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1.
Cancer Epidemiol ; 93: 102672, 2024 Sep 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39276728

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer disproportionately affects First Nations women in Canada but there is limited information on their participation in organized cervical cancer screening programs. METHODS: This co-led retrospective cohort study linked population-based Alberta Cervical Cancer Screening Program point of care data with First Nations identifiers. This Screening Program database includes cervical cancer screening history, screen test results, colposcopy procedure findings, and pathology results for all women in Alberta. First Nations identifiers were obtained from Alberta Health who steward these data on their behalf. Data were available from 2012 to 2018 for women 25 - 69 years of age who were age eligible to participate in cervical cancer screening. Screening participation and retention rates, and screening outcomes were compared between First Nations and non- First Nations women using descriptive statistics with trends estimated using joinpoint models. RESULTS: Age standardized screening participation and retention rates of First Nations women were lower than those for the non-First Nations women, with an average difference of 13.9 % lower for participation rates (95 % confidence interval = 12.9-14.8 %; P <.0001) and 7.2 % for retention rates (95 % confidence interval = 2.2 % to 12.72; P = 0.013). First Nations women consistently had higher percentages of high risk (high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion, atypical glandular cells, atypical squamous cells where HSIL cannot be excluded, Carcinoma in situ) abnormal cytology tests than non-First Nations women. CONCLUSION: Identifying where inequities were found in cervical cancer screening participation and retention in this study is the first step to reduce the disproportionate burden of cervical cancer for First Nations women in Canada.

2.
Endocrine ; 2024 Aug 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39117778

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Due to overdiagnosis, the incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has increased in high-income countries, including Italy. Efforts have been made to address this issue since the mid-2010s, but more information is needed about how TC incidence has changed. We aim to examine the trend in TC incidence in the Lazio Region (central Italy) and assess the impact of the 2014 Italian Consensus for the Classification and Reporting of Thyroid Cytology (ICCRTC) to identify potential changes in TC diagnosis. METHODS: To identify TC cases, we conducted a population-based study (period 2007-2019) using the data from the Lazio Region Cancer Registry (5.8 million residents). We calculated the annual age-standardized incidence rates of TC for both sexes and analyzed the impact of ICCRTC on monthly incidence rates using segmented linear regression applied to interrupted time-series (ITS). RESULTS: Throughout the 13 years, there was a significant decline in TC annual incidence rates, more pronounced in females. Our results are consistent with reports from outside Europe (United States and South Korea). Following ICCRTC implementation in 2014, a step-change reduction in both sexes was revealed. CONCLUSIONS: Our study indicates a significant decrease in the incidence of TC, particularly among females. The ITS analysis highlights the possible role of ICCRTC in reducing overdiagnosis. As the Lazio Region reflects the Italian population in terms of various demographic, health, and lifestyle indicators, our findings can be applicable at the national level.

3.
Curr Probl Cardiol ; 49(9): 102735, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38950720

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Myocarditis is increasingly recognized as a critical health issue, particularly among youth and middle-aged populations. This study aims to analyze the global burden and trends of myocarditis in these age groups to emphasize the need for region-specific prevention and treatment strategies. METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study (1990-2019), we evaluated the age-standardized rates (ASR) of myocarditis in individuals aged 10 to 54 years. We calculated average annual percentage changes (AAPC) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). Additionally, we examined the correlation between myocarditis incidence and the Human Development Index (HDI) and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Age and sex trends in myocarditis were analyzed, and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models were used to forecast prevalence trends up to 2050. RESULTS: The High-income Asia Pacific region had the highest ASR of myocarditis, while North Africa and the Middle East had the lowest. North Africa and the Middle East also experienced the fastest average annual growth in ASR, whereas High-income North America saw the most significant decline. Correlational analysis showed that countries with a high SDI exhibited higher myocarditis ASR. The burden of myocarditis was greater among males than females, with this disparity increasing with age. Projections indicate a stable trend in the incidence of myocarditis among the youth and middle-aged population up to 2050, although the total number of cases is expected to rise. CONCLUSION: Our study reveals a significant upward trend in myocarditis among youth and middle-aged populations, highlighting the urgency for early monitoring and preventative strategies.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Miocardite , Humanos , Miocardite/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Criança , Feminino , Masculino , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Incidência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Carga Global da Doença/tendências , Previsões , Prevalência , Saúde Global , Distribuição por Idade , Distribuição por Sexo
4.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1404, 2024 May 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38802850

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to analyze the trends and burden of occupational exposure to asbestos in the United States (U.S.) from 1990 to 2019, focusing on mortality rates, geographic distribution, age and sex patterns, and causes of death. METHODS: Data on the number of deaths attributable to occupational exposure to asbestos were collected from 1990 to 2019 in the U.S. Joinpoint analysis was conducted to assess trends over time, and regression models were applied to calculate annual percentage changes (APC) and annual average percentage changes (AAPC). Geographic distribution was examined using mapping techniques. Age and sex patterns were analyzed, and causes of death were identified based on available data. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the overall number of deaths due to occupational exposure to asbestos in the U.S. increased by 20.2%. However, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates (ASDR) exhibited a decline over the same period. Geographic analysis revealed differences in the number of deaths across states in 2019, with California reporting the highest number of fatalities. Age-specific mortality and DALYs showed an increase with age, peaking in older age groups. Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer were the leading causes of death attributed to asbestos exposure, with increasing trends observed over the past five years. CONCLUSION: The study highlights significant trends and burden in occupational exposure to asbestos in the U.S., including overall increases in mortality rates, declining ASMR and ASDR, geographic disparities, age and sex patterns, and shifts in causes of death. These findings underscore the importance of continued monitoring and preventive measures to mitigate the burden of asbestos-related diseases.


Assuntos
Amianto , Causas de Morte , Exposição Ocupacional , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Masculino , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Exposição Ocupacional/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Causas de Morte/tendências , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Deficiência/tendências
5.
Front Cardiovasc Med ; 11: 1367681, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38655496

RESUMO

Background: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the leading causes of death and disability worldwide. Lead exposure is an important risk factor for CVD. In our study, we aimed to estimate spatial and temporal trends in the burden of cardiovascular disease associated with chronic lead exposure. Methods: The data collected for our study were obtained from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019 and analyzed by age, sex, cause, and location. To assess the temporal trends in burden of CVD attributable to chronic lead exposure over 30 years, we used Joinpoint regression analysis. Results: In 2019, the number of lead exposure-attributable CVD deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were 0.85 and 17.73 million, 1.7 and 1.4 times more than those observed in 1990, respectively. However, the corresponding age-standardized rates (ASR) of death and DALY gradually decreased from 1990 to 2019, especially from 2013 to 2019. Over the last 30 years, among 21 GBD regions and 204 countries and territories, the High-income Asia Pacific and the Republic of Korea experienced the largest reductions in age-standardized DALY and death rates, while Central Asia and Afghanistan experienced the largest increases. Males and the elderly population suffered higher death rates and DALY burdens than females and the young population. Furthermore, we observed that higher socio-demographic index (SDI) regions demonstrated lower ASR of death and DALY rates. In 2019, the low and low-middle SDI regions, especially South Asia, exhibited the highest burden of CVD attributable to lead exposure. Conclusion: Our study provides a thorough understanding of the burden of CVD attributable to chronic lead exposure. The findings confirm the significance of implementing lead mitigation strategies and increasing investment in CVD prevention and treatment. These measures are crucial in reducing the burden of CVD and promoting public health on a global scale.

6.
BMC Musculoskelet Disord ; 25(1): 66, 2024 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38225636

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The objective of the study is to analyse the regions, age and sex differences in the incidence of knee osteoarthritis (KOA). METHODS: Data were extracted from the global burden of diseases (GBD) 2019 study, including incidence, years lived with disability (YLD), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and risk factors. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the temporal trends in age standardized rate (ASR) of KOA. Paired t-test, paired Wilcoxon signed-rank test and spearman correlation were performed to analyze the association of sex disparity in KOA and socio-demographic index (SDI). RESULTS: There were significant regional differences in the incidence of knee osteoarthritis. In 2019, South Korea had the highest incidence of knee osteoarthritis (474.85,95%UI:413.34-539.64) and Thailand had the highest increase in incidence of knee osteoarthritis (EAPC = 0.56, 95%CI = 0.54-0.58). Notably, higher incidence, YLD and DALYs of knee osteoarthritis were associated with areas with a high socio-demographic index (r = 0.336, p < 0.001; r = 0.324, p < 0.001; r = 0.324, p < 0.001). In terms of age differences, the greatest increase in the incidence of knee osteoarthritis was between the 35-39 and 40-44 age groups. (EAPC = 0.52, 95%CI = 0.40-0.63; 0.47, 95%CI = 0.36-0.58). In addition, there were significant sex differences in the disease burden of knee osteoarthritis (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of knee osteoarthritis is significantly different with regions, age and sex.


Assuntos
Osteoartrite do Joelho , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Osteoartrite do Joelho/diagnóstico , Osteoartrite do Joelho/epidemiologia , Caracteres Sexuais , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Carga Global da Doença , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Incidência , Saúde Global
7.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 31(3): 3560-3571, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38085479

RESUMO

The objective of this study was to evaluate the worldwide burden of leukemia owing to occupational exposure to formaldehyde (OEF) from 1990 to 2019. Data on leukemia due to OEF were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. By region, age, sex, and disease subtype, the numbers and age-standardized rates (ASRs) associated with deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were analyzed. Annual average percentage change (AAPC) was used to estimate disease burden trends from 1990 to 2019. To measure the risk of leukemia due to OEF, the population attributable fraction (PAF) was introduced. From 1990 to 2019, the number of deaths, DALYs, YLLs, and YLDs for leukemia caused by OEF increased by 44%, 34%, 33%, and 124%, respectively. Regarding the change in ASRs, the age-standardized YLDs (ASYLDs) rate of leukemia due to OEF, which was 38.03% (AAPC = 1.17 [95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11, 1.23]), indicated an increased trend. But the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized DALY (ASDALY) rate, and age-standardized YLL (ASYLL) rate showed decline trends, with - 11.90% (AAPC = - 0.41 [95% CI - 0.45, - 0.37]), - 14.19% (AAPC = - 0.5 [95% CI - 0.55, - 0.45]), and - 14.97% (AAPC = - 0.53 [95% CI - 0.58, - 0.48]), respectively. In terms of PAFs, there were increasing trends in PAFs of age-standardized deaths, ASDALYs, ASYLLs, and ASYLDs for leukemia caused by OEF, with 20.15% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 11.76%, 30.25%), 36.28% (95% UI 21.46%, 53.42%), 51.91% (95% UI 35.05%, 72.07%), and 36.34% (95% UI 21.58%, 53.63%), respectively. Across the socio-demographic index (SDI) regions, the leukemia burden caused by OEF was concentrated in middle and high-middle SDI regions. Besides, OEF poses a more serious risk for acute leukemia among the leukemia subtype. Globally, leukemia caused by OEF remains a public health burden. Policies must be developed to avoid the burden of leukemia caused by OEF.


Assuntos
Leucemia , Exposição Ocupacional , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Carga Global da Doença , Leucemia/induzido quimicamente , Leucemia/epidemiologia , Saúde Global
8.
J Alzheimers Dis ; 97(1): 293-307, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38043013

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Obesity significantly increases Alzheimer's disease (AD) and dementia risk. Understanding the link between a high body mass index (BMI) and these conditions is crucial for effective management and prevention. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to estimate the burden of AD and other dementias attributed to high BMI from 1990 to 2019 based on sex, age, and socio-demographic indicators (SDI) at global, regional, and national levels. METHODS: We collected data on deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), and age-standardized DALY rates (ASDR) from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study for AD and dementia attributed to high BMI. We explored the correlation between SDI levels and ASDR. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 198,476.2 deaths (95% UI: 32,695.4-593,366.4) and 3,159,912.4 DALYs (848,330.5-8,042,531) attributed to high BMI. Numbers of deaths, DALYs, ASMR, and ASDR increased since 1990. Females had higher deaths, ASMR, and ASDR than males. Mortality and DALYs rates increased with age. ASMR and ASDR increased across five SDI levels, with the highest rise in Low-middle SDI. High-income North America had the most deaths [30,993.9 (5,101.7-89,912.9)], while North Africa and the Middle East had the highest ASMR [4.61 (0.79-13.64)] and ASDR [72.56 (20.98-181.16)] in 2019. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of AD and other dementias attributed to high BMI increased since 1990 globally and is still heaviest in developed regions. Females accounted predominantly for the burden than males. Timely measures are needed to against high BMI.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Índice de Massa Corporal , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Doença de Alzheimer/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença , Obesidade , Saúde Global
9.
World J Gastroenterol ; 29(42): 5751-5767, 2023 Nov 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38075848

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is an idiopathic intestinal disease with various levels and trends in different countries and regions. Understanding the current burden and trends of IBD in various geographical locations is essential to establish effective strategies for prevention and treatment. We report the average annual percentage change (AAPC) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in age-standardized rates (ASR) of IBD in different regions based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study from 1990-2019, and the relationships between IBD and the human development index (HDI) and socio-demographic index (SDI). The prevalence trends of IBD were predicted by gender from 2019-2039. AIM: To comprehensively investigate IBD data, providing further insights into the management of this chronic disease. METHODS: We collected the information on the incidence of IBD from the GBD study from 1990-2019 to calculate the AAPC and EAPC in ASR of IBD in different regions. The relationships between IBD, HDI, and SDI were analyzed. The Nordpred and Bayesian age-period-cohort models were used to predict the prevalence trends of IBD by gender from 2019-2039, and the reliability of the results was validated. Statistics of all the data in this study were performed using R software (version 4.2.1). RESULTS: North America consistently had the highest IBD ASR, while Oceania consistently had the lowest. East Asia had the fastest average annual growth in ASR (2.54%), whereas Central Europe had the fastest decline (1.38%). Countries with a low age-standardized incidence rates in 1990 showed faster growth in IBD while there was no significant correlation in 2019. Additionally, IBD increased faster in countries with a low age-standardized death rates in 1990, whereas the opposite was true in 2019. Analysis of SDI and IBD ASR showed that countries with a high SDI generally had a higher IBD ASR. Finally, the projections showed a declining trend in the incidence of IBD from 2019-2039, but a gradual increase in the number of cases. CONCLUSION: As the global population increases and ages, early monitoring and prevention of IBD is important to reduce the disease burden, especially in countries with a high incidence of IBD.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença , Saúde Global , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Incidência
10.
Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis ; 18: 2971-2983, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38111466

RESUMO

Background: A study aimed to estimate the burden of Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) caused by occupational exposure to particulate matter, gases, and fumes in 204 countries from 1990 to 2019. Methods: Data on the deaths number, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates (ASDR) of COPD attributable to occupational particulate matter, gases, and fumes were collected from the GBD study 2019. We also investigated the association between the ASDR and SDI. Results: There were 517.7 thousand deaths [95% UI: 413.9 to 634.5] in 2019. The number of deaths increased from 1990 to 2019. The ASMR and ASDR were 6.61 (5.24 to 8.17) and 143.02 (118.56 to 168.69) in 2019, respectively, representing a 46% and 44.5% decrease since 1990. China had the highest number of deaths [200,748.4 (151,897.6 to 260,703.9)], while Nepal had the highest ASMR [39 (27.7 to 50)] and ASDR [724.5 (549 to 894.2)]. Males and females 75-79 and 80-84 years old had the highest number of COPD deaths. A negative correlation was observed when SDI > 0.4, whereas a positive correlation was found when SDI < 0.4. Conclusion: From 1990 to 2019, there was an increase in the number of deaths, but a decline in ASMR and ASDR globally. Besides, there was a heterogeneous burden of COPD attributable to occupational particulate matter, gases, and fumes across regions and countries. It is important to develop and implement strategies to prevent and reduce the burden of COPD attributable to occupational particulate matter, gases, and fumes.


Assuntos
Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/diagnóstico , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/epidemiologia , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/etiologia , Carga Global da Doença , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Gases/efeitos adversos , Saúde Global
11.
Curr Med Res Opin ; 39(8): 1127-1137, 2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37395248

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: As Asian countries transition socially and economically to higher Human Development Index (HDI) levels, cancer trends are expected to shift to those seen in the Western World. A strong correlation also exists between HDI levels and age-standardized rates (ASR) for the incidence and mortality of cancer. However, there are very few reports on the trends in Asian countries, particularly in Low and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs). In this study, we have investigated the relationship between socioeconomic developments in Asia (determined using HDI levels of countries) and cancer incidence and mortality in these nations. METHODS: The GLOBOCAN 2020 database was used to study the cancer incidence and mortality data for all cancers combined and those most commonly diagnosed in Asia. The difference in data was analyzed based on region and HDI level. Further, the predictions for cancer incidence and mortality in 2040 according to the GLOBOCAN 2020 were analyzed using the updated HDI stratification described in the UNDP 2020 report. RESULTS: Asia has the highest cancer burden compared to the other regions worldwide. Lung cancer carries the highest cancer incidence and mortality rates in the region. Inequitable distribution of cancer incidence and mortality is seen across regions and HDI levels in Asia. CONCLUSIONS: Inequalities in cancer incidence and mortality can only be expected to increase unless innovative and cost-effective interventions are urgently implemented. An effective cancer management plan is needed in Asia, particularly in LMICs, prioritizing effective cancer prevention and control measures for health systems.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Incidência , Ásia/epidemiologia
12.
Front Med (Lausanne) ; 9: 922321, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36579153

RESUMO

Background: Hand osteoarthritis (OA) is a chronic progressive disease characterized by disabling pain in the hand, with a high clinical burden. This study is designed to assess the epidemiological patterns of hand OA from 1990 to 2019 and analyze its secular trends based on sex, age, and socio-demographic index (SDI) at global, regional, and national levels. Methods: Data on the incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of hand OA were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD), and their respective age-standardized rates (ASRs) were calculated. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in ASR were calculated to assess the prevalent trends of the incidence and DALYs of hand OA over the recent three decades. The relationship between ASR and SDI was analyzed by Pearson's correlation analysis. Results: The incidence of hand OA increased from 371.30 million in 1990 to 676.02 million in 2019, increasing by 82.07%, whereas its age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) decreased, with a downward trend [EAPC = -0.34; 95% confidence interval: -0.39--0.28]. With the changes in age, the incidence of hand OA exhibited a unimodal distribution before 70 years of age, peaking at 50-54 years, while its incidence had an upward trend in the >70 years age groups. Overall, hand OA-related DALYs increased in the recent 30 years. Meanwhile, its annual age-standardized DALY rate decreased, with EAPCs of -0.35 (95% CI, -0.38 --0.32). The DALYs increased with age. In 2019, the ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate were positively associated with the SDI regions. The incidence and DALYs presented predominance in female patients. The burden of hand OA over the recent three decades displayed obvious geographical diversity. Conclusion: The incident cases of hand OA increased globally from 1990 to 2019, while the ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate decreased. However, in many countries and regions, there was a rising trend of ASR related to incidence and DALYs. In addition, the prevalence revealed geographical, sex, and age diversity. Thus, governments and medical institutions should reallocate medical resources based on the epidemiological characteristics of hand OA.

13.
Mater Today Bio ; 17: 100441, 2022 Dec 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36388462

RESUMO

Thyroid cancer, as one of the most common endocrine cancers, has seen a surge in incidence in recent years. This is most likely due to the lack of specificity and accuracy of its traditional diagnostic modalities, leading to the overdiagnosis of thyroid nodules. Although there are several treatment options available, they are limited to surgery and 131I radiation therapy that come with significant side effects and hence cannot meet the treatment needs of anaplastic thyroid carcinoma with very high malignancy. Optical imaging that utilizes optical absorption, refraction and scattering properties, not only observes the structure and function of cells, tissues, organs, or even the whole organism to assist in diagnosis, but can also be used to perform optical therapy to achieve targeted non-invasive and precise treatment of thyroid cancer. These applications of screening, diagnosis, and treatment, lend to optical imaging's promising potential within the realm of thyroid cancer surgical navigation. Over the past decade, research on optical imaging in the diagnosis and treatment of thyroid cancer has been growing year by year, but no comprehensive review on this topic has been published. Here, we review key advances in the application of optical imaging in the diagnosis and treatment of thyroid cancer and discuss the challenges and potential for clinical translation of this technology.

14.
Stat Med ; 41(11): 2052-2068, 2022 05 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35165903

RESUMO

A rate ratio (RR) is an important metric for comparing cancer risks among different subpopulations. Inference for RR becomes complicated when populations used for calculating age-standardized cancer rates involve sampling errors, a situation that arises increasingly often when sample surveys must be used to obtain the population data. We compare a few strategies of estimating the standardized RR and propose bias-corrected ratio estimators as well as the corresponding variance estimators and confidence intervals that simultaneously consider the sampling error in estimating populations and the traditional Poisson error in the occurrence of cancer case or death. Performance of the proposed methods is evaluated empirically based on simulation studies. An application to immigration disparities in cancer mortality among Hispanic Americans is discussed. Our simulation studies show that a bias-corrected RR estimator performs the best in reducing the bias without increasing the coefficient of variation; the proposed variance estimators for the RR estimators and associated confidence intervals are fairly accurate. Finding of our application study are both interesting and consistent with the common sense as well as the results of our simulation studies.


Assuntos
Viés de Seleção , Viés , Simulação por Computador , Humanos
15.
Arthritis Res Ther ; 24(1): 8, 2022 01 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34980239

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Hip osteoarthritis is a common disabling condition of the hip joint and is associated with a substantial health burden. We assessed the epidemiological patterns of hip osteoarthritis from 1990 to 2019 by sex, age, and socio-demographic index (SDI). METHODS: Age-standardized rates (ASRs) were obtained for the incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of hip osteoarthritis from 1990 to 2019 for 21 regions, encompassing a total of 204 countries and territories. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) of ASRs were calculated to evaluate the trends in the incidence and DALYs of hip osteoarthritis over these 30 years. RESULTS: Globally, from 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of hip osteoarthritis increased from 17.02 per 100,000 persons to 18.70 per 100,000 persons, with an upward trend in the EAPC of 0.32 (0.29-0.34), whereas the age-standardized DALY rate increased from 11.54 per 100,000 persons to 12.57 per 100,000 persons, with an EAPC of 0.29 (0.27-0.32). In 2019, the EAPCs of the ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate of hip osteoarthritis were positively associated with the SDI of hip osteoarthritis. In 1990 and 2019, the incidence of hip osteoarthritis was unimodally distributed across different age groups, with a peak incidence in the 60-64-year-old age group, whereas the DALYs increased with age. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and DALYs of hip osteoarthritis have been increasing globally. The EAPCs of the ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate were particularly significant in developed regions and varied across nations and regions, indicating the urgent need for governments and medical institutions to increase the awareness regarding risk factors, consequences of hip osteoarthritis.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Osteoartrite do Quadril , Saúde Global , Humanos , Incidência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteoartrite do Quadril/diagnóstico , Osteoartrite do Quadril/epidemiologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
16.
Thyroid ; 32(3): 263-272, 2022 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35018816

RESUMO

Background: The incidence of thyroid disease is generally increasing, and it is subject to major geographic variability, between and within countries. Moreover, the incidence rates and the proportion of overdiagnosis for thyroid cancer in Italy are among the highest worldwide. This study aimed to estimate population-based frequency and trends of thyroidectomies in Italy by type of surgical procedure (total/partial), indication (tumors/other conditions), sex, age, and geographical region. Materials and Methods: Age-standardized rates (ASRs) of thyroidectomies were estimated from 2001 to 2018 using the national hospital discharges database. Results: In Italy, ASRs of thyroidectomies were nearly 100 per 100,000 women in 2002-2004 and decreased to 71 per 100,000 women in 2018. No corresponding variation was shown in men (ASR 27 per 100,000 men) in the overall period. A more than twofold difference between Italian regions emerged in both sexes. The proportion of total thyroidectomies (on the sum of total and partial thyroidectomies) in the examined period increased from 78% to 86% in women and from 72% to 81% in men. Thyroidectomies for goiter and nonmalignant conditions decreased consistently throughout the period (from 81 per 100,000 women in 2002 to 49 in 2018 and from 22 to 16 per 100,000 men), while thyroidectomies for tumors increased until 2013-2014 up to 24 per 100,000 women (9 per 100,000 men) and remained essentially stable thereafter. Conclusions: The decrease in thyroidectomies for nonmalignant diseases since early 2000s in Italy may derive from the decrease of goiter prevalence, possibly as a consequence of the reduction of iodine deficiency and the adoption of conservative treatments. In a context of overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer, recent trends have suggested a decline in the diagnostic pressure with a decrease in geographic difference. Our results showed the need and also the possibility to implement more conservative surgical approaches to thyroid diseases, as recommended by international guidelines.


Assuntos
Bócio , Doenças da Glândula Tireoide , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Doenças da Glândula Tireoide/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/cirurgia , Tireoidectomia/métodos
17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35055770

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancers worldwide, and its incidence is increasing. The aim of this study was to examine the time trends in the incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer for the period of 1998-2015 for the first time in Lithuania by sex, age, subsite, and stage. METHODS: This study was based on all cases (deaths) of pancreatic cancer diagnosed between 1998 and 2015. Age-standardized incidence (mortality) rates and group-specific rates were calculated for each sex using the direct method (European Standard). TNM classification-based information reported to the cancer registry was grouped into three categories: (1) localized cancer: T1-3/N0/M0; (2) cancer with regional metastasis: any 1-3/N+/M0; (3) advanced cancer: any T/any N/M+. Joinpoint regression was used to provide annual percentage changes (APCs) and to detect points in time where statistically significant changes in the trends occurred. RESULTS: Overall, 8514 pancreatic cancer cases (4364 in men and 3150 in women) were diagnosed and 7684 persons died from cancer of the pancreas. Pancreatic cancer incidence rates were considerably lower for women than for men, with a female:male ratio of 1:2. Incidence rates changed during the study period from 14.2 in 1998 to 15.0/100,000 in the year 2015 in men, and from 6.7 to 9.8/100,000 in women. Incidence rates over the study period were stable for men (APC = 0.1%) and increasing for women by 1.1% per year. Similarly, mortality rates increased in women by 0.9% per year, and were stable in men. During the study period, incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer were close. For the entire study period, rates increased significantly in the 50-74 years age group; only cancer of the head of pancreas showed a decline by 0.9%, while tail and not-specified pancreatic cancer incidence increased by 11.4% and 4.51%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The increasing pancreatic cancer incidence trend in the Lithuanian population may be related to the prevalence of its main risk factors (smoking, obesity, physical inactivity, diet, and diabetes).


Assuntos
Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lituânia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Mortalidade , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros
18.
ORL J Otorhinolaryngol Relat Spec ; 83(4): 258-262, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34148048

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is the fourth common cancer in Malaysia. A few studies have looked into the incidence of NPC in Malaysia in general, but there has been no published data on its incidence in Sabah specifically, where NPC is very common among the population. The aim of this study is to present the first report on the incidence of NPC in the state of Sabah, Borneo. METHODS: Data of all patients diagnosed with NPC over a 5-year period from January 2015 to December 2019 inclusive were collected from the NPC registry of 3 main hospitals in Sabah. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) for different genders, ethnicities, and districts of origin were calculated. RESULTS: 215 NPC patients were identified with a mean age at diagnosis of 49 (range 9-82). The ASR of NPC was 7.9/100,000 where the average age-adjusted male-to-female ratio was 2.4. The highest ASR was found in Dusun ethnicity in both male (3.19/100,000) and female (1.69/100,000) individuals, followed by Chinese (both genders), and Kadazan (for male individuals) and Bajau (for female individuals). The highest ASR was found in patients originating from Sandakan, Kota Kinabalu, Keningau, and Tawau. CONCLUSION: This is the first report on the incidence of NPC in Sabah, Borneo. The data suggest high ASRs among the population, especially in male Dusun and Chinese ethnic groups. Further research looking into NPC in this state, especially on risk factors and ways to improve diagnosis and prevention among the population, is recommended.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas , Bornéu , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Malásia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas/epidemiologia
19.
Cancer Epidemiol ; 73: 101949, 2021 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33992881

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is a rare malignant neoplasm with poor prognosis. We aimed to report the rates and the trends of biliary tract cancer at the global level from 1990 to 2017 according to gender, age and social-demographic index (SDI). METHODS: Data on biliary tract cancer between 1990 and 2017 was acquired from the 2017 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study including the incidence, death and disability adjusted life-years (DALY). We also calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) to quantificationally describe the trend of incidence, death and DALY over time. RESULTS: Overall, the number of biliary tract cancer increased from 119,943 in 1990 to 210,878 in 2017. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) decreased continuously in this period with an EAPC of -0.56 (-0.67 to -0.45). The age-standardized death rate (ASDR) declined from 2.79 (95 % CI 2.68 - 3.14) in 1990 to 2.23 (95 % CI 1.99 - 2.38) per 100,000 persons in 2017. In terms of SDI, ASIR and ASDR were increased in low- and low-middle- SDI regions, but decreased in the other three regions, so was the age-standardized DALY rate. The ASR (Age-standardized incidence/mortality/DALY rate) varied across the world, with the highest ASIR and ASDR in Chile, and the lowest ones in Iraq. CONCLUSION: The ASIR, ASDR and age-standardized DALY rate of biliary tract cancer have decreased at the global level. However, changes in rates vary among different counties and regions, suggesting it is more reasonable to adopt targeted and specific measures to decrease the occurrence of cancer.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Sistema Biliar , Carga Global da Doença , Saúde Global , Distribuição por Idade , Neoplasias do Sistema Biliar/epidemiologia , Feminino , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Global/tendências , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino
20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33572744

RESUMO

Background: Recently, reports have suggested that rates of liver cancer have increased during the last decades in developed countries; increasing hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma rates were reported. The aim of this study was to examine time trends in incidence and mortality rates of liver cancer for the period of 1998-2015 in Lithuania by sex, age, and histology. Methods: We examined the incidence of liver cancer from 1998 to 2015 using data from the Lithuanian Cancer Registry. Age-standardized incidence rates were calculated by sex, age, and histology. Trends were analyzed using the Joinpoint Regression Program to estimate the annual percent change. Results: A total of 3086 primary liver cancer cases were diagnosed, and 2923 patients died from liver cancer. The total number of liver cancer cases changed from 132 in 1998 to 239 in 2015. Liver cancer incidence rates changed during the study period from 5.02/100,000 in 1998 to 10.54/100,000 in 2015 in men and from 2.43/100,000 in 1998 to 6.25/100,000 in 2015 in women. Annual percentage changes (APCs) in the age-standardized rates over this period were 4.5% for incidence and 3.6% for mortality. Hepatocellular cancer incidence rates were stable from 1998 to 2005 (APC -5.9, p = 0.1) and later increased by 6.7% per year (p < 0.001). Intrahepatic ductal carcinoma incidence increased by 8.9% per year throughout the study period. The rise in incidence was observed in all age groups; however, in age groups < 50 and between 70 and 79 years, observed changes were not statistically significant. For mortality, the significant point of trend change was detected in 2001, where after stable mortality, rates started to increase by 2.4% per year. Conclusions: Primary liver cancer incidence and mortality increased in both sexes in Lithuania. The rise om incidence was observed in both sexes and main histology groups. The increasing incidence trend may be related to the prevalence of main risk factors (alcohol consumption, hepatitis B and C infections. and diabetes).


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lituânia/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade , Sistema de Registros
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