Prognostic value of angiographic indices of coronary artery disease from the Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS).

The Coronary Artery Surgery Study, CASS, enrolled 24,959 patients between August 1975 and June 1979 who were studied angiographically for suspected coronary artery disease. This paper compares the prognostic value for survival without early elective surgery of eight different indices of the extent of coronary artery disease: the number of diseased vessels, two indices using the number of proximal arterial segments diseased, two empirically generated indices from the CASS data, and the published indices of Friesinger, Gensini, and the National Heart and Chest Hospital, London. All had considerable prognostic information. Typically 80% of the prognostic information in one index was also contained in another. Our analysis shows that good prediction from angiographic data results from a combination of left ventricular function and arteriographic extent of disease. Prognosis may reasonably be obtained from three simple indices: the number of vessels diseased, the number of proximal arterial segments diseased, and a left ventricular wall motion score. These three indices account for an estimated 84% of the prognostic information available. 6-yr survival varies between 93 and 16% depending upon the values of these three indices.

Selective versus routine predischarge coronary arteriography after therapy with recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator, heparin and aspirin for acute myocardial infarction. TIMI II Investigators.

To ascertain whether predischarge arteriography is beneficial in patients with acute myocardial infarction treated with recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rt-PA), heparin and aspirin, the outcome of 197 patients in the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) IIA study assigned to conservative management and routine predischarge coronary arteriography (routine catheterization group) was compared with the outcome of 1,461 patients from the TIMI IIB study assigned to conservative management without routine coronary arteriography unless ischemia recurred spontaneously or on predischarge exercise testing (selective catheterization group). The two groups were similar with regard to important baseline variables. During the initial hospital stay, coronary arteriography was performed in 93.9% of the routine catheterization group and 34.7% of the selective catheterization group (p less than 0.001), but the frequency of coronary revascularization (angioplasty or coronary artery bypass surgery) was similar in the two groups (24.4% versus 20.7%, p = NS). Coronary arteriograms showed a predominance of zero or one vessel disease (stenosis greater than or equal to 60%) in both groups (routine catheterization group 73.1%, selective catheterization group 61.3%). During the 1st year after infarction, rehospitalization for cardiac reasons and the interim performance of coronary arteriography were more common in the selective catheterization group (37.9% versus 27.6%, p = 0.007 and 28.6% versus 11.6%, p less than 0.001, respectively); however, the interim rates of death, nonfatal reinfarction and performance of coronary revascularization procedures were similar. At the end of 1 year, coronary arteriography had been performed one or more times in 98.9% of the routine catheterization group and 59.4% of the selective catheterization group (p less than 0.001), whereas death and nonfatal reinfarction had occurred in 10.2% versus 7.0% (p = 0.10) and 8.6% versus 9.0% (p = 0.87), respectively. Because the selective coronary arteriography policy exposes about 40% fewer patients to the small but finite risks and inconvenience of the procedure without compromising the 1 year survival or reinfarction rates, it seems to be an appropriate management strategy.

Coronary artery bypass graft surgery after thrombolytic therapy in the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction Trial, Phase II (TIMI II).

OBJECTIVES: We examined the results of coronary artery bypass graft surgery after thrombolytic therapy in the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction trial, Phase II (TIMI II) with particular emphasis on patient characteristics, the impact of antecedent percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty and morbidity and mortality in certain subgroups. BACKGROUND: Coronary bypass surgery is frequently used after thrombolytic therapy, but there is relatively little information with regard to early and late outcomes. METHODS: We analyzed 3,339 patients enrolled in the TIMI II trial. Bypass surgery was performed in 390 patients (11.7%): 54 (14%) within 24 h after entry into the trial or within 24 h of coronary angioplasty and 336 (86%) between 24 h and 42 days after entry. RESULTS: Perioperative mortality rates were, respectively, 16.7% and 3.9% (p < 0.001); perioperative myocardial infarction rates were 5.6% and 6.2%, respectively; and major hemorrhagic events occurred in 74% and 50.9%, respectively (p = 0.002). On multivariate analysis, the only independent predictor of perioperative mortality was bypass surgery within 24 h after entry or after coronary angioplasty. Among patients undergoing bypass surgery within 24 h of entry or after coronary angioplasty, the prevalence of multivessel disease (59.1% vs. 77.8%) and use of the internal thoracic artery (18.5% vs. 62.5%) were lower than in the remaining surgical patients. Among the 322 perioperative survivors, the 1-year mortality rate after discharge was only 2.2% and 1.9%, respectively, in the two groups. Only one patient had a documented recurrent myocardial infarction during the first year. CONCLUSIONS: The increased mortality rate with bypass surgery after thrombolytic therapy, particularly in patients undergoing operation within 24 h of coronary angioplasty or during the involving phase of infarction, must be balanced against the excellent 1-year prognosis and perioperative survivors, who are in general a group at higher risk of death or recurrent infarction. These data provide a basis for comparison for future studies.

The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) phase II pilot study: tissue plasminogen activator followed by percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty.

The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Study Group is investigating whether percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty or intravenous beta-receptor blockers, or both, are useful adjuncts to recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rt-PA) in the treatment of patients with acute myocardial infarction (TIMI II study). A total of 317 patients with acute myocardial infarction were treated an average of 2.7 hours after the onset of chest pain during the course of a nonrandomized pilot investigation with 150 mg of rt-PA given over 6 hours. This dose of rt-PA resulted in a high rate of infarct-related coronary artery patency (82 and 87% of patients catheterized an average of either 1 or 32 hours after entry, respectively) and a low 21 day mortality rate of 4.4%. Coronary angioplasty was performed successfully in greater than 90% of patients with appropriate anatomy and in greater than 50% of those treated with rt-PA. In 75 patients treated within 2 hours of the onset of chest pain only 2 (2.7%) were dead by 6 weeks. However, five cases of intracranial hemorrhage were noted, and the rt-PA dose was subsequently reduced to 100 mg given over 6 hours. The TIMI II design and the results of the TIMI II pilot study are discussed.

The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Trial phase II: additional information and perspectives.

Given the many thrombolytic agents and the number of ways in which they can be combined with mechanical revascularization, the treatment of acute myocardial infarction has been the subject of active study and lively debate, which are likely to continue for some time. Several studies, including TIMI IIA (2,3,10,22), have suggested that immediate catheterization and angioplasty offer no clinical benefit and have a greater complication rate than a more delayed invasive strategy, but TIMI II (1) and SWIFT (16) trials have suggested that an even more conservative strategy of reserving catheterization and coronary angioplasty after thrombolytic therapy for patients with recurrent spontaneous or exercise-induced ischemia may be the most desirable approach for the majority of patients similar to those entered into these trials.

Prognostic significance of the treadmill exercise test performance 6 months after myocardial infarction.

A submaximal treadmill exercise test performed before hospital discharge after an uncomplicated myocardial infarction is often utilized to estimate prognosis and guide management, but there is little experience with a maximal exercise test performed 6 months after infarction to identify prognosis later in the convalescent period. The performance characteristics during an exercise test 6 months after myocardial infarction were related to the development of death, recurrent nonfatal myocardial infarction and coronary artery bypass surgery in the subsequent 12 months (that is, 6 to 18 months after infarction) in 473 patients. Mortality was significantly greater in patients who exhibited any of the following: inability to perform the exercise test because of cardiac limitations, the development of ST segment elevation of 1 mm or greater during the exercise test, an inadequate blood pressure response during exercise, the development of any ventricular premature depolarizations during exercise or the recovery period and inability to exercise beyond stage I of the modified Bruce protocol. By utilizing a combination of four high risk prognostic features from the exercise test, it was possible to stratify patients in terms of risk of mortality, from 1% if none of these features were present to 17% if three or four were present. Recurrent nonfatal myocardial infarction was predicted by an inability to perform the exercise test because of cardiac limitations, but not by any characteristics of exercise test performance. Coronary artery bypass surgery was associated with the development of ST segment depression of 1 mm or greater during the exercise test. Although clinical evidence of angina and heart failure 6 months after infarction was predictive of subsequent mortality among all survivors, among the low risk group without severely limiting cardiac disease, the exercise test provided unique prognostic information not available from clinical assessment alone. Therefore, a maximal exercise test performed 6 months after myocardial infarction is a valuable, noninvasive tool to evaluate prognosis. It provides information that is independent of and additive to clinical evaluation performed at the same time.

Prognostic implications of an early peak in plasma MB creatine kinase in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

To determine the prognostic implications of an early peak in plasma MB creatine kinase (MB CK) in patients with acute myocardial infarction who were not treated with an acute intervention, 342 patients with myocardial infarction confirmed by MB CK were retrospectively studied. The patients were classified into those with an early peak MB CK (less than or equal to 15 hours after the onset of symptoms, n = 84) and those with a late peak MB CK (greater than 15 hours after the onset of symptoms, n = 258). Patients with an early peak MB CK were slightly older, were more frequently female and had a higher incidence of prior myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure and arrhythmias compared with patients with a late peak MB CK. Patients with an early peak MB CK more frequently presented with ST segment depression (23 versus 11%, p less than 0.01), with anterior location of ischemia or infarction (71 versus 52%, p less than 0.01) and with a lower mean left ventricular ejection fraction (41.4 versus 47.4%, p less than 0.01). Despite more extensive left ventricular dysfunction at initial presentation, patients with an early peak MB CK had a smaller mean MB CK infarct size index (12.6 versus 18.9 g-Eq/m2, p less than 0.01), with no difference in the incidence of in-hospital complications, including death. The early left ventricular dysfunction improved in the patients with an early peak MB CK, evidenced by a 4.5% increase in ejection fraction from admission to 10 days after infarction, whereas the ejection fraction did not improve in patients with a late peak MB CK. However, the patients with an early peaking MB CK had myocardium in jeopardy as reflected by a higher incidence of ST segment depression and a decrement in the global left ventricular ejection fraction with exercise. The 4 year life table estimate for the rate of recurrent myocardial infarction after hospital discharge was higher in patients with an early peak MB CK (33 versus 22%, p less than 0.05), with an even more striking difference in the 4 year estimate for the rate of fatal recurrent infarction (20 versus 8%, p less than 0.001). The 4 year mortality estimate was markedly higher in hospital survivors with an early peak MB CK than in those with a late peak (47 versus 19%, p less than 0.0001) and, even after adjustment for differences in baseline characteristics, the residual excess mortality in those with an early peak was still significant (p less than 0.02).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Prognostic significance of location and type of myocardial infarction: independent adverse outcome associated with anterior location.

To determine the relative prognostic significance of location (anterior or inferior) and type (Q wave or non-Q wave) of infarction, the hospital course and follow-up outcome (mean duration 30.8 months) of 471 patients with a first infarction were analyzed. Analyses were performed grouping the patients according to infarct location (anterior, n = 253; inferior, n = 218), infarct type (Q wave, n = 323; non-Q wave, n = 148), and both location and type (inferior non-Q wave, n = 85; inferior Q wave, n = 133; anterior non-Q wave, n = 63; and anterior Q wave, n = 190). Patients with anterior infarction had a substantially worse in-hospital and follow-up clinical course compared with those with inferior infarction, evidenced by a larger infarct size (21.2 versus 14.9 g Eq/m2 creatine kinase, MB fraction [MB CK], p less than 0.001), lower admission left ventricular ejection fraction (38.1 versus 55.3%, p less than 0.001) and higher incidence of heart failure (40.7 versus 14.7%, p less than 0.001), serious ventricular ectopic activity (70.2 versus 58.9%, p less than 0.05), in-hospital death (11.9 versus 2.8%, p less than 0.001) and total cumulative cardiac mortality (27 versus 11%, p less than 0.001). Patients with Q wave infarction similarly experienced a worse in-hospital course compared with patients with non-Q wave infarction, evidenced by a larger infarct size (20.7 versus 12.7 MB CK g Eq/m2, p less than 0.001), lower admission left ventricular ejection fraction (43.7 versus 50.6%, p less than 0.001), and a higher incidence of heart failure (31.9 versus 21.6%, p less than 0.05) and in-hospital death (9.3 versus 4.1% p less than 0.05). However, there was no increased rate of reinfarction or mortality in hospital survivors with non-Q wave infarction compared with those with Q wave infarction, and total cardiac mortality was similar (16 versus 21%, p = NS). To evaluate the role of infarct location and type independent of infarct size, patients were grouped according to quartile of infarct size, and outcome was reanalyzed within each group. Patients with anterior infarction demonstrated a lower left ventricular ejection fraction on admission and after 10 days than did patients with inferior infarction, even after adjustment for infarct size, as well as a higher incidence of congestive heart failure and cumulative cardiac mortality.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Survival of black persons compared with white persons in the Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS).

From July 1974 to May 1979, 573 black persons in the Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS) underwent coronary angiography. Compared with 23,008 white persons, larger percentages of black men and women were current smokers and reported a history of systemic hypertension. Despite the presence of chest pain, larger percentages of blacks had normal coronary arteries by angiography than did whites. The 5-year age- and sex-adjusted survival rate was 88% for whites and 82% for blacks (p less than 0.0001). Cox analysis indicated that black race was related to poorer survival in the medical group (p = 0.0006) but not in the surgical group (p = 0.28). For blacks, surgical therapy was related to a better survival rate (p = 0.009). These results raise questions concerning the effects of excess cigarette smoking and systemic hypertension and the role of coronary artery bypass surgery on survival of black persons.

Six- and twelve-month follow-up of the phase I Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) trial.

The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) trial Phase I was designed to compare the efficacy and side effects of intravenous recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rt-PA) and intravenous streptokinase (SK) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). As previously reported, rt-PA led to a reperfusion rate of 62% of totally occluded coronary arteries compared with 31% for SK (p less than 0.001). This study was not designed to determine if intravenous thrombolytic therapy decreases the mortality of AMI; however, the findings in these patients after 1 year of follow-up do permit certain insights into the impact of early reperfusion and reocclusion on the clinical course of patients with AMI. The mortality rate at 6 and 12 months was not significantly different in patients treated with rt-PA compared with SK (7.7% and 10.5% rt-PA vs 9.5% and 11.6% for SK). The frequency of recurrent AMI, coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) was similar in the 2 treatment groups. There was no significant difference in 6- and 12-month mortality or in the rate of recurrent AMI in patients who received thrombolytic therapy before compared with after 4 hours of the onset of AMI symptoms. When the results were analyzed on the basis of the patency of the infarct-related artery, irrespective of thrombolytic agent used, for those patients with patent arteries 90 minutes after the initiation of therapy, there was a trend toward a lower 6-month (5.6% vs 12.5%) and 12-month mortality (8.1% vs 14.8%) (p = 0.07).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Assessment of global and regional left ventricular performance at rest and during exercise after thrombolytic therapy for acute myocardial infarction: results of the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) II Study.

Global and regional left ventricular performances were evaluated with equilibrium radionuclide angiocardiography in patients in the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) II trial at the time of hospital discharge. Studies at rest were available in 1,162 (69%) of the invasive and 1,150 (69%) of the conservative strategy patients, and exercise studies in 1,133 (67%) of the invasive and 1,145 (69%) of the conservative patients. Repeat studies were performed at the time of 6-week follow-up. Global and regional ejection fraction at rest were both comparable in patients assigned to each of the treatment strategies. However, at the time of hospital discharge patients in the invasive strategy had normal exercise responses more frequently (29.7 vs 25.8% p = 0.01), greater peak exercise LV ejection fraction (54.8 +/- 13.8% vs 53.1 +/- 14.1%, p = 0.004), greater exercise--rest change in LV ejection fraction (3.7 +/- 6.7% vs 2.7 +/- 7.2%, p less than 0.001) and greater peak exercise infarct zone regional ejection fraction (53.2 +/- 31.1% vs 50.3 +/- 33.0%, p less than 0.001) than patients assigned to the conservative strategy. At 6-week follow-up these differences between treatment strategies were no longer evident. When data were restricted to those collected at comparable work loads, similar differences in hospital discharge exercise performance between invasive vs conservative strategy patients were observed. Thus, there is a small transient difference in exercise global and regional LV performance associated with an invasive as opposed to conservative strategy after thrombolytic therapy. These differences are noted at the time of hospital discharge but not at 6 weeks, and are unlikely to confer clinical benefit.

Variables predictive of good functional outcome following thrombolytic therapy in the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction phase II (TIMI II) pilot study.

Before commencing the randomized Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction phase II (TIMI II) study, 370 patients were administered intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) within 4 hours of onset of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and assigned to 2-hour (immediate) percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (n = 33), 18- to 48-hour (delayed) angioplasty (n = 288) or no angioplasty (n = 49) in a nonrandomized, observational pilot study. Left ventricular ejection fraction at rest and during exercise was assessed by gated equilibrium radionuclide ventriculography at hospital discharge and again at 6 weeks. At hospital discharge, ejection fraction averaged 50% at rest and 56% at peak exercise. At 6-week follow-up, ejection fraction averaged 50% at rest and 53% at peak exercise. At 6-week follow-up, resting ejection fraction average 49% in the 2-hour angioplasty group, 49% in the 18- to 48-hour angioplasty group and 55% in the no-angioplasty group. Variables independently predicting "good functional outcome" at 6-week follow-up (survival with resting ejection fraction greater than equal to 50% and no decrease with exercise) in the 18- to 48-hour angioplasty group were fewer leads with ST-segment elevation greater than or equal to 0.1 mV, younger age, rapid normalization during rt-PA infusion of ST segments or dramatic relief of chest pain, absence of arrhythmias within the first 24 hours of treatment initiation, no prior infarction and not a cigarette smoker at entry. Thus, the TIMI II pilot study demonstrates that most patients with AMI of less than or equal to 4-hour duration treated with rt-PA have good ventricular function after AMI.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Enzymatic estimation of myocardial infarct size when early creatine kinase values are not available.

Estimates of myocardial infarct (MI) size based on plasma creatine kinase (CK) are used widely for prognosis and in the assessment of therapy designed to salvage ischemic myocardium. However, if the initial plasma CK activity is elevated, MI size will be underestimated. To determine the impact of loss of early CK values on estimates of MI size and to develop a procedure to compensate for it, estimates of MI size based on complete and incomplete MB and total CK time-activity curves from 120 patients (experimental group) were compared. Estimates of MI size based on data inclusion intervals beginning at 24, 12, 8, and 4 hours before peak CK were 11, 14, 23, and 47% smaller than values based on complete CK curves, but the correlation was good between complete and incomplete estimates of MI size at any given interval, with r values ranging from 0.91 to 0.98. The derived correction factors were then prospectively applied to a new population (n = 25) with complete CK curves to compensate for purposely omitted early CK values. The corrected estimates of MI size were within 7% of those based on the complete CK curves. Similar results were obtained for transmural and nontransmural and anterior or inferior MI. Thus, if peak plasma CK is known, underestimation of MI size can be compensated for despite the unavailability of early CK values. Since greater than 90% of patients present before plasma CK has reached its peak (24 hours), MI size can be obtained in nearly all patients. Thus, being able to correct for unavailable early CK values makes MI size a more widely applicable endpoint for use in clinical trials and patient management.

Survival following coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with severe angina pectoris (CASS). An observational study.

This observational study evaluates the effects of the severity of angina pectoris and the treatment method upon the survival of 4,209 patients in the Coronary Artery Surgery Study registry. In this nonrandomized study, these patients met the criteria used in the Coronary Artery Surgery Study randomized trial, except for the degree of angina pectoris and the method of selection of treatment. The 5 year survival rate was greater than or equal to 93% in patients with Class I and II angina pectoris and normal left ventricular function, regardless of the number of involved vessels or treatment received. Late survival of surgically treated patients with Class III and IV angina pectoris and normal left ventricular function was similar, regardless of the number of vessels involved (greater than or equal to 92% at 5 years). Nonoperatively treated patients with Class III and IV angina pectoris and normal left ventricular function had poorer 5 year survival rates, lowest (74%) in patients with three vessel disease (p less than 0.0001). This difference was also observed in patients with abnormal left ventricular function, three vessel disease, and Class III and IV angina pectoris; the 5 year survival rates were 82% for the operative group and 52% for the nonoperative group (p less than 0.0001). These data confirm the importance of clinical as well as anatomic factors in determining the prognosis of patients with ischemic heart disease and indicate that coronary artery bypass grafting can improve late survival in patients with triple vessel disease and severe angina pectoris.

Considerations for a national heart attack alert program.

Coronary heart disease (CHD) remains the leading cause of death in the United States--in women as well as men. In 1987, CHD was responsible for 512,138 deaths, of which 253,542 deaths were attributed to acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and accounted for over $43 billion in direct and indirect costs. The disease spares no one. Primary prevention is clearly important, but for those in whom primary prevention has not been applied or has failed, acting to minimize the effect of a heart attack is of paramount importance. Many of its victims do not obtain appropriate medical care, or obtain it too late for the latest lifesaving technologies to be effective. The goal of treatment is to prevent death and to salvage as much heart tissue as possible. To achieve this goal, it is essential to minimize the time from the first symptoms and signs to treatment. Opportunities exist at each phase of an evolving AMI to intervene promptly and appropriately to prevent sudden death and to preserve cardiac muscle and thereby reduce CHD morbidity and mortality. Yet, formidable problems also exist. These and other issues are presently being studied by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute staff and advisors in consideration of whether to establish a national educational program aimed at reducing CHD morbidity and mortality through the rapid identification and treatment of those with AMI.

Educational challenges in implementing genomic medicine.

Clinical medicine is about to embark on an exciting, although harrowing, period of innovation, the result of astonishing advances in genomic science. The current workforce--physicians, nurses, pharmacists, and others--will soon need to adapt to substantial change, driven by genomics, in diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. If errors of omission and commission are to be prevented, sustained efforts in workforce education will be needed on the part of medical schools, training programs, and professional societies.