Predictors of stricture after endoscopic submucosal dissection of the esophagus and steroids application.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is a reliable method to resect early esophageal cancer. Esophageal stricture is one of the major complications after ESD of the esophagus. Steroid prophylaxis for esophageal strictures, particularly local injection of triamcinolone acetonide (TA), is a relatively effective method to prevent esophageal strictures. However, even with steroid prophylaxis, stenosis still occurs in up to 45% of patients. Predicting the risk of stenosis formation after local TA injection would enable additional interventions in risky patients. AIM: To identify the predictors of esophageal strictures after steroids application. METHODS: Patients who underwent esophageal ESD and steroid prophylaxis and who were comprehensively assessed for lesion- and ESD-related factors at Southeast University Affiliated Zhongda Hospital between February 2018 and March 2023 were included in the study. The univariate and multivariate regression analyses were conducted to identify the predictors of stricture among patients undergoing steroid prophylaxis. RESULTS: A total of 120 patients were included in the analysis. In the oral prednisone and oral prednisone combined with local tretinoin injection groups, the stenosis rates were 44/53 (83.0%) and 56/67 (83.6%), respectively. Among them, univariate analysis showed that the lesion circumference (P = 0.01) and submucosal injection solution (P = 0.04) showed significant correlation with the risk of stenosis formation. Logistic regression analyses were then performed using predictors that were significant in the univariate analyses and combined with known predictors from previous reports, such as additional chemoradiotherapy and tumor location. We identified a lesion circumference < 5/6 (OR = 0.19; P = 0.02) and submucosal injection of sodium hyaluronate (OR = 0.15; P = 0.03) as independent predictors of on esophageal stricture formation. CONCLUSION: Steroid prophylaxis effectively prevents stenosis. Moreover, the lesion circumference and submucosal injection of sodium hyaluronate were independent predictors of esophageal strictures. Additional interventions should be considered in high-risk patients.

Effect of sleep quality on repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation outcomes in depression.

Introduction: While repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) is effective for 50-60% of those treatment-resistant depression, it is critical to identify predictors of response for optimal patient selection to improve therapy. Insomnia is a known symptom of depression that is both correlated with depression severity and associated with poor antidepressant response. Therefore, understanding this relationship may open new opportunities for the optimization of rTMS treatment. We aimed to explore whether baseline sleep quality, specifically insomnia, is associated with rTMS outcomes in a naturalistic sample of 975 patients (age 18-90; 63.9% F) receiving a standard course of rTMS treatment from two outpatient TMS clinics located within psychiatric hospitals in the United States. One site additionally collected information on concurrent medication use on 350 patients; among these, we examined whether pharmacological treatment of insomnia affected TMS treatment response. Methods: Depression was measured using the 30-item Inventory of Depressive Symptomology Self Report (IDS-SR) in site one and an abbreviated 16-item Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomology (QIDS) derived from the IDS-SR in site two. Sleep disturbances were measured using three insomnia-related questions. Multilevel logistic regression was used to determine whether baseline insomnia scores were associated with TMS treatment outcome. Upon dichotomous categorization of the sample by insomnia and sleep-medication use, depression and sleep scores were analyzed across time using mixed repeated measures ANOVA. Results: We found that sleep quality improves after TMS (p<.001) and correlates with improvement in non-insomnia related depression symptoms (r= .318, p<.001). We found that among those who had significant insomnia at baseline, those not using sleep medications had significantly worse post-treatment IDS-SR scores compared to those using sleep medications (p=. 021) despite no difference in final insomnia score. Discussion: Together, our results suggest that while baseline insomnia is not associated with TMS effectiveness, treating insomnia may affect the trajectory of TMS therapy. Future prospective studies are needed to examine the effect of insomnia treatment alongside TMS for depression.

Ultra-Massive Transfusion: Predictors of Occurrence and In-Hospital mortality From the Australian and New Zealand Massive Transfusion Registry (ANZ-MTR).

Few data exist on patient clinical characteristics, predictors of occurrence and short- and long-term outcomes of ultra-massive transfusion (UMT), defined as receiving 20 units or more of red blood cells (RBCs) within 48h. This study analyses UMT events from the Australian and New Zealand Massive Transfusion Registry (ANZ-MTR). The ANZ-MTR captured all patients at 29 participating sites receiving a massive transfusion (MT), defined as ≥5 units of RBCs within 4h. Of 9028 patients, 803 (8.9%) received an UMT. UMT patients were younger than other MT patients (median age 57y vs 62y; P < .001). In UMT and MT, males predominated (66.3% and 62.9%, respectively); and context was predominantly trauma (28.8% and 23%) and cardiothoracic surgery (CTS) (21.7% and 20.3%). Median RBC units received within 4h were 16 (UMT) and 6 (MT). In UMT, 4h FFP:RBC ratio (0.6 vs 0.4, P < .001), and 4h cryoprecipitate use (72.9% vs 39.9%, P < .001) were higher. Independent predictors of UMT (Odds Ratio; 95% CI) were age <60y (1.52; 1.28-1.79), baseline Hb >100g/L (1.31; 1.08-1.59), INR >1.5 (1.56; 1.24-1.96), and APTT >60s (4.49; 3.40-5.61). Predictors of in-hospital mortality in UMT included Charlson Comorbidity Index score ≥3 (11.20, 0.60 - 25.00) and bleeding context, with mortality less likely in liver transplant (0.07, 0.01-0.41) and more likely in vascular surgery (8.27, 1.54-72.85), compared with CTS. In-hospital mortality was higher in the UMT group compared with MT group (20.5% vs 44.2%, P < .001), however 5y survival following discharge was not significantly different between the groups (HR=0.87 [95%CI 0.64-1.18], P = .38). UMT patients are more commonly younger, with baseline coagulopathy, and have higher in-hospital mortality compared with MT. However, UMT is not futile: 55.8% survived to discharge, without significant difference in survival postdischarge between the groups.

Brain lesion and echocardiogenic predictors of newly detected atrial fibrillation in acute ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVES: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the notorious risk factors in acute ischemic stroke (AIS), and the use of anticoagulants has been shown to be effective in preventing ischemic stroke in AF patients. Therefore, identifying AF in AIS patients has become increasingly important. However, the impact of brain imaging and cardiac indices on the development of new AF after stroke remains unclear. METHODS: A consecutive series of AIS patients who were admitted to the Ulsan University Hospital between January 2013 and December 2019 were identified. Patients with relevant ischemic brain lesions on MRI were included, and those without echocardiography data were excluded. We included and classified the AF patients who had the disease prior to or during hospitalization or met the criteria for cryptogenic stroke (CS). Differences in baseline characteristics, stroke risk factors, stroke severity, insular lesion, and echocardiographic data were investigated among each group. RESULTS: A total of 850 patients were enrolled in the study, comprising 231 patients with AF detected after stroke (AFDAS), 287 patients with known AF (KAF), and 350 patients with CS. Compared with KAF, patients with AFDAS had a lower prevalence of underlying coronary heart disease and stroke history. They had greater right insular cortex lesions and lesser left atrial enlargement in unadjusted analysis. Following adjusted analysis, the involvement of the right insular cortex was found to be associated with the AFDAS patient group (odds ratio, 1.57). When compared to the CS group, AFDAS patients were older, experienced more severe initial strokes, and had similar rates of pre-stroke anticoagulation prescription. Additionally, they demonstrated a higher prevalence of both insular lesions, increased left atrium volume index, reduced ejection fraction, and elevated e/e' ratio. After adjustment, age, initial stroke severity, insular involvement, left atrium volume index, ejection fraction, and e/e' ratio were found to be significant. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that the right insular cortex lesion on acute stroke may be a cause of AFDAS.

Persistent Renal Dysfunction After Acute Kidney Injury Among STEMI Patients Undergoing Primary Coronary Intervention: Prevalence and Predictors.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). AKI and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are highly heterogeneous, leaving a wide gap between them. Therefore, the term acute kidney disease (AKD) was implemented, describing prolonged renal injury between 7 and 90 days. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and predictors of AKD among STEMI patients. METHODS: This retrospective observational study included 2940 consecutive patients admitted with STEMI between 2008 and 2022. Renal function was assessed upon admission and routinely thereafter. Renal outcomes were evaluated according to KDIGO criteria, with AKD defined as persistent renal injury of between 7 and 90 days. RESULTS: Two hundred and fifty-two subjects with STEMI and AKI were included; of them, 117 (46%) developed AKD. Among baseline CKD patients, higher rates of AKD were observed (60% vs. 46%). KDIGO index ≥ 2 was an independent predictor for AKD in in subjects without baseline CKD (AOR 2.63, 95% CI 1.07-6.53). In subjects with baseline CKD, older age and higher creatinine were independent predictors for AKD. Subjects with AKD had a higher 1-year mortality rate (HR 3.39, 95% CI 1.71-6.72, p < 0.01). This trend was mainly driven by the CKD subpopulation where higher mortality rates for AKD on CKD were observed (HR 5.26, 95% CI 1.83-15.1, p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: AKD is common among STEMI patients with AKI. The presence of CKD and higher KDIGO stage should prompt strict monitoring for early diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of renal function deterioration.

Predictors of massive transfusion protocols activation in patients with trauma in Korea: a systematic review.

Purpose: Massive transfusion protocols (MTPs) implementation improves clinical outcomes of the patient's resuscitation with hemorrhagic trauma. Various predictive scoring system have been used and studied worldwide to improve clinical decision. However, such research has not yet been studied in Korea. This systematic review aimed to assess the predictors of MTPs activation in patients with trauma in Korea. Methods: The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Research Information Sharing Service databases, KoreaMed, and KMbase were searched from November 2022. All studies conducted in Korea that utilized predictors of MTPs activation in adult patients with trauma were included. Results: Ten articles were eligible for analysis, and the predictors were assessed. Clinical assessments such as systolic and diastolic blood pressure, shock index (SI), prehospital modified SI, modified early warning system (MEWS) and reverse SI multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG) were used. Laboratory values such as lactate level, fibrinogen degradation product/fibrinogen ratio, and rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM) were used. Imaging examinations such as pelvic bleeding score were used as predictors of MTPs activation. Conclusions: Our systematic review identified predictors of MTPs activation in patients with trauma in Korea; predictions were performed using tools that requires clinical assessments, laboratory values or imaging examinations only. Among them, ROTEM, rSIG, MEWS, SI, and lactate level showed good effects for predictions of MTPs activation. The application of predictors for MTP's activation should be individualized based on hospital resource and skill set, also should be performed as a clinical decision supporting tools.

Potential pathways to the onset and development of eating disorders in people with overweight and obesity: A scoping review.

OBJECTIVE: To describe pathways to eating disorder (ED) development that have been evaluated in people with overweight and obesity. METHODS: Four databases were searched to identify studies testing ED development models in adolescents (10-19 years) or adults (>19 years) with overweight and obesity. Explanatory variables were thematically grouped into constructs to describe pathways to each ED outcome. RESULTS: Of 2226 studies screened, 46 (10 adolescent; 36 adult) were included. Study samples were predominantly female, ranging from 22 to 2236 participants and mean age 12.3 to 56.0 years. In total, 207 explanatory variables were grouped into 18 constructs to summarize 107 pathways that were identified. The most common ED outcome was binge eating (n = 24 studies), followed by global ED psychopathology (n = 10 studies). Across pathways to ED development, negative affect was the most proposed construct, followed by preoccupation with weight/shape and weight stigma. CONCLUSION: Pathways to ED development in people with overweight and obesity are complex and may include more than 18 different explanatory factors of which negative affect, preoccupation with weight/shape, and weight stigma are the most common. More research on adolescents, males, and the spectrum of ED in diverse populations is required for early identification and intervention.

Anesthetic and obstetric predictors of general anesthesia in urgent or emergent Cesarean delivery: a retrospective case-control study.

PURPOSE: While regional anesthesia (RA) is considered preferable to general anesthesia (GA) for Cesarean delivery (CD), certain situations necessitate GA. This study reviewed the practice patterns around the use of GA for CD to identify modifiable predictors of GA with the goal of reducing GA rates. METHODS: This was a retrospective, case-control study. Patients undergoing urgent/emergent CD over a 3-year period were identified, from which 102 patients undergoing GA and 102 patients undergoing RA were randomly selected. The data included patient characteristics, obstetrical indications for CD, type/indication of anesthetic, characteristics of airway management (GA group)/neuraxial anesthesia (RA group), and neonatal outcomes. RESULTS: Abnormal fetal heart rate (aFHR) was the most common obstetrical indication for urgent/emergent CD amongst the cases (39%) and controls (39%). GA administration was most commonly due to "limited time due to maternal/fetal compromise" (56%), followed by "maternal contraindication to RA" (25%) and "inadequate RA" (17%). The most frequent modifiable anesthetic indication for GA was inadequate neuraxial anesthesia (17%). Anesthetic and obstetric predictors for GA included ASA classification [OR 0.11 (0.06-0.21)], emergency code activation [OR 13.55 (1.73-106.40)], failure to progress [OR 0.15 ((0.06-0.36)], labor in a patient scheduled for CD [OR 0.16 (0.05-0.57)], pregnancy-related illness [OR 8.63 (1.06-70.38)], cord/fetal prolapse [14.85(1.90-115.94)], and gestational age (OR 0.86 (0.81-0.92)). CONCLUSION: Abnormal fetal heart rate, specifically bradycardia, was the most common obstetrical indication of GA for urgent/emergent CD, while inadequate neuraxial anesthesia was the most  modifiable anesthetic indication. Our data suggest aFHR and cord/fetal prolapse as potentially modifiable risk factors for GA in certain situations.

Evaluating the predictive effect of vitamin D on clinical outcomes of infliximab-treated Crohn's disease patients in western China.

The aim was to evaluate predictors of clinical outcomes in infliximab (IFX)-treated Crohn's disease (CD) patients in western China and provide evidence for future treatment optimization. Our retrospective study included CD patients at Chongqing General Hospital from July 2022 to July 2023. Clinical data of CD patients at baseline and the endpoint (the seventh IFX treatment, 38 weeks) were collected. Baseline variables of IFX-treated patients with regard to clinical remission [Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) < 150] at endpoint were assessed, and the correlation of serum vitamin D (Vit-D) levels before initiating IFX therapy and CDAI at week 38 was analyzed. Sixty patients with IFX-treated CD were included. The Vit-D-deficient rate was 51.7% at baseline, 81.7% of patients achieved clinical remission, and 66.7% achieved endoscopic remission at week 38 of IFX treatment. Vit-D level at baseline was an independent predictors of clinical remission after IFX treatment (P < 0.05). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that when Vit-D concentration was 15.81 ng/ml, the area under the curve was 0.711 (95% CI 0.523-0.899, P = 0.03). The sensitivity and specificity were 81.6% and 63.6%, respectively. Vit-D level in the normal BMI, non-smoking, immunosuppressant-treated subgroup had independent predictive value for CDAI at endpoint (P < 0.05). Baseline Vit-D level predicted clinical remission in CD patients after IFX treatment, especially in those with normal body mass index, who do not smoke, and who take IFX in combination with immunosuppressants.

Time to death and its predictors among traumatic brain injury patients admitted to East Amhara comprehensive specialized hospitals, Ethiopia: retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Globally, 64-74 million individuals around the world are estimated to sustain traumatic brain injury every year. Moderate and severe traumatic brain injury can lead to a lifetime physical, cognitive, emotional, and behavioral changes. There were limited studies conducted in Ethiopia regarding to traumatic brain injury mortality. METHODS: An institutional based retrospective cohort study was conducted on 429 randomly selected traumatic brain injury patients aged 18 to 64 years who were admitted to East Amhara Comprehensive Specialized Hospitals from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2021. Kobo toolbox was applied for data collection and exported to Stata version 17 for data processing and analysis. To estimate death free time, a Kaplan Meier failure curve was used. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used at the 5% level of significance to determine effect of predictor variables on time to death. RESULT: A total of 429 traumatic brain injury patients aged 18 to 64 years were included with response rate of 91.3% and 145(33.8%) were dead. Open injuries (AHR = 0.25; 95% CI: 0.18-0.36), co-existing injuries (AHR = 0.40; 95% CI: 0.24-0.66), ICU admission (AHR = 0.42; 95% CI: 0.29-0.60), arrival within 4-24 h (AHR = 3.48; 95% CI: 2.01-6.03), arrival after 24 h (AHR = 6.69; 95% CI: 3.49-12.28), subdural hematoma (AHR = 2.72; 95% CI: 1.77-4.19), serum albumin < 3.5 g/dL (AHR = 0.66; 95% CI: 0.49-0.94), moderate (AHR = 0.56; 95% CI: 0.21-0.89), and mild traumatic brain injury (AHR = 0.43; 95% CI: 0.29-0.56) were predictors of traumatic brain injury mortality. CONCLUSION: The finding of this study showed that the mortality was 1/3rd of the total patients. Open injuries, co-existing injuries, ICU admission, arrival time (4-24 h and > 24 h), subdural hematoma, serum albumin < 3.5 g/dL and severity of traumatic brain injury (mild and moderate) were predictors of traumatic brain mortality. Therefore, working on these factors to reduce the morality of traumatic brain injury patients is very important.

Toward Universal Health Coverage: What Socioeconomic and Clinical Factors Influence Health Insurance Coverage and Restrictions in Access to Viral Hepatitis Services in Nasarawa State, Nigeria?

Background: Viral hepatitis B and C (HBV and HCV) pose significant public health concern in Nigeria, where access to healthcare and treatment affordability are limited. This study investigated sociodemographic and clinical predictors of health insurance coverage and access to care among patients with HBV and HCV in Nasarawa State, Nigeria. Methods: A cross-sectional facility-based study was conducted at two secondary hospitals in Nasarawa State, Nigeria. Participants included patients diagnosed with HBV, HCV, or both who were ≥18 years old. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire covering sociodemographic and clinical information, health insurance details, and economic impact. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze the relationship between sociodemographic/clinical factors and health insurance status. Results: Out of 303 participants, 68% had health insurance, which mostly covered hepatitis screening and vaccination. Significant predictors of health insurance coverage included being aged 36-40 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 11.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.38-50.89, p = 0.002), having post-secondary education (aOR: 25.2, 95% CI: 9.67-65.68, p < 0.001), being employed (aOR: 27.83, 95% CI: 8.85-87.58, p < 0.001), and being HIV-positive (aOR: 4.06, 95% CI: 1.55-10.61, p = 0.004). Nearly all those insured (99%) faced restrictions in insurance coverage for viral hepatitis services. Conclusions: This study reveals that while health insurance coverage is relatively high among viral hepatitis patients in Nasarawa State, significant restrictions hinder access to comprehensive services, especially for vulnerable groups like younger adults, the unemployed, and PLHIV. Key factors influencing coverage include age, education, employment, and HIV status. Expanding benefit packages to include viral hepatitis diagnosis and treatment, raising awareness about viral hepatitis as part of insurance strategy, improving access for underserved populations, and integrating hepatitis services into existing HIV programs with strong policy implementation monitoring frameworks are crucial to advancing universal health coverage and meeting the WHO's 2030 elimination goals.

Rapid Decision Algorithm for Patient Triage during Ebola Outbreaks.

The low specificity of Ebola virus disease clinical signs increases the risk for nosocomial transmission to patients and healthcare workers during outbreaks. Reducing this risk requires identifying patients with a high likelihood of Ebola virus infection. Analyses of retrospective data from patients suspected of having Ebola virus infection identified 13 strong predictors and time from disease onset as constituents of a prediction score for Ebola virus disease. We also noted 4 highly predictive variables that could distinguish patients at high risk for infection, independent of their scores. External validation of this algorithm on retrospective data revealed the probability of infection continuously increased with the score.

Factors affecting the collateral ingrowth from the superficial temporal artery after Encephalo-Duro-Arterio-Synangiosis in adult patients with Moyamoya disease.

BACKGROUND: Multiple factors have been proposed to affect the vessel ingrowth from the superficial temporal artery (STA) after Encephalo-Duro-Arterio-Synangiosis (EDAS). METHODS: This retrospective single-center analyses included patients with Moyamoya Disease (MMD) undergoing EDAS from January 1st, 2013, to December 31st, 2023. Evaluated variables included demographic characteristics, clinical presentation, technical details, modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores, and radiographic outcomes. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors favoring the ingrowth of collaterals from the STA. RESULTS: Forty adult patients with MMD, most commonly females (77.5 %) with a median age of 48, underwent 56 EDAS. The most common initial presentations were ischemic events (75.0 %), followed by hemorrhagic events (27.5 %) and seizures (7.5 %). Digital angiography performed at a median of 13.7 months post-procedure revealed collateral growth from the STA in 78.6 % of cases, with a Matsushima grade A identified in 35.7 % of the revascularized hemispheres. Univariate analysis showed more collaterals in patients with a larger preoperative STA diameter (p=0.035), higher Suzuki grades (p=0.021) and longer angiographic follow-ups (p=0.048). Patients with occlusion of the internal carotid artery (ICA; p<0.01), middle cerebral artery (MCA; p<0.01), or anterior cerebral artery (ACA; p<0.01) also had more collateral ingrowth. Multivariate analysis revealed that ICA occlusion (OR=6.54; 95 % CI=1.03-41.48) and ACA occlusion (OR=6.52; 95 % CI=1.02-41.67) as predictors of collateral ingrowth from the STA. CONCLUSION: ICA and ACA occlusion were associated with success after EDAS. Longer follow-ups and larger STA demonstrated significant association on univariate analysis, but lost significance after adjusting for other procedural characteristics.

Patterns and predictors of opioid dispensing among older cancer patients from 2008 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: Understanding factors associated with opioid dispensing in cancer patients is important for developing tailored guidelines and ensuring equitable access to pain management. We examined patterns and predictors of opioid dispensing among older cancer patients from 2008 to 2015. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database linked to Medicare claims. We included the most common cancer types among patients aged 66-95 years. Opioids dispensed within 30 days before and 120 days after cancer diagnosis were assessed. We used logistic regression models to examine trends, adjusted odds ratios (aORs), and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for opioid dispensing, considering patient demographics, geography, cancer stage, comorbidities, and treatment options. Models were stratified by sex. RESULTS: A total of 211,759 cancer patients aged 66-95 years were included in the study. For cancers combined, non-Hispanic Black men had a significantly lower odds of receiving opioids during the 120 days post-diagnosis (aOR = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.84-0.94) compared to non-Hispanic White men. Factors such as pre-diagnosis opioid dispensing, age, geography, cancer stage, comorbidities, and type of cancer treatment were associated with opioid dispensing during the 120 days post-diagnosis. Surgery had the strongest association, with men undergoing surgery being 4.4 times more likely to receive opioids within 120 days post-diagnosis (aOR = 4.41, 95% CI = 4.23-4.60), while women had an odds ratio of 2.72 (95% CI = 2.62-2.83). Chemotherapy and radiotherapy were also positively associated with opioid dispensing, with less pronounced estimates. CONCLUSIONS: We observed significant variations in opioid dispensing among cancer patients aged 66-95 years across cancer types and demographic and clinical factors.

Risk factors for acute appendicitis among adult patients with indeterminate ultrasound.

OBJECTIVES: Abdominal ultrasound is used for diagnosing appendicitis in patients with right lower quadrant abdominal pain. Between 45 and 82% of radiology performed ultrasounds are indeterminate for appendicitis and computed tomography is required for diagnostic confirmation. Our study aims to determine predictors to rule out appendicitis when ultrasound is indeterminate. METHODS: We performed a health records review of adult emergency department (ED) patients presenting with symptoms suspicious for appendicitis and indeterminate ultrasound to two academic EDs between June 2019 and July 2020. The outcome was appendicitis diagnosis within 30 days of the index ED visit. We used multivariable logistic regression, identifying a cut-off threshold for continuous variables with cubic spline, and chose the parsimonious model to develop a binary decision rule. We report Odds ratios (OR) and diagnostic performance with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Overall, 463 patients (mean age 30.3 years (SD 10.5 years), 74.9% female) were included. Appendicitis was diagnosed in 45 patients (9.7% [95% CI 7.2-12.8%]). After ultrasound, computed tomography was performed in 227 patients (49.0%) and 39 patients (17.2%) were diagnosed with appendicitis. Among the 236 patients who did not have a subsequent computed tomography, 6 (2.6%) patients had appendicitis. Neutrophil count > 5.5 × 109/L (OR 1.21 [95% CI 1.12-1.30]) and secondary signs of inflammation on ultrasound (OR 2.16 [1.07-4.37]) were associated with a higher likelihood of appendicitis (C-statistic 0.77 [95% CI 0.70-0.84]). The absence of both predictors had a sensitivity of 88.9% (95% CI 76.0-96.3%), specificity of 45.7% (95% CI 40.8-50.6%) and a negative predictive value of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94-0.99) to rule out appendicitis. CONCLUSION: For patients suspected of appendicitis and indeterminate ultrasound, the absence of an elevated neutrophil count and secondary signs of inflammation are associated with a low probability of appendicitis.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: Les échographies abdominales sont utilisées pour diagnostiquer l'appendicite chez les patients souffrant de douleurs abdominales du quadrant inférieur droit. Entre 45 et 82 % des examens radiologiques effectués sont indéterminés pour l'appendicite, et une tomographie est nécessaire pour confirmer le diagnostic. Notre étude vise à déterminer les prédicteurs permettant d'exclure l'appendicite lorsque l'échographie est indéterminée. MéTHODES: Nous avons effectué un examen des dossiers de santé des patients adultes du service d'urgence (DE) présentant des symptômes suspects d'appendicite et une échographie indéterminée à deux ED universitaires entre juin 2019 et juillet 2020. Le résultat était un diagnostic d'appendicite dans les 30 jours suivant la visite de l'index ED. Nous avons utilisé la régression logistique multivariable, en identifiant un seuil de coupure pour les variables continues avec une spline cubique, et choisi le modèle parcimonieux pour développer une règle de décision binaire. Nous rapportons les rapports de cotes (OR) et la performance diagnostique avec des intervalles de confiance à 95 % (IC). RéSULTATS: Dans l'ensemble, 463 patients (âge moyen 30,3 ans (SD 10,5 ans), 74,9 % de sexe féminin) ont été inclus. Une appendicite a été diagnostiquée chez 45 patients (9,7 % [IC à 95 % 7,2 %-12,8 %]). Après échographie, une tomodensitométrie a été réalisée chez 227 patients (49,0 %) et 39 patients (17,2 %) ont reçu un diagnostic d'appendicite. Parmi les 236 patients qui n'ont pas subi de tomographie, six (2,6 %) présentaient une appendicite. Le nombre de neutrophiles > 5,5x109/L (OR 1,21 [IC à 95 % 1,12-1,30]) et les signes secondaires d'inflammation à l'échographie (OR 2,16 [1,07-4,37]) étaient associés à une probabilité plus élevée d'appendicite (statistique C 0,77 [IC à 95 % 0,70-0,84]). L'absence des deux prédicteurs avait une sensibilité de 88,9 % (IC à 95 %, 76,0 %-96,3 %), une spécificité de 45,7 % (IC à 95 %, 40,8 %-50,6 %) et une valeur prédictive négative de 0,97 (IC à 95 %, 0,94 %, 0,99 %) pour exclure l'appendicite. CONCLUSION: Chez les patients suspectés d'appendicite et d'échographie indéterminée, l'absence de taux élevé de neutrophiles et de signes secondaires d'inflammation sont associés à une faible probabilité d'appendicite.

Predictors of Clinical Success of Cardioneuroablation in Patients With Syncope: Results of a Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: Cardioneuroablation (CNA) is a promising treatment for syncope. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to analyze the success and risk of CNA ,and to describe predictive factors of CNA success in patients with syncope. METHODS: Seventy-seven consecutive patients with syncope treated with CNA in 22 hospitals and at least 6 months of follow-up were included. Patients with reflex cardioinhibitory, mixed syncope, functional sinus node dysfunction (SND), or functional atrioventricular block were included. The primary endpoint was the recurrence of syncope after the CNA. RESULTS: Mean age was 49.3 ± 13.4 years and 54.5% were women. Five (6.5%) patients presented complications. Three patients presented SND, 1 required a pacemaker. During a median follow-up of 12 months (Q1-Q3: 8-20 months), 26 (33.8%) patients had recurrence of syncope. Women had a significantly higher risk of recurrence compared with men (HR: 3.3; 95% CI: 1.2-8.8; P = 0.016). Patients >50 years of age had a significantly lower risk of recurrence compared with younger patients (HR: 0.3; 95% CI: 0.1-0.9; P = 0.032). The risk of recurrence in mixed syncope was significantly higher than in cardioinhibitory syncope (HR: 4.4; 95% CI: 1.1-17.5; P = 0.033). Syncope recurrence was significantly less frequent in patients treated with general anesthesia or deep sedation compared with conscious sedation (HR: 0.2; 95% CI: 0.1-0.6; P = 0.002). Finally, the number of radiofrequency applications (≤30 or >30) had a significant association with CNA success (HR: 0.4; 95% CI: 0.2-0.9; P = 0.042). These results were adjusted for confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS: In this multicenter study, the effectiveness of CNA was less than previously reported. We found a 3.9% risk of SND. Male sex, age >50 years, cardioinhibitory syncope, general anesthesia or deep sedation, and >30 radiofrequency applications could predict success of CNA for syncope.

Negative Beliefs About Working with Health Problems and Support at Work as Predictors for Return to Work for People Struggling with Common Mental Disorders.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to investigate predictors for return to work for people struggling with common mental disorders on sick leave or at risk of sick leave. The first aim of this study was to evaluate the psychometric properties of a set of statements exploring different conditions at the workplace and assumptions about working with health problems, by investigating the factor structure, reliability and construct validity of these statements. The second aim of this study was to investigate the predictive value of the identified factors. METHODS: A total of 797 patients from an outpatient mental health clinic were included in a naturalistic observational study. The study design was longitudinal. The participants filled out self-report questionnaires pre- and post-treatment. RESULTS: A principal component factor analysis with a varimax rotation identified two factors, Negative beliefs about working with health problems and Support at work, displaying high internal consistency, 0.83 and 0.84, respectively. Separately, both factors were significant predictors of full return to work after treatment. The final multivariable analysis including both factors left Negative beliefs about working with health problems as a significant predictor explaining unique variance. CONCLUSIONS: Negative beliefs about working with health problems and Support at work are important predictors for work status after treatment and should therefore be addressed during treatment for common mental disorders to assist people return to work.

Clinical outcomes and outcome predictors of two-year assertive community treatment in Norway: an explorative prospective pre-post study.

BACKGROUND: Assertive Community Treatment (ACT) teams have become a part of mental health services for people with severe mental illness in many high-income countries. Studies in several countries have investigated the outcomes of ACT, and knowledge is also needed about outcomes of ACT teams in Norway. Our aims were to study clinical outcomes of ACT, how the outcomes were associated with characteristics of patients and treatment, and whether they differed across ACT teams. METHODS: Our explorative, prospective, pre-post multicenter study involved 142 patients who received ACT for two years from the first 12 ACT teams established in urban and rural areas of Norway. There was no control group. The primary outcome was change in clinician-rated psychiatric symptoms. Secondary outcomes were clinician-rated change in functioning and engagement and change in community tenure compared with 2 years prior to ACT. We measured fidelity to the ACT model using the Tool for Measurement of Assertive Community Treatment. We performed linear mixed-effects modeling to analyze outcomes and their associations with characteristics of patients and treatment. RESULTS: After two years, psychiatric symptoms were significantly reduced with a small effect size. Negative symptoms, anxiety and depression, and agitation and mania had significant reductions, while positive symptoms had nonsignificant changes. Functioning, engagement, and community tenure all significantly increased with small effect sizes. Age, difficulty to engage, problematic use of alcohol, frequent previous use of inpatient services, total number of sessions, and team's fidelity to the ACT model were associated with different groups of symptoms. Less improvement in functioning was associated with team fidelity and number of sessions. Change in engagement was not associated with any predictors. Increased community tenure was greater for younger patients and patients who were on community treatment orders at treatment start. CONCLUSIONS: ACT for two years led to significant positive outcomes with small effect sizes for psychiatric symptoms, functioning, engagement, and community tenure. The outcomes were associated with some potential predictors, and some team-level variance emerged. Positive significant outcomes after two years indicate that larger improvements may be achieved from longer-term treatments by ACT teams.

Preoperative predictors of difficult early laparoscopic cholecystectomy among patients with acute calculous cholecystitis in Egypt.

BACKGROUND: Early laparoscopic cholecystectomy (ELC) in the setting of acute calculous cholecystitis (ACC) requires to be performed by highly-skilled surgeons to avoid complications. The purpose of this study is to identify preoperative factors that would predict difficult ELC among patients with ACC prior to proceeding with surgery. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed all patients who received ELC within 10 days from the onset of symptoms of ACC between August 1, 2018, and December 31, 2022. They were divided into 2 groups according to the difficulty of surgery. RESULTS: 149 patients with ACC received ELC during the study period. ELC was considered difficult in 52 patients (35%). Five preoperative factors were identified as significant predictors of difficult ELC (DELC) on multivariate analysis: duration of acute attack ≥ 4 days from the onset of symptoms till surgery (OR 34.4, P < 0.001), ultrasound showing largest gallstone size > 20 mm (OR 20.2, P = 0.029), ultrasound showing gallstone impaction in Hartmann's pouch (OR 7.2, P = 0.017), history of prior episode(s) of acute attack (OR 6.8, P = 0.048), and diabetes mellitus (OR 5.8, P = 0.046). CONCLUSION: Careful preoperative assessment of patients with ACC is crucial among junior surgeons with limited surgical expertise prior to proceeding with ELC to identify those at risk of DELC to potentially reduce postoperative morbidity and mortality. If encountered, a management plan should be made, and surgery should proceed only upon confirming the availability of experienced surgeons in the field of biliary and laparoscopic surgery to supervise or assist in the procedure. Alternatively, such group of patients should rather be transferred to more advanced surgical centers which offer higher level of care to maintain patient safety and optimal surgical outcomes. More importantly, bail-out procedures should always be resorted to whenever DELC is encountered intraoperatively to prevent further surgical damage.