CHA2DS2-VASc Score in Predicting Visual Acuity Outcomes Following Retinal Vein Occlusion.

Purpose: To find whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score, a system for stratifying stroke risk among patients with atrial fibrillation, correlates with visual acuity prognosis following retinal vein occlusion (RVO). Participants and Methods: This retrospective study included 83 eyes of 83 patients with a diagnosis of branch or central RVO between June 2017 and August 2022 with at least 12 months of follow-up in Assuta Ashdod Medical Center, Ashdod, Israel. The patients were divided into three groups, with CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 0-2 (N = 31), 3-5 (N = 45), or 6-9 (N = 7). The change in best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) between the groups was examined about 1 year after the presentation of RVO. Results: The patient mean age was 67.9 ± 13.8 years; 38.6% were women. The mean visual acuity was 0.83 ± 0.67 LogMAR units at the first admission and 0.78 ± 0.80 LogMAR units at the last visit. Patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score from 6 to 9 had a significantly poorer BCVA prognosis at 1-year (+0.60 ± 0.94 [-0.27, 1.47] LogMAR units) compared to groups with a CHA2DS2-VASc score from 3 to 5 (-0.01 ± 0.65 [-0.20, 0.19] LogMAR units) and a CHA2DS2-VASc score from 0 to 2 (-0.12 ± 0.59 [-0.33, 0.10] LogMAR units) (p = 0.038). Conclusions: Following RVO, patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 6 or higher had a worse prognosis in their visual acuity than patients with a lower score.

Usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASc Score in Predicting the Outcome in Subjects Hospitalized with COVID-19-A Subanalysis of the COLOS Study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to see if the CHA2DS2-VASc score (Cardiac failure or dysfunction, Hypertension, Age ≥ 75 [Doubled], Diabetes, Stroke [Doubled]-Vascular disease, Age 65-74 and Sex category [Female] score) could have potential clinical relevance in predicting the outcome of hospitalization time, need for ICU hospitalization, survival time, in-hospital mortality, and mortality at 3 and 6 months after discharge home. MATERIALS: A retrospective analysis of 2183 patients with COVID-19 hospitalized at the COVID-19 Centre of the University Hospital in Wroclaw, Poland, between February 2020 and June 2021, was performed. All medical records were collected as part of the COronavirus in LOwer Silesia-the COLOS registry project. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was applied for all subjects, and the patients were observed from admission to hospital until the day of discharge or death. Further information on patient deaths was prospectively collected following the 90 and 180 days after admission. The new risk stratification derived from differences in survival curves and long-term follow-up of our patients was obtained. Primary outcomes measured included in-hospital mortality and 3-month and 6-month all-cause mortality, whereas secondary outcomes included termination of hospitalization from causes other than death (home discharges/transfer to another facility or deterioration/referral to rehabilitation) and non-fatal adverse events during hospitalization. RESULTS: It was shown that gender had no effect on mortality. Significantly shorter hospitalization time was observed in the group of patients with low CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Among secondary outcomes, CHA2DS2-VASc score revealed predictive value in both genders for cardiogenic (5.79% vs. 0.69%; p < 0.0001), stroke/TIA (0.48% vs. 9.92%; p < 0.0001), acute heart failure (0.97% vs. 18.18%; p < 0.0001), pneumonia (43% vs. 63.64%; p < 0.0001), and acute renal failure (7.04% vs. 23.97%; p < 0.0001). This study points at the usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting the severity of the course of COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: Routine use of this scale in clinical practice may suggest the legitimacy of extending its application to the assessment of not only the risk of thromboembolic events in the COVID-19 cohort.

Varying Effect of AF Ablation in Patients with HFpEF according to CHA2DS2-VASc score.

BACKGROUND: The impact of comorbidity burden on outcomes of radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate how comorbidity burden influences the association between RFCA and cardiovascular outcomes in AF patients with HFpEF. METHODS: AF patients with HFpEF from the prospective China-AF cohort, recruited between August 2011 and December 2020, were categorized into two groups based CHA2DS2-VASc score: low comorbidity burden (score ≤ 4) and high comorbidity burden (score > 4). The associations between RFCA and cardiovascular outcomes and interaction effects of comorbidity burden on these associations were assessed. RESULTS: Among 1,700 patients with a median follow-up of 65.9 months, those in the low comorbidity burden group who received RFCA had a lower risk of composite events (cardiovascular death and ischemic stroke/TIA) [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.35, 95% CI, 0.21-0.59] and all-cause death [aHR: 0.31, 95% CI, 0.17-0.54] compared to those without RFCA. However, significant associations were not observed in the high comorbidity burden group. The differences between low and high comorbidity burden groups were significant, with interaction effects noted between comorbidity burden and RFCA for cardiovascular death (Pinteraction=0.045) and ischemic stroke/TIA (Pinteraction=0.010). RFCA was associated with a reduced risk of AF recurrence in both comorbidity burden groups. CONCLUSION: RFCA for AF is associated with reduced AF recurrence and improved cardiovascular outcomes in patients with HFpEF. However, these benefits may be limited for patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score > 4 (high comorbidity burden).

CHA2DS2-VASc predicts readmission, outcomes and resource utilization in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting: A 7-year National Readmission Database study.

BACKGROUND: CHA2DS2-VASc score is used to assess thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF)/atrial flutter (AFL), however its utilization to predict outcomes and readmission at following discharge in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) regardless of AF/AFL presence is understudied. We sought to assess its utility in predicting outcomes, length of hospital stay (LOS), and healthcare-associated costs (HAC) in these patients. METHOD: The National Readmission Database (NRD) was queried from 2010 to 2017 for patients with/without AF/AFL undergoing CABG using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth and Tenth editions (ICD-9-&-10). Multiple regression analysis and multivariate analysis using Cox-Hazard analysis were used to evaluate outcomes up to 90-day readmission from discharge, LOS, and HAC against CHA2DS2-VASc score (cut-off-score:6) were abstracted from the database. RESULTS: Of the 420,458 patients that underwent CABG, 76,859 (18.3 %) were re-admitted to hospital within 90-days from discharge. Statistically significant increase in 90-day all-cause readmissions were demonstrated with increasing CHA2DS2-VASc score [No AF/AFL vs AF/AFL: score-0 (2.4 % vs1.4 %), score-6 (3.1 % vs 4.5 %, p-value<0.0001]. Similar trends were seen in re-admissions for TIA/Stroke and heart failure. The survival rate for all events were lower with incremental increase in CHA2DS2-VASc score (score-0 = 100 %; score-6 = 73 %, p-value<0.0001). Greater LOS and HAC was associated with increasing higher CHA2DS2-VASc score (standardized-beta[ß]; no AF/AFL vs AF/AFL: LOS = score-1: 0.08 vs 0.06, score-6: 0.12 vs 0.13. HAC = score-1: 0.02 vs 0.009, score-6: 0.02 vs 0.01, p-value <0.001). CONCLUSION: CHA2DS2-VASc score is an easy-to-use tool that predicts poorer outcomes, higher readmission, longer LOS, higher HAC, not just in patients with AF/AFL undergoing CABG, but also in those without AF/AFL.

Comparative analysis of recurrence predictors and outcomes for atrial tachyarrhythmia following atrial fibrillation ablation: high-power short-duration vs. conventional pulmonary vein isolation.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia, with structural and electrical remodeling being significant risk factors for recurrence post-catheter ablation. The advent of high-power short-duration pulmonary vein isolation (HPSD-PVI) presents a novel approach, potentially enhancing procedural success rates through the creation of transmural lesions without overheating. This study investigates the predictors of atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA) recurrence and compares outcomes between HPSD-PVI and conventional PVI techniques. A total of 1005 patients undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFA) for AF were retrospectively analyzed in this study. The cohort was divided based on the ablation strategy: conventional PVI from February 2013 to September 2018, and HPSD-PVI from October 2018 onwards. The primary objective was to compare the predictors of ATA recurrence and the outcome between the two groups. Among 969 patients analyzed after exclusions, independent predictors of recurrence differed between groups; higher CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc scores and lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) were significant in the HPSD-PVI group, while non-paroxysmal AF, larger left atrial volume index (LAVI), and longer AF history were predictors in the conventional PVI group. The HPSD-PVI group showed a trend toward lower ATA recurrence rates compared to the conventional PVI group in the propensity-score-matched (PSM) cohort (log-rank test, p = 0.06). Higher CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc scores and lower LVEF were also independent predictors of ATA recurrence in the PSM cohort.

Clinical outcomes, management, healthcare resource utilization, and cost according to the CHA2DS2-VASc scores in Asian patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis among non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients with different CHA2DS2-VASc scores in the contemporary Asian population remains unclear. Additionally, there is a lack of research examining the disparities in management patterns, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU), and cost among these patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: This retrospective cohort study assessed patients diagnosed with NVAF between January 2018 and July 2022. Patients were stratified into 3 cohorts by CHA2DS2-VASc scores: low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk. One-year incidence rates and cumulative incidence of clinical outcomes (including ischemic stroke [IS], transient ischemic attack [TIA], arterial embolism [AE], and major bleeding [MB]) were calculated. Management patterns, HCRU, and cost were analyzed descriptively. Among 419,490 NVAF patients (mean age: 75.2 years, 45.1 % female), 16,541 (3.9 %) were classified as low-risk, 38,494 (9.2 %) as intermediate-risk, and 364,455 (86.9 %) as high-risk. The one-year incidence rates for IS, TIA, AE, and MB were 12.4 (95 % CI, 12.3-12.5), 1.1 (95 % CI, 1.0-1.1), 0.5 (95 % CI, 0.5-0.5), and 3.1 per 100 person-years (95 % CI, 3.1-3.2), with an increasing trend from the low-risk to the high-risk group, respectively. During follow-up, 16.4 % and 11.1 % of patients in the low-risk and high-risk cohorts received oral anticoagulants (OACs), respectively. In addition, significant differences in HCRU and cost were observed in these three cohorts. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that contemporary Asian NVAF patients with higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores experience higher incidence of adverse outcomes and increased hospital resource consumption. Additionally, suboptimal management was present across all CHA2DS2-VASc score groups.

CHA2DS2-VASc Score as Predictor of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation and Mortality in Critical COVID-19 Patients.

BACKGROUND: Pre-existing and new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common arrhythmia in COVID-19 patients and is related to increased mortality. CHA2DS2-VASc score was initially developed to evaluate thromboembolic risk in patients with AF. Moreover, it predicted adverse outcomes in other clinical conditions, including SARS-CoV-2 infection. We aimed to evaluate the association of CHA2DS2-VASc with NOAF, ICU length of stay (LOS) and mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients. We also examined the relationship of NOAF with mortality. We reviewed the literature to describe the link between cardiovascular risk factors and inflammatory response of severe COVID-19. METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively studied 163 COVID-19 patients admitted to a level 3 general ICU from March 2020 to April 2022. Patients were of advanced age (median 64 years, IQR 56.5-71) and the majority of them were male (67.5%). Regarding NOAF, we excluded 12 patients with AF history. In this group, CHA2DS2VASc score was significantly elevated (3 IQR (1-4) versus 1 IQR (1-2.75), p = 0.003). Specifically, three components of CHA2DS2VASc were notably increased: age (p < 0.001), arterial hypertension (p = 0.042) and stroke (p = 0.047). ICU mortality was raised in the NOAF group [75.8% versus 34.8%, p < 0.001 OR 5.87, 95% CI (2.43, 14.17)]. This was significant even after adjusting for ICU clinical scores (APACHE II and SOFA). About mortality in the entire sample, survivors were younger (p = 0.001). Non-survivors had greater APACHE II (p = 0.04) and SOFA (p = 0.033) scores. CHA2DS2VASc score was positively associated with mortality [p = 0.031, OR 1.28, 95% CI (1.03, 1.6)]. ICU length of stay was associated with mortality (p = 0.016) but not with CHA2DS2VASc score (p = 0.842). CONCLUSIONS: NOAF and CHA2DS2VASc score were associated with higher mortality in COVID-19 ICU patients. CHA2DS2VASc score was also associated with NOAF but not with ICU LOS.

Novel insight into neurofilament light chain and rhythm outcomes after catheter ablation of new-onset atrial fibrillation: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an age-related disorder closely linked to autonomic nervous system dysfunction. Neurofilament light chain (NFL) protein is a biomarker for neurodegenerative diseases. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of NFL in forecasting AF recurrence after ablation. METHODS: Patients newly diagnosed with AF who underwent catheter ablation were included. Serum NFL levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The primary outcome was AF recurrence during follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 215 consecutive patients were enrolled, with average follow-up period of 10.69 months. During this period, 29 patients experienced AF recurrence. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that high NFL levels (≥300 pg/mL) were an independent predictor of recurrence risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3.756; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.392-10.136). The associations between NFL levels and AF recurrence were consistent across subgroups defined by age (>65 years), gender, hypertension, and paroxysmal AF. Restricted cubic spline analysis showed a consistent linear relationship across the entire range of NFL levels. Furthermore, incorporating NFL into the CHA2DS2-VASc score model significantly improved the prediction of recurrent AF risk, as demonstrated by time-dependent area under the curve and decision curve analysis. Notable enhancements were also observed in terms of net reclassification improvement (HR 0.464; 95% CI 0.226-0.675; P <.05) and integrated discrimination improvement (HR 0.087; 95% CI 0.017-0.183; P = .08). CONCLUSION: NFL may serve as an effective biomarker for risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making in patients with new-onset AF who have undergone catheter ablation.

Anticoagulation in Patients With Device-Detected Atrial Fibrillation With and Without a Prior Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: The NOAH-AFNET 6 Trial.

BACKGROUND: Short and rare episodes of atrial fibrillation (AF) are commonly detected using implanted devices (device-detected AF) in patients with prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). The effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulation in patients with prior stroke or TIA and device-detected AF but with no ECG-documented AF is unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prespecified analysis of the NOAH-AFNET 6 (Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Atrial High Rate Episodes) trial with post hoc elements assessed the effect of oral anticoagulation in patients with device-detected AF with and without a prior stroke or TIA in the randomized, double-blind, double-dummy NOAH-AFNET 6 trial. Outcomes were stroke, systemic embolism, and cardiovascular death (primary outcome) and major bleeding and death (safety outcome). A prior stroke or TIA was found in 253 patients with device-detected AF randomized in the NOAH-AFNET 6 (mean age, 78 years; 36.4% women). There was no treatment interaction with prior stroke or TIA for any of the primary and secondary time-to-event outcomes. In patients with a prior stroke or TIA, 14 out of 122 patients experienced a primary outcome event with anticoagulation (5.7% per patient-year). Without anticoagulation, there were 16 out of 131 patients with an event (6.3% per patient-year). The rate of stroke was lower than expected (anticoagulation: 4 out of 122 [1.6% per patient-year]; no anticoagulation: 6 out of 131 [2.3% per patient-year]). Numerically, there were more major bleeding events with anticoagulation in patients with prior stroke or TIA (8 out of 122 patients) than without anticoagulation (2 out of 131 patients). CONCLUSIONS: Anticoagulation appears to have ambiguous effects in patients with device-detected AF and a prior stroke or TIA in this hypothesis-generating analysis of the NOAH-AFNET 6 in the absence of ECG-documented AF, partially due to a low rate of stroke without anticoagulation.

Relationship Between CHA2DS2-VASc Score on Admission and In-Hospital Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients Diagnosed With ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction.

The CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes mellitus, stroke, vascular disease, sex) scoring system, which includes conventional risk factors of coronary artery disease, was originally created to quantify the risk of thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation. This study evaluated the usefulness of this score to predict adverse outcomes in STEMI (ST-elevation myocardial infarction) patients without atrial fibrillation. Primary end points were identified as MACE (major adverse cardiovascular events) which included in-hospital death or cerebrovascular accident. MACE rate was 10% (193 patients). The CHA2DS2-VASc score was an independent predictor of MACE (95% CI, 2.31 [1.37-3.9]; P = .0016). Other independent predictors of MACE included heart rate (95% CI, 1.56 [0.97-2.50]; P = .0242), admission Killip class (95% CI, 24.19 [10.74-54.46]; P < .0001), admission creatinine level (95% CI, 1.54 [1.10-2.16]; P = .0024), peak CK-MB level (95% CI, 1.63 [0.98-2.70]; P = .0001), and no-reflow (95% CI, 2.45 [1.25-4.80]; P = .0085). A nomogram was developed to estimate the risk of in-hospital adverse outcomes for STEMI patients. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was an independent predictor of MACE in STEMI patients. Linear analysis of CHA2DS2-VASc score without dichotomization was the main difference of this study from others.

R2-CHA2DS2-VASc Score for Cardiovascular Event Prediction After Bioprosthetic Valve Replacement　- Subanalysis From the BPV-AF Registry.

Background: There are few studies evaluating the prognostic prediction method in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients after bioprosthetic valve (BPV) replacement. The R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score is increasingly used for the prediction of cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with AF, device implantation, and acute coronary syndrome. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score for future CV events in AF patients after BPV replacement. Methods and Results: The BPV-AF, an observational, multicenter, prospective registry, enrolled AF patients who underwent BPV replacement. The primary outcome measure was a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, CV events including heart failure requiring hospitalization, and cardiac death. A total of 766 patients was included in the analysis. The mean R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score was 5.7±1.8. Low (scores 0-1), moderate (scores 2-4), and high (scores 5-11) R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score groups consisted of 12 (1.6%), 178 (23.2%), and 576 (75.2%) patients, respectively. The median follow-up period was 491 (interquartile range 393-561) days. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a higher incidence of the composite CV events in the high R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score group (log rank test; P<0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that the R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score as a continuous variable was an independent predictor of composite CV outcomes (hazard ratio 1.36; 95% confidence interval 1.18-1.55; P<0.001). Conclusions: The R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score is useful for CV risk stratification in AF patients after BPV replacement.

Use of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio to Predict In-Hospital Mortality in Patients Admitted with Acute Decompensation of Atrial Fibrillation.

Background/Objectives: The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) has been on the rise over the last 20 years. It is considered to be the most common cardiac arrhythmia and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The need for in-hospital management of patients having AF is increasing. Acute decompensation of cardiac rhythm is an indication for hospital admission. In the existing literature, several studies on different pathologies have observed that the risk of death was greater for patients with an increased neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and suggested that the NLR can be a useful biomarker to predict in-hospital mortality. This study aims to evaluate the link between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio at admission and death among the patients admitted to the medical ward for the acute manifestation of AF, and to gain a better understanding of how we can predict in-hospital all-cause death based on the NLR for these patients. Methods: A single-center retrospective study in an academic medical clinic was conducted. We analyzed if the NLR at in-hospital admission can be related to in-hospital mortality among the patients admitted for AF at the Medical Ward of Municipal Emergency University Hospital Timisoara between 2015 and 2016. After identifying a total of 1111 patients, we divided them into two groups: in-hospital death patients and surviving patients. We analyzed the NLR in both groups to determine if it is related to in-hospital mortality or not. One patient was excluded because of missing data. Results: Our analysis showed that patients who died during in-hospital admission had a significantly higher NLR compared to those who survived (p < 0.0001, 95% CI (1.54 to 3.48)). The NLR was found to be an independent predictor of in-hospital death among patients with AF, even for the patients with no raised level of blood leukocytes (p < 0.0001, 95% CI (0.6174 to 3.0440)). Additionally, there was a significant correlation between the NLR and the risk of in-hospital death for patients admitted with decompensated AF (p < 0.0001), with an area under the ROC curve of 0.745. Other factors can increase the risk of death for these patients (such as the personal history of stroke, HAS-BLED score, and age). Conclusions: The NLR is a useful biomarker to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with AF and can predict the risk of death with a sensitivity of 72.8% and a specificity of 70.4%. Further studies are needed to determine the clinical utility of the NLR in risk stratification and management of patients with AF.

The Usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASc Score to Predict Outcomes in Patients with Infective Endocarditis.

Introduction: Despite diagnostic and therapeutic advances, infective endocarditis (IE) is still associated with high mortality rates. Currently, there are no good prognostic tools for the risk assessment of patients with IE. The CHA2DS2-VASc score, used to estimate the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), has been shown to be a powerful predictor of stroke and death in patients without known AF associated with other cardiovascular conditions. Objective: We aimed to evaluate the usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASc score as a prognostic tool in a population of patients with IE. Methods: The Rabin Medical Center Endocarditis Team (RMCET) registry is a retrospective cohort of all patients evaluated at our center due to acute or sub-acute bacterial endocarditis. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was extracted for all patients. All-cause mortality was depicted for all patients. Results: The cohort included 330 patients with a mean age of 65.2 ± 14.7 years (70% men). During a median follow-up of 24 months [IQR 4.7-48.6], 121 (36.7%) patients died. The median CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3, and any score above 2 was associated with increased overall mortality (50.8% vs. 19.9%, p < 0.001). A multivariate model incorporating important confounders not included in the CHA2DS2-VASc model showed consistent results with a risk increase of 121% for the higher CHA2DS2-VASc score groups (HR 2.21 [CI 1.12-4.39], p = 0.023). Conclusions: IE currently has no good risk stratification models for clinical practice. The CHA2DS2-VASc score might serve as a simple and available tool to stratify risk among patients with IE.

Comparing CHA2DS2-VA and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for stroke risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation: a temporal trends analysis from the retrospective Finnish AntiCoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation (FinACAF) cohort.

Background: Contemporary data have shown a decrease in the ischaemic stroke risk associated with female sex in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We evaluated temporal trends in the predictive value of a non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc risk score (ie. CHA2DS2-VA). Methods: The FinACAF study covers all patients with incident AF between 2007 and 2018 in Finland from all levels of care. The CHA2DS2-VA score was compared with the CHA2DS2-VASc using continuous and category-based net reclassification indices (NRIs), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), c-statistics and decision curve analyses. Findings: We identified 144,879 anticoagulant naïve patients with new-onset AF between 2007 and 2018 (49.9% women; mean age 72.1 years), of whom 3936 (2.7%) experienced ischaemic stroke during one-year follow-up. Based on both continuous and category-based NRIs, the CHA2DS2-VA score was inferior to the CHA2DS2-VASc in the early years (-0.333 (95% CI -0.411 to -0.261) and -0.118 (95% CI -0.137 to -0.099), respectively). However, the differences attenuated over time, and by the end of the study period, the continuous NRI became non-significant (-0.093 (95% CI -0.165 to 0.032)), whereas the category-based NRI reversed in favor of the CHA2DS2-VA (0.070 (95% CI 0.048-0.087)). The IDI was non-significant in early years (0.0009 (95% CI -0.0024 to 0.0037)), but over time became statistically significant in favor of the CHA2DS2-VA score (0.0022 (95% CI 0.0001-0.0044)). The Cox models fitted with the CHA2DS2-VA and the CHA2DS2-VASc scores exhibited comparable discriminative capability in the beginning of the study (p-value 0.63), but over time marginal differences in favor of the CHA2DS2-VA score emerged (p-value 0.0002). Interpretation: In 2007-2008 (when females had higher AF-related stroke risks than males), the CHA2DS2-VASc score outperformed the CHA2DS2-VA score, but the initial differences between the scores attenuated over time. By the end of the study period in 2017-2018 (with limited/no sex differences in AF-related stroke), there was marginal superiority for the CHA2DS2-VA score. Funding: This work was supported by the Aarne Koskelo Foundation, The Finnish Foundation for Cardiovascular Research, The Finnish State Research funding, and Helsinki and Uusimaa Hospital District research fund.

Association between R2CHA2DS2-VASc score and three-vessel coronary artery disease in a large population at high cardiovascular risk.

Coronary artery disease (CAD), particularly three-vessel coronary disease (3VD), is the main cause of death in industrialized countries. Chronic kidney disease is an independent risk factor for CAD. The CHA2DS2-VASc score shows a good ability to predict CV events in high-risk population independently from atrial fibrillation. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the association between the R2CHA2DS2-VASc score and 3VD in a population of patients at high cardiovascular risk. Monocentric prospective study evaluated 1017 patients undergoing coronary angiography. The R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was obtained by adding 2 points to the CHA2DS2-VASc score in case of eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2. Coronary lesions causing ≥ 50% reduction of a major epicardial vessel diameter were considered significant. Patients were grouped based on R2CHA2DS2-VASc tertiles and according to the severity of CAD: 3VD vs No-3VD. The 3VD group showed significantly higher R2CHA2DS2-VASc score than the No-3VD group (4.20 ± 2.18 vs 3.36 ± 2.06, p < 0.001). The risk of 3VD increased by 21% for every 1-point increase in the score (OR 1.21; 95% CI 1.13-1.28, p < 0.001). The prevalence of 3VD was higher among patients belonging to higher tertiles of R2CHA2DS2-VASc (17.2% vs 26.7% vs 33.6% for first, second, and third tertile respectively, p < 0.001) with a risk more than doubled for the third tertile compared to the first one (OR 2.45; 95% CI 1.71-3.49, p < 0.001). The R2CHA2DS2-VASc score is independently associated with 3VD in patients at high cardiovascular risk. The score could be considered a useful tool for clinicians to identify patients who are at high risk of 3VD.

Apixaban vs Aspirin According to CHA2DS2-VASc Score in Subclinical Atrial Fibrillation: Insights From ARTESiA.

BACKGROUND: ARTESiA (Apixaban for the Reduction of Thrombo-Embolism in Patients With Device-Detected Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation) demonstrated that apixaban, compared with aspirin, significantly reduced stroke and systemic embolism (SE) but increased major bleeding in patients with subclinical atrial fibrillation. OBJECTIVES: To help inform decision making, the authors evaluated the efficacy and safety of apixaban according to baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score. METHODS: We performed a subgroup analysis according to baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score and assessed both the relative and absolute differences in stroke/SE and major bleeding. RESULTS: Baseline CHA2DS2-VASc scores were <4 in 1,578 (39.4%) patients, 4 in 1,349 (33.6%), and >4 in 1,085 (27.0%). For patients with CHA2DS2-VASc >4, the rate of stroke was 0.98%/year with apixaban and 2.25%/year with aspirin; compared with aspirin, apixaban prevented 1.28 (95% CI: 0.43-2.12) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.68 (95% CI: -0.23 to 1.57) major bleeds. For CHA2DS2-VASc <4, the stroke/SE rate was 0.85%/year with apixaban and 0.97%/year with aspirin. Apixaban prevented 0.12 (95% CI: -0.38 to 0.62) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.33 (95% CI: -0.27 to 0.92) major bleeds. For patients with CHA2DS2-VASc =4, apixaban prevented 0.32 (95% CI: -0.16 to 0.79) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.28 (95% CI: -0.30 to 0.86) major bleeds. CONCLUSIONS: One in 4 patients in ARTESiA with subclinical atrial fibrillation had a CHA2DS2-VASc score >4 and a stroke/SE risk of 2.2% per year. For these patients, the benefits of treatment with apixaban in preventing stroke/SE are greater than the risks. The opposite is true for patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score <4. A substantial intermediate group (CHA2DS2-VASc =4) exists in which patient preferences will inform treatment decisions. (Apixaban for the Reduction of Thrombo-Embolism in Patients With Device-Detected Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation; NCT01938248).

Comparison of warfarin, rivaroxaban, and dabigatran for effectiveness and safety in atrial fibrillation patients with different CHA2DS2-VASc scores: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This retrospective cohort study aims to compare the effectiveness and safety of warfarin, rivaroxaban, and dabigatran in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with different CHA2DS2-VASc scores in northern China. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed to evaluate anticoagulation in AF patients at the second affiliated hospital of Harbin Medical University from September 2018 to August 2019. Patients included in this study (n = 806) received warfarin (n = 300), or rivaroxaban (n = 203), or dabigatran (n = 303). Baseline characteristics and follow-up data including adherence, bleeding events and ischemic stroke (IS) events were collected. RESULTS: Patients receiving rivaroxaban (73.9%) or dabigatran (73.6%) showed better adherence than those receiving warfarin (56.7%). Compared with warfarin-treated patients, dabigatran-treated patients had lower incidence of bleeding events (10.9% vs 19.3%, χ2 = 8.385, P = 0.004) and rivaroxaban-treated patients had lower incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (7.4% vs 13.7%, χ2 = 4.822, P = 0.028). We classified patients into three groups based on CHA2DS2-VASc score (0-1, 2-3, ≥ 4). In dabigatran intervention, incidence of bleeding events was higher in patients with score 0-1 (20.0%) than those with score 2-3 (7.9%, χ2 = 5.772, P = 0.016) or score ≥ 4 (8.6%, χ2 = 4.682, P = 0.030). Patients with score 0-1 in warfarin or rivaroxaban therapy had a similar but not significant increase of bleeding compared with patients with score 2-3 or score ≥ 4, respectively. During the follow-up, 33 of 806 patients experienced IS and more than half (19, 57.6%) were patients with score ≥ 4. Comparing patients with score 0-1 and 2-3, the latter had an significant reduction of IS in patients prescribed warfarin and non-significant reduction in rivaroxaban and dabigatran therapy. CONCLUSION: Compared with warfarin therapy, patients with different CHA2DS2-VASc scores receiving either rivaroxaban or dabigatran were associated with higher persistence. AF patients with score ≥ 4 were more likely to experience IS events while hemorrhagic tendency preferred patients with low score 0-1.

The predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score on the prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation based on a prospective cohort study.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia encountered in clinical practice, and it is associated with an increased risk of mortality, stroke, and peripheral embolism. The risk of stroke in AF is heterogeneous and dependent on underlying clinical conditions included in current risk stratification schemes. Recently, the CHA2DS2-VASc score has been incorporated into guidelines to encompass common stroke risk factors observed in routine clinical practice. The aim of this study was to study the predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score on the prognosis of patients with AF to determine the correlation of major complications including cerebral infarction and intracranial hemorrhage in patients with AF with oral anticoagulant and antiplatelet aggregation drugs and to identify the risk factors for all-cause mortality. Methods: A prospective study was conducted on 181 patients with AF who underwent physical examinations at Hai'an Qutang Central Hospital from January 2020 to December 2020. The patient's general condition, chronic disease history, CHA2DS2-VASc [congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years (doubled), diabetes, stroke (doubled), vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and sex category (female)] score, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), lipid metabolism, and oral anticoagulant and antiplatelet aggregation medication during physical examination were recorded. By using telephone meetings to complete the follow-up, we tracked the patient's cerebral infarction, intracranial hemorrhage, and survival status within 2 years of follow-up, statistically analyzed the relationship between AF complications and medication, and grouped patients with AF based on the CHA2DS2-VASc score to evaluate its predictive ability for mortality outcomes in these patients. Results: The patients were divided into four groups according to the medication situation, and the incidence of cerebral infarction in the combination group was significantly lower than that in the non-medication group (0.0% vs. 19.2%; P<0.01). The incidence of intracranial hemorrhage in the combination group was significantly higher than that in the non-drug group (13.8% vs. 0.0%; P<0.01). The logistic regression model indicated that patients with a history of cerebral infarction had an increased risk of death compared to those without a history of cerebral infarction [odds ratio (OR) =7.404; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.255-24.309]. After grouping according to the CHA2DS2-VASc score, we found that there was a significant difference in the 2-year survival rate between patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score <5 and those with a score ≥5 (P<0.01). The characteristic curve analysis of the participants showed that the CHA2DS2-VASc score had good predictive ability for all-cause mortality in patients with AF (area under the curve =0.754), with a cutoff value of 4, a sensitivity of 62.50%, a specificity of 86.06%, and a 95% CI of 0.684-0.815. Conclusions: The CHA2DS2-VASc score demonstrated high predictive value for all-cause mortality in patients with AF.

Efficacy of CHA2DS2-VASc scores in predicting chronic kidney disease risk in patients treated in cardiac intensive care units.

The CHA2DS2 -VASc score is a vital clinical tool for evaluating thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study investigated the efficacy of the CHA2DS2 -VASc score in a cohort of 737 heterogeneous patients (mean age: 63 years) receiving care in cardiac intensive care units (CICUs), with a creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 upon admission and discharge. Incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) was defined as the emergence of a new-onset eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m2, accompanied by a decline of >5 mL/min/1.73 m2 compared to that at discharge. The primary endpoint was the incidence of CKD, and the secondary endpoints included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and progression to end-stage kidney disease. In this cohort, 210 (28 %) patients developed CKD. Multivariate analyses revealed that CHA2DS2 -VASc score was a significant independent predictor of incident CKD, regardless of the presence of AF. Integration of CHA2DS2 -VASc scores with eGFR enhanced the predictive accuracy of incident CKD, as evidenced by the improved C-index, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement values (all p < 0.05). Over the 12-month follow-up period, a composite endpoint was observed in 61 patients (8.3 %), with elevated CHA2DS2 -VASc scores being independently associated with this endpoint. In conclusion, CHA2DS2-VASc scores have emerged as robust predictors of both CKD incidence and adverse outcomes. Their inclusion substantially refined the 12-month risk stratification of patients with preserved renal function hospitalized in the CICUs.

Assessing adherence to treatment guidelines and complications among atrial fibrillation patients in the United Arab Emirates.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF), a potential trigger for stroke development, is considered a modifiable condition that can halt complications, decrease mortality, and prevent morbidity. The CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores are categorized as risk assessment tools used to estimate the risk of thrombosis development and assess major bleeding among atrial fibrillation patients. Objectives: Our study aims to assess the adherence to post-discharge treatment recommendations according to CHA2DS2-VASc score risk group and evaluate the impact of CHA2DS2-VASc score and HAS-BLED score risk categories on death, length of hospital stay, complications, and hospital readmission among United Arab Emirates (UAE) patients. Methods: This was a multicenter retrospective study conducted from November 2022 to April 2023 in the United Arab Emirates. Medical charts for AF patients were assessed for possible enrolment in the study. Results: A total number of 400 patients were included with a mean age of 55 (±14.5) years. The majority were females (67.8%), and most had high CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores (60% and 57.3%, respectively). Our study showed that adherence to treatment recommendations upon discharge was 71.8%. The bivariate analysis showed that patients with a high CHA2DS2-VASc score had a significantly higher risk of death (p-value of 0.001), hospital readmission (p-value of 0.007), and complications (p-value of 0.044) vs. the low and moderate risk group with a p-value of <0.05. Furthermore, our findings showed that the risk of death (0.001), complications (0.057), and mean hospital stay (0.003) were significantly higher in the high HAS-BLED risk score compared to both the low- and moderate-risk categories. Hospital stay was significantly higher in CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED high-risk score categories compared to the low-risk score category with a p-value of <0.001. Conclusion: Our study concluded that the adherence to treatment guidelines in atrial fibrillation patients was high and showed that patients received the most effective and patient-centered treatment. In addition, our study concluded that the risk of complications and mortality was higher in high-risk category patients.