Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) in solid organ transplant recipients - Results from the scientific registry of transplant recipients (SRTR) database.

BACKGROUND: Solid organ transplant recipients have an elevated risk of cancer following organ transplantation than the age-adjusted general population. We assessed incidence of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) in heart, lung, and liver recipients. BASIC PROCEDURES/METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 124,966 patients from the United States Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) database who received heart, lung, or liver transplantation between 1991 and 2010. Follow-up data were available until 2018. Patients with prevalent HNSCC at transplantation were excluded. Incident cases of HNSCC post organ transplantation were identified, and incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years) were reported by gender, race, organ type, year and age at organ transplantation. MAIN FINDINGS: The majority of patients received liver transplantation (58.64 %), followed by heart (28.64 %), and lung (12.72 %) transplantation. During follow-up, 4.14 % patients developed HNSCC. Overall incidence rate of HNSCC was 426.76 per 100,000 person-years. Male recipients had a higher HNSCC incidence rate than female recipients (571.8 and 177.0 per 100,000 person-years, respectively). Lung recipients had the highest overall HNSCC incidence rate (1273.6 per 100,000 person-years), followed by heart (644.2 per 100,000 person-years), and liver recipients (207.1 per 100,000 person-years). Overall, an increase in HNSCC incidence rate was observed with increase in age at organ transplantation. An increase in incidence rates of HNSCC over time was observed in lung recipients; however, incidence rates decreased over time in heart recipients. CONCLUSION: Solid organ transplant recipients have a high incidence of HNSCC following organ transplantation, and the incidence varies by type of organ received.

The impact of meteorological factors on the incidence of infantile atopic dermatitis.

BACKGROUND: The role of the climate regarding atopic dermatitis (AD) in infants is still unclear. This study aimed to determine the relationship between meteorological conditions and the incidence of early AD. METHODS: The study was conducted using a retrospective design. We analyzed children aged 0-24 months with clinically diagnosed AD (n = 603), including infantile eczema (IE, n = 292), in relation to the mean monthly meteorological data in Minsk. The Mantel-Haenszel method was used to study the association between an AD outcome and meteorological variables, stratifying by potential confounders. Seasons of birth were analyzed in children diagnosed with AD before 6 months of age (n = 567) and at 12 months of age (n = 350) from 2005 to 2019. RESULTS: The incidence rate of IE was negatively associated with air temperature (adjusted incidence rate ratio = 0.75; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.59-0.94), precipitation (0.74; 95% CI 0.58-0.93), and positively associated with atmospheric pressure (1.31; 95% CI 1.04-1.66). The highest incidence rate of IE was during spring, and the lowest was during summer. Incidences of AD were less frequent among infants born in the spring (18.1% vs. 29.4%, P < 0.001) than among older children. The principal component analysis identified three meteorological combinations where the first one (warm, low humidity) was negatively associated with the incidence rate of AD among children aged 0-24 months (0.77; 95% CI 0.65-0.92), and the third one (rainy, low atmospheric pressure) with IE (0.70; 95% CI 0.54-0.90). CONCLUSION: Continental seasonal cold-humid weather may influence early AD incidence. Moreover, short-term meteorological factors may play an important role in the onset of IE.

Trends in multiple myeloma incidence, prevalence, mortality, and survival rate in South Korea: a nationwide population-based study.

This is the first study presenting the overall descriptive epidemiology of multiple myeloma (MM), including incidence, mortality rate, and prevalence, in South Korea between 2010 and 2018 based on nationwide medical insurance coverage and mortality statistics data. The incidence of MM between 2010 and 2018 was obtained from nationwide medical claims data, and mortality data were obtained from the Korea National Statistical Office. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and mortality rate (ASMR) and one- and five-year survival rates of patients with MM each year were estimated. There were 10,835 patients with MM aged ≥ 20 years in South Korea between 2010 and 2018. The ASIR was 2.42/100,000 in 2010 and increased to 2.71/100,000 in 2018, with an annual percent change (APC) of 1.86% (95% CI = 0.74-2.99%, P = 0.005). While this trend was significant in women, it was not statistically significant in men. The ASMR did not significantly change over time. Furthermore, the median survival time of patients with MM diagnosed between 2010 and 2018 was 3.36 years. Notably, the one-year survival rate of patients was increased from 65.3% in 2010 to 76.2% in 2017. Finally, the proportion of patients with MM who received novel therapeutic agents, such as proteasome inhibitors or immunomodulatory drugs, as first-line treatment increased from 37.7% in 2010 to 97.8% in 2018. The ASIR and prevalence of MM in South Korea increased between 2010 and 2018, especially in women and the survival rate of patients with MM has increased.

Handling Missing Data in COVID-19 Incidence Estimation: Secondary Data Analysis.

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed significant challenges in disease forecasting and in developing a public health response, emphasizing the need to manage missing data from various sources in making accurate forecasts. Objective: We aimed to show how handling missing data can affect estimates of the COVID-19 incidence rate (CIR) in different pandemic situations. Methods: This study used data from the COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 surveillance system at the National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Vietnam. We separated the available data set into 3 distinct periods: zero COVID-19, transition, and new normal. We randomly removed 5% to 30% of data that were missing completely at random, with a break of 5% at each time point in the variable daily caseload of COVID-19. We selected 7 analytical methods to assess the effects of handling missing data and calculated statistical and epidemiological indices to measure the effectiveness of each method. Results: Our study examined missing data imputation performance across 3 study time periods: zero COVID-19 (n=3149), transition (n=1290), and new normal (n=9288). Imputation analyses showed that K-nearest neighbor (KNN) had the lowest mean absolute percentage change (APC) in CIR across the range (5% to 30%) of missing data. For instance, with 15% missing data, KNN resulted in 10.6%, 10.6%, and 9.7% average bias across the zero COVID-19, transition, and new normal periods, compared to 39.9%, 51.9%, and 289.7% with the maximum likelihood method. The autoregressive integrated moving average model showed the greatest mean APC in the mean number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 during each COVID-19 containment cycle (CCC) when we imputed the missing data in the zero COVID-19 period, rising from 226.3% at the 5% missing level to 6955.7% at the 30% missing level. Imputing missing data with median imputation methods had the lowest bias in the average number of confirmed cases in each CCC at all levels of missing data. In detail, in the 20% missing scenario, while median imputation had an average bias of 16.3% for confirmed cases in each CCC, which was lower than the KNN figure, maximum likelihood imputation showed a bias on average of 92.4% for confirmed cases in each CCC, which was the highest figure. During the new normal period in the 25% and 30% missing data scenarios, KNN imputation had average biases for CIR and confirmed cases in each CCC ranging from 21% to 32% for both, while maximum likelihood and moving average imputation showed biases on average above 250% for both CIR and confirmed cases in each CCC. Conclusions: Our study emphasizes the importance of understanding that the specific imputation method used by investigators should be tailored to the specific epidemiological context and data collection environment to ensure reliable estimates of the CIR.

Screening and the analysis of genotypic and phenotypic characterization of glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) deficiency in Fujian province, China.

Introduction: Glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) deficiency is a common X-linked hereditary disorder in southern China. However, the incidence rate of G6PD deficiency and the frequency of the most common G6PD gene variants vary widely. The purpose of this study was to investigate the prevalence, genotype, and phenotypic features of G6PD deficiency in neonates in Fujian province, southeastern China. Methods: This retrospective cohort study enrolled 2,789,002 newborns (1,521,431 males and 1,267,571 females) based on the newborn screening program for G6PD deficiency in Fujian Province between January 2010 and December 2021. Results: Of the 2,789,002 newborns enrolled, 26,437 cases were diagnosed (22,939 males and 3,498 females), and the estimated prevalence of G6PD deficiency in Fujian province was 0.95%. The prevalence was significantly higher among males (1.51%) than in females (0.28%) (p < 0.00001). Among the 3,198 patients with G6PD deficiency, 3,092 cases (2,145 males and 947 females) were detected to have G6PD gene variants. The top six prevalent genotypes identified represented 90.84% (2095/3,198) of the total and included c.1376G > T (44.93%), c.1388G > A (18.42%), c.1024C > T (9.32%), c.95A > G (8.69%), c.392G > T (5.25%), and c.871G > A (4.22%). The frequency of genotypes with c.1388G > A, c.1024C > T, and c.871G > A was higher in males in the Fujian province than in females, while the frequency of genotypes with c.1376G > T was lower. Furthermore, when comparing the enzyme activities of the top six prevalent genotypes, there were significant differences in the enzyme activities among the genotypes of male hemizygotes and female heterozygotes. According to the new classification of G6PD variants proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO), the variants with c.1376G > T, c.95A > G, and c.871G > A were recognized as Class A, while the c.392G > T, c.1388G > A, and c.1024C > T were recognized as Class B. Discussion: To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to systematically describe the overview of epidemiological characteristics of newborn G6PD deficiency in Fujian province, China, including the screening rate, incidence rate, and variant spectrum. Additionally, we elucidated the relationship between the distribution of enzyme activity with specific mutations and their WHO classification patterns. Our results could provide strategies for screening, diagnosis, and genetic counseling of G6PD deficiency in this area.

Causal Effects of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases on the Risk of Kidney Stone Disease.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs), including Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, have been increasingly associated with kidney stone disease, posing significant health challenges globally. OBJECTIVE: This research sought to determine the causal relationship between kidney stone disease risk and inflammatory bowel disorders. METHODOLOGY: This retrospective cohort study included patients with IBDs, such as ulcerative colitis or Crohn's disease, who were diagnosed at least 18 years of age. Information was gathered with an emphasis on patients having comprehensive medical histories and confirmed cases of kidney stone disease from January to December 2022. Medical records were retrospectively evaluated by trained staff to extract treatment information and clinical, radiological, and demographic data. To evaluate relationships, statistical analysis was carried out in SPSS software version 23 using Chi-square tests and descriptive statistics. RESULTS: The study included 320 patients diagnosed with IBDs, among which 198 (61.87%) had Crohn's disease, and 122 (38.13%) were diagnosed with ulcerative colitis. The cohort consisted of 140 females (43.75%) and 180 men (56.25%), with a mean age of 45.5 years. Regarding smoking, 113 people (35.31%) reported being smokers, whereas 207 people (64.69%) did not smoke. Additionally, 18 (5.62%) of the population had an underweight BMI, 136 (42.50%) had a normal BMI, 119 (37.19%) had an overweight BMI, and 47 (14.69%) had an obese BMI. Of the patients, 86 (26.88%) had a prior history of kidney stone disease, while 194 (60.62%) did not. Aminosalicylates were the most often used therapy modality for IBD in 189 (58.97%) of cases, followed by corticosteroids in 117 (36.56%) and immunomodulators in 93 (28.94%). Radiological examinations showed that renal calculi were present in 60 (18.75%) of patients, and kidney stones occurred in 40 (12.50%) of patients throughout the research period. The smoking status (p=0.006) and prior history of kidney stones (p<0.001) were the corresponding p-values for the significant results. CONCLUSION: The study highlights an increased risk of kidney stone disease in IBD patients, particularly among smokers and those with a recurrent history of kidney stones. Of the 320 patients, 198 (61.87%) had Crohn's disease and 122 (38.13%) had ulcerative colitis, with a significant relationship found between kidney stones and both smoking (113 patients, 35.31%, p=0.006) and a prior history of kidney stones (86 patients, 26.88%, p<0.001). The findings emphasize the need for targeted preventive measures and close monitoring of these high-risk groups.

The spike of acute angle closure after the epidemic downgrade of COVID-19 management: a hospital-based comparative study from China.

PURPOSE: To analyse and compare the clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes of patients with acute angle closure (AAC) who presented before the COVID-19 pandemic, during the COVID-19 management and after their downgrading. METHODS: Consecutive AAC patients were recruited from our hospital and divided into three groups: those treated before the COVID-19 pandemic (Group1), during the COVID-19 management (Group2) and after the management downgrade (Group3). The demographic variables, clinical characteristics, treatment methods and therapeutic outcomes of the groups were compared. RESULTS: When compared to Groups1 and 2, Group3 showed a significantly higher incidence of AAC (0.27%, P < 0.001), a longer time from symptoms to treatment (TST; 160.88 ± 137.05 h, P = 0.031) and worse uncorrected visual acuity (P = 0.009) at presentation. In Group3, 68.9% had a history of COVID-19 and 28.5% developed ocular symptoms of AAC after taking medication for COVID-19 symptoms. The average time from the onset of COVID-19 to the appearance of eye symptoms was 3.21 ± 4.00 days. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 has had a multifaceted impact on the incidence of AAC. Therefore, it is crucial to strengthen health education on glaucoma, especially AAC. The prevention and timely treatment of AAC should be emphasised to combat global blindness.

Higher risk of incident diabetes among patients with primary hyperparathyroidism.

OBJECTIVES: There is relatively scarce data regarding the association between primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT) and incident diabetes in large population-based longitudinal studies. We aimed to evaluate the risk of incident diabetes in individuals with and without PHPT and investigate the association between serum calcium concentrations and the risk of incident diabetes in patients with PHPT. METHODS: We included 2749 PHPT patients and 13,745 age, sex and index year matched non-PHPT individuals during 2000-2019. We used Cox regression models to compare the risk of incident diabetes in individuals with and without PHPT, and the risk of incident diabetes in PHPT patients with serum calcium concentration above and below the median value. The association between serum calcium concentrations and the risk of incident diabetes was examined by restricted cubic spline analyses in patients with PHPT. RESULTS: During a median follow-up time of 5.17 years (IQR 2.17, 9.58), 433 patients (15.75%) with PHPT and 2110 individuals (15.35%) without PHPT developed diabetes, respectively. Patients with PHPT had a higher incidence rate of diabetes compared to non-PHPT individuals (27.60 [95% CI 25.00, 30.30] vs. 23.90 [95% CI 22.80, 24.90] per 1000 person-years, log-rank test p = .007]. Crude Cox regression model showed PHPT was associated with a 15% higher risk of incident diabetes (HR 1.15, 95%CI 1.04, 1.28). In patients with PHPT, a 44% higher risk of incident diabetes was found in patients with serum calcium concentrations above the median value (2.63 mmol/L), compared to those below the median value (HR 1.44, 95%CI 1.08, 1.90). Restricted cubic spline analyses confirmed a positive linear association between serum calcium concentrations and the risk of incident diabetes in those with PHPT (p-value for nonlinear = .751) CONCLUSIONS: Patients with PHPT had a higher risk of incident diabetes compared to non-PHPT individuals. A positive linear association was found between serum calcium concentrations and the risk of incident diabetes in patients with PHPT.

Time to recovery and predictors among admitted preterm neonates in the neonatal intensive care units of public hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 2021.

INTRODUCTION: Ethiopia implemented measures to reduce preterm mortality, and much is currently being done to avoid preterm death, yet preterm death remains the top cause of infant death. As a result, evaluating median time of recovery and determinants will provide information to planners and policymakers to design strategies to improve preterm survival. METHODS: Hospital-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted in four selected public hospitals of Addis Ababa from September 2018 to August 2021. Data were collected using a pretested structured questionnaire. Epi-data 4.6 and STATA Version 16 were used for data entry and analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival curve, log-rank test, and median time were computed. To find predictors of time to recovery, a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was fitted, and variables with a p-value less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: A total of 466 preterm babies were included in the study of which 261 (56.1%) preterm neonates survived and were discharged from NICUs. The median time to recovery was 10 days (95% CI: 9-12). Low birth weight (Adjusted hazard-ratio [AHR]: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.2-3.06), normal birth weight (AHR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.16-3.76), late preterm (AHR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.02-3.55), no hospital-acquired infection (AHR: 2.19, 95% CI: 1.36-3.5), no thrombocytopenia (AHR: 1.96, 95% CI: 1.27-3.02), continuous positive airway pressure (AHR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.48-0.91), and kangaroo mother care (AHR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.48-2.81) were found to be independent predictors of time to recovery of preterm babies. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: The recovery rate was found relatively low. Several predictors of preterm recovery time were discovered in the study. The majority of predictors were preventable or treatable. Therefore, emphasis should be given towards prevention and early anticipation, and management of these predictors. Studies to assess the quality of care and cause of low survival rate of preterm infants are recommended.

COVID-19 pandemic in Taiz Governorate, Yemen, between 2020 and 2023.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is highly contagious and causes a series of health problems, particularly in Yemen, which has a fragile healthcare system and cannot handle public health emergencies. AIMS: This analysis aimed to determine the epidemiological status of COVID-19 in the Taiz governorate between April 2020 and December 2023. METHODS: A retrospective study based on surveillance data from the Taiz governorate was used. The required data were gathered from the Ministry of Health and Population in Aden and analyzed using SPSS. RESULTS: Out of 5826 suspected of COVID-19 cases, 1933 (33.18%) cases were positive for COVID-19 infection. The high rates of COVID-19 cases were reported at 35.40% in males, 37.80% in people aged 35-44 years, 47.20% in 2020, 72.73% in Dhubab district, and 27.78% in March 2021. The overall incidence rate of cases was reported at 6.2 per 10,000 people in Taiz governorate (8.85 in males and 3.80 in females). In addition, the high incidence rate of COVID-19 was observed among age groups ≥ 65 years, in 2021, and in Al-Mukha districts. In total, the rate of fatality cases was 14.12%, the higher rate of fatality cases was 15.46% among males and 32.23% among individuals aged ≥ 65 years, and 26.97% in 2020. CONCLUSION: In this finding, the incidence rate of COVID-19 is high. It is necessary to increase the public's awareness of the transmission and prevention methods of COVID-19, as well as implement appropriate strategies to protect populations from infectious diseases.

Incidence and patterns of lymph node metastases in head and neck rhabdomyosarcoma: One-institution study.

INTRODUCTION: Head and neck rhabdomyosarcoma (HNRMS) is an aggressive malignant soft tissue tumor that easily develops lymph node metastasis (LNM) and distant metastasis. No literature investigates the pattern of LNM in HNRMS. METHODS: Ninety-five consecutive patients with HNRMS newly diagnosed at one institution between November 2011 and July 2023 were retrospectively reviewed. All the patients underwent head and neck contrast-enhanced MRI and/or CT, PET-CT if necessary. The associations between LNMs and clinical characteristics and histopathological parameters were discovered. RESULTS: 44.2% of patients had evidence of LNM at diagnosis, and the most common LNM occurred in the ipsilateral retropharyngeal space. The primary tumor metastasizes to the retropharyngeal space, and then next to level II is the most common LN drainage basin. In multivariate analysis, only distant metastasis determines the prognosis, other than LN status. CONCLUSIONS: LNM has a high incidence in HNRMS and rarely causes contralateral metastasis for localized lesions or skip metastasis.

Increasing trend of childhood type 1 diabetes incidence: 20-year observation from Greater Poland Province, Poland.

AIM: Type 1 diabetes is one of the fastest-growing chronic health conditions. Estimating the incidence rate of childhood type 1 diabetes will allow to aid in adequate planning of health care resources. The study's aim was to assess the incidence rate of type 1 diabetes in children below 15 years of age from Greater Poland (Poland) between 2006 and 2018, and then to compare obtained data to records collected between 1998 and 2003 in pediatric population aged 0-14 years from the same area. METHODS: In this cohort study covering the period from January 1998 to December 2018, data were collected for children and adolescents below 14 years of age with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes living in Greater Poland. The overall population size was taken from the Statistical Office of Poland. Total, sex-, and age-specific incidence rates per 100,000 person-years were calculated for each calendar year. RESULTS: Over a 20-year period, the incidence rate of type 1 diabetes in children aged 0-14 years rose around 3.6-fold, from 8.4/100,000 in 1998 to 30.8/100,000 in 2018, with the peak incidence recorded in last year of the study. A clear male predominance of type 1 diabetes was seen in all ages. The rate of type 1 diabetes incidence growth was comparable between all age groups, while the highest incidence rate was mostly observed in children aged 5-9 and 10-14 years. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of type 1 diabetes in children aged 0-14 years is rapidly increasing in Greater Poland.

Cervical cancer incidence in Denmark: Disentangling determinants of time trend.

Cervical cancer is a preventable disease. Nevertheless, stagnation has been seen in incidence rates also in countries with well-functioning healthcare. On this basis, we investigated associations between control interventions and changes in cervical cancer incidence in Denmark from 2009 to 2022. Data on human papillomavirus (HPV)-vaccination were retrieved from Staten's Serum Institute; on screening recommendations from Danish Health Authority, on screening performance from Danish Quality Database for Cervical Screening; and on cervical cancer incidence from Nordcan and Danish Cancer Register. We reported coverage with HPV vaccination (1+ dose); coverage with cervical cell samples; number of women with primary HPV tests; proportion of non-normal cell samples without timely follow-up; number of conizations; and cervical cancer incidence rates. In 2022, all women aged ≤29 had been offered childhood HPV vaccination with coverage of 80%-90%. By 2020-2022, the cervical cancer incidence rate in women aged 20-29 was 3 per 100,000; at level of disease elimination. In 2017, women aged 70+ were offered a one-time HPV screening, and by 2020-2022, the old-age peak in cervical cancer incidence had largely disappeared. From 2009 to 2022, proportion of non-normal cell samples without timely follow-up decreased from 20% to 10%, and conventional cytology was largely replaced by SurePath liquid-based cytology; these factors could explain the steady decrease in cervical cancer incidence rate. Implementation of primary HPV screening in women aged 30-59 in 2021 was reflected in a, probably temporary, increase in the 2022 cervical cancer incidence rate. In conclusion, combined interventions with childhood HPV vaccination; one-time HPV screening of elderly women; and better management of screening broke previous stagnation in cervical cancer incidence rate.

The global burden of breast cancer in women from 1990 to 2030: assessment and projection based on the global burden of disease study 2019.

Background and aim: This study aims to analyze the worldwide prevalence, mortality rates, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to breast cancer in women between 1990 and 2019. Additionally, it seeks to forecast the future trends of these indicators related to the burden of breast cancer in women from 2020 to 2030. Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 was analyzed to determine the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of DALYs due to breast cancer in women across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Socio-economic development levels of countries and regions were assessed using Socio-demographic Indexes, and trends in the burden of breast cancer in women worldwide from 2020 to 2030 were projected using generalized additive models (GAMs). Results: The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the ASIR breast cancer in women globally was 0.36 from 1990 to 2019 and is expected to increase to 0.44 from 2020 to 2030. In 2019, the ASIR of breast cancer in women worldwide was 45.86 and is projected to reach 48.09 by 2030. The burden of breast cancer in women generally rises with age, with the highest burden expected in the 45-49 age group from 2020 to 2030. The fastest increase in burden is anticipated in Central sub-Saharan Africa (EAPC in the age-standardized death rate: 1.62, EAPC in the age-standardized DALY rate: 1.52), with the Solomon Islands (EAPC in the ASIR: 7.25) and China (EAPC in the ASIR: 2.83) projected to experience significant increases. Furthermore, a strong positive correlation was found between the ASIR breast cancer in women globally in 1990 and the projected rates for 2030 (r = 0.62). Conclusion: The anticipated increase in the ASIR of breast cancer in women globally by 2030 highlights the importance of focusing on women aged 45-49 in Central sub-Saharan Africa, Oceania, the Solomon Islands, and China. Initiatives such as breast cancer information registries, raising awareness of risk factors and incidence, and implementing universal screening programs and diagnostic tests are essential in reducing the burden of breast cancer and its associated morbidity and mortality.

Factors influencing stunted growth in children: A study in Bandung regency focusing on a deworming program.

The prevalence of neglected tropical diseases, specifically those caused by soil-transmitted helminths (STHs) and other parasites that infest the intestine as part of their life cycle, remains a problem in Indonesia. We assessed the effects of deworming programs and socioeconomic and ecological factors on the incidence rate of infections with STHs and other parasites in an urban area of the Bandung Regency. We recruited 361 children with stunted growth who met the inclusion criteria, and 48 of those children were at high risk of STH infection. The study was conducted between September 2020 and September 2021. We collected possible socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence rate of infections. We found the incidence rate of STH infections among the children with stunted growth to be 3.6%. We confirmed infections with Cyclospora and Cryptosporidium after a Ziehl-Nieelsen stool smear examination in two of the 48 children at risk of infection. We found 43.75% of the children had short stature and weight below the normal limits, while stunting and severe stunting were associated with Ascaris lumbricoides infection (44.70%, p = 0.035). Parents of children with stunted and severely stunted growth were more likely to have a low education level, lack knowledge about deworming program, and to be earning a low income. The mother's occupation had a particularly strong influence on the severity of the stunting (89.58%, p = 0.012). Our results show that deworming programs can affect the growth and development of children and that socioeconomic and ecological factors also play a role.

Trends in hip fracture rates in spain from 2001 to 2018.

The present study includes the longest period of analysis with the highest number of hip fracture episodes (756,308) described in the literature for Spain. We found that the age-adjusted rates progressively decreased from 2005 to 2018. We believe that this is significant because it may mean that measures such as prevention and treatment of osteoporosis, or programs promoting healthy lifestyles, have had a positive impact on hip fracture rates. PURPOSE: To describe the evolution of cases and rates of hip fracture (HF) in patients 65 years or older in Spain from 2001 to 2018 and examine trends in adjusted rates. METHODS: Retrospective, observational study including patients ≥65 years with acute HF. Data from 2001 to 2018 were obtained from the Spanish National Record of the Minimum Basic Data Set of the Ministry of Health. We analysed cases of HF, crude incidence and age-adjusted rates by sex, length of hospital stay (LOS) and in-hospital mortality, and used joinpoint regression analysis to explore temporal trends. RESULTS: We identified 756,308 HF cases. Mean age increased 2.5 years, LOS decreased 4.5 days and in-hospital mortality was 5.5-6.5%. Cases of HF increased by 49%. Crude rate per 100,000 was 533.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 532.1-534.5), increasing 14.0% (95%CI, 13.7-14.2). Age-adjusted HF incidence rate increased by 6.9% from 2001 (535.7; 95%CI, 529.9-541.5) to 2005 (572.4; 95%CI, 566.7-578.2), then decreased by 13.3% until 2017 (496.1, 95%CI, 491.7-500.6). Joinpoint regression analysis indicated a progressive increase in age-adjusted incidence rates of 1.9% per year from 2001 to 2005 and a progressive decrease of -1.1% per year from 2005 to 2018. A similar pattern was identified in both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: Crude incidence rates of HF in Spain in persons ≥65 years from 2001 to 2018 have gradually increased. Age-adjusted rates show a significant increase from 2001 to 2005 and a progressive decrease from 2005 to 2018.

The Impact of Human Cystic Echinococcosis in the Central Asian Region, 1990-2019.

Objective: This research aims to update knowledge on the regional and national sickness burden attributable to cystic echinococcosis (CE) from 1990 to 2019, as well as epidemiology and disease control, with a particular emphasis on the People's Central Asian Regions. Methods: We calculated the morbidity, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years at the global, regional, and national levels for CE in all central Asian countries from 1990 to 2019, and we analyzed the association between GDP per capita and the disease burden of CE. Results: In 2019, the three greatest numbers of CE cases were recorded in Kazakhstan [23986; 95% uncertainty interval (UI); 19796; 28908]; Uzbekistan (41079; 18351; 76048); and Tajikistan (10887; 4891; 20170) among all 9 countries. The three countries with the greatest ASIR of CE were estimated to be Kazakhstan (127.56; 95% UI: 105.34-153.8), Uzbekistan (123.53; 95% UI: 58.65-219.16), and Tajikistan (121.88; 58.57-213.93). Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan had the biggest increases (125%, 97%, and 83%, respectively) in the number of incident cases of CE, whereas Georgia, Kazakhstan, and Armenia saw the largest decreases (45%, 8%, and 3%, respectively). Conclusion: To reduce the illness burden caused by CE, our findings may help public health professionals and policymakers design cost-benefit initiatives. To lessen the impact of CE on society, it is suggested that more money be given to the region's most endemic nations. Echinococcosis, cystic, negative health effects, life-years lost due to disability, rate of occurrence as a function of age, rate of death as a function of age.

The incidence of stroke and contribution of risk factors for stroke in high-risk stroke population in southwestern China.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence of stroke and determine the role that risk factors play in the high-risk stroke populace in southwest China. METHODS: This research employed a prospective cohort design that focused on the community. Eight communities in southwest China were selected randomly for this study. The residents aged 40 years and older who volunteered to participate were surveyed through face-to-face interviews. Those with a history of stroke or at least three of the eight stroke-related risk factors were categorized as the high-risk stroke population. A total of 2698 high-risk individuals were included in the study after a 4.7-year follow-up period. The incidence of stroke and the association between risk variables and stroke occurrence were estimated. RESULTS: During 4.7-year follow-up, the incidence of total stroke, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke in high-risk stroke population were 5.0 %, 4.4 % and 0.9 % respectively. It should be noted that some participants experienced both cerebral infarction and cerebral hemorrhage during the follow-up period. The multivariate analytic model revealed that a personal history of stroke (OR=3.397, 95 % CI 2.365-4.878, p<.001) was substantially linked with an elevated risk of overall stroke. This correlation remained consistent for both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed a high prevalence and incidence of stroke among a high-risk group in southwestern China. Furthermore, it demonstrated that individuals with a personal history of stroke are at an elevated risk of future stroke, suggesting the need for additional precautions in this population.

Optimal control of a fractional order SEIQR epidemic model with non-monotonic incidence and quarantine class.

During any infectious disease outbreak, effective and timely quarantine of infected individuals, along with preventive measures by the population, is vital for controlling the spread of infection in society. Therefore, this study attempts to provide a mathematically validated approach for managing the epidemic spread by incorporating the Monod-Haldane incidence rate, which accounts for psychological effects, and a saturated quarantine rate as Holling functional type III that considers the limitation in quarantining of infected individuals into the standard Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Quarantine-Recovered (SEIQR) model. The rate of change of each subpopulation is considered as the Caputo form of fractional derivative where the order of derivative represents the memory effects in epidemic transmission dynamics and can enhance the accuracy of disease prediction by considering the experience of individuals with previously encountered. The mathematical study of the model reveals that the solutions are well-posed, ensuring nonnegativity and boundedness within an attractive region. Further, the study identifies two equilibria, namely, disease-free (DFE) and endemic (EE); and stability analysis of equilibria is performed for local as well as global behaviours for the same. The stability behaviours of equilibria mainly depend on the basic reproduction number R0 and its alternative threshold T0 which is computed using the Next-generation matrix method. It is investigated that DFE is locally and globally asymptotic stable when R0<1. Furthermore, we show the existence of EE and investigate that it is locally and globally asymptotic stable using the Routh-Hurwitz criterion and the Lyapunov stability theorem for fractional order systems with R0>1 under certain conditions. This study also addresses a fractional optimal control problem (FOCP) using Pontryagin's maximum principle aiming to minimize the spread of infection with minimal expenditure. This approach involves introducing a time-dependent control measure, u(t), representing the behavioural response of susceptible individuals. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to support the analytical findings using the Adams Bashforth Moulton scheme in MATLAB, providing a comprehensive understanding of the proposed SEIQR model.

A dynamic hybrid model for efficient tuberculosis incidence rate prediction.

Tuberculosis remains a global health challenge, predicting its incidences is crucial for effective planning and intervention strategies. This study combines AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Nonlinear AutoRegressive with exogenous input (NARX) models as an innovative approach for TB incidence rate prediction. The performance of the proposed model (ARIMA-NARX) was evaluated using standard metrics (MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE), and it was refined to achieve the best average predictive accuracies with an MSE: 0.0622, RMSE: 0.0851, MAE: 0.07520, and MAPE: 0.05535 followed by NARX 0.1597, 0.3189, 0.2724, and 0.3366, and ARIMA (2,0,0) 0.7781, 0.5959, 0.6524, and 0.6080 Models. These findings are expected to shed light on the TB incidence rate, providing valuable information to policymakers such as the World Health Organization (WHO) and health professionals. The developed model can potentially serve as a predictive tool for proactive TB control and intervention strategies in the region and the world at large.