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1.
Commun Biol ; 7(1): 863, 2024 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39009753

RESUMO

Genetic admixture introduces new variants at relatively high frequencies, potentially aiding rapid responses to environmental changes. Here, we evaluate its role in adaptive variation related to climatic conditions in bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus) in Britain, using whole-genome data. Our results reveal loci showing excess ancestry from one of the two postglacial colonist populations inconsistent with overall admixture patterns. Notably, loci associated with climate adaptation exhibit disproportionate amounts of excess ancestry, highlighting the impact of admixture between colonist populations on local adaptation. The results suggest strong and localized selection on climate-adaptive loci, as indicated by steep clines and/or shifted cline centres, during population replacement. A subset, including a haemoglobin gene, is associated with oxidative stress responses, underscoring a role of oxidative stress in local adaptation. Our study highlights the important contribution of admixture during secondary contact between populations from distinct climatic refugia enriching adaptive diversity. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for predicting future adaptive capacity to anthropogenic climate change.


Assuntos
Arvicolinae , Mudança Climática , Animais , Arvicolinae/genética , Arvicolinae/fisiologia , Adaptação Fisiológica/genética , Variação Genética , Aclimatação/genética , Reino Unido , Genética Populacional , Clima , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único
2.
Neotrop Entomol ; 53(4): 759-772, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38980501

RESUMO

High Andean butterflies in northern South America are subject to landscape change processes. Our study used models to assess the habitat suitability of three Satyrinae species in the Upper Bogotá River Basin, Colombia. These three species include Pedaliodes polla (Thieme), Pedaliodes phaea (Hewitson), and Pedaliodes phaeina (Staudinger), the last two are endemic to Colombia. We used MaxEnt software to assess the habitat quality of these species, analyze the bioclimatic requirements that most influence them, and propose priority conservation areas. Our results indicated that, in most cases, the contribution of cover is more significant than 60%, so this variable determines the habitat capacity to support the species under study. We identified that the areas with suitable habitats are reduced with values less than or equal to 25% and are located in areas with a medium degree of intervention, which allows the species to occur. On the other hand, the climatic variables with the most significant contribution to the models were Temperature Seasonality and Precipitation of Driest Quarter (May-July). Conservation efforts must be focused on the most suitable areas, given the reduction in habitat for these species. Our research emphasizes the need to safeguard well-connected remnants of the high Andean forest and natural cover in agricultural matrices to counter the impact of agricultural expansion.


Assuntos
Borboletas , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Animais , Colômbia , Clima
3.
PeerJ ; 12: e17685, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39011382

RESUMO

Background: Reference evapotranspiration (ETo), which is used as the basic data in many studies within the scope of hydrology, meteorology, irrigation and soil sciences, can be estimated by using the evaporation (Epan) measured from the class-A pan evaporimeter. However, this method requires reliable pan coefficients (Kp). Many empirical models are used to estimate Kp coefficients. The reliability of these models varies depending on climatic and environmental conditions. Therefore, they need to be tested in the local conditions where they will be used. In this study, conducted in Kahramanmaras, which has a semi-arid Mediterranean climate in Turkey during the July-October periods of 2020 and 2021, aimed to determine the usability levels of six Kp models in estimating daily and monthly average ETo. Methods: The Kp coefficients estimated by the models were multiplied with the daily Epan values, and the daily average ETo values were estimated on the basis of the model. The daily Epan values were measured using an ultrasonic sensor sensitive to the water surface placed on the class-A pan evaporimeter. The ultrasonic sensor was managed by a programmable logic controller (PLC). To enable the sensor to be managed by PLC, a software was prepared using the CODESYS programming language and uploaded to the PLC. The daily average ETo values determined by the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation were accepted as actual values. The ETo values estimated by the Kp models were compared with the actual ETo values using the mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and determination coefficient (R2) statistical approaches. Results: The Wahed & Snyder outperformed the other models in estimating daily (MAE = 0.78 mm day-1, MAPE = 14.40%, RMSE = 0.97 mm day-1, R2 = 0.82) and monthly (MAE = 0.32 mm day-1, MAPE = 5.88%, RMSE = 0.32 mm day-1, R2 = 0.99) average ETo. FAO-56 showed the nearest performance to Wahed & Snyder. The Snyder model presented the worst performance in estimating daily (MAE = 2.09 mm day-1, MAPE = 37.53%, RMSE = 2.36 mm day-1, R2 = 0.82) and monthly (MAE = 1.83 mm day-1, MAPE = 31.82%, RMSE = 1.87 mm day-1, R2 = 0.99) average ETo. It has been concluded that none of the six Kp models can be used to estimate the daily ETo in Kahramanmaras located in the Mediterranean-Southeastern Anatolian transitional zone, and only Wahed & Snyder and FAO-56 can be used to estimate the monthly ETo without calibration.


Assuntos
Modelos Teóricos , Turquia , Transpiração Vegetal , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Clima
4.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(30): e2403505121, 2024 Jul 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39012830

RESUMO

American chestnut (Castanea dentata) is a deciduous tree species of eastern North America that was decimated by the introduction of the chestnut blight fungus (Cryphonectria parasitica) in the early 20th century. Although millions of American chestnuts survive as root collar sprouts, these trees rarely reproduce. Thus, the species is considered functionally extinct. American chestnuts with improved blight resistance have been developed through interspecific hybridization followed by conspecific backcrossing, and by genetic engineering. Incorporating adaptive genomic diversity into these backcross families and transgenic lines is important for restoring the species across broad climatic gradients. To develop sampling recommendations for ex situ conservation of wild adaptive genetic variation, we coupled whole-genome resequencing of 384 stump sprouts with genotype-environment association analyses and found that the species range can be subdivided into three seed zones characterized by relatively homogeneous adaptive allele frequencies. We estimated that 21 to 29 trees per seed zone will need to be conserved to capture most extant adaptive diversity. We also resequenced the genomes of 269 backcross trees to understand the extent to which the breeding program has already captured wild adaptive diversity, and to estimate optimal reintroduction sites for specific families on the basis of their adaptive portfolio and future climate projections. Taken together, these results inform the development of an ex situ germplasm conservation and breeding plan to target blight-resistant breeding populations to specific environments and provides a blueprint for developing restoration plans for other imperiled tree species.


Assuntos
Fagaceae , Genoma de Planta , Doenças das Plantas , Fagaceae/genética , Fagaceae/microbiologia , Doenças das Plantas/microbiologia , Doenças das Plantas/genética , Ascomicetos/genética , Variação Genética , Resistência à Doença/genética , Clima
5.
World J Urol ; 42(1): 417, 2024 Jul 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39017900

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of climate and seasonal variations on emergency department (ED) admissions for renal colic, while specifically comparing the differences between individuals with sedentary and non-sedentary lifestyles. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective, single center study was conducted. Between the years 2017- 2020, medical records of patients admitted to the ED with renal colic, found to harbor ureteric stones on CT scans, were examined. Data on patients' occupational activities was collected through telephone questionnaires. Patients were categorized into two groups: sedentary and active. Precise weather data was obtained from the Israeli Meteorological Service website. The monthly average daily maximum temperatures were calculated. RESULTS: In the final sample of 560 participants, 285 were in the sedentary group, and 275 were in the active group. The study population consisted of 78.1% males and 21.9% females, with consistent gender ratios in both occupational groups. Prevalence of uric acid stones was higher in the sedentary group (p < 0.05). While there was a slight increase in admissions during the summer, seasonal distribution did not significantly differ among occupational groups. The study found no significant differences in admissions across different temperature ranges. Both groups exhibited a pattern of increased referrals during the summer and reduced referrals in the colder winter months. The baseline data revealed notable differences between the sedentary and active groups, particularly in the prevalence of uric acid stones. CONCLUSIONS: Climate factors, including temperature and seasonal variations, had limited impact on ED admissions for renal colic in patients with kidney stones, irrespective of their sedentary or active lifestyles. Both groups exhibited similar admission patterns, with a higher rate of admissions during the summer and a lower rate of admissions during the winter.


Assuntos
Clima , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Cólica Renal , Comportamento Sedentário , Humanos , Cólica Renal/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estações do Ano , Admissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Israel/epidemiologia
6.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(28): e2314899121, 2024 Jul 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38954552

RESUMO

Although climate change is expected to drive tree species toward colder and wetter regions of their distribution, broadscale empirical evidence is lacking. One possibility is that past and present human activities in forests obscure or alter the effects of climate. Here, using data from more than two million monitored trees from 73 widely distributed species, we quantify changes in tree species density within their climatic niches across Northern Hemisphere forests. We observe a reduction in mean density across species, coupled with a tendency toward increasing tree size. However, the direction and magnitude of changes in density exhibit considerable variability between species, influenced by stand development that results from previous stand-level disturbances. Remarkably, when accounting for stand development, our findings show a significant change in density toward cold and wet climatic conditions for 43% of the species, compared to only 14% of species significantly changing their density toward warm and arid conditions in both early- and late-development stands. The observed changes in climate-driven density showed no clear association with species traits related to drought tolerance, recruitment and dispersal capacity, or resource use, nor with the temperature or aridity affiliation of the species, leaving the underlying mechanism uncertain. Forest conservation policies and associated management strategies might want to consider anticipated long-term species range shifts alongside the integration of contemporary within-distribution density changes.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Florestas , Árvores , Árvores/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Árvores/fisiologia , Ecossistema , Clima , Secas , Temperatura
7.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 16042, 2024 Jul 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38992141

RESUMO

The benefits of urban green space are socially widely recognized as a direct link between plant-microbe interactions and the maintenance of biodiversity, community stability, and ecosystem functioning. Nevertheless, there is a lack of knowledge about the factors influencing microbial communities in urban green spaces, especially those related to phyllosphere epiphytes and stem epiphytes. In this study, we analyzed the microbial community assembly in leaf and stem bark samples collected from Square, Road, Campus, and Park. Illumina sequecing of 16S amplicons was performed to characterize microbial diversity and composition. The α-diversity was significantly higher in the bark epiphytic community, compared to the phyllosphere. Moreover, urban greenspaces'type altered the way communities gathered. The main soil and air properties factors of the urban greenhouse (e.g. soil temperature, atmospheric moisture, air temperature) were shaping the characteristics of bacterial communities on the leaf surface and bark epiphytic. In addition, in the co-occurrence network analysis, keystone taxa were not mostly observed in abundant species, which may be necessary to maintain ecosystem functions. Finally, our findings provide a deeper understanding of the ecological dynamics and microbial interactions within plant phyllosphere and stem epiphytes microbiomes.


Assuntos
Clima , Microbiota , Folhas de Planta , Folhas de Planta/microbiologia , Bactérias/classificação , Bactérias/genética , Bactérias/isolamento & purificação , Biodiversidade , Ecossistema , RNA Ribossômico 16S/genética , Cidades , Microbiologia do Solo , Casca de Planta/microbiologia
8.
PLoS One ; 19(7): e0306694, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38980844

RESUMO

Serial correlations within temperature time series serve as indicators of the temporal consistency of climate events. This study delves into the serial correlations embedded in global surface air temperature (SAT) data. Initially, we preprocess the SAT time series to eradicate seasonal patterns and linear trends, resulting in the SAT anomaly time series, which encapsulates the inherent variability of Earth's climate system. Employing diverse statistical techniques, we identify three distinct types of serial correlations: short-term, long-term, and nonlinear. To identify short-term correlations, we utilize the first-order autoregressive model, AR(1), revealing a global pattern that can be partially attributed to atmospheric Rossby waves in extratropical regions and the Eastern Pacific warm pool. For long-term correlations, we adopt the standard detrended fluctuation analysis, finding that the global pattern aligns with long-term climate variability, such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over the Eastern Pacific. Furthermore, we apply the horizontal visibility graph (HVG) algorithm to transform the SAT anomaly time series into complex networks. The topological parameters of these networks aptly capture the long-term correlations present in the data. Additionally, we introduce a novel topological parameter, Δσ, to detect nonlinear correlations. The statistical significance of this parameter is rigorously tested using the Monte Carlo method, simulating fractional Brownian motion and fractional Gaussian noise processes with a predefined DFA exponent to estimate confidence intervals. In conclusion, serial correlations are universal in global SAT time series and the presence of these serial correlations should be considered carefully in climate sciences.


Assuntos
Temperatura , Algoritmos , Clima , Fatores de Tempo , Estações do Ano , El Niño Oscilação Sul
9.
Environ Geochem Health ; 46(9): 316, 2024 Jul 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39002037

RESUMO

Cr(VI) is a carcinogen with proven mutagenic and genotoxic effects. The effects of the depositional environment (e.g., paleoweathering, paleoclimate, and paleoredox condition) on Cr enrichment in non-ultramafic aquifer solids are unclear. In this study, we presented the sedimentary characteristics of a borehole from a typical non-ultramafic aquifer with high Cr groundwater in Jingbian, central Ordos Basin, China. Chromium was enriched in the K1h sandstone aquifer, especially at depths of 400-500 m, with the highest value of mass transport coefficient (τAl,Cr) up to 92.13% and τAl,Fe up to 33.5%. The provenance of aquifer Cr was predominantly intermediate and felsic igneous rocks with a mafic rock mixture. This mafic source was inferred from Cr-rich granodiorite and mafic/ultramafic rocks in the Yinshan (Daqingshan-Wulashan) Block, northern Ordos Basin. The Cr-rich aquifer in K1h was developed due to a moderate chemical index of alteration (CIA) (mean, 56.7) under relatively warm and humid paleoclimate, as evidenced by high CIA-temperature (CIA-Temp) (mean, 6.79 °C) and paleoclimatic index values (mean, 0.40). Fe-Mn redox cycling in the oxic to suboxic environments contributed to aquifer Cr accumulation. Using path analysis, we identified that paleoclimate created favorable weathering conditions and enrichment of Fe contributed to the formation of high-Cr aquifers. The study reveals the formation of positive Cr anomalies in non-ultramafic aquifers, which is the potential source of groundwater Cr, and highlights the effects of depositional factors on Cr accumulation during aquifer deposition or early diagenesis. It can provide new insights into the natural processes of high-Cr sediments occurring in non-ultramafic aquifers.


Assuntos
Cromo , Sedimentos Geológicos , Água Subterrânea , Poluentes Químicos da Água , Água Subterrânea/química , Cromo/análise , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise , China , Sedimentos Geológicos/química , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Clima
10.
Harmful Algae ; 137: 102679, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003024

RESUMO

Algal blooms can threaten human health if cyanotoxins such as microcystin are produced by cyanobacteria. Regularly monitoring microcystin concentrations in recreational waters to inform management action is a tool for protecting public health; however, monitoring cyanotoxins is resource- and time-intensive. Statistical models that identify waterbodies likely to produce microcystin can help guide monitoring efforts, but variability in bloom severity and cyanotoxin production among lakes and years makes prediction challenging. We evaluated the skill of a statistical classification model developed from water quality surveys in one season with low temporal replication but broad spatial coverage to predict if microcystin is likely to be detected in a lake in subsequent years. We used summertime monitoring data from 128 lakes in Iowa (USA) sampled between 2017 and 2021 to build and evaluate a predictive model of microcystin detection as a function of lake physical and chemical attributes, watershed characteristics, zooplankton abundance, and weather. The model built from 2017 data identified pH, total nutrient concentrations, and ecogeographic variables as the best predictors of microcystin detection in this population of lakes. We then applied the 2017 classification model to data collected in subsequent years and found that model skill declined but remained effective at predicting microcystin detection (area under the curve, AUC ≥ 0.7). We assessed if classification skill could be improved by assimilating the previous years' monitoring data into the model, but model skill was only minimally enhanced. Overall, the classification model remained reliable under varying climatic conditions. Finally, we tested if early season observations could be combined with a trained model to provide early warning for late summer microcystin detection, but model skill was low in all years and below the AUC threshold for two years. The results of these modeling exercises support the application of correlative analyses built on single-season sampling data to monitoring decision-making, but similar investigations are needed in other regions to build further evidence for this approach in management application.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental , Lagos , Microcistinas , Modelos Estatísticos , Microcistinas/análise , Lagos/química , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Iowa , Cianobactérias , Clima , Estações do Ano , Proliferação Nociva de Algas , Qualidade da Água
11.
J Med Virol ; 96(7): e29797, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38988215

RESUMO

Temperature and humidity are studied in the context of seasonal infections in temperate and tropical zones, but the relationship between viral trends and climate variables in temperate subtropical zones remains underexplored. Our retrospective study analyzes respiratory pathogen incidence and its correlation with climate data in a subtropical zone. Retrospective observational study at Moinhos de Vento Hospital, South Brazil, aiming to assess seasonal trends in respiratory pathogens, correlating them with climate data. The study included patients of all ages from various healthcare settings, with data collected between April 2022 and July 2023. Biological samples were analyzed for 24 pathogens using polymerase chain reaction and hybridization techniques; demographic variables were also collected. The data was analyzed descriptively and graphically. Spearman tests and Poisson regression were used as correlation tests. Tests were clustered according to all pathogens, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), influenza viruses, rhinovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Between April 2022 and July 2023, 3329 tests showed a 71.6% positivity rate. Rhinovirus and RSV predominated, exhibiting seasonal patterns. Temperature was inversely correlated with the viruses, notably rhinovirus, but SARS-CoV-2 was positively correlated. Air humidity was positively correlated with all pathogens, RSV, rhinovirus, and atmospheric pressure with all pathogens and rhinovirus. Our results showed statistically significant correlations, with modest effect sizes. Our study did not evaluate causation effects. Despite the correlation between climate and respiratory pathogens, our work suggests additional factors influencing transmission dynamics. Our findings underscore the complex interplay between climate and respiratory infections in subtropical climates.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Umidade , Estações do Ano , Temperatura , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , COVID-19/virologia , Brasil/epidemiologia , Feminino , Masculino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Criança , Adolescente , Pré-Escolar , Idoso , Adulto Jovem , Lactente , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Clima , Infecções Respiratórias/virologia , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Clima Tropical , Recém-Nascido , Rhinovirus/genética , Rhinovirus/isolamento & purificação , Incidência , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/virologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais
12.
BMC Genomics ; 25(1): 673, 2024 Jul 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38969975

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Culex tritaeniorhynchus is widely distributed in China, from Hainan Island in the south to Heilongjiang in the north, covering tropical, subtropical, and temperate climate zones. Culex tritaeniorhynchus carries 19 types of arboviruses. It is the main vector of the Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV), posing a serious threat to human health. Understanding the effects of environmental factors on Culex tritaeniorhynchus can provide important insights into its population structure or isolation patterns, which is currently unclear. RESULTS: In total, 138 COI haplotypes were detected in the 552 amplified sequences, and the haplotype diversity (Hd) value increased from temperate (0.534) to tropical (0.979) regions. The haplotype phylogeny analysis revealed that the haplotypes were divided into two high-support evolutionary branches. Temperate populations were predominantly distributed in evolutionary branch II, showing some genetic isolation from tropical/subtropical populations and less gene flow between groups. The neutral test results of HNQH (Qionghai) and HNHK(Haikou) populations were negative (P < 0.05), indicating many low-frequency mutations in the populations and that the populations might be in the process of expansion. Moreover, Wolbachia infection was detected only in SDJN (Jining) (2.24%), and all Wolbachia genotypes belonged to supergroup B. To understand the influence of environmental factors on mosquito-borne viruses, we examined the prevalence of Culex tritaeniorhynchus infection in three ecological environments in Shandong Province. We discovered that the incidence of JEV infection was notably greater in Culex tritaeniorhynchus from lotus ponds compared to those from irrigation canal regions. In this study, the overall JEV infection rate was 15.27 per 1000, suggesting the current risk of Japanese encephalitis outbreaks in Shandong Province. CONCLUSIONS: Tropical and subtropical populations of Culex tritaeniorhynchus showed higher genetic diversity and those climatic conditions provide great advantages for the establishment and expansion of Culex tritaeniorhynchus. There are differences in JEV infection rates in wild populations of Culex tritaeniorhynchus under different ecological conditions. Our results suggest a complex interplay of genetic differentiation, population structure, and environmental factors in shaping the dynamics of Culex tritaeniorhynchus. The low prevalence of Wolbachia in wild populations may reflect the recent presence of Wolbachia invasion in Culex tritaeniorhynchus.


Assuntos
Culex , Haplótipos , Filogenia , Culex/genética , Culex/virologia , Culex/microbiologia , Animais , China , Clima , Variação Genética , Genética Populacional , Wolbachia/genética , Mosquitos Vetores/genética , Mosquitos Vetores/virologia , Mosquitos Vetores/microbiologia , Complexo IV da Cadeia de Transporte de Elétrons/genética
13.
BMC Ecol Evol ; 24(1): 93, 2024 Jul 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38969976

RESUMO

The Persian fallow deer or Mesopotamian fallow Deer (Dama mesopotamica, Brook 1875), a species of significant ecological importance, had faced the threat of extinction in Iran. One conservation strategy involved the translocation of Persian deer to enclosed areas across Iran, where they were afforded protection from external threats and provided with essential care by human caretakers. While human caretakers diligently attend to their needs and mitigate external threats, climate variables may now become critical factors affecting population dynamics in enclosed areas. This study aims to assess the similarity in climate niches between the original area (Dez and Karkheh) of the Persian deer species and 11 newly enclosed areas. To achieve this, we employed climate data and ecological niche modeling (ENM) techniques to assess the variations in climate among 12 areas. We utilized the environmental equivalency test to determine whether the environmental spaces of area pairs exhibit significant differences and whether these spaces are interchangeable. Extrapolation analyses were also constructed in the next steps to explore climatic conditions in original fallow deer habitats that are non-analogous to those in other parts of Iran. Our results reveal significant disparities in climate conditions between the original and all translocated areas. Based on observations of population growth in specific enclosed areas where translocated deer populations have thrived, we hypothesize that the species may demonstrate a non-equilibrium distribution in Iran. Consequently, these new areas could potentially be regarded as part of the species' potential climate niche. Extrapolation analysis showed that for a significant portion of Iran, extrapolation predictions are highly uncertain and potentially unreliable for the translocation of Persian fallow deer. However, the primary objective of translocation efforts remains the establishment of self-sustaining populations of Persian deer capable of thriving in natural areas beyond enclosed areas, thus ensuring their long-term survival and contributing to preservation efforts. Evaluating the success of newly translocated species requires additional time, with varying levels of success observed. In cases where the growth rate of the species in certain enclosed areas falls below expectations, it is prudent to consider climate variables that may contribute to population declines. Furthermore, for future translocations, we recommend selecting areas with climate similarities to regions where the species has demonstrated growth rates.


Assuntos
Clima , Cervos , Ecossistema , Animais , Irã (Geográfico) , Cervos/fisiologia , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Dinâmica Populacional
14.
Waste Manag ; 186: 318-330, 2024 Sep 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38954923

RESUMO

Climate impacts of landfill gas emissions were investigated for 20- and 100-year time horizons to identify the effects of atmospheric lifetimes of short- and long-lived drivers. Direct and indirect climate impacts were determined for methane and 79 trace species. The impacts were quantified using global warming potential, GWP (direct and indirect); atmospheric degradation (direct); tropospheric ozone forming potential (indirect); secondary aerosol forming potential (indirect) and stratospheric ozone depleting potential (indirect). Effects of cover characteristics, landfill operational conditions, and season on emissions were assessed. Analysis was conducted at five operating municipal solid waste landfills in California, which collectively contained 13% of the waste in place in the state. Climate impacts were determined to be primarily due to direct emissions (99.5 to 115%) with indirect emissions contributing -15 to 0.5%. Methane emissions were 35 to 99% of the total emissions and the remainder mainly greenhouse gases (hydro)chlorofluorocarbons (up to 42% of total emissions) and nitrous oxide. Cover types affected emissions, where the highest emissions were generally from intermediate covers with the largest relative landfill surface areas. Landfill-specific direct emissions varied between 683 and 103,411 and between 381 and 37,925 Mg CO2-eq./yr for 20- and 100-yr time horizons, respectively. Total emissions (direct + indirect) were 680 to 103,600 (20-yr) and were 374 to 38,108 (100-yr) Mg CO2-eq./yr. Analysis time horizon significantly affected emissions. The 20-yr direct and total emissions were consistently higher than the 100-yr emissions by up to 2.5 times. Detailed analysis of time-dependent climate effects can inform strategies to mitigate climate change impacts of landfill gas emissions.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Monitoramento Ambiental , Metano , Instalações de Eliminação de Resíduos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Metano/análise , California , Eliminação de Resíduos/métodos , Clima , Gases de Efeito Estufa/análise , Mudança Climática , Fatores de Tempo , Resíduos Sólidos/análise
15.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1357624, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39005990

RESUMO

Exploring the spatiotemporal dynamic evolution of local climate zones (LCZ) associated with changes in land surface temperature (LST) can help urban planners deeply understand urban climate. Firstly, we monitored the evolution of 3D urban spatial form in Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, China from 2010 to 2020, used the ordinary least squares model to fit the dynamic correlation (DR) between the changes in urban spatial patterns and changes in LST, and revealed the changes of urban spatial patterns closely related to the rise in LST. Secondly, the spatiotemporal patterns of LST were examined by the integration of the Space-Time Cube model and emerging hotspot analysis. Finally, a prediction model based on curve fitting and random forest was integrated to simulate the LST of study area in 2025. Results show the following: the evolution of the urban spatial form consists of three stages: initial incremental expansion, midterm incremental expansion and stock renewal, and late stock renewal and ecological transformation. The influence of the built environment on the rise of LST is greater than that of the natural environment, and the building density has a greater effect than the building height. The overall LST shows a warming trend, and the seven identified LST spatiotemporal patterns are dominated by oscillating and new hotspots patterns, accounting for 51.99 and 11.44% of the study area, respectively. The DR between urban spatial form and LST varies across different time periods and built environment types, whereas the natural environment is always positively correlated with LST. The thermal environment of the city will warm up in the future, and the area affected by the heat island will shift to the central of the city.


Assuntos
Cidades , Análise Espaço-Temporal , Temperatura , China , Humanos , Planejamento de Cidades , Urbanização , Mudança Climática , Clima
16.
Am Nat ; 204(2): 105-120, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39008837

RESUMO

AbstractInteractions between and within abiotic and biotic processes generate nonadditive density-dependent effects on species performance that can vary in strength or direction across environments. If ignored, nonadditivities can lead to inaccurate predictions of species responses to environmental and compositional changes. While there are increasing empirical efforts to test the constancy of pairwise biotic interactions along environmental and compositional gradients, few assess both simultaneously. Using a nationwide forest inventory that spans broad ambient temperature and moisture gradients throughout New Zealand, we address this gap by analyzing the diameter growth of six focal tree species as a function of neighbor densities and climate, as well as neighbor × climate and neighbor × neighbor statistical interactions. The most complex model featuring all interaction terms had the highest predictive accuracy. Compared with climate variables, biotic interactions typically had stronger effects on diameter growth, especially when subjected to nonadditivities from local climatic conditions and the density of intermediary species. Furthermore, statistically strong (or weak) nonadditivities could be biologically irrelevant (or significant) depending on whether a species pair typically interacted under average or more extreme conditions. Our study highlights the importance of considering both the statistical potential and the biological relevance of nonadditive biotic interactions when assessing species performance under global change.


Assuntos
Floresta Úmida , Árvores , Árvores/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Nova Zelândia , Modelos Biológicos , Clima , Mudança Climática
17.
Sci Data ; 11(1): 758, 2024 Jul 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38992066

RESUMO

The apparent optimum air temperature for vegetation photosynthesis (Topt) is a key temperature parameter in terrestrial ecosystem models estimating daily photosynthesis or gross primary production (GPP, g C/m2/day). To date, most models use biome-specific Topt (Topt-biome) parameter values. Given vegetation acclimation and adaptation to local climate, site-specific Topt (Topt-site) is needed to reduce uncertainties in estimating daily GPP across the scales from site to region and the globe. Previous studies have demonstrated using the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) derived from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images and daytime air temperature data to estimate the Topt-site at the eddy covariance tower sites. This study used MODIS-derived EVI and ERA5 climate data to estimate and generate global Topt-site data products from 2000 to 2019. The Topt-site of individual pixels within a biome has large variation, which clearly cannot be represented accurately by the widely used Topt-biome. Therefore, using this global dataset of Topt-site estimates might significantly affect GPP simulation in current ecosystem models.


Assuntos
Ecossistema , Fotossíntese , Temperatura , Clima , Plantas
18.
J Environ Manage ; 365: 121692, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38968884

RESUMO

The non-stationary behavior of climatic variables has been increasingly recognized as a challenge that disrupts the equilibrium of human-defined climate-based stationary processes, including hydrological and agricultural practices, and irrigation systems. This study aims to investigate long-term trends and non-stationarity in climatic variables across 23 stations of the Krishna River basin, India. Prominent trends in rainfall, temperature, and their extreme indices were identified using the Modified Mann-Kendall (MMK), Bootstrapped Mann-Kendall (BMK), and Sen's Slope Estimator tests, while the Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) test uncovered hidden trends and potential shifts in climatic patterns. This study addresses a critical research gap by exploring both significant and hidden trends in climatic variables, providing a better understanding of future dynamics. Traditional methods like MMK and Sen's Slope were insufficient to reveal these hidden trends, but ITA offered a more comprehensive analysis. The findings revealed an increase in total annual rainfall for almost 50% of the basin, which aligns with rising maximum temperatures, suggesting enhanced evaporation rates and subsequent fluctuations in rainfall patterns. Seasonal analysis indicated a shift towards decreased rainfall during winter and pre-monsoon seasons, contrasted by increased precipitation during the monsoon and post-monsoon periods, highlighting a clear alteration in rainfall distribution. The Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII) and other indices suggest intensified rainfall events despite a decrease in the number of rainy days, indicating fewer but more intense events. Temperature analysis showed an overall increase in maximum temperatures, with the Diurnal Temperature Range (DTR) significantly increasing across all stations, implying greater daily temperature variations and potential for intensified water cycles and extreme climatic events. Furthermore, the study simplifies these trends by classifying them into two attributes: intensity and frequency, aiding policymakers in site-specific management of water resources and planning for future climatic scenarios. The presence of non-stationarity in extreme rainfall was confirmed by the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Phillips-Perron (PP), and Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) tests. These findings are significant as they conclude how climate change is altering hydrological patterns at each station. The study emphasizes the necessity for adaptive management strategies to mitigate the adverse impacts on agriculture, infrastructure, and human safety.


Assuntos
Rios , Índia , Chuva , Temperatura , Estações do Ano , Mudança Climática , Clima
19.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(8): 714, 2024 Jul 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38976077

RESUMO

Human-generated aerosol pollution gradually modifies the atmospheric chemical and physical attributes, resulting in significant changes in weather patterns and detrimental effects on agricultural yields. The current study assesses the loss in agricultural productivity due to weather and anthropogenic aerosol variations for rice and maize crops through the analysis of time series data of India spanning from 1998 to 2019. The average values of meteorological variables like maximum temperature (TMAX), minimum temperature (TMIN), rainfall, and relative humidity, as well as aerosol optical depth (AOD), have also shown an increasing tendency, while the average values of soil moisture and fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FAPAR) have followed a decreasing trend over that period. This study's primary finding is that unusual variations in weather variables like maximum and minimum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, soil moisture, and FAPAR resulted in a reduction in rice and maize yield of approximately (2.55%, 2.92%, 2.778%, 4.84%, 2.90%, and 2.82%) and (5.12%, 6.57%, 6.93%, 6.54%, 4.97%, and 5.84%), respectively. However, the increase in aerosol pollution is also responsible for the reduction of rice and maize yield by 7.9% and 8.8%, respectively. In summary, the study presents definitive proof of the detrimental effect of weather, FAPAR, and AOD variability on the yield of rice and maize in India during the study period. Meanwhile, a time series analysis of rice and maize yields revealed an increasing trend, with rates of 0.888 million tons/year and 0.561 million tons/year, respectively, due to the adoption of increasingly advanced agricultural techniques, the best fertilizer and irrigation, climate-resilient varieties, and other factors. Looking ahead, the ongoing challenge is to devise effective long-term strategies to combat air pollution caused by aerosols and to address its adverse effects on agricultural production and food security.


Assuntos
Aerossóis , Agricultura , Poluentes Atmosféricos , Monitoramento Ambiental , Oryza , Zea mays , Oryza/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Índia , Aerossóis/análise , Zea mays/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Agricultura/métodos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Clima , Poluição do Ar/estatística & dados numéricos , Produtos Agrícolas , Tempo (Meteorologia)
20.
Braz J Biol ; 84: e285337, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38985063

RESUMO

The article presents the results of scientific research on the production of lamb in the conditions of the Akmola region. The experiment was conducted on purebred Kazakh short-tailed rough-haired and cross-bred sheep obtained from industrial crossing of Kazakh short-tailed rough-haired queens with sheep- producers of the hampshire breed. Further, the article presents the results of feeding and fattening, as well as the morphological composition of the carcass of sheep of the Kazakh coarse-haired sheep breed of different ages. The object of the study for feeding and fattening were three groups of experimental sheep of the above-mentioned breed, where compound feed was included in the diet of the I experimental group in the form of top dressing, in the II experimental group, grain waste was also used for top dressing, and the control group was kept in the feed without top dressing. Based on the study of the feeding of experimental sheep, it was found that the absolute increase during the feeding period in experimental sheep who received fertilization in the form of compound feed is higher than in their peers, respectively, by 0.2 and 1.49 kg. In terms of morphological and varietal composition, in particular, the number of cuts of grade 1, there was also an advantage of experimental sheep that received fertilization in the form of compound feed compared to their peers, respectively, by 2.3-8.3%. In general, the results of a study on the growth, development and slaughter qualities of experimental sheep, i.e. purebred Kazakh short-tailed rough-haired and crossbred, obtained from crossing with sheep producers of the precocious breed "hampshire" showed that from the moment of birth to 2 and 4 months. For example, crossbred sheep were slightly superior to purebred peers in terms of the studied indicators. In particular, the results of feeding sheep of the Kazakh coarse-haired broad-tailed breed from 4 to 6 months, depending on the top dressing.


Assuntos
Ração Animal , Carne , Animais , Cazaquistão , Ovinos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Ovinos/classificação , Carne/análise , Ração Animal/análise , Feminino , Masculino , Clima , Criação de Animais Domésticos
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