LABORATORY PREDICTORS FOR DIAGNOSING COLORECTAL ANASTOMOTIC LEAKAGE.

BACKGROUND: An important concern in oncological coloproctology is colorectal anastomotic leakage (AL), which occurs in 3.5%-21% of patients. Predicting the occurrence of failure based on the results of laboratory markers can be decisive for the treatment of this complication. AIM: To improve the early diagnosis of AL by establishing combinations and threshold values of laboratory markers - predictors of the inflammatory process. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The prospective study, conducted from 2020 to 2023, included 213 rectal cancer patients who underwent low anterior resection after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. The inflammatory biomarkers were assessed before surgery and on the 3rd, 5th, and 7th days of the postoperative period. RESULTS: AL diagnosed in 25 (11.74%) patients by the grade of severity was as follows: A (radiological) in 7 (3.29%) patients; B (clinical) - 4 (1.88%); C (clinically expressed, peritonitis) - 11 (5.16%), and P (late) - 3 (1.41%) patients. The changes in the laboratory indicators of the inflammatory response such as С-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), the counts of neutrophils (NEU), lymphocytes (LYM), platelets (PLT), and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were significant only in B or C AL grades. Among them, only three indicators were identified as significant for predicting AL when assessed 24 h before the onset of this complication, namely LYM (threshold value ≤ 0.97 × 103/mm3, sensitivity 66.7% and specificity 81.3%, p < 0.001); PLT (threshold value > > 257 103/mm3, sensitivity 58.6%, and specificity 86.7%, p < 0.001); and NLR (threshold value > 4.42, sensitivity 58.1%, and specificity 86.7%, p < 0.001). The three-factor model based on these selected indicators was set up, and the prognosis index (Prog) was proposed with the decision threshold Progcrit = 2.23. The sensitivity of the model was 80% (95% CI 51.9%-95.7%), and the specificity - 74.2% (67.6%-80.2%). CONCLUSION: Based on the routine laboratory predictors used in the complex diagnosis of AL, B or C AL grades may be predicted allowing for the timely effective early diagnosis, medication, and surgical intervention..

Arginine on immune function and post-operative obstructions in colorectal cancer patients: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of arginine on immune function and postoperative complications in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search to identify eligible RCTs in various databases, such as PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMBASE, Web of Science, MEDLINE, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang, VIP Medicine Information System (VIP), and Chinese Biomedical Database (CBM). This study aimed to examine IgA, IgG, and IgM levels as well as CD4+ and CD8+ counts as well as the CD4+/CD8+ ratio. Anastomotic leaking, length of stay (LOS), and surgical site infection (SSI) were included as secondary outcomes. Stata (StataCorp, version 14.0) was utilized for data analysis. To ensure the results were reliable, we used meta-regression, sensitivity analysis, and publication bias analysis. RESULTS: A total of 24 publications (including 1883 patients) out of 681 that were retrieved fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The arginine group showed notable improvements in humoral immunity, with gains in IgA (SMD=0.45, 95% CI: 0.30-0.60), IgG (SMD=0.80, 95% CI: 0.64-0.96), and IgM (SMD=0.66, 95% CI: 0.39-0.93). With regards to cellular immunity, the arginine group exhibited a substantial increase in the CD4+ T cell count (SMD = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.67-1.38) compared to the control group. However, the CD4+/CD8+ ratio decreased significantly (SMD=1.37, 95% CI: 0.88-1.86) in the same arginine group, indicating a change in the balance between these two cell types. Additionally, the CD8+ T cell count showed a notable decrease (SMD=-0.70, 95% CI: -1.09 to -0.32) in the arginine group when compared to the control group. Anastomotic leakage was also considerably lower in the arginine group (SMD=-0.05, 95% CI: -0.08 to -0.02), the rate of SSIs was lower (RR = -0.02, 95% CI: -0.05-0), and the length of time patients spent in the hospital was shorter (SMD=-0.15, 95% CI: -0.38 to -0.08). CONCLUSIONS: After radiation treatment for CRC, arginine improves immune function and decreases the risk of infection problems. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registration with PROSPERO for this meta-analysis is number CRD42024520509.

Can We Predict Gastric Leaks After Laparoscopic Sleeve Gastrectomy by Evaluating the Complete Blood Count on Postoperative Day 1?

INTRODUCTION: We assessed whether postoperative day-1 (POD-1) complete blood count (CBC) test parameters, including red cell distribution width (RDW), mean platelet volume (MPV), plateletcrit (PCT), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), could identify patients with gastric leaks after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG). METHODS: Patients with postoperative gastric leaks (n=36) and patients with no complications who were selected by age-sex-BMI matching (n=254) were included in the study. The levels of RDW, MPW, PCT, PLR, and NLR were compared between groups in univariate analyses. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was run for CBC parameters with a P -value<0.05 in univariate analyses. The area under the curve (AUC) was evaluated, and a cutoff value was determined. Sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratio (LR), positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy were calculated. RESULTS: The level of PCT was significantly lower, while levels of PLR and NLR were significantly higher in patients with postoperative gastric leaks as compared with those without ( P <0.05). The AUC of both PCT and PLR was <0.750, while the AUC of NLR was 0.911. NLR cutoff at 3.6 yielded 80% sensitivity, 92% specificity, and an LR of 10. In the study cohort, PPV of 59%, NPV of 97%, and an accuracy of 90% were found. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that NLR at POD-1, with a cutoff value of 3.6, is a useful indicator of postoperative gastric leak who underwent LSG. We recommend the use of this easily calculated parameter in clinical practice.

Peritoneal infection after colorectal cancer surgery induces substantial alterations in postoperative protein levels: an exploratory study.

PURPOSE: Peritoneal infection, due to anastomotic leakage, after resection for colorectal cancer have been shown to associate with increased cancer recurrence and mortality, as well as cardiovascsular morbidity. Alterations in circulating protein levels could help shed light on the underlying mechanisms, prompting this exploratory study of 64 patients operated for colorectal cancer with anastomosis. METHODS: Thirty-two cases who suffered a postoperative peritoneal infection were matched with 32 controls who had a complication-free postoperative stay. Proteins in serum samples at their first postoperative visit and at one year after surgery were analysed using proximity extension assays and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. Multivariate projection methods, adjusted for multiple testing, were used to compare levels between groups, and enrichment and network analyses were performed. RESULTS: Seventy-seven proteins, out of 270 tested, were differentially expressed at a median sampling time of 41 days postoperatively. These proteins were all normalised one year after surgery. Many of the differentially expressed top hub proteins have known involvement in cancer progression, survival, invasiveness and metastasis. Over-represented pathways were related to cardiomyopathy, cell-adhesion, extracellular matrix, phosphatidylinositol-3-kinase/Akt (PI3K-Akt) and transforming growth factor beta (TGF-ß) signaling. CONCLUSION: These affected proteins and pathways could provide clues as to why patients with peritoneal infection might suffer increased cancer recurrence, mortality and cardiovascular morbidity.

Diagnostic Modalities for Early Detection of Anastomotic Leak After Colorectal Surgery.

INTRODUCTION: Anastomotic leak (AL) remains a severe complication following colorectal surgery, leading to increased morbidity and mortality, particularly in cases of delayed diagnosis. Existing diagnostic methods, including computed tomography (CT) scans, contrast enemas, endoscopic examinations, and reoperations can confirm AL but lack strong predictive value. Early detection is crucial for improving patient outcomes, yet a definitive and reliable predictive test, or "gold standard," is still lacking. METHODS: A comprehensive PubMed review was focused on CT imaging, serum levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), and procalcitonin (PCT) to assess their predictive utility in detecting AL after colorectal resection. Three independent reviewers evaluated eligibility, extracted data, and assessed the methodological quality of the studies. RESULTS: Summarized in detailed tables, our analysis revealed the effectiveness of both CRP and PCT in the early detection of AL during the postoperative period. CT imaging, capable of identifying fluid collection, pneumoperitoneum, extraluminal contrast extravasation, abscess formation, and other early signs of leak, also proved valuable. CONCLUSIONS: Considering the variability in findings and statistics across these modalities, our study suggests a personalized, multimodal approach to predicting AL. Integrating CRP and PCT assessments with the diagnostic capabilities of CT imaging provides a nuanced, patient-specific strategy that significantly enhances early detection and management. By tailoring interventions based on individual clinical characteristics, surgeons can optimize patient outcomes, reduce morbidity, and mitigate the consequences associated with AL after colorectal surgery. This approach emphasizes the importance of personalized medicine in surgical care, paving the way for improved patient health outcomes.

Serum C-reactive protein and procalcitonin levels in patients with pneumonia and anastomotic leakage in the postoperative period after esophagectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Despite being a less-invasive procedure, esophagectomy can cause severe infectious complications, such as pneumonia and anastomotic leakage. Herein, we aimed to clarify the inflammatory characteristics of pneumonia/anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy by assessing the difference between the postoperative trends of serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) levels in patients with pneumonia/anastomotic leakage using the values on the consecutive postoperative day (POD). METHODS: This study included 439 patients who underwent minimally invasive esophagectomy. Serum CRP and PCT levels were measured on PODs 1-7, 10, and 14. Pneumonia and anastomotic leakage were defined as Clavien-Dindo grades ≥ 2. RESULTS: Pneumonia and anastomotic leakage occurred in 96 and 51 patients, respectively. The CRP and PCT levels peaked on POD 3 (11.6 ± 6.8 mg/dL) and POD 2 (0.69 ± 2.9 ng/mL), respectively. Between PODs 3 and 14, CRP levels were significantly higher in patients with pneumonia and anastomotic leakage than in those without complications (P < 0.001). Between PODs 3 and 14, PCT levels were significantly higher in patients with pneumonia; however, on most PODs, there were no significant differences in PCT levels between patients with and without anastomotic leakage. CONCLUSION: Inflammatory reactions caused by pneumonia may be more intense than those caused by anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy. Postoperative trends in serum CRP and PCT levels may vary depending on the complication type. Pneumonia and anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy can be potentially distinguished by the postoperative trend of PCT values before detailed examinations, such as computed tomography and endoscopy.

Procalcitonin and C-reactive protein as early predictors in patients at high risk of colorectal anastomotic leakage.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the diagnostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) for anastomotic leakage (AL) following colorectal surgery. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data for patients who underwent colorectal surgery at our hospital between November 2019 and December 2023. CRP and PCT were measured postoperatively to compare patients with/without AL, and changes were compared between low- and high-risk groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the diagnostic accuracy of CRP and PCT to identify AL in high-risk patients. RESULTS: Mean CRP was 142.53 mg/L and 189.57 mg/L in the low- and high-risk groups, respectively, on postoperative day (POD)3. On POD2, mean PCT was 2.75 ng/mL and 8.16 ng/mL in low- and high-risk patients, respectively; values on POD3 were 3.53 ng/mL and 14.86 ng/mL, respectively. The areas under the curve (AUC) for CRP and PCT on POD3 were 0.71 and 0.78, respectively (CRP cut-off: 235.64 mg/L; sensitivity: 96%; specificity: 89.42% vs PCT cut-off: 3.94 ng/mL; sensitivity: 86%; specificity: 93.56%; AUC: 0.78). The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity for the combined diagnostic ability of CRP and PCT on POD3 were 0.92, 90%, and 100%, respectively (cut-off: 0.44). CONCLUSIONS: Combining PCT and CRP on POD3 enhances the diagnostic accuracy for AL.

Early postoperative systemic inflammatory response as predictor of anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Postesophagectomy anastomotic leakage occurs in up to 16% of patients and is the main cause of morbidity and mortality. The leak severity is determined by the extent of contamination and the degree of sepsis, both of which are related to the time from onset to treatment. Early prediction based on inflammatory biomarkers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, white blood cell counts, albumin levels, and combined Noble-Underwood (NUn) scores can guide early management. This review aimed to determine the diagnostic accuracy of these biomarkers. METHODS: This study was designed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines and registered in the PROSPERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews) database. Two reviewers independently conducted searches across PubMed, MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Embase. Sources of bias were assessed, and a meta-analysis was performed. RESULTS: Data from 5348 patients were analyzed, and 13% experienced leakage. The diagnostic accuracy of the serum biomarkers was analyzed, and pooled cutoff values were identified. CRP levels were found to have good diagnostic accuracy on days 2 to 5. The best discrimination was identified on day 2 for a cutoff value < 222 mg/L (area under the curve = 0.824, sensitivity = 81%, specificity = 88%, positive predictive value = 38.6%, and negative predictive value = 98%). A NUn score of >10 on day 4 correlated with poor diagnostic accuracy. CONCLUSION: The NUn score failed to achieve adequate accuracy. CRP seems to be the only valuable biomarker and is a negative predictor of postesophagectomy leakage. Patients with a CRP concentration of <222 mg/L on day 2 are unlikely to develop a leak, and patients can safely proceed through their enhanced recovery after surgery protocol. Patients with a CRP concentration of <127 mg/L on day 5 can be safely discharged when clinically possible.

A real-world study was conducted to develop a nomogram that predicts the occurrence of anastomotic leakage in patients with esophageal cancer following esophagectomy.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of anastomotic leakage (AL) following esophagectomy is regarded as a noteworthy complication. There is a need for biomarkers to facilitate early diagnosis of AL in high-risk esophageal cancer (EC) patients, thereby minimizing its morbidity and mortality. We assessed the predictive abilities of inflammatory biomarkers for AL in patients after esophagectomy. METHODS: In order to ascertain the predictive efficacy of biomarkers for AL, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were generated. Furthermore, univariate, LASSO, and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to discern the risk factors associated with AL. Based on these identified risk factors, a diagnostic nomogram model was formulated and subsequently assessed for its predictive performance. RESULTS: Among the 438 patients diagnosed with EC, a total of 25 patients encountered AL. Notably, elevated levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-10, C-reactive protein (CRP), and procalcitonin (PCT) were observed in the AL group as compared to the non-AL group, demonstrating statistical significance. Particularly, IL-6 exhibited the highest predictive capacity for early postoperative AL, exhibiting a sensitivity of 92.00% and specificity of 61.02% at a cut-off value of 132.13 pg/ml. Univariate, LASSO, and multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that fasting blood glucose ≥7.0mmol/L and heightened levels of IL-10, IL-6, CRP, and PCT were associated with an augmented risk of AL. Consequently, a nomogram model was formulated based on the results of multivariate logistic analyses. The diagnostic nomogram model displayed a robust discriminatory ability in predicting AL, as indicated by a C-Index value of 0.940. Moreover, the decision curve analysis provided further evidence supporting the clinical utility of this diagnostic nomogram model. CONCLUSIONS: This predictive instrument can serve as a valuable resource for clinicians, empowering them to make informed clinical judgments aimed at averting the onset of AL.

Using preoperative C-reactive protein levels to predict anastomotic leaks and other complications after elective colorectal surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIM: While postoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) is used routinely as an early indicator of anastomotic leak (AL), preoperative CRP remains to be established as a potential predictor of AL for elective colorectal surgery. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to examine the association between preoperative CRP and postoperative complications including AL. METHOD: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library and CINAHL databases were searched. Studies with reported preoperative CRP values and short-term surgical outcomes after elective colorectal surgery were included. An inverse variance random effects meta-analysis was performed for all meta-analysed outcomes to determine if patients with or without complications and AL differed in their preoperative CRP levels. Risk of bias was assessed with MINORS and certainty of evidence with GRADE. RESULTS: From 1945 citations, 23 studies evaluating 7147 patients were included. Patients experiencing postoperative infective complications had significantly greater preoperative CRP values [eight studies, n = 2421 patients, mean difference (MD) 8.0, 95% CI 3.77-12.23, p < 0.01]. A significant interaction was observed with subgroup analysis based on whether patients were undergoing surgery for inflammatory bowel disease (X2 = 8.99, p < 0.01). Preoperative CRP values were not significantly different between patients experiencing and not experiencing AL (seven studies, n = 3317, MD 2.15, 95% CI -2.35 to 6.66, p = 0.35), nor were they different between patients experiencing and not experiencing overall postoperative morbidity (nine studies, n = 2958, MD 4.54, 95% CI -2.55 to 11.62, p = 0.31) after elective colorectal surgery. CONCLUSION: Higher preoperative CRP levels are associated with increased rates of overall infective complications, but not with AL alone or with overall morbidity in patients undergoing elective colorectal surgery.

Colectomy in patients with liver disease: albumin-bilirubin score accurately predicts outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Patients with liver disease undergoing colectomy have higher rates of complications and mortality. The Albumin-Bilirubin score is a recently developed system, established to predict outcomes after hepatectomy, that accounts for liver dysfunction. METHODS: All patients undergoing colectomy were identified in the 2015-2018 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program colectomy-targeted database. Demographics and outcomes were compared between patients with Albumin-Bilirubin Grade 1 vs. 2/3. Multivariable regression was performed for outcomes including colorectal-specific complications. Areas under the receiver operative characteristic curves were calculated to determine accuracy of the Albumin-Bilirubin score. RESULTS: Of 86,273 patients identified, 48% (N = 41,624) were Albumin-Bilirubin Grade 1, 45% (N = 38,370) Grade 2 and 7% (N = 6,279) Grade 3. Patents with Grade 2/3 compared to Grade 1 had significantly increased mortality (7.2% vs. 0.9%, p < 0.001) and serious morbidity (31% vs. 12%, p < 0.001). Colorectal-specific complications including anastomotic leak (3.7% vs. 2.8%, p < 0.001) and prolonged ileus (26% vs. 14%, p < 0.001) were higher in patients with Grade 2/3. Grade 2/3 had increased risk of mortality (odds ratio 3.07, p < 0.001) and serious morbidity (1.78, p < 0.001). Albumin-Bilirubin had excellent accuracy in predicting mortality (area under the curve 0.81, p < 0.001) and serious morbidity (0.70, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Albumin-Bilirubin is easily calculated using only serum albumin and total bilirubin values. Grade 2/3 is associated with increased rates of mortality and morbidity following colectomy. Albumin-Bilirubin can be applied to risk-stratify patients prior to colectomy.

Procalcitonin and C-reactive protein as early markers of anastomotic leakage in intestinal resections for advanced ovarian cancer (EDMOCS).

INTRODUCTION: Serum levels of procalcitonin and C-reactive protein (CRP) have been used to predict anastomotic leakage after colorectal surgery, but information is scarce in advanced ovarian cancer (AOC) surgery with bowel resection. This study aimed to assess the predictive value of procalcitonin and CRP in detecting anastomotic leakage after AOC surgery with bowel resection. The study also aimed to determine the optimal postoperative reference values and the best day for evaluating these markers. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This prospective, observational and multicentric trial included 92 patients with AOC undergoing debulking surgery with bowel resection between 2017 and 2020 in 10 reference hospitals in Spain. Procalcitonin and CRP levels were measured at baseline and on postoperative days 1-6. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive value of procalcitonin and CRP at each postoperative day. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated. RESULTS: Anastomotic leakage was detected in six patients (6.5%). Procalcitonin and CRP values were consistently higher in patients with anastomotic leakage at all postoperative days. The maximum area under the curve (AUC) for procalcitonin was observed at postoperative day 1 (AUC = 0.823) with a cutoff value of 3.8 ng/mL (83.3% sensitivity, 81.3% specificity). For CRP, the maximum AUC was found at postoperative day 3 (AUC = 0.833) with a cutoff level of 30.5 mg/dL (100% sensitivity, 80.4% specificity). CONCLUSIONS: Procalcitonin and C-reactive protein are potential biomarkers for early detection of anastomotic leakage after ovarian cancer surgery with bowel resection. Further prospective studies with a larger sample size are needed to confirm these findings.

Preoperative white blood cell count predicts anastomotic leakage in patients with left-sided colorectal cancer.

To determine whether preoperative white blood cell (WBC) counts reflect risk of anastomotic leak (AL) for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), we retrospectively examined data from records of 208 consecutive patients who had undergone resections for left-sided CRC, including their clinicopathological parameters and preoperative laboratory data. The diagnostic value of WBC count for AL was evaluated and compared with those of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio, lymphocyte-monocyte ratio and platelet count × C-reactive protein level multiplier (P-CRP) value; optimal cut-off values were derived from receiver operating characteristic curves. AL was observed in 11 of the 208 patients (5.3%). Compared with the no-AL group, the AL group had a significantly higher mean WBC count and smoking rate. In multivariate analysis, WBC count and smoking were independent risk factors for AL. Compared with the other tested inflammatory indicators, the cut-off value for WBC (6,200/µL) had the highest sensitivity (81.8%) and negative predictive value (98.4%), as well as the lowest likelihood ratio (0.289). Preoperative WBC count could therefore be a convenient predictor of AL in patients with left-sided CRC.

The Predictive Value of Inflammatory Biomarkers in Esophageal Anastomotic Leaks.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the role of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting anastomotic leak (AL) after esophagectomy for esophageal adenocarcinoma. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected database from the McGill University Health Center. Included were all patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma who underwent esophagectomy between 2005 and 2016. Patients with chronic infections, concurrent active malignancies, and autoimmune conditions were excluded. NLR values were obtained on postoperative days (POD) 0, 1, 2, and 3. Receiver operating characteristic curve study and multivariable logistic analysis were conducted to evaluate the diagnostic value of NLR. RESULTS: The study included 330 patients, and AL developed in 16%. Mean NLR values on POD1, 2, and 3 were higher in patients with leaks (20 vs 14 on POD1, P < .001; 20 vs 12 on POD2, P < .001; and 19 vs 10 on POD3, P < .001). The NLR value on POD3 was associated with an area under the curve of 70% and a negative predictive value of 92.4%. Multivariable analyses identified higher American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification, increasing NLR trend (between POD1 and POD3), POD1 NLR, POD2 NLR, and POD3 NLR as independent factors associated with AL. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who developed AL demonstrate higher mean NLR values in the early postoperative period with rising trends. Conversely a low NLR is associated with a high negative predictive value for AL. This simple metric allows risk stratification that may guide treatment decisions in esophagectomy patients.

[C-reactive protein as early predictor of anastomotic leakage after surgery for colorectal cancer. Systematic review and meta-analysis]. / S-reaktivnyi belok kak rannii marker nesostoyatel'nosti shvov tolstokishechnogo anastomoza posle rezektsii tolstoi kishki po povodu raka. Sistematicheskii obzor i metaanaliz.

OBJECTIVE: Systematic review and meta-analysis of data on C-reactive protein (CRP) as a predictor of anastomotic leakage (AL) after surgery for colorectal cancer. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Literature searching was performed in Medline, Elibrary, Scopus, Web of Science databases. Literature request consisted of keywords «CRP¼, «colorectal surgery¼, «anastomotic leakage¼ for the period 2008-2018. Meta-analysis included 2 manuscripts for the second postoperative day, 7 articles for the third postoperative day and 6 articles for the fourth postoperative day. ROC-analysis was made to determine optimal prognostic values. RESULTS: ROC-curve for the second postoperative day - AUC 0.758; optimal CRP value - 154 mg/l (sensitivity 70.1%, specificity 55.6%), 95% confidence interval 0.698-0.819. ROC-curve for the third postoperative day - AUC 0.715; optimal CRP value - 144.5 mg/l (sensitivity 79.1% specificity 60.3%), 95% confidence interval 0.68-0.75. ROC-curve for the fourth postoperative day - AUC 0.767; optimal CRP value - 122.91 mg/l (sensitivity 72.3% specificity 60%), 95% confidence interval 0.73-0.804. CONCLUSION: Increased CRP is an early predictor of AL after surgery for colorectal cancer. CRP level ≥144.5 mg/l on the third postoperative day can predict AL (sensitivity 79%, specificity 60%).

C-reactive protein trajectory to predict colorectal anastomotic leak: PREDICT Study.

BACKGROUND: Anastomotic leak is a common complication after colorectal surgery, associated with increased morbidity and mortality, and poorer long-term survival after oncological resections. Early diagnosis improves short-term outcomes, and may translate into reduced cancer recurrence. Multiple studies have attempted to identify biomarkers to enable earlier diagnosis of anastomotic leak. One study demonstrated that the trajectory of C-reactive protein (CRP) levels was highly predictive of anastomotic leak requiring intervention, with an area under the curve of 0·961. The aim of the present study was to validate this finding externally. METHODS: This was a prospective international multicentre observational study of adults undergoing elective colorectal resection with an anastomosis. CRP levels were measured before operation and for 5 days afterwards, or until day of discharge if earlier than this. The primary outcome was anastomotic leak requiring operative or radiological intervention. RESULTS: Between March 2017 and July 2018, 933 patients were recruited from 20 hospitals across Australia, New Zealand, England and Scotland. Some 833 patients had complete CRP data and were included in the primary analysis, of whom 41 (4·9 per cent) developed an anastomotic leak. A change in CRP level exceeding 50 mg/l between any two postoperative days had a sensitivity of 0·85 for detecting a leak, and a high negative predictive value of 0·99 for ruling it out. A change in CRP concentration of more than 50 mg/l between either days 3 and 4 or days 4 and 5 after surgery had a high specificity of 0·96-0·97, with positive likelihood ratios of 4·99-6·44 for a leak requiring intervention. CONCLUSION: This study confirmed the value of CRP trajectory in accurately ruling out an anastomotic leak after colorectal resection.

ANTECEDENTES: La fuga anastomótica es una complicación frecuente después de la cirugía colorrectal que se asocia con morbilidad y mortalidad, con una peor supervivencia a largo plazo tras resecciones oncológicas. El diagnóstico precoz mejora los resultados a corto plazo y puede traducirse en una reducción de la recidiva del cáncer. Múltiples estudios han tratado de identificar biomarcadores para lograr un diagnóstico precoz de la fuga anastomótica. Un estudio demostró que la evolución de la proteína C reactiva (PCR) era altamente predictiva de una fuga anastomótica que requería intervención, con un área bajo la curva de 0,961. Nuestro estudio tuvo como objetivo validar externamente este hallazgo. MÉTODOS: Se llevó a cabo un estudio internacional prospectivo observacional y multicéntrico de pacientes adultos sometidos a resección colorrectal electiva con anastomosis. Los niveles de PCR se midieron antes de la operación y diariamente hasta el día 5 después de la cirugía, o hasta el día del alta si fue anterior. El criterio de valoración principal fue la fuga anastomótica que requirió intervención quirúrgica o radiológica. RESULTADOS: Entre marzo de 2017 y julio de 2018, se reclutaron 933 pacientes de 20 hospitales de Australia, Nueva Zelanda, Inglaterra y Escocia. Se obtuvieron datos completos de PCR en 833 pacientes y se incluyeron en el análisis primario, de los cuales 41 (4,9%) presentaron una fuga anastomótica. Un aumento de la PCR > 50 mg/L entre dos días del postoperatorio fue sensible para detectar una fuga (0,85) y tuvo un alto valor predictivo negativo para descartarla (0,99). El porcentaje de cambio de PCR > 50 mg/L por día entre los días 3-4 o 4-5 después de la operación fue altamente específico (0,96) con un cociente de probabilidad positivo > 5,0 para las fugas que requirieron una intervención. CONCLUSIÓN: Este estudio confirma la utilidad de la evolución de la PCR para descartar con precisión una fuga anastomótica después de una resección colorrectal.

Blood cell count indexes as predictors of anastomotic leakage in elective colorectal surgery: a multicenter study on 1432 patients.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate a series of blood count inflammation indexes in predicting anastomotic leakage (AL) in elective colorectal surgery. METHODS: Demographic, pathologic, and clinical data of 1432 consecutive patients submitted to colorectal surgery in eight surgical centers were retrospectively evaluated. The neutrophil to lymphocyte (NLR), derived neutrophil to lymphocyte (dNLR), lymphocyte to monocyte (LMR), and platelet to lymphocyte (PLR) ratios were calculated before surgery and on the 1st and 4th postoperative days, in patients with or without AL. RESULTS: There were 106 patients with AL (65 males, mean age 67.4 years). The NLR, dNLR, and PLR were significantly higher in patients with AL in comparison to those without, on both the 1st and 4th postoperative days, but significance was greater on the 4th postoperative day. An NLR cutoff value of 7.1 on this day showed the best area under the curve (AUC 0.744; 95% CI 0.719-0.768) in predicting AL. CONCLUSIONS: Among the blood cell indexes of inflammation evaluated, NLR on the 4th postoperative day showed the best ability to predict AL. NLR is a low cost, easy to perform, and widely available index, which might be potentially used in clinical practice as a predictor of AL in patients undergoing elective colorectal surgery.

Which obesity-associated parameters can better reflect the risk of the occurrence of the anastomotic leakage?

Purpose: We investigated which obesity-associated parameters can better predict the risk of anastomotic leakage (AL) in rectal cancer patients that underwent anterior resection of the rectum.Method: Patients (n = 589) who underwent anterior resection of the rectum with a primary anastomosis were included in this study, including 44 patients with AL and 545 without AL. Univariate analysis was used to compare demographic characteristics and to select risk factors that were used in one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM). Obesity-associated parameters, including preoperative body mass index (BMI), visceral fat area (VFA), subcutaneous fat area (SFA), total fat area (TFA), VFA/TFA ratio, serum cholesterol, and triglycerides, were compared between the two groups after PSM.Results: Sex, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, operation time, and anastomosis level from the anal verge were risk factors for AL (p < .05). After the PSM, BMI, VFA, SFA, TFA, VFA/TFA, and serum cholesterol showed no significant difference between the two group (p > .05). However, the level of serum triglycerides was an independent risk factor for AL (p = .024, odds ratio = 2.95).Conclusions: Serum triglycerides have potential as a predictive indicator for AL, which may improve the treatment and outcomes of patients with AL.

Anastomotic leakage after elective colorectal surgery: a prospective multicentre observational study on use of the Dutch leakage score, serum procalcitonin and serum C-reactive protein for diagnosis.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to test use of the Dutch leakage score (DLS), serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum procalcitonin (PCT) in the diagnosis of anastomotic leakage (AL) after elective colorectal resection in a prospective observational study. METHODS: Patients undergoing elective colorectal resection with anastomosis in 19 centres were enrolled over a 1-year period from September 2017. The DLS and CRP and PCT levels were evaluated on postoperative day (POD) 2, POD3 and POD6. Statistical analysis, including determination of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), was performed for the primary endpoint of AL; secondary endpoints were morbidity and mortality rates ( ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03560180). RESULTS: Among 1546 patients enrolled, the AL rate was 4·9 per cent. Morbidity and mortality rates were 30·2 and 1·3 per cent respectively. With respect to AL, DLS performed better than CRP and PTC levels on POD2 and POD3 (AUC 0·75 and 0·84), whereas CRP levels were documented with better AUC values on POD6 (AUC 0·81). Morbidity was poorly predicted, whereas mortality was best predicted by PCT on POD2 (AUC 0·83) and by DLS on POD3 and POD6 (AUC 0·87 and 0·98 respectively). Overall, the combination of positive PCT, CRP and DLS values resulted in a probability of AL of 21·3 per cent on POD2, 33·4 per cent on POD3, and 47·1 per cent on POD6. However, the combination of their negative values excluded AL in 99·0 per cent of cases on POD2, 99·3 per cent on POD3, and 99·2 per cent on POD6. CONCLUSION: DLS and CRP level are good positive and excellent negative predictors of AL; the addition of PCT improved the predictive value for diagnosis of AL.

ANTECEDENTES: El objetivo de este estudio fue evaluar el sistema de puntuación de dehiscencia holandés (Dutch Leakage Score, DLS), la proteína C reactiva sérica (PCR) y la procalcitonina sérica (PCT) con el objetivo de diagnosticar la fuga anastomótica (anastomotic leakage, AL) después de una resección colorrectal electiva en un estudio prospectivo observacional. MÉTODOS: En este estudio multicéntrico, se incluyeron las resecciones colorrectales electivas con anastomosis efectuadas durante 1 año. El DLS, la PCR y la PCT se evaluaron en el postoperatorio al segundo día (post-operative day, POD) 2, al tercer día POD3 y al sexto día POD6. El análisis estadístico, que incluye las características operativas del receptor (receiver-operating characteristics, ROC) y el área bajo la curva (area under the curve, AUC) se realizó con la AL como criterio de valoración principal; los criterios de valoración secundarios fueron las tasas de morbilidad y mortalidad (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03560180). RESULTADOS: En los 1.546 pacientes incluidos en el estudio, la tasa de AL fue del 4,92%. Las tasas de morbilidad y mortalidad fueron del 30,20% y 1,29%, respectivamente. Con respecto a la AL, el DLS se comportó mejor que la PCR y la PCT en el POD2 y POD3 (AUC-ROC: 0,74 y 0,83), mientras que los niveles de PCR se asociaron con mejores valores de AUC en el POD6 (AUC-ROC: 0,81). La predicción de la morbilidad fue mala, mientras que la mortalidad se predijo mejor mediante la PCT en el POD2 (AUC-ROC: 0,83) y el DLS en el POD3 y POD6 (AUC-ROC: 0,87 y 0,98). En conjunto, la combinación de valores positivos de PCT, PCR y DLS resultó en una probabilidad de AL del 21,3% en POD2, 33,4% en POD3 y 47,1% en POD 6. Por otro lado, la combinación de sus valores negativos excluyó la AL en el 99,0% de los casos en el POD2, 99,3% en el POD3 y 99,2% en el POD6. CONCLUSIÓN: El DLS y la PCR son buenos predictores positivos y excelentes predictores negativos de AL. La adición de la PCT a los predictores anteriores mejora el valor predictivo para el diagnóstico de AL.