RESUMO
Objective: Patients with erythrodermic psoriasis (EP) are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), because of the more severe inflammation in the skin areas. This study aimed to develop a diagnostic model for the risk of CVD in EP patients based on the available features and multidimensional clinical data. Methods: A total of 298 EP patients from Beijing Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were retrospectively included in this study from May 5th, 2008, to March 3rd, 2022. Of them, 213 patients were selected as the development set by random sampling, and clinical parameters were analyzed by univariate and backward stepwise regression. Whereas the remaining 85 patients were randomly selected as the validation set. The model performance was later assessed in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. Results: In the development set, the CVD rate was 9%, which was independently correlated with age, glycated albumin (GA>17%), smoking, albumin (ALB<40 g/L), and lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)>300 mg/L). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) value was 0.83 (95% confidence interval CI, 0.73,0.93). For the validation set of EP patients, the AUC value was 0.85 (95%CI, 0.76,0.94). According to decision curve analysis, our model exhibited favorable clinical applicability. Conclusion: EP patients with age, GA>17%, smoking, ALB<40 g/L, and Lp(a)>300 mg/L are associated with a higher risk of CVD. The nomogram model performs well in predicting the probability of CVD in EP patients, which may help improve perioperative strategies and good treatment outcomes.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Psoríase , Humanos , Nomogramas , Estudos Retrospectivos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Psoríase/diagnóstico , Psoríase/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Introduction: Ferroptosis is associated with multiple pathophysiological processes. Inhibition of ferroptosis has received much concern for some diseases. Nonetheless, there is no study comprehensively illustrating functions of ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) in psoriasis. Methods: In this study, FRGs together with psoriasis-associated data were obtained in Ferroptosis Database (FerrDb) and gene expression omnibus (GEO) database separately. This work identified altogether 199 psoriasis-associated DE-FRGs, and they were tightly associated with immunity and autophagy modulation. Thereafter, the present study utilized SVM-RFE and LASSO algorithms to identify NR5A2, CISD1, GCLC, PRKAA2, TRIB2, ABCC5, ACSF2, TIMM9, DCAF7, PEBP1, and MDM2 from those 199 DE-FRGs to be marker genes. As revealed by later functional annotation, the marker genes possibly had important effects on psoriasis through being involved in diverse psoriasis pathogenesis-related pathways such as cell cycle, toll-like receptor (TLR), chemokine, and nod-like receptor (NLR) pathways. Moreover, altogether 37 drugs that targeted 11 marker genes were acquired. Besides, based on CIBERSORT analysis, alterations of immune microenvironment in psoriasis cases were possibly associated with PRKAA2, PEBP1, CISD1, and ACSF2. Discussion: Taken together, this work established the diagnostic potency and shed more lights on psoriasis-related mechanism. More investigations are warranted to validate its value in diagnosing psoriasis before it is applied in clinic.