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A statistical downscaling approach for generating high spatial resolution health risk maps: a case study of road noise and ischemic heart disease mortality in Melbourne, Australia.
Hanigan, Ivan C; Chaston, Timothy B; Hinze, Ben; Dennekamp, Martine; Jalaludin, Bin; Kinfu, Yohannes; Morgan, Geoffrey G.
Afiliação
  • Hanigan IC; School of Public Health and University Centre for Rural Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia. ivan.hanigan@sydney.edu.au.
  • Chaston TB; Centre for Research and Action in Public Health and Faculty of Health, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia. ivan.hanigan@sydney.edu.au.
  • Hinze B; The Centre for Air Pollution, Energy and Health Research (CAR), Glebe, Australia. ivan.hanigan@sydney.edu.au.
  • Dennekamp M; School of Public Health and University Centre for Rural Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
  • Jalaludin B; Ambient Maps, Rangeville, Australia.
  • Kinfu Y; Environment Protection Authority Victoria, Carlton, Australia.
  • Morgan GG; School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Clayton, Australia.
Int J Health Geogr ; 18(1): 20, 2019 09 05.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31488145
ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION:

Road traffic noise increases the risk of mortality from ischemic heart disease (IHD). Because noise is highly localized, high resolution maps of exposures and health outcomes are key to urban planning interventions that are informed by health risks. In Australia, publicly accessible IHD deaths data are only available at the coarse spatial aggregation level of local government area (LGA), in which about 130,000 people reside. Herein, we addressed this limitation of health data using statistical downscaling and generated environmental health risk maps for noise at the meshblock level (MB; ~ 90 people).

METHODS:

We estimated noise exposures at the MB level using a model of road traffic noise in Melbourne, Australia, from 2011. As recommended by the World Health Organization, a non-linear exposure-response function for traffic noise and IHD was used to calculate odds ratios for noise related IHD in all MBs. Noise attributable risks of IHD death were then estimated by statistically downscaling LGA-level IHD rates to the MB level.

RESULTS:

Noise levels of 80 dB were recorded in some MBs. From the given noise maps, approximately 5% of the population was exposed to traffic noise above the risk threshold of 55 dB. Maps of excess risk at the MB level identified areas in which noise levels and exposed populations are large. Attributable rates of IHD deaths due to noise were generally very low, but some were as high as 5-10 per 100,000, and in extremely noisy and populated MBs represented more than 8% excess risk of IHD death. We presented results as interactive maps of excess risk due to noise at the small neighbourhood scale.

CONCLUSION:

Our method accommodates low-resolution health data and could be used to inform urban planning and public health decision making for various environmental health concerns. Estimated noise related IHD deaths were relatively few in Melbourne in 2011, likely because road traffic is one of many noise sources and the current noise model underestimates exposures. Nonetheless, this novel computational framework could be used globally to generate maps of noise related health risks using scant health outcomes data.
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Texto completo: 1 Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Interpretação Estatística de Dados / Isquemia Miocárdica / Sistemas de Informação Geográfica / Exposição Ambiental / Ruído dos Transportes Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2019 Tipo de documento: Article

Texto completo: 1 Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Interpretação Estatística de Dados / Isquemia Miocárdica / Sistemas de Informação Geográfica / Exposição Ambiental / Ruído dos Transportes Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2019 Tipo de documento: Article