Changes of selection opportunities with a changing environment: regional heterogeneity in Italy.

The mortailty and fertility components of the index of opportunity for selection (the Crow index) have been studied in the various Italian regions during the last century. To estimate the relevance of environmental factors on both components, their trends and those of their interregional variances have been compared with illiteracy. The results show that the selection opportunities due to mortality have decreased in a smiliar way in all the regions with a trend parallel to that of the national percentage of illiteracy, suggesting that this component is directly affected by the general socio-cultural level. As to the component due to fertility differentials, the regions, though scattered in the time scale, show a characteristic cycle of rise and fall. Moreover, the interregional variances of this component and of illiteracy are quite parallel, thus supporting the hypothesis that the reproductive pattern is strongly influenced by the individual cultural level.

The effects of demographic transition on the opportunity for selection: changes during the last century in Italy.

The index of opportunity for selection proposed by Crow has been calculated for the Italian population during the last century. The evolution of its two components, the pre-reproductive mortality and the variance in fertility, has been also analysed and compared with similar data for the United States. The results clearly show the relevance of socio-economic changes to the evolution of selective patterns in our species; in particular the relative incidence of mortality and fertility to selection intensity: the total index has in fact been reduced by 75% during the last century, the relative amount due to fertility increasing from 57 to 89%. The probable different relevance of genetic factors in the two components has also been discussed.

[Conditions for a minimum perinatal mortality]. / Condizioni di minimo per la mortalita perinatale

PIP: Data from clinical records for 16,000 deliveries at the obstetric department of Rome University, Italy, are analyzed in order to identify the gestation times and birth weights associated with the lowest levels of perinatal mortality. The effects of mother's age, previous pregnancies and deliveries, and placental weight are also considered. The results show clearly that perinatal mortality increases with maternal age and is, in fact, equal to zero for mothers aged 15 to 19. (summary in ENG, FRE)^ieng

Natural selection associated with birth weight. III. Changes over the last twenty years.

Differential stillbirth rates as a function of birth-weight have been studied in all single births in Italy in the years, 1954, 1961, 1967 and 1974. In the course of the twenty year interval of observation the following changes were found: (i) a progressive equalization of mortality in birth-weight classes near the mean; (ii) a reduction of the directional component of selection which is parallel to the increase of mean birth-weight (in the case of 8 months of pregnancy); (iii) a reduction of the stabilizing component of selection which is parallel to the decrease of birth-weight variance (in the case of 9 months of pregnancy); (iv) a reduction of selection intensity, while selective mortality remains more or less unchanged. The modifications of natural selection associated with birth-weight as consequence of health care progress in this population are also discussed.