Epidemiology and Long-term Outcomes of Acute Kidney Injury in Adult Patients with Perforation Peritonitis Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy.

Background: Reported incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) is around 5.0-7.5% of all hospitalized patients, and 40% of them are postoperative patients. Major abdominal surgeries account for 3.1-35% of cases of postoperative AKI in various series. The aim of the study was to identify the incidence and risk factors of AKI in peritonitis patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. Materials and methods: Adult patients aged 18-65 years undergoing emergency laparotomy for perforation peritonitis were included in this prospective observational study. Baseline clinical and laboratory data, intraoperative details and postoperative outcome data (AKI at day 7, length of intensive care unit and hospital stay, and mortality) were recorded. Logistic regression model was constructed to predict AKI at day 7. Results: N = 140 patients were included in this study and 69 patients (49.3%) developed AKI within day 7. Larger volume of crystalloid [OR (95% CI) 1.00 (1.00-1.00); p = 0.012], intraoperative vasopressor use (OR 7.42 (2.41-22.83); p < 0.001), intraoperative blood loss [OR 1.004(1.00-1.01); p = 0.003] and the presence of chronic liver disease (CLD) [OR 22.44 (1.68-299.26); p = 0.019] were risk factors for the development of AKI. Acute kidney injury patients had increased mortality at day 90 (24.6% vs 1.4%; p < 0.001), length of ICU stay (3 days vs 0 days, p < 0.001), and length of hospital stay (11 days vs 7 days; p < 0.001). Conclusion: In peritonitis patients undergoing emergency laparotomy, as many as 49% of patients develop AKI within 1 week. The presence of CLD, intraoperative blood loss, and the use of crystalloids and vasopressor increase the odds of developing AKI. How to cite this article: Priya P, Baidya DK, Anand RK, Ray BR, Khanna P, Krishna A, et al. Epidemiology and Long-term Outcomes of Acute Kidney Injury in Adult Patients with Perforation Peritonitis Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(9):854-858.

Prevalence of relevant early complications during the first 24 h on a normal ward in patients following PACU care after medium and major surgery: a monocentric retrospective observational study.

PURPOSE: Even today, it remains a challenge for healthcare professionals to decide whether a clinically stable patient who is recovering from uncomplicated medium or major surgery would benefit from a postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) admission, or whether they would be at least as adequately cared for by a few hours of monitoring in the post-operative care unit (PACU). METHODS: In this monocentric retrospective observational study, all adult patients who (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Anästhesiologie und Intensivmedizin (DGAI) in Anästh Intensivmed (50):S486-S489, 2009) underwent medium or major surgery between 1 January 1 2014 and 31 December 2018 at the Heidelberg University Surgical Center, and (Vimlati et al. in Eur J Anaesthesiol September 26(9):715-721, 2009) were monitored for 1-12 h in the PACU, and then (De Pietri et al. in World J Gastroenterol 20(9):2304-23207, 2014) transferred to a normal ward (NW) immediately thereafter were included. At the end of the PACU stay, each patient was cleared by both a surgeon and an anesthesiologist to be transferred to a NW. The first objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of relevant early complications (RECs) within the first 24 h on a normal ward. The secondary objective was to determine the prevalence of RECs in the subgroup of included patients who underwent partial pancreaticoduodenectomy. RESULTS: A total of 10,273 patients were included in this study. The prevalence of RECs was 0.50% (confidence interval [CI] 0.40-0.60%), with the median length of stay in the PACU before the patient's first transfer to a NW being 285 min (interquartile range 210-360 min). In the subgroup of patients who underwent partial pancreaticoduodenectomy (n = 740), REC prevalence was 1.1% (CI = 0.55-2.12%). CONCLUSION: Based on a medical case-by-case assessment, it is possible to select patients who after a PACU stay of only up to 12 h have a low risk of emergency readmission to an ICU within the 24 h following the transfer to the NW. Continued research will be needed to further improve transfer decisions in such low-risk subgroups.

Prognostic value of heart rate variability for risk of serious adverse events in continuously monitored hospital patients.

Technological advances allow continuous vital sign monitoring at the general ward, but traditional vital signs alone may not predict serious adverse events (SAE). This study investigated continuous heart rate variability (HRV) monitoring's predictive value for SAEs in acute medical and major surgical patients. Data was collected from four prospective observational studies and two randomized controlled trials using a single-lead ECG. The primary outcome was any SAE, secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality and specific non-fatal SAE groups, all within 30 days. Subgroup analyses of medical and surgical patients were performed. The primary analysis compared the last 24 h preceding an SAE with the last 24 h of measurements in patients without an SAE. The area under a receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) quantified predictive performance, interpretated as low prognostic ability (0.5-0.7), moderate prognostic ability (0.7-0.9), or high prognostic ability (> 0.9). Of 1402 assessed patients, 923 were analysed, with 297 (32%) experiencing at least one SAE. The best performing threshold had an AUROC of 0.67 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63-0.71) for predicting cardiovascular SAEs. In the surgical subgroup, the best performing threshold had an AUROC of 0.70 (95% CI 0.60-0.81) for neurologic SAE prediction. In the medical subgroup, thresholds for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular, infectious, and neurologic SAEs had moderate prognostic ability, and the best performing threshold had an AUROC of 0.85 (95% CI 0.76-0.95) for predicting neurologic SAEs. Predicting SAEs based on the accumulated time below thresholds for individual continuously measured HRV parameters demonstrated overall low prognostic ability in high-risk hospitalized patients. Certain HRV thresholds had moderate prognostic ability for prediction of specific SAEs in the medical subgroup.

Postoperative Acute Kidney Injury After Intraoperative Hypotension in Major Risk Procedures.

Background Reportedly prevalent, intraoperative hypotension (IOH) is linked to kidney injury and increased risk of mortality. In this study, we aimed to assess IOH incidence in high-risk non-cardiac surgery and its correlation with postoperative acute kidney injury (PO-AKI) and 30-day postoperative mortality. Methodology This retrospective cohort study included adult inpatients who underwent elective, non-cardiac, high-risk European Society of Anaesthesiology/European Society of Cardiology surgery from October to November of 2020, 2021, and 2022, excluding cardiac, intracranial, or emergency surgery. IOH was primarily defined by the 2022 Anesthesia Quality Institute. PO-AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine ≥0.3 mg/dL within 48 hours, the need for dialysis in dialysis-naïve patients, or the documentation of AKI in clinical records. For univariate analysis, the Mann-Whitney U test and chi-square or Fisher's exact tests were performed, as appropriate. Logistic regression was used to test risk factors for IOH in univariate analysis (p < 0.1). The significance level considered in multivariate analysis was 5%. Results Of the 197 patients included, 111 (56.3%) experienced IOH. After adjustment, surgical time >120 minutes remained associated with higher odds of IOH (odds ratio (OR) = 9.62, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.49-37.13), as well as combined general + locoregional (vs. general OR = 3.41, 95 CI% = 1.38-8.43, p = 0.008; vs. locoregional OR = 6.37, 95% CI = 1.48-27.47). No association was found between IOH and 30-day postoperative mortality (p = 0.565) or PO-AKI (p = 0.09). The incidence of PO-AKI was 14.9% (27 patients), being significantly associated with higher 30-day postoperative mortality (p = 0.018). Conclusions Our study highlights the high prevalence of IOH in high-risk non-cardiac surgical procedures. Its impact on PO-AKI and 30-day postoperative mortality appears less pronounced compared to the significant implications of PO-AKI, emphasizing the need for PO-AKI screening and renal protection strategies.

Association between preoperative proton pump inhibitor use and postoperative acute kidney injury in patients undergoing major surgery.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a severe postoperative complication in patients undergoing major surgery. Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are used preoperatively as prophylaxis for postoperative gastrointestinal bleeding. Whether preoperative PPI use is associated with an increased risk of postoperative AKI remains uncertain. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used electronic medical records from the clinical data warehouse of Peking University First Hospital to screen all adult hospitalizations undergoing major surgery between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2020. Exposure was preoperative PPI use, defined as PPI use within 7 days before major surgery. The primary outcome was postoperative AKI, defined as AKI occurring within 7 days after major surgery; secondary outcomes included in-hospital AKI and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 21,533 patients were included in the study (mean [SD] age, 57.8 [15.0] years; 51.2% male), of which 944 (4.4%) were prescribed PPI within 7 days before major surgery (PPI users). Overall, 72 PPI users (7.6%) and 356 non-users (1.7%) developed postoperative AKI. After adjustment, preoperative PPI use was associated with an increased risk of postoperative AKI (adjusted OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.04-2.07) and in-hospital AKI (adjusted OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.03-1.94). Moreover, subgroup analyses showed that the risk of PPI on postoperative AKI was amplified by the concomitant use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or diuretics. No significant difference was observed between preoperative PPI use and in-hospital mortality in the fully adjusted model (adjusted OR 1.63; 95% CI, 0.55-4.85). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative PPI use was associated with an increased risk of AKI in patients undergoing major surgery. This risk may be enhanced by the concomitant use of other nephrotoxic drugs. Clinicians should weigh the pros and cons before initiating PPI prophylaxis.

The Association of Socio-Environmental Inequality and Outcomes Among Patients Undergoing Major Surgery.

INTRODUCTION: Environmental hazards may influence health outcomes and be a driver of health inequalities. We sought to characterize the extent to which social-environmental inequalities were associated with surgical outcomes following a complex operation. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, patients who underwent abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, coronary artery bypass grafting, colectomy, pneumonectomy, or pancreatectomy between 2016 and 2021 were identified from Medicare claims data. Patient data were linked with social-environmental data sourced from Centers for Disease Control and Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry data based on county of residence. The Environmental Justice Index social-environmental ranking (SER) was used as a measure of environmental injustice. Multivariable regression analysis was performed to assess the relationship between SER and surgical outcomes. RESULTS: Among 1,052,040 Medicare beneficiaries, 346,410 (32.9%) individuals lived in counties with low SER, while 357,564 (33.9%) lived in counties with high SER. Patients experiencing greater social-environmental injustice were less likely to achieve textbook outcome (odds ratio 0.95, 95% confidence interval 0.94-0.96, P < 0.001) and to be discharged to an intermediate care facility or home with a health agency (odds ratio 0.97, 95% confidence interval 0.96-0.98, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative social and environmental inequalities, as captured by the Environmental Justice Index SER, were associated with postoperative outcomes among Medicare beneficiaries undergoing a range of surgical procedures. Policy makers should focus on environmental, as well as socioeconomic injustice to address preventable health disparities.

Evaluation of postoperative results after a presurgical optimisation programme.

BACKGROUND: Presurgical optimisation programmes decrease the risk of postoperative complications, reduce hospital stays and speed up patient recovery. They usually involve a multidisciplinary team addressing physical, nutritional and psychosocial issues. The objective of this study was to assess the results of implementing a presurgical optimisation programme led by a liaison nurse in patients undergoing major surgery in a primary general hospital. METHODS: An observational, retrospective, descriptive, cross-sectional, comparative study based on the revision of patients' health records undergoing major surgery between January 2019 and December 2022. Patients entering the presurgical optimisation programme (intervention group) were compared with patients receiving usual medical care (control group). The presurgical optimisation programme consisted of oral nutritional supplementation, physical exercise, strengthening of lung capacity and psychological and emotional support. Frequency (%) of surgery complications and use of healthcare resources (duration of hospitalisation, time spent in the intensive care unit (ICU), and readmission) at day 30 were recorded. Descriptive statistics were applied. RESULTS: Two hundred eleven patients (58.5% men, mean age: 65.76 years (SD 11.5), 75.2%. non-smokers; mean body mass index (BMI): 28.32 (SD 5.38); mean Nutritional Risk Score (NRS) 3.71 (SD 1.35; oncology diagnosis: 88.6%) were included: 135 in the intervention group, and 76 in the control group. The average duration of the presurgical optimisation programme was 20 days (SD 5). Frequency of postoperative complications was 25% (n = 33) in the intervention group and 52.6% (n = 40) in the control group (p < 0.001) [odds ratio (OR) = 3.4; 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.8; 6.2)]. 14.5% (n = 19) of patients in the intervention group and 34.2% (n = 26) in the control group had remote postoperative complications [OR = 3.1; 95% CI (1.6; 6.2)]. Patients in the intervention group spent fewer days in the hospital [mean 8.34 (SD 6.70) vs 11.63 (SD 10.63)], and there were fewer readmissions at 30 days (7.6% vs 19.7%) compared with the control group. CONCLUSIONS: A presurgical optimisation programme led by a liaison nurse decreases the rate of immediate and late surgical complications and reduces hospital stays and readmissions in patients undergoing major surgery.

Outcomes associated with postoperative cognitive dysfunction: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) manifests as a subtle decline in cognition, potentially leading to unfavourable postoperative outcomes. We explored the impact of POCD on physical function, length of hospital stay (LOS), dementia and mortality outcomes. METHODS: PubMed and Scopus were searched until May 2023. All studies of major surgical patients that assessed POCD and outcomes of interest were included. POCD effects were stratified by surgery type (cardiac and noncardiac) and time of POCD assessment (<30 and ≥30 days postsurgery). RESULTS: Of 2316 studies, 20 met the inclusion criteria. POCD was not associated with functional decline postsurgery. Patients who experienced POCD postcardiac surgery had an increased relative risk (RR) of death of 2.04 [(95% CI: 1.18, 3.50); I2 = 0.00%]. Sensitivity analyses showed associations with intermediate-term mortality among noncardiac surgical patients, with an RR of 1.84 [(95% CI: 1.26, 2.71); I2 = 0.00%]. Patients who developed POCD <30 days postcardiac and noncardiac surgeries experienced longer LOS than those who did not [mean difference (MD) = 1.37 days (95% CI: 0.35, 2.39); I2 = 92.38% and MD = 1.94 days (95% CI: 0.48, 3.40); I2 = 83.29%, respectively]. Postoperative delirium (POD) may contribute to the heterogeneity observed, but limited data were reported within the studies included. CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing cardiac and noncardiac surgeries who developed POCD <30 days postsurgery had poorer outcomes and an increased risk of premature death. Early recognition of perioperative neurocognitive disorders in at-risk patients may enable early intervention. However, POD may confound our findings, with further studies necessary to disentangle the effects of POD from POCD on clinical outcomes.

Volatile vs Total intravenous Anaesthesia for major non-cardiac surgery: a pragmatic randomised triaL (VITAL).

BACKGROUND: Improving outcomes after surgery is a major public health research priority for patients, clinicians and the NHS. The greatest burden of perioperative complications, mortality and healthcare costs lies amongst the population of patients aged over 50 years who undergo major non-cardiac surgery. The Volatile vs Total Intravenous Anaesthesia for major non-cardiac surgery (VITAL) trial specifically examines the effect of anaesthetic technique on key patient outcomes: quality of recovery after surgery (quality of recovery after anaesthesia, patient satisfaction and major post-operative complications), survival and patient safety. METHODS: A multi-centre pragmatic efficient randomised trial with health economic evaluation comparing total intravenous anaesthesia with volatile-based anaesthesia in adults (aged 50 and over) undergoing elective major non-cardiac surgery under general anaesthesia. DISCUSSION: Given the very large number of patients exposed to general anaesthesia every year, even small differences in outcome between the two techniques could result in substantial excess harm. Results from the VITAL trial will ensure patients can benefit from the very safest anaesthesia care, promoting an early return home, reducing healthcare costs and maximising the health benefits of surgical treatments. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN62903453. September 09, 2021.

10 years of prehabilitation: From theory to clinical practice.

In recent years, prehabilitation has generated high expectations as an innovative preoperative strategy to enhance clinical outcomes following surgery. Several studies have demonstrated that multimodal programs are effective in improving patients' health status and cardiopulmonary reserve, allowing them to undergo surgery in better conditions and, consequently, reducing the incidence of postoperative complications. Most publications describe proof-of-concept studies, and literature about their implementation is more limited. The implementation of these programs requires new resources and significant organizational effort. In this paper, we share our experience implementing a multimodal prehabilitation program as a mainstream service at a tertiary hospital. Although there are still many unknowns regarding the optimal selection of patients, as well as the duration and components of the program, this article describes our journey in this field, aiming to provide insight for teams interested in developing a similar project.

Ventilatory efficiency as a prognostic factor for postoperative complications in patients undergoing elective major surgery: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Major surgery is associated with high complication rates. Several risk scores exist to assess individual patient risk before surgery but have limited precision. Novel prognostic factors can be included as additional building blocks in existing prediction models. A candidate prognostic factor, measured by cardiopulmonary exercise testing, is ventilatory efficiency (VE/VCO2). The aim of this systematic review was to summarise evidence regarding VE/VCO2 as a prognostic factor for postoperative complications in patients undergoing major surgery. METHODS: A medical library specialist developed the search strategy. No database-provided limits, considering study types, languages, publication years, or any other formal criteria were applied to any of the sources. Two reviewers assessed eligibility of each record and rated risk of bias in included studies. RESULTS: From 10,082 screened records, 65 studies were identified as eligible. We extracted adjusted associations from 32 studies and unadjusted from 33 studies. Risk of bias was a concern in the domains 'study confounding' and 'statistical analysis'. VE/VCO2 was reported as a prognostic factor for short-term complications after thoracic and abdominal surgery. VE/VCO2 was also reported as a prognostic factor for mid- to long-term mortality. Data-driven covariable selection was applied in 31 studies. Eighteen studies excluded VE/VCO2 from the final multivariable regression owing to data-driven model-building approaches. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review identifies VE/VCO2 as a predictor for short-term complications after thoracic and abdominal surgery. However, the available data do not allow conclusions about clinical decision-making. Future studies should select covariables for adjustment a priori based on external knowledge. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW PROTOCOL: PROSPERO (CRD42022369944).

[Digital applications in prehabilitation before major visceral surgery procedures]. / Digitale Applikationen in der Prähabilitation vor großen viszeralchirurgischen Operationen.

BACKGROUND: Prehabilitation is of becoming of growing interest in the medical specialist societies, especially before major surgical procedures in older and frail patients. The body of evidence in steadily growing. OBJECTIVES: Are there good digital solutions for a remote prehabilitation program at home? METHODS: Narrative review of the evidence and current study activities in analogous and digital prehabilitation. RESULTS: Prehabilitation is becoming increasingly more important in the optimal preparation of patients before major surgical procedures. With the help of tailored programs patients can be improved and the risk of complications can be significantly lowered. With an optimal selection, this is not associated with a deterioration of the prognosis for patients with cancer during the intervention lasting for 3-6 weeks. There is still a lack of results and good evidence from well-designed trials for digital solutions. CONCLUSION: Prehabilitation can be safely implemented in the preparation of patients before major surgical procedures. Digital solutions are currently being developed and tested and could possibly increase the acceptance in the currently intensifying resource shortages.

Surgical outcomes and healthcare expenditures among patients with dementia undergoing major surgery.

BACKGROUND: We sought to define surgical outcomes among elderly patients with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) following major thoracic and gastrointestinal surgery. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was used to identify patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair, pneumonectomy, pancreatectomy, and colectomy. Individuals were identified from the Medicare Standard Analytic Files and multivariable regression was utilized to assess the association of ADRD with textbook outcome (TO), expenditures, and discharge disposition. RESULTS: Among 1,175,010 Medicare beneficiaries, 19,406 (1.7%) patients had a preoperative diagnosis of ADRD (CABG: n = 1,643, 8.5%; AAA repair: n = 5,926, 30.5%; pneumonectomy: n = 590, 3.0%; pancreatectomy: n = 181, 0.9%; and colectomy: n = 11,066, 57.0%). After propensity score matching, patients with ADRD were less likely to achieve a TO (ADRD: 31.2% vs. no ADRD: 40.1%) or be discharged to home (ADRD: 26.7% vs. no ADRD: 46.2%) versus patients who did not have ADRD (both p < 0.001). Median index surgery expenditures were higher among patients with ADRD (ADRD: $28,815 [IQR $14,333-$39,273] vs. no ADRD: $27,101 [IQR $13,433-$38,578]; p < 0.001) (p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, patients with ADRD had higher odds of postoperative complications (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.25-1.40), extended length-of-stay (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.21-1.32), 90-day readmission (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.31-1.43), and 90-day mortality (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.66-1.86) (all p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Preoperative diagnosis of ADRD was an independent risk factor for poor postoperative outcomes, discharge to non-home settings, as well as higher healthcare expenditures. These data should serve to inform discussions and decision-making about surgery among the growing number of older patients with cognitive deficits.

Serum creatinine is an unreliable marker of renal function in patients undergoing heart transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Renal dysfunction is a common complication after heart transplantation (Htx). Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) can be assessed by various estimating equations (eGFR). We evaluated the correlation, agreement, and accuracy between eGFR and mGFR and the ability of eGFR to track changes in mGFR early after Htx. METHODS: A single-center prospective observational study on 55 patients undergoing Htx. Serum creatinine and mGFR (plasma clearance of Cr51-EDTA or iohexol) were measured preoperatively and on the fourth postoperative day. The accuracy of eGFR to predict true mGFR was calculated as the percentage of patients with an eGFR within 30% of mGFR (P30). The agreement between eGFR and mGFR was assessed according to Bland and Altman. A four-quadrant plot was made to evaluate the ability of eGFR to track changes in mGFR. RESULTS: The accuracy of eGFR to assess mGFR was 52%. The bias was 11.2 ± 17.4 mL/min/1.72 m2. The limits of agreement were -23.0 to 45.4 mL/min/1.72 m2 and the error 58%. The concordance rate between eGFR and mGFR was 72%. CONCLUSIONS: eGFR underestimated mGFR and the agreement between eGFR and mGFR was low with an unacceptably large between-group error and low accuracy. Furthermore, the ability of eGFR to assess changes in mGFR, postoperatively, was poor. Thus, the use of estimating equations from serum creatinine will not adequately assess renal function early after major heart surgery. To gain adequate information on renal function early after Htx, GFR needs to be measured, not estimated.

Systematic development and validation of a predictive model for major postoperative complications in the Peri-operative Quality Improvement Project (PQIP) dataset.

Complications are common following major surgery and are associated with increased use of healthcare resources, disability and mortality. Continued reliance on mortality estimates risks harming patients and health systems, but existing tools for predicting complications are unwieldy and inaccurate. We aimed to systematically construct an accurate pre-operative model for predicting major postoperative complications; compare its performance against existing tools; and identify sources of inaccuracy in predictive models more generally. Complete patient records from the UK Peri-operative Quality Improvement Programme dataset were analysed. Major complications were defined as Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ 2 for novel models. In a 75% train:25% test split cohort, we developed a pipeline of increasingly complex models, prioritising pre-operative predictors using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operators (LASSO). We defined the best model in the training cohort by the lowest Akaike's information criterion, balancing accuracy and simplicity. Of the 24,983 included cases, 6389 (25.6%) patients developed major complications. Potentially modifiable risk factors (pain, reduced mobility and smoking) were retained. The best-performing model was highly complex, specifying individual hospital complication rates and 11 patient covariates. This novel model showed substantially superior performance over generic and specific prediction models and scores. We have developed a novel complications model with good internal accuracy, re-prioritised predictor variables and identified hospital-level variation as an important, but overlooked, source of inaccuracy in existing tools. The complexity of the best-performing model does, however, highlight the need for a step-change in clinical risk prediction to automate the delivery of informative risk estimates in clinical systems.

Agreement of zero-heat-flux thermometry with the oesophageal and tympanic core temperature measurement in patient receiving major surgery.

To identify and prevent perioperative hypothermia, most surgical patients require a non-invasive, accurate, convenient, and continuous core temperature method, especially for patients undergoing major surgery. This study validated the precision and accuracy of a cutaneous zero-heat-flux thermometer and its performance in detecting intraoperative hypothermia. Adults undergoing major non-cardiac surgeries with general anaesthesia were enrolled in the study. Core temperatures were measured with a zero-heat-flux thermometer, infrared tympanic membrane thermometer, and oesophagal monitoring at 15-minute intervals. Taking the average value of temperature measured in the tympanic membrane and oesophagus as a reference, we assessed the agreement using the Bland-Altman analysis and linear regression methods. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of detecting hypothermia were estimated. 103 patients and one thousand sixty-eight sets of paired temperatures were analyzed. The mean difference between zero-heat-flux and the referenced measurements was -0.03 ± 0.25 °C, with 95% limits of agreement (-0.52 °C, 0.47 °C) was narrow, with 94.5% of the differences within 0.5 °C. Lin's concordance correlation coefficient was 0.90 (95%CI 0.89-0.92). The zero-heat-flux thermometry detected hypothermia with a sensitivity of 82% and a specificity of 90%. The zero-heat-flux thermometer is in good agreement with the reference core temperature based on tympanic and oesophagal temperature monitoring in patients undergoing major surgeries, and appears high performance in detecting hypothermia.

Risk of chronic kidney disease in patients with acute kidney injury following a major surgery: a US claims database analysis.

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication after major surgery. This study assessed the risk of developing or worsening of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and other clinical outcomes in patients experiencing AKI after major surgery. Methods: This retrospective observational study used Optum's de-identified Clinformatics Data Mart Database to investigate cardiorenal outcomes in adult patients at the first AKI event following major surgery. The primary outcome was CKD stage ≥3; secondary outcomes included myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, heart failure, all-cause hospitalization, end-stage kidney disease, need for dialysis or kidney transplant and composite measures. Follow-up was up to 3 years. Additionally, the effect of intercurrent events on the risk of clinical outcomes was assessed. Results: Of the included patients (N = 31 252), most were male (61.9%) and White (68.9%), with a median age of 72 years (interquartile range 64-79). The event rates were 25.5 events/100 patient-years (PY) for CKD stage ≥3, 3.1 events/100 PY for end-stage kidney disease, 3.0 events/100 PY for dialysis and 0.1 events/100 PY for kidney transplants. Additionally, there were 6.9 events/100 PY for MI, 8.7 events/100 PY for stroke and 49.8 events/100 PY for all-cause hospitalization during follow-up. Patients with AKI relapses as intercurrent events were more likely to develop CKD stage ≥3 than those with just one AKI event after major surgery. Conclusion: This analysis demonstrated that patients experiencing AKI following major surgery are at high risk of developing severe CKD or worsening of pre-existing CKD and other cardiorenal clinical outcomes such as MI and stroke.

Management of edoxaban therapy and clinical outcomes in patients undergoing major or nonmajor surgery: a subanalysis of the EMIT-AF/VTE study.

BACKGROUND: Optimising periprocedural management of direct oral anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation on chronic treatment undergoing major surgeries is an important aspect of balancing the risk of surgery-related bleeding with the risk of thromboembolic events, which may vary by surgery type. METHODS: This subanalysis of the prospective EMIT-AF/VTE programme assessed periprocedural-edoxaban management, according to physicians' decisions, and bleeding and thromboembolic event rates in patients who underwent major vs. nonmajor surgeries. Edoxaban interruption and clinical outcomes were compared between major vs. nonmajor surgeries and between renal function subgroups (creatinine clearance [CrCL] ≤ 50 mL/min vs. > 50 mL/min). RESULTS: We included 276 major and 512 nonmajor surgeries. The median pre- and postprocedural duration of edoxaban interruption in major vs. nonmajor surgeries was 4 vs. 1 days, whereas median duration of interruption for those with preprocedural-only and postprocedural-only interruption was 2 vs. 1 days and 2 vs. 0 days, respectively (P < 0.0001). Rates of all bleeding and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding were numerically higher in major vs. nonmajor surgeries. Event rates (number of events per 100 surgeries) were low overall (< 6 events per 100 surgeries), independent of renal function subgroups. CONCLUSION: In this subanalysis of the EMIT-AF/VTE programme, periprocedural-edoxaban interruption was significantly longer in patients undergoing major vs. nonmajor surgery. This clinician-driven approach was associated with low rates of bleeding and thromboembolic events following both major and nonmajor surgeries. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02950168, registered October 31, 2016; NCT02951039, registered November 1, 2016.