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1.
Obstet Gynecol ; 143(6): 839-848, 2024 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696814

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effects of demographic shifts, changes in contemporaneous clinical practices, and technologic innovation on assisted reproductive technology (ART) success rates by conducting an analysis of cumulative live-birth rates across different time periods, age groups, and infertility diagnoses. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of autologous linked cycles comparing cumulative live-birth rates over successive cycles from patients undergoing their first retrieval between 2014 and 2019 in the SART CORS (Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcome Reporting System) database. All cycles reported for these individuals up to 2020 were included for analysis. We compared cumulative live-birth rates stratified by age and infertility cause with published data from the 2004-2009 SART CORS database. RESULTS: From 2014 to 2019, 447,042 patients underwent their first autologous index retrieval, resulting in 1,007,374 cycles and 252,215 live births over the period of 2014 to 2020. In contrast, between 2004 and 2008, 246,740 patients underwent 471,208 cycles, resulting in 140,859 births by 2009. Noteworthy shifts in demographics were observed, with an increase in people of color seeking reproductive technology (57.9% vs 51.7%, P <.001). There was also an increase in patients with diminished ovarian reserve and ovulatory disorders and a decrease in endometriosis, tubal, and male factor infertility ( P <.001). Previously associated with decreased odds of live birth, frozen embryo transfer and preimplantation genetic testing showed increased odds in 2014-2020. Preimplantation genetic testing rose from 3.4% to 36.0% and was associated with a lower cumulative live-birth rate for those younger than age 35 years ( P <.001) but a higher cumulative live-birth rate for those aged 35 years or older ( P <.001). Comparing 2014-2020 with 2004-2009 shows that the overall cumulative live-birth rate improved for patients aged 35 years or older and for all infertility diagnoses except ovulatory disorders ( P <.001). CONCLUSION: This analysis provides insights into the changing landscape of ART treatments in the United States over the past two decades. The observed shifts in demographics, clinical practices, and technology highlight the dynamic nature of an evolving field of reproductive medicine. These findings may offer insight for clinicians to consider in counseling patients and to inform future research endeavors in the field of ART.


Assuntos
Nascido Vivo , Técnicas de Reprodução Assistida , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Estudos Retrospectivos , Técnicas de Reprodução Assistida/estatística & dados numéricos , Técnicas de Reprodução Assistida/tendências , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Gravidez , Nascido Vivo/epidemiologia , Infertilidade/terapia , Infertilidade/epidemiologia , Masculino , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências
3.
Health Place ; 87: 103249, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38685183

RESUMO

Geographic disparities in teen birth rates in the U.S. persist, despite overall reductions over the last two decades. Research suggests these disparities might be driven by spatial variations in social determinants of health (SDOH). An alternative view is that "place" or "geographical context" affects teen birth rates so that they would remain uneven across the U.S. even if all SDOH were constant. We use multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) to quantify the relative effects of geographical context, independent of SDOH, on county-level teen birth rates across the U.S. Findings indicate that even if all counties had identical compositions with respect to SDOH, strong geographic disparities in teen birth rates would still persist. Additionally, local parameter estimates show the relationships between several components of SDOH and teen birth rates vary over space in both direction and magnitude, confirming that global regression techniques commonly employed to examine these relationships likely obscure meaningful contextual differences in these relationships. Findings from this analysis suggest that reducing geographic disparities in teen birth rates will require not only ameliorating differences in SDOH across counties but also combating community norms that contribute to high rates of teen birth, particularly in the southern U.S. Further, the results suggest that if geographical context is not incorporated into models of SDOH, the effects of such determinants may be interpreted incorrectly.


Assuntos
Coeficiente de Natalidade , Gravidez na Adolescência , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde , Humanos , Adolescente , Gravidez na Adolescência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Estados Unidos , Gravidez , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Geografia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Regressão Espacial
4.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38673328

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This study addresses the importance of identifying key characteristics influencing demographic indicators for urban populations, emphasizing the need to consider regional climatic features and ecological factors. The research utilized data from ten main regional cities across the Republic of Kazakhstan. METHODS: This study involved a retrospective analysis based on secondary data from official sources spanning 2012-2020. We employed correlation analysis and multidimensional regression models. RESULTS: Noteworthy predictors for crude birth rate included the influence of effective temperature (ß = 0.842, p < 0.0001), marriage rate (ß = 0.780, p < 0.0001), Gini coefficient (ß = -27.342, p = 0.020) and divorce rate (ß = -2.060, p < 0.0001), with overall strong model performance (R2 = 0.940). The degree of atmospheric pollution (ß = -0.949, p = 0.044), effective temperature (ß = -0.294, p < 0.0001) and Gini coefficient (ß = 19.923, p = 0.015) were the predictors for crude mortality rate, with a high model fit (R2 = 0.796). CONCLUSIONS: The study unveils significant relationships between demographic indicators (crude birth rate, mortality rate) and variables like effective temperature, marriage rate, divorce rate, Gini coefficient, physician density and others. This analysis of climatic, environmental, and socioeconomic factors influencing demographic indicators may help in promoting specific measures to address public health issues in Kazakhstan.


Assuntos
Fatores Socioeconômicos , População Urbana , Cazaquistão , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , Clima , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Dinâmica Populacional
6.
J Health Econ ; 95: 102867, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38461677

RESUMO

Behavioral adjustments to mitigate increasing risk of STIs can increase or decrease the likelihood of pregnancy. This paper measures the effects of the arrival and spread of AIDS across U.S. cities in the 1980s and 1990s on births and abortions. I show that the AIDS epidemic increased the birth rate by 0.55 percent and the abortion rate by 1.77 percent. I find support for two underlying mechanisms to explain the increase in pregnancies. Some women opted into monogamous partnerships in response to the AIDS epidemic, with a corresponding increase in the marriage rate and improvement in infant health. Others switched from prescription contraceptive methods to condoms. These behavioral changes lowered the incidence of other sexually transmitted infections, but increased both planned and unplanned pregnancies.


Assuntos
Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida , Coeficiente de Natalidade , Sexo Seguro , Humanos , Feminino , Gravidez , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/epidemiologia , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/prevenção & controle , Adulto , Aborto Induzido/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem , Adolescente , Comportamento Sexual , Preservativos/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis/prevenção & controle
8.
Lancet ; 403(10440): 2057-2099, 2024 May 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38521087

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Accurate assessments of current and future fertility-including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions-are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality, and family planning and support. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 produced up-to-date and comprehensive demographic assessments of key fertility indicators at global, regional, and national levels from 1950 to 2021 and forecast fertility metrics to 2100 based on a reference scenario and key policy-dependent alternative scenarios. METHODS: To estimate fertility indicators from 1950 to 2021, mixed-effects regression models and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression were used to synthesise data from 8709 country-years of vital and sample registrations, 1455 surveys and censuses, and 150 other sources, and to generate age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) for 5-year age groups from age 10 years to 54 years. ASFRs were summed across age groups to produce estimates of total fertility rate (TFR). Livebirths were calculated by multiplying ASFR and age-specific female population, then summing across ages 10-54 years. To forecast future fertility up to 2100, our Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) forecasting model was based on projections of completed cohort fertility at age 50 years (CCF50; the average number of children born over time to females from a specified birth cohort), which yields more stable and accurate measures of fertility than directly modelling TFR. CCF50 was modelled using an ensemble approach in which three sub-models (with two, three, and four covariates variously consisting of female educational attainment, contraceptive met need, population density in habitable areas, and under-5 mortality) were given equal weights, and analyses were conducted utilising the MR-BRT (meta-regression-Bayesian, regularised, trimmed) tool. To capture time-series trends in CCF50 not explained by these covariates, we used a first-order autoregressive model on the residual term. CCF50 as a proportion of each 5-year ASFR was predicted using a linear mixed-effects model with fixed-effects covariates (female educational attainment and contraceptive met need) and random intercepts for geographical regions. Projected TFRs were then computed for each calendar year as the sum of single-year ASFRs across age groups. The reference forecast is our estimate of the most likely fertility future given the model, past fertility, forecasts of covariates, and historical relationships between covariates and fertility. We additionally produced forecasts for multiple alternative scenarios in each location: the UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) for education is achieved by 2030; the contraceptive met need SDG is achieved by 2030; pro-natal policies are enacted to create supportive environments for those who give birth; and the previous three scenarios combined. Uncertainty from past data inputs and model estimation was propagated throughout analyses by taking 1000 draws for past and present fertility estimates and 500 draws for future forecasts from the estimated distribution for each metric, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) given as the 2·5 and 97·5 percentiles of the draws. To evaluate the forecasting performance of our model and others, we computed skill values-a metric assessing gain in forecasting accuracy-by comparing predicted versus observed ASFRs from the past 15 years (2007-21). A positive skill metric indicates that the model being evaluated performs better than the baseline model (here, a simplified model holding 2007 values constant in the future), and a negative metric indicates that the evaluated model performs worse than baseline. FINDINGS: During the period from 1950 to 2021, global TFR more than halved, from 4·84 (95% UI 4·63-5·06) to 2·23 (2·09-2·38). Global annual livebirths peaked in 2016 at 142 million (95% UI 137-147), declining to 129 million (121-138) in 2021. Fertility rates declined in all countries and territories since 1950, with TFR remaining above 2·1-canonically considered replacement-level fertility-in 94 (46·1%) countries and territories in 2021. This included 44 of 46 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, which was the super-region with the largest share of livebirths in 2021 (29·2% [28·7-29·6]). 47 countries and territories in which lowest estimated fertility between 1950 and 2021 was below replacement experienced one or more subsequent years with higher fertility; only three of these locations rebounded above replacement levels. Future fertility rates were projected to continue to decline worldwide, reaching a global TFR of 1·83 (1·59-2·08) in 2050 and 1·59 (1·25-1·96) in 2100 under the reference scenario. The number of countries and territories with fertility rates remaining above replacement was forecast to be 49 (24·0%) in 2050 and only six (2·9%) in 2100, with three of these six countries included in the 2021 World Bank-defined low-income group, all located in the GBD super-region of sub-Saharan Africa. The proportion of livebirths occurring in sub-Saharan Africa was forecast to increase to more than half of the world's livebirths in 2100, to 41·3% (39·6-43·1) in 2050 and 54·3% (47·1-59·5) in 2100. The share of livebirths was projected to decline between 2021 and 2100 in most of the six other super-regions-decreasing, for example, in south Asia from 24·8% (23·7-25·8) in 2021 to 16·7% (14·3-19·1) in 2050 and 7·1% (4·4-10·1) in 2100-but was forecast to increase modestly in the north Africa and Middle East and high-income super-regions. Forecast estimates for the alternative combined scenario suggest that meeting SDG targets for education and contraceptive met need, as well as implementing pro-natal policies, would result in global TFRs of 1·65 (1·40-1·92) in 2050 and 1·62 (1·35-1·95) in 2100. The forecasting skill metric values for the IHME model were positive across all age groups, indicating that the model is better than the constant prediction. INTERPRETATION: Fertility is declining globally, with rates in more than half of all countries and territories in 2021 below replacement level. Trends since 2000 show considerable heterogeneity in the steepness of declines, and only a small number of countries experienced even a slight fertility rebound after their lowest observed rate, with none reaching replacement level. Additionally, the distribution of livebirths across the globe is shifting, with a greater proportion occurring in the lowest-income countries. Future fertility rates will continue to decline worldwide and will remain low even under successful implementation of pro-natal policies. These changes will have far-reaching economic and societal consequences due to ageing populations and declining workforces in higher-income countries, combined with an increasing share of livebirths among the already poorest regions of the world. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Assuntos
Coeficiente de Natalidade , Carga Global da Doença , Humanos , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Adulto , Feminino , Carga Global da Doença/tendências , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Masculino , Saúde Global , Criança , Previsões , Fertilidade , Previsões Demográficas , Pré-Escolar , Demografia
10.
Fertil Steril ; 121(5): 756-764, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38246401

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To study the contribution of ovulation induction and ovarian stimulation, in vitro fertilization (IVF), and unassisted conception to the increase in national plural births in the United States, a significant contributor to adverse maternal and infant health outcomes. DESIGN: National and IVF-assisted plural birth data were derived from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Vital Statistics System (1967-2021, after introduction of Clomiphene Citrate in the United States) and the National Assisted Reproductive Technology Surveillance System (1997-2021), respectively. SETTING: Not applicable. PATIENT(S): Not applicable. INTERVENTION(S): Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): In addition to IVF-assisted plural births, the contributions of unassisted conception to plural births among women aged <35 and ≥35 years were estimated using plural birth rates from 1949-1966 and a Bayesian logistic model with race and age as independent variables. The contribution of ovulation induction and ovarian stimulation was estimated as the difference between national plural births and IVF-assisted and unassisted counterparts. RESULT(S): From 1967-2021, the national twin birth rate increased 1.7-fold to a 2014 high (33.9/1,000 live births), then declined to 31.2/1,000 live births; the triplet and higher order birth rate increased 6.7-fold to a 1998 high (1.9/1,000 live births), then declined to 0.8/1,000 live births. In 2021, the contribution of unassisted conception among women aged <35 years to the national plural births was 56.1%, followed by ovulation induction and ovarian stimulation (19.5%), unassisted conception among women aged ≥35 years (16.8%), and IVF (7.6%). During 2009-2021, the contribution of ovulation induction and ovarian stimulation has remained stable, the contribution of unassisted conception among women aged <35 and ≥35 years has increased, and the contribution of IVF has decreased. CONCLUSION(S): Ovulation induction and ovarian stimulation are leading iatrogenic contributors to plural births. They are, therefore, targets for intervention to reduce the adverse maternal and infant health outcomes associated with plural births. Maternal age of ≥35 years is a significant contributor to the national plural birth increase.


Assuntos
Fertilização in vitro , Indução da Ovulação , Humanos , Feminino , Gravidez , Adulto , Indução da Ovulação/tendências , Indução da Ovulação/estatística & dados numéricos , Indução da Ovulação/efeitos adversos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Fertilização in vitro/tendências , Fertilização in vitro/estatística & dados numéricos , Fertilização in vitro/efeitos adversos , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Idade Materna , Fatores de Risco , Adulto Jovem , Nascido Vivo/epidemiologia
11.
Artigo em Espanhol | LILACS, CUMED | ID: biblio-1536315

RESUMO

Introducción: La infertilidad afecta hasta un 15 por ciento de las parejas en edad reproductiva en el mundo y es uno de los factores que inciden en la baja natalidad de Cuba. Antes del 2016 no existían consultas de infertilidad en todos los municipios y era bajo el número de embarazos logrados, lo que motivó la decisión de extenderlas a todos los municipios del país. Objetivo: Describir los resultados de las consultas municipales de infertilidad en los primeros cuatro años de su implementación (2017-2020). Métodos: Estudio observacional transversal de casos, atendidos en las 82 consultas municipales de infertilidad existentes antes del 2016 y después de su generalización a todos los municipios del país. Resultados: En las consultas municipales han sido atendidas 81,3 por ciento de las parejas infértiles que lo demandan, se incrementó el número de consultas ofrecidas de 24 215 en el año 2016 a 140 183 en el 2020. En ese período se elevó en 10 por ciento los embarazos obtenidos, 63,5 por ciento de los logrados en todos los niveles de atención. Conclusiones: Las consultas municipales incrementaron sus resultados entre el año 2017 al 2020 y los nacimientos obtenidos pueden ser considerados como una contribución del sector salud a reducir la baja natalidad que experimenta el país(AU)


Introduction: Infertility affects up to 15percent of couples of reproductive age in the world and is one of the factors affecting the low birth rate in Cuba. Before 2016, infertility consultations did not exist in all municipalities and the number of pregnancies achieved was low, which motivated the decision to extend them to all municipalities in the country. Aim: To describe the results of municipal infertility consultations in the first four years of their implementation (2017-2020). Methods: Cross-sectional observational study of cases, attended in the 82 municipal infertility consultations existing before 2016 and after their generalization to all municipalities in the country. Results: 81.3percent of the infertile couples requesting treatment were attended in the municipal consultations. The number of consultations offered increased from 24 215 in 2016 to 140 183 in 2020. In that period, pregnancies obtained increased by 10 percent, 63.5 percent of those achieved at all levels of care. Conclusions: Municipal consultations increased their results from 2017 to 2020 and the births obtained can be considered as a contribution of the health sector to reduce the low birth rate experienced by the country(AU)


Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Infertilidade/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Estudo Observacional
12.
PLoS One ; 17(2): e0263532, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35130319

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The transition to small family size is at an advanced phase in India, with a national TFR of 2.2 in 2015-16. This paper examines the roles of four key determinants of fertility-marriage, contraception, abortion and postpartum infecundability-for India, all 29 states and population subgroups. METHODS: Data from the most recent available national survey, the National Family Health Survey, conducted in 2015-16, were used. The Bongaarts proximate determinants model was used to quantify the roles of the four key factors that largely determine fertility. Methodological contributions of this analysis are: adaptations of the model to the Indian context; measurement of the role of abortion; and provision of estimates for sub-groups nationally and by state: age, education, residence, wealth status and caste. RESULTS: Nationally, marriage is the most important determinant of the reduction in fertility from the biological maximum, contributing 36%, followed by contraception and abortion, contributing 24% and 23% respectively, and post-partum infecundability contributed 16%. This national pattern of contributions characterizes most states and subgroups. Abortion makes a larger contribution than contraception among young women and better educated women. Findings suggest that sterility and infertility play a greater than average role in Southern states; marriage practices in some Northeastern states; and male migration for less-educated women. The absence of stronger relationships between the key proximate fertility determinants and geography or socio-economic status suggests that as family size declined, the role of these determinants is increasingly homogenous. CONCLUSIONS: Findings argue for improvements across all states and subgroups, in provision of contraceptive care and safe abortion services, given the importance of these mechanisms for implementing fertility preferences. In-depth studies are needed to identify policy and program needs that depend on the barriers and vulnerabilities that exist in specific areas and population groups.


Assuntos
Coeficiente de Natalidade , Fertilidade/fisiologia , Aborto Induzido/estatística & dados numéricos , Aborto Induzido/tendências , Adolescente , Adulto , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Comportamento Contraceptivo/estatística & dados numéricos , Comportamento Contraceptivo/tendências , Características da Família , Serviços de Planejamento Familiar/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Planejamento Familiar/tendências , Feminino , Geografia , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Casamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Casamento/tendências , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Teóricos , Dinâmica Populacional , Gravidez , Transtornos Puerperais/epidemiologia , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/tendências , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto Jovem
13.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(8)2022 02 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35165192

RESUMO

Women in the United States are much more likely to become mothers as teens than those in other rich countries. Teen births are particularly likely to be reported as unintended, leading to debate over whether better information on sex and contraception might lead to reductions in teen births. We contribute to this debate by providing causal evidence at the population level. Our causal identification strategy exploits county-level variation in the timing and receipt of federal funding for more comprehensive sex education and data on age-specific teen birth rates at the county level constructed from birth certificate natality data covering all births in the United States. Our results show that federal funding for more comprehensive sex education reduced county-level teen birth rates by more than 3%. Our findings thus complement the mixed evidence to date from randomized control trials on teen pregnancies and births by providing population-level causal evidence that federal funding for more comprehensive sex education led to reductions in teen births.


Assuntos
Gravidez na Adolescência/prevenção & controle , Gravidez na Adolescência/psicologia , Educação Sexual/tendências , Adolescente , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Anticoncepção/tendências , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Gravidez , Educação Sexual/estatística & dados numéricos , Comportamento Sexual/psicologia , Estados Unidos , Adulto Jovem
14.
Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand ; 101(2): 248-255, 2022 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34988971

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The aim was to describe and compare changes in the reproductive pattern of women in their 40s observed over a decade in Scandinavia. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Cross-sectional study using the total population of women aged 40-49 years between 2008-2018 in Denmark, Norway and Sweden (on average n = 1.5 million). Aggregated data concerning birth and induced abortion rate were collected and analyzed from national health registers. National data on redeemed prescriptions of hormonal contraceptives in the three countries were collected from prescription registers. Births after spontaneous and assisted conceptions were identified by using cross-linked data on deliveries from the Medical Birth Registers and National Registers of Assisted Reproduction in the three countries. RESULTS: Use of hormonal contraception increased among women aged 40-44 years in Denmark from 24% to 31%, in Sweden from 27% to 30%, and in Norway from 22% to 24%. The levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine device was the most frequently used method in all countries. Birth rates among women 40-44 years increased continuously from 9.5 to 12/1000 women in Denmark and from 11.7 to 14.3/1000 in Sweden, but remained stable in Norway at ~11/1000 women. There was a doubling of assisted conceptions in Denmark from 0.71 to 1.71/1000 women, Sweden from 0.43 to 0.81/1000 and Norway from 0.25 to 0.53/1000 women 40-49 years of age. Sweden had the highest induced abortion rate (7.7 to 8.1/1000 women) in women aged 40-49 years during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: From 2008 to 2018, birth rates continuously increased among women aged 40-49 years in Denmark and Sweden and births resulting from assisted reproductive technology doubled in all three countries.


Assuntos
Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Idade Materna , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Fertilização in vitro , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gravidez , Resultado da Gravidez , Sistema de Registros , Países Escandinavos e Nórdicos/epidemiologia
15.
J Perinat Med ; 50(1): 42-45, 2022 Jan 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34388327

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Decreasing fertility implies considerable public health, societal, political, and international consequences. Induced abortion (IA) and the recent COVID-19 pandemic can be contributing factors to it but these have not been adequately studied so far. The purpose of this paper is to explore the relation of IA incidence and the COVID-19 pandemic to declining rates of delivery, as per our Sardinian experience. METHODS: We analyzed the registered data from the official Italian statistics surveys of deliveries and IA in the last 10 years from 2011 to 2020 in Sardinia. RESULTS: A total of 106,557 deliveries occurred and a progressive decrease in the birth rate has been observed. A total of 18,250 IA occurred and a progressive decline has been observed here as well. The ratio between IA and deliveries remained constant over the decade. Between 2011 and 2019 a variation of -4.32% was observed for IA while in the last year, during the COVID-19 pandemic the decrease of the procedures was equal to -12.30%. For the deliveries, a mean variation of the -4.8% was observed between the 2011 and the 2019 while in the last year, during the COVID-19 pandemic the decrease was about -9%. Considering the about 30% reduction of live births between 2011 and 2020, there is an almost proportional reduction in IA. CONCLUSIONS: Public policy responses to decreasing fertility, especially pronatalist ones, would be provided with evidence base about trends in delivery and IA and women's decision making.


Assuntos
Aborto Induzido/estatística & dados numéricos , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , COVID-19 , Feminino , Humanos , Itália , Gravidez , Estudos Retrospectivos
16.
Rev. ANACEM (Impresa) ; 16(1): 21-25, 2022. ilus, tab
Artigo em Espanhol | LILACS | ID: biblio-1524205

RESUMO

Introducción: A nivel mundial la tasa de natalidad desde las últimas décadas ha venido en declive, por lo que adquiere relevancia investigar sus cambios. Objetivos: Cuantificar la tendencia de nacimientos en Chile según rango etario de la madre y sexo biológico del recién nacido en el periodo 2015-2020. Metodología: Se realizó un estudio observacional y ecológico, con los datos obtenidos del banco mundial y DEIS, para la población y nacimientos respectivamente. Los datos se dividieron según las edades maternas en tres grupos: <18 años, 18-34 años y ≥ 35 años. No se requirió comité de ética debido a que no se interviene con personas. Los autores no presentan conflicto de interés. Resultados: Se observó una disminución de los nacimientos del 22,6%, pasando de 244.626 el 2015 a 189.250 el 2020. Los nacimientos en el grupo etario de madres menores a 18 años disminuyeron un 82,13%, reduciéndose de 17.505 a 3.129, el rango de edad materna correspondiente al segundo grupo de 18 a 34 años, ubicó la mayor cantidad de nacimientos, manteniéndose alrededor de un 77,75% (neto), el rango ≥ 35 años, presentó un alza de un 17%, aumentando de 34.648 nacimientos a 40.539. Discusión: En Chile hay un descenso en los nacimientos dado a que la maternidad se está postergando, lo cual puede deberse a la educación sexual implementada en el país y la mayor participación de mujeres en ámbito laboral, esto sugiere una transición de una demografía estable a una regresiva.


Introduction: The birth rate has been declining worldwide since the last decades, so it is important to investigate its changes. Objectives: To quantify the trend of births in Chile according to age range of the mother and biological sex of the newborn in the period 2015-2020. Methodology: An observational and ecological study was conducted, with data obtained from the World Bank and DEIS, for population and births respectively. Data were divided according to maternal ages into three groups: <18 years, 18-34 years and ≥ 35 years. No ethics committee was required due to the fact that we did not intervene with individuals. The authors have no conflict of interest. Results: A decrease in births of 22.6% was observed, from 244,626 in 2015 to 189,250 in 2020. Births in the age group of mothers under 18 years decreased by 82.13%, decreasing from 17,505 to 3,129, the maternal age range corresponding to the second group from 18 to 34 years, located the highest number of births, remaining around 77.75% (net), the range ≥ 35 years, presented a rise of 17%, increasing from 34. Discussion: In Chile there is a decrease in births due to the fact that motherhood is being postponed, which may be due to the sexual education implemented in the country and the greater participation of women in the labor market, suggesting a transition from a stable demography to a regressive one.


Assuntos
Humanos , Feminino , Gravidez , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Adolescente , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Idade Materna , Chile/epidemiologia
17.
Reprod Biol Endocrinol ; 19(1): 172, 2021 Nov 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34836538

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Information regarding the influence of cytoplasmic events during fertilisation on the clinical outcome remains limited. The cytoplasmic halo is one of these events. A previous study that used time-lapse technology found an association of the presence and morphokinetics of the cytoplasmic halo with cleavage patterns, development to the blastocyst stage, and the ongoing pregnancy rate after blastocyst transfer. Therefore, the cytoplasmic halo may be a useful predictor of the pregnancy outcome after cleaved embryo transfer. This study evaluated the ability of the cytoplasmic halo to predict a live birth after fresh cleaved embryo transfer on day 2, and sought to identify factors potentially influencing the presence and morphokinetics of the halo. METHODS: A total of 902 embryos cultured in the EmbryoScope+® time-lapse system and subjected to single fresh cleaved embryo transfer were retrospectively analysed. The presence and duration of a cytoplasmic halo were annotated. The initial positions of the pronuclei were also observed. The correlation between the cytoplasmic halo and live birth was evaluated and the association of the cytoplasmic halo with patient, cycle, and embryonic characteristics was determined. RESULTS: Absence of a cytoplasmic halo was associated with a significant decrease in the likelihood of a live birth after fresh cleaved embryo transfer. Prolongation of the halo, especially the duration of central repositioning of cytoplasmic granules, had an adverse impact on the live birth rate. The characteristics of the cytoplasmic halo were not affected by the ovarian stimulation method used, female age, the serum steroid hormone level on the day of trigger, or semen quality. However, the cytoplasmic halo was significantly affected by male age, oocyte diameter, and the initial position of the male pronucleus. CONCLUSIONS: Absence or prolongation of the cytoplasmic halo was negatively correlated with the live birth rate after fresh cleaved embryo transfer. The characteristics of the cytoplasmic halo were strongly associated with oocyte diameter, male age, and the initial position of the male pronucleus. These findings indicate that the characteristics of the cytoplasmic halo can be used to select more competent embryos for transfer at the cleavage stage.


Assuntos
Coeficiente de Natalidade , Citoplasma/fisiologia , Transferência Embrionária/métodos , Fertilização/fisiologia , Nascido Vivo/epidemiologia , Indução da Ovulação/métodos , Adulto , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Transferência Embrionária/tendências , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Recuperação de Oócitos/métodos , Recuperação de Oócitos/tendências , Indução da Ovulação/tendências , Gravidez , Estudos Retrospectivos , Análise do Sêmen/métodos
20.
JAMA Netw Open ; 4(10): e2125373, 2021 10 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34623408

RESUMO

Importance: Timely access to clinically appropriate obstetric services is critical to the provision of high-quality perinatal care. Objective: To examine the geographic distribution, proximity, and urban adjacency of US obstetric hospitals by annual birth volume. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective population-based cohort study identified US hospitals with obstetric services using the American Hospital Association (AHA) Annual Survey of Hospitals and Centers for Medicare & Medicaid provider of services data from 2010 to 2018. Obstetric hospitals with 10 or more births per year were included in the study. Data analysis was performed from November 6, 2020, to April 5, 2021. Exposure: Hospital birth volume, defined by annual birth volume categories of 10 to 500, 501 to 1000, 1001 to 2000, and more than 2000 births. Main Outcomes and Measures: Outcomes assessed by birth volume category were percentage of births (from annual AHA data), number of hospitals, geographic distribution of hospitals among states, proximity between obstetric hospitals, and urban adjacency defined by urban influence codes, which classify counties by population size and adjacency to a metropolitan area. Results: The study included 26 900 hospital-years of data from 3207 distinct US hospitals with obstetric services, reflecting 34 054 951 associated births. Most infants (19 327 487 [56.8%]) were born in hospitals with more than 2000 births/y, and 2 528 259 (7.4%) were born in low-volume (10-500 births/y) hospitals. More than one-third of obstetric hospitals (37.4%; 10 064 hospital-years) were low volume. A total of 46 states had obstetric hospitals in all volume categories. Among low-volume hospitals, 18.9% (1904 hospital-years) were not within 30 miles of any other obstetric hospital and 23.9% (2400 hospital-years) were within 30 miles of a hospital with more than 2000 deliveries/y. Isolated hospitals (those without another obstetric hospital within 30 miles) were more frequently low volume, with 58.4% (1112 hospital-years) located in noncore rural areas. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, marked variations were found in birth volume, geographic distribution, proximity, and urban adjacency among US obstetric hospitals from 2010 to 2018. The findings related to geographic isolation and rural-urban distribution of low-volume obstetric hospitals suggest the need to balance proximity with volume to optimize effective referral and access to high-quality perinatal care.


Assuntos
Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Mapeamento Geográfico , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Obstetrícia/organização & administração , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Hospitais/tendências , Humanos , Obstetrícia/estatística & dados numéricos , Gravidez , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos
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