Predictors of 30-day mortality in patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy on admission to the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to compare the laboratory findings and disease severity scores of patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in the emergency department (ED) to predict 30-day mortality. METHOD: The patients over 18 years old and diagnosed HE in the ED of a tertiary hospital were included in the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters, predisposing causes and outcomes of the patients included in the study were recorded in the data form. Severity of liver disease was assessed by Child Pugh Score (CPS), End-stage liver disease model (MELD), MELD-Na and MELD-Lactate scores. RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-four patients diagnosed with HE were included in the study. 59.1% of the patients were male. The mean age of the patients was 65.2 ±â€…12.6 years. The mortality rate of the patients was 47.2%. When the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, which determines the predictive properties of laboratory parameters and disease severity scores, was examined, the area under curve value of the MELD-Lactate score (0.858 95% CI 0.812-0.904, P  < 0.001) was the highest. Binary logistic regression analysis for the estimation of patients' 30-day mortality showed that CPS and MELD-Lactate scores and blood ammonia and B-type natriuretic peptide levels were independent predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: According to the study data, MELD-Lactate and BNP levels in patients diagnosed with HE in the ED may help the clinician in the prediction of 30-day mortality in the early period.

Comparison of syncope risk scores in predicting the prognosis of patients presenting to the emergency department with syncope.

BACKGROUND: Various scores have been derived for the assessment of syncope patients in the emergency department (ED). AIM: We aimed to compare the effectiveness of Canadian Syncope Risk Scores (CSRS), San Francisco Syncope Rules (SFSR), and Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio (OESIL) risk scores in predicting the risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and mortality among syncope patients within 30 days of the initial ED visit. METHODS: We performed a prospective, observational case series study of adults (≥ 18 years) with unexplained syncope/near-syncope who presented to ED. Demographic characteristics of the patients and clinical and laboratory data were recorded in the standard data collection form of the study. Our primary outcome was a 30-day mortality. RESULTS: A total of 421 patients (mean age 50.9 ± 20.8, 51.5% male) were enrolled. The rate of MACE development in the 30-day follow-up of the patients was 12.8% (n = 54). While 20.2% (n = 85) of the patients were hospitalized, two of the patients died in the emergency room and the 30-day mortality was 5.5% (n = 23). CSRS was found to have the highest predictive power of mortality (AUC: 0.869, 95% CI 0.799-0.939, p < 0.001). If the cut-off value of CSRS was 0.5, the sensitivity was found to be 82.6% and the specificity was 81.9%. Also CSRS (OR: 1.402, 95% CI: 1.053-1.867, p = 0.021) was found to be an independent predictor of the 30-day mortality. CONCLUSION: The CSRS may be used as a safety risk score for a 30-day risk of MACE and mortality after discharge from the emergency department.

BUN/albumin ratio predicts short-term mortality better than SYNTAX score in ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study is to compare the prognostic power of the BUN/albumin ratio (BAR) calculated on admission to the emergency department and the SYNergy between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with TAXus (SYNTAX) score calculated after coronary angiography (CAG) in predicting 30-day mortality in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHOD AND MATERIAL: The study was conducted prospectively between March 2021 and March 2022 in the emergency department of a tertiary hospital. Patients over the age of 18 who underwent CAG with a diagnosis of STEMI were included in the study. Demographic charecteristics, comorbidities, laboratory parameters of the patients at the time of admission and SYNTAX (SX) score were recorded in the data form. RESULTS: A total of 1147 patients (77% male) diagnosed with STEMI were included in the study. When the receiver-operating characteristic analysis for SX score and laboratory parameters' power to predict mortality was examined, it was found that the AUC value of the BAR level (AUC: 0.736; 95% confidence interval: 0.670-0.802, P  < 0.001) was the highest. If the threshold value of the serum BAR level, which was determined to predict mortality, was taken as 4, the sensitivity was found to be 76.7% and the specificity was 56.9%. With multivariate logistic analysis, it was determined that the risk of mortality increased by 1.25 for each unit increase in the BAR value in STEMI patients ( P  < 0.001). CONCLUSION: According to the study data, the BAR may guide the clinician in the early period as a practical and valuable predictor of 30-day mortality in patients diagnosed with STEMI.