The Freiburg Index of Post-TIPS Survival accurately predicts mortality in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: The recently developed Freiburg Index of Post-TIPS Survival (FIPS) allows improved risk classification of patients with decompensated cirrhosis allocated to transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) implantation. This study investigated the prognostic value of the FIPS in patients hospitalized with acute decompensation of cirrhosis (AD), outside the setting of TIPS implantation. METHODS: A total of 1133 patients with AD were included in a retrospective, multi-centre study. Ninety-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality were recorded and the FIPS' performance in predicting mortality at these time points was analysed using ROC analyses. RESULTS: Ninety-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality were 17.7%, 24.4% and 30.8%. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression models showed that the FIPS independently predicted 1-year mortality in the study cohort (HR 1.806, 95% CI 1.632-1.998, p < .0001). In ROC analyses, the FIPS offered consistently high performance in the prediction of mortality within 1 year after AD (area under the receiver operator characteristic [AUROC]: 1-year mortality .712 [.679-.746], 180-day mortality .740 [.705-.775] and 90-day mortality .761 [.721-.801]). In fact, in the subgroup of patients presenting with variceal bleeding, the FIPS even showed significantly improved discriminatory performance in the prediction of long-term mortality (AUROC 1-year mortality: .782 [.724-.839]) in comparison with established prognostic scores, such as the CLIF-C AD score (.724 [.660-.788], p = .0071) or MELD 3.0 (.726 [.662-.790], p = .0042). CONCLUSIONS: The FIPS accurately predicts mortality in patients with AD and seems to offer superior prognostication of long-term mortality in patients with variceal bleeding.

Proton pump inhibitor treatment is associated with acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with advanced cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a fatal complication of cirrhosis. Hence, identification of risk factors for ACLF is crucial. Previous studies have linked proton pump inhibitor (PPI) treatment to complications of cirrhosis, however, a possible effect of PPI treatment on the risk of ACLF has not been investigated yet. Therefore, the present study aimed to characterize the impact of PPI treatment on ACLF development. METHODS: A total of 642 patients hospitalized due to complications of cirrhosis were retrospectively identified, and PPI treatment during an observation period of 3 years following the hospitalization was reviewed. Subsequently, 74 patients with newly initiated PPI treatment at the time of hospitalization (PPI group) were 1:1 propensity score matched to 74 patients who received no PPI treatment (no-PPI group). Primary end point was the development of ACLF during the observation period, and secondary endpoints were mortality and upper gastrointestinal bleeding. RESULTS: PPI and no-PPI groups had comparably severe chronic liver disease at baseline. Nevertheless, the cumulative incidence of ACLF in the presence of death as competing risk was markedly higher in the PPI group compared with the no-PPI group. ACLF-related deaths contributed significantly to a higher 3-year mortality in the PPI group. Uni and multivariable competing risk regression models confirmed that PPI treatment was an independent predictor of ACLF in the study collective (subdistribution HR: 1.892, 95% CI: 1.092-3.281, p = 0.023). The impact of PPI treatment on ACLF development was particularly strong in patients with a model for end-stage liver disease score >12. Upper gastrointestinal bleeding was slightly less frequent in the PPI group. CONCLUSIONS: The present results indicate that PPI treatment could be a risk factor for ACLF in patients with advanced cirrhosis.

Plasma Cyclic Guanosine Monophosphate Is a Promising Biomarker of Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis.

Introduction: Despite intensive research, reliable blood-derived parameters to detect clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in patients with cirrhosis are lacking. As altered homeostasis of cyclic guanosine monophosphate (cGMP), the central mediator of vasodilatation, is an essential factor in the pathogenesis of portal hypertension, the aim of our study was to evaluate plasma cGMP as potential biomarker of cirrhotic portal hypertension. Methods: Plasma cGMP was analyzed in cirrhotic patients with CSPH (ascites, n = 39; esophageal varices, n = 31), cirrhotic patients without CSPH (n = 21), patients with chronic liver disease without cirrhosis (n = 11) and healthy controls (n = 8). cGMP was evaluated as predictor of CSPH using logistic regression models. Further, the effect of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement on plasma cGMP was investigated in a subgroup of cirrhotic patients (n = 13). Results: Plasma cGMP was significantly elevated in cirrhotic patients with CSPH compared to cirrhotic patients without CSPH [78.1 (67.6-89.2) pmol/ml vs. 39.1 (35.0-45.3) pmol/l, p < 0.001]. Of note, this effect was consistent in the subgroup of patients with esophageal varices detected at screening endoscopy who had no prior manifestations of portal hypertension (p < 0.001). Cirrhotic patients without CSPH displayed no significant elevation of plasma cGMP compared to patients without cirrhosis (p = 0.347) and healthy controls (p = 0.200). Regression analyses confirmed that cGMP was an independent predictor of CSPH (OR 1.042, 95% CI 1.008-1.078, p = 0.016). Interestingly, portal decompression by TIPS implantation did not lead to normalization of plasma cGMP levels (p = 0.101). Conclusions: Plasma cGMP is a promising biomarker of CSPH in patients with cirrhosis, especially with respect to screening for esophageal varices. The lacking normalization of plasma cGMP after portal decompression suggests that elevated plasma cGMP in cirrhotic portal hypertension is mainly a correlate of systemic and splanchnic vasodilatation, as these alterations have been shown to persist after TIPS implantation.