Aging with a Liver Graft: Analysis of Very Long-Term Survivors after Liver Transplantation.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In Italy, data on long-term survivors after liver transplantation are lacking. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a hybrid design study on a cohort of 359 adult recipients who received transplants between 1996 and 2002 to identify predictors of survival and the prevalence of co-morbidities among long-term survivors. RESULTS: The actuarial (95% CI) patient survival was 96% (94.6-98.3%), 69% (64.2-73.6%), 55% (49.8-59.9%), 42.8% (37.6-47.8%), and 34% (29.2-38.9%) at 1, 5, 10, 15, and 20 years, respectively. The leading causes of death were hepatitis C virus recurrence (24.6%), extrahepatic malignancies (16.9%), infection (14.4%), and hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence (14.4%). The factors associated with the survival probability were younger donor and recipient ages (p = 0.001 and 0.004, respectively), female recipient sex (p < 0.001), absence of HCV (p < 0.01), absence of HCC (p = 0.001), and absence of diabetes mellitus at one year (p < 0.01). At the latest follow-up, the leading comorbidities were hypertension (53.6%), obesity (18.7%), diabetes mellitus (17.1%), hyperlipidemia (14.7%), chronic kidney dysfunction (14.7%), and extrahepatic malignancies (13.8%), with 73.9% of patients having more than one complication. CONCLUSIONS: Aging with a liver graft is associated with an increased risk of complications and requires ongoing care to reduce the long-term attrition rate resulting from chronic immunosuppression.