Multimorbidity-associated emergency hospital admissions: a "screen and link" strategy to improve outcomes for high-risk patients in sub-Saharan Africa: a prospective multicentre cohort study protocol.

Background: The prevalence of multimorbidity (the presence of two or more chronic health conditions) is rapidly increasing in sub-Saharan Africa. Hospital care pathways that focus on single presenting complaints do not address this pressing problem. This has the potential to precipitate frequent hospital readmissions, increase health system and out-of-pocket expenses, and may lead to premature disability and death. We aim to present a description of inpatient multimorbidity in a multicentre prospective cohort study in Malawi and Tanzania. Primary objectives: Clinical: Determine prevalence of multimorbid disease among adult medical admissions and measure patient outcomes. Health Economic: Measure economic costs incurred and changes in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) at 90 days post-admission. Situation analysis: Qualitatively describe pathways of patients with multimorbidity through the health system. Secondary objectives: Clinical: Determine hospital readmission free survival and markers of disease control 90 days after admission. Health Economic: Present economic costs from patient and health system perspective, sub-analyse costs and HRQoL according to presence of different diseases. Situation analysis: Understand health literacy related to their own diseases and experience of care for patients with multimorbidity and their caregivers. Methods: This is a prospective longitudinal cohort study of adult (≥18 years) acute medical hospital admissions with nested health economic and situation analysis in four hospitals: 1) Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi; 2) Chiradzulu District Hospital, Malawi; 3) Hai District Hospital, Boma Ng'ombe, Tanzania; 4) Muhimbili National Hospital, Dar-es-Salaam, Tanzania. Follow-up duration will be 90 days from hospital admission. We will use consecutive recruitment within 24 hours of emergency presentation and stratified recruitment across four sites. We will use point-of-care tests to refine estimates of disease pathology. We will conduct qualitative interviews with patients, caregivers, healthcare providers and policymakers; focus group discussions with patients and caregivers, and observations of hospital care pathways.

Background: In sub-Saharan Africa, multimorbidity (defined as people living with two or more chronic health conditions) is increasing due to high infectious ( e.g., human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)) and non-communicable ( e.g., high blood pressure and diabetes) disease burdens. Multimorbidity increases as people live longer and can be worsened by HIV and HIV-medications. Patients delay seeking help until they are severely ill, meaning hospitals are key to healthcare delivery for chronic diseases, however hospital clinicians often focus on a single disease. Failure to identify and treat multimorbidity may lead to frequent readmissions, high costs, preventable disability and death. Aim: This cohort study is the first in a three-phase study with the overarching goal to design and test a system to identify patients suffering from multimorbidity when they seek emergency care in sub-Saharan African hospitals. This could improve early disease treatment (reducing death), ensure better follow-up and prevent disability, readmission and excess costs. The cohort study aims to determine multimorbidity prevalence, outcomes and costs. The results will help us co-create with key stakeholders the most cost-effective way to deliver improved care for patients before testing this strategy in a randomised trial. Methods in Brief: In Malawi and Tanzania, we will identify multimorbidity among patients admitted to hospital (focusing on high blood pressure, diabetes, HIV and chronic kidney disease), by enhancing diagnostic tests in hospital departments treating acutely admitted medical patients. With the help of healthcare professional, patients and community groups we will find how best to link patients to long-term care and improve self-management. After mapping health system pathways, we will work with stakeholders (policymakers, healthcare worker representatives, community and patient groups) to co-develop an intervention to improve outcomes for patients with multimorbidity. This study will allow us to collect clinical, health economic and health system data to inform this process.

A more equitable approach to economic evaluation: Directly developing conceptual capability wellbeing attributes for Tanzania and Malawi.

Capability wellbeing can potentially provide a holistic outcome for health economic evaluation and the capability approach seems promising for African countries. As yet there is no work that has explored the evaluative space needed for health and care decision making at the whole population level and procedures that merely translate existing measures developed in the global north to contexts in the global south risk embedding structural inequalities. This work seeks to elicit the concepts within the capability wellbeing evaluative space for general adult populations in Tanzania and Malawi. Semi-structured interviews with 68 participants across Tanzania and Malawi were conducted between October 2021 and July 2022. Analysis used thematic coding frames and the writing of analytic accounts. Interview schedules were common across the two country settings, however data collection and analysis were conducted independently by two separate teams and only brought together once it was clear that the data from the two countries was sufficiently aligned for a single analysis. Eight common attributes of capability wellbeing were found across the two countries: financial security; basic needs; achievement and personal development; attachment, love and friendship; participation in community activities; faith and spirituality; health; making decisions without unwanted interference. These attributes can be used to generate outcome measures for use in economic evaluations comparing alternative health interventions. By centring the voices of Tanzanians and Malawians in the construction of attributes that describe a good life, the research can facilitate greater equity within economic evaluations across different global settings.

Interdisciplinary perspectives on multimorbidity in Africa: Developing an expanded conceptual model.

Multimorbidity is an emerging challenge for health systems globally. It is commonly defined as the co-occurrence of two or more chronic conditions in one person, but its meaning remains a lively area of academic debate, and the utility of the concept beyond high-income settings is uncertain. This article presents the findings from an interdisciplinary research initiative that drew together 60 academic and applied partners working in 10 African countries to answer the questions: how useful is the concept of multimorbidity within Africa? Can the concept be adapted to context to optimise its transformative potentials? During a three-day concept-building workshop, we investigated how the definition of multimorbidity was understood across diverse disciplinary and regional perspectives, evaluated the utility and limitations of existing concepts and definitions, and considered how to build a more context-sensitive, cross-cutting description of multimorbidity. This iterative process was guided by the principles of grounded theory and involved focus- and whole-group discussions during the workshop, thematic coding of workshop discussions, and further post-workshop development and refinement. Three thematic domains emerged from workshop discussions: the current focus of multimorbidity on constituent diseases; the potential for revised concepts to centre the priorities, needs, and social context of people living with multimorbidity (PLWMM); and the need for revised concepts to respond to varied conceptual priorities amongst stakeholders. These themes fed into the development of an expanded conceptual model that centres the catastrophic impacts multimorbidity can have for PLWMM, families and support structures, service providers, and health systems.

Estimating the prevalence and predictors of musculoskeletal disorders in Tanzania: a cross-sectional pilot study.

Introduction: musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders account for approximately 20% of all years lived with disability worldwide however studies of MSK disorders in Africa are scarce. This pilot study aimed to estimate the community-based prevalence of MSK disorders, identify predictors, and assess the associated disability in a Tanzanian population. Methods: a cross-sectional study was conducted in one village in the Kilimanjaro region from March to June 2019. The Gait, Arms, Legs, Spine (GALS) or paediatric GALS (pGALS) examinations were used during household and school visits. Individuals positive in GALS/pGALS screening were assessed by the regional examination of the musculoskeletal system (REMS) and Modified Health Assessment Questionnaire (MHAQ). Results: among the 1,172 individuals enrolled in households, 95 (8.1%, 95% CI: 6.6 - 9.8) showed signs of MSK disorders using the GALS/pGALS examination and 37 (3.2%, 95% CI: 2.2 - 4.3) using the REMS. Among 682 schools enrolled children, seven showed signs of MSK disorders using the GALS/pGALS examination (1.0%, 95% CI: 0.4 - 2.1) and three using the REMS (0.4%, 95% CI: 0.0 - 1.3). In the household-enrolled adult population, female gender and increasing age were associated with GALS and REMS-positive findings. Among GALS-positive adults, increasing age was associated with REMS-positive status and increasing MHAQ score. Conclusion: this Tanzanian study demonstrates a prevalence of MSK disorders and identifies predictors of MSK disorders comparable to those seen globally. These findings can inform the development of rheumatology services and interventions in Tanzania and the design of future investigations of the determinants of MSK disorders, and their impacts on health, livelihoods, and well-being.

Rapid ethnographic appraisal of community concepts of and responses to joint pain in Kilimanjaro, Tanzania.

INTRODUCTION: Musculoskeletal disorders, experienced as joint pain, are a significant global health problem, but little is known about how joint pain is categorised and understood in Tanzania. Understanding existing conceptualisations of and responses to joint pain is important to ensure both research and interventions are equitable and avoid biomedical imposition. METHODS: Rapid ethnographic appraisal was conducted in a periurban and rural community in Kilimanjaro, documenting language used to describe joint pain, ideas about causes, understandings of who experiences such pain, the impacts pain has and how people respond to it. We conducted 66 interviews with community leaders, traditional healers, community members and pharmacists.Photographs were taken and included in fieldnotes to supplement the interview data and develop thick descriptions. Data were analysed by constant comparison using QDA Miner software. RESULTS: Across the sample, dominant concepts of joint pain were named ugonjwa wa baridi, cold disease; ugonjwa wa uzee, old age disease; rimatizim, disease of the joints; and gauti, gout. Causes mentioned included exposure to the cold, old age, alcohol and red meat consumption, witchcraft, demons and injuries/falls. Age, gender and occupation were seen as important factors for developing joint pain. Perceived impacts of joint pain included loss of mobility, economic and family problems, developing new health conditions, death, reduction in sexual functioning and negative self-perceptions. Responses to joint pain blended biomedical treatments, herbal remedies, consultations with traditional healers and religious rituals. CONCLUSIONS: Conceptualisations of and responses to joint pain in the two communities were syncretic, mixing folk and biomedical practices. Narratives about who is affected by joint pain mirror emerging epidemiological findings, suggesting a strong 'lay epidemiology' in these communities. Anthropological methods can support the decolonisation of global health by decentring the imposition of English language biomedicine and pursuing synthetic, dignified languages of care.

Factors Associated with Modern Contraceptive Use Among Out of School Adolescent Girls in Majengo and Njoro Wards of Moshi Municipality, Tanzania.

Background: Low uptake of modern contraceptives among adolescents remains a serious public health concern with over 20 million adolescents in need of modern contraceptives are not using any. In Tanzania where the adolescent fertility rate is 112 per 1000, only 15.2% of adolescents are using modern contraceptives. Contraceptive use stands out to be one of the key interventions to reduce the burden of adolescent pregnancy which is high in the country at 22%. There is little information on factors associated with modern contraceptive use among out of school adolescents, who are at an increased risk of adolescent pregnancies. Objective: To determine the prevalence and factors associated with modern contraceptive use among out of school adolescent girls in Moshi municipality, Kilimanjaro region. Methodology: This was a population based cross-sectional study, conducted in Moshi municipality in Kilimanjaro region 2 wards; Majengo and Njoro. The wards were randomly selected out of the 21 wards in the region. Household survey was conducted in the wards and adolescents aged 10 to 19 years who were out of school and consented and or assented to participate in the study were recruited. Data was collected using Kobo Collect TM on an Android device. Data was analysed using SPSS version 20. To determine the factors associated with modern contraceptive use, crude and adjusted analysis using logistic regression analysis was done. Results: A total of 298 out-of-school adolescents were enrolled, with a median age of 19 (IQR 17-19) years. The prevalence of ever use of modern contraceptives among 154 sexually active adolescents was 51%, and 35% were current users of the methods. Two of common methods ever used were; injectables (27.3%) and male condoms (3.2%) respectively. Factors independently associated with ever use of modern contraceptives were; being married or cohabiting (aOR: 5.7) and having 2 or more sexual partners in the past 12 months (aOR: 5.9). Conclusion: Ever and current use of modern contraceptives among out-of-school adolescents were reported at 51% and 35% respectively. Respondent's marital status and number of sexual partners was associated with ever use of modern methods. Strengthening of adolescent-friendly SRH services outside facility setting is needed given very few are currently using a modern method. Further, through inter-sectoral collaboration interventions to keep adolescent girls at school should be strengthened.

Trends of frequency, mortality and risk factors among patients admitted with stroke from 2017 to 2019 to the medical ward at Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre hospital: a retrospective observational study.

OBJECTIVE: The burden of stroke has increased in recent years worldwide, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries. In this study we aim to determine the number of stroke admissions, and associated comorbidities, at a referral hospital in Northern Tanzania. DESIGN: This was a retrospective observational study. SETTING: The study was conducted at a tertiary referral hospital, Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre (KCMC), in the orthern zone of Tanzania. PARTICIPANTS: The study included adults aged 18 years and above, who were admitted to the medical wards from 2017 to 2019. OUTCOME: The primary outcome was the proportion of patients who had a stroke admitted in the medical ward at KCMC and the secondary outcome was clinical outcome such as mortality. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective audit of medical records from 2017 to 2019 for adult patients admitted to the medical ward at KCMC. Data extracted included demographic characteristics, previous history of stroke and outcome of the admission. Factors associated with stroke were investigated using logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 7976 patients admitted between 2017 and 2019, 972 (12.2%) were patients who had a stroke. Trends show an increase in patients admitted with stroke over the 3 years with 222, 292 and 458 in 2017, 2018 and 2019, respectively. Of the patients who had a stroke, 568 (58.4%) had hypertension while 167 (17.2%) had diabetes mellitus. The proportion of admitted stroke patients aged 18-45 years, increased from 2017 (n=28, 3.4%) to 2019 (n=40, 4.3%). The in-hospital mortality related to stroke was 229 (23.6%) among 972 patients who had a stroke and female patients had 50% higher odds of death as compared with male patients (OR:1.5; CI 1.30 to 1.80). CONCLUSION: The burden of stroke on individuals and health services is increasing over time, which reflects a lack of awareness on the cause of stroke and effective preventive measures. Prioritising interventions directed towards the reduction of non-communicable diseases and associated complications, such as stroke, is urgently needed.

The spectrum and burden of in-patient paediatric musculoskeletal diseases in Northern Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: Musculoskeletal diseases (MSD) are a major contributor to the global burden of disease and disability, and disproportionally affect low- and middle-income countries; however, there is a dearth of epidemiological data. Affected children often face increased morbidity, social isolation and economic hardship. AIM: To assess the spectrum and burden of paediatric MSD in children aged 5-18 years admitted to a major referral hospital in Tanzania. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of children aged 5-18 years admitted to Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre (KCMC) whose initial diagnosis was recognised as a musculoskeletal condition by the International Classification of Diseases-10 between 1 January and 31 December 2017. RESULTS: During 2017, 163 cases of confirmed paediatric MSD were admitted to KCMC, representing 21.2% of all admissions of children aged 5-18 years (n = 769). Bone disease was the most common diagnosis. They comprised 106 (65.0%) traumatic fractures, 31 (19.0%) osteo-articular infections, 9 (5.5%) malunions and 3 (1.8%) pathological fractures. Congenital defects and rheumatic disease were relatively uncommon, accounting for only 6 (3.7%) and 4 (2.5%) MSD admissions, respectively. CONCLUSION: The majority of cases of MSD were related to fractures, followed by osteo-articular infections, while recognised cases of rheumatic disease were rare. The study, although small, identified the sizeable burden and spectrum of paediatric MSD admitted to a hospital in Tanzania over a 12-month period and highlights the need for larger studies to inform the optimal allocation of health resources. ABBREVIATION: CI: confidence interval; HIC: high-income countries; HIV: human immunodeficiency virus; ICD-10: International Classification of Diseases 10; IQR: interquartile range; JIA: juvenile idiopathic arthritis; KCMC: Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre; LMIC: low- and middle-income countries; MSD: musculoskeletal diseases: NAI: non-accidental injury; NIHR: National Institute for Health Research; PAFLAR: Paediatric Society of the African League Against Rheumatism; RTA: road traffic accidents; SCD: sickle cell disease; SLE: systemic lupus erythematosus; SSA: sub-Saharan Africa.