Clinical performance of spirometry and respiratory oscillometry for prediction of severe exacerbations in schoolchildren with asthma.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the performance of spirometry and respiratory oscillometry (RO) in the prediction of severe asthma exacerbations (SAEs) in children. METHODS: In a prospective study, 148 children (age 6-14 years) with asthma were assessed with RO, spirometry and a bronchodilator (BD) test. Based on the findings of spirometry and the BD test, they were classified into three phenotypes air trapping (AT), airflow limitation (AFL) and normal. Twelve weeks later, they were re-evaluated in relation to the occurrence of SAEs. We analysed the performance of RO, spirometry and AT/AFL phenotypes for prediction of SAEs by means of positive and negative likelihood ratios, ROC curves with the corresponding areas under the curve (AUCs) and a multivariate analysis adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: During the follow-up, 7.4% of patients had SAEs, and there were differences between phenotypes (normal, 2.4%; AFL, 17.9%; AT, 22.2%, P = .005). The best AUC corresponded to the forced expiratory flow between 25% and 75% of vital capacity (FEF25-75) 0.787; 95% confidence interval, 0.600-0.973. Other significant AUCs were those for the reactance area (AX), forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1), the post-BD change in forced vital capacity (FVC), and the FEV1/FVC ratio. All of the variables had a low sensitivity for prediction of SAEs. The AT phenotype had the best specificity (93.8%; 95% CI, 87.9-97.0), but the positive and negative likelihood ratios were both significant only for the FEF25-75. In the multivariate analysis, only some spirometry parameters were significative for prediction of SAEs (AT phenotype, FEF25-75 and FEV1/FVC). CONCLUSIONS: Spirometry performed better than RO for prediction of SAEs in the medium term in schoolchildren with asthma.