Nomogram Prediction Model Analysis of Risk Factors for Conversion to Thoracotomy after Thoracoscopic Resection of Lung Cancer and Prognostic Value of Lung Cancer.

ABSTRACT

This study was aimed at exploring the risk factors for thoracotomy in patients undergoing thoracoscopic resection of lung cancer and further analyzing the factors affecting the prognosis of patients. Ninety-six patients with non-small-cell lung cancer who underwent thoracoscopic pulmonary resection were recruited as the subjects, and they were enrolled into the thoracoscopic group (n = 88) and the thoracotomy group (n = 8) according to whether thoracotomy was performed. Univariate analysis and logistic multivariate regression were performed to analyze the risk factors for conversion to thoracotomy, and nomogram prediction model was employed to analyze the prognostic factors. The results revealed that the proportion of patients over 65 years old, with history of coronary heart disease, diabetes, and pulmonary tuberculosis, etc., in the thoracotomy group and the thoracoscopic group was significantly different (P < 0.05). There were statistically significant differences in the development of interlobular cleft, pleural adhesion, tumor diameter > 3.5 cm, vascular and lymph node invasion, and tumor TNM stage between the thoracotomy group and the thoracoscopic group (P < 0.05). Overall, the age of patients ≥ 65 years old, tumor diameter > 3.5 cm, hypoplasia of interlobular fissure, history of pulmonary tuberculosis, pleural adhesion, and TNM stage IIIa were all independent risk factors for thoracoscopic resection of lung cancer to thoracotomy. Cox model and nomogram prediction model analysis showed that surgery methods, tumor diameter > 3.5 cm, chemotherapy cycle < 4, chemotherapy, and TNM stage IIIa were all independent factors influencing the prognosis of patients undergoing thoracoscopic lung cancer resection. This nomogram prediction model had high application value in patient prognosis prediction.