Analysis of pre-admission risk factors for unplanned reintubation in geriatric trauma patients.

INTRODUCTION: Reintubation in unplanned scenarios, carries inherent risks and potential complications particularly in vulnerable populations such as geriatric trauma patients. We sought to identify preadmission risk factors for unplanned re-intubation (URI) in geriatric trauma patients and its effects on outcomes. METHODS: Analysis of TQIP (2017-2019) of intubated geriatric trauma patients, classified into two groups, those who were successfully extubated and those who required URI. We used logistic regression to assess for preadmission risk factors of URI. RESULTS: Among 23,572 patients, 20.2 â€‹% underwent URI. URI had higher mortality (13.7%vs.8.1 â€‹%, p â€‹< â€‹0.001), in-hospital complications (p â€‹< â€‹0.05), longer hospital and ICU LOS (p â€‹< â€‹0.001 for both). Higher age (OR â€‹= â€‹1.017), smoking (OR â€‹= â€‹1.418), CRF(OR â€‹= â€‹1.414), COPD (OR â€‹= â€‹1.410), alcohol use (OR â€‹= â€‹1.365), functionally dependent health status (OR â€‹= â€‹1.339), and anticoagulant use (OR â€‹= â€‹1.148), increased the risks of URI (p â€‹< â€‹0.05 for all). CONCLUSION: Geriatric patients with comorbidities including age, smoking, CRF, COPD, alcohol use, dependent status, and anticoagulant use are at higher risks of URI that could in turn, be associated with increased rates of mortality, complications, and longer hospital and ICU length of stay. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III retrospective study.

Ultrasound evaluation of cardiac and diaphragmatic function at different positions during a spontaneous breathing trial predicting extubation outcomes: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The ratio (E/Ea) of mitral Doppler inflow velocity to annular tissue Doppler wave velocity by transthoracic echocardiography and diaphragmatic excursion (DE) by diaphragm ultrasound have been confirmed to predict extubation outcomes. However, few studies focused on the predicting value of E/Ea and DE at different positions during a spontaneous breathing trial (SBT), as well as the effects of △E/Ea and △DE (changes in E/Ea and DE during a SBT). METHODS: This study was a reanalysis of the data of 60 difficult-to-wean patients in a previous study published in 2017. All eligible participants were organized into respiratory failure (RF) group and extubation success (ES) group within 48 h after extubation, or re-intubation (RI) group and non-intubation (NI) group within 1 week after extubation. The risk factors for respiratory failure and re-intubation including E/Ea and △E/Ea, DE and △DE at different positions were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression, respectively. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of E/Ea (septal, lateral, average) and DE (right, left, average) were compared with each other, respectively. RESULTS: Of the 60 patients, 29 cases developed respiratory failure within 48 h, and 14 of those cases required re-intubation within 1 week. Multivariate logistic regression showed that E/Ea were all associated with respiratory failure, while only DE (right) and DE (average) after SBT were related to re-intubation. There were no statistic differences among the ROC curves of E/Ea at different positions, nor between the ROC curves of DE. No statistical differences were shown in △E/Ea between RF and ES groups, while △DE (average) was remarkably higher in NI group than that in RI group. However, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that △DE (average) was not associated with re-intubation. CONCLUSIONS: E/Ea at different positions during a SBT could predict postextubation respiratory failure with no statistical differences among them. Likewise, only DE (right) and DE (average) after SBT might predict re-intubation with no statistical differences between each other.

High Flow Nasal Cannula Versus Conventional Oxygen Therapy and Incidence of Post-Extubation Airway Obstruction in PICU: An Open-Label Randomized Controlled Trial (HiFloCOT-PICU Trial).

OBJECTIVES: To study the impact of high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) vs. conventional oxygen therapy (COT) (by simple nasal cannula) as respiratory support after extubation on the rates of post-extubation airway obstruction (PEAO) among mechanically ventilated critically ill children. METHODS: This open-label randomized controlled trial was conducted in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of a tertiary care teaching hospital in North India over a period of 7 mo (11 August 2021 to 10 March 2022). Children aged 3 mo to 12 y who required invasive mechanical ventilation for > 72 h and had passed spontaneous breathing trial (ready for extubation) were enrolled and randomized by computer generated block randomization to receive HFNC or COT after extubation. Primary outcome was rate of PEAO (assessed by modified Westley croup score, mWCS) within 48 h of extubation; and secondary outcomes were rate and number of adrenaline nebulization, treatment failure (requiring escalation of respiratory support), extubation failure, adverse events, and length of PICU stay in two groups. RESULTS: During the study period, 116 children were enrolled (58 each in HFNC and COT groups). There was no difference in rate of PEAO (55% vs. 51.7%, respectively), need of adrenaline nebulization, extubation failure, adverse events, and duration of PICU stay in two groups. However, the HFNC group had significantly lower rates of treatment failure (27.6% vs. 48.3%, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The rate of PEAO was similar in HFNC and COT groups. However, HFNC group had significantly lower rate of treatment failure requiring escalation of respiratory support.

Ability of parasternal intercostal muscle thickening fraction to predict reintubation in surgical patients with sepsis.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate the ability of the parasternal intercostal (PIC) thickening fraction during spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) to predict the need for reintubation within 48 h after extubation in surgical patients with sepsis. METHODS: This prospective observational study included adult patients with sepsis who were mechanically ventilated and indicated for SBT. Ultrasound measurements of the PIC thickening fraction and diaphragmatic excursion (DE) were recorded 15 min after the start of the SBT. After extubation, the patients were followed up for 48 h for the need for reintubation. The study outcomes were the ability of the PIC thickening fraction (primary outcome) and DE to predict reintubation within 48 h of extubation using area under receiver characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. The accuracy of the model including the findings of right PIC thickening fraction and right DE was also assessed using the current study cut-off values. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for reintubation. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 49 patients who underwent successful SBT, and 10/49 (20%) required reintubation. The AUCs (95% confidence interval [CI]) for the ability of right and left side PIC thickening fraction to predict reintubation were 0.97 (0.88-1.00) and 0.96 (0.86-1.00), respectively; at a cutoff value of 6.5-8.3%, the PIC thickening fraction had a negative predictive value of 100%. The AUCs for the PIC thickening fraction and DE were comparable; and both measures were independent risk factors for reintubation. The AUC (95% CI) of the model including the right PIC thickening fraction > 6.5% and right DE ≤ 18 mm to predict reintubation was 0.99 (0.92-1.00), with a positive predictive value of 100% when both sonographic findings are positive and negative predictive value of 100% when both sonographic findings are negative. CONCLUSIONS: Among surgical patients with sepsis, PIC thickening fraction evaluated during the SBT is an independent risk factor for reintubation. The PIC thickening fraction has an excellent predictive value for reintubation. A PIC thickening fraction of ≤ 6.5-8.3% can exclude reintubation, with a negative predictive value of 100%. Furthermore, a combination of high PIC and low DE can also indicate a high risk of reintubation. However, larger studies that include different populations are required to replicate our findings and validate the cutoff values.

Peripheral perfusion index as a predictor of reintubation in critically ill surgical patients.

PURPOSE: We aimed to evaluate the ability of the peripheral perfusion index (PPI) to predict reintubation of critically ill surgical patients. METHODS: This prospective observational study included mechanically ventilated adults who were extubated after a successful spontaneous breathing trial (SBT). The patients were followed up for the next 48 h for the need for reintubation. The heart rate, systolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, peripheral arterial oxygen saturation (SpO2), and PPI were measured before-, at the end of SBT, 1 and 2 h postextubation. The primary outcome was the ability of PPI 1 h postextubation to predict reintubation using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors for reintubation. RESULTS: Data from 62 patients were analysed. Reintubation occurred in 12/62 (19%) of the patients. Reintubated patients had higher heart rate and respiratory rate; and lower SpO2 and PPI than successfully weaned patients. The AUC (95%confidence interval) for the ability of PPI at 1 h postextubation to predict reintubation was 0.82 (0.71-0.91) with a negative predictive value of 97%, at a cutoff value of ≤ 2.5. Low PPI and high respiratory rate were the independent predictors for reintubation. CONCLUSION: PPI early after extubation is a useful tool for prediction of reintubation. Low PPI is an independent risk factor for reintubation. A PPI > 2.5, one hour after extubation can confirm successful extubation.

Independent Risk Factors of Failed Extubation among Adult Critically Ill Patients: A Prospective Observational Study from Saudi Arabia.

Background: Mechanical ventilation provides essential support for critically ill patients in several diagnoses; however, extubation failure can affect patient outcomes. From Saudi Arabia, no study has assessed the factors associated with extubation failure in adults. Methods: This prospective observational study was conducted in the intensive care unit of a tertiary care hospital in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Adult patients who had been mechanically ventilated via the endotracheal tube for a minimum of 24 hours and then extubated according to the weaning protocol were included. Failed extubation was defined as reintubation within 48 hours of extubation. Results: A total of 505 patients were included, of which 72 patients had failed extubation (14.3%, 95% CI: 11.4%-17.7%). Compared with the failed extubation group, the successfully extubated group had significantly shorter duration of mechanical ventilation (mean difference: -2.6 days, 95% CI: -4.3 to -1; P = 0.001), a slower respiratory rate at the time of extubation (mean difference: -2.3 breath/min, 95% CI: -3.8 to -1; P = 0.0005), higher pH (mean difference: 0.02, 95% CI: 0.001-0.04; P = 0.03), and more patients with strong cough (percent difference: 17.7%, 95% CI: 4.8%-30.5%; P = 0.02). Independent risk factors of failed extubation were age (aOR = 1.02; 95% CI: 1.002-1.03; P = 0.03), respiratory rate (aOR = 1.06, 95% CI: 1.01-1.1; P = 0.008), duration of mechanical ventilation (aOR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.03 - 1.1; P < 0.001), and pH (aOR = 0.02, 95% CI: 0.0006-0.5; P = 0.02). Conclusion: Older age, longer duration of mechanical ventilation, faster respiratory rate, and lower pH were found to be independent risk factors that significantly increased the odds of extubation failure among adults.

Association Between Spontaneous Breathing Trial Methods and Reintubation in Adult Critically Ill Patients: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND: Reintubation is associated with higher risk of mortality. There is no clear evidence on the best spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) method to reduce the risk of reintubation. RESEARCH QUESTION: Are different methods of conducting SBTs in critically ill patients associated with different risk of reintubation compared with T-tube? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials investigating the effects of different SBT methods on reintubation. We surveyed PubMed, MEDLINE, CINAHL, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases from inception to January 26, 2024. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) was used to determine the likelihood that an intervention was ranked as the best. Pairwise comparisons were also investigated by frequentist meta-analysis. Certainty of the evidence was assessed according to the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations approach. RESULTS: A total of 22 randomized controlled trials were included, for a total of 6,196 patients. The network included nine nodes, with 13 direct pairwise comparisons. About 71% of the patients were allocated to T-tube and pressure support ventilation with positive end-expiratory pressure, with 2,135 and 2,101 patients, respectively. The only intervention with a significantly lower risk of reintubation compared with T-tube was high flow oxygen (HFO) (risk ratio, 0.23; 95% credibility interval, 0.09-0.51; moderate quality evidence). HFO was associated with the highest probability of being the best intervention for reducing the risk of reintubation (81.86%; SUCRA, 96.42), followed by CPAP (11.8%; SUCRA, 76.75). INTERPRETATION: HFO SBT was associated with a lower risk of reintubation in comparison with other SBT methods. The results of our analysis should be considered with caution due to the low number of studies that investigated HFO SBTs and potential clinical heterogeneity related to cointerventions. Further trials should be performed to confirm the results on larger cohorts of patients and assess specific subgroups. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO; No.: CRD42023449264; URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/.

Risks for prolonged mechanical ventilation and reintubation after cervical malignant tumor surgery: a nested case-control study.

PURPOSE: Prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) and reintubation are among the most serious postoperative adverse events associated with malignant cervical tumors. In this study, we aimed to clarify the incidence, characteristics, and risk factors for PMV and reintubation in target patients. METHODS: This retrospective nested case-control study was performed between January 2014 and January 2020 at a large spinal tumor center in China. Univariate analysis was used to identify the possible risk factors associated with PMV and reintubation. Logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) with covariates of a probability < 0.05 in univariate analysis. RESULTS: From a cohort of 560 patients with primary malignant (n = 352) and metastatic (n = 208) cervical tumors, 27 patients required PMV and 20 patients underwent reintubation. The incidence rates of PMV and reintubation were 4.82% and 3.57%, respectively. Three variables (all p < 0.05) were independently associated with an increased risk of PMV: Karnofsky Performance Status < 50 compared to ≥ 80, operation duration ≥ 8 h compared to < 6 h, and C4 nerve root encased by the tumor. Longer operative duration and preoperative hypercapnia (all p < 0.05) were independent risk factors for postoperative reintubation, both of which led to longer length of stay (32.6 ± 30.8 vs. 10.7 ± 5.95 days, p < 0.001), with an in-hospital mortality of 17.0%. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrate the risk factors for PMV or reintubation after surgery for malignant cervical tumors. Adequate assessment, early detection, and prevention are necessary for this high-risk population.

Comparative effectiveness of alternative spontaneous breathing trial techniques: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized trials.

BACKGROUND: The spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) technique that best balance successful extubation with the risk for reintubation is unknown. We sought to determine the comparative efficacy and safety of alternative SBT techniques. METHODS: We searched Medline, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to February 2023 for randomized or quasi-randomized trials comparing SBT techniques in critically ill adults and children and reported initial SBT success, successful extubation, reintubation (primary outcomes) and mortality (ICU, hospital, most protracted; secondary outcome) rates. Two reviewers screened, reviewed full-texts, and abstracted data. We performed frequentist random-effects network meta-analysis. RESULTS: We included 40 RCTs (6716 patients). Pressure Support (PS) versus T-piece SBTs was the most common comparison. Initial successful SBT rates were increased with PS [risk ratio (RR) 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.05-1.11)], PS/automatic tube compensation (ATC) [1.12 (1.01 -1.25), high flow nasal cannulae (HFNC) [1.07 (1.00-1.13) (all moderate certainty), and ATC [RR 1.11, (1.03-1.20); low certainty] SBTs compared to T-piece SBTs. Similarly, initial successful SBT rates were increased with PS, ATC, and PS/ATC SBTs compared to continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) SBTs. Successful extubation rates were increased with PS [RR 1.06, (1.03-1.09); high certainty], ATC [RR 1.13, (1.05-1.21); moderate certainty], and HFNC [RR 1.06, (1.02-1.11); high certainty] SBTs, compared to T-piece SBTs. There was little to no difference in reintubation rates with PS (vs. T-piece) SBTs [RR 1.05, (0.91-1.21); low certainty], but increased reintubation rates with PS [RR 2.84, (1.61-5.03); moderate certainty] and ATC [RR 2.95 (1.57-5.56); moderate certainty] SBTs compared to HFNC SBTs. CONCLUSIONS: SBTs conducted with pressure augmentation (PS, ATC, PS/ATC) versus without (T-piece, CPAP) increased initial successful SBT and successful extubation rates. Although SBTs conducted with PS or ATC versus HFNC increased reintubation rates, this was not the case for PS versus T-piece SBTs.

A Comparison of Perioperative Complications and Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Cerebral Aneurysm Clipping Performed Ultra-Early (≤ 24 hours) versus Late (> 24 hours): A 7-Year Retrospective Study of 302 Patients.

Objectives The intracerebral aneurysm with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has a high morbidity and mortality rate. This study aimed to compare the incidences of perioperative complications in ultra-early surgery (within 24 hours) with those in late surgery (> 24 hours). Methods Retrospective data were reviewed for 302 patients who underwent craniotomies with aneurysm clipping between January 2014 and December 2020. Perioperative data were obtained from the medical records and reviewed by the investigators. The complications were compared between ultra-early and late operations. We were interested in major complications such as delayed ischemic neurologic deficit (DIND), intraoperative aneurysm rupture (IAR), and anesthesia-related complications. The short-term (in hospital) and long-term (1 year) outcomes in patients with or without DIND and IAR were compared. The collected data was statistically analyzed. Results Three hundred and two patients were analyzed, and 264 patients had completed follow-up. The ultra-early cases (150 patients) had a higher American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status, a lower Glasgow Coma Scale, and higher Hunt and Hess scales. The surgeons operated on more cases of the anterior cerebral artery as ultra-early operations. The incidence rates of DIND, IAR, severe hemodynamic instability, and cardiac arrest were 5.6, 8.3, 6.3, and 0.3%, respectively, which were not different between groups. However, the reintubation rate was higher in the ultra-early surgery cases (0 vs. 3.3%, p = 0.023). The DIND and IAR patients had poorer short-term (in hospital) outcomes. Conclusions There were no differences in major complications between ultra-early and late craniotomy with aneurysm clipping. However, the reintubation rate was strikingly higher in the ultra-early group. Patients with major complications had early, unfavorable outcomes.

Effectiveness of early high-flow nasal oxygen therapy after extubation of patients in the intensive care unit.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of early high-flow nasal oxygen (HFNO) therapy initiation using a pre-determined respiratory rate­oxygenation (ROX) index on reducing reintubation rates and duration of intensive care unit (ICU) stay in post-extubated patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We enrolled a total of 145 extubated patients (mean age: 67.1 ± 12.9 years; sex: 96 male and 49 female; acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score: 18.4 ± 6.8 points) classified into two groups: 71 patients admitted to the ICU before establishing extubation criteria and 74 patients after criteria implementation, over a 6-month period. We compared the HFNO reintubation rates and ROX index at 2 h post-extubation before and after implementing early HFNO criteria. RESULTS: The utilization rate of HFNO pre- and post-establishment of early HFNO criteria did not differ significantly (19.7% vs. 17.6%). However, the reintubation rate significantly decreased (11.3% vs. 4.1%, P < 0.05) with early HFNO use. Additionally, significant differences were observed in the total intubation period (5.2 ± 7.0 vs. 2.5 ± 2.7 days, P < 0.05) and ICU duration (8.6 ± 9.7 vs. 5.8 ± 5.6 days, P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Early initiation of HFNO guided by the ROX index threshold post-extubation in patients admitted to ICU is associated with reduced reintubation rates and shorter ICU stays.

Investigating the risk of reintubation by cough force assessment using cough peak expiratory flow: a single-center observational pilot study.

BACKGROUND: No objective indicator exists for evaluating cough strength during extubation of tracheally intubated patients. This study aimed to determine whether cough peak expiratory flow (CPEF) can predict the risk of reintubation due to decreased cough strength. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients who were admitted to our Emergency Intensive Care Unit between September 1, 2020 and August 31, 2021 and were under artificial ventilation management for ≥ 24 h. The patients were divided into two groups: successful extubation and reintubation groups, and the relationship between CPEF immediately before extubation and reintubation was investigated. RESULTS: Seventy-six patients were analyzed. In the univariate analysis, CPEF was significantly different between the successful extubation (90.7 ± 25.9 L/min) and reintubation (57.2 ± 6.4 L/min) groups (p < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis with age and duration of artificial ventilation as covariates, CPEF was significantly lower in the reintubation group (p < 0.01). The cutoff value of CPEF for reintubation according to the receiver operating characteristic curve was 60 L/min (area under the curve, 0.897; sensitivity, 78.5%; specificity, 90.9%; p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: CPEF in tracheally intubated patients may be a useful indicator for predicting the risk of reintubation associated with decreased cough strength. The cutoff CPEF value for reintubation due to decreased cough strength was 60 L/min.

Effect of Reintubation Within 48 Hours on Mortality in Critically Ill Patients After Planned Extubation.

BACKGROUND: Re-intubation is necessary in 2% to 30% of cases of patients receiving a planned extubation. This procedure is associated with prolonged mechanical ventilation, a greater need for tracheostomy, a higher incidence of ventilator-associated pneumonia, and higher mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of re-intubation within 48 h on mortality after planned extubation by using a randomized controlled trial database. METHODS: Secondary analysis of a multi-center randomized trial, which evaluated the effect of reconnection to mechanical ventilation for 1 h after a successful spontaneous breathing trial, followed by extubation. The study included adult subjects who received invasive mechanical ventilation for > 12 h. The subjects were divided into an extubation failure group and an extubation success group. The outcome was in-hospital mortality. Two multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to identify independent factors associated with mortality. RESULTS: Among the 336 subjects studied, extubation failed in 52 (15.4%) and they were re-intubated within 48 h. Most re-intubations occurred between 12 and 24 h after planned extubation (median [interquartile range] 16 [6-36] h). Mortality of the extubation failure group was higher both in the ICU (32.6% vs 6.6%; odds ratio [OR] 6.77, 95% CI 3.22-14.24; P < .001) and in-hospital (42.3% vs 14.0%; OR 4.47, 95% CI 2.34-8.51; P < .001) versus the extubation success group. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that re-intubation within 48 h was independently associated with both ICU mortality (OR 6.10, 95% CI 2.84-13.07; P < .001) and in-hospital mortality (OR 3.36, 95% CI 1.67-6.73; P = .001). In-hospital mortality was also associated with rescue noninvasive ventilation after extubation (OR 2.44, 95% CI 1.25-4.75; P = .009). CONCLUSIONS: Re-intubation within 48 h after planned extubation was associated with mortality in subjects who were critically ill.

Effectiveness of high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) versus bilevel positive airway pressure (BiPAP) in preventing tracheal reintubation in patients with high risk of extubation failure in intensive care unit - A randomised comparative trial.

Background and Aims: The incidence of tracheal extubation failure in high-risk patients is higher, and non-invasive ventilation is suggested to avoid tracheal reintubation. This study compares the effectiveness of bilevel positive airway pressure (BiPAP) and high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) to reduce the rate of reintubation in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with increased risk of extubation failure. Methods: This randomised comparative trial was conducted on 60 high-risk patients on mechanical ventilators admitted to the ICU, ready for weaning after a spontaneous breathing trial. They were randomised to Group H for HFNC and Group B for BiPAP therapy. Designated therapy was administered in these high-risk patients for up to 48 hours after tracheal extubation. Haemodynamic parameters [mean arterial pressure (MAP), heart rate (HR), respiratory rate (RR), a saturation of peripheral oxygen (SpO2), electrocardiogram (ECG)], arterial blood gas analysis (ABG) parameter [potential of hydrogen (pH), partial pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO2), partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen (paO2/FiO2) ratio], the effectiveness of cough, comfort level was recorded and continuous monitoring for signs of respiratory distress and failure was done. Results: Most of the patients were obese and had more than two risk factors for extubation failure. Several patients in Group B have significantly higher successful extubation than in Group H (P = 0.044). Most of the reintubation took place within 24 hours. The HFNC therapy was more comfortable and acceptable to patients. Conclusion: BiPAP therapy was more efficient than HFNC in preventing tracheal reintubation among patients with a high risk of extubation failure.

Multicentre validation of a machine learning model for predicting respiratory failure after noncardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative respiratory failure is a serious complication that could benefit from early accurate identification of high-risk patients. We developed and validated a machine learning model to predict postoperative respiratory failure, defined as prolonged (>48 h) mechanical ventilation or reintubation after surgery. METHODS: Easily extractable electronic health record (EHR) variables that do not require subjective assessment by clinicians were used. From EHR data of 307,333 noncardiac surgical cases, the model, trained with a gradient boosting algorithm, utilised a derivation cohort of 99,025 cases from Seoul National University Hospital (2013-9). External validation was performed using three separate cohorts A-C from different hospitals comprising 208,308 cases. Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC), a measure of sensitivity and precision at different thresholds. RESULTS: The model included eight variables: serum albumin, age, duration of anaesthesia, serum glucose, prothrombin time, serum creatinine, white blood cell count, and body mass index. Internally, the model achieved an AUROC of 0.912 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.908-0.915) and AUPRC of 0.113. In external validation cohorts A, B, and C, the model achieved AUROCs of 0.879 (95% CI, 0.876-0.882), 0.872 (95% CI, 0.870-0.874), and 0.931 (95% CI, 0.925-0.936), and AUPRCs of 0.029, 0.083, and 0.124, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Utilising just eight easily extractable variables, this machine learning model demonstrated excellent discrimination in both internal and external validation for predicting postoperative respiratory failure. The model enables personalised risk stratification and facilitates data-driven clinical decision-making.

Reintubation Rate and Mortality After Emergent Airway Management Outside the Operating Room.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about reintubations outside of the operating room. The objective of this study was to evaluate the reintubation rate and mortality after emergent airway management outside operating room (OR), including intensive care unit (ICU) and nonICU settings. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study. The primary outcome measures were reintubation rate and mortality. Secondary outcome measures were location and indication for intubation, time until reintubation, total intubated days, ICU-stay, hospital-stay, 30-day in-hospital mortality, and overall in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 336 outside-OR intubations were performed in 275 patients. Of those 275 patients, 51 (18.5%) were reintubated during the same hospital admission. (41%) of the reintubations occurred in a non-ICU setting. Reintubations occurred after up to 30-days after extubation. Most frequently between 7 and 30 days (32.8%, n = 20). Most of the reintubated patients were reintubated just once (56.9%; n = 29), but some were reintubated 2 times (29.4%; n = 15) or over 3 times (13.7%; n = 7). Reintubated patients had significant longer total ICU-stay (24 ± 3 days vs 12 ± 1 day, p < .001), hospital stay (37 ± 3 vs18 ± 1, p < .001), and total intubation days (8 ± 1 vs 7 ± 0.6, P < .02). The 30-day in-hospital mortality in reintubated patients was 13.7% (n = 7) compared to nonreintubated patients 35.9% (n = 80; P = .002). CONCLUSION: Reintubation was associated with a significant increase in hospital and ICU stay. The higher mortality rate among nonreintubated patients may indicate survival bias, in that severely sick patients did not survive long enough to attempt extubation.

External validation of a predictive model for reintubation after cardiac surgery: A retrospective, observational study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Explore validation of a model to predict patients' risk of failing extubation, to help providers make informed, data-driven decisions regarding the optimal timing of extubation. DESIGN: We performed temporal, geographic, and domain validations of a model for the risk of reintubation after cardiac surgery by assessing its performance on data sets from three academic medical centers, with temporal validation using data from the institution where the model was developed. SETTING: Three academic medical centers in the United States. PATIENTS: Adult patients arriving in the cardiac intensive care unit with an endotracheal tube in place after cardiac surgery. INTERVENTIONS: Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and concordance statistics were used as measures of discriminative ability, and calibration curves and Brier scores were used to assess the model's predictive ability. MEASUREMENTS: Temporal validation was performed in 1642 patients with a reintubation rate of 4.8%, with the model demonstrating strong discrimination (optimism-corrected c-statistic 0.77) and low predictive error (Brier score 0.044) but poor model precision and recall (Optimal F1 score 0.29). Combined domain and geographic validation were performed in 2041 patients with a reintubation rate of 1.5%. The model displayed solid discriminative ability (optimism-corrected c-statistic = 0.73) and low predictive error (Brier score = 0.0149) but low precision and recall (Optimal F1 score = 0.13). Geographic validation was performed in 2489 patients with a reintubation rate of 1.6%, with the model displaying good discrimination (optimism-corrected c-statistic = 0.71) and predictive error (Brier score = 0.0152) but poor precision and recall (Optimal F1 score = 0.13). MAIN RESULTS: The reintubation model displayed strong discriminative ability and low predictive error within each validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Future work is needed to explore how to optimize models before local implementation.

A Successful Prevention of Reintubation Using the Mechanical Insufflation-Exsufflation in a Critically Ill Patient With Impaired Airway Mucus Expectoration: A Case Report.

We report a case of post-extubation respiratory failure due to insufficient airway mucus expectoration that was successfully treated using mechanical insufflation-exsufflation (MI-E). A 32-year-old woman with a long-term history of steroid therapy for Blau syndrome was admitted to our intensive care unit with refractory hypoxemia due to pneumonia associated with the novel coronavirus disease 2019. Mechanical ventilation with veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) was required due to severe hypoxemia. She was weaned from VV-ECMO on the 10th day and extubated on the 13th day. A few hours after extubation, she presented respiratory distress due to massive pulmonary atelectasis caused by sputum accumulation as a result of the impaired cough reflex. MI-E was applied to facilitate coughing and sputum expectoration. MI-E dramatically improved the atelectasis and prevented reintubation. This case suggests that MI-E, which is primarily used to treat chronic neuromuscular diseases, may also be effective in treating acute respiratory failure.

Physiological effects of high-flow nasal cannula oxygen therapy after extubation: a randomized crossover study.

BACKGROUND: Prophylactic high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygen therapy can decrease the risk of extubation failure. It is frequently used in the postextubation phase alone or in combination with noninvasive ventilation. However, its physiological effects in this setting have not been thoroughly investigated. The aim of this study was to determine comprehensively the effects of HFNC applied after extubation on respiratory effort, diaphragm activity, gas exchange, ventilation distribution, and cardiovascular biomarkers. METHODS: This was a prospective randomized crossover physiological study in critically ill patients comparing 1 h of HFNC versus 1 h of standard oxygen after extubation. The main inclusion criteria were mechanical ventilation for at least 48 h due to acute respiratory failure, and extubation after a successful spontaneous breathing trial (SBT). We measured respiratory effort through esophageal/transdiaphragmatic pressures, and diaphragm electrical activity (ΔEAdi). Lung volumes and ventilation distribution were estimated by electrical impedance tomography. Arterial and central venous blood gases were analyzed, as well as cardiac stress biomarkers. RESULTS: We enrolled 22 patients (age 59 ± 17 years; 9 women) who had been intubated for 8 ± 6 days before extubation. Respiratory effort was significantly lower with HFNC than with standard oxygen therapy, as evidenced by esophageal pressure swings (5.3 [4.2-7.1] vs. 7.2 [5.6-10.3] cmH2O; p < 0.001), pressure-time product (85 [67-140] vs. 156 [114-238] cmH2O*s/min; p < 0.001) and ΔEAdi (10 [7-13] vs. 14 [9-16] µV; p = 0.022). In addition, HFNC induced increases in end-expiratory lung volume and PaO2/FiO2 ratio, decreases in respiratory rate and ventilatory ratio, while no changes were observed in systemic hemodynamics, Troponin T, or in amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide. CONCLUSIONS: Prophylactic application of HFNC after extubation provides substantial respiratory support and unloads respiratory muscles. Trial registration January 15, 2021. NCT04711759.

Time definition of reintubation most relevant to patient outcomes in critically ill patients: a multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Reintubation is a common complication in critically ill patients requiring mechanical ventilation. Although reintubation has been demonstrated to be associated with patient outcomes, its time definition varies widely among guidelines and in the literature. This study aimed to determine the association between reintubation and patient outcomes as well as the consequences of the time elapsed between extubation and reintubation on patient outcomes. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study of critically ill patients conducted between April 2015 and March 2021. Adult patients who underwent mechanical ventilation and extubation in intensive care units (ICUs) were investigated utilizing the Japanese Intensive Care PAtient Database. The primary and secondary outcomes were in-hospital and ICU mortality. The association between reintubation and clinical outcomes was studied using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Among the patients who underwent reintubation, a Cox proportional hazard analysis was conducted to evaluate patient outcomes according to the number of days from extubation to reintubation. RESULTS: Overall, 184,705 patients in 75 ICUs were screened, and 1849 patients underwent reintubation among 48,082 extubated patients. After adjustment for potential confounders, multivariable analysis revealed a significant association between reintubation and increased in-hospital and ICU mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.520, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.359-1.700, and adjusted HR 1.325, 95% CI 1.076-1.633, respectively). Among the reintubated patients, 1037 (56.1%) were reintubated within 24 h after extubation, 418 (22.6%) at 24-48 h, 198 (10.7%) at 48-72 h, 111 (6.0%) at 72-96 h, and 85 (4.6%) at 96-120 h. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that in-hospital and ICU mortality was highest in patients reintubated at 72-96 h (adjusted HR 1.528, 95% CI 1.062-2.197, and adjusted HR 1.334, 95% CI 0.756-2.352, respectively; referenced to reintubation within 24 h). CONCLUSIONS: Reintubation was associated with a significant increase in in-hospital and ICU mortality. The highest mortality rates were observed in patients who were reintubated between 72 and 96 h after extubation. Further studies are warranted for the optimal observation of extubated patients in clinical practice and to strengthen the evidence for mechanical ventilation.