hemorrhagic transformation, and 1-year mortality.

Prediction of occult lymph node metastasis using SUV, volumetric parameters and intratumoral heterogeneity of the primary tumor in T1-2N0M0 lung cancer patients staged by PET/CT.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to identify whether PET/CT-related metabolic parameters of the primary tumor could predict occult lymph node metastasis (OLM) in patients with T1-2N0M0 NSCLC staged by 18F-FDG PET/CT. METHODS: 215 patients with clinical T1-2N0M0 (cT1-2N0M0) NSCLC who underwent both preoperative FDG PET/CT and surgical resection with the systematic lymph node dissection were included in the retrospective study. Heterogeneity factor (HF) was obtained by finding the derivative of the volume-threshold function from 40 to 80% of the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax). Univariate and multivariate stepwise logistic regression analyses were used to identify these PET parameters and clinicopathological variables associated with OLM. RESULTS: Statistically significant differences were detected in sex, tumor site, SUVmax, mean SUV (SUVmean), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis and HF between patients with adenocarcinoma (ADC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SQCC). OLM was detected in 36 (16.7%) of 215 patients (ADC, 27/152 = 17.8% vs. SQCC, 9/63 = 14.3%). In multivariate analysis, MTV (OR = 1.671, P = 0.044) in ADC and HF (OR = 8.799, P = 0.023) in SQCC were potent associated factors for the prediction of OLM. The optimal cutoff values of 5.12 cm3 for MTV in ADC, and 0.198 for HF in SQCC were determined using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, MTV was an independent predictor of OLM in cT1-2N0M0 ADC patients, while HF might be the most powerful predictor for OLM in SQCC. These findings would be helpful in selecting patients who might be considered as candidates for sublobar resection or new stereotactic ablative radiotherapy.

Determination of Risk Factors and Establishment of a Prediction Model for Immediate Technical Failure during Endovascular Treatment of Femoropopliteal Occlusive Disease.

BACKGROUND: For long femoropopliteal occlusive lesions, the immediate technical failure (ITF) of endovascular treatment (EVT) is relatively high. Therefore, this study aims to reveal risk factors and establish a prediction model of ITF of EVT in femoropopliteal occlusive disease (FPOD) patients based on preoperative clinical date that may be helpful to the clinical procedures. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 1,563 FPOD patients who underwent above-the-knee EVT was undertaken. Univariate analysis with chi-squared test was used to screen risk factors from preoperative clinical data. Multivariable analysis with logistic regression was used to generate a model for predicting the ITF rate of EVT, which was evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic curve and another independent cohort of 242 FPOD patients. RESULTS: Risk factors for ITF during EVT in FPOD included age (>80 years, X1), the absence of diabetes mellitus (X2), low-density lipoprotein (>160 mg/dL, X3), lesion calcification (X4), lesion length (>20 cm, X5), ostial occlusion of superficial femoral artery (SFA) (X6), and SFA lesion involving the popliteal artery (X7). A logistic regression model was established based on the equation: -6.504 + 1.236X1 + 0.945X2 + 1.406X3 + 1.136X4 + 1.059X5 + 2.307X6 + 2.194X7. Scores were given to risk factors as follows: X1 (yes = 12, no = 0), X2 (yes = 9, no = 0), X3 (yes = 14, no = 0), X4 (yes = 11, no = 0), X5 (yes = 11, no = 0), X6 (yes = 23, no = 0), and X7 (yes = 22, no = 0). We determined that the optimal comprehensive score for predicting EVT failure was 39, with a sensitivity of 0.847 and a specificity of 0.8. Among these 242 peripheral arterial disease patients, 12 of 14 patients who had failed EVT had a comprehensive score of >39. CONCLUSIONS: We identified a number of risk factors of ITF during the above-the-knee EVT and established a prediction model that may be used for guidance in clinical practice.