Diagnostic accuracy of DSM-5 borderline personality disorder criteria: Toward an optimized criteria set.

OBJECTIVE: The polythetic system used by the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual for Mental Disorders (DSM-5) for diagnosing borderline personality disorders (BPD) is far from optimal; however, accumulated research and clinical data are strong enough to warrant ongoing utilization. This study examined diagnostic efficiency of the nine DSM-IV BPD criteria, then explored the feasibility of an optimized criteria set in classifying BPD. METHODS: Adults (N=1,623) completed the Structured Clinical Interviews for DSM-IV Axis II Disorders resulting in a BPD group (n=352) and an inpatient psychiatric control group (PC) with no personality disorders (n=1,271). Receiver operator characteristics and diagnostic efficiency statistics were calculated to ascertain the relative diagnostic efficiency of each DSM-5 BPD criterion in classifying BPD cases. RESULTS: Affective instability (Criterion 6) evidenced the strongest capacity to differentiate the groups (AUC = .84, SE = .01, p < .0001). Abandonment fears (Criterion 1), unstable relationships (Criterion 2), identity disturbance (Criterion 3), impulsivity (Criterion 4), and chronic emptiness (Criterion 7) yielded good-to-moderate discrimination (AUC range = .75-.79). A composite index of these six criteria yielded excellent accuracy (AUC = .98, SE = .002, p < .0001), sensitivity (SN=.99), and specificity (SP=.90). CONCLUSIONS: The current findings add to evidence that affective instability is a useful gate criterion for screening, and the optimized criteria set evidences equivalent accuracy to the original 9 criteria, with a substantial reduction in estimated heterogeneity (from 256 combinations with the original set to 42 combinations with the optimized set).