Cancer Risk and Prognosis after a Hospital Contact for an Elevated Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rate.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: An elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) may be a marker of occult cancer. METHODS: We linked Danish medical databases to examine cancer incidence in patients with a first-time hospital contact for elevated ESR during 1980 to 2013. We calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIR) of cancer compared with the general population, and comorbidity-adjusted HRs (aHR) versus matched population comparisons without elevated ESR. We also compared survival among patients with cancer with elevated ESR with that among patients with cancer without elevated ESR. RESULTS: During median follow-up of 4.9 years, we observed 3,926 cancers among 18,540 patients with a first-time hospital contact for elevated ESR. The risk for any cancer diagnosed during the first year following the contact for elevated ESR was 8.5% [95% confidence interval (CI), 8.1%-8.9%]. The overall 1-year cancer incidence was markedly elevated [SIR 5.3 (95% CI, 5.1-5.6); aHR 5.8 (95% CI, 5.4-6.3)] and was more than 3-fold elevated for most hematologic cancers and for cancers of the peritoneum and connective tissue in the abdominal wall, kidney, and adrenal glands. After the first year, patients were at increased risk of developing especially hematologic cancers. Patients diagnosed with cancer within 1 year after a contact for elevated ESR had poorer survival compared with matched cancer comparisons [adjusted mortality rate ratio 1.2 (95% CI, 1.1-1.3)]. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated ESR is a strong marker of undiagnosed cancer and is associated with poorer survival. IMPACT Our findings may help clinicians in assessing absolute risk, common sites, and prognosis of cancers discovered after hospital contact with elevated ERS.