Lung function decline is mitigated following liver transplantation in people with cystic fibrosis: A retrospective cohort study.

There is paucity of literature on the health outcomes following liver transplantation (LT) in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). We aim to evaluate changes in lung function following LT in pwCF. We performed a retrospective cohort study of pwCF who underwent LT between 1987 and 2019 in the United States and Canada. Simultaneous lung-liver transplants and individuals who had lung transplant prior to LT were excluded. We analyzed pre-LT and post-LT percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second, body mass index, rates of pulmonary exacerbation, and post-LT overall survival. A total of 402 LT recipients were included. The median age of transplant was 14.9 years and 69.7% of the transplants were performed in children less than 18 years old. The rate of decline in percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second was attenuated after LT from -2.2% to -0.7% predicted per year with a difference of 1.5% predicted per year (95% CI, 0.8, 2.2; p < 0.001). Following LT, the rate of decline in body mass index was reduced, and there were fewer pulmonary exacerbations (0.6 pre vs. 0.4 post; rate ratio 0.7, p < 0.01). The median survival time post-transplant was 13.9 years and the overall probability of survival at 5 years was 77.6%. Those with higher lung function pre-LT had a lower risk of death post-LT, and those with genotypes other than F508 deletion had worse survival. LT in pwCF occurs most often in children and adolescents and is associated with a slower rate of decline in lung function and nutritional status, and a reduction in pulmonary exacerbations.

Beyond borders: cystic fibrosis survival between Australia, Canada, France and New Zealand.

BACKGROUND: Life expectancy for people with cystic fibrosis (CF) varies considerably both within and between countries. The objective of this study was to compare survival among countries with single-payer healthcare systems while accounting for markers of disease severity. METHODS: This cohort study used data from established national CF registries in Australia, Canada, France and New Zealand from 2015 to 2019. Median age of survival for each of the four countries was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to compare risk of death between Canada, France and Australia after adjusting for prognostic factors. Due to low number of deaths, New Zealand was not included in final adjusted models. RESULTS: Between 2015 and 2019, a total of 14 842 people (3537 Australia, 4434 Canada, 6411 France and 460 New Zealand) were included. The median age of survival was highest in France 65.9 years (95% CI: 59.8 to 76.0) versus 53.3 years (95% CI: 48.9 to 59.8) for Australia, 55.4 years (95% CI: 51.3 to 59.2) for Canada and 54.8 years (95% CI: 40.7 to not available) for New Zealand. After adjusting for individual-level factors, the risk of death was significantly higher in Canada (HR 1.85, 95% CI: 1.48 to 2.32; p<0.001) and Australia (HR 2.08, 95% CI: 1.64 to 2.64; p<0.001) versus France. INTERPRETATION: We observed significantly higher survival in France compared with countries with single-payer healthcare systems. The median age of survival in France exceeded 60 years of age despite having the highest proportion of underweight patients which may be due to differences in availability of transplant.

Cystic fibrosis survival outcomes following second lung transplant: The north American experience.

INTRODUCTION: Re-transplant is an option for those who develop end-stage lung disease due to rejection; however, little data exist following re-transplantation in cystic fibrosis (CF). METHODS: Data from the Canadian CF Registry and US CF Foundation Patient Registry supplemented with data from United Network for Organ Sharing were used. Individuals who underwent a 2nd lung transplant between 2005 and 2019 were included. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the probability of survival post-second transplant at 1, 3, and 5-years. RESULTS: Of those people who were waitlisted for a second transplant (N = 818), a total of 254 (31%) died waiting, 395 (48%) were transplanted and 169 (21%) people were alive on the waitlist. Median survival time after 2nd lung transplant was 3.3 years (95% CI: 2.8-4.1). The 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates were 77.4% (95% CI: 73.1-82%), 52% (95% CI: 46.7-58%) and 39.4% (95% CI: 34.1-45.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Survival following second lung transplant in CF patients is lower than estimates following the first transplant. Over half of subjects who are potentially eligible for a second transplant die without receiving a second organ. This warrants further investigation.

Impact of a high emergency lung transplantation programme for cystic fibrosis in France: insight from a comparison with Canada.

BACKGROUND: France implemented a high emergency lung transplantation (HELT) programme nationally in 2007. A similar programme does not exist in Canada. The objectives of our study were to compare health outcomes within France as well as between Canada and France before and after the HELT programme in a population with cystic fibrosis (CF). METHODS: This population-based cohort study utilised data from the French and Canadian CF registries. A cumulative incidence curve assessed time to transplant with death without transplant as competing risks. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate post-transplant survival. RESULTS: Between 2002 and 2016, there were 1075 (13.0%) people with CF in France and 555 (10.2%) people with CF in Canada who underwent lung transplantation. The proportion of lung transplants increased in France after the HELT programme was initiated (4.5% versus 10.1%), whereas deaths pre-transplant decreased from 85.3% in the pre-HELT period to 57.1% in the post-HELT period. Between 2008 and 2016, people in France were significantly more likely to receive a transplant (hazard ratio (HR) 1.56, 95% CI 1.37-1.77; p<0.001) than die (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.46-0.66; p<0.001) compared with Canada. Post-transplant survival was similar between the countries, and there was no difference in survival when comparing pre- and post-HELT periods in France. CONCLUSIONS: Following the implementation of the HELT programme, people living with CF in France were more likely to receive a transplant than die. Post-transplant survival in the post-HELT period in France did not change compared with the pre-HELT period, despite potentially sicker patients being transplanted, and was comparable to Canada.

Comparison of quadriceps muscle size and quality in adults with cystic fibrosis with different severities of cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator protein dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is characterized by CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) dysfunction. CFTR protein is expressed in human skeletal muscle; however, its impact on skeletal muscle is unknown. The objectives of this study were to compare quadriceps muscle size and quality between adults with various severities of CFTR protein dysfunction. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, cross-sectional study comparing 34 adults with severe versus 18 with mild CFTR protein dysfunction, recruited from a specialized CF centre. Ultrasound images of rectus femoris cross-sectional area (RF-CSA) and quadriceps layer thickness for muscle size, and rectus femoris echogenicity (RF-ECHO) (muscle quality) were obtained. Multivariable linear regression models were developed using purposeful selection technique. RESULTS: People with severe CFTR protein dysfunction had larger RF-CSA by 3.22 cm2, 95% CI (1.03, 5.41) cm2, p=.0049], after adjusting for oral corticosteroid use and Pseudomonas aeruginosa colonization. However, a sensitivity analysis indicated that the result was influenced by the specific confounders being adjusted for in the model. We did not find any significant differences in quadriceps layer thickness or RF-ECHO between the two groups. CONCLUSION: We found no differential impact of the extent of diminished CFTR protein activity on quadriceps muscle size or quality in our study cohort. Based on these findings, CFTR mutation status cannot be used differentiate leg muscle size or quality in people with CF.

Evaluation of Nutritional, Inflammatory, and Fatty Acid Status in Patients with Gastric and Colorectal Cancer Receiving Chemotherapy.

Malnutrition is prevalent in gastrointestinal (GI) cancer patients, possibly due to inflammation and altered fatty acids (FA). There is a lack of research describing nutritional decline in these patients during chemotherapy. We described changes in nutritional, inflammatory, and FA status over time and factors relating to change in nutritional status according to tumor presence in 41 GI cancer patients undergoing first-line treatment over four chemotherapy visits, using linear mixed effects models. At baseline, 53% of patients were malnourished. Over time, there was a decrease in the proportion of malnourished vs. well-nourished individuals (ß= -0.564, p < 0.01). Median concentrations of plasma linoleic acid, arachidonic acid, eicosapentaenoic acid, docosahexaenoic acid, total n-3, total n-6 and total plasma phospholipid FA increased over time. Changes over time in nutritional status based on weight (p < 0.001), fat free mass (FFM) measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA, p = 0.02), and skinfold anthropometry (FSA, p = 0.04) were significantly dependent on tumor presence. There were positive associations between weight and total n-3 (ß = 0.02, p < 0.01), FFM and IL-6 (BIA, ß = 0.028, p = 0.02; FSA, ß = 0.03, p = 0.02), and FFM and total n-6 (BIA, ß = 0.003, p = 0.01). Changes in nutritional status during chemotherapy were negatively impacted by tumor presence, and were associated with increasing concentrations of cytokines and FA.

A Role for Alveolar Exhaled Nitric Oxide Measurement in the Diagnosis of Hepatopulmonary Syndrome.

GOALS: The authors sought to characterize predominantly alveolar exhaled nitric oxide (eNO) in hepatopulmonary syndrome (HPS) compared with non-HPS, changes after liver transplantation, and diagnostic properties. BACKGROUND: HPS is defined by liver disease, intrapulmonary vascular dilatations (IPVDs), and hypoxemia. Rat models and small human studies suggest that NO overproduction may cause IPVDs. STUDY: A retrospective review of the Canadian HPS Database (2007 to 2017) and prospective eNO measurement (main outcome) in healthy controls (measurement expiratory flow, 200 mL/s). HPS was defined as: (1) liver disease; (2) contrast echocardiography consistent with IPVDs; and (3) partial pressure of arterial oxygen <70 mm Hg with alveolar-arterial gradient >20 mm Hg; subclinical HPS as criteria (1) and (2) only; and no HPS as criterion (1) only. Current smokers and subjects with asthma or pulmonary hypertension were excluded. A linear mixed effects model was used to compare eNO between groups and before and after transplantation. RESULTS: eNO was 10.4±0.7 ppb in HPS (n=26); 8.3±0.6 ppb in subclinical HPS (n=38); 7.1±1.0 ppb in no HPS (n=15); and 5.6±0.7 ppb in controls (n=30) (P<0.001). eNO decreased from 10.9±0.8 ppb preliver to 6.3±0.8 ppb postliver transplant (n=6 HPS, 6 subclinical HPS) (P<0.001). eNO <6 ppb was 84.4% (73.1% to 92.2%) sensitive and ≥12 ppb was 78.1% (69.4% to 85.3%) specific for HPS (vs. subclinical HPS). CONCLUSIONS: HPS subjects have higher alveolar eNO than non-HPS subjects, levels normalize with liver transplantation. Applying eNO cutoff values may aid in HPS diagnosis.

Development and external validation of 1- and 2-year mortality prediction models in cystic fibrosis.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to develop a clinical tool for predicting 1- and 2-year risk of death for patients with cystic fibrosis (CF). The model considers patients' overall health status as well as risk of intermittent shock events in calculating the risk of death. METHODS: Canadian CF Registry data from 1982 to 2015 were used to develop a predictive risk model using threshold regression. A 2-year risk of death estimated conditional probability of surviving the second year given survival for the first year. UK CF Registry data from 2007 to 2013 were used to externally validate the model. RESULTS: The combined effect of CF chronic health status and CF intermittent shock risk provided a simple clinical scoring tool for assessing 1-year and 2-year risk of death for an individual CF patient. At a threshold risk of death of ≥20%, the 1-year model had a sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 96%. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) for the 2-year mortality model was significantly greater than the AUC for a model that predicted survival based on forced expiratory volume in 1 s <30% predicted (AUC 0.95 versus 0.68 respectively, p<0.001). The Canadian-derived model validated well with the UK data and correctly identified 79% of deaths and 95% of survivors in a single year in the UK. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction models provide an accurate risk of death over a 1- and 2-year time horizon. The models performed equally well when validated in an independent UK CF population.

Cluster and CART analyses identify large subgroups of adults with cystic fibrosis at low risk of 10-year death.

Our goal was to identify subgroups of adults with cystic fibrosis (CF) at low risk of death within 10 years.Factor analysis for mixed data followed by Ward's cluster analysis was conducted using 25 variables from 1572 French CF adults in 2005. Rates of death by subgroups were analysed over 10 years. An algorithm was developed using CART (classification and regression tree) analysis to provide rules for the identification of subgroups of CF adults with low rates of death within 10 years. This algorithm was validated in 1376 Canadian CF adults.Seven subgroups were identified by cluster analysis in French CF adults, including two subgroups with low (∼5%) rates of death at 10 years: one subgroup (22% of patients) was composed of patients with nonclassic CF, the other subgroup (17% of patients) was composed of patients with classic CF but low rates of Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection and diabetes. An algorithm based on CART analysis of data in 2005 allowed us to identify most French adults with low rates of death. When tested using data from Canadian CF adults in 2005, the algorithm identified 287 out of 1376 (21%) patients at low risk (10-year death: 7.7%).Large subgroups of CF adults share low risk of 10-year mortality.

Comparison of Nutrition and Lung Function Outcomes in Patients with Cystic Fibrosis Living in Canada and the United States.

RATIONALE: A 10-year gap in the median age of survival for patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) was reported between patients living in Canada compared with patients living in the United States. OBJECTIVES: Because both malnutrition and poor lung function are associated with an increased risk of mortality in CF, we investigated the temporal and longitudinal trends in lung function and nutrition between Canada and the United States. METHODS: This cohort study used Canadian CF Registry and U.S. CF Foundation Patient Registry data from 1990 to 2013. A unified dataset was created to harmonize the variables collected within the two registries for the purpose of comparing outcomes between the two countries. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We conducted three analyses: survival differences by birth cohort; population trends for FEV1 and body mass index (BMI) over time; and individual patient FEV1 and BMI trajectories. The study included a total of 37,772 patients in the United States and 5,149 patients in Canada. Patients with CF experienced significant improvements in nutritional status and lung function in both Canada and the United States during the study. In addition, the survival gap between the two countries is narrowing within younger birth cohorts. The improvements for the patients within the United States were most prominent in the BMI trajectories, where patients born after 1990 in the United States have higher BMI that has persisted over time. CONCLUSIONS: The reasons for the observed improvements, and catch-up in the United States, are likely multifactorial and include the introduction of high-fat, high-calorie diets; introduction of newborn screening; and/or improved access to care for CF children in the United States.

Cystic fibrosis survival: the changing epidemiology.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Tracking patient outcomes using cystic fibrosis (CF) national data registries, we have seen a dramatic improvement in patient survival. As there are multiple ways to measure survival, it is important for readers to understand these different metrics in order to clearly translate this information to patients and their families. The aims of this review were to describe measures of survival and to review the recent literature pertaining to survival in CF to capture the changing epidemiology. RECENT FINDINGS: Although survival has improved on a population level, several individual factors continue to impact survival such as sex, age of diagnosis, ethnic background and lung function. Survival estimates, conditional on surviving to a specified age, are more relevant to individuals living with CF today and are higher than the reported overall median age of survival. There is some evidence to suggest that newborn screening (NBS) has resulted in prolonged survival in CF. SUMMARY: Prognosis in CF is often described by reporting the median age of survival, the median age of death, the median survival conditional on living to a certain age and the survival by birth cohort. Each of these metrics provide useful information depending on an individual's personal disease trajectory. The median age of survival continues to increase in CF in many countries while mortality rates are decreasing. Several factors have been associated with worse survival such as female sex, ethnicity, worse nutritional status, lower lung function and microbiology. When comparing survival between countries, one needs to ensure that similar data collection and processing techniques are used to ensure valid and robust comparisons.

Clinical characteristics of cystic fibrosis patients prior to lung transplantation: An international comparison between Canada and the United States.

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF) patients from Canada have better-reported post-lung transplant survival compared to patients from the United States. We hypothesized the clinical characteristics of CF patients prior to lung transplant differ between the two countries. METHODS: Population-based cohort study utilizing combined Canadian CF Registry and US CF Foundation Patient Registry data from 1986 to 2013. Demographic and clinical variables were analyzed prior to lung transplant. RESULTS: Between 1986 and 2013, 607 (10.2%) CF patients underwent lung transplantation in Canada and 3428 (7.5%) in the United States. A lower proportion of recipients had growth of B. cepacia complex prior to transplant in the United States compared to Canada (0.8% vs 4.3%). Lung function was similar between recipients from the two countries. The proportion of patients classified as underweight was significantly higher in the United States compared to Canada (39.8% vs 28.0%; SD 26.1) despite higher rates of feeding tube use (42.5% vs 28.6%; SD 29.0). CONCLUSIONS: CF lung transplant recipients from the United States have similar lung function, lower rates of B. cepacia complex, and worse nutritional parameters prior to transplant compared to counterparts in Canada. Future studies are necessary to evaluate the impact of these differences on post-transplant survival.

Survival Comparison of Patients With Cystic Fibrosis in Canada and the United States: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: In 2011, the median age of survival of patients with cystic fibrosis reported in the United States was 36.8 years, compared with 48.5 years in Canada. Direct comparison of survival estimates between national registries is challenging because of inherent differences in methodologies used, data processing techniques, and ascertainment bias. OBJECTIVE: To use a standardized approach to calculate cystic fibrosis survival estimates and to explore differences between Canada and the United States. DESIGN: Population-based study. SETTING: 42 Canadian cystic fibrosis clinics and 110 U.S. cystic fibrosis care centers. PATIENTS: Patients followed in the Canadian Cystic Fibrosis Registry (CCFR) and U.S. Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry (CFFPR) between 1990 and 2013. MEASUREMENTS: Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare survival between patients followed in the CCFR (n = 5941) and those in the CFFPR (n = 45 448). Multivariable models were used to adjust for factors known to be associated with survival. RESULTS: Median age of survival in patients with cystic fibrosis increased in both countries between 1990 and 2013; however, in 1995 and 2005, survival in Canada increased at a faster rate than in the United States (P < 0.001). On the basis of contemporary data from 2009 to 2013, the median age of survival in Canada was 10 years greater than in the United States (50.9 vs. 40.6 years, respectively). The adjusted risk for death was 34% lower in Canada than the United States (hazard ratio, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.54 to 0.81]). A greater proportion of patients in Canada received transplants (10.3% vs. 6.5%, respectively [standardized difference, 13.7]). Differences in survival between U.S. and Canadian patients varied according to U.S. patients' insurance status. LIMITATION: Ascertainment bias due to missing data or nonrandom loss to follow-up might affect the results. CONCLUSION: Differences in cystic fibrosis survival between Canada and the United States persisted after adjustment for risk factors associated with survival, except for private-insurance status among U.S. patients. Differential access to transplantation, increased posttransplant survival, and differences in health care systems may, in part, explain the Canadian survival advantage. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: U.S. Cystic Fibrosis Foundation.

Urinary DNA Methylation Biomarkers for Noninvasive Prediction of Aggressive Disease in Patients with Prostate Cancer on Active Surveillance.

PURPOSE: Patients with prostate cancer on active surveillance are monitored by repeat prostate specific antigen measurements, digital rectal examinations and prostate biopsies. A subset of patients on active surveillance will later reclassify with disease progression, prompting definitive treatment. To minimize the risk of under treating such patients on active surveillance minimally invasive tests are urgently needed incorporating biomarkers to identify patients who will reclassify. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We assessed post-digital rectal examination urine samples of patients on active surveillance for select DNA methylation biomarkers that were previously investigated in radical prostatectomy specimens and shown to correlate with an increasing risk of prostate cancer. Post-digital rectal examination urine samples were prospectively collected from 153 men on active surveillance who were diagnosed with Gleason score 6 disease. Urinary sediment DNA was analyzed for 8 DNA methylation biomarkers by multiplex MethyLight assay. Correlative analyses were performed on gene methylation and clinicopathological variables to test the ability to predict patient risk reclassification. RESULTS: Using backward logistic regression a 4-gene methylation classifier panel (APC, CRIP3, GSTP1 and HOXD8) was identified. The classifier panel was able to predict patient reclassification (OR 2.559, 95% CI 1.257-5.212). We observed this panel to be an independent and superior predictor compared to current clinical predictors such as prostate specific antigen at diagnosis or the percent of tumor positive cores in the initial biopsy. CONCLUSION: We report that a urine based classifier panel of 4 methylation biomarkers predicts disease progression in patients on active surveillance. Once validated in independent active surveillance cohorts, these promising biomarkers may help establish a less invasive method to monitor patients on active surveillance programs.

A clinical tool to calculate post-transplant survival using pre-transplant clinical characteristics in adults with cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: We previously identified factors associated with a greater risk of death post-transplant. The purpose of this study was to develop a clinical tool to estimate the risk of death after transplant based on pre-transplant variables. METHODS: We utilized the Canadian CF registry to develop a nomogram that incorporates pre-transplant clinical measures to assess post-lung transplant survival. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival estimates were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Between 1988 and 2012, 539 adult Canadians with CF received a lung transplant with 208 deaths in the study period. Four pre-transplant factors most predictive of poor post-transplant survival were older age at transplantation, infection with B. cepacia complex, low FEV1 percent predicted, and pancreatic sufficiency. A nonlinear relationship was found between risk of death and FEV1 percent predicted, age at transplant, and BMI. We constructed a risk calculator based on our model to estimate the 1-, 3-, and 5-year probability of survival after transplant which is available online. CONCLUSIONS: Our risk calculator quantifies the risk of death associated with lung transplant using pre-transplant factors. This tool could aid clinicians and patients in the decision-making process and provide information regarding the timing of lung transplantation.

Retrospective assessment of patterns of recurrence relative to radiotherapy volumes for adjuvant conformal chemoradiotherapy in gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Since the Intergroup 0116 study was published in 2000, adjuvant postoperative chemoradiotherapy using CT-planned and 3D conformal/intensity-modulated radiotherapy has been offered routinely to fit patients with resected gastric cancer at Princess Margaret Hospital .The objective of this study was to analyze patterns of disease recurrence with respect to the radiotherapy volumes. METHODS: For the date and site (local, locoregional, or distant) of the first recurrence, medical records were reviewed for all patients treated at Princess Margaret Hospital with adjuvant chemoradiotherapy for resected gastric adenocarcinoma (January 1, 2000 to November 30, 2009). Patients whose recurrences were limited to local and/or regional sites were selected for further analysis. Available diagnostic imaging of the recurrence site was registered to the original planning radiotherapy dataset for contouring. If necessary to respect changes in anatomy, the contour was translocated on the basis of anatomic descriptors. The center of mass for each recurrence was identified as a point and its location was categorized according to the isodose encompassing it; in field (90 % or more), marginal (50-89 %), or out of field (less than 50 %). RESULTS: Of all 197 patients, 14 (7 %) had isolated locoregional failure, constituting 20 % of all 71 patients with a recurrence. Successful fusions were feasible in five cases. Of these recurrences, four were in field and one was marginal. In a further four cases, visual inspection was used, showing one in-field recurrence, one marginal recurrence, and two out-of-field recurrences. In five patients, either a useable original dataset or diagnostic imaging of the recurrence was not available. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of isolated local/locoregional tumor recurrence in this study were low. Of the small number of recurrences available for analysis, most (five of nine) were in field. Further studies involving a larger cohort of patients might allow a more meaningful analysis of trends in the recurrence site with evolving radiotherapy techniques.

Not all gleason pattern 4 prostate cancers are created equal: A study of latent prostatic carcinomas in a cystoprostatectomy and autopsy series.

BACKGROUND: The Gleason grading system represents the cornerstone of the management of prostate cancer. Gleason grade 4 (G4) is a heterogeneous set of architectural patterns, each of which may reflect a distinct prognostic value. METHODS: We determined the prevalence of the various G4 architectural patterns and intraductal carcinoma (IDC) in latent prostate cancer in contemporary Russian (n = 220) and Japanese (n = 100) autopsy prostates and in cystoprostatectomy (CP) specimens (n = 248) collected in Italy. We studied the association of each G4 pattern with extraprostatic extension (EPE) and tumor volume to gain insight into their natural history. Presence of IDC and nine architectural features of Gleason grade 4 and 5 cancer were recorded. RESULTS: The prevalence of Gleason score ≥ 7 PC was higher in the autopsy series (11%) compared to the CP series (6.5%, P = 0.04). The prevalence of IDC and carcinoma with a cribriform architecture was 2.2% and 3.4% in the autopsy series and 0.8% and 3.6% in the cystoprostatectomy series, respectively. In multivariable analysis, cribriform architecture was significantly associated with increased tumor volume (P < 0.001) and EPE (OR:11.48, 95%CI:2.30-57.16, P = 0.003). IDC was also significantly associated with EPE (OR:10.08, 95%CI:1.58-64.28, P = 0.014). Small fused glands had a strong negative association with EPE in the autopsy series (OR:0.06, 95%CI:0.01-0.58, P = 0.015). DISCUSSION: Our study revealed that in latent prostate cancer both cribriform architecture and IDC are uniquely associated with poor pathological outcome features. In contrast, Gleason score 7 (3 + 4) cancers with small-fused gland pattern might possibly include some prostate cancers with a more indolent biology.

Tumour genomic and microenvironmental heterogeneity for integrated prediction of 5-year biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical prognostic groupings for localised prostate cancers are imprecise, with 30-50% of patients recurring after image-guided radiotherapy or radical prostatectomy. We aimed to test combined genomic and microenvironmental indices in prostate cancer to improve risk stratification and complement clinical prognostic factors. METHODS: We used DNA-based indices alone or in combination with intra-prostatic hypoxia measurements to develop four prognostic indices in 126 low-risk to intermediate-risk patients (Toronto cohort) who will receive image-guided radiotherapy. We validated these indices in two independent cohorts of 154 (Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center cohort [MSKCC] cohort) and 117 (Cambridge cohort) radical prostatectomy specimens from low-risk to high-risk patients. We applied unsupervised and supervised machine learning techniques to the copy-number profiles of 126 pre-image-guided radiotherapy diagnostic biopsies to develop prognostic signatures. Our primary endpoint was the development of a set of prognostic measures capable of stratifying patients for risk of biochemical relapse 5 years after primary treatment. FINDINGS: Biochemical relapse was associated with indices of tumour hypoxia, genomic instability, and genomic subtypes based on multivariate analyses. We identified four genomic subtypes for prostate cancer, which had different 5-year biochemical relapse-free survival. Genomic instability is prognostic for relapse in both image-guided radiotherapy (multivariate analysis hazard ratio [HR] 4·5 [95% CI 2·1-9·8]; p=0·00013; area under the receiver operator curve [AUC] 0·70 [95% CI 0·65-0·76]) and radical prostatectomy (4·0 [1·6-9·7]; p=0·0024; AUC 0·57 [0·52-0·61]) patients with prostate cancer, and its effect is magnified by intratumoral hypoxia (3·8 [1·2-12]; p=0·019; AUC 0·67 [0·61-0·73]). A novel 100-loci DNA signature accurately classified treatment outcome in the MSKCC low-risk to intermediate-risk cohort (multivariate analysis HR 6·1 [95% CI 2·0-19]; p=0·0015; AUC 0·74 [95% CI 0·65-0·83]). In the independent MSKCC and Cambridge cohorts, this signature identified low-risk to high-risk patients who were most likely to fail treatment within 18 months (combined cohorts multivariate analysis HR 2·9 [95% CI 1·4-6·0]; p=0·0039; AUC 0·68 [95% CI 0·63-0·73]), and was better at predicting biochemical relapse than 23 previously published RNA signatures. INTERPRETATION: This is the first study of cancer outcome to integrate DNA-based and microenvironment-based failure indices to predict patient outcome. Patients exhibiting these aggressive features after biopsy should be entered into treatment intensification trials. FUNDING: Movember Foundation, Prostate Cancer Canada, Ontario Institute for Cancer Research, Canadian Institute for Health Research, NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre, The University of Cambridge, Cancer Research UK, Cambridge Cancer Charity, Prostate Cancer UK, Hutchison Whampoa Limited, Terry Fox Research Institute, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre Foundation, PMH-Radiation Medicine Program Academic Enrichment Fund, Motorcycle Ride for Dad (Durham), Canadian Cancer Society.

HPV-associated lung cancers: an international pooled analysis.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is the etiologic risk factor for cervical cancer. Some studies have suggested an association with a subset of lung tumors, but the etiologic link has not been firmly established. We performed an international pooled analysis of cross-sectional studies (27 datasets, n = 3249 patients) to evaluate HPV DNA prevalence in lung cancer and to investigate viral presence according to clinical and demographic characteristics. HPV16/18 were the most commonly detected, but with substantial variation in viral prevalence between geographic regions. The highest prevalence of HPV16/18 was observed in South and Central America, followed by Asia, North America and Europe (adjusted prevalence rates = 22, 5, 4 and 3%, respectively). Higher HPV16 prevalence was noted in each geographic region compared with HPV18, except in North America. HPV16/18-positive lung cancer was less likely observed among White race (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 0.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.12-0.90), whereas no associations were observed with gender, smoking history, age, histology or stage. Comparisons between tumor and normal lung tissue show that HPV was more likely to be present in lung cancer rather than normal lung tissues (OR = 3.86, 95% CI = 2.87-5.19). Among a subset of patients with HPV16-positive tumors, integration was primarily among female patients (93%, 13/14), while the physical status in male cases (N = 14) was inconsistent. Our findings confirm that HPV DNA is present in a small fraction of lung tumors, with large geographic variations. Further comprehensive analysis is needed to assess whether this association reflects a causal relationship.