Osteoporosis in Relation to a Bone-Related Aging Biomarker Derived from the Urinary Proteomic Profile: A Population Study.

Screening for and prevention of osteoporosis and osteoporotic fractures is imperative, given the high burden on individuals and society. This study constructed and validated an aging-related biomarker derived from the urinary proteomic profile (UPP) indicative of osteoporosis (UPPost-age). In a prospective population study done in northern Belgium (1985-2019), participants were invited for a follow-up examination in 2005-2010 and participants in the 2005-2010 examination again invited in 2009-2013. Participants in both the 2005-2010 and 2009-2013 examinations (n = 519) constituted the derivation (2005-2016 data) and time-shifted validation (2009-2013 data) datasets; 187 participants with only 2005-2010 data formed the synchronous validation dataset. The UPP was assessed by capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry. Analyses focused on 2372 sequenced urinary peptides (101 proteins) with key roles in maintaining the integrity of bone tissue. In multivariable analyses with correction for multiple testing, chronological age was associated with 99 urinary peptides (16 proteins). Peptides derived from IGF2 and MGP were upregulated in women compared to men, whereas COL1A2, COL3A1, COL5A2, COL10A1 and COL18A1 were downregulated. Via application of a 1000-fold bootstrapped elastic regression procedure, finally, 29 peptides (10 proteins) constituted the UPPost-age biomarker, replicated across datasets. In cross-sectional analyses of 2009-2013 data (n = 706), the body-height-to-arm-span ratio, an osteoporosis marker, was negatively associated with UPPost-age (p&;lt0.0001). Over 4.89 years (median), the 10-year risk of osteoporosis associated with chronological age and UPPost-age (53 cases including 37 fractures in 706 individuals) increased by 21% and 36% (p ≤ 0.044). Among 357 women, the corresponding estimates were 55% and 60% for incident osteoporosis (37 cases; p ≤ 0.0003) and 42% and 44% for osteoporotic fractures (25 cases; p ≤ 0.017). In conclusion, an aging-related UPP signature with focus on peptide fragments derived from bone-related proteins is associated with osteoporosis risk and available for clinical and trial research.

Heart rate reactivity, recovery, and endurance of the incremental shuttle walk test in patients prone to heart failure.

AIMS: Few randomized trials assessed the changes over time in the chronotropic heart rate (HR) reactivity (CHR), HR recovery (HRR) and exercise endurance (EE) in response to the incremental shuttle walk test (ISWT). We addressed this issue by analysing the open HOMAGE (Heart OMics in Aging) trial. METHODS: In HOMAGE, 527 patients prone to heart failure were randomized to usual treatment with or without spironolactone (25-50 mg/day). The current sub-study included 113 controls and 114 patients assigned spironolactone (~70% on beta-blockers), who all completed the ISWT at baseline and at Months 1 and 9. Within-group changes over time (follow-up minus baseline) and between-group differences at each time point (spironolactone minus control) were analysed by repeated measures ANOVA, unadjusted or adjusted for sex, age and body mass index, and additionally for baseline for testing 1 and 9 month data. RESULTS: Irrespective of randomization, the resting HR and CHR did not change from baseline to follow-up, with the exception of a small decrease in the HR immediately post-exercise (-3.11 b.p.m.) in controls at Month 9. In within-group analyses, HR decline over the 5 min post-exercise followed a slightly lower course at the 1 month visit in controls and at the 9 month visits in both groups, but not at the 1 month visit in the spironolactone group. Compared with baseline, EE increased by two to three shuttles at Months 1 and 9 in the spironolactone group but remained unchanged in the control group. In the between-group analyses, irrespective of adjustment, there were no HR differences at any time point from rest up to 5 min post-exercise or in EE. Subgroup analyses by sex or categorized by the medians of age, left ventricular ejection fraction or glomerular filtration rate were confirmatory. Combining baseline and Months 1 and 9 data in both treatment groups, the resting HR, CHR and HRR at 1 and 5 min averaged 61.5, 20.0, 9.07 and 13.8 b.p.m. and EE 48.3 shuttles. CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone on top of usual treatment compared with usual treatment alone did not change resting HR, CHR, HRR and EE in response to ISWT. Beta-blockade might have concealed the effects of spironolactone. The current findings demonstrate that the ISWT, already used in a wide variety of pathological conditions, is a practical instrument to measure symptom-limited exercise capacity in patients prone to developing heart failure because of coronary heart disease.

An outcome-driven threshold for pulse pressure amplification.

Pulse pressure amplification (PPA) is the brachial-to-aortic pulse pressure ratio and decreases with age and cardiovascular risk factors. This individual-participant meta-analysis of population studies aimed to define an outcome-driven threshold for PPA. Incidence rates and standardized multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of cardiovascular and coronary endpoints associated with PPA, as assessed by the SphygmoCor software, were evaluated in the International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification (n = 5608). Model refinement was assessed by the integrated discrimination (IDI) and net reclassification (NRI) improvement. Age ranged from 30 to 96 years (median 53.6). Over 4.1 years (median), 255 and 109 participants experienced a cardiovascular or coronary endpoint. In a randomly defined discovery subset of 3945 individuals, the rounded risk-carrying PPA thresholds converged at 1.3. The HRs for cardiovascular and coronary endpoints contrasting PPA < 1.3 vs ≥1.3 were 1.54 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-2.36) and 2.45 (CI: 1.20-5.01), respectively. Models were well calibrated, findings were replicated in the remaining 1663 individuals analyzed as test dataset, and NRI was significant for both endpoints. The HRs associating cardiovascular and coronary endpoints per PPA threshold in individuals <60 vs ≥60 years were 3.86 vs 1.19 and 6.21 vs 1.77, respectively. The proportion of high-risk women (PPA < 1.3) was higher at younger age (<60 vs ≥60 years: 67.7% vs 61.5%; P < 0.001). In conclusion, over and beyond common risk factors, a brachial-to-central PP ratio of <1.3 is a forerunner of cardiovascular coronary complications and is an underestimated risk factor in women aged 30-60 years. Our study supports pulse wave analysis for risk stratification.

Urinary proteomic signature of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonism by spironolactone: evidence from the HOMAGE trial.

OBJECTIVE: Heart failure (HF) is characterised by collagen deposition. Urinary proteomic profiling (UPP) followed by peptide sequencing identifies parental proteins, for over 70% derived from collagens. This study aimed to refine understanding of the antifibrotic action of spironolactone. METHODS: In this substudy (n=290) to the Heart 'Omics' in Ageing Study trial, patients were randomised to usual therapy combined or not with spironolactone 25-50 mg/day and followed for 9 months. The analysis included 1498 sequenced urinary peptides detectable in ≥30% of patients and carboxyterminal propeptide of procollagen I (PICP) and PICP/carboxyterminal telopeptide of collagen I (CITP) as serum biomarkers of COL1A1 synthesis. After rank normalisation of biomarker distributions, between-group differences in their changes were assessed by multivariable-adjusted mixed model analysis of variance. Correlations between the changes in urinary peptides and in serum PICP and PICP/CITP were compared between groups using Fisher's Z transform. RESULTS: Multivariable-adjusted between-group differences in the urinary peptides with error 1 rate correction were limited to 27 collagen fragments, of which 16 were upregulated (7 COL1A1 fragments) on spironolactone and 11 downregulated (4 COL1A1 fragments). Over 9 months of follow-up, spironolactone decreased serum PICP from 81 (IQR 66-95) to 75 (61-90) µg/L and PICP/CITP from 22 (17-28) to 18 (13-26), whereas no changes occurred in the control group, resulting in a difference (spironolactone minus control) expressed in standardised units of -0.321 (95% CI 0.0007). Spironolactone did not affect the correlations between changes in urinary COL1A1 fragments and in PICP or the PICP/CITP ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Spironolactone decreased serum markers of collagen synthesis and predominantly downregulated urinary collagen-derived peptides, but upregulated others. The interpretation of these opposite UPP trends might be due to shrinking the body-wide pool of collagens, explaining downregulation, while some degree of collagen synthesis must be maintained to sustain vital organ functions, explaining upregulation. Combining urinary and serum fibrosis markers opens new avenues for the understanding of the action of antifibrotic drugs. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02556450.

Lead-associated mortality in the US 1999-2020: a time-stratified analysis of a national cohort.

OBJECTIVES: We undertook time-stratified analyses of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in the US to assess time trends (1999-2020) in the associations of blood lead (BL) with blood pressure, mortality, the BL-associated population attributable fraction (PAF). METHODS: Vital status of participants, 20-79 years old at enrolment, was ascertained via the National Death Index. Regressions, mediation analyses and PAF were multivariable adjusted and standardized to 2020 US Census data. RESULTS: In time-stratified analyses, BL decreased from 1.76 µg/dl in 1999-2004 to 0.93 µg/dl in 2017-2020, while the proportion of individuals with BL < 1 µg/dl increased from 19.2% to 63.0%. Total mortality was unrelated to BL (hazard ratio (HR) for a fourfold BL increment: 1.05 [95% confidence interval, CI: 0.93-1.17]). The HR for cardiovascular death was 1.44 (1.01-2.07) in the 1999-2000 cycle, but lost significance thereafter. BL was directly related to cardiovascular mortality, whereas the indirect BL pathway via BP was not significant. Low socioeconomic status (SES) was directly related to BL and cardiovascular mortality, but the indirect SES pathway via BL lost significance in 2007-2010. From 1999-2004 to 2017-2020, cardiovascular PAF decreased ( P  < 0.001) from 7.80% (0.17-14.4%) to 2.50% (0.05-4.68%) and number of lead-attributable cardiovascular deaths from 53 878 (1167-99 253) to 7539 (160-14 108). CONCLUSION: Due to implementation of strict environmental policies, lead exposure is no longer associated with total mortality, and the mildly increased cardiovascular mortality is not associated with blood lead via blood pressure in the United States.

OSTEO18, a novel urinary proteomic signature, associated with osteoporosis in heart transplant recipients.

Background: Immunosuppressive treatment in heart transplant (HTx) recipient causes osteoporosis. The urinary proteomic profile (UPP) includes peptide fragments derived from the bone extracellular matrix. Study aims were to develop and validate a multidimensional UPP biomarker for osteoporosis in HTx patients from single sequenced urinary peptides identifying the parent proteins. Methods: A single-center HTx cohort was analyzed. Urine samples were measured by capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry. Cases with osteoporosis and matching controls were randomly selected from all available 389 patients. In derivation case-control dataset, 1576 sequenced peptides detectable in ≥30 % of patients. Applying statistical analysis on these, an 18-peptide multidimensional osteoporosis UPP biomarker (OSTEO18) was generated by support vector modeling. The 2 replication datasets included 118 and 94 patients. For further validation, the whole cohort was analyzed. Statistical methods included logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. Results: In derivation dataset, the AUC, sensitivity and specificity of OSTEO18 were 0.83 (95 % CI: 0.76-0.90), 74.3 % and 87.1 %, respectively. In replication datasets, results were confirmatory. In the whole cohort (154 osteoporotic patients [39.6 %]), the ORs for osteoporosis increased (p < 0.0001) across OSTEO18 quartiles from 0.39 (95 % CI: 0.25-0.61) to 3.14 (2.08-4.75). With full adjustment for known osteoporosis risk factors, OSTEO18 improved AUC from 0.708 to 0.786 (p = 0.0003) for OSTEO18 categorized (optimized threshold: 0.095) and to 0.784 (p = 0.0004) for OSTEO18 as continuously distributed classifier. Conclusion: OSTEO18 is a clinically meaningful novel biomarker indicative of osteoporosis in HTx recipients and is being certified as in-vitro diagnostic.

Mortality and Cardiovascular End Points In Relation to the Aortic Pulse Wave Components: An Individual-Participant Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Wave separation analysis enables individualized evaluation of the aortic pulse wave components. Previous studies focused on the pressure height with overall positive but differing results. In the present analysis, we assessed the associations of the pressure of forward and backward (Pfor and Pref) pulse waves with prospective cardiovascular end points, with extended analysis for time to pressure peak (Tfor and Tref). METHODS: Participants in 3 IDCARS (International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification) cohorts (Argentina, Belgium, and Finland) aged ≥20 years with valid pulse wave analysis and follow-up data were included. Pulse wave analysis was done using the SphygmoCor device, and pulse wave separation was done using the triangular method. The primary end points consisted of cardiovascular mortality and nonfatal cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios. RESULTS: A total of 2206 participants (mean age, 57.0 years; 55.0% women) were analyzed. Mean±SDs for Pfor, Pref, Tfor, and Tfor/Tref were 31.0±9.1 mm Hg, 20.8±8.4 mm Hg, 130.8±35.5, and 0.51±0.11, respectively. Over a median follow-up of 4.4 years, 146 (6.6%) participants experienced a primary end point. Every 1 SD increment in Pfor, Tfor, and Tfor/Tref was associated with 27% (95% CI, 1.07-1.49), 25% (95% CI, 1.07-1.45), and 32% (95% CI, 1.12-1.56) higher risk, respectively. Adding Tfor and Tfor/Tref to existing risk models improved model prediction (∆Uno's C, 0.020; P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Pulse wave components were predictive of composite cardiovascular end points, with Tfor/Tref showing significant improvement in risk prediction. Pending further confirmation, the ratio of time to forward and backward pressure peak may be useful to evaluate increased afterload and signify increased cardiovascular risk.

Association of Air Pollution with a Urinary Biomarker of Biological Aging and Effect Modification by Vitamin K in the FLEMENGHO Prospective Population Study.

BACKGROUND: A recently developed urinary peptidomics biological aging clock can be used to study accelerated human aging. From 1990 to 2019, exposure to airborne particulate matter (PM) became the leading environmental risk factor worldwide. OBJECTIVES: This study investigated whether air pollution exposure is associated with accelerated urinary peptidomic aging, independent of calendar age, and whether this association is modified by other risk factors. METHODS: In a Flemish population, the urinary peptidomic profile (UPP) age (UPP-age) was derived from the urinary peptidomic profile measured by capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry. UPP-age-R was calculated as the residual of the regression of UPP-age on chronological age, which reflects accelerated aging predicted by UPP-age, independent of chronological age. A high-resolution spatial-temporal interpolation method was used to assess each individual's exposure to PM10, PM2.5, black carbon (BC), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). Associations of UPP-age-R with these pollutants were investigated by mixed models, accounting for clustering by residential address and confounders. Effect modifiers of the associations between UPP-age-R and air pollutants that included 18 factors reflecting vascular function, renal function, insulin resistance, lipid metabolism, or inflammation were evaluated. Direct and indirect (via UPP-age-R) effects of air pollution on mortality were evaluated by multivariable-adjusted Cox models. RESULTS: Among 660 participants (50.2% women; mean age: 50.7 y), higher exposure to PM10, PM2.5, BC, and NO2 was associated with a higher UPP-age-R. Studying effect modifiers showed that higher plasma levels of desphospho-uncarboxylated matrix Gla protein (dpucMGP), signifying poorer vitamin K status, steepened the slopes of UPP-age-R on the air pollutants. In further analyses among participants with dpucMGP ≥4.26µg/L (median), an interquartile range (IQR) higher level in PM10, PM2.5, BC, and NO2 was associated with a higher UPP-age-R of 2.03 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.60, 3.46], 2.22 (95% CI: 0.71, 3.74), 2.00 (95% CI: 0.56, 3.43), and 2.09 (95% CI: 0.77, 3.41) y, respectively. UPP-age-R was an indirect mediator of the associations of mortality with the air pollutants [multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios from 1.094 (95% CI: 1.000, 1.196) to 1.110 (95% CI: 1.007, 1.224)] in participants with a high dpucMGP, whereas no direct associations were observed. DISCUSSION: Ambient air pollution was associated with accelerated urinary peptidomics aging, and high vitamin K status showed a potential protective effect in this population. Current guidelines are insufficient to decrease the adverse health effects of airborne pollutants, including healthy aging trajectories. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13414.

Blood pressure and renal function responses in workers exposed to lead for up to six years.

The Study for Promotion of Health in Recycling Lead (SPHERL) assessed the blood pressure (BP) and renal function (RF) responses for up to 6 years in the workers without previous occupational lead exposure. BP was the average of five consecutive readings and the estimated glomerular filtration rate was derived from serum creatinine (eGFRcrt) and cystatin C (eGFRcys). Blood lead (BL) was measured by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (detection limit 0.5 µg/dL). The statistical methods included multivariable-adjusted mixed models and interval-censored Cox regression analysis. The 234 workers analyzed were on average 28.5 years old and included 91.9% men. The baseline BL concentration was 4.35 µg/dL and increased 3.17-fold over follow-up (median: 2.03 years; range: 0.92-6.45 years). The changes in BP and RF were not significantly correlated with the follow-up-to-baseline BL ratio (p ≥ .51 and p ≥ .18, respectively). The fully-adjusted changes in systolic/diastolic BP associated with a doubling of BL were -0.25/-0.12 mm Hg (CI: -0.94 to 0.44/-0.66 to 0.42 mm Hg). Accordingly, the incidence of stage-1 or -2 hypertension was not associated with the BL change (p ≥ .063). Similarly, the changes in eGFRcrt and eGFRcys associated with a 3-fold BL increment were not significant, amounting to -0.70 mL/min/1.73 m2 (CI: -1.70 to 0.30 mL/min/1.73 m2 ) and -1.06 mL/min/1.73 m2 (-2.16 to 0.03 mL/min/1.73 m2 ). In conclusion, the BP and RF responses to an over 3-fold BL increment were small and not significant confirming the safety of modern lead-handing facilities operating under current safety rules.

Derivation of an Outcome-Driven Threshold for Aortic Pulse Wave Velocity: An Individual-Participant Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Aortic pulse wave velocity (PWV) predicts cardiovascular events (CVEs) and total mortality (TM), but previous studies proposing actionable PWV thresholds have limited generalizability. This individual-participant meta-analysis is aimed at defining, testing calibration, and validating an outcome-driven threshold for PWV, using 2 populations studies, respectively, for derivation IDCARS (International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification) and replication MONICA (Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease Health Survey - Copenhagen). METHODS: A risk-carrying PWV threshold for CVE and TM was defined by multivariable Cox regression, using stepwise increasing PWV thresholds and by determining the threshold yielding a 5-year risk equivalent with systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg. The predictive performance of the PWV threshold was assessed by computing the integrated discrimination improvement and the net reclassification improvement. RESULTS: In well-calibrated models in IDCARS, the risk-carrying PWV thresholds converged at 9 m/s (10 m/s considering the anatomic pulse wave travel distance). With full adjustments applied, the threshold predicted CVE (hazard ratio [CI]: 1.68 [1.15-2.45]) and TM (1.61 [1.01-2.55]) in IDCARS and in MONICA (1.40 [1.09-1.79] and 1.55 [1.23-1.95]). In IDCARS and MONICA, the predictive accuracy of the threshold for both end points was ≈0.75. Integrated discrimination improvement was significant for TM in IDCARS and for both TM and CVE in MONICA, whereas net reclassification improvement was not for any outcome. CONCLUSIONS: PWV integrates multiple risk factors into a single variable and might replace a large panel of traditional risk factors. Exceeding the outcome-driven PWV threshold should motivate clinicians to stringent management of risk factors, in particular hypertension, which over a person's lifetime causes stiffening of the elastic arteries as waypoint to CVE and death.

Blood pressure and hypertension in relation to lead exposure updated according to present-day blood lead levels.

Lead is an environmental hazard that should be addressed worldwide. Over time, human exposure to lead in the Western world has fallen drastically to the levels comparable to those in humans living in the pre-industrial era, who were mainly exposed to natural sources of lead. To re-evaluate the health risks possibly associated with present-day lead exposure, a three-pronged approach was applied. First, we critically assessed the recently published population metrics describing the adverse health effects associated with lead exposure at the population level. Next, we summarized the key results of the Study for Promotion of Health in Recycling Lead (SPHERL; NCT02243904) and analyzed these results in the context of the published population metrics. Last but not least, we performed a brief literature review on the present-day lead exposure level in Poland. To our best knowledge, SPHERL is the first prospective study that accounted for interindividual variation in vulnerability to the toxic effects of lead exposure by assessing the participants' health status before and after occupational lead exposure, with blood pressure and hypertension as the primary outcomes. The overall conclusion of this comprehensive review on blood pressure and hypertension is that mainstream ideas about the public and occupational health risks related to lead exposure need to be urgently updated because a large part of the available literature has become obsolete given present-day exposure levels that sharply declined over the past 40 years.

Statistical approaches applicable in managing OMICS data: Urinary proteomics as exemplary case.

With urinary proteomics profiling (UPP) as exemplary omics technology, this review describes a workflow for the analysis of omics data in large study populations. The proposed workflow includes: (i) planning omics studies and sample size considerations; (ii) preparing the data for analysis; (iii) preprocessing the UPP data; (iv) the basic statistical steps required for data curation; (v) the selection of covariables; (vi) relating continuously distributed or categorical outcomes to a series of single markers (e.g., sequenced urinary peptide fragments identifying the parental proteins); (vii) showing the added diagnostic or prognostic value of the UPP markers over and beyond classical risk factors, and (viii) pathway analysis to identify targets for personalized intervention in disease prevention or treatment. Additionally, two short sections respectively address multiomics studies and machine learning. In conclusion, the analysis of adverse health outcomes in relation to omics biomarkers rests on the same statistical principle as any other data collected in large population or patient cohorts. The large number of biomarkers, which have to be considered simultaneously requires planning ahead how the study database will be structured and curated, imported in statistical software packages, analysis results will be triaged for clinical relevance, and presented.

Urinary proteomics combined with home blood pressure telemonitoring for health care reform trial-First progress report.

High blood pressure (BP) and type-2 diabetes (T2DM) are forerunners of chronic kidney disease and left ventricular dysfunction. Home BP telemonitoring (HTM) and urinary peptidomic profiling (UPP) are technologies enabling risk stratification and personalized prevention. UPRIGHT-HTM (NCT04299529) is an investigator-initiated, multicenter, open-label, randomized trial with blinded endpoint evaluation designed to assess the efficacy of HTM plus UPP (experimental group) over HTM alone (control group) in guiding treatment in asymptomatic patients, aged 55-75 years, with ≥5 cardiovascular risk factors. From screening onwards, HTM data can be freely accessed by all patients and their caregivers; UPP results are communicated early during follow-up to patients and caregivers in the intervention group, but at trial closure in the control group. From May 2021 until January 2023, 235 patients were screened, of whom 53 were still progressing through the run-in period and 144 were randomized. Both groups had similar characteristics, including average age (62.0 years) and the proportions of African Blacks (81.9%), White Europeans (16.7%), women 56.2%, home (31.2%), and office (50.0%) hypertension, T2DM (36.4%), micro-albuminuria (29.4%), and ECG (9.7%) and echocardiographic (11.5%) left ventricular hypertrophy. Home and office BP were 128.8/79.2 mm Hg and 137.1/82.7 mm Hg, respectively, resulting in a prevalence of white-coat, masked and sustained hypertension of 40.3%, 11.1%, and 25.7%. HTM persisted after randomization (48 681 readings up to 15 January 2023). In conclusion, results predominantly from low-resource sub-Saharan centers proved the feasibility of this multi-ethnic trial. The COVID-19 pandemic caused delays and differential recruitment rates across centers.

Blood pressure and cardiovascular risk in relation to birth weight and urinary sodium: an individual-participant meta-analysis of European family-based population studies.

BACKGROUND: Although the relation of salt intake with blood pressure (BP) is linear, it is U-shaped for mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD). This individual-participant meta-analysis explored whether the relation of hypertension, death or CVD with 24-h urinary sodium excretion (UVNA) or sodium-to-potassium (UNAK) ratio was modified by birth weight. METHODS: Families were randomly enrolled in the Flemish Study on Genes, Environment and Health Outcomes (1985-2004) and the European Project on Genes in Hypertension (1999-2001). Categories of birth weight, UVNA and UNAK (≤2500, >2500-4000, >4000 g; <2.3, 2.3-4.6 and >4.6 g; and <1, 1-2, >2, respectively) were coded using deviation-from-mean coding and analyzed by Kaplan-Meier survival functions and linear and Cox regression. RESULTS: The study population was subdivided into the Outcome ( n  = 1945), Hypertension ( n  = 1460) and Blood Pressure cohorts ( n  = 1039) to analyze the incidence of mortality and cardiovascular endpoints, hypertension and BP changes as function of UVNA changes. The prevalence of low/medium/high birth weight in the Outcome cohort was 5.8/84.5/9.7%. Over 16.7 years (median), rates were 4.9, 8 and 27.1% for mortality, CVD and hypertension, respectively, but were not associated with birth weight. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios were not significant for any endpoint in any of the birth weight, UVNA and UNAK strata. Adult body weight tracked with birth weight ( P  < 0.0001). The partial r in the low-birth-weight group associating changes from baseline to follow-up in UVNA and SBP was 0.68 ( P  = 0.023) but not significant in other birth weight groups. CONCLUSION: This study did not substantiate its prior hypothesis but showed tracking of adult with birth weight and suggest that low birth weight increases salt sensitivity.

Mortality and Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Patients With Breast Cancer Receiving Radiotherapy: The First Decade.

Background Treatment for breast cancer (BC) frequently involves radiotherapy. Guidelines recommend screening for cardiac adverse events starting 10 years after radiotherapy. The rationale for this interval is unclear. Methods and Results We aimed to study cardiovascular event rates in the first decade following curative radiotherapy for BC. We compared mortality and cardiovascular event rates with an age- and risk factor-matched control population. We included 1095 patients with BC (mean age 56±12 years). Two hundred and eighteen (19.9%) women died. Cancer and cardiovascular mortality caused 107 (49.1%) and 22 (10.1%) deaths, respectively. A total of 904 cases were matched to female FLEMENGHO (Flemish Study on Environment, Genes and Health Outcomes) participants. Coronary artery disease incidence was similar (risk ratio [RR], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.48-1.18]), yet heart failure (RR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.19-3.25]) and atrial fibrillation/flutter (RR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.07-3.08]) occurred more often in patients with BC. Age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.033 [95% CI, 1.006-1.061], P=0.016), tumor grade (HR, 1.739 [95% CI, 1.166-2.591], P=0.007), and neoadjuvant treatment setting (HR, 2.782 [95% CI, 1.304-5.936], P=0.008) were risk factors for mortality. Risk factors for major adverse cardiac events were age (HR, 1.053 [95% CI, 1.013-1.093]; P=0.008), mean heart dose (HR, 1.093 [95% CI, 1.025-1.167]; P=0.007), history of cardiovascular disease (HR, 2.386 [95% CI, 1.096-6.197]; P=0.029) and Mayo Clinic Cardiotoxicity Risk Score (HR, 2.664 [95% CI, 1.625-4.367]; P<0.001). Conclusions Ten-year mortality following curative treatment for unilateral BC was mainly cancer related, but heart failure and atrial fibrillation/flutter were already common in the first decade following irradiation. Mean heart dose, pre-existing cardiovascular diseases, and Mayo Clinic Cardiotoxicity Risk Score were risk factors for cardiac adverse events. These results suggest a need for early dedicated cardio-oncological follow-up after radiotherapy.

Association of serum uric acid levels with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients in China: a cohort study.

PURPOSE: The present study aimed to assess the association of elevated serum uric acid (SUA) and hypouricemia with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in Chinese hypertensive patients. METHODS: In the present prospective cohort, 9325 hypertensive patients from Dongguan, China were enrolled from 2014 to 2018 for analysis. Participants were categorised by quintiles of SUA. The HRs and 95% CIs for the association between SUA, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were evaluated using the multivariate Cox regression model. After adjusting for multiple confounders, restricted cubic spline analysis was conducted to demonstrate the shape of relationship. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 4.18 years for 9325 participants, there were 409 (4.4%) and 151 (1.6%) reported cases of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. By using the third quintile of SUA (6.68 mg/dL to <7.55 mg/dL for men, 5.63 mg/dL to <6.42 mg/dL for women) as reference, the highest quintiles of SUA were associated with an elevated risk of all cause (HR: 1.34, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.80) in the crude model, but the association was not significant after adjusting for multiple comparisons. The association between low SUA and mortality and the dose-response analysis on the non-linearity of SUA-mortality relationship were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Although the association between SUA levels, all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality did not appear to be significant among Chinese hypertensive patients, the findings might be confounded by their medical conditions. Further studies are needed to verify the optimal SUA levels for hypertensive patients.

Body Position and Orthostatic Hypotension in Hypertensive Adults: Results from the Syst-Eur Trial.

BACKGROUND: We recently demonstrated that more intensive blood pressure (BP) treatment lowered risk of orthostatic hypotension (OH) measured with a seated-to-standing protocol. However, seated-to-standing OH assessments are less sensitive than supine-to-standing and could miss clinically relevant OH. OBJECTIVES: Using data from the Syst-Eur trial (Systolic Hypertension in Europe), we examined the effect of hypertension treatment on incidence of OH based on the difference in BP from 3 body positions. METHODS: Syst-Eur was a multi-center, randomized trial that enrolled adults with isolated systolic hypertension to investigate whether active hypertension treatment could reduce cardiovascular events. Participants underwent BP measurement in supine, seated, and standing positions. Using differences in BP between the 3 body positions (seated minus supine, standing minus seated, and standing minus supine), we defined OH as a drop in systolic BP ≥20 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥10 mm Hg. We included measurements from baseline and follow-up visits. RESULTS: Among 4695 participants (mean age, 70.2±6.7 years; 66.9% female) with 42 636 BP measurements, OH was present in 4.9% of measures with supine-to-seated, 7.9% with seated-to-standing, and 11.4% with supine-to-standing protocols, respectively. Compared with placebo, BP treatment did not increase OH with any set of maneuvers, OR, 0.79 (95% CI, 0.65-0.95) with seated-to standing, 1.03 (95% CI, 0.86-1.24) with supine-to-seated, and 0.99 (95% CI, 0.86-1.15) with supine-to-standing. CONCLUSIONS: Regardless of protocol, active hypertension treatment did not increase the risk of OH, reinforcing evidence that OH should not be viewed as a complication of hypertension treatment. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT02088450.

Public and occupational health risks related to lead exposure updated according to present-day blood lead levels.

Lead is an environmental hazard that should be addressed worldwide. Over time, human lead exposure in the western world has decreased drastically to levels comparable to those among humans living in the preindustrial era, who were mainly exposed to natural sources of lead. To re-evaluate the potential health risks associated with present-day lead exposure, a two-pronged approach was applied. First, recently published population metrics describing the adverse health effects associated with lead exposure at the population level were critically assessed. Next, the key results of the Study for Promotion of Health in Recycling Lead (SPHERL; NCT02243904) were summarized and put in perspective with those of the published population metrics. To our knowledge, SPHERL is the first prospective study that accounted for interindividual variability between people with respect to their vulnerability to the toxic effects of lead exposure by assessing the participants' health status before and after occupational lead exposure. The overall conclusion of this comprehensive review is that mainstream ideas about the public and occupational health risks related to lead exposure urgently need to be updated because a large portion of the available literature became obsolete given the sharp decrease in exposure levels over the past 40 years.

Predictive performance and clinical application of COV50, a urinary proteomic biomarker in early COVID-19 infection: a prospective multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is a worldwide challenge. The CRIT-CoV-U pilot study generated a urinary proteomic biomarker consisting of 50 peptides (COV50), which predicted death and disease progression from SARS-CoV-2. After the interim analysis presented for the German Government, here, we aimed to analyse the full dataset to consolidate the findings and propose potential clinical applications of this biomarker. METHODS: CRIT-CoV-U was a prospective multicentre cohort study. In eight European countries (Austria, France, Germany, Greece, North Macedonia, Poland, Spain, and Sweden), 1012 adults with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 were followed up for death and progression along the 8-point WHO scale. Capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry was used for urinary proteomic profiling. Statistical methods included logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with a comparison of the area under curve (AUC) between nested models. Hospitalisation costs were derived from the care facility corresponding with the Markov chain probability of reaching WHO scores ranging from 3 to 8 and flat-rate hospitalisation costs adjusted for the gross per capita domestic product of each country. FINDINGS: From June 30 to Nov 19, 2020, 228 participants were recruited, and from April 30, 2020, to April 14, 2021, 784 participants were recruited, resulting in a total of 1012 participants. The entry WHO scores were 1-3 in 445 (44%) participants, 4-5 in 529 (52%) participants, and 6 in 38 (4%) participants; and of all participants, 119 died and 271 had disease progression. The odds ratio (OR) associated with COV50 in all 1012 participants for death was 2·44 (95% CI 2·05-2·92) unadjusted and 1·67 (1·34-2·07) when adjusted for sex, age, BMI, comorbidities, and baseline WHO score; and for disease progression, the OR was 1·79 (1·60-2·01) when unadjusted and 1·63 (1·41-1·91) when adjusted (p<0·0001 for all). The predictive accuracy of the optimised COV50 thresholds was 74·4% (71·6-77·1%) for mortality (threshold 0·47) and 67·4% (64·4-70·3%) for disease progression (threshold 0·04). When adjusted for covariables and the baseline WHO score, these thresholds improved AUCs from 0·835 to 0·853 (p=0·033) for death and from 0·697 to 0·730 (p=0·0008) for progression. Of 196 participants who received ambulatory care, 194 (99%) did not reach the 0·04 threshold. The cost reductions associated with 1 day less hospitalisation per 1000 participants were million Euro (M€) 0·887 (5-95% percentile interval 0·730-1·039) in participants at a low risk (COV50 <0·04) and M€2·098 (1·839-2·365) in participants at a high risk (COV50 ≥0·04). INTERPRETATION: The urinary proteomic COV50 marker might be predictive of adverse COVID-19 outcomes. Even in people with mild-to-moderate PCR-confirmed infections (WHO scores 1-4), the 0·04 COV50 threshold justifies earlier drug treatment, thereby potentially reducing the number of days in hospital and associated costs. FUNDING: German Federal Ministry of Health.