Revisiting cardiac output estimated noninvasively from oxygen uptake during exercise: an exploratory hypothesis-generating replication study.

ABSTRACT

Stringer et al. [J Appl Physiol (1985) 82 908-912, 1997] developed a method from invasive data to estimate cardiac output during incremental exercise testing based on Fick's principle. The authors proposed that the arterio-mixed venous oxygen content difference increases linearly with percentage of maximal O2 consumption. We hypothesized an S-shaped pattern in the published data and calculated the inflection point of this curve and of the standard resting oxygen dissociation curve. Using a partial F test, we compared the linear model with a third-order polynomial model, which showed a better fit to the data [F(2,101) = 9.5, P < 0.001]. This finding was reproduced in a dataset published by Åstrand et al. in 1964 [F(2, 122) = 10.6, P < 0.001]. The inflection point of the curve coincided with the lactate acidosis threshold [first ventilatory threshold (VT1)] as measured by Stringer et al. (VT1 at 50% and inflection point at 56% [95% CI, 52.9 to 60.7] of maximal O2 consumption). The inflection point of the standard resting oxygen dissociation curve was calculated at a partial pressure of 21.5 mmHg and a saturation of 36%, matching the "critical capillary Po2" concept of Stringer et al. (21.2 mmHg). We conclude that the arterio-mixed venous oxygen content difference increases in an S-shaped manner with percentage of maximal oxygen consumption and that the inflection point of this curve may correspond to VT1 and that of the in vivo oxygen dissociation curve. Further research is needed to confirm these findings and improve the method.NEW & NOTEWORTHY In 1997, Stringer, Hansen, and Wasserman developed a method for estimating cardiac output during incremental exercise testing. They observed that the arterio-mixed venous oxygen content difference increases linearly with the percentage of maximal O2 consumption. This increase may be better modelled by an S-shaped function, the inflection point of which may be related to the first ventilatory threshold and the inflection point of the oxygen dissociation curve. This finding may help to improve the method.