Association between delayed outbreak identification and SARS-CoV-2 infection and mortality among long-term care home residents, Ontario, Canada, March to November 2020: a cohort study.

BackgroundLate outbreak identification is a common risk factor mentioned in case reports of large respiratory infection outbreaks in long-term care (LTC) homes.AimTo systematically measure the association between late SARS-CoV-2 outbreak identification and secondary SARS-CoV-2 infection and mortality in residents of LTC homes.MethodsWe studied SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across LTC homes in Ontario, Canada from March to November 2020, before the COVID-19 vaccine rollout. Our exposure (late outbreak identification) was based on cumulative infection pressure (the number of infectious resident-days) on the outbreak identification date (early: ≤ 2 infectious resident-days, late: ≥ 3 infectious resident-days), where the infectious window was -2 to +8 days around onset. Our outcome consisted of 30-day incidence of secondary infection and mortality, based on the proportion of at-risk residents with a laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection with onset within 30 days of the outbreak identification date.ResultsWe identified 632 SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across 623 LTC homes. Of these, 36.4% (230/632) outbreaks were identified late. Outbreaks identified late had more secondary infections (10.3%; 4,437/42,953) and higher mortality (3.2%; 1,374/42,953) compared with outbreaks identified early (infections: 3.3%; 2,015/61,714; p < 0.001, mortality: 0.9%; 579/61,714; p < 0.001). After adjustment for 12 LTC home covariates, the incidence of secondary infections in outbreaks identified late was 2.90-fold larger than that of outbreaks identified early (OR: 2.90; 95% CI: 2.04-4.13).ConclusionsThe timeliness of outbreak identification could be used to predict the trajectory of an outbreak, plan outbreak measures and retrospectively provide feedback for quality improvement, with the objective of reducing the impacts of respiratory infections in LTC home residents.

Extensivist: improving the delivery of enhanced health in older people's care homes.

BACKGROUND: Older people living in care homes are often frail and clinically complex. The Enhanced Health in Care Homes (EHCH) framework supports organisational and clinical strategies to deliver good care, promoting proactive person-centred care by whole system collaboration. We evaluate the impact of a new role, the Extensivist, in the delivery of EHCH for older people living in care homes. AIMS: To evaluate implementation processes and the clinical utility of the Extensivist in older people care homes in the London borough of Southwark. METHODS: The Extensivist (Band 8a Advanced Nurse Specialist skilled in frail older people) was embedded within the care home general practitioners (GP) service for a 2-year pilot (2019-2021). Implementation processes were evaluated. Impact of the Extensivist role was evaluated by the number of Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) completed, interventions and other clinical activity performed as well as qualitative case studies and semistructured feedback from care home workers and professionals. RESULTS: The Extensivist feasibly delivered CGA and implemented intervention plans. The role iteratively developed to support wider aspects of care including advance care planning (ACP) and training. Challenges included building trust, the time-consuming nature of CGA, ACP and coordinated communication. Case studies and semistructured feedback indicated the role was considered valuable in the delivery of clinical care, supporting residents, families, care homes and GPs and as a resource for education for care home workers. CONCLUSIONS: The Extensivist is a valuable resource and a linchpin in the delivery of EHCH framework in care homes for older adults in Southwark. Further evaluations to assess reproducibility in other areas of the UK are warranted.

The rate, causes and predictors of ambulance call outs to residential aged care in the Australian Capital Territory: A retrospective observational cohort study.

Older people in residential aged care are susceptible to acute illness or injury which may necessitate an ambulance call out, assessment/treatment by a paramedic and transfer to a hospital emergency department. Understanding the case mix of residential aged care ambulance attendances is important for prevention strategies and for planning services. A retrospective observational closed cohort study was designed to investigate the characteristics of emergency ambulance call outs to 15 residential aged care sites in the Australian Capital Territory over a 12-month period. Data were collected from the local ambulance service and the aged care sites. Case load data were analysed to determine rates, clinical characteristics, ambulance attendance outcomes and the temporal distribution of call outs. A Poisson regression model was developed to investigate demographic, morbidity and medication-related risk factors associated with the number of ambulance call outs per resident. Annual ambulance call out costs were estimated. There were 1,275 residents, with 396 (31.1%) requiring at least one ambulance call out over 12 months. Of 669 ambulance attendances, the majority (87.0%) were transported to emergency departments. Trauma (23.9%), pain (16.9%) and infections (9.4%) were the most common primary assessments by the ambulance attendees. Cases/day were similar throughout the year and on weekdays compared to weekends/public holidays. The main predictors of ambulance call out were multi-morbidity, taking regular anticholinergic medicines, being male and younger age. Estimated costs of ambulance call outs/year were $475/resident and $40,375/residential aged care site. The most frequent primary assessments (trauma, pain, infections) may constitute priorities for developing prevention strategies and for treatment initiatives within residential aged care. Strategies to reduce anticholinergic medication prescribing may also be a potential intervention to decrease ambulance call outs and hospital emergency department demand. The ambulance usage data from this study may be useful to compare with future datasets to measure the impact of the introduction of new services.

Glucose-lowering medicines use before and after entry into long-term care facilities.

AIM: To examine changes in the use of glucose-lowering medicine (GLM) 12 months before and 12 months after long-term care facility (LTCF) entry among people with diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A national retrospective cohort study was conducted using linked health and aged care data from the Registry of Senior Australians National Historical Cohort. Residents of LTCFs with diabetes aged 65 years or older from 2015 to 2019 were included. Prevalence of GLM use and the number of defined daily doses (DDDs) dispensed per 1000 resident-days were estimated quarterly (91-day) using Poisson regression models, or negative binomial regression when overdispersion was present. RESULTS: Among the 50 993 residents studied (median age 84 years), the prevalence of GLM use was 58.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 58.0%-58.8%) in the 9-12 months pre-LTCF entry and 56.3% (95% CI 55.9%-56.8%) in the 9-12 months post-entry. The number of DDDs/1000 resident-days increased from 1015.2 (95% CI 1002.3-1028.1) to 1253.8 (95% CI 1168.4-1339.3) during the same period. GLM use in the 3 months pre-entry was 56.8% (95% CI 56.4%-57.2%) compared with 61.7% (95% CI 61.3%-62.1%) in the 3 months post-entry, with the increased use driven mainly by insulin. No marked changes in the number of GLMs dispensed or GLM type were observed at 9-12 months post-entry compared with 3 months pre-entry. Among 22 792 individuals dispensed a GLM in the 3 months prior to LTCF entry, 50.2% continued the same GLM at 9-12 months post-entry. CONCLUSIONS: GLM use peaked in the first 3 months following LTCF entry, driven mainly by insulin, hence, residents may benefit from close monitoring of diabetes treatment during this period.

Falls in focus: an analysis of the rate of falls in 25 Australian residential aged care facilities from 2019 to 2021, pre- and during COVID-19 lockdowns.

INTRODUCTION: During 2020-2021 Australia maintained comparatively low rates of COVID-19 in the community and residential aged care facilities (RAC) due to stringent public health measures such as lockdowns. However, the public health measures implemented may have had unintended impacts on critical RAC resident health outcomes, such as falls, due to routine care disruptions and aged care resident isolation. We utilised a longitudinal data to assess the association between COVID-19 lockdowns and the rate of falls in RAC settings. METHODS: A longitudinal cohort study was conduct using routinely collected data from 25 RAC facilities from one non-profit aged care provider in Sydney, Australia. The study included 2,996 long term residents between March 2019 and March 2021. The outcome measures were all falls, injurious falls, and falls assessed as requiring hospitalisation. Generalised estimating equations (GEE) were applied to determine the association between COVID-19 lockdown periods and fall-related outcomes while adjusting for confounders and seasonality. RESULTS: During the study period 11,658 falls were recorded. Residents frequently experienced at least one fall during the study period (median: 1, interquartile range: 0-4). During Lockdown 1 (March-June 2020) the rate of all falls increased 32% (IRR 1.32, 95% CI 1.19-1.46, p < 0.01) and the rate of injurious falls increased by 28% (IRR 1.28, 95% CI 1.12-1.46, p < 0.01) compared to pre-pandemic rates. The rate of falls assessed as requiring hospitalisation remained unchanged during Lockdown 1 (IRR 1.07, 95% CI 0.86-1.32, p = 0.519). During Lockdown 2 (Dec 2020-Jan 2021) the rate of all falls, injurious falls, and falls assessed as requiring hospitalisation did not change significantly compared to pre-pandemic rates. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that the consequences of stringent COVID-19 restrictions, as seen in Lockdown 1, produced changes in residents' care which contributed to more falls and associated harm. The subsequent lockdown, which were less restrictive and occurred after staff had gained experience, was associated with no significant increase in falls rate. The nature and extent of lockdowns implemented for infection control in RAC need to balance multiple potential adverse effects. Factors which facilitated resilience during this period require exploration in future research.

Assessing the spatial equity of the aged care institutions based on the improved potential model: a case study in Shanghai, China.

With the spread of an aging society, the demand for aged care institutions among older adults is increasing. The inadequate supply and distribution of aged care institutions have led to an increasing concern about spatial equity in aged care institutions. Most studies have utilized accessibility to assess spatial equity from the supply perspective, while the demand perspective has received little attention. In addition, few studies have evaluated the spatial equity of aged care institutions at grid resolution. Therefore, this study takes Shanghai as an example to analyze aged care institutions from both the supply and demand perspectives. By proposing an improved potential model, at a network resolution of 500 × 500, the spatial equity of aged care institutions is more refined. The results show that aged care institutions and the older population in Shanghai are predominantly concentrated in the downtown area and surrounding regions. However, the results obtained from the Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient indicate the allocation of pension beds based on population size is proportional across different districts of Shanghai. When considering the quality indicators of aged care institutions and introducing the improved potential energy model to calculate spatial accessibility, an imbalance between regions in Shanghai still exists and needs further optimization.

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Objective: To investigate the occurrence and influencing factors of oral frailty in elderly residents of elderly care facilities and to provide a basis for the development of effective intervention programs for oral frailty in this population. Methods: A combination of subjective and objective measurements of oral frailty, a general information questionnaire, a leisure activity questionnaire, the Dietary Variety Score (DVS), the Short Nutritional Assessment Questionnaire (SNAQ), the Short-Form Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA-SF), Barthel Index (BI), the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), 15-Item Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-15), and the Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale-2 (GAD-2) were used to survey 348 elderly residents in three elderly care facilities in Chengdu and to analyze the factors related to oral frailty. Results: The prevalence of oral frailty in elderly residents of elderly care facilities was 31.0% (108/348). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that advanced age (odds ratio [OR]=1.347, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.237-1.496, P<0.001), cognitive impairment (OR=6.769, 95% CI: 2.628-18.916, P<0.001), and depression (OR=8.632, 95% CI: 1.931-44.387, P=0.007) were risk factors for oral frailty in elderly residents of elderly care facilities. High scores in leisure activities (OR=0.883, 95% CI: 0.786-0.986, P=0.030), and dietary diversity (OR=0.199, 95% CI: 0.069-0.530, P=0.002) were protective factors against oral frailty. Conclusion: The prevalence of oral frailty is relatively high among elderly residents of elderly care facilities. Risk factors for oral frailty include advanced age, cognitive impairment, and depression, while increased levels of leisure activities and dietary diversity can help prevent the occurrence of oral frailty in elderly individuals.

Analysis of Longitudinal Patterns and Predictors of Medicine Use in Residential Aged Care Using Group-Based Trajectory Modeling: The "MEDTRAC-Cardiovascular" Longitudinal Cohort Study.

AIM: Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death globally. Ensuring ongoing use of medicines-medication persistence-is crucial, yet no prior studies have examined this in residential aged care facilities (RACFs). We aimed to identify long-term trajectories of persistence with cardiovascular medicines and determine predictors of persistence trajectories. METHOD: A longitudinal cohort study of 2837 newly admitted permanent residents from 30 RACFs in New South Wales, Australia. We monitored weekly exposure to six cardiovascular medicine classes-lipid modifiers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEI/ARBs), beta-blockers, diuretics, calcium channel blockers (CCB), and cardiac therapy-over 3 years. Group-based trajectory modeling was employed to determine persistence trajectories for each class. RESULTS: At baseline, 76.6% (n = 2172) received at least one cardiovascular medicine with 41.2% receiving lipid modifiers, 31.4% ACEI/ARBs, 30.2% beta-blockers, 24.4% diuretics, 18.7% CCBs, and 14.8% cardiac therapy. The model identified two persistence trajectories for CCBs and three trajectories for all other classes. Sustained high persistence rates ranged from 68.4% (ACEI/ARBs) to 79.8% (beta-blockers) while early decline in persistence and subsequent discontinuation rates ranged from 7.6% (cardiac therapy) to 25.3% (CCBs). Logistic regressions identified 11 predictors of a declining persistence across the six medicine classes. CONCLUSION: Our study revealed varied patterns of cardiovascular medicine use in RACFs, with 2-3 distinctive medicine use trajectories across different classes, each exhibiting a unique clinical profile, and up to a quarter of residents discontinuing a medicine class. Future studies should explore the underlying reasons and appropriateness of nonpersistence to aid in identifying areas for improvement.

Nursing Home Compare star ratings before versus after a change in nursing home ownership.

BACKGROUND: Efforts to increase transparency and accountability of nursing homes, and thus improve quality, now include information about changes in nursing home ownership. However, little is known about how change in ownership affects nursing home quality. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 15,471 U.S. nursing homes between January 2016 and December 2022, identifying all changes in ownership during that period. We used logistic regression to measure the association between nursing home characteristics and the odds of a change in ownership. A difference-in-differences model with multiple time periods was used to examine the impact of a change in ownership on the Medicare Nursing Home Compare 5-star ratings. RESULTS: One in five (23%) facilities changed ownership between 2016 and 2022. Nursing homes that were urban, for-profit, part of a chain, located in the South, had >50 beds, lower occupancy, higher percentage of stays covered by Medicaid, higher percentage of residents with non-white race, or a 1-star (poor) rating were more likely to undergo a change in ownership. There was a small statistically significant decrease in 5-star ratings after a change in ownership (-0.09 points on a 5-point scale; 95% CI -0.13 to -0.04; p < 0.001), driven primarily by a decrease in staffing ratings (-0.19 points; 95% CI -0.24 to -0.14; p < 0.001), and health inspections ratings (-0.07 points; 95% CI -0.11 to -0.03; p = 0.001). This was mitigated by an increase in quality measure ratings (0.15 points; 95% CI 0.10-0.20; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Nursing Home Compare ratings decreased slightly after a change in facility ownership, driven by lower staffing and health inspection ratings and mitigated somewhat by higher quality measure ratings. These conflicting trends underscore the need for transparency around changes in facility ownership and a better understanding of consequences of changes in ownership that are salient to patients and families.

Malnutrition and Its Determinants among Older Adults Living in French Caribbean Nursing Homes: A Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the prevalence of malnutrition and its determinants in older adults living in French Caribbean nursing homes. METHODS: This cross-sectional study was taken from the KASEHAD (Karukera Study of Ageing in EHPAD) study. Nutritional status was assessed with the Mini Nutritional Assessment Short-Form (MNA-SF). Clinical characteristics and scores on geriatric scales (Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Activities of Daily Living (ADL), Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB), Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression (CESD) and Questionnaire Quality of Life Alzheimer's Disease (QoL-AD)) were extracted. Bivariate analysis and logistic models adjusted were performed to test the association between nutritional status and both socio-demographic variables and geriatric scales. RESULTS: A total of 332 older adults from six nursing homes were included in the KASEHPAD study. Among the participants, 319 had an MNA-SF score. The mean age was 81.3 ± 10.6 years, and half of the participants were men. The frequency of malnutrition (MNA-SF ≤ 7) was 27.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 22.0-32.5) (n = 88). Based on the multivariable analysis, a low MMSE was associated with malnutrition (OR: 0.81 (0.68-0.92); p = 0.015) and there was a borderline significant link between a higher CESD score and malnutrition (OR: 1.05 (1.00-1.12); p = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: Cognitive decline and a tendency toward depression were associated with malnutrition in nursing homes in the French West Indies. Although this study cannot establish causal relationships, the identification of these three geriatric syndromes in nursing homes is crucial for preventing adverse health events.

Variation in Excess Mortality Across Nursing Homes in the Netherlands During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

OBJECTIVES: Nursing home residents constituted a vulnerable population during the COVID-19 pandemic, and half of all cause-attributed COVID-19 deaths occurred within nursing homes. Yet, given the low life expectancy of nursing home residents, it is unclear to what extent COVID-19 mortality increased overall mortality within this population. Moreover, there might have been differences between nursing homes in their ability to protect residents against excess mortality. This article estimates the number of excess deaths among Dutch nursing home residents during the pandemic, the variation in excess deaths across nursing homes, and its relationship with nursing home characteristics. DESIGN: Retrospective, use of administrative register data. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: All residents (N = 194,432) of Dutch nursing homes (n = 1463) in 2016-2021. METHODS: We estimated the difference between actual and predicted mortality, pooled at the nursing home level, which provided an estimate of nursing home-specific excess mortality corrected for resident case-mix differences. We show the variation in excess mortality across nursing homes and relate this to nursing home characteristics. RESULTS: In 2020 and 2021, the mortality probability among nursing home residents was 4.0 and 1.6 per 100 residents higher than expected. There was considerable variation in excess deaths across nursing homes, even after correcting for differences in resident case mix and regional factors. This variation was substantially larger than prepandemic mortality and was in 2020 related to prepandemic spending on external personnel and satisfaction with the building, and in 2021 to prepandemic staff absenteeism. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: The variation in excess mortality across nursing homes was considerable during the COVID-19 pandemic, and larger compared with prepandemic years. The association of excess mortality with the quality of the building and spending on external personnel indicates the importance of considering differences across nursing home providers when designing policies and guidelines related to pandemic preparedness.

Surveillance of Antimicrobial Use in Long-Term Care Facilities: An Antimicrobial Mapping Survey.

OBJECTIVES: To explore antimicrobial management processes in Australian residential aged care facilities (RACFs), including antimicrobial prescribing, supply, administration, and documentation to inform surveillance activities. DESIGN: Voluntary, online cross-sectional survey. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: The survey was disseminated to all South Australian RACFs (n = 237) seeking participation from an infection prevention and control lead (preferred respondent), a nurse or senior RACF staff member, or an aged care pharmacist. METHODS: The survey was open during May-June 2023. Questions aimed to understand clinical and medication management systems, sources of antimicrobial prescription and supply, management by external health care providers and documentation of antimicrobial administration. A process map of antimicrobial management in RACFs was developed. RESULTS: Of the 54 RACFs included in the analysis (29.5% response rate), most used an electronic clinical documentation system (74.1%) or a hybrid electronic paper-based system (22.2%). Medication charts were either electronic (81.0%), hybrid (5.6%), or paper-based (13.0%). Antimicrobials were prescribed by the resident's usual general practitioner, but also by locums, hospital or specialist physicians, nurse practitioners, virtual care physicians, and dentists. Oral, topical, and inhaled antimicrobial formulations were usually supplied by community pharmacies, and intravenous formulations were predominately supplied by hospitals for administration by outreach nurses. Almost all RACFs (96.2%) had imprest stock of antimicrobials that included both oral and intravenous formulations. Antimicrobials were predominately administered by an enrolled nurse or a registered nurse. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Antimicrobial management in RACFs is complex, particularly during care transitions. Multiple prescribers and sources of antimicrobials, use of different systems for clinical documentation, particularly by external health care providers, and clinical governance relating to imprest supplies were identified as key areas where medication management could be improved. Addressing these gaps will facilitate comprehensive, real-time antimicrobial surveillance in Australian RACFs.

Dementia-Sensitive Environmental Design of Living Units in German Nursing Homes: First Results of the German Environmental Audit Tool (G-EAT). / Demenzsensibilität der baulichen Umgebung langzeitstationärer Pflegeeinrichtungen in Deutschland: Erste Ergebnisse des German Environmental Audit Tool (G-EAT).

BACKGROUND: The built environment is a key component of dementia-specific care. Little is known about the characteristics of dementia-sensitive environmental elements in living units of nursing homes in Germany. The German Environmental Audit Tool (G-EAT) is a systematic assessment tool for describing these elements in detail. AIM OF THE STUDY: To describe the extent of dementia-sensitive design principles and environmental elements in a regionally limited sample of living units in Germany. METHODS: The built environment was assessed using G-EAT and analysed quantitatively and descriptively. Definitions of living units were developed based on site visits and analysed using qualitative content analysis. RESULTS: The 42 participating living units were heterogeneous in terms of space and composition. Dementia-sensitive design principles varied greatly in their implementation in the built environment; on average, 87.7% of the environmental elements were oriented towards a familiar environment. In contrast, visual accessibility was much less frequently enabled by the built environment (mean 37.3%). CONCLUSIONS: The characteristics of various dementia-sensitive environmental elements need to be further investigated against the background of the nursing home care concept and the homogeneity of the resident group to enable the initiation of tailored environmental adaptation that can be implemented by interdisciplinary teams in nursing homes. This also requires a follow-up study with a larger sample of living units to identify the factors that promote and inhibit the development of a dementia-sensitive environment.

Cross-sectional study of cognitive impairment and visual impairment among the elderly population in residential care in India: the Hyderabad Ocular Morbidity in Elderly Study (HOMES).

OBJECTIVE: To report the relationship between visual impairment (VI) and cognitive impairment (CI) among the older population living in residential care homes in Hyderabad, India. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: 41 homes for the aged centres in the Hyderabad region. PARTICIPANTS: 965 participants aged ≥60 years from homes for the aged centres. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Visual impairment and cognitive impairment. METHODS: The Hindi mini-Mental Status Examination (HMSE) questionnaire was used to assess the cognitive function. The final HMSE score was calculated after excluding vision-dependent tasks (HMSE-VI). A detailed eye examination was conducted, including visual acuity (VA) measurement for distance and near vision, using a standard logarithm of the minimum angle of resolution chart under good illumination. CI was defined as having a HMSE-VI score of ≤17. VI was defined as presenting VA worse than 6/12 in the better-seeing eye. Near VI (NVI) was defined as binocular presenting near vision worse than N8 and distance VA of 6/18 or better in the better-seeing eye. Multiple logistic regression was done to assess the association between VI and CI. RESULTS: The mean age (±SD) was 74.3 (±8.3) years (range: 60-97 years). There were 612 (63.4%) women, and 593 (61.5%) had a school education. In total, 260 (26.9%; 95% confidence intervals: 24.2 to 29.9) participants had CI. The prevalence of CI among those with VI was 40.5% compared with 14.6% among those without VI (p<0.01). The logistic regression analysis showed that the participants with VI for distance vision had three times higher odds of having CI (OR 3.09; 95% confidence intervals: 2.13 to 4.47; p<0.01). Similarly, participants with NVI had two times higher odds of having CI (OR 2.11; 95% confidence intervals: 1.36 to 3.29; p<0.01) after adjusting for other covariates. CONCLUSIONS: CI was highly prevalent among those with distance and near VI. VI was independently and positively associated with CI after adjusting for potential confounders. Interventions can be planned to address VI in this vulnerable population which could have a ripple effect in preventing cognitive decline.

COVID-19 in Scottish care homes: A metapopulation model of spread among residents and staff.

The movement of populations between locations and activities can result in complex transmission dynamics, posing significant challenges in controlling infectious diseases like COVID-19. Notably, networks of care homes create an ecosystem where staff and visitor movement acts as a vector for disease transmission, contributing to the heightened risk for their vulnerable communities. Care homes in the UK were disproportionately affected by the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, accounting for almost half of COVID-19 deaths during the period of 6th March - 15th June 2020 and so there is a pressing need to explore modelling approaches suitable for such systems. We develop a generic compartmental Susceptible - Exposed - Infectious - Recovered - Dead (SEIRD) metapopulation model, with care home residents, care home workers, and the general population modelled as subpopulations, interacting on a network describing their mixing habits. We illustrate the model application by analysing the spread of COVID-19 over the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the NHS Lothian health board, Scotland. We explicitly model the outbreak's reproduction rate and care home visitation level over time for each subpopulation and execute a data fit and sensitivity analysis, focusing on parameters responsible for inter-subpopulation mixing: staff-sharing, staff shift patterns and visitation. The results from our sensitivity analysis show that restricting staff sharing between homes and staff interaction with the general public would significantly mitigate the disease burden. Our findings indicate that protecting care home staff from disease, coupled with reductions in staff-sharing across care homes and expedient cancellations of visitations, can significantly reduce the size of outbreaks in care home settings.

Pain prevalence, intensity, and association with neuropsychiatric symptoms of dementia in immigrant and non-immigrant aged care residents in Australia.

Pain recognition for culturally diverse people is complex as pain experience is subjective and influenced by cultural background. We compared the prevalence, intensity, and association of pain with neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) between immigrants and non-immigrants living with dementia in residential aged care homes (RACHs) who were referred to two Dementia Support Australia programs. Immigrant status was defined by the documented country of birth. Pain and NPS were assessed using PainChek® and the Neuropsychiatric Inventory, respectively. Subgroup analyses were also completed for English-speaking and non-English-speaking immigrants. A total of 17,637 referrals [immigrants, n = 6340; non-immigrants, n = 11,297] from 2792 RACHs were included. There were no significant differences for the prevalence of pain across all groups. Immigrants were slightly more likely to have moderate pain or severe pain than non-immigrants. Non-English-speaking immigrants had 0.5 points higher total pain scores on average (Cohen's d = 0.10 [0.05, 0.15], p < 0.001) than non-immigrants. Total pain score had a significant effect on total NPS severity scores in all groups. While pain prevalence is similar across groups, higher pain intensities are more common among immigrants living with dementia. Increased care staff awareness, education, and training about the potential effect of culture on pain expression is needed.

A Longitudinal Study of the Use and Effects of Fall-Risk-Increasing Drugs in Residential Aged Care.

OBJECTIVES: Fall-risk-increasing drugs (FRIDs)-psychotropics and cardiovascular disease (CVD) drugs-may elevate the risk of falling, with strong evidence observed in psychotropic FRIDs, whereas findings from cardiovascular disease (CVD) FRIDs remain inconclusive. Existing studies on FRIDs and falls are often hampered by methodologic limitations. Leveraging longitudinal observational data, we aimed to determine the long-term patterns of FRID use and their association with falls in residential aged care (RAC) homes. DESIGN: A retrospective longitudinal cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 4207 permanent residents newly admitted to 27 RAC homes in Sydney, Australia. METHOD: The outcomes were incidence of all and injurious falls. We measured exposure to each FRID over 60 months using the Proportion of Days Covered (PDC) metric. We used group-based multitrajectory modeling to determine concurrent usage patterns of psychotropics and CVD FRIDs and applied negative binomial regression to assess their associations with the outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 83.6% (n = 3516) and 77.3% (n = 3254) residents used psychotropic and CVD FRIDs, respectively. The PDC values ranged from 67.3% (opioids) to 86.9% (antidepressants) for specific psychotropics and 79.0% (α-adrenoceptor antagonists) to 89.6% (ß blockers) for CVD FRIDs. We identified 4 groups: group 1, low psychotropics-low CVDs use (16.7%, n = 701); group 2, low psychotropics-high CVDs (25.0%, n = 1054); group 3, high psychotropics-high CVDs (41.0%, n = 1723); and group 4, high psychotropics-low CVDs (17.3%, n = 729). Group 4 had a significantly higher rate of falls than the other groups for both outcomes, including relative to group 3, in which exposure to both FRID classes was high. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Our findings reveal concerningly high FRID use in RAC homes and highlight a critical difference in the impact of the 2 major FRID classes on falls. Psychotropics were strongly associated with falls, whereas the studied CVD FRIDs did not elevate risk of falling.

Polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate prescribing of benzodiazepines in older nursing home residents.

INTRODUCTION: Previous research has raised concerns about high prevalence of drug-related problems, polypharmacy and inappropriate benzodiazepine prescribing in nursing homes (NHs) and confirmed lack of studies from Central and South-Eastern Europe. The aim of our study was to determine the prevalence and characteristics of polypharmacy, hyperpolypharmacy and inappropriate benzodiazepine prescribing in NH residents in Croatia. METHODS: Data from 226 older NH residents from five Croatian NHs were collected using the InterRAI Long-Term Care Facilities assessment form. The prevalence and determinants of polypharmacy/hyperpolypharmacy and patterns of inappropriate benzodiazepine prescribing were documented. RESULTS: The prevalence of polypharmacy (49.6%) and hyperpolypharmacy (25.7%) among NH residents was high. In our study, 72.1% of NH residents were prescribed at least one psychotropic agent, 36.7% used 2-3 psychotropics and 6.6% used 4+ psychotropics. Among benzodiazepine users (55.8%), 28% of residents were prescribed benzodiazepines in higher than recommended geriatric doses, 75% used them for the long term and 48% were prescribed concomitant interacting medications. The odds of being prescribed polypharmacy/hyperpolypharmacy were significantly higher for older patients with polymorbidity (6+ disorders, proportional odds ratio (POR) = 19.8), type II diabetes (POR = 5.2), ischemic heart disease (POR = 4.6), higher frailty (Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS ≥5); POR = 4.3) and gastrointestinal problems (POR = 4.8). CONCLUSIONS: Our research underscores the persistent challenge of inappropriate medication use and drug-related harms among older NH residents, despite existing evidence and professional campaigns. Effective regulatory and policy interventions, including the implementation of geriatrician and clinical pharmacy services, are essential to address this critical issue and ensure optimal medication management for vulnerable NH populations.