A total weight loss of 25% shows better predictivity in evaluating the efficiency of bariatric surgery.

OBJECTIVES: The need for a unified definition of weight loss (WL) after bariatric surgery has recently been highlighted. We aimed to evaluate the reliability of two clinically common WL indications including percentage of total WL (%TWL) and percentage of excess WL (%EWL) through comparing their performances in predicting metabolic syndrome (MetS) remission 1 year after bariatric surgery. METHODS: A total of 430 individuals with obesity who underwent bariatric surgery were enrolled. Participants were evaluated for changes in anthropometric parameters, metabolic indexes, MetS components and medications before and 1 year after surgery. MetS was defined using the criteria of the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria for Asian-Americans. RESULTS: The prevalence of MetS is 92.3% (397) at baseline. One year after bariatric surgery, 337 individuals (84.9%) were in MetS remission. The multivariate adjusted ORs were 1.16 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.22) for each 1% increase in %TWL for MetS remission and 1.18 (95% CI 1.11-1.25) for each 5% increase in %EWL. This association with MetS remission remained statistically significant for %TWL after additional adjustment for %EWL (P for trend 0.029), and disappeared for %EWL. Receiver operating curve (ROC) analyses showed that the %TWL was more predictive than the %EWL (AUC%TWL vs. AUC%EWL, 0.749 vs. 0.700, p = 0.023). The Youden index indicated that the optimal %TWL cutoff point to identify MetS remission was 25%. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend that good responders to bariatric surgery should be defined as those exhibiting %TWL ≥ 25%.

Metabolomics Study of Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass Surgery (RYGB) to Treat Type 2 Diabetes Patients Based on Ultraperformance Liquid Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry.

Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) is one of the most effective treatments for long-term weight loss and diabetes remission; however, the mechanisms underlying these changes are not clearly understood. In this study, the serum metabolic profiles of 23 remission and 12 nonremission patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) were measured at baseline, 6- and 12-months after RYGB. A metabolomics analysis was performed based on ultra-performance liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. Clinical improvements in insulin sensitivity, energy metabolism, and inflammation were related to metabolic alterations of free fatty acids (FFAs), acylcarnitines, amino acids, bile acids, and lipids species. Differential metabolic profiles were observed between the two T2DM subgroups, and patients with severity fat accumulation and oxidation stress may be more suitable for RYGB. Baseline levels of tryptophan, bilirubin, and indoxyl sulfate measured prior to surgery as well as levels of FFA 16:0, FFA 18:3, FFA 17:2, and hippuric acid measured at 6 months after surgery best predicted the suitability and efficacy of RYGB for patients with T2DM. These metabolites represent potential biomarkers that may be clinically helpful in individualized treatment for T2DM patients by RYGB.

The coexistence of carotid and lower extremity atherosclerosis further increases cardio-cerebrovascular risk in type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Both carotid and lower limb atherosclerosis are associated with increased cardiovascular and cerebrovascular risks. However, it is still unclear whether the concomitant presence of carotid and lower extremity atherosclerosis further increases the cardiovascular and cerebrovascular risks. Therefore, our aim is to investigate whether the coexistence of carotid and lower extremity atherosclerosis was associated with higher cardiovascular and cerebrovascular risks in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: This cross-sectional study was performed in 2830 hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes. Based on carotid and lower limb Doppler ultrasound results, the patients were divided into three groups including 711 subjects without atherosclerosis, 999 subjects with either carotid or lower limb atherosclerosis, and 1120 subjects with both carotid and lower limb atherosclerosis. And we compared the clinical characteristics and prevalence of both cardio-cerebrovascular events (CCBVEs) and self-reported cardio- cerebrovascular diseases (CCBVDs) among the three groups. RESULTS: After adjusting for age, sex, and duration of diabetes, there were significant increases in the prevalence of both CCBVEs (3.8 vs. 11.8 vs. 26.4 %, p < 0.001 for trend) and self-reported CCBVDs (6.9 vs. 19.9 vs. 36.5 %, p < 0.001 for trend) across the three groups (diabetics without atherosclerosis, diabetics with either carotid or lower limb atherosclerosis, and diabetics with both carotid and lower extremity atherosclerosis). A fully adjusted logistic regression analysis also revealed that compared with those without atherosclerosis, those with either carotid or lower limb atherosclerosis had higher risk of CCBVEs (OR 1.724, 95 % CI 1.001-2.966) and self-reported CCBVDs (OR 1.705, 95 % CI 1.115-2.605), and those with concomitant presence of carotid and lower extremity atherosclerosis had the highest risk of CCBVEs (OR 2.869, 95 % CI 1.660-4.960) and self-reported CCBVDs (2.147, 95 % CI 1.388-3.320)(p < 0.001 for trend in CCBVEs and p = 0.002 for trend in CCBVDs, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Either carotid or lower limb atherosclerosis was obviously related to increased cardio-cerebrovascular risk in type 2 diabetes. The concomitant presence of carotid and lower extremity atherosclerosis further increased cardio-cerebrovascular risk in patients with type 2 diabetes. The combined application of carotid and lower extremity ultrasonography may help identify type 2 diabetics with higher cardio-cerebrovascular risk.

Baseline of visceral fat area and decreased body weight correlate with improved pulmonary function after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass in Chinese obese patients with BMI 28-35 kg/m² and type 2 diabetes: a 6-month follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Associations between demographic data and pulmonary function have not been adequately examined in patients that underwent Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass (RYGB). This study was designed to examine changes in body fat distribution and metabolic parameters after RYGB and whether these changes correlated with improved lung function. METHODS: A retrospective review of 32 ethnic Chinese with obesity with body mass index (BMI) 28-35 kg/m(2) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) was conducted, focusing on metabolic outcomes and pulmonary function 6 months after RYGB. RESULTS: Forced expiratory volume during first second (FEV1), percentage of forced expiratory volume during first second (FEV1 [%pred]), forced vital capacity (FVC), and percentage of forced vital capacity (FVC [%pred]) all improved significantly after RYGB. These increases all were negatively correlated with decreases in body weight and visceral fat area (VFA). The improvements of FEV1, FEV1 [%pred] and FVC were also negatively correlated with baseline of body weight and VFA. Furthermore, increases in FEV1 and FVC were independently associated with baseline of VFA (ß = -0.003, P = 0.000; ß = -0.004, P = 0.002, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The baseline of VFA and weight loss induced by RYGB independently correlated with improved pulmonary function in Chinese patients.

Nomogram for Predicting Remission of Metabolic Syndrome 1 Year after Sleeve Gastrectomy Surgery in Chinese Patients with Obesity.

PURPOSE: Sleeve gastrectomy (SG) is a widely used and effective treatment for patients with obesity and comorbid metabolic abnormalities. No specialized tool is available to predict metabolic syndrome (MS) remission after SG. We presented a nomogram that evaluated the probability of MS remission in obese patients 1 year after SG. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with preoperative MS who underwent SG were enrolled in this retrospective study. They were divided into a training set and a validation set. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of MS remission, and these predictors were included in the nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate discrimination. Calibration was performed with the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. The net benefits of the nomogram were evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Three hundred and eighteen patients with a median age of 34.0 years were analyzed. A training set and a validation set with 159 individuals each were established. A combination of age, preoperative high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, elevated triglycerides and glycated hemoglobin level independently and accurately predicted MS remission. The nomogram included these factors. The discriminative ability was moderate in training and validation sets (Area under curve 0.800 and 0.727, respectively). The Hosmer-Lemeshow X2 value of the nomogram was 8.477 (P = 0.388) for the training set and 5.361 (P = 0.718) for the validation set, indicating good calibration. DCA showed the nomogram had clinical benefits in both datasets. CONCLUSION: Our nomogram could accurately predict MS remission in Chinese patients with obesity 1 year after SG.

The impact of metabolic surgery on natural conception rates in women with infertility, obesity and polycystic ovary syndrome: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Women with obesity and polycystic ovary syndrome (OPOS) are at high risk for infertility. However, the reproductive effects of metabolic surgery on women with infertility and OPOS have not been fully elucidated. OBJECTIVES: We investigated the natural conception rates after metabolic surgery, and the variables associated with infertility in women with OPOS. SETTING: Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai, China. METHODS: This study included 72 women with infertility and OPOS who underwent metabolic surgery and were followed up for 4 years after surgery. Finally, 54 patients completed the study. Reproductive outcomes were assessed, along with changes in anthropometric parameters and metabolic indices before and 1 year after surgery (prepregnancy). Logistic regression analysis was used to identify variables influencing natural conception and delivery outcomes. RESULTS: After metabolic surgery, 35 patients (64.8%) became pregnant naturally, while 16 were still unable to conceive naturally. Preoperative body mass index (BMI) tended to be lower in the natural conception group than in the no natural conception group (38.9 ± 6.9 versus 43.6 ± 11.0 kg/m2, P = .070) and there were no significant differences in weight loss between the 2 groups after surgery. Logistic regression analysis showed that the BMI 1 year after surgery (prepregnancy) was an independent predictor of natural conception, and receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that a BMI of 27.0 kg/m2 was the optimal cutoff for predicting successful natural conception after surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Metabolic surgery can improve fertility in women with OPOS. Patients with a BMI < 27.0 kg/m2 1 year after surgery (prepregnancy) are more likely to become pregnant naturally and give birth.

Associations of change in body fat percentage with baseline body composition and diabetes remission after bariatric surgery.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine the role of body fat percentage (BFP) changes in diabetes remission (DR) and the association between baseline body composition and its changes after bariatric surgery. METHODS: We analyzed 203 patients with type 2 diabetes who underwent Roux-en-Y gastric bypass. Body composition was measured using a gold-standard-derived predictive equation and magnetic resonance imaging. Body composition changes were calculated as 100 × (baseline value - follow-up value)/baseline value. We verified the results in a laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy cohort with 311 patients. RESULTS: Compared with non-remission patients in the Roux-en-Y gastric bypass cohort, those who achieved DR showed a higher baseline fat-free mass index (FFMI) and experienced the most significant changes in BFP (p < 0.001). In comparative analyses, BFP changes were significantly better than BMI changes in identifying short- and long-term DR. Linear regression analysis identified FFMI as the most significant baseline variable correlated with BFP changes (p < 0.001). Baseline BMI was positively correlated with changes in BFP but negatively correlated with changes in FFMI. These findings were replicated in the laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy cohort. CONCLUSIONS: BFP changes determine DR after bariatric surgery, and baseline FFMI is crucial for BFP changes. A low initial BMI is associated with a smaller BFP reduction and greater FFMI loss after bariatric surgery.

Low-grade albuminuria is associated with early but not late carotid atherosclerotic lesions in community-based patients with type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Low-grade albuminuria is associated with cardiovascular risk factors and mortality. Our aim was to investigate the association between low-grade albuminuria and carotid atherosclerotic lesions in community-based patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was performed in 475 community-based patients with type 2 diabetes (190 males and 285 females) with normal urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratios (UACR) (< 3.5 mg/mmol) from Shanghai, China. The subjects were stratified into tertiles based on UACR levels (the lowest tertile was UACR ≤ 1.19 mg/mmol, and the highest tertile was UACR ≥ 2 mg/mmol). Carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), carotid atherosclerotic plaque formation and stenosis were assessed and compared among the three groups based on ultrasonography. The urinary albumin excretion rate was determined as the mean of the values obtained from three separate early morning urine samples. RESULTS: Compared with the subjects with UACR in the lowest tertile, the subjects with UACR in the middle and highest tertiles had greater CIMT values (0.88 ± 0.35 mm, 0.99 ± 0.43 mm and 1.04 ± 0.35 mm, respectively; all p < 0.05) and a higher prevalence of carotid atherosclerotic plaques (25.3%, 39.0% and 46.2%, respectively; all p < 0.05) after adjusting for sex and age. Fully adjusted multiple linear regression and logistic regression analyses revealed that UACR tertiles were significantly associated with elevated CIMT (p = 0.007) and that, compared with the subjects in the first tertile of UACR, those in the second and third tertiles had 1.878- and 2.028-fold risk of carotid plaques, respectively. However, there was no statistical association between UACR tertile and the prevalence of carotid stenosis. CONCLUSIONS: Higher UACR within the normal range was independently associated with early but not late carotid atherosclerotic lesions in community-based patients with type 2 diabetes. Low-grade albuminuria contributes to the risk of carotid atherosclerosis and may be used as an early marker for the detection of atherosclerosis in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Prevalence and clinical characteristics of carotid atherosclerosis in newly diagnosed patients with ketosis-onset diabetes: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: The features of carotid atherosclerosis in ketosis-onset diabetes have not been investigated. Our aim was to evaluate the prevalence and clinical characteristics of carotid atherosclerosis in newly diagnosed Chinese diabetic patients with ketosis but without islet-associated autoantibodies. METHODS: In total, 423 newly diagnosed Chinese patients with diabetes including 208 ketosis-onset diabetics without islet-associated autoantibodies, 215 non-ketotic type 2 diabetics and 79 control subjects without diabetes were studied. Carotid atherosclerosis was defined as the presence of atherosclerotic plaques in any of the carotid vessel segments. Carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), carotid atherosclerotic plaque formation and stenosis were assessed and compared among the three groups based on Doppler ultrasound examination. The clinical features of carotid atherosclerotic lesions were analysed, and the risk factors associated with carotid atherosclerosis were evaluated using binary logistic regression in patients with diabetes. RESULTS: The prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis was significantly higher in the ketosis-onset diabetic group (30.80%) than in the control group (15.2%, p=0.020) after adjusting for age- and sex-related differences, but no significant difference was observed in comparison to the non-ketotic diabetic group (35.8%, p=0.487). The mean CIMT of the ketosis-onset diabetics (0.70±0.20 mm) was markedly higher than that of the control subjects (0.57±0.08 mm, p<0.001), but no significant difference was found compared with the non-ketotic type 2 diabetics (0.73±0.19 mm, p=0.582) after controlling for differences in age and sex. In both the ketosis-onset and the non-ketotic diabetes, the prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis was markedly increased with age (both p<0.001) after controlling for sex, but no sex difference was observed (p=0.479 and p=0.707, respectively) after controlling for age. In the ketosis-onset diabetics, the presence of carotid atherosclerosis was significantly associated with age, hypertension, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and mean CIMT. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence and risk of carotid atherosclerosis were significantly higher in the ketosis-onset diabetics than in the control subjects but similar to that in the non-ketotic type 2 diabetics. The characteristics of carotid atherosclerotic lesions in the ketosis-onset diabetics resembled those in the non-ketotic type 2 diabetics. Our findings support the classification of ketosis-onset diabetes as a subtype of type 2 diabetes.

[Detection rates of atherosclerosis by carotid versus lower limb ultrasonography in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetics].

OBJECTIVE: To compare the detection rates of atherosclerosis by carotid versus lower limb ultrasound in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetics and analyze the relationship between atherosclerosis and cardio-cerebrovascular events. METHODS: A total of 148 newly diagnosed type 2 diabetics were recruited. Both carotid and lower extremity atherosclerosis were assessed by Doppler ultrasound. Diabetic atherosclerosis was defined as the presence of either carotid or lower extremity plaques in any of the above-mentioned arterial segments. A kappa value was computed to document the agreement between isolated carotid (or lower limb) atherosclerosis and diabetic atherosclerosis. The prevalence of cardio-cerebrovascular events was compared among different distribution types of atherosclerosis. RESULTS: According to the diagnostic criteria, the prevalence of diabetic atherosclerosis was 66.2% in the newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes. Based on carotid or lower extremity ultrasound, the prevalence of diabetic atherosclerosis was 27.0% and 62.2% respectively in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes. The kappa values for the agreement between carotid/lower limb atherosclerosis and diabetic atherosclerosis were 0.32/0.91 (95% confidence interval 0.22-0.42 for carotid vs 0.84-0.98 for lower extremity). The combination of carotid and lower extremity arterial atherosclerosis was associated with a significantly increased detection rate of cardio-cerebrovascular events (26.5%) versus those with either carotid or lower extremity arterial atherosclerosis (0% and 10.3% respectively). CONCLUSION: The combination of carotid and lower extremity ultrasonography can more accurately reflect the atherosclerotic lesions in type 2 diabetes. Due to a higher prevalence of cardio-cerebrovascular events, type 2 diabetics with both carotid and lower extremity atherosclerosis should be managed more aggressively to reduce the risk of cardio-cerebrovascular events.

Machine Learning Prediction of Iron Deficiency Anemia in Chinese Premenopausal Women 12 Months after Sleeve Gastrectomy.

Premenopausal women, who account for more than half of patients for bariatric surgery, are at higher risk of developing postoperative iron deficiency anemia (IDA) than postmenopausal women and men. We aimed at establishing a machine learning model to evaluate the risk of newly onset IDA in premenopausal women 12 months after sleeve gastrectomy (SG). Premenopausal women with complete clinical records and undergoing SG were enrolled in this retrospective study. Newly onset IDA after surgery, the main outcome, was defined according to the age- and gender-specific World Health Organization criteria. A linear support vector machine model was developed to predict the risk of IDA after SG with the top five important features identified during feature selection. Four hundred and seven subjects aged 31.0 (Interquartile range (IQR): 26.0-36.0) years with a median follow-up period of 12 (IQR 7-13) months were analyzed. They were divided into a training set and a validation set with 285 and 122 individuals, respectively. Preoperative ferritin, age, hemoglobin, creatinine, and fasting C-peptide were included. The model showed moderate discrimination in both sets (area under curve 0.858 and 0.799, respectively, p < 0.001). The calibration curve indicated acceptable consistency between observed and predicted results in both sets. Moreover, decision curve analysis showed substantial clinical benefits of the model in both sets. Our machine learning model could accurately predict newly onset IDA in Chinese premenopausal women with obesity 12 months after SG. External validation was required before the model was used in clinical practice.

Effect of regional body composition changes on bone density remodeling after sleeve gastrectomy.

Background: Sleeve gastrectomy (SG) results in bone mineral density (BMD) loss and varying body composition parameters. However, the effects of body compositions on bone health are controversial. In order to accurately demonstrate their relationship and provide new insights into the causes of BMD loss after sleeve gastrectomy, this study is aimed to investigate the role of changes in body composition in BMD loss 12 months after SG. Methods: 41 Chinese individuals with obesity (25 women and 16 men) who underwent SG were prospectively examined for at least 12 months. Measurements of anthropometrics, body composition, BMD and blood samples were collected. Results: For 12 months, the femoral neck (FN) BMD and total hip (TH) BMD decreased significantly compared with baseline in both sexes but not lumbar spine (LS) BMD. Greater TH BMD loss was observed in men than in women. For the first 6 months post-SG, the FN BMD loss was positively associated with the estimated fat free mass index (eFFMI) reduction in women (adjusted ß = 0.77, P = 0.004) and positively associated with reduction of subcutaneous fat area (SFA) in men (r = 0.931, P = 0.007). For 12 months post-SG, the FN BMD loss was negatively associated with visceral fat area (VFA) reduction in women (adjusted ß = -0.58, P = 0.027) and men (adjusted ß = -0.68, P = 0.032). TH BMD loss was positively associated with waist circumference reduction in women (r = 0.448, P = 0.028). Conclusion: FN and TH BMD decrease after SG in both women and men. The changes in body compositions are associated with BMD loss at different time points and bone sites. Our data emphasize the limitation of simply taking the total weight loss (% TWL) as an influencing factor of bone mineral density and the necessity of delineating body composition in relevant studies.

Obesity-Induced Hepatic Steatosis Is Partly Mediated by Visceral Fat Accumulation in Subjects with Overweight/Obesity: A Cross-Sectional Study.

INTRODUCTION: We explored whether visceral fat accumulation mediates the development of hepatic steatosis in individuals living with overweight and obesity. METHODS: This cross-sectional study enrolled 769 outpatients with overweight and obesity aged 18-65 years. The controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) was used to quantify the degree of hepatic steatosis. Visceral fat accumulation, represented by the visceral fat area (VFA), was measured using magnetic resonance imaging. The associations of body mass index (BMI), VFA, and CAP with each other were assessed by univariate analysis, multivariate linear regression, and mediation analysis, respectively. RESULTS: Compared with women, male subjects had higher BMI, VFA, and CAP levels. In both sex, CAP was positively correlated with BMI and VFA by the univariate analysis. After adjusting for demographic and serum characteristics, the linear correlation coefficients between BMI and CAP were 1.738 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.100, 2.377), 1.524 (95% CI: 0.798, 2.249), and 2.650 (95% CI: 1.292, 4.009) in all subjects, females, and males, respectively, while those between VFA and CAP were 0.190 (95% CI: 0.133, 0.247), 0.184 (95% CI: 0.117, 0.252), and 0.194 (95% CI: 0.086, 0.301). Mediation analysis showed that visceral fat accumulation contributed to 51.37%, 53.85%, and 26.51% of obesity-induced hepatic steatosis in the total, female, and male subjects, respectively. CONCLUSION: Visceral fat accumulation partially mediates obesity-induced hepatic steatosis in individuals with overweight and obesity, especially in women. More focus on visceral fat reduction is needed in individuals with obesity.

Percentage of maximum weight lost as an optimal parameter of weight regain after bariatric surgery in Chinese patients with diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study was to compare measures of weight regain (WR) and their association with the glucose metabolism deterioration within 3 years following bariatric surgery among Chinese patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: Among a retrospective cohort of 249 patients with obesity and T2DM who underwent bariatric surgery and were followed up to 3 years, WR was assessed by weight changes, BMI changes, percentage of presurgery weight, percentage of nadir weight, and percentage of maximum weight lost (%MWL). Glucose metabolism deterioration was defined as a change from an absence of antidiabetic medication use to use, or absence of insulin use to use, or an increase in glycated hemoglobin by at least 0.5% to 5.7% or greater. RESULTS: A comparison of C-index of glucose metabolism deterioration indicated %MWL had better discriminatory ability versus weight change, BMI change, percentage of presurgery weight, or percentage of nadir weight (all p < 0.01). The %MWL also had the highest prediction accuracy. The optimal %MWL cutoff point was 20%. CONCLUSIONS: Among Chinese patients with obesity and T2DM who underwent bariatric surgery, WR quantified as %MWL predicted 3-year postoperative glucose metabolism deterioration better than the alternatives; 20% MWL was the optimal cutoff point.

Nomogram for Predicting 5-Year Diabetes Remission After Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass Surgery in Chinese Patients with Obesity.

PURPOSE: Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) is widely used as an effective treatment for type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients with obesity; long-term (> 5 years) diabetes remission (DR) rates have been less frequently reported. To date, there is no validated model to guide procedure selection based on long-term glucose control in patients with T2D. The purpose of this study is to establish a new tool for predicting long-term DR with a nomogram. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One hundred five individuals with complete preoperative information and undergoing RYGB in a university hospital were enrolled in this retrospective study. DR criteria after bariatric surgery were defined according to the 2009 ADA guideline. Fifteen individuals were lost to 5-year follow-up. Thus, 90 individuals were available and seen at the end of follow-up. The baseline and 5-year data of these 90 individuals were analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors for long-term DR, and these predictors were used to create a nomogram. RESULTS: Preoperative glycated hemoglobin (A1C) and diabetes duration were identified as independent influential factors that could be combined for precise prediction of long-term complete DR. We created a nomogram by using these 2 factors. The area under the curve was 0.78 (95% confidence interval 0.67-0.89). The Hosmer-Lemeshow X2 value of nomogram was 3.86 (P = 0.87) and indicated consistency between predicted and observed remission. CONCLUSION: Our nomogram was a novel and useful tool for accurate prediction of long-term DR after RYGB.

Contribution of glycemic variability to hypoglycemia, and a new marker for diabetes remission after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes remission after bariatric surgery was reported to be characterized by increased risk of hypoglycemia. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to examine the contribution of glycemic variability (GV) to the risk of hypoglycemia, and the suitability of time in range (TIR), an emerging glycemic marker, to define diabetes remission after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB). SETTING: A single referral center in China. METHODS: This retrospective study included 175 individuals with type 2 diabetes and obesity who underwent RYGB. Subjects were classified as remission/nonremission according to the current standard. Each participant underwent continuous glucose monitoring both before and 1 year after RYGB. GV was measured by glucose coefficient of variation (CV), and hypoglycemia was assessed by time below range (TBR). RESULTS: Complete remission was achieved in 88 of the 175 participants following RYGB. In the remission group, significant correlations between postoperative CV and TBRs (r = .353-.442, both P ≤ .001) were found. Excess hypoglycemia (TBR<54 , ≥1%, TBR<70, ≥4%) increased with ascending CV quintiles (both P for trend <.05) and was significantly more frequent in subjects with glucose CV >32.2% (both P <.05). Compared with glycated hemoglobin A1C, TIR showed stronger correlation with glucose CV and risk of hypoglycemia. CONCLUSION: Increased glycemic variability was linked to excess risk of hypoglycemia after RYGB. Furthermore, TIR may serve as a new metric, in addition to HbA1C, for defining diabetes remission.

A Reliable Estimate of Visceral Fat Area From Simple Anthropometric Measurements in Chinese Overweight and Obese Individuals.

Objective: Visceral obesity, reflected by the amount of visceral adipose tissue (VAT), is associated with multiple chronic diseases and metabolic disorders. The visceral fat area (VFA), measured by MRI, is the 'gold standard' for diagnosis of visceral obesity. In this study, a simple model to predict VFA was constructed to facilitate the identification and monitoring of patients who are at high risk of visceral obesity. Methods: The 721 overweight and obese participants were divided into two groups according to sex, then randomly assigned to derivation and validation cohorts in a 1:2 ratio. Data from the derivation group were used to construct a multiple linear regression model; data from the validation group were used to verify the validity of the model. Results: The following prediction equations, applicable to both sexes, were developed based on age, waist circumference (WC) and neck circumference (NC) that exhibited strong correlations with the VFA: VFA=3.7×age+2.4×WC+5.5×NC-443.6 (R2 = 0.511, adjusted R2 = 0.481, for men) and VFA=2.8×age+1.7×WC+6.5×NC-367.3 (R2 = 0.442, adjusted R2 = 0.433, for women). The data demonstrated good fit for both sexes. A comparison of the predicted and actual VFA in the verification group confirmed the accuracy of the equations: for men, R2 = 0.489, adjusted R2 = 0.484 and intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) = 0.653 (p < 0.001) and for women: R2 = 0.538, adjusted R2= 0.536 and ICC = 0.672 (p < 0.001). The actual and predicted VFAs also showed good agreement in a Bland-Altman plot, indicating the significant correlations of both equations with the actual VFA. Conclusions: Based on readily available anthropometric data, VFA prediction equations consisting of age, WC and NC were developed. The equations are robust, with good predictive power in both sexes; they provide ideal tools for the early detection of visceral obesity in Chinese overweight and obese individuals.

Simple surrogate equations to predict controlled attenuation parameter values for screening non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in a Chinese population.

Objective: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is one of the leading causes of chronic liver disease. The controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) obtained by FibroScan reflects the level of liver steatosis in patients with obesity. Our study aimed to construct a simple equation to predict the CAP, to facilitate the screening and monitoring of patients at high risk for NAFLD. Methods: A total of 272 subjects were randomly divided into derivation and validation cohorts at a ratio of 1:2. The derivation set was used for constructing a multiple linear regression model; the validation set was used to verify the validity of the model. Results: Several variables strongly correlated with the CAP were used to construct the following equation for predicting CAP values:CAP1 = 2.4 × BMI + 10.5 × TG+ 3.6 × NC + 10.3 × CP +31.0, where BMI is body mass index, TG is triglyceride, NC is neck circumference and CP is C-peptide. The CAP1 model had an R 2 of 0.764 and adjusted R 2 of 0.753. It was then simplified to derive CAP2 included only simple anthropometric parameters: CAP2 = 3.5 × BMI + 4.2 × NC + 20.3 (R 2 = 0.696, adjusted R 2 = 0.689). The data were well fitted by both models. In the verification group, the predicted (CAP1 and CAP2) values were compared to the actual CAP values. For the CAP1 equation, R 2 = 0.653, adjusted R 2 = 0.651. For the CAP2 equation, R 2 = 0.625, adjusted R 2 = 0.623. The intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) values were 0.781 for CAP1 and 0.716 for CAP2 (p < 0.001). The actual CAP and the predicted CAP also showed good agreement in Bland-Altman plot. Conclusion: The equations for predicting the CAP value comprise easily accessible variables, and showed good stability and predictive power. Thus, they can be used as simple surrogate tools for early screening and follow-up of NAFLD in the Chinese population.

Sex-specific differences in bone mineral density loss after sleeve gastrectomy.

Background: Sleeve gastrectomy is an effective bariatric procedure; however, sleeve gastrectomy-related adverse skeletal outcomes have been increasingly reported. High levels of sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) have been documented to be a risk factor of bone mineral density (BMD) loss with different effects observed between sexes. The aim of this study was to identify sex-specific changes in BMD following sleeve gastrectomy and to evaluate the role of SHBG in this process. Methods: This retrospective study included 19 middle-aged men and 30 non-menopausal women with obesity who underwent sleeve gastrectomy in China. Anthropometrics, bone turnover markers, calciotropic hormones, BMD, SHBG, and gonadal steroids were measured preoperatively and at 6 and 12 months postoperatively. Longitudinal changes in BMD, bone turnover markers and SHBG were compared between sexes by linear mixed models. Multiple stepwise regression analysis was used to identify the predictors of BMD loss at the investigated bone sites. Results: Over the 12-month study period, total hip and femoral neck BMD decreased, while lumbar spine BMD remained largely unchanged in both sexes. Linear mixed models revealed significant sex × time interaction effects in total hip BMD and SHBG, showing that men had a significantly greater reduction in total hip BMD and less increase in SHBG after sleeve gastrectomy than women. In the multivariate model, SHBG was significantly associated with total hip BMD loss in men (adjusted ß = -0.533, P = 0.019) but not women while total estrogen was significantly associated with total hip BMD loss in women (adjusted ß = 0.508, P = 0.01) but not men. Conclusion: Significant sex-specific BMD changes were observed after sleeve gastrectomy in the current study. Sleeve gastrectomy-related increase in SHBG may be a specific risk factor for total hip BMD loss in men. Our results indicate that sex-specific screening may be warranted to facilitate personalized postoperative bone care in this population.

Metabolic surgery in China: present and future.

Obesity and its related complications comprise a serious public health problem worldwide, and obesity is increasing in China. Metabolic surgery is a new type of treatment with unique advantages in weight loss and obesity-related metabolic complications. The pathogenesis of obesity is complex and not yet fully understood. Here, we review the current efficacy and safety of metabolic surgery, as well as recent progress in mechanistic studies and surgical procedures in China. The exciting and rapid advances in this field provide new opportunities for patients with obesity and strike a balance between long-term effectiveness and safety.