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1.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1419344, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39086796

RESUMO

Objectives: The emergency response to the COVID-19 pandemic may disrupt hospital management activities of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). This study aimed to determine the changing AMR trend over the period in China when stringent COVID-19 response measures were implemented. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted in a designated hospital for COVID-19 patients in Guangzhou, China from April 2018 to September 2021. The prevalence of 13 antimicrobial-resistant bacteria was compared before and after the COVID-19 responses through Chi-square tests. Interrupted time series (ITS) models on the weekly prevalence of AMR were established to determine the changing trend. Controlled ITS models were performed to compare the differences between subgroups. Results: A total of 10,134 isolates over 1,265 days were collected. And antimicrobial-resistant strains presented in 38.6% of the testing isolates. The weekly AMR prevalence decreased by 0.29 percentage point (95% CI [0.05-0.80]) after antimicrobial stewardship (AMS) policy, despite an increase in the prevalence of penicillin-resistant Streptococcus pneumoniae (from 0/43 to 15/43, p < 0.001), carbapenem-resistant Escherichia coli (from 20/1254 to 41/1184, p = 0.005), and carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (from 93/889 to 114/828, p = 0.042). And the changing trend did not vary by gender (male vs. female), age (<65 vs. ≥65 years), service setting (outpatient vs. inpatient), care unit (ICU vs. non-ICU), the primary site of infection (Lung vs. others), and Gram type of bacteria (positive vs. negative). Conclusion: The response to COVID-19 did not lead to an increase in overall AMR; however, it appears that management strategy on the prudent use of antimicrobials likely contributed to a sizable long-term drop. The frequency of several multidrug-resistant bacteria continues to increase after the COVID-19 epidemic. It is crucial to continue to monitor AMR when COVID-19 cases have surged in China after the relaxation of restriction measures.


Assuntos
Gestão de Antimicrobianos , COVID-19 , Infecção Hospitalar , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , China/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/tratamento farmacológico , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , SARS-CoV-2 , Masculino , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana , Feminino , Prevalência , Pandemias , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
2.
BMC Pediatr ; 23(Suppl 2): 657, 2024 Jul 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38977945

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The emergence of COVID-19 precipitated containment policies (e.g., lockdowns, school closures, etc.). These policies disrupted healthcare, potentially eroding gains for Sustainable Development Goals including for neonatal mortality. Our analysis aimed to evaluate indirect effects of COVID-19 containment policies on neonatal admissions and mortality in 67 neonatal units across Kenya, Malawi, Nigeria, and Tanzania between January 2019 and December 2021. METHODS: The Oxford Stringency Index was applied to quantify COVID-19 policy stringency over time for Kenya, Malawi, Nigeria, and Tanzania. Stringency increased markedly between March and April 2020 for these four countries (although less so in Tanzania), therefore defining the point of interruption. We used March as the primary interruption month, with April for sensitivity analysis. Additional sensitivity analysis excluded data for March and April 2020, modelled the index as a continuous exposure, and examined models for each country. To evaluate changes in neonatal admissions and mortality based on this interruption period, a mixed effects segmented regression was applied. The unit of analysis was the neonatal unit (n = 67), with a total of 266,741 neonatal admissions (January 2019 to December 2021). RESULTS: Admission to neonatal units decreased by 15% overall from February to March 2020, with half of the 67 neonatal units showing a decline in admissions. Of the 34 neonatal units with a decline in admissions, 19 (28%) had a significant decrease of ≥ 20%. The month-to-month decrease in admissions was approximately 2% on average from March 2020 to December 2021. Despite the decline in admissions, we found no significant changes in overall inpatient neonatal mortality. The three sensitivity analyses provided consistent findings. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 containment measures had an impact on neonatal admissions, but no significant change in overall inpatient neonatal mortality was detected. Additional qualitative research in these facilities has explored possible reasons. Strengthening healthcare systems to endure unexpected events, such as pandemics, is critical in continuing progress towards achieving Sustainable Development Goals, including reducing neonatal deaths to less than 12 per 1000 live births by 2030.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Mortalidade Infantil , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/mortalidade , Recém-Nascido , Tanzânia/epidemiologia , Quênia/epidemiologia , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Malaui/epidemiologia , Nigéria/epidemiologia , Admissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Neonatal , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Pandemias , Lactente
3.
Am J Epidemiol ; 2024 Jul 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38960671

RESUMO

When studying the impact of policy interventions or natural experiments on air pollution, such as new environmental policies and opening or closing an industrial facility, careful statistical analysis is needed to separate causal changes from other confounding factors. Using COVID-19 lockdowns as a case-study, we present a comprehensive framework for estimating and validating causal changes from such perturbations. We propose using flexible machine learning-based comparative interrupted time series (CITS) models for estimating such a causal effect. We outline the assumptions required to identify causal effects, showing that many common methods rely on strong assumptions that are relaxed by machine learning models. For empirical validation, we also propose a simple diagnostic criterion, guarding against false effects in baseline years when there was no intervention. The framework is applied to study the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on NO2 in the eastern US. The machine learning approaches guard against false effects better than common methods and suggest decreases in NO2 in Boston, New York City, Baltimore, and Washington D.C. The study showcases the importance of our validation framework in selecting a suitable method and the utility of a machine learning based CITS model for studying causal changes in air pollution time series.

5.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 36: 100815, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38974381

RESUMO

Background: An increasing number of countries have or are considering legalizing cannabis. One concern is that legalization of cannabis will result in increased cannabis use and in turn a higher prevalence of anxiety disorders. We examined changes in emergency department (ED) visits for anxiety disorders with cannabis involvement in Ontario, over a period that involved medical and non-medical cannabis legalization. Methods: This repeated cross-sectional population-based study identified all ED visits for anxiety disorders from residents of Ontario, Canada aged 10-105 between 2008 and 2022 (n = 15.7 million individuals). We used interrupted time series analyses to examine immediate and gradual changes in cannabis-involvement and alcohol-involvement (control condition) over four policy periods: medical cannabis legalization (January 2008-November 2015), expanded medical access (December 2015-September 2018), non-medical cannabis legalization with restrictions (October 2018-February 2020), and commercialization which overlapped with the COVID-19 pandemic (March 2020-December 2022). Poisson models were used to generate incidence rate ratios with 95% confidence intervals. Findings: Over the 14-year study, there were 438,700 individuals with one or more ED visits for anxiety disorders of which 3880 (0.89%) individuals had cannabis involvement and 6329 (1.45%) individuals had alcohol involvement. During the commercialization/COVID-19 period monthly rates of anxiety disorders with cannabis-involvement were 156% higher (0.11 vs 0.29 per 100,000 individuals) relative to the pre-legalization period, compared to a 27% increase for alcohol-involvement (0.27 vs 0.35 per 1100,000 individuals). Rates of anxiety ED visits with cannabis involvement per 100,000 individuals increased gradually over the study period with no immediate or gradual changes after expanded medical access, legalization with restrictions or commercialization/COVID-19. However, during the commercialization/COVID-19 period there were large declines in total anxiety disorder ED visits and anxiety disorder ED visits with alcohol-involvement. Consequently, during this period there was an immediate 31.4% relative increase in the proportion of anxiety visits with cannabis-involvement (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.31; 95% CI 1.05-1.65). Interpretation: We found large relative increases in anxiety disorder ED visits with cannabis involvement over a 14-year period involving medical and non-medical cannabis legalization. These findings may reflect increasing anxiety disorder problems from cannabis use, increasing self-medication of anxiety disorders with cannabis use, or both. The proportion of anxiety ED visits with cannabis involvement increased during the final period of the study but could have been the results of the market commercialization, COVID-19 or both and ongoing monitoring is indicated. Funding: Canadian Institutes of Health Research (grant #452360).

6.
Risk Manag Healthc Policy ; 17: 1771-1778, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38974390

RESUMO

Objective: This study aims to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 prevention and control policies on the frequency of emergency department (ED) visits in a large tertiary hospital in central China, from January 2018 to September 2023. Methods: We conducted a multi-stage interrupted time series analysis to investigate the impact of various epidemic control policies on weekly ED visits at a tertiary hospital in Hunan Province, China. The study period ranged from January 1, 2018, to September 30, 2023, and was divided into four distinct periods: pre-epidemic, pandemic, normalized control, and end of control. Using a quasi-Poisson regression model, we examined the specific effects of these policies on emergency visits, with a particular focus on stratifying patients based on respiratory versus non-respiratory diseases. Results: Compared to the pre-pandemic period, the number of ED visits in a tertiary hospital decreased by 38.5% (95% CI: 25.1% to 49.8%) during the COVID-19 pandemic, of which the number of ED visits for respiratory diseases increased by 79.4% (95% CI: 13.2% to 177.2%) and the number of ED visits for non-respiratory diseases decreased by 45.9% (95% CI: -55.7% to -34.2%). After the end of the epidemic control, the total number of ED visits increased by 31.5% (95% CI: 19.1% to 45.0%), with the number of ED visits for respiratory diseases rising by 379.2% (95% CI: 275.9% to 511.8%), but with no significant change in the number of ED visits for non-respiratory emergencies. Conclusion: Control policies were associated with people avoiding emergency care for non-respiratory related reasons during the pandemic, while the end of control policies was associated with a sharp rise in emergency care for respiratory diseases. This study provides a scientific basis for the different changes in ED visits under the implementation of varying epidemic prevention and control policies.

7.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39001886

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To evaluate the impact of the pandemic on the consumption of antidepressive agents in Central Portugal. METHODS: To estimate the causal effect of the pandemic an interrupted time series analysis was conducted. Data of antidepressant drugs monthly dispensed in community pharmacies between Jan-2010 and Dec-2021 were provided by the regional Health Administration. Anti-Parkinson dopaminergic agents and statins, theoretically not influenced by COVID-19 pandemics, were used as comparator series. The number of packages was converted into defined daily doses and presented as defined daily doses/1000 inhabitants/day. A Bayesian structural time-series model with CausalImpact on R/RStudio was used to predict the counterfactual. Analyses with different geographical granularity (9 sub-regions and 78 municipalities) were performed. RESULTS: When compared to counterfactual, regional consumption non-significantly increased after the pandemic declaration, with a relative effect of + 1.30% [95%CI -1.6%:4.2%]. When increasing the granularity, differences appeared between sub-region with significant increases in Baixo Mondego + 6.5% [1.4%:11.0%], Guarda + 4.4% [1.1%:7.7%] or Cova da Beira + 4.1% [0.17%:8.3%], but non-significant variation in the remaining 6 sub-regions. Differences are more obvious at municipality level, ranging from increases of + 37.00% [32.00%:42.00%] to decreases of -11.00% [-17.00%:-4.20%]. Relative impact positively correlated with percentage of elderly in the municipality (r = 0.301; p = 0.007), and negatively with population density (r=-0.243; p = 0.032). No other predicting variables were found. CONCLUSION: Antidepressant consumption suffered very slight variations at regional level after the COVID-19 pandemic declaration. Analysis with higher granularity allowed identifying municipalities with higher impact (increase or decrease). The absence of clear association patterns suggests other causal hypotheses of the differences.

8.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39054734

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Results of population-level studies examining the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the risks of perinatal death have varied considerably. OBJECTIVES: To explore trends in the risk of perinatal death among pregnancies beginning prior to and during the pandemic using a pregnancy cohort approach. METHODS: This secondary analysis included data from singleton pregnancies ≥20 weeks' gestation in Alberta, Canada, beginning between 5 March 2017 and 4 March 2021. Perinatal death (i.e. stillbirth or neonatal death) was the primary outcome considered. The risk of this outcome was calculated for pregnancies with varying gestational overlap with the pandemic (i.e. none, 0-20 weeks, entire pregnancy). Interrupted time series analysis was used to further determine temporal trends in the outcome by time period of interest. RESULTS: There were 190,853 pregnancies during the analysis period. Overall, the risk of perinatal death decreased with increasing levels of pandemic exposure; this outcome was experienced in 1.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.9, 1.0), 0.9% (95% CI 0.8, 1.1) and 0.8% (95% CI 0.7, 0.9) of pregnancies with no overlap, partial overlap and complete pandemic overlap respectively. Pregnancies beginning during the pandemic that had high antepartum risk scores less frequently led to perinatal death compared to those beginning prior; 3.3% (95% CI 2.7, 3.9) versus 5.7% (95% CI 5.0, 6.5) respectively. Interrupted time-series analysis revealed a decreasing temporal trend in perinatal death for pregnancies beginning ≤40 weeks prior to the start of the COVID-19 pandemic (i.e. with pandemic exposure), with no trend for pregnancies beginning >40 weeks pre-pandemic (i.e. no pandemic exposure). CONCLUSION: We observed a decrease in perinatal death for pregnancies overlapping with the COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta, particularly among those at high risk of these outcomes. Specific pandemic control measures and government response programmes in our setting may have contributed to this finding.

9.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 16453, 2024 07 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39013932

RESUMO

This study aimed to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on general practitioner (GP), specialist, and dentist visits among 40 million Iranians covered by the Social Security Organization (SSO). A monthly interrupted time series analysis was conducted over a period of 72 months, including-47 months before the pandemic and 25 months after its onset. The outcomes variables were monthly number of GP, specialist, and dentist visits per 1000 SSO-insured individuals. The analysis was performed by total visits, visits to the SSO direct sector, and visits to the indirect sectors. The study found that in the first month of the pandemic, the number of visits per 1000 insured individuals significantly decreased for visits to GPs (by 51.12, 95% CI -64.42 to -37.88), visits to specialists (by 39.11, 95% CI -51.61 to -26.62), and visits to dentists (by 6.67, 95% CI -8.55 to -4.78). However, during the subsequent months of the pandemic, there was a significant increase in the number of monthly visits for all three categories, with GPs experiencing the highest increase (1.78 visits per 1000 insured), followed by specialists (1.32 visits per 1000 insured), and dentists (0.05 visits per 1000 insured). Furthermore, prior to the pandemic, the number of monthly GP visits per 1000 insured individuals was statistically significantly lower in the indirect sector compared to the direct sector (45.79, 95% CI -52.69 to -38.89). Conversely, the direct sector exhibited lower rates of specialist visits (25.84 visits per 1000 insured individuals, 95% CI 22.87 to 28.82) and dentist visits (0.75 visits per 1000 insured individuals, 95% CI 0.12 to 1.36) compared to the indirect sector. Additionally, the study found that in the first month of the pandemic, the monthly number of GP visits in the indirect sector significantly increased by 34.44 times (95% CI 24.81 to 44.08) compared to the direct sector. For specialist visits and dentist visits, the increase was 3.41 (95% CI -5.87 to 12.69) and 5.01 (95% CI 3.48 to 6.53) per 1000 insured individuals, respectively. Overall, the findings of this study demonstrate statistically significant disruptions in GP, specialist, and dentist visits during the COVID-19 pandemic, although some recovery was observed. Both the direct and indirect sectors experienced decreased visits.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Odontólogos , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Irã (Geográfico)/epidemiologia , Odontólogos/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Visita a Consultório Médico/estatística & dados numéricos , Clínicos Gerais/estatística & dados numéricos , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Médicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem , Adolescente , Idoso , Criança
10.
Technol Cancer Res Treat ; 23: 15330338241263616, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39053019

RESUMO

Background: Strategies to minimize the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic led to a reduction in diagnostic testing. It is important to assess the magnitude and duration of this impact to plan ongoing care and avoid long-lasting impacts of the pandemic. Objective: We examined the association between the COVID-19 pandemic and the rate of diagnostic tests for breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer in Manitoba, Canada. Design and Participants: A population-based, cross-sectional study design with an interrupted time series analysis was used that included diagnostic tests from January 1, 2015 until August 31, 2022. Setting: Manitoba, Canada. Main Outcomes: Outcomes included mammogram, breast ultrasound, colposcopy, and colonoscopy rates per 100,000. Cumulative and percent cumulative differences between the fitted and counterfactual number of tests were estimated. Mean, median, and 90th percentile number of days from referral to colonoscopy date by referral type (elective, semiurgent, urgent) were determined. Results: In April 2020, following the declaration of the COVID-19 public health emergency, bilateral mammograms decreased by 77%, unilateral mammograms by 70%, breast ultrasounds by 53%, colposcopies by 63%, and colonoscopies by 75%. In Winnipeg (the largest urban center in the province), elective and semiurgent colonoscopies decreased by 76% and 39%, respectively. There was no decrease in urgent colonoscopies. As of August 2022, there were an estimated 7270 (10.7%) fewer bilateral mammograms, 2722 (14.8%) fewer breast ultrasounds, 836 (3.3%) fewer colposcopies, and 11 600 (13.8%) fewer colonoscopies than expected in the absence of COVID-19. As of December 2022, in Winnipeg, there were an estimated 6030 (23.9%) fewer elective colonoscopies, 313 (2.6%) fewer semiurgent colonoscopies, and 438 (27.3%) more urgent colonoscopies. Conclusions: In Manitoba, the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with sizable decreases in diagnostic tests for breast, colorectal, and cervical cancer. Two and a half years later, there remained large cumulative deficits in bilateral mammograms, breast ultrasounds, and colonoscopies.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , COVID-19 , Neoplasias Colorretais , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Feminino , Manitoba/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Estudos Transversais , Masculino , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/epidemiologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/diagnóstico , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/virologia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Pandemias , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Colonoscopia/estatística & dados numéricos , Mamografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina/estatística & dados numéricos
11.
Heliyon ; 10(12): e32750, 2024 Jun 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38975216

RESUMO

Objectives: To evaluate the impact of pay-for-performance on antimicrobial consumption and antimicrobial expenditure in a large teaching hospital in Guangzhou, China. Methods: We collected data from hospital information system from January 2018 through September 2022 in the inpatient wards. Antimicrobial consumption was evaluated using antibiotic use density (AUD) and antibiotic use rate (AUR). The economic impact of intervention was assessed by antimicrobial expenditure percentage. The data was analyzed using interrupted time series (ITS) analysis. Results: Following the implementation of the intervention, immediate decreases in the level of AUD were observed in Department of Hematology Unit 3 (ß = -66.93 DDDs/100PD, P = 0.002), Urology (ß = -32.80 DDDs/100PD, P < 0.001), Gastrointestinal Surgery Unit 3 (ß = -11.44 DDDs/100PD, P = 0.03), Cardiac Surgery (ß = -14.30 DDDs/100PD, P = 0.01), ICU, Unit 2 (ß = -81.91 DDDs/100PD, P = 0.02) and Cardiothoracic Surgery ICU (ß = -41.52 DDDs/100PD, P = 0.05). Long-term downward trends in AUD were also identified in Organ Transplant Unit (ß = -1.64 DDDs/100PD, P = 0.02). However, only Urology (ß = -6.56 DDDs/100PD, P = 0.02) and Gastrointestinal Surgery Unit 3 (ß = -8.50 %, P = 0.01) showed an immediate decrease in AUR, and long-term downward trends in AUR were observed in Pediatric ICU (ß = -1.88 %, P = 0.05) and ICU Unit 1 (ß = -0.55 %, P = 0.02). Conclusion: This study demonstrates that the adoption of pay-for-performance effectively reduces antibiotic consumption in specific departments of a hospital in Guangzhou in the short term. However, it is important to recognize that the long-term impact of such interventions is often limited. Additionally, it should be noted that the overall effectiveness of the intervention across the entire hospital was not significant.

12.
Int J Drug Policy ; 129: 104484, 2024 Jun 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38870546

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Canadian Cannabis Act (CCA, implemented in October 2018) and the COVID-19 pandemic (April 2020) might have contributed to cannabis-related harms in Québec, known for its stringent cannabis legal framework. We explored changes in incidence rates of cannabis-related disorders (CRD) diagnoses associated with these events in Québec. METHODS: We utilized linked administrative health data to identify individuals aged 15 year+ newly diagnosed with CRD during hospitalizations, emergency, and outpatients clinics across Québec, from January 2010 and March 2022 (147 months). Interrupted time-series analyses (ITSA) assessed differences (as percentage changes) in sex- and age-standardized, and sex-stratified, monthly incidence rates (per 100,000 population) attributed to the CCA and the COVID-19 pandemic, compared to counterfactual scenarios where pre-events trends would continue unchanged. RESULTS: The overall monthly mean rates of incident diagnoses nearly doubled from the pre-CCA period (1.56 per 100,000 population) to the COVID-19 pandemic period (3.02 per 100,000 population). ITSA revealed no statistically significant level or slope changes between adjacent study periods, except for a decrease in the slope of incidence rates among males by 1.84 % (95 % CI -3.41 to -0.24) during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the post-CCA period. During the post-CCA period, the trends of incidence rates in the general and male populations grew significantly by 1.22 % (95 % CI 0.08 to 2.35) and 1.44 % (0.04 to 2.84) per month, respectively. Similarly significant increases were observed for the general and female populations during the COVID-19 pandemic, with monthly rates rising by 1.43 % (95 % CI 0.75 to 2.12) and 1.75 % (95 % CI 0.13 to 3.37), respectively. These increases more than doubled pre-CCA rates. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence rates of CRD diagnoses across Québec appears to have increased following the implementation of the CCA and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings echo public health concerns regarding potential cannabis-related harms and are consistent with previous Canadian studies.

13.
Health Informatics J ; 30(2): 14604582241262707, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38871668

RESUMO

Objective: This study sought to assess the impact of a novel electronic audit and feedback (e-A&F) system on patient outcomes. Methods: The e-A&F intervention was implemented in a tertiary hospital and involved near real-time feedback via web-based dashboards. We used a segmented regression analysis of interrupted time series. We modelled the pre-post change in outcomes for the (1) announcement of this priority list, and (2) implementation of the e-A&F intervention to have affected patient outcomes. Results: Across the study period there were 222,792 episodes of inpatient care, of which 13,904 episodes were found to contain one or more HACs, a risk of 6.24%. From the point of the first intervention until the end of the study the overall risk of a HAC reduced from 8.57% to 4.12% - a 51.93% reduction. Of this reduction the proportion attributed to each of these interventions was found to be 29.99% for the announcement of the priority list and 21.93% for the implementation of the e-A&F intervention. Discussion: Our findings lend evidence to a mechanism that the announcement of a measurement framework, at a national level, can lead to local strategies, such as e-A&F, that lead to significant continued improvements over time.


Assuntos
Retroalimentação , Segurança do Paciente , Centros de Atenção Terciária , Humanos , Centros de Atenção Terciária/organização & administração , Segurança do Paciente/normas , Segurança do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Longitudinais , Auditoria Médica/métodos , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida/métodos
14.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(6): ofae301, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38872846

RESUMO

Background: We examined temporal trends in carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) infections in a hospital with hyperendemic CRAB and assessed the efficacy of varied infection control strategies in different ward types. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed all CRAB clinical samples from 2006 to 2019 and categorized infections as hospital-onset (HO) or community-onset. We used interrupted time series analysis to assess the impact of interventions on the incidence of all HO-CRAB infections and bloodstream infections (BSIs) at the hospital and ward group levels. Results: Over 14 years, 4009 CRAB infections were identified (89.7% HO), with 813 CRAB BSI (93.2% HO). The incidence per 100 000 patient-days of CRAB infections peaked in 2008 at 79.1, and that of CRAB BSI peaked in 2010 at 16.2. These rates decreased by two-thirds by 2019. In the general intensive care unit (ICU), hand hygiene and environmental cleaning interventions were followed by a significant reduction in the level of HO-CRAB infections, with an additional decrease in the slope after the introduction of active surveillance and 2% chlorhexidine bathing. In the surgical ICU and surgical department, a reduction in slope or level of CRAB infection was observed after moving ventilated patients to single rooms. In medical wards, a multimodal intervention was followed by a reduction in the slope of HO-CRAB infections and BSIs. In wards where CRAB infections were uncommon, the incidence of HO-CRAB infections decreased throughout the study period. Conclusions: Ward-specific variables determine the success of interventions in reducing CRAB infections; therefore, interventions should be tailored to each setting.

15.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 35: 100774, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38828284

RESUMO

Background: Few studies have evaluated the effects of the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, on maternal and perinatal health at a populational level. We investigated maternal and perinatal health indicators in Brazil, focusing on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, and SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign for pregnant women. Methods: Utilizing interrupted time series analysis (January 2013-December 2022), we examined Maternal Mortality Ratio, Perinatal Mortality Rate, Preterm Birth Rate, Cesarean Section Rate, and other five indicators. Interruptions occurred at the pandemic's onset (March 2020) and pregnant women's vaccination (July 2021). Results were expressed as percent changes on time series' level and slope. Findings: The COVID-19 onset led to immediate spikes in Maternal Mortality Ratio (33.37%) and Perinatal Mortality Rate (3.20%) (p < 0.05). From March 2020 to December 2022, Cesarean Section and Preterm Birth Rates exhibited upward trends, growing monthly at 0.13% and 0.23%, respectively (p < 0.05). Post start of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination (July 2021), Maternal Mortality Ratio (-34.10%) and Cesarean Section Rate (-1.87%) promptly declined (p < 0.05). Subsequently, we observed a monthly decrease of Maternal Mortality Ratio (-9.43%) and increase of Cesarean Section Rate (0.25%) (p < 0.05), while Perinatal Mortality Rate and Preterm Birth Rate showed a stationary pattern. Interpretation: The pandemic worsened all analyzed health indicators. Despite improvements in Maternal Mortality Ratio, following the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign for pregnant women, the other indicators continued to sustain altered patterns from the pre-pandemic period. Funding: No funding.

16.
Traffic Inj Prev ; : 1-9, 2024 Jun 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38832918

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Daily, approximately 3,400 traffic-related deaths occur globally, with over 90% concentrated in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). Notably, Rwanda has one of the highest road traffic death rates in the world (29.7 per 100,000 people) and is the first low-income country to implement a national Automated Speed Enforcement (ASE) policy. The primary goal of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of ASE cameras in reducing the primary outcome of road traffic deaths and secondary outcomes of serious injury crashes and fatal crashes. METHODS: The study used data on road traffic deaths, and serious injury and fatal crashes collected by the Rwanda National Police between 2010 and 2022. Interrupted time series (ITS) models were fit to quantify the association between ASE and change in road traffic crash outcomes, adjusted for COVID-19-related variables (such as the start of the pandemic, the closure of schools and bars), along with exposure variables (such as GDP and population), and other concurrent road safety measures (such as road safety campaigns). RESULTS: The ITS models show that the implementation of ASE cameras significantly reduced road traffic deaths, serious injury crashes, and fatal crashes at the provincial level. For instance, the implementation of ASE cameras in the whole of Rwanda in April 2021 was significantly associated with a 0.14 (95% CI [0.072, 0.212]) reduction in monthly death incidence, equating to a 38.16% monthly decrease compared to the period before their installation (January 2010-March 2021). CONCLUSION: This study emphasizes the significant association of ASE in Rwanda with improved road traffic crash outcomes, a result that may inform road safety policy in other LMICs. Rwanda has become the first low-income country to implement nationwide scaling of ASE in Africa, paving the way for the generation of valuable evidence on speed-related interventions. In addition to new knowledge generation, African road safety research efforts like this one are opportunities to grow academic and law enforcement cooperations while improving data systems and sources for future research benefits.

17.
Vet J ; 306: 106154, 2024 May 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38823573

RESUMO

Infection prevention and control (IPC) in veterinary medicine is crucial to protect patients, owners, staff, and the public. An IPC programme is recommended for every animal hospital. The objective of this retrospective longitudinal study was to describe the changes in bacterial and multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacterial isolates and self-reported hand hygiene awareness and practices after an IPC programme to assess the long-term effect of this programme in small animal veterinary medicine. The IPC programme was implemented at our veterinary teaching hospital in April 2018, which included the establishment of an infection control task force, regular IPC lectures and poster campaigns, infrastructure improvement, and manual refinement. Laboratory-based surveillance was retrospectively conducted before and after the programme (January 2016-December 2022). Level and slope changes in bacterial isolates were evaluated using interrupted time-series analysis. Self-reported hand hygiene awareness and practices were assessed using an annual questionnaire. Additionally, hygiene product purchases during the study period were investigated. The monthly number of total and MDR bacterial isolates decreased significantly after the programme (MDR level change: -0.426; 95% confidence interval: -0.744, -0.109; P = 0.009; and MDR slope change: -0.035; 95% confidence interval: -0.058, -0.011; P = 0.003). Additionally, awareness of hand hygiene before touching animals improved after the programme. Overall self-reported hand hygiene practices improved, and hygiene product purchases significantly increased. These results suggested that the IPC programme may have long-term effects regarding reducing total and MDR bacterial isolates and improving hand hygiene awareness in veterinary medicine.

18.
Br J Clin Pharmacol ; 2024 Jun 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38866400

RESUMO

AIMS: The South Korean government implemented the narcotics information management system (NIMS) on 18 May 2018 to manage benzodiazepine receptor agonists (BzRAs) and narcotics effectively and establish a reporting mechanism for these drugs. This study assessed the effects of NIMS on inappropriate use of BzRAs. METHODS: Using national patient sample data from 2016 to 2020, we analysed adult outpatients who were prescribed oral BzRAs. We conducted a time series and segmented regression analysis using selected indicators to analyse the monthly variations related to the inappropriate use of these medications. RESULTS: The study revealed no significant changes in the indicators of inappropriate BzRA use following the NIMS implementation. Contrary to expectations, there was a significant increase in the proportion of patients exceeding defined daily dose (DDD) and in those receiving concurrent prescriptions of multiple BzRAs, following the implementation of NIMS. The immediate impact of the COVID-19 pandemic was an increase in DDD exceedance; however, overall, this did not significantly affect BzRA use. CONCLUSIONS: The introduction of NIMS did not significantly enhance the management of BzRA misuse. Additional measures, including continuous monitoring, system improvements and comprehensive education for prescribers and patients, are recommended to ensure the appropriate use of psychotropic medications.

19.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1381786, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38903594

RESUMO

Background: To reduce the burden of patients' medical care, the Xuzhou Municipal Government has initiated an exploratory study on the supply model and categorized management of nationally negotiated drugs. This study aims to understand the extent to which Xuzhou's 2021 reform of the National Drug Price Negotiation (NDPN) policy has had a positive impact on the healthcare costs of individuals with different types of health insurance. Methods: The Interrupted Time Series Analysis method was adopted, and the changes in average medical expenses per patient, average medical insurance payment cost per patient and actual reimbursement ratio were investigated by using the data of single-drug payments in Xuzhou from October 2020 to October 2022. Results: Following the implementation of the policy, there was a significant decrease in the average medical expenses per patient of national drug negotiation in Xuzhou, with a reduction of 62.42 yuan per month (p < 0.001). Additionally, the average medical insurance payment cost per patient decreased by 44.13 yuan per month (p = 0.01). Furthermore, the average medical expenses per patient of urban and rural medical insurance participants decreased by 63.45 yuan (p < 0.001), and the average monthly medical insurance payment cost per patient decreased by 57.56 yuan (p < 0.04). However, the mean total medical expenditures for individuals enrolled in employee medical insurance decreased by 63.41 yuan per month (p < 0.001), whereas the monthly decrease was 22.11 yuan per month (p = 0.21). On the other hand, there was no discernible change in the actual reimbursement ratio. Conclusion: After the adoption of the NDPN policy, a noticeable decline has been observed in the average medical expenses per patient and the mean cost of the average medical insurance payment per patient, although to a limited extent. Notably, the reduction in employee medical insurance surpasses that of urban and rural medical insurance.


Assuntos
Custos de Medicamentos , Gastos em Saúde , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Negociação , Humanos , China , Custos de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Reforma dos Serviços de Saúde/economia , Seguro Saúde/economia , Seguro Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Política de Saúde
20.
J Korean Med Sci ; 39(23): e187, 2024 Jun 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38887201

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: We performed a nationwide analysis to evaluate the impact of the early coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on emergency department (ED) visits by adult cancer patients having COVID-like symptoms. METHODS: We analyzed the National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) data on ED visits by adult cancer patients who presented with chief complaints of fever or respiratory symptoms (FRS) indicative of COVID-19, from 2016 to 2020. An interrupted time series analysis with a quasi-Poisson regression model was performed, adjusting for seasonality and time, to evaluate whether underlying trends for monthly ED visits and the in-hospital mortality rate (%) per month changed with the pandemic among these patients. We also estimated the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of in-hospital deaths among cancer patients using multivariable logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: ED visits by cancer patients with FRS decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic (relative risk [RR] with 95% confidence interval [CI]: slope change, 0.99 [0.98-1.00] and step change, 0.84 [0.76-0.92]). However, the in-hospital mortality rate (%) for these patients was increased (slope change, 1.14 [1.04-1.25] and step change, 0.99 [0.98-1.01]). Factors such as urgent triage status, ambulance use, and treatment in hospitals with fewer than 300 staffed beds significantly contributed to increased aOR of in-hospital deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the pre-pandemic period. CONCLUSION: Further studies are needed to highlight the importance of ED service preparation in planning and managing resources for cancer patients during future pandemics.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Febre , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Neoplasias , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias/complicações , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Idoso , Razão de Chances , Pandemias , Visitas ao Pronto Socorro
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