RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Successful engraftment in hematopoietic stem cell transplantation necessitates the collection of an adequate dose of CD34+ cells. Thus, the precise estimation of CD34+ cells harvested via apheresis is critical. Current CD34+ cell yield prediction models have limited reproducibility. This study aims to develop a more reliable and universally applicable model by utilizing a large dataset, enhancing yield predictions, optimizing the collection process, and improving clinical outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A secondary analysis was conducted using the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research database, involving data from over 17 000 healthy donors who underwent filgrastim-mobilized hematopoietic progenitor cell apheresis. Linear regression, gradient boosting regressor, and logistic regression classification models were employed to predict CD34+ cell yield. RESULTS: Key predictors identified include pre-apheresis CD34+ cell count, weight, age, sex, and blood volume processed. The linear regression model achieved a coefficient of determination (R2) value of 0.66 and a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.81. The gradient boosting regressor model demonstrated marginally improved results with an R2 value of 0.67 and an r value of 0.82. The logistic regression classification model achieved a predictive accuracy of 96% at the 200 × 106 CD34+ cell count threshold. At thresholds of 400, 600, 800, and 1000 × 106 CD34+ cell count, the accuracies were 88%, 83%, 83%, and 88%, respectively. The model demonstrated a high area under the receiver operator curve scores ranging from 0.90 to 0.93. CONCLUSION: This study introduces advanced predictive models for estimating CD34+ cell yield, with the logistic regression classification model demonstrating remarkable accuracy and practical utility.
Assuntos
Antígenos CD34 , Humanos , Antígenos CD34/análise , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Células-Tronco Hematopoéticas/citologia , Remoção de Componentes Sanguíneos/métodos , Mobilização de Células-Tronco Hematopoéticas/métodos , Transplante de Células-Tronco Hematopoéticas , Modelos Lineares , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Filgrastim/farmacologia , Modelos LogísticosRESUMO
High-dose chemotherapy (HDT) supported by autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) has long been one of the standards of care for younger patients with multiple myeloma (MM). Cyclophosphamide (CY) plus granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) has been the conventional preparation for hematopoietic progenitor cell (HPC) mobilization, although the optimal dosage of CY in this setting has not yet been clearly defined. This study investigated the efficacy and safety of low-dose (LD-)CY (1.5 g/m(2)) plus G-CSF for conditioning for HPC apheresis harvest (HPC-A) in 18 MM patients, and compared it with a regimen consisting of intermediate-dose (ID)-CY (4 g/m(2)) plus G-CSF for 13 MM patients. Eleven patients in the former and six in the latter were treated with bortezomib (BTZ) during the induction therapy. Both regimens were comparably effective in terms of CD34(+) cell yields, while adverse events, such as leukopenia, thrombocytopenia, and febrile neutropenia, occurred significantly less frequently in the LD-CY cohort. All patients in LD-CY cohort started and completed their apheresis on day 7 or 8, whereas for the ID-CY cohort the day of first apheresis varied widely from day 8 to 15. These findings indicate that the LD-CY regimen is as effective as ID-CY for HPC mobilization, while the former is clearly more practicable and convenient than the ID-CY regimen for patients with MM.