Predictions of PM2.5 using air pollutants and meteorological factors with COVID-19 cases in Malaysia and Indonesia: a comparative study using feature selection and robust regression.

ABSTRACT

The study examines the relationship between air quality, meteorological factors, and COVID-19 cases in Cheras, Kuala Lumpur, and Kelapa Gading, North Jakarta. Analyzing data from 2020 and 2021, the research found notable correlations COVID-19 cases in Cheras were positively associated with relative humidity (RH) and carbon monoxide (CO) but negatively with ozone (O3) and RH in different years. In Kelapa Gading, COVID-19 cases were positively correlated with pollutants like sulfur dioxide (SO2) and CO, while ambient temperature (AT) showed a negative correlation. The enforcement of social restrictions notably reduced air pollution, affecting COVID-19 spread. Predictive models for PM2.5 levels using robust regression techniques showed strong performance in Kuala Lumpur (R² > 0.9) but exhibited overfitting tendencies in Jakarta, suggesting the need for a longer study period for more accurate results.