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2.
Nature ; 588(7838): 436-441, 2020 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33328667

RESUMO

Rivers support some of Earth's richest biodiversity1 and provide essential ecosystem services to society2, but they are often fragmented by barriers to free flow3. In Europe, attempts to quantify river connectivity have been hampered by the absence of a harmonized barrier database. Here we show that there are at least 1.2 million instream barriers in 36 European countries (with a mean density of 0.74 barriers per kilometre), 68 per cent of which are structures less than two metres in height that are often overlooked. Standardized walkover surveys along 2,715 kilometres of stream length for 147 rivers indicate that existing records underestimate barrier numbers by about 61 per cent. The highest barrier densities occur in the heavily modified rivers of central Europe and the lowest barrier densities occur in the most remote, sparsely populated alpine areas. Across Europe, the main predictors of barrier density are agricultural pressure, density of river-road crossings, extent of surface water and elevation. Relatively unfragmented rivers are still found in the Balkans, the Baltic states and parts of Scandinavia and southern Europe, but these require urgent protection from proposed dam developments. Our findings could inform the implementation of the EU Biodiversity Strategy, which aims to reconnect 25,000 kilometres of Europe's rivers by 2030, but achieving this will require a paradigm shift in river restoration that recognizes the widespread impacts caused by small barriers.


Assuntos
Ecossistema , Rios , Agricultura/estatística & dados numéricos , Altitude , Biodiversidade , Conjuntos de Dados como Assunto , Recuperação e Remediação Ambiental/métodos , Recuperação e Remediação Ambiental/tendências , Europa (Continente) , Atividades Humanas , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Densidade Demográfica , Centrais Elétricas/provisão & distribuição
3.
Nature ; 577(7791): 514-518, 2020 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31969725

RESUMO

River deltas rank among the most economically and ecologically valuable environments on Earth. Even in the absence of sea-level rise, deltas are increasingly vulnerable to coastal hazards as declining sediment supply and climate change alter their sediment budget, affecting delta morphology and possibly leading to erosion1-3. However, the relationship between deltaic sediment budgets, oceanographic forces of waves and tides, and delta morphology has remained poorly quantified. Here we show how the morphology of about 11,000 coastal deltas worldwide, ranging from small bayhead deltas to mega-deltas, has been affected by river damming and deforestation. We introduce a model that shows that present-day delta morphology varies across a continuum between wave (about 80 per cent), tide (around 10 per cent) and river (about 10 per cent) dominance, but that most large deltas are tide- and river-dominated. Over the past 30 years, despite sea-level rise, deltas globally have experienced a net land gain of 54 ± 12 square kilometres per year (2 standard deviations), with the largest 1 per cent of deltas being responsible for 30 per cent of all net land area gains. Humans are a considerable driver of these net land gains-25 per cent of delta growth can be attributed to deforestation-induced increases in fluvial sediment supply. Yet for nearly 1,000 deltas, river damming4 has resulted in a severe (more than 50 per cent) reduction in anthropogenic sediment flux, forcing a collective loss of 12 ± 3.5 square kilometres per year (2 standard deviations) of deltaic land. Not all deltas lose land in response to river damming: deltas transitioning towards tide dominance are currently gaining land, probably through channel infilling. With expected accelerated sea-level rise5, however, recent land gains are unlikely to be sustained throughout the twenty-first century. Understanding the redistribution of sediments by waves and tides will be critical for successfully predicting human-driven change to deltas, both locally and globally.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/estatística & dados numéricos , Sedimentos Geológicos/análise , Centrais Elétricas/provisão & distribuição , Rios , Movimentos da Água , Mudança Climática/estatística & dados numéricos , Mapeamento Geográfico , Atividades Humanas/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Internacionalidade , Modelos Teóricos , Elevação do Nível do Mar/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
S Afr Med J ; 109(12): 899-901, 2019 11 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31865948

RESUMO

Power failures and the lack of a robust contingency plan could prove catastrophic in any healthcare environment, with varied and far-reaching consequences. In 2003, a 28% rise in both accidental and non-accidental deaths was recorded in the USA as a result of mass power outages. For every day with a power outage lasting longer than 2 hours, hospital mortality has been estimated to increase by 43%.


Assuntos
Eletricidade , Instalações de Saúde , Centrais Elétricas/provisão & distribuição , Comunicação , Culinária , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Saneamento , África do Sul
11.
Environ Health ; 17(1): 44, 2018 05 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29720194

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Few studies have explored the relationship between air pollution and fertility. We used a natural experiment in California when coal and oil power plants retired to estimate associations with nearby fertility rates. METHODS: We used a difference-in-differences negative binomial model on the incident rate ratio scale to analyze the change in annual fertility rates among California mothers living within 0-5 km and 5-10 km of 8 retired power plants between 2001 and 2011. The difference-in-differences method isolates the portion of the pre- versus post-retirement contrast in the 0-5 km and 5-10 km bins, respectively, that is due to retirement rather than secular trends. We controlled for secular trends with mothers living 10-20 km away. Adjusted models included fixed effects for power plant, proportion Hispanic, Black, high school educated, and aged > 30 years mothers, and neighborhood poverty and educational attainment. RESULTS: Analyses included 58,909 live births. In adjusted models, we estimated that after power plant retirement annual fertility rates per 1000 women aged 15-44 years increased by 8 births within 5 km and 2 births within 5-10 km of power plants, corresponding to incident rate ratios of 1.2 (95% CI: 1.1-1.4) and 1.1 (95% CI: 1.0-1.2), respectively. We implemented a negative exposure control by randomly selecting power plants that did not retire and repeating our analysis with those locations using the retirement dates from original 8 power plants. There was no association, suggesting that statewide temporal trends may not account for results. CONCLUSIONS: Fertility rates among nearby populations appeared to increase after coal and oil power plant retirements. Our study design limited the possibility that our findings resulted from temporal trends or changes in population composition. These results require confirmation in other populations, given known methodological limitations of ecologic study designs.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Coeficiente de Natalidade , Fertilidade/efeitos dos fármacos , Centrais Elétricas/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , California , Carvão Mineral , Feminino , Humanos , Petróleo , Centrais Elétricas/provisão & distribuição , Adulto Jovem
12.
PLoS One ; 10(5): e0124074, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25970621

RESUMO

There is an ongoing debate about the deployment rates and composition of alternative energy plans that could feasibly displace fossil fuels globally by mid-century, as required to avoid the more extreme impacts of climate change. Here we demonstrate the potential for a large-scale expansion of global nuclear power to replace fossil-fuel electricity production, based on empirical data from the Swedish and French light water reactor programs of the 1960s to 1990s. Analysis of these historical deployments show that if the world built nuclear power at no more than the per capita rate of these exemplar nations during their national expansion, then coal- and gas-fired electricity could be replaced worldwide in less than a decade. Under more conservative projections that take into account probable constraints and uncertainties such as differing relative economic output across regions, current and past unit construction time and costs, future electricity demand growth forecasts and the retiring of existing aging nuclear plants, our modelling estimates that the global share of fossil-fuel-derived electricity could be replaced within 25-34 years. This would allow the world to meet the most stringent greenhouse-gas mitigation targets.


Assuntos
Combustíveis Fósseis/economia , Energia Nuclear/economia , Centrais Elétricas/provisão & distribuição , Dióxido de Carbono/química , Mudança Climática , Eletricidade , Combustíveis Fósseis/estatística & dados numéricos , França , Efeito Estufa/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Energia Nuclear/estatística & dados numéricos , Suécia
13.
ScientificWorldJournal ; 2013: 365089, 2013.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24453837

RESUMO

The characteristics of firm's expansion by differentiated products and diversified products are quite different. However, the study employing absorptive capacity to examine the impacts of different modes of expansion on performance of small solar energy firms has never been discussed before. Then, a conceptual model to analyze the tension between strategies and corporate performance is proposed to filling the vacancy. After practical investigation, the results show that stronger organizational institutions help small solar energy firms expanded by differentiated products increase consistency between strategies and corporate performance; oppositely, stronger working attitudes with weak management controls help small solar energy firms expanded by diversified products reduce variance between strategies and corporate performance.


Assuntos
Marketing/organização & administração , Modelos Organizacionais , Centrais Elétricas/provisão & distribuição , Centrais Elétricas/estatística & dados numéricos , Energia Solar , Tomada de Decisões Gerenciais , Inovação Organizacional
15.
Semin Nucl Med ; 18(1): 25-35, 1988 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-3278383

RESUMO

One sixth of the electricity in the United States is now being generated in nuclear power plants, a remarkable achievement for a technology whose basic nuclear reaction was not even known 50 years ago. On the other hand, many of the nation's electric utilities are experiencing great difficulties completing the construction of their nuclear plants; 41 partially constructed plants have been abandoned. Those abandoned plants plus about 110 in operation and 15 still to be completed comprise the first generation of nuclear power plants in the United States. When, and even if, there will be a second generation is much in doubt. Data are presented to show that the absence of a second generation of nuclear plants will place large demands on the fossil fuels, with attendant high energy prices and high environmental costs the expected outcome. It appears that the future will bring large economic forces to start new orders for nuclear plants. On the other hand, the opposing institutional forces appear equally strong. Among the problems creating these institutional forces are the difficulty the United States is having in finding a politically acceptable approach to nuclear waste disposal and the vulnerability of power plant builders and operators to litigation and high financial risk. At present, the issue of a second generation of nuclear plants is stalemated.


Assuntos
Energia Nuclear , Centrais Elétricas/provisão & distribuição , Resíduos Perigosos , Centrais Elétricas/economia , Estados Unidos
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