Associations of circulating matrix metalloproteinases and tissue inhibitors of matrix metalloproteinases with clinically relevant outcomes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: Data from the IPF-PRO Registry.

INTRODUCTION: We assessed the prognostic utility of circulating levels of matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and tissue inhibitors of matrix metalloproteinases (TIMPs) in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) in the IPF-PRO Registry. METHODS: MMP and TIMP concentrations were quantified by ELISA in plasma from 300 patients. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to assess associations between select MMPs and TIMPs and death and disease progression (absolute decline in forced vital capacity ≥10% predicted, death, or lung transplant). RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 30.4 months, 98 patients died and 182 patients had disease progression. In unadjusted analyses, higher concentrations of MMPs 2, 3, 8 and 9 and TIMPs 1, 2 and 4 were associated with an increased risk of death. MMPs 2 and 8 and TIMP1 remained associated with death after adjustment for clinical factors. In unadjusted analyses, higher concentrations of MMPs 8 and 9 and TIMPs 1 and 4 were associated with an increased risk of disease progression. MMPs 8 and 9 and TIMP1 remained associated with progression after adjustment for clinical factors. CONCLUSION: Circulating levels of MMP8 and TIMP1 may provide information on the risk of outcomes in patients with IPF not captured by clinical measures.

Donor age over 55 is associated with worse outcome in lung transplant recipients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Lung transplantation (LTx) remains the only efficient treatment for selected patients with end-stage pulmonary disease. The age limit for the acceptance of donor organs in LTx is still a matter of debate. We here analyze the impact of donor organ age and the underlying pulmonary disease on short- and long-term outcome and survival after LTx. METHODS: Donor and recipient characteristics of LTx recipients at our institution between 03/2003 and 12/2021 were analyzed. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS and GraphPad software. RESULTS: In 230 patients analyzed, donor age ≥ 55 years was associated with a higher incidence of severe primary graft dysfunction (PGD2/3) (46% vs. 31%, p = 0.03) and reduced long-term survival after LTx (1-, 5- and 10-year survival: 75%, 54%, 37% vs. 84%, 76%, 69%, p = 0.006). Notably, this was only significant in recipients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) (PGD: 65%, vs. 37%, p = 0.016; 1-, 5-, and 10-year survival: 62%, 38%, 16% vs. 80%, 76%, 70%, p = 0.0002 respectively). In patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), donor age had no impact on the incidence of PGD2/3 or survival (21% vs. 27%, p = 0.60 and 68% vs. 72%; p = 0.90 respectively). Moreover, we found higher Torque-teno virus (TTV)-DNA levels after LTx in patients with IPF compared to COPD (X2 = 4.57, p = 0.033). Donor age ≥ 55 is an independent risk factor for reduced survival in the whole cohort and patients with IPF specifically. CONCLUSIONS: In recipients with IPF, donor organ age ≥ 55 years was associated with a higher incidence of PGD2/3 and reduced survival after LTx. The underlying pulmonary disease may thus be a relevant factor for postoperative graft function and survival. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER DKRS: DRKS00033312.

Utility of the 52-Gene Risk Score to Identify Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis at Greater Risk of Mortality in the Era of Antifibrotic Therapy.

PURPOSE: We investigated whether a 52-gene signature was associated with transplant-free survival and other clinically meaningful outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) in the IPF-PRO Registry, which enrolled patients who were and were not taking antifibrotic therapy. METHODS: The 52-gene risk signature was implemented to classify patients as being at "high risk" or "low risk" of disease progression and mortality. Transplant-free survival and other outcomes were compared between patients with a low-risk versus high-risk signature. RESULTS: The 52-gene signature classified 159 patients as at low risk and 86 as at high risk; in these groups, respectively, 56.6% and 51.2% used antifibrotic therapy at enrollment. Among those taking antifibrotic therapy, patients with a low-risk versus high-risk signature were at decreased risk of death, a composite of lung transplant or death, and a composite of decline in DLco % predicted > 15%, lung transplant, or death. Similar results were observed in the overall cohort. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that the 52-gene signature can be used in patients with IPF treated with antifibrotic therapy to distinguish patients at higher risk of disease progression and mortality.

Health-related quality of life measured with K-BILD is associated with survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) assessments and estimates of prognosis are needed for comprehensive care and planning of subsequent treatment in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We investigated HRQoL and its association with survival using a disease-specific tool in patients with IPF. METHODS: The patients were recruited from the real-life FinnishIPF study in 2015. HRQoL was assessed with the King's Brief Interstitial Lung Disease (K-BILD) questionnaire every six months for 2.5 years. Dyspnoea was assessed with the modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnoea scale. Survival was registered until 31 December 2022. Patient survival according to the K-BILD total score was evaluated using the Kaplan‒Meier method. The Friedman test was used to compare the K-BILD total scores longitudinally, and the Mann‒Whitney U test was used to compare the mMRC groups. P values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The median K-BILD total score (n = 245) was 51.6. At baseline, patients in the highest HRQoL quartile (K-BILD scores 58.9-100) had a longer median survival time (5.3 years) than did those with scores of 51.7-58.8 (3.1 years), 45.7-51.6 (2.3 years), and 0.0-45.6 (1.8 years). A decrease in the K-BILD total score of ≥ 5 units in the preceding 12 or 24 months showed a trend towards poorer survival, although statistical significance was not reached. Ninety-four patients survived more than 2.5 years and had available K-BILD data at all time points. The K-BILD total score remained higher in patients with a baseline mMRC of 0-1 than in those with a mMRC of 2-4, and the total score decreased only modestly in both groups (median of 3.3 and 4.8 units in patients with mMRC scores of 0-1 and 2-4, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In IPF, a reduced HRQoL is associated with impaired survival. A K-BILD total score less than approximately 50 units is associated with a median survival of approximately two years. In addition to assessing the treatment needs of patients with IPF using K-BILD, a decreased score may be useful for facilitating advance care planning and transplantation assessment.

IA-Body Composition CT at T12 in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: Diagnosing Sarcopenia and Correlating with Other Morphofunctional Assessment Techniques.

BACKGROUND: Body composition (BC) techniques, including bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIVA), nutritional ultrasound® (NU), and computed tomography (CT), can detect nutritional diagnoses such as sarcopenia (Sc). Sc in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is associated with greater severity and lower survival. Our aim was to explore the correlation of BIVA, NU and functional parameters with BC at T12 level CT scans in patients with IPF but also its relationship with degree of Sc, malnutrition and mortality. METHODS: This bicentric cross-sectional study included 60 IPF patients (85.2% male, 70.9 ± 7.8 years). Morphofunctional assessment (MFA) techniques included BIVA, NU, CT at T12 level (T12-CT), handgrip strength, and timed up and go. CT data were obtained using FocusedON®. Statistical analysis was conducted using JAMOVI version 2.3.22 to determine the cutoff points for Sc in T12-CT and to analyze correlations with other MFA techniques. RESULTS: the cutoff for muscle area in T12-CT was ≤77.44 cm2 (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.734, sensitivity = 41.7%, specificity = 100%). The skeletal muscle index (SMI_T12CT) cutoff was ≤24.5 cm2/m2 (AUC = 0.689, sensitivity = 66.7%, specificity = 66.7%). Low SMI_T12CT exhibited significantly reduced median survival and higher risk of mortality compared to those with normal muscle mass (SMI cut off ≥ 28.8 cm/m2). SMI_T12CT was highly correlated with body cell mass from BIVA (r = 0.681) and rectus femoris cross-sectional area (RF-CSA) from NU (r = 0.599). Cronbach's α for muscle parameters across different MFA techniques and CT was 0.735, confirming their validity for evaluating muscle composition. CONCLUSIONS: T12-CT scan is a reliable technique for measuring low muscle mass in patients with IPF, specifically when the L3 vertebrae are not captured. An SMI value of <28.8 is a good predictor of low lean mass and 12-month mortality in IPF patients.

Identification of immune patterns in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients driven by PLA2G7-positive macrophages using an integrated machine learning survival framework.

Patients with advanced idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), a complex and incurable lung disease with an elusive pathology, are nearly exclusive candidates for lung transplantation. Improved identification of patient subtypes can enhance early diagnosis and intervention, ultimately leading to better prognostic outcomes for patients. The goal of this study is to identify new immune patterns and biomarkers in patients. Immune subtypes in IPF patients were identified using single-sample gene set enrichment analysis, and immune subtype-related genes were explored using the weighted correlation network analysis algorithm. A machine learning integration framework was used to establish the optimal prognostic model, known as the immune-related risk score (IRS). Single-cell sequencing was conducted to investigate the major role of macrophage-derived PLA2G7 in the immune microenvironment. We assessed the stability of celecoxib in targeting PLA2G7 through molecular docking and surface plasmon resonance. IPF patients present two distinct immune subtypes, one characterized by immune activation and inflammation, and the other by immune suppression. IRS can predict the immune status and prognosis of IPF patients. Furthermore, multi-cohort analysis and single-cell sequencing analysis demonstrated the diagnostic and prognostic value of PLA2G7 derived from macrophages and its role in shaping the inflammatory immune microenvironment in IPF patients. Celecoxib could effectively and stably bind with PLA2G7. PLA2G7, as identified through IRS, demonstrates marked stability in diagnosing and predicting the prognosis of IPF patients as well as predicting their immune status. It can serve as a novel biomarker for IPF patients.

Prevalence and prognostic value of malnutrition in patients with IPF using three scoring systems.

BACKGROUND: To describe the nutritional status of IPF patients, report clinical associations and evaluate the prognostic value of them in IPF. METHODS: 264 IPF patients diagnosed with IPF at the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University between January 2011 and January 2021 were recruited. Three different scoring systems, including nutritional risk index (NRI), controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score, and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) were used to describe the nutritional status of IPF patients. RESULT: This study investigated the prevalence of malnutrition in 264 IPF patients, of which the percentage with malnutrition varied from 37.5 % with the NRI, to 47.4 % with the CONUT score, and to 6.4 % with the PNI. The moderate to severe malnutrition ranged from 10.2 % to 31.1 % across these indices, with PNI identifying only 4.9 % in this category. Worsening malnutrition status was associated with significantly higher incidence of all-cause mortality and IPF death regard of the malnutrition index as NRI (p < 0.05). When the normal nutrition of NRI was used as a reference, patients in the moderate to severe risk remained at a higher risk of all-cause death (HR = 2.06(1.25-3.41)) and IPF death(HR = 2.36(1.35-4.15)). The adjusted multivariate analysis, identified age(HR = 1.13(1.08-1.20)), DLCO <60, % predicted (HR = 3.31(1,24-9.42)) and the use of anti-fibrotic drugs (HR = 0.25(0.10-0.60)) as independent predictors of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Malnutrition is common among patients with IPF and the baseline as diagnosis of IPF is strongly related to increased mortality.

Clinical implications of six-minute walk test in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: A six-minute walk test (6MWT) is a reproducible, easily performed test, and is widely used to determine functional exercise capacity in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, there is currently a paucity of data on the clinical significance of baseline and serial 6-minute walk tests in patients with IPF, especially in Asian patients. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate the clinical significance of serial 6MWT in patients with IPF, especially in Asian patients. DESIGN: This is a single-center retrospective cohort study. METHODS: Clinical data of patients diagnosed with IPF at a tertiary center in Korea were retrospectively analyzed. IPF diagnosis was defined according to the clinical guidelines of the American Thoracic Society (ATS)/European Respiratory Society (ERS)/Japanese Respiratory Society/Latin American Thoracic Association. RESULTS: There were 216 patients diagnosed with IPF from December 2012 to January 2022, of whom 198 had a baseline of 6MWT data. The mean age of the cohort was 66.9 ± 8.6, and 89% were male. The non-survivors showed significantly lower six-minute walk distance (6MWD), minimum saturation of peripheral oxygen (SpO2) during 6MWT, forced vital capacity, and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide than survivors at baseline. A multivariate Cox analysis demonstrated that lower minimum SpO2 was independently associated with increased mortality rates (Hazard ratio (HR): 1.081, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.024-1.142, p = 0.005). Higher mortality rates were also associated with echocardiographic-determined pulmonary hypertension (HR: 2.466, 95% CI: 1.149-5.296, p = 0.021) at diagnosis. Among 144 patients with 6MWT results at 12 months, patients with a decline of 50 m or more in the 6MWD showed poorer overall survival than others (median survival: 45.0 months vs 58.0 months, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Baseline lower minimum SpO2 during 6MWT was an independent prognostic factor in patients with IPF, and a decline in 6MWD in serial follow-up was also associated with a poorer prognosis. These findings suggest that both baseline 6MWT and follow-up data are important in the prognostication of patients with IPF.

Higher body mass index was associated with a lower mortality of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: In the past few years, there has been a notable rise in the incidence and prevalence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) on a global scale. A considerable body of research has highlighted the 'obesity paradox,' suggesting that a higher body mass index (BMI) can confer a protective effect against numerous chronic diseases. However, the relationship between BMI and the risk of mortality in IPF patients remains underexplored in the existing literature. We aim to shed light on this relationship and potentially offer novel insights into prevention strategies for IPF. METHODS: We conducted a systematic search of the PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases to collect all published studies examining the correlation between Body Mass Index (BMI) and the mortality risk in patients with IPF, up until February 14, 2023. For the synthesis of the findings, we employed random-effects models. The statistical significance of the association between BMI and the mortality risk in IPF patients was evaluated using the hazard ratio (HR), with the 95% Confidence Interval (CI) serving as the metric for effect size. RESULTS: A total of 14 data sets involving 2080 patients with IPF were included in the meta-analysis. The combined results of the random-effects models were suggestive of a significant association between lower BMI and a higher risk of death (HR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.91-0.97, P < 0.001). For baseline BMI, the risk of death from IPF decreased by 6% for each unit increase. The results of the subgroup analysis suggest that geographic location (Asian subgroup: HR = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.93-0.98, P = 0.001; Western subgroup: HR = 0.91, 95%CI = 0.84-0.98, P = 0.014), study type (RCS subgroup: HR = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.92-0.98, P = 0.004; PCS subgroup: HR = 0.89, 95%CI = 0.84-0.94, P < 0.001), and sample size (< 100 groups: HR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.87-1.01, P = 0.079; >100 groups: HR = 0.94, 95%CI = 0.91-0.97, P < 0.001 ) were not significant influences on heterogeneity. Of the included literature, those with confounding factors corrected and high NOS scores reduced heterogeneity (HR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.90-0.96, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses showed that the combined results were stable and not significantly altered by individual studies (HR = 0.93 to 0.95, 95% CI = 0.90-0.96 to 0.92-0.98). Egger's test suggested no significant publication bias in the included studies (P = 0.159). CONCLUSIONS: Higher BMI (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2) is negatively correlated to some extent with the risk of death in IPF patients, and BMI may become a clinical indicator for determining the prognosis of IPF patients.

Usefulness of serum transthyretin for prediction of the 1-year outcome in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: An evaluation of sarcopenic and nutritional indicators.

BACKGROUND: Patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) often experience sarcopenia and malnutrition. However, this has not been fully examined through longitudinal surveys. This study investigated whether sarcopenia and malnutrition were associated with 1-year outcomes in IPF. METHODS: We evaluated sarcopenia and nutritional status in 64 outpatients with IPF. We assessed the time-to-event for respiratory-related hospitalizations or deaths 12 months after enrollment. Sarcopenia was diagnosed by the criteria of the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia, 2019. Nutritional status was assessed by serum transthyretin and the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI). RESULTS: The average age was 73.6 ± 7.9 years, and the percent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC) was 81.9 ± 15.7%. Of the 64 patients, 24 (37.5%) had sarcopenia. The median serum transthyretin level and mean GNRI were 23.8 mg/dL and 102, respectively. Eleven patients (17.2%) experienced respiratory-related hospitalization or death within the first year. Cox regression analysis showed that the % predicted diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide, lowest oxygen saturation in the 6-min walk test, serum transthyretin level, and GNRI were significant predictors of 1-year outcomes. The Kaplan-Meier method, which divided the patients into two groups based on a transthyretin level of 22.6 mg/dL, showed a significant difference (P < 0.001, log-rank test). Sarcopenia and the percent predicted FVC did not predict the 1-year outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: This pilot study represents the first longitudinal survey assessing patients with IPF for sarcopenia and malnutrition. Serum transthyretin levels may predict respiratory-related hospitalization or death within 1 year in patients with IPF.

Evaluation of progressive pulmonary fibrosis in non-idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis-interstitial lung diseases: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Progressive pulmonary fibrosis is the symptomatic, physiological, and radiological progression of interstitial lung diseases. The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between progressive pulmonary fibrosis and demographic characteristics and to evaluate the effect on clinical outcomes and mortality. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 221 patients diagnosed with non-idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis interstitial lung diseases who were followed in the last 5 years. Patient symptoms, clinical, radiological, and demographic data were examined. Risk factors for the development of progressive pulmonary fibrosis and the relationship with clinical outcomes and mortality were examined. RESULTS: Of the patients, 33.0% (n = 73) had fibrotic idiopathic nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (iNSIP), 35.7% (n = 79) had fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonia (HP), 18.1% (n = 40) had fibrotic connective tissue disease (CTD) interstitial lung diseases (ILD), and 13.1% (n = 29) had postinfectious fibrotic ILD. The progressive pulmonary fibrosis development rates of the subtypes were 46.5% iNSIP (n = 34), 86.0% fibrotic HP (n = 68), 42.5% fibrotic CTD-ILD (n = 17), and 20.7% postinfectious ILD (n = 6). The presence of progressive pulmonary fibrosis was associated with the development of respiratory failure and mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 2.70, 95% CI: 1.04-7.05 and OR: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.23-3.69). Progressive pulmonary fibrosis development was higher in hypersensitivity pneumonia patients with farmer's lung (OR: 5.06, 95% CI: 1.02-25.18). CONCLUSION: Progressive pulmonary fibrosis was more prevalent in older patients. Farming was an important risk factor in the development of hypersensitivity pneumonia-progressive pulmonary fibrosis. Respiratory failure and mortality were higher in those who developed progressive pulmonary fibrosis.

Effect of Antifibrotic Use on Mortality in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: Observational studies report a significant protective effect of antifibrotics on mortality among patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Many of these studies, however, were subject to immortal time bias because of the mishandling of delayed antifibrotic initiation. Objectives: To evaluate the antifibrotic effect on mortality among patients with IPF using appropriate statistical methods that avoid immortal time bias. Methods: Using a large administrative database, we identified 10,289 patients with IPF, of whom 2,300 used antifibrotics. Treating delayed antifibrotic initiation as a time-dependent variable, three statistical methods were used to control baseline characteristics and avoid immortal time bias. Stratified analysis was performed for patients who initiated antifibrotics early and those who initiated treatment late. For comparison, methods that mishandle immortal time bias were performed. A simulation study was conducted to demonstrate the performance of these models in a wide range of scenarios. Results: All three statistical methods yielded nonsignificant results for the antifibrotic effect on mortality, with the stratified analysis for patients with early antifibrotic initiation suggesting evidence for reduced mortality risk (for all patients, hazard ratio, 0.89; 95% confidence interval, 0.79-1.01; P = 0.08; for patients who were 65 years or older, hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.73-0.98; P = 0.03). Methods that mishandle immortal time bias demonstrated significantly lower mortality risk for antifibrotic users. Bias of these methods was evident in the simulation study, where appropriate methods performed well with little to no bias. Conclusions: Findings in this study did not confirm an association between antifibrotics and mortality, with a stratified analysis showing support for a potential treatment effect with early treatment initiation.

The importance of SII and FIB-4 scores in predicting mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients.

INTRODUCTION: Quick and simple parameters are needed to predict mortality in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). In this way, risky patients will have the opportunity to receive early and effective treatment. In this study, we examined whether the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and systemic immune inflammation index (SII) are associated with mortality in IPF patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was designed retrospectively. 100 patients diagnosed with IPF were included in the study. Variables between living patients and deceased patients were examined. RESULTS: Out of a total of 100 patients, 67 were divided into the surviving group and 33 into the non-surviving group. In multivariate analysis, high FIB-4 and SII values were significantly associated with an increased risk of death. CONCLUSION: FIB-4 and SII are parameters that can predict mortality in IPF patients. In this way, IPF patients with high mortality risk will be identified earlier and more effective methods will be used in follow-up and treatment.

Cluster analysis of blood biomarkers to identify molecular patterns in pulmonary fibrosis: assessment of a multicentre, prospective, observational cohort with independent validation.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary fibrosis results from alveolar injury, leading to extracellular matrix remodelling and impaired lung function. This study aimed to classify patients with pulmonary fibrosis according to blood biomarkers to differentiate distinct disease patterns, known as endotypes. METHODS: In this cluster analysis, we first classified patients from the PROFILE study, a multicentre, prospective, observational cohort of individuals with incident idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis or non-specific interstitial pneumonia in the UK (Nottingham University Hospitals, Nottingham; and Royal Brompton Hospital, London). 13 blood biomarkers representing extracellular matrix remodelling, epithelial stress, and thrombosis were measured by ELISA in the PROFILE study. We classified patients by unsupervised consensus clustering. To evaluate generalisability, a machine learning classifier trained on biomarker signatures derived from consensus clustering was applied to a replication dataset from the Australian Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Registry (AIPFR). Biomarker associations with mortality and change in percentage of predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%) were assessed, adjusting for age, gender, baseline FVC%, and antifibrotic treatment and steroid treatment before and after baseline. Mortality risk associated with the clusters in the PROFILE cohort was evaluated with Cox proportional hazards models, and mixed-effects models were used to analyse how clustering was associated with longitudinal FVC% in the PROFILE and AIPFR cohorts. FINDINGS: 455 of 580 participants from the PROFILE study (348 [76%] men and 107 [24%] women; mean age 72·4 years [SD 8·3]) were included in the analysis. Within this group, three clusters were identified based on blood biomarkers. A basement membrane collagen (BM) cluster (n=248 [55%]) showed high concentrations of PRO-C4, PRO-C28, C3M, and C6M, whereas an epithelial injury (EI) cluster (n=109 [24%]) showed high concentrations of MMP-7, SP-D, CYFRA211, CA19-9, and CA-125. The third cluster (crosslinked fibrin [XF] cluster; n=98 [22%]) had high concentrations of X-FIB. In the replication dataset (117 of 833 patients from AIPFR; 87 [74%] men and 30 [26%] women; mean age 72·9 years [SD 7·9]), we identified the same three clusters (BM cluster, n=93 [79%]; EI cluster, n=8 [7%]; XF cluster, n=16 [14%]). These clusters showed similarities with clusters in the PROFILE dataset regarding blood biomarkers and phenotypic signatures. In the PROFILE dataset, the EI and XF clusters were associated with increased mortality risk compared with the BM cluster (EI vs BM: adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1·88 [95% CI 1·42-2·49], p<0·0001; XF vs BM: adjusted HR 1·53 [1·13-2·06], p=0·0058). The EI cluster showed the greatest annual FVC% decline, followed by the BM and XF clusters. A similar FVC% decline pattern was observed in these clusters in the AIPFR replication dataset. INTERPRETATION: Blood biomarker clustering in pulmonary fibrosis identified three distinct blood biomarker signatures associated with lung function and prognosis, suggesting unique pulmonary fibrosis biomarker patterns. These findings support the presence of pulmonary fibrosis endotypes with the potential to guide targeted therapy development. FUNDING: None.

High antinuclear antibody titer is associated with increased mortality risk in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a diagnosis of exclusion, requiring that potential etiologies of interstitial lung disease be ruled out. Antinuclear antibody (ANA) testing is commonly performed in individuals with IPF, but the clinical significance of ANA positivity remains uncertain. A retrospective search identified 161 patients diagnosed with IPF between May 2010 and January 2021. Data on ANA titers at the time of diagnosis were available in all cases. Mean age of the patients was 66.4 ± 9.6 years; 70.8% were male. ANA titers were high (≥ 1:160) in 25.4% of the cohort. Baseline characteristics were comparable between those with high and low ANA titers. During follow-up (median 28 months), 93 patients (57%) died. On Cox proportional-hazards analysis with lung transplantation entered as a competing risk and adjusting for potential confounders (age, sex, and baseline forced vital capacity and diffusing lung capacity for carbon monoxide), ANA ≥ 1:160, as a dichotomized variable, was significantly associated with case-specific mortality (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.14-4.42, P = 0.02) and older age (for each 10-year increment, HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.07-2.25, P = 0.02). High ANA titers appear to be associated with increased mortality in IPF. This finding emphasizes the potential prognostic value of ANA testing. Further studies are needed to validate these findings and explore their implications for patient management.

Clustering analysis of HRCT parameters measured using a texture-based automated system: relationship with clinical outcomes of IPF.

PURPOSE: The extent of honeycombing and reticulation predict the clinical prognosis of IPF. Emphysema, consolidation, and ground glass opacity are visible in HRCT scans. To date, there have been few comprehensive studies that have used these parameters. We conducted automated quantitative analysis to identify predictive parameters for clinical outcomes and then grouped the subjects accordingly. METHODS: CT images were obtained while patients held their breath at full inspiration. Parameters were analyzed using an automated lung texture quantification system. Cluster analysis was conducted on 159 IPF patients and clinical profiles were compared between clusters in terms of survival. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that survival rates declined as fibrosis, reticulation, honeycombing, consolidation, and emphysema scores increased. Cox regression analysis revealed that reticulation had the most significant impact on survival rate, followed by honeycombing, consolidation, and emphysema scores. Hierarchical and K-means cluster analyses revealed 3 clusters. Cluster 1 (n = 126) with the lowest values for all parameters had the longest survival duration, and relatively-well preserved FVC and DLCO. Cluster 2 (n = 15) with high reticulation and consolidation scores had the lowest FVC and DLCO values with a predominance of female, while cluster 3 (n = 18) with high honeycombing and emphysema scores predominantly consisted of male smokers. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that cluster 2 had the lowest survival rate, followed by cluster 3 and cluster 1. CONCLUSION: Automated quantitative CT analysis provides valuable information for predicting clinical outcomes, and clustering based on these parameters may help identify the high-risk group for management.

Antifibrotics and mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: external validity and avoidance of immortal time bias.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Pooled analyses of previous randomized controlled trials reported that antifibrotics improved survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but the results were only based on short-term outcome data from selected patients who met strict criteria. Observational studies/meta-analyses also suggested that antifibrotics improve survival, but these studies failed to control for immortal time bias that considerably exaggerates drug effects. Therefore, whether antifibrotics truly improve long-term survival in patients with IPF in the real world remains undetermined and requires external validity. METHODS: We used data from the Japanese National Claims Database to estimate the intention-to-treat effect of antifibrotics on mortality. To address immortal time bias, we employed models treating antifibrotic initiation as a time-dependent covariate and target trial emulation (TTE), both incorporating new-user designs for antifibrotics and treating lung transplantation as a competing event. RESULTS: Of 30,154 patients with IPF, 14,525 received antifibrotics. Multivariate Fine-Gray models with antifibrotic initiation as a time-dependent covariate revealed that compared with no treatment, nintedanib (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81-0.89) and pirfenidone (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.86-0.93) were associated with reduced mortality. The TTE model also replicated the associations of nintedanib (aHR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.65-0.74) and pirfenidone (aHR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.78-0.85) with reduced mortality. Subgroup analyses confirmed this association regardless of age, sex, and comorbidities, excluding certain subpopulations. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this large-scale real-world analysis support the generalizability of the association between antifibrotics and improved survival in various IPF populations.

Blood lipid profiles as a prognostic biomarker in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Dysregulation of lipid metabolism is implicated in the pathogenesis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, the association between the blood lipid profiles and the prognosis of IPF is not well defined. We aimed to identify the impacts of lipid profiles on prognosis in patients with IPF. METHODS: Clinical data of 371 patients with IPF (145 and 226 in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively), including serum lipid profiles (total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, apolipoprotein A-I [Apo A-I], and apolipoprotein B), were retrospectively collected. The association with mortality was analyzed using the Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, the mean age was 67.5 years, 86.2% were men, and 30.3% died during the follow-up (median: 18.0 months). Non-survivors showed lower lung function and greater gender-age-physiology scores than survivors. Among the serum lipid profiles, the levels of triglyceride and Apo A-I were significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors. In the multivariate Cox analysis, low Apo A-I levels (< 140 mg/dL) were independently associated with the risk of mortality (hazard ratio 3.910, 95% confidence interval 1.170-13.069; P = 0.027), when adjusted for smoking history, body mass index, GAP score, and antifibrotic agent use. In both derivation and validation cohorts, patients with low Apo A-I levels (< 140 mg/dL) had worse survival (median survival: [derivation] 34.0 months vs. not reached, P = 0.003; [validation] 40.0 vs. 53.0 months, P = 0.027) than those with high Apo A-I levels in the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that low serum Apo A-1 levels are an independent predictor of mortality in patients with IPF, suggesting the utility of serum Apo A-I as a prognostic biomarker in IPF.