Predictors of failure to achieve minimal clinical important difference for pain and disability after mechanical diagnosis and therapy (MDT)-based multimodal rehabilitation for neck pain: a retrospective analysis of 4998 patients.

PURPOSE: To determine predictors of failure to achieve minimal clinical important difference (MCID) for pain and disability at discharge after mechanical diagnosis and therapy (MDT)-based multimodal rehabilitation for neck pain (NP). METHODS: Pre- and post-treatment numerical pain rating scale (NPRS) and neck disability index (NDI) in patients with mechanical NP were analysed in this retrospective study. Multivariate analysis was performed to investigate the effect of covariates such as age, gender, lifestyle, body mass index, presentation, diabetes, osteoporosis, response to repeated movement testing, treatment sessions, compliance rate, and pre-treatment NPRS and NDI scores on failure to achieve MCID of ≥ 30% for NPRS and NDI scores post-treatment. RESULTS: In the 4998 patients analysed for this study, 7% and 14.5% of patients failed to achieve MCID for NPRS and NDI scores, respectively, at the end of treatment. Age > 70 years, diabetes, osteoporosis, partial or non-response to repeated movements, lesser treatment sessions, and lower compliance rate were associated with increased risk for failure to achieve MCID for NPRS and NDI scores. A higher pre-treatment NDI score was associated with failure to achieve MCID for NPRS score, whereas lower pre-treatment NPRS and NDI scores were associated with failure to achieve MCID for NDI score. CONCLUSION: Although MDT-based multimodal rehabilitation helped to achieve significant reduction in pain and disability in mechanical NP, several baseline risk factors were associated with failure to achieve MCID for pain and disability after treatment. Identifying and modifying these factors as part of rehabilitation treatment may help to achieve better outcomes in mechanical NP.