Random Forest for Predicting Treatment Response to Radioiodine and Thyrotropin Suppression Therapy in Patients With Differentiated Thyroid Cancer But Without Structural Disease.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to develop a machine-learning model for predicting treatment response to radioiodine (131I) therapy and thyrotropin (TSH) suppression therapy in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) but without structural disease, based on pre-treatment information. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Overall, 597 and 326 patients with DTC but without structural disease were randomly assigned to "training" cohorts for predicting treatment response to 131I therapy and TSH suppression therapy, respectively. Six supervised algorithms, including Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest (RF), Neural Networks, Adaptive Boosting, and Gradient Boost, were used to predict effective response (ER) to 131I therapy and biochemical remission (BR) to TSH suppression therapy. RESULTS: Stimulated and suppressed thyroglobulin (Tg) and radioiodine uptake before the current course of 131I therapy were mostly attributed to ER to 131I therapy, while thyroid remnant available on the post-therapeutic whole-body scan at the last course of 131I therapy and TSH were greatly contributed to Tg decline under TSH suppression therapy. RF showed the best performance among all models. The accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for segregating ER from non-ER during 131I therapy with RF were 81.3% and 0.896, respectively. The accuracy and AUC for predicting BR to TSH suppression therapy with RF were 78.7% and 0.857, respectively. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that machine learning models, especially the RF algorithm are useful tools that may predict treatment response to 131I therapy and TSH suppression therapy in DTC patients without structural disease based on pre-treatment routine clinical variables and biochemical markers.

Usefulness of second 131I treatment in biochemical persistent differentiated thyroid cancer patients.

Background: Second 131I treatment is commonly performed in clinical practice in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer and biochemical incomplete or indeterminate response (BiR/InR) after initial treatment. Objective: The objective of the is study is to evaluate the clinical impact of the second 131I treatment in BiR/InR patients and analyze the predictive factors for structural incomplete response (SiR). Patients and methods: One hundred fifty-three BiR/InR patients after initial treatment who received a second 131I treatment were included in the study. The clinical response in a short- and medium- long-term follow-up was evaluated. Results: After the second 131I treatment (median 8 months), 11.8% patients showed excellent response (ER), 17% SiR, while BiR/InR persisted in 71.2%. Less than half (38.5%) of SiR patients had radioiodine-avid metastases. Patients who, following the second 131I treatment, experienced SiR had larger tumor size and more frequently aggressive histology and vascular invasion than those experienced BiR/InR and ER. Also, the median values of thyroglobulin on levothyroxine therapy (LT4-Tg), Tg peak after recombinant human TSH stimulation (rhTSH-Tg) and thyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb) were significantly higher in patients who developed SiR. At last evaluation (median: 9.9 years), BiR/InR persisted in 57.5%, while 26.2% and 16.3% of the patients showed ER and SiR, respectively. About half of BiR/InR patients (71/153 (46.4%)) received further treatments after the second 131I treatment. Conclusions: Radioiodine-avid metastatic disease detected by the second 131I is an infrequent finding in patients with BiR/InR after initial treatment. However, specific pathologic and biochemical features allow to better identify those cases with higher probability of developing SiR, thus improving the clinical effectiveness of performing a second 131I treatment.

GRFS and CRFS in alternative donor hematopoietic cell transplantation for pediatric patients with acute leukemia.

We report graft-versus-host disease (GVHD)-free relapse-free survival (GRFS) (a composite end point of survival without grade III-IV acute GVHD [aGVHD], systemic therapy-requiring chronic GVHD [cGVHD], or relapse) and cGVHD-free relapse-free survival (CRFS) among pediatric patients with acute leukemia (n = 1613) who underwent transplantation with 1 antigen-mismatched (7/8) bone marrow (BM; n = 172) or umbilical cord blood (UCB; n = 1441). Multivariate analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards models. To account for multiple testing, P < .01 for the donor/graft variable was considered statistically significant. Clinical characteristics were similar between UCB and 7/8 BM recipients, because most had acute lymphoblastic leukemia (62%), 64% received total body irradiation-based conditioning, and 60% received anti-thymocyte globulin or alemtuzumab. Methotrexate-based GVHD prophylaxis was more common with 7/8 BM (79%) than with UCB (15%), in which mycophenolate mofetil was commonly used. The univariate estimates of GRFS and CRFS were 22% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16-29) and 27% (95% CI, 20-34), respectively, with 7/8 BM and 33% (95% CI, 31-36) and 38% (95% CI, 35-40), respectively, with UCB (P < .001). In multivariate analysis, 7/8 BM vs UCB had similar GRFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.12; 95% CI, 0.87-1.45; P = .39), CRFS (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.82-1.38; P = .66), overall survival (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.80-1.44; P = .66), and relapse (HR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.03-2.02; P = .03). However, the 7/8 BM group had a significantly higher risk for grade III-IV aGVHD (HR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.16-2.48; P = .006) compared with the UCB group. UCB and 7/8 BM groups had similar outcomes, as measured by GRFS and CRFS. However, given the higher risk for grade III-IV aGVHD, UCB might be preferred for patients lacking matched donors.

The Use of Post-ablation Stimulated Thyroglobulin in Predicting Clinical Outcomes in Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma - What Cut-off Values Should We Use?

AIMS: Recently published international guidelines recommended using the stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) post-radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation, in conjunction with tumour stage, as a risk stratification factor. The choice of cut-off values for sTg, namely 1 and 10 ng/ml, was, however, largely based on the functional sensitivities of the assays used, with relatively few published data addressing the prognostic impact of alternative cut-off values. Our study aims to provide data on the prognostic value of sTg at different levels of sensitivities and specificities. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of all adult cases of differentiated thyroid carcinoma receiving RAI ablation at our centre from 2008 to 2010. All patients had sTg measured at around 6 months post-ablation. The functional sensitivity of our assay was 0.5 ng/ml. The outcome was adverse clinical event, defined as cancer-related death, persistent macroscopic disease demonstrable on imaging (including radioisotope scan) and/or receiving further treatment for persistent or recurrent disease. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was carried out. RESULTS: We identified 140 patients treated in the review period, with 106 of them suitable for further analysis. The reasons for exclusion included the presence of anti-thyroglobulin antibodies and medullary or anaplastic histological subtypes. Most (54.7%) had intermediate-risk disease as per the American Thyroid Association classification (2009). The median follow-up duration was 6.4 years; the minimum, excluding deaths, was 5.0 years. ROC analysis showed that the optimal cut-off value of sTg for predicting adverse clinical events was >1.0 ng/ml, associated with a sensitivity of 90.9%, a specificity of 81.0%, a positive predictive value of 55.6% and a negative predictive value of 97.1%. CONCLUSION: Based on ROC analysis of sensitivities and specificities, our data showed that a post-ablation sTg value of 1 ng/ml is the optimal cut-off in prognostication of adverse clinical events.

Outcomes of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer risk-stratified according to the American thyroid association and Latin American thyroid society risk of recurrence classification systems.

OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to validate the proposed Latin American Thyroid Society (LATS) risk of recurrence stratification system and to compare the findings with those of the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk of recurrence stratification system. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: This study is a retrospective review of papillary thyroid cancer patients treated with total thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine at a single experienced thyroid cancer center and followed according to the LATS management guidelines. Each patient was risk-stratified using both the LATS and ATA staging systems. The primary endpoints were (i) the best response to initial therapy defined as either remission (stimulated thyroglobulin [Tg] <1 ng/mL, negative ultrasonography) or persistent disease (biochemical and/or structural), and (ii) clinical status at final follow-up defined as no evidence of disease (suppressed Tg <1 ng/mL, negative ultrasonography), biochemical persistent disease (suppressed Tg >1 ng/mL in the absence of structural disease), structural persistent disease (locoregional or distant metastases), or recurrence (biochemical or structural disease identified after a period of no evidence of disease). RESULTS: One hundred seventy-one papillary thyroid cancer patients were included (mean age 45 ± 16 years, followed for a median of 4 years after initial treatment). Both the ATA and LATS risk stratification systems provided clinically meaningful graded estimates with regard to (i) the likelihood of achieving remission in response to initial therapy, (ii) the likelihood of having persistent structural disease in response to initial therapy and at final follow-up, (iii) the likely locations of the persistent structural disease (locoregional vs. distant metastases), (iv) the likelihood of recurrence, and (v) the likelihood of being no evidence of disease at final follow-up. The likelihood of having persistent biochemical evidence of disease was not significantly different across the staging categories. CONCLUSIONS: Both the ATA and LATS risk of recurrence systems effectively risk-stratify patients with regard to multiple important clinical outcomes. When used in conjunction with a staging system that predicts disease-specific mortality, either of these systems can be used to guide risk-adapted individualized initial management recommendations.

Utilidad clínica de las pruebas hormonales e inmunológicas en la evaluación de las enfermedades del tiroides / Clinical usefulness of hormonal and immunological tests for the evaluation of thyroid diseases

Las enfermedades tiroideas son un importante problema de salud que afecta a un gran porcentaje de la población. Las pruebas bioquímicas constituyen el pilar fundamental para su diagnóstico y seguimiento. El desarrollo de ensayos de segunda y tercera generación ha supuesto un gran avance en el diagnóstico de estas enfermedades. El texto incluye los ensayos utilizados para diagnosticar y tratar las diferentes enfermedades tiroideas, provee información bioquímica y clínica actualizada contenida en secciones referidas a la utilidad clínica de las determinaciones de hormonas tiroideas totales y libres, anticuerpos antitiroideos, tirotropina humana y tiroglobulina, de manera que pueda ofrecer, tanto al laboratorio como al médico, un panorama general de la utilidad y la capacidad actual de estas pruebas(AU)

Thyroid diseases are a significant health problem affecting a high percentage of the population. The biochemical tests are the fundamental pillar for diagnosis and follow-up. The development of second and third-generation assays has represented a great advance in diagnosing these diseases. The text covers the tests to diagnose and treat a number of thyroid diseases, and provides the reader with updated biochemical and clinical information in sections about the clinical usefulness of total and free thyroid hormone determinations, antithyroid antibodies, human thyrotropin and thyroglobulin. In this way, it can offer both the lab and the physician a general overview of the usefulness and the current capability of these tests(AU)

A case of acromegaly and disseminated follicular thyroid carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: A particularly challenging case of concurrent acromegaly and follicular thyroid carcinoma in a patient of the Clinic of Endocrinology, UJCM in Krakow is discussed. CASE DESCRIPTION: A 59-year-old male with post total thyroidectomy performed in 2005 and histopathologically confirmed metastases of the follicular thyroid carcinoma to the lungs was admitted to the Clinic in April 2006 for complementary ¹³¹I treatment. Acromegaly was treated in 1996 by trans-sphenoidal surgery. In December 2005 a relapse of pituitary adenoma was shown by MRI, which correlated with increased levels of hGH and IGF-1. Biochemical control of acromegaly was achieved with Sandostatin LAR. Pre-therapeutic whole-body scintigraphy (WBS) revealed numerous conjoined hot spots of ¹³¹I accumulation in both lungs and in thyroid remnants. In May and November 2006 the patient received ¹³¹I treatment. Post-therapeutic WBS in November 2006 revealed complete ablation of the thyroid remnants. Laboratory tests confirmed lowering of thyroglobulin concentration. In the years 2007, 2008, and 2009 the patient was qualified for therapy with ¹³¹I aided by rhTSH, achieving further reduction of Tg levels. Post-therapeutic WBS performed in 2009 revealed weak bilateral tracer uptake in the lung parenchyma. In 2010, chest CT revealed fibrosis in left lung segments, no infiltrative changes, and no lymph node enlargement. Patient follow-up continues at our Department. CONCLUSIONS: Disseminated thyroid cancer in a patient with pituitary insufficiency may be successfully treated by rhTSH-supported ¹³¹I treatment.

[Benign hepatic cyst mimicking thyroid carcinoma metastasis]. / Cisto hepático benigno simulando metástase de carcinoma diferenciado de tireoide.

INTRODUCTION: The follow-up of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) for detecting persistent or recurrent disease is based on iodine whole body scan (WBS), the evaluation of the tumor marker thyroglobulin (Tg), the anti-thyroglobulin antibody (anti-Tg) and neck ultrasonography (US). Well known false-positive causes of WBS include inflammatory processes, some non-thyroid tumors, kidney or even sebaceous cysts . METHODS: We reported a case of false-positive WBS, after therapeutic dose of (131I) NaI. RESULTS: We enphasize the importance of recognizing benign liver cysts mimicking DTC metastasis. CONCLUSIONS: False-positive and negative results may occur with WBS and must be recognized to avoid mismanagement.

Cisto hepático benigno simulando metástase de carcinoma diferenciado de tireoide / Benign hepatic cyst mimicking thyroid carcinoma metastasis

INTRODUÇÃO: Pesquisa de corpo inteiro após dose terapêutica de (131I) NaI (PCI) associada à tireoglobulina (Tg) sérica, anticorpo antitireoglobulina (anti-Tg) e ultrassom (US) cervical representam os métodos de referência para detecção de carcinoma diferenciado de tireoide (CDT) residual ou metastático. Algumas causas de PCI falsos-positivas, como processos inflamatórios, alguns tumores não tireoidianos e até mesmo cistos renais e sebáceos, são bem conhecidas. MÉTODOS: Neste trabalho, descreveu-se um caso de cisto hepático benigno simulando metástase de carcinoma de tireoide em PCI após dose terapêutica de (131I) NaI. RESULTADOS: Ressalta-se a importância do reconhecimento dos cistos hepáticos benignos como fator complicador do seguimento dos pacientes com câncer de tireoide. CONCLUSÕES: Para minimizar erros de diagnóstico e, consequentemente, na condução dos casos de CDT, é necessário conhecer as possíveis causas de PCI falsos-negativas e positivas.

INTRODUCTION: The follow-up of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) for detecting persistent or recurrent disease is based on iodine whole body scan (WBS), the evaluation of the tumor marker thyroglobulin (Tg), the anti-thyroglobulin antibody (anti-Tg) and neck ultrasonography (US). Well known false-positive causes of WBS include inflammatory processes, some non-thyroid tumors, kidney or even sebaceous cysts . METHODS: We reported a case of false-positive WBS, after therapeutic dose of (131I) NaI. RESULTS: We enphasize the importance of recognizing benign liver cysts mimicking DTC metastasis. CONCLUSIONS: False-positive and negative results may occur with WBS and must be recognized to avoid mismanagement.

Four new cases of PHACES syndrome: variable phenotypic expression and endocrine features.

AIM: PHACES syndrome is a neurocutaneous condition characterized by the coexistence of large facial haemangiomas and at least one feature among posterior fossa malformations, cardiac and arterial anomalies, eye defects and sternal clefting. We review and discuss the phenotypes and the endocrine aspects of PHACES syndrome, hypothesizing that endocrine anomalies, although rare, could be considered as feature of the disease. METHODS: We described four new cases representative of the wide variable phenotype of this syndrome, commenting on the possible phenotypic expression. RESULTS: Two children displayed endocrine anomalies, sporadically described among PHACES subjects. One of them developed a transient hyperthyreotropinemia induced by interferon alpha-2alpha treatment for a giant facial haemangioma, while the second presented with congenital hypothyroidism with an in situ thyroid gland, a trait previously unreported in the syndrome. CONCLUSION: PHACES syndrome has a wide variable phenotypic expression and endocrine anomalies, especially hypothyroidism, may represent a trait of the syndrome and should be always investigated.

[Will the thyroglobulin assay with lower functional sensitivity whilst the patients are on L-T4 treatment replace the TSH-stimulated thyroglobulin assay in the follow-up of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer?]. / O ensaio de tiroglobulina com melhor sensibilidade funcional enquanto os pacientes tomam L-T4 substituirá a tiroglobulina estimulada pelo TSH no seguimento dos pacientes com câncer diferenciado da tiróide?

The author reviews the literature on the new assays for serum thyroglobulin (sTg) presenting lower functional sensitivity and demonstrates that its use, whilst the patients are taking L-T4, presents better results than sTg following TSH stimulation in the follow-up of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Therefore, he suggests a revision on the guidelines for the follow-up of these patients (developed when the available assays present a sensitivity of 1 ng/mL), proposing the use of sTg assays with functional sensitivity of 0.1-0.2 ng/mL with the patients on L-T4 treatment instead of sTg stimulated by TSH.

O ensaio de tiroglobulina com melhor sensibilidade funcional enquanto os pacientes tomam L-T4 substituirá a tiroglobulina estimulada pelo TSH no seguimento dos pacientes com câncer diferenciado da tiróide? / Will the thyroglobulin assay with lower functional sensitivity whilst the patients are on L-T4 treatment replace the TSH-stimulated thyroglobulin assay in the follow-up of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer?

O autor apresenta evidências recentes da literatura que mostram que ensaios de tiroglobulina sérica (sTg) com maior sensibilidade funcional apresentam a mesma qualidade que a obtenção da sTg estimulada por rhTSH ou hipotiroidismo, no seguimento de pacientes com câncer diferenciado de tiróide (CDT). Desta forma, propõe modificar a prática recomendada pelas diretrizes de sociedades internacionais para o seguimento desses pacientes (desenvolvidas enquanto os ensaios disponíveis apresentavam sensibilidade de 1 ng/mL), substituindo-se a obtenção da sTg estimulada por rhTSH ou hipotiroidismo pelo acompanhamento dos pacientes na vigência da terapia com L-T4 com a medida da sTg desde que se empreguem técnicas com sensibilidade funcional da ordem de 0,1-0,2 ng/mL.

The author reviews the literature on the new assays for serum thyroglobulin (sTg) presenting lower functional sensitivity and demonstrates that its use, whilst the patients are taking L-T4, presents better results than sTg following TSH stimulation in the follow-up of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Therefore, he suggests a revision on the guidelines for the follow-up of these patients (developed when the available assays present a sensitivity of 1 ng/mL), proposing the use of sTg assays with functional sensitivity of 0.1-0.2 ng/mL with the patients on L-T4 treatment instead of sTg stimulated by TSH.

Thymoglobulin induction is safe and effective in live-donor renal transplantation: a single center experience.

BACKGROUND: The relative benefit versus safety of induction therapy in live-donor renal transplant recipients is controversial. This paper presents observational data of live-donor recipients who received Thymoglobulin induction and standard maintenance immunosuppressive therapy. METHODS: Review and analysis of clinic records and electronic databases of live-donor renal transplants that received Thymoglobulin induction from May 1996 through 2003. RESULTS: Data analysis included 214 live-donor recipients (146 related, 68 unrelated) with a mean follow-up of 3.0+/-1.9 years. The average age of recipients was 44+/-13 years, with a majority being Caucasian (86%) and male (64%). Nineteen (9%) received previous transplants. No patients experienced delayed graft function and 10 (5%) developed acute rejection. Overall, predicted five-year patient survival was 96% and graft survival was 82%. The rates of CMV infection (5%), malignancy (3%), and lymphoproliferative disorder (0.5%) were low. When compared to live-donor kidney transplant recipients nationwide, the center cohort demonstrated improved five year patient (96% center versus 90% national, P=0.0326) and graft survival (82% center versus 79% national, P=0.0901), and a lower one-year acute rejection rate (2% center versus 21 % national, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis, the use of Thymoglobulin in live-donor renal transplantation was associated with an absence of delayed graft function, low acute rejection rates, and high patient and graft survival without increasing the risk of infection or lymphoproliferative disorder.

Recognition pattern of thyroglobulin autoantibody from hypothyroid dogs to tryptic peptides of canine thyroglobulin.

Circulating thyroglobulin autoantibody (TgAA) was analyzed using the Western immunoblot for determination of the dominant epitopes recognized by TgAA on tryptic peptides of canine thyroglobulin (cTg) in hypothyroid dogs. TgAA was measured in hypothyroid dogs, non-hypothyroid dogs with skin diseases and clinically normal dogs. Five of the 7 hypothyroid dogs, 1 of the 8 dogs with skin diseases and 1 of the 4 normal dogs were positive for TgAA. Four of the 5 TgAA-positive hypothyroid dogs were Golden Retrievers, and 3 of them showed high antibody titers. The sera of TgAA positive-dogs reacted to several peptides, and their patterns varied from sample to sample. Sera from 3 dogs with high titers of TgAA reacted broadly to high molecular weight peptides ranging from 45 to 90 kDa. These Western immunoblot patterns of the sera were disappeared after pretreatment with sufficient amount of intact cTg. All serum samples of both TgAA positive dogs and negative controls reacted to low molecular weight peptides ranging from 15 to 20 kDa. These immunoblot patterns of the sera were not disappeared even after pretreatment with sufficient amount of intact cTg. These findings show the possibility that the epitopes recognized by TgAA depend upon individual dogs with hypothyroidism and these autoantibodies recognize conformational epitopes on the cTg molecule.

Impact of graft-versus-host disease in reduced-intensity stem cell transplantation (RIST) for patients with haematological malignancies.

To clarify the impact of graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) on the outcome of reduced-intensity stem cell transplantation (RIST), 40 patients who received RIST were compared with those who received conventional stem cell transplantation (CST). RIST regimens consisted of either cladribine (0.11 mg/kg/d x 6, n = 13) or fludarabine (30 mg/m(2)/d x 6, n = 27) with busulphan (BU, 4 mg/kg/d orally x 2), with or without antithymocyte globulin (ATG). CST regimens were either cyclophosphamide/total body irradiation (CY/TBI, n = 23), BU/CY (n = 19) or others (n = 6). The RIST group contained more patients who were at high risk of transplant-related mortality, including older patients, while the two groups contained the same percentages of patients at high risk of relapse. There were no differences between these groups in the incidences of acute (grade II-IV, 31.6% RIST vs 33.3% CST, P = 0.6742) and chronic GVHD (56.2%vs 64.1%, P = 0.8512), relapse rate (15.0%vs 18.8%, P = 0.6642), or overall (69.3%vs 65.6%, P = 0.4817) and progression-free survival (64.7%vs 63.8%, P = 0.6920) at d 500. Multivariate analysis of progression-free survival identified only grade III-IV acute GVHD and relapse risk dose as adverse risk factors. Although GVHD is a major threat in RIST, appropriate induction of GVHD may be associated with anti-tumour activity in RIST comparable to that of CST.

Diagnóstico de metástase de carcinoma papilífero de tiróide através da pesquisa do RNA mensageiro da tiroglobulina / Diagnsotic of thyroid pappilary carcinoma metastasis by research of messenger RNA of thyroglobulin

É descrito um caso de carcinoma papilífero de tiróide pesquisado pelo RNA mensageiro da tiroglobulina (mRNA-Tg). A importância do método do mRNA-Tg no seguimento de pacientes com carcinoma diferenciado de tiróide em reposição tiroidiana é analisado.

Suppression of murine experimental autoimmune thyroiditis by oral administration of porcine thyroglobulin.

Experimental autoimmune thyroiditis (EAT) induced by the transfer of mouse thyroglobulin (MTg)-immunized spleen cells, activated in vitro with MTg, can be suppressed by oral administration of PTg to donor mice prior to immunization. Oral administration of 1 mg PTg five times over a 10-day period before immunization with MTg-LPS resulted in reduced EAT severity in recipient mice compared with recipients of cells from saline-fed immunized donors. MTg- or PTg-specific proliferative responses were not decreased in PTg-fed donors and anti-MTg antibody was not decreased in the donor mice fed 1 mg PTg. However, anti-MTg antibody production was markedly decreased in recipients of cells from PTg-fed donors compared with recipients of control cells. IgG1, IgG2A, and IgG2B anti-MTg antibody responses were all suppressed by PTg feeding suggesting that tolerance may be induced in both Th1 and Th2 cells. The more severe and histologically distinct granulomatous form of EAT was also suppressed by feeding PTg to donor mice. Studies are underway to determine the mechanism of oral tolerance in this model.