Fetal weight change close to term is proportional to the birthweight percentile.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between the difference in estimated fetal weight and birthweight at or close to term, and in relation to Doppler parameters. STUDY DESIGN: A cohort study of all term singleton pregnancies who underwent an ultrasound within two weeks of delivery after 36 weeks at one institution in one calendar year. When available, Doppler measurements of umbilical and middle cerebral artery pulsatility index were recorded. Data were analysed by Pearson rank correlation. RESULTS: Of 8517 eligible deliveries, 885 women had an ultrasound scan within 2 weeks of delivery. Mean daily differences between estimated fetal weight and birth weight were: those born <10th percentile lost 26 g per day (95 % CI -36 to -16), 10-50th percentile gained 7 g per day (95 % CI -2 to 15), 50th-90th percentile gained 27 g per day (95 % CI 19-35) and >90th percentile gained 48 g per day (95 % CI 32-64). There was a negative correlation between umbilical: middle cerebral artery pulsatility index and the change in weight per day (n = 348, p = 0.001, r = 0.17). CONCLUSIONS: Difference in the estimated fetal weight and birthweight, expressed as grams growth per day, is proportional to the birthweight percentile. Fetuses with a birthweight >10th percentile gain weight, while those with a birthweight <10th percentile apparently decline in weight between their final ultrasound estimated fetal weight and delivery. In babies with the smallest or apparent negative weight gain there was an association with Doppler parameters that signified hypoxia indicating fetal growth at term may be restricted by impaired placental function. Estimated fetal weight may be a poor predictor of birthweight for reasons other than ultrasound or algorithmic error.