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1.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 4298, 2024 May 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38769363

RESUMO

Earthquakes injure millions and simultaneously disrupt the infrastructure to protect them. This perspective argues that the current post-disaster investigation paradigm is insufficient to protect communities' health effectively. We propose the Earthquake Survival Chain as a framework to change the current engineering focus on infrastructure to health. This framework highlights four converging research opportunities to advance understanding of earthquake injuries, search and rescue, patient mobilizations, and medical treatment. We offer an interdisciplinary research agenda in engineering and health sciences, including artificial intelligence and virtual reality, to protect health and life from earthquakes.


Assuntos
Terremotos , Humanos , Engenharia , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Planejamento em Desastres/organização & administração , Desastres , Inteligência Artificial
2.
Nature ; 629(8012): 592-596, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38750232

RESUMO

Several catastrophic building collapses1-5 occur because of the propagation of local-initial failures6,7. Current design methods attempt to completely prevent collapse after initial failures by improving connectivity between building components. These measures ensure that the loads supported by the failed components are redistributed to the rest of the structural system8,9. However, increased connectivity can contribute to collapsing elements pulling down parts of a building that would otherwise be unaffected10. This risk is particularly important when large initial failures occur, as tends to be the case in the most disastrous collapses6. Here we present an original design approach to arrest collapse propagation after major initial failures. When a collapse initiates, the approach ensures that specific elements fail before the failure of the most critical components for global stability. The structural system thus separates into different parts and isolates collapse when its propagation would otherwise be inevitable. The effectiveness of the approach is proved through unique experimental tests on a purposely built full-scale building. We also demonstrate that large initial failures would lead to total collapse of the test building if increased connectivity was implemented as recommended by present guidelines. Our proposed approach enables incorporating a last line of defence for more resilient buildings.


Assuntos
Arquitetura de Instituições de Saúde , Colapso Estrutural/prevenção & controle , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos
4.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep ; 18: e83, 2024 May 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695197

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to reveal the relationship between nursing students' disaster response self-efficacy and their disaster preparedness perceptions. METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted on nursing students after a major earthquake that occurred in Turkey on February 6, 2023 (n = 302). Data collection took place from June 2023 to October 2023, using the Disaster Response Self-Efficacy Scale (DRSES) and Disaster Preparedness Perception Scale (DPPS). Descriptive statistics, independent samples t-test, correlation, and multiple linear regression analysis were used to analyze the data. RESULTS: Nursing students' DRSES mean score was 63.35 ± 10.83 (moderate level) and DPPS mean score was 3.41 ± 0.50 (high level). A positive and moderate correlation was found between nursing students' DRSES and DPPS scores (r = 0.515; P = 0.000). Predictors affecting nursing students' disaster preparedness are disaster response self-efficacy score, being male, and making a family disaster plan. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study highlight the importance of increasing the disaster response self-efficacy needed by nursing students to successfully assist patients in disaster situations.


Assuntos
Terremotos , Autoeficácia , Estudantes de Enfermagem , Humanos , Estudantes de Enfermagem/psicologia , Estudantes de Enfermagem/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Estudos Transversais , Turquia , Feminino , Inquéritos e Questionários , Terremotos/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Defesa Civil/métodos , Defesa Civil/estatística & dados numéricos , Defesa Civil/normas , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Psicometria/instrumentação , Psicometria/métodos
5.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep ; 18: e84, 2024 May 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695206

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The co-occurring flood and coronavirus disease (COVID-19) increase the consequences for health and life. This study examined the strategies to manage the health consequences of the co-occurring flood and COVID-19, with a specific focus on these 2 challenges. METHODS: This review included all the studies published in peer-reviewed journals between January 1980 and June 2021. Several electronic databases were searched, including Scopus, Web of Science, and PubMed. Mixed Methods Appraisal Tools (MMT), version 2018, assessed the articles retrieved through a comprehensive and systematic literature search. Descriptive and thematic analyses were carried out to derive strategies for managing the health consequences of the simultaneous flood and COVID-19. RESULTS: Among 4271 identified articles, 10 were eligible for inclusion. In total, 199 strategies were identified in this review for managing the multi-hazard health consequences of flooding and COVID-19, which were classified into 9 categories and 25 subcategories. The categories included policy making and decision making, coordination, risk communication, logistics, planning, preparedness measures, response measures, social and humanitarian support, and actions of local communities and non-governmental organizations. CONCLUSIONS: Managing a multi-hazard and reducing its health consequences requires various actions. Flood management must be needed, and flood-affected people and their health should be protected.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Inundações , Pandemias , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Inundações/estatística & dados numéricos , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos
6.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0303247, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38743753

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Triage is a crucial tool for managing a Multiple Victim Incident (MVI). One particularly problematic issue is the communication of results to the chain of command and control. Favourable data exists to suggest that digital triage can improve some features of analogue triage. Within this context we have witnessed the emergence of the Valkyries Project, which is working to develop strategies to respond to MVIs, and especially cross-border incidents. To that end, an IT platform called "SIGRUN" has been created which distributes, in real time, all the information to optimise MVI management. A full-scale simulation, held on the Spain-Portugal border and featuring contributions from different institutions on both sides of the border, put to the test the role of information digitalisation in this type of incidents. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of the synchronous digitalisation of information on the optimal management of Multiple Victim Incidents. METHOD: Clinical evaluation study carried out on a cross-border simulation between Spain and Portugal. A Minimum Data Set (MDS) was established by means of a modified Delphi by a group of experts. The digital platform "SIGRUN" integrated all the information, relaying it in real time to the chain of command and control. Each country assigned two teams that would carry out digital and analogue triage synchronously. Analogue triage variables were gathered by observers accompanying the first responders. Digital triage times were recorded automatically. Each case was evaluated and classified simultaneously by the two participating teams, to carry out a reliability study in a real time scenario. RESULTS: The total duration of the managing of the incident in the A group of countries involved compared to the B group was 72.5 minutes as opposed to 73 minutes. The total digital assistance triage (AT) time was 37.5 seconds in the digital group, as opposed to 32 minutes in the analogue group. Total evacuation (ET) time was 28 minutes in the digital group compared with 65 minutes in the analogue group. The average differences in total times between the analogue and the digital system, both for primary and secondary evaluation, were statistically significant: p = 0.048 and p = 0.000 respectively. For the "red" category, AT obtained a sensitivity of 100%, also for ET, while with regard to AT safety it obtained a PPV of 61.54% and an NPV of 100%, and for ET it obtained a PPV of 83.33% and an NPV of 100%. For the analogue group, for AT it obtained a sensitivity of 62.50%, for ET, 70%, for AT safety it obtained a PPV of 45.45% and an NPV of 92.31%, while for ET it obtained a PPV of 70% and an NPV of 92.50%. The gap analysis obtained a Kappa index of 0.7674. CONCLUSION: The triage system using the developed digital tool demonstrated its validity compared to the analogue tool, as a result of which its use is recommended.


Assuntos
Triagem , Humanos , Triagem/métodos , Espanha , Portugal , Incidentes com Feridos em Massa , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Simulação por Computador
7.
Prim Health Care Res Dev ; 25: e16, 2024 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38605659

RESUMO

AIM: The aim of this paper is to outline the steps taken to develop an operational checklist to assess primary healthcare (PHC) all-hazards disaster preparedness. It then describes a study testing the applicability of the checklist. BACKGROUND: A PHC approach is an essential foundation for health emergency and disaster risk management (H-EDRM) because it can prevent and mitigate risks prior to disasters and support an effective response and recovery, thereby contributing to communities' and countries' resilience across the continuum of the disaster cycle. This approach is in line with the H-EDRM framework, published by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2019, which emphasizes a whole-of-health system approach in disaster management and highlights the importance of integrating PHC into countries' H-EDRM. Nevertheless, literature focusing on how to practically integrate PHC into disaster management, both at the facility and at the policy level, is in its infancy. As of yet, there is no standardized, validated way to assess the specific characteristics that render PHC prepared for disasters nor a method to evaluate its role in H-EDRM. METHODS: The checklist was developed through an iterative process that leveraged academic literature and expert consultations at different stages of the elaboration process. It was then used to assess primary care facilities in a province in Italy. FINDINGS: The checklist offers a practical instrument for assessing and enhancing PHC disaster preparedness and for improving planning, coordination, and funding allocation. The study identified three critical areas for improvement in the province's PHC disaster preparedness. First, primary care teams should be more interdisciplinary. Second, primary care services should be more thoroughly integrated into the broader health system. Third, there is a notable lack of awareness of H-EDRM principles among PHC professionals. In the future, the checklist can be elaborated into a weighted tool to be more broadly applicable.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres , Desastres , Humanos , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Itália
10.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0299530, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38662787

RESUMO

Typhoons are natural disasters characterized by their high frequency of occurrence and significant impact, often leading to secondary disasters. In this study, we propose a prediction model for the trend of typhoon disasters. Utilizing neural networks, we calculate the forgetting gate, update gate, and output gate to forecast typhoon intensity, position, and disaster trends. By employing the concept of big data, we collected typhoon data using Python technology and verified the model's performance. Overall, the model exhibited a good fit, particularly for strong tropical storms. However, improvements are needed to enhance the forecasting accuracy for tropical depressions, typhoons, and strong typhoons. The model demonstrated a small average error in predicting the latitude and longitude of the typhoon's center position, and the predicted path closely aligned with the actual trajectory.


Assuntos
Big Data , Tempestades Ciclônicas , Previsões , Previsões/métodos , Redes Neurais de Computação , Desastres , Humanos , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos
11.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep ; 18: e74, 2024 Apr 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38650078

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Precautions taken before an earthquake are of vital importance. When buildings collapse, the weight of the ceiling crushes objects such as furniture, leaving a space or void within the rubble. This area is called the "triangle of life." The larger and stronger the object, the more it will maintain its volume; the more the object maintains its volume, the larger the void will be, and the less likely it is that the person who uses this void will be injured. METHODS: Durable, solid furniture such as beds and tables that can be tipped over during an earthquake in appropriate areas in the building can form a living triangle. Creating and using the triangle of life is the method of protection in an earthquake that produces the highest probability of survival. RESULTS: Two earthquakes with magnitudes of 7.8 and 7.5 occurred in Kahramanmaras, Turkey, on February 6, 2023. This report presents the case of a 43-y-old female victim of these earthquakes who used the triangle of life to survive; she was removed from the rubble 164 h after the earthquake. CONCLUSIONS: The case provides evidence that predetermining areas in which the triangle of life can be formed and storing supplies necessary for survival can decrease morbidity and mortality in an earthquake.


Assuntos
Terremotos , Humanos , Terremotos/estatística & dados numéricos , Turquia/epidemiologia , Feminino , Adulto , Decoração de Interiores e Mobiliário/métodos , Decoração de Interiores e Mobiliário/estatística & dados numéricos , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos
12.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep ; 18: e76, 2024 Apr 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38651400

RESUMO

The war in Ukraine raises concerns for potential hazards of radiological and nuclear incidents. Children are particularly vulnerable in these incidents and may need pharmaceutical countermeasures, including antidotes and cytokines. Searches found no published study comparing pediatric indications and dosing among standard references detailing pediatric medications for these incidents. This study addresses this gap by collecting, tabulating, and disseminating this information to healthcare professionals caring for children. Expert consensus chose the following references to compare their pediatric indications and dosing of medical countermeasures for radiation exposure and internal contamination with radioactive materials: Advanced Hazmat Life Support (AHLS) for Radiological Incidents and Terrorism, DailyMed, Internal Contamination Clinical Reference, Medical Aspects of Radiation Incidents, and Medical Management of Radiological Casualties, as well as Micromedex, POISINDEX, and Radiation Emergency Medical Management (REMM). This is the first study comparing pediatric indications and dosing for medical countermeasures among commonly used references for radiological and nuclear incidents.


Assuntos
Antídotos , Citocinas , Contramedidas Médicas , Terrorismo , Humanos , Terrorismo/estatística & dados numéricos , Antídotos/uso terapêutico , Criança , Liberação Nociva de Radioativos , Ucrânia , Pediatria/métodos , Pediatria/normas , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos
13.
Disabil Rehabil ; 46(7): 1239-1255, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38554389

RESUMO

PURPOSE: People with disabilities, especially children and youth, are often not considered in emergency and disaster preparedness planning, which leaves them vulnerable and at a higher risk of the negative effects of natural and human caused disasters. The purpose of this study was to understand the extent of emergency and disaster preparedness and factors influencing preparedness among children and youth with disabilities and chronic conditions, their caregivers and service providers. METHODS: Our scoping review involved searching six international databases that identified 1146 studies of which 27 met our inclusion criteria. RESULTS: The studies in this review involved 2613 participants (i.e., children, parents, educators and clinicians) across nine countries over a 20-year period. Our results highlighted the following trends: (1) the extent of emergency preparedness; (2) factors affecting emergency preparedness; and (3) interventions to enhance preparedness. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore the critical need for more attention to emergency preparedness for children and youth with disabilities, their families and service providers and their inclusion in planning.


Support is needed for emergency preparedness for children with disabilities at an individual, family and community level.Clinicians should assist children with disabilities and their families to develop a disaster and emergency preparedness plan that includes their medical needs, basic supplies and connections to relevant resources and supports.Clinicians and educators should advocate for the inclusion of children and youth with disabilities in emergency and disaster preparedness.


Assuntos
Pessoas com Deficiência , Planejamento em Desastres , Desastres , Criança , Humanos , Adolescente , Cuidadores , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Doença Crônica
15.
Nature ; 627(8004): 559-563, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38509278

RESUMO

Floods are one of the most common natural disasters, with a disproportionate impact in developing countries that often lack dense streamflow gauge networks1. Accurate and timely warnings are critical for mitigating flood risks2, but hydrological simulation models typically must be calibrated to long data records in each watershed. Here we show that artificial intelligence-based forecasting achieves reliability in predicting extreme riverine events in ungauged watersheds at up to a five-day lead time that is similar to or better than the reliability of nowcasts (zero-day lead time) from a current state-of-the-art global modelling system (the Copernicus Emergency Management Service Global Flood Awareness System). In addition, we achieve accuracies over five-year return period events that are similar to or better than current accuracies over one-year return period events. This means that artificial intelligence can provide flood warnings earlier and over larger and more impactful events in ungauged basins. The model developed here was incorporated into an operational early warning system that produces publicly available (free and open) forecasts in real time in over 80 countries. This work highlights a need for increasing the availability of hydrological data to continue to improve global access to reliable flood warnings.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Simulação por Computador , Inundações , Previsões , Previsões/métodos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Rios , Hidrologia , Calibragem , Fatores de Tempo , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos
16.
Pediatr Cardiol ; 45(4): 840-846, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38431885

RESUMO

Natural and human-provoked disasters pose serious health risks to children, particularly children and youth with special healthcare needs, including many cardiology patients. The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) provides preparedness recommendations for families, but little is known about recommendation adherence. Caregivers of children seen in a pediatric cardiology clinic network were recruited to complete an electronic survey. Participants self-reported child medical history and their household's implementation of AAP recommended disaster preparedness items. Families received a link to AAP resources and a child ID card. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics with Fisher's exact and Wilcoxon rank sum tests. 320 caregivers participated in the study, of whom 124 (38.8%) indicated that their child has a diagnosed cardiac condition, and 150 (46.9%) indicated that their child had special healthcare needs. The average preparedness item completion rate was 70.7% for household preparedness, 40.1% for reunification preparedness, and 26.3% for community preparedness. Households of children with medical needs had similar rates of preparedness compared to overall rates. Of all respondents, 27.8% previously received disaster preparedness resources, 67.7% would like resources on discussing disaster preparedness, and 93.0% intend to talk with their household about disaster preparedness after completing the survey. These results demonstrate a gap between AAP recommendations and household-level disaster preparedness, including patients with cardiac conditions and those with special healthcare needs. Families expressed that they were interested in getting resources for disaster preparedness. Pediatric cardiologists may consider asking about disaster preparedness and providing disaster preparedness resources tailored to the needs of their patients.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres , Desastres , Adolescente , Criança , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Autorrelato , Instituições de Assistência Ambulatorial
17.
Nihon Hoshasen Gijutsu Gakkai Zasshi ; 80(4): 385-389, 2024 Apr 20.
Artigo em Japonês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38403594

RESUMO

The Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare mandated the creation of the business continuity plan (BCP) for disaster key hospitals on March 31, 2017. Supposing the hospital information system (HIS) failure occurred, the picture archiving and communication system (PACS) also suffers obstacles, we assumed building a new network was necessary for radiological examination images. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether building a new network for radiological examination images is necessary in an emergency. Using wireless fidelity (Wi-Fi), the new network consisting of one image server and two tablet terminals A and B was constructed. The study measured the portable image transfer time for various stages of the network. The results were as follows: Transfer time from the mobile X-ray unit to the image server was 4.12±0.86 s, that from the image server to the tablet device A was 5.14±0.71 s, and that from the image server to the tablet device B was 7.32±1.66 s. Therefore, the new network configuration can provide a reliable means of accessing radiological images during emergency situations when the HIS and PACS may experience obstacles or failures.


Assuntos
Sistemas de Informação em Radiologia , Desastres , Sistemas de Informação Hospitalar , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Humanos
18.
J Bus Contin Emer Plan ; 17(3): 206-219, 2024 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38424586

RESUMO

One of the many concerns of disaster recovery specialists is how to create disaster recovery scenarios, strategies and related solutions that meet the vision of management while building solutions for the critical business process within budget, with refined technical resources and operational and maintenance processes and procedures similar to those utilised in production. Rather than consider disaster recovery as a separate environment from production, this paper suggests that there are areas where the disaster recovery solution can map more closely to production solutions to better manifest the critical business process, avoiding the decreased sales forecasts and reputational impacts resulting from an outage. There is no magic here - just ideas for designing a solution and enhancements to the disaster recovery programme that may help to meet business expectations. A disaster recovery site based on similar production technical solutions and overall corporate IT vision can provide such benefits as: faster recovery time objective; faster availability of the data while maintaining data integrity; fewer manual procedures during switch/failover; ability to utilise similar resources to work both environments resulting in a smaller training programme; similar operational and maintenance processes and procedures; ability to switchover components rather than declaring disaster recovery; and an environment that supports production by running critical business process while production suffers an outage or requires maintenance. This paper provides readers with ideas to take back to their disaster recovery solution and how it manifests the critical business process during an outage.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres , Desastres , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Comércio , Organizações
19.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep ; 18: e40, 2024 Feb 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38415396

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The importance of companion animals in the daily lives of people, and the increasing incidence and severity of natural disasters impacting people and their animals, is very well documented. However, despite the advancement of companion animal response capabilities, decontamination remains an inconsistently implemented component of disaster response. The challenge for local authorities is their need for planning factors and protocols specific to companion animal decontamination which are generally lacking. Data is provided on the average time requirements, water use and containment resources necessary, and the personnel required to decontaminate (decon) a large number of companion dogs. METHODS: Sixty-three lightly contaminated, medium weight, short to medium coat, highly tractable dogs (Labradors and Hounds) from a State facility colony were used to determine the water requirements, soap effectiveness, and time required to complete decon (washing/bathing). Data were collected over a 6-mo period using 2 personnel that were randomly assigned to wash the dogs. Difference in weight, bathing time, and water use between groups was evaluated using a 2-tailed 2-sample t-test for independent data. RESULTS: The time and water requirements were significantly different between medium coated dogs and short coated dogs. On average, for a short coated dog, the amount of time to complete decon was 7 min, and the amount of water was 8-10 gal. For medium coated dogs, the time increased to 10-12 min to complete the process and 12-15 gal water. DISCUSSION: The results of this study provide important insights emergency management planners, animal response team members, and community personnel tasked with implementation of mass decontamination of companion dogs following a natural or man-made disaster.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres , Desastres , Desastres Naturais , Animais , Cães , Humanos , Descontaminação , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Animais de Estimação , Distribuição Aleatória
20.
Injury ; 55(5): 111318, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38238120

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: During mass casualty incidents (MCIs), the accuracy and timing of the triage of patients by the emergency department (ED) triage officers are essential. The primary triage is performed at the event's location by paramedics and intends a quick evaluation of the victims. Secondary triage may be used when the transfer of the victim is delayed. In this study, we aimed to investigate the effectiveness of two-point triage in a simulated environment of an MCI in the hospital setting. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this case-control study, we used an online test module to assess single triage points (Group 1, n = 41) and two triage points (Group 2, n = 40). 60 vignettes for Group 1 and 55 vignettes (5 deceased cases removed) for Group 2 were used. The assessment utilized clinical MCI scenarios in a scheduled online meeting by using the Simple Triage and Rapid Treatment (START) system. Triage time and accuracy of the triage, along with the experience, and previous training of the participants, were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 81 triage officers participated in this study. The participants were divided into two independent groups homogenously according to their profession and experience. Groups were comparable primarily without any statistically significant difference in terms of the profession (p = 0.101), sex (p = 0.923), and MCI experience (p = 0.785). The difference between the two groups was not significant with regard to having received practical or theoretical triage training (p = 0.099). The mean time of a single vignette triage was 19.2 (SD 6.5) seconds and mean percentage of correct triage score was 65.0 (SD 12.6). The participants had a statistically significantly better performance in the single-point triage group regarding the median triage time (p < 0.001) and median percentages of under triage (p = 0.001), but a worse median percentage of over triage (p < 0.001). However, there was no significant difference between the two groups in terms of the percentage of accurate triage. Emergency residents performed better in accuracy and triage time than their non-physician colleagues (p = 0.019). CONCLUSIONS: Two-point triage does not demonstrate better outcomes in terms of accuracy and timing. Triage officers should be trained frequently with the preferred training methodology to prevent improper triage accuracy and timing. Well-defined medical disaster planning should include frequent training of the triage officers with case scenarios.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Incidentes com Feridos em Massa , Humanos , Triagem/métodos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Hospitais , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/métodos
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