[DOPPS estimate of guideline impact on survival in hemodialysis in Italy]. / Stima DOPPS dell'impatto delle linee guida sulla sopravvivenza in emodialisi in Italia.

ABSTRACT

Knowing the relative risk (RR) of mortality associated with being outside the guideline targets and the percentage of patients in this situation, it is possible to estimate the number of patient life years that could be gained from adhering to guideline recommendations. We used a prevalent cross-sectional sample of 576 Italian patients from the Dialysis Outcomes and Practices Patterns Study (DOPPS) phase II (2002-2004) to determine the percentage of patients who failed to meet the Italian Society of Nephrology's targets for dialysis dose (spKt/V ≥ 1.3), anemia management (hemoglobin ≥ 11 g/dL), and mineral metabolism (serum calcium and phosphorus ≤ 2.6 and ≤ 1.8 mmol/L, respectively), and the National Kidney Foundation's Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative (K/DOQI) targets for nutritional status (serum albumin ≥ 4 g/dL) and vascular access (facility catheter use ≤ 10%). We used a larger random sample of DOPPS patients to establish the adjusted RRs of mortality associated with the 6 examined targets. The percentage of patients outside the targets and the adjusted RRs were 34% and 1.12 for dialysis dose, 37.7% and 1.20 for anemia management, 40.8% and 1.14 for phosphorus, 14.4% and 1.22 for calcium, 62.5% and 1.46 for albumin, and 40.1% and 1.20 for facility catheter use. The adjusted sum of life years potentially gained by complete adherence to all 6 guidelines was 25,156 over a period of 5 years (2006-2010); a more conservative estimate, modeling life years potentially gained by bringing half of all patients outside targets within them, was 13,382. In conclusion, this analysis suggests opportunities to improve hemodialysis patient care in Italy. The magnitude of potential savings in life years should encourage greater adherence to guidelines and practices that are significantly associated with better survival.