Waitlist Outcomes for Pediatric Heart Transplantation in the Current Era: An Analysis of the Pediatric Heart Transplant Society Database.

BACKGROUND: Waitlist mortality (WM) remains elevated in pediatric heart transplantation. Allocation policy is a potential tool to help improve WM. This study aims to identify patients at highest risk for WM to potentially inform future allocation policy changes. METHODS: The Pediatric Heart Transplant Society database was queried for patients <18 years of age indicated for heart transplantation between January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2021. Waitlist mortality was defined as death while awaiting transplant or removal from the waitlist due to clinical deterioration. Because WM is low after the first year, analysis was limited to the first 12 months on the heart transplant list. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank testing was conducted to compare unadjusted survival between groups. Cox proportional hazard models were created to determine risk factors for WM. Subgroup analysis was performed for status 1A patients based on body surface area (BSA) at time of listing, cardiac diagnosis, and presence of mechanical circulatory support. RESULTS: In total 5974 children met study criteria of which 3928 were status 1A, 1012 were status 1B, 963 were listed status 2, and 65 were listed status 7. Because of the significant burden of WM experienced by 1A patients, further analysis was performed in only patients indicated as 1A. Within that group of patients, those with smaller size and lower eGFR had higher WM, whereas those patients without congenital heart disease or support from a ventricular assist device (VAD) at time of listing had decreased WM. In the smallest size cohort, cardiac diagnoses other than dilated cardiomyopathy were risk factors for WM. Previous cardiac surgery was a risk factor in the 0.3 to 0.7 m2 and >0.7 m2 BSA groups. VAD support was associated with lower WM other than in the single ventricle cohort, where VAD was associated with higher WM. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation and mechanical ventilation were associated with increased risk of WM in all cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: There is significant variability in WM among status-1A patients. Potential refinements to current allocation system should factor in the increased WM risk we identified in patients supported by extracorporeal membrane oxygenation or mechanical ventilation, single ventricle congenital heart disease on VAD support and small children with congenital heart disease, restrictive cardiomyopathy, or hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

Quality measures in pre-liver transplant care by the Practice Metrics Committee of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.

The liver transplantation (LT) evaluation and waitlisting process is subject to variations in care that can impede quality. The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) Practice Metrics Committee (PMC) developed quality measures and patient-reported experience measures along the continuum of pre-LT care to reduce care variation and guide patient-centered care. Following a systematic literature review, candidate pre-LT measures were grouped into 4 phases of care: referral, evaluation and waitlisting, waitlist management, and organ acceptance. A modified Delphi panel with content expertise in hepatology, transplant surgery, psychiatry, transplant infectious disease, palliative care, and social work selected the final set. Candidate patient-reported experience measures spanned domains of cognitive health, emotional health, social well-being, and understanding the LT process. Of the 71 candidate measures, 41 were selected: 9 for referral; 20 for evaluation and waitlisting; 7 for waitlist management; and 5 for organ acceptance. A total of 14 were related to structure, 17 were process measures, and 10 were outcome measures that focused on elements not typically measured in routine care. Among the patient-reported experience measures, candidates of LT rated items from understanding the LT process domain as the most important. The proposed pre-LT measures provide a framework for quality improvement and care standardization among candidates of LT. Select measures apply to various stakeholders such as referring practitioners in the community and LT centers. Clinically meaningful measures that are distinct from those used for regulatory transplant reporting may facilitate local quality improvement initiatives to improve access and quality of care.

OPTN/SRTR 2022 Annual Data Report: Introduction.

The OPTN/SRTR 2022 Annual Data Report presents the status of the solid organ transplant system in the United States from 2011 through 2022. Organ-specific chapters are presented for kidney, pancreas, liver, intestine, heart, and lung transplant. Each organ-specific chapter is organized to present waitlist information, donor information (both deceased and living, as appropriate), transplant information, and patient outcomes. Data pertaining to pediatric patients are generally presented separately from the adult data. In addition to the organ-specific chapters, the reader will find chapters dedicated to deceased organ donation, vascularized composite allografts, and the COVID-19 pandemic. The data presented in the Annual Data Report are descriptive in nature. In other words, most tables and figures present raw data without statistical adjustment for possible confounding or changes over time. Therefore, the reader should keep in mind the observational nature of the data when attempting to draw inferences before trying to ascribe a cause to any observed patterns or trends. This introduction provides a brief overview of trends in waitlist and transplant activity from 2012 through 2022. More detailed descriptions can be found in the respective organ-specific chapters.

OPTN/SRTR 2022 Annual Data Report: Pancreas.

The postpandemic recovery did not occur in pancreas transplantation as in other organs. The number of pancreas transplants in the United States decreased to 918 in 2022 from 963 in 2021. The number of simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplants decreased to 810 in 2022 from 820 in 2021, but the largest decrease was in pancreas transplant alone: 62 in 2022 compared with 92 in 2021. Pancreas-after-kidney transplants decreased to 46 in 2022 from 51 in 2021. The trend of increasing proportions of pancreas transplants in patients with type 2 diabetes seen over the past few years ended in 2022; there were 22.4% of such transplants in 2022 compared with 25.8% in 2021. The proportion of recipients older than 45 years decreased in 2022 as well. However, the proportions of candidates with type 2 diabetes and older candidates on the waiting list did not decrease. The number of pancreas donors decreased and the pancreas nonuse rate increased in 2022. Outcomes after pancreas transplant continued to improve, with an impressive 8.1% pancreas and 4.3% kidney graft failure rate for simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplant at 1 year in 2022. The proportion of pancreas transplants performed by medium-volume centers (11-24 transplants/year) returned to 37.2% in 2022 from a high of 48.3% in 2021, whereas the proportion of those done by large-volume centers (25 or more transplants/year) returned to 25.3% in 2022 from a low of 15.9% in 2021.

OPTN/SRTR 2022 Annual Data Report: Heart.

The number of heart transplants in the United States has continued to increase. Since 2011, pediatric heart transplants have increased 31.7% to 494 and adult heart transplants have increased 85.8% to 3,668 in 2022. The numbers of new candidates for pediatric and adult heart transplants have also increased, with 703 new pediatric candidates and 4,446 new adult candidates in 2022. Adult heart transplant rates continue to rise, peaking at 122.5 transplants per 100 patient-years in 2022; however, the pediatric heart transplant rate decreased to its lowest rate in the past decade, 104.2 transplants per 100 patient-years, a decrease of 13.9% from 121 transplants per 100 patient-years in 2011. Despite this, pretransplant mortality among pediatric candidates has decreased by 52.2%, from 20.8 deaths per 100 patient-years in 2011 to 10.0 deaths per 100 patient-years in 2022, but remains excessive for candidates younger than 1 year at 25.7 deaths per 100 patient-years. Among adult candidates, pretransplant mortality declined from 15 deaths per 100 patient-years in 2011 to 8.7 deaths per 100 patient-years in 2022. Since 2011, posttransplant mortality has been stable to slightly better; among recipients who underwent transplant in 2015-2017, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year pediatric survival rates were 93.7%, 89.2%, and 85.0%, respectively, and the adult survival rates were 91.3%, 85.7%, and 80.4%. Donor trends have been favorable, with an increase in the numbers of hearts recovered and growing numbers of hearts procured after circulatory death.

OPTN/SRTR 2022 Annual Data Report: Lung.

For the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic, the annual number of lung transplants performed in the United States increased. The year 2022, encompassed in this report, marks the last full calendar year where the Lung Allocation Score was used for ranking transplant candidates based on their estimated transplant benefit and donor lung allocation in the United States. In March 2023, a major change in transplant allocation policy occurred with the implementation of the Composite Allocation Score. Transplant rates have increased over the past decade, although there is variability among age, diagnosis, racial and ethnic, and blood groups. Over half of candidates received a lung transplant within 3 months of placement on the waiting list, with nearly 75% of candidates accessing transplant by 1 year. Pretransplant mortality rates remained stable, with approximately 13% of lung transplant candidates dying or being removed from the waiting list within a year of listing. Posttransplant survival remained stable; however, variability exists by age, diagnosis, and racial and ethnic groups.

OPTN/SRTR 2022 Annual Data Report: Liver.

In 2022, liver transplant activity continued to increase in the United States, with an all-time high of 9,527 transplants performed, representing a 52% increase over the past decade (2012-2022). Of these transplants, 8,924 (93.7%) were from deceased donors and 603 (6.3%) were from living donors. Liver transplant recipients were 94.5% adult and 5.5% pediatric. The overall size of the liver transplant waiting list contracted, with more patients being removed than added, although 10,548 adult patients still remained on the waiting list at the end of 2022. Alcohol-associated liver disease continued to be the leading diagnosis among both candidates and recipients, followed by metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis. Simultaneous liver-kidney transplant was the most common multiorgan combination, with 800 liver-kidney transplants performed in 2022; in addition, there were 303 new listings for kidney transplant via the safety net mechanism. Among adults added to the liver waiting list in 2021, 39.9% received a deceased donor liver transplant within 3 months; 45.7%, within 6 months; and 54.5%, within 1 year. Pretransplant mortality decreased to 12.3 deaths per 100 patient-years in 2022, although still 15.6% of removals from the waiting list were for death or being too sick for transplant. Graft and patient survival outcomes after deceased donor liver transplant improved, approximating pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels, with 5.1% mortality observed at 6 months; 6.8%, at 1 year; 12.7%, at 3 years; 19.8%, at 5 years; and 35.7%, at 10 years. Five-year graft and patient survival rates after living donor liver transplant exceeded those of deceased donor liver transplant. Candidates receiving model for end-stage liver disease exception points for hepatocellular carcinoma constituted 15.5% of transplants performed in 2022, with similar transplant rates and posttransplant outcomes compared to cases without hepatocellular carcinoma exception. In 2022, more pediatric liver transplant candidates were added to the waiting list and underwent transplant compared with either of the preceding 2 years, with an uptick in living donor liver transplant volume. Although pretransplant mortality has improved after the recent policy change prioritizing pediatric donors for pediatric recipients, still, in 2022, 50 children died or were removed from the waiting list for being too sick to undergo transplant. Posttransplant mortality among pediatric liver transplant recipients remained notable, with death occurring in 4.0% at 6 months, 6.0% at 1 year, 8.2% at 3 years, 9.8% at 5 years, and 13.9% at 10 years. Similar to adult living donor recipients, pediatric living donor recipients had better 5-year patient survival compared with deceased donor recipients.

OPTN/SRTR 2022 Annual Data Report: Intestine.

Intestine remains the least frequently transplanted solid organ, although the survival and quality-of-life benefits of transplant to individuals with irreversible intestinal failure have been well demonstrated. The trend seen over the past 15 years of fewer listings and fewer transplants appears to be continuing, most noticeably in infants, children, and adolescents. There were only 146 additions to the intestine waiting list in 2022, and the proportion of adult candidates continues to increase, so that now 61% of the intestine waiting list are adult candidates. There has been little change in the distribution by sex, race and ethnicity, or primary diagnosis on the waiting list, or for those receiving transplant. The transplant rate for adults has decreased to 55.6 transplants per 100 patient-years, but the pediatric transplant rate remains relatively stable at 22.8 transplants per 100 patient-years. The decrease in transplant rates for adults is primarily the result of falling rates for those listed for combined intestine-liver, and this is reflected in the pretransplant mortality rates, which are twice as high for candidates in need of both organs compared with those listed for intestine alone. Overall, intestine transplant numbers decreased to a total of 82 intestine transplants in 2022, only one above the lowest ever value of 81 in 2019. No major changes were seen in the immunosuppression protocols, with most recipients having induction therapy and tacrolimus-based maintenance. Graft failure rates appear to have improved at 1, 3, and 5 years for intestine without liver, but this is not seen for combined intestine-liver. Graft and patient survival are better for pediatric recipients compared with adult recipients for both liver-inclusive and liver-exclusive transplant. Rates of posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder are higher for recipients of intestine without liver.

Where you live matters: Area deprivation predicts poor survival and liver transplant waitlisting.

Social determinants of health (SDOH) are important predictors of poor clinical outcomes in chronic diseases, but their associations among the general cirrhosis population and liver transplantation (LT) are limited. We conducted a retrospective, multiinstitutional analysis of adult (≥18-years-old) patients with cirrhosis in metropolitan Chicago to determine the associations of poor neighborhood-level SDOH on decompensation complications, mortality, and LT waitlisting. Area deprivation index and covariates extracted from the American Census Survey were aspects of SDOH that were investigated. Among 15 101 patients with cirrhosis, the mean age was 57.2 years; 6414 (42.5%) were women, 6589 (43.6%) were non-Hispanic White, 3652 (24.2%) were non-Hispanic Black, and 2662 (17.6%) were Hispanic. Each quintile increase in area deprivation was associated with poor outcomes in decompensation (sHR [subdistribution hazard ratio] 1.07; 95% CI 1.05-1.10; P < .001), waitlisting (sHR 0.72; 95% CI 0.67-0.76; P < .001), and all-cause mortality (sHR 1.09; 95% CI 1.06-1.12; P < .001). Domains of SDOH associated with a lower likelihood of waitlisting and survival included low income, low education, poor household conditions, and social support (P < .001). Overall, patients with cirrhosis residing in poor neighborhood-level SDOH had higher decompensation, and mortality, and were less likely to be waitlisted for LT. Further exploration of structural barriers toward LT or optimizing health outcomes is warranted.

Excess waitlist mortality among candidates for multivisceral liver-intestine transplant in acuity circle allocation.

Candidates for multivisceral transplant (MVT) have experienced decreased access to transplant in recent years. Using Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network data, transplant and waiting list outcomes for MVT (ie, liver-intestine, liver-intestine-pancreas, and liver-intestine-kidney-pancreas) candidates listed between February 4, 2018, and February 3, 2022, were analyzed, including model for end-stage liver disease/pediatric end-stage liver disease and exception scores by era (before and after acuity circle [AC] implementation on February 4, 2020) and age group (pediatric and adult). Of 284 MVT waitlist registrations (45.6% pediatric), fewer had exception points at listing post-AC compared to pre-AC (10.0% vs 19.1%), and they were less likely to receive transplant (19.1% vs 35.9% at 90 days; 35.7% vs 57.2% at 1 year). Of 177 MVT recipients, exception points at transplant were more common post-AC compared to pre-AC (30.8% vs 20.2%). Postpolicy, adult MVT candidates were more likely to be removed due to death/too sick compared with liver-alone candidates (13.5% vs 5.6% at 90 days; 24.2% vs 9.8% at 1 year), whereas no excess waitlist mortality was observed among pediatric MVT candidates. Under current allocation policy, multivisceral candidates experience inferior waitlist outcomes compared with liver-alone candidates. Clarification of guidance around submission and approval of multivisceral exception requests may help improve their access to transplantation and achieve equity between multivisceral and liver-alone candidates on the liver transplant waiting list.

Status 2 upgrade indication impacts posttransplant mortality in patients bridged with intraaortic balloon pump in the new heart allocation system.

To evaluate outcomes of patients undergoing heart transplants (HTs) using an intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) under exception status. Adult patients supported by an IABP who underwent HT between November 18, 2018, and December 31, 2020, as documented in the United Network for Organ Sharing, were included. Patients were stratified according to requests for exception status. Kaplan-Meier methodology was used to look for differences in survival between groups. A total of 1284 patients were included; 492 (38.3%) were transplanted with an IABP under exception status. Exception status patients had higher body mass index, were more likely to be Black, and had longer waitlist times. Exception status patients received organs from younger donors, had a shorter ischemic time, and had a higher frequency of sex mismatch. The 1-year posttransplant survival was 93% for the nonexception and 88% for the exception IABP patients (hazard ratio: 1.85 [95% confidence interval: 1.12-2.86, P = .006]). The most common reason for requesting an exception status was inability to meet blood pressure criteria for extension (37% of patients). The most common reason for an extension request for an exception status was right ventricular dysfunction (24%). IABP patients transplanted under exception status have an increased 1-year mortality rate posttransplant compared with those without exception status.

Validation of a novel donor lung scoring system based on the updated lung Composite Allocation Score.

Lung transplantation (LTx) continues to have lower rates of long-term graft survival compared with other organs. Additionally, lung utilization rates from brain-dead donors remain substantially lower compared with other solid organs, despite a growing need for LTx and the significant risk of waitlist mortality. This study aims to examine the effects of using a combination of the recently described novel lung donor (LUNDON) acceptability score and the newly adopted recipient lung Composite Allocation Score (CAS) to guide transplantation. We performed a review of nearly 18 000 adult primary lung transplants from 2015-2022 across the US with retroactive calculations of the CAS value. The medium-CAS group (29.6-34.5) had superior 1-year posttransplant survival. Importantly, the combination of high-CAS (> 34.5) recipients with low LUNDON score (≤ 40) donors had the worst survival at 1 year compared with any other combination. Additionally, we constructed a model that predicts 1-year and 3-year survival using the LUNDON acceptability score and CAS values. These results suggest that caution should be exercised when using marginally acceptable donor lungs in high-priority recipients. The use of the LUNDON score with CAS value can potentially guide clinical decision-making for optimal donor-recipient matches for LTx.

Impact of removing donation service area and region from pancreas allocation.

On March 15, 2021, the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) replaced donation service area (DSA) and OPTN region as units of pancreas (PA) allocation with a 250 nautical mile (NM) circle with proximity points. We analyzed OPTN data for kidney-pancreas (KP) and PA candidates, transplants, and donors in the 2 years pre-policy (March 16, 2019, to March 14, 2021) and post-policy (March 15, 2021, to March 14, 2023). As expected, more transplants occurred at hospitals outside the recovering organ procurement organization's DSA post-policy (KP: 32.1% vs 57.3%, P < .001; PA: 61.6% vs 69.3%, P = .09), but the majority stayed within 250 NM (KP: 79.7% vs 85.0%, P < .001; PA: 55.4% vs 61.5%, P = .19). Median preservation time increased from 9.5 to 10.3 hours for KP (P < .001); there was little change for PA (8.5 vs 8.6 hours; P = .99). There were no statistically significant differences in 1-year posttransplant patient mortality or graft failure after implementation for KP (mortality: 3.6% vs 3.2%, P = .60; kidney graft failure: 4.9% vs 5.0%, P = .95; PA graft failure: 9.5% vs 8.9%, P = .65) or PA (mortality: 1.7% vs 2.2%, P = .72; PA graft failure: 12.2% vs 12.6%, P = .88). The removal of DSA and OPTN region from PA allocation has resulted in broader distribution with minimal impact on preservation time or posttransplant outcomes.

Pediatric priority in kidney allocation after the age of 18 years.

Children registered for kidney transplants prior to the age of 18 years retain "pediatric" allocation status after their 18th birthday. There are no data on the impact of this policy. We performed a retrospective cohort study of 7097 candidates listed for kidney transplant prior to 18 years of age who remained on the waitlist after their 18th birthday between January 1, 2015, and April 1, 2022, using United Network for Organ Sharing data. A total of 1193 candidates remained on the waitlist after their 18th birthday. The median age at listing was 17 years (IQR: 17-17 years). A total of 588 candidates (8% of 7097 pediatric candidates) received a kidney transplant with pediatric status at the age of 18 years or older; 465 (79%) were deceased-donor transplants. The median age at deceased-donor transplants was 18 years (IQR: 18-19 years); 97% were performed before the age of 21 years. In the 7.25 years of the study, 12 adults aged 21 years and older received a deceased-donor kidney transplant with pediatric allocation priority. Deceased-donor transplants with pediatric priority after the age of 18 years are rare, comprising an estimated 0.4% of all adult deceased-donor transplants. Candidates with pediatric priority after 18 years of age typically progress to transplant within 3 years. Ongoing monitoring of this population is important to fully understand the allocation policy.

OPTN/SRTR 2022 Annual Data Report: COVID-19.

This chapter updates the COVID-19 chapter from the 2021 Annual Data Report with trends through November 12, 2022, and introduces trends in recovery and use of organs from donors with a positive COVID-19 test. Posttransplant mortality and graft failure, which remained a concern in all organs at the last report due to the Omicron variant wave, have returned to lower levels in the most recent available data through November 2022. Use of organs from donors with a positive COVID-19 test has grown, particularly after the first year of the pandemic. Mortality due to COVID-19 should continue to be monitored, but most other measures have sustained their recovery and may now be responding more to changes in policy than to ongoing concerns with COVID-19.

Pretransplantation coronavirus disease 2019 vaccination requirements: A matched case-control study of factors associated with waitlist inactivation.

Numerous United States transplant centers require solid organ transplantation candidates to be vaccinated against the coronavirus disease of 2019 to be active on the United Network for Organ Sharing waiting list. This study examined characteristics of adult patients on one center's kidney transplantation waiting list whose status was inactivated due to a lack of coronavirus disease 2019 vaccination by July 1, 2022, and who did not subsequently provide proof of vaccination by August 31, 2022 (cases). Patients in the control group were retrospectively matched to patients in the case group in a 4-to-1 fashion according to age, sex, and "active" status on the waiting list. Multivariable logistic regression was performed, with race/ethnicity, primary language, health insurance, education, and Vaccine Equity Metric (VEM, a measure of health equity at the zip code level) quartile as covariates. Results revealed that patients from zip codes in the lowest VEM quartile (odds ratio [OR] 1.89; P = .02) and those insured by governmental payors (Medicare: OR, 2.00; P < .01 and Medicaid: OR, 2.89; P < .01) had higher odds of being inactivated than those from zip codes that make up the highest VEM quartile and those insured by commercial payors, respectively. These findings serve as a cautionary tale regarding universal pretransplantation vaccination requirements, which may raise equity concerns that should be considered upon policy implementation.

Subsequent kidney transplant after pediatric heart transplant: Prevalence and risk factors.

Pediatric heart failure and transplantation carry associated risks for kidney failure and potential need for kidney transplant following pediatric heart transplantation (KT/pHT). This retrospective, United Network of Organ Sharing study of 10,030 pediatric heart transplants (pHTs) from 1987 to 2020 aimed to determine the incidence of waitlisting for and completion of KT/pHT, risk factors for KT/pHT, and risk factors for nonreceipt of a KT/pHT. Among pHT recipients, 3.4% were waitlisted for KT/pHT (median time of 14 years after pHT). Among those waitlisted, 70% received a KT/pHT, and 18% died on the waitlist at a median time of 0.8 years from KT/pHT waitlisting (median age of 20 years). Moderate-high sensitization at KT/pHT waitlisting (calculated panel reactive antibody, ≥ 20%) was associated with a lower likelihood of KT/pHT (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.67; 95% confidence interval, 0.47-0.95). Waitlisting for heart transplantation simultaneously with kidney transplant (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.73; 95% confidence interval, 2.01-6.92) was associated with increased risk of death on the KT/pHT waitlist. While the prevalence of KT/pHT is low, there is substantial mortality among those waitlisted for KT/pHT. These findings suggest a need to consider novel risk factors for nonreceipt of KT/pHT and death on the waitlist in prioritizing criteria/guidelines for simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation.

Evaluation of a delayed liver transplantation strategy for patients with HCC receiving bridging therapy: the DELTA-HCC study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: To maximize utility and prevent premature liver transplantation (LT), a delayed LT strategy (DS) was adopted in France in 2015 in patients listed for any single HCC treated with resection or thermal ablation during the waiting phase. The DS involves postponing LT until recurrence. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the DS to make sure that it did not hamper pre- and post-LT outcomes. METHODS: Patients listed for HCC in France between 2015 and 2018 were studied. After data extraction from the national LT database, 2,025 patients were identified and classified according to six groups: single tumor entering DS, single tumor not entering DS, multiple tumors, no curative treatment, untreatable HCC or T1 tumors. Kaplan-Meier estimates of the 18-month risk of dropout for death, too sick to be transplanted or tumor progression before LT, 5-year post-LT HCC recurrence and post-LT survival rates were compared. RESULTS: Median waiting-time in the DS group was 910 days. Pre-LT dropout probability was significantly lower in the DS group compared to other groups (13% vs. 19%, p = 0.0043) and significantly higher in the T1 group (25.4%, p = 0.05). Post-LT HCC recurrence rate in the multiple nodules group was significantly higher (19.6%, p = 0.019), while 5-year post-LT survival did not differ among groups and was 74% in the DS group (p = 0.22). CONCLUSION: The DELTA-HCC study shows that DS does not negatively impact either pre- nor post-LT patient outcomes, and has the potential to allow for redistribution of organs to patients in more urgent need of LT. It can reasonably be proposed and pursued. The unexpectedly high risk of dropout in T1 patients seems related to the MELD-based offering rules underserving this subgroup. IMPACTS AND IMPLICATIONS: To maximize utility and prevent premature liver transplantation (LT), a delayed LT strategy was adopted in France in 2015. It involves postponing LT until recurrence in patients listed for any single HCC curatively treated by surgical resection or thermal ablation. The DELTA-HCC study was conducted to evaluate this nationwide strategy. It shows in a European LT program that delayed strategy does not negatively impact pre- nor post-LT patient outcomes and is relevant to up to 20% of LT candidates; thus, it could potentially enable the redistribution of organs to patients in more urgent need of LT. Such a delayed strategy can reasonably be pursued and extended to other LT programs. Of note, an unexpectedly high risk of dropout in T1 patients, seemingly related to MELD-based offering rules which underserve these patients, calls for further scrutinization and revision of allocation rules in this subgroup.

Tailoring allocation policies and improving access to paediatric liver transplantation over a 16-year period.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Mortality on the paediatric liver transplantation (pLT) waiting list (WL) is still an issue. We analysed the Italian pLT WL to evaluate the intention-to-treat (ITT) success rate and to identify factors influencing success. METHODS: All children (<18 years) listed for pLT in Italy between 2002-2018 were included (Era 1 [2002-2007]: centre-based allocation; Era 2 [2008-2014]: national allocation; Era 3 [2015-2018]: national allocation+mandatory-split policy). RESULTS: A total of 1,424 patients (median age: 2.0 [IQR 1.0-9.0] years; median weight: 12.0 kg [IQR 7-27]) were listed for pLT. Median WL time was 2 days (IQR 1-5) for Status 1 and 44 days (IQR 15-120) for non-Status 1 patients; 1,302 children (91.4%) were transplanted (67.3% with split grafts), while 50 children (3.5%) dropped off the WL (2.5% death, 1.0% clinical deterioration). Predictive factors for receiving LT included Status 1 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.66, p = 0.001), Status 1B (HR 1.96, p = 0.016), Status 2A (HR 2.15, p = 0.024) and each 1-point increase in PELD/MELD score. Children with recipient's weight >25 kg, blood group O or awaiting pLT combined with other organs had less chance of being transplanted. ITT patient survival rates were 90.5% at 1 year and 87.5% at 5 years, remaining stable across eras. Risk factors for ITT survival were re-transplantation (HR 5.83, p <0.001), Status 1 (HR 2.28, p = 0.006), Status 1B (HR 2.90, p = 0.014), Status 2A (HR 9.12, p <0.001), recipient weight <6 kg (HR 4.53, p <0.001) and low-volume activity (HR 4.38, p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In Italy, continuous adaption of paediatric organ allocation policies via the introduction of national allocation, paediatric prioritisation rules and a mandatory-split policy have helped maximise the use of donors for paediatric candidates and to minimise WL mortality without compromising outcomes. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Globally, paediatric liver transplant candidates still suffer from high mortality. Over recent decades, the continuous adaption of organ allocation policies in Italy has led to excellent outcomes for children awaiting liver transplantation. The mortality rate of paediatric liver transplant candidates has been minimised to almost zero, mainly using grafts from deceased donors. Paediatric prioritisation rules, national organ exchange organisation and a mandatory-split liver policy have resulted in a unique allocation model for paediatric liver transplant candidates and represent a landmark for the paediatric transplant community.

Transplant benefit-based offering of deceased donor livers in the United Kingdom.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The National Liver Offering Scheme (NLOS) was introduced in the UK in 2018 to offer livers from deceased donors to patients on the national waiting list based, for most patients, on calculated transplant benefit. Before NLOS, livers were offered to transplant centres by geographic donor zones and, within centres, by estimated recipient need for a transplant. METHODS: UK Transplant Registry data on patient registrations and transplants were analysed to build statistical models for survival on the list (M1) and survival post-transplantation (M2). A separate cohort of registrations - not seen by the models before - was analysed to simulate what liver allocation would have been under M1, M2 and a transplant benefit score (TBS) model (combining both M1 and M2), and to compare these allocations to what had been recorded in the UK Transplant Registry. The number of deaths on the waiting list and patient life years were used to compare the different simulation scenarios and to select the optimal allocation model. Registry data were monitored, pre- and post-NLOS, to understand the performance of the scheme. RESULTS: The TBS was identified as the optimal model to offer donation after brain death (DBD) livers to adult and large paediatric elective recipients. In the first 2 years of NLOS, 68% of DBD livers were offered using the TBS to this type of recipient. Monitoring data indicate that mortality on the waiting list post-NLOS significantly decreased compared with pre-NLOS (p <0.0001), and that patient survival post-listing was significantly greater post- compared to pre-NLOS (p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: In the first two years of NLOS offering, waiting list mortality fell while post-transplant survival was not negatively impacted, delivering on the scheme's objectives. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The National Liver Offering Scheme (NLOS) was introduced in the UK in 2018 to increase transparency of the deceased donor liver offering process, maximise the overall survival of the waiting list population, and improve equity of access to liver transplantation. To our knowledge, it is the first scheme that offers organs based on statistical prediction of transplant benefit: the transplant benefit score. The results are important to the transplant community - from healthcare practitioners to patients - and demonstrate that, in the first two years of NLOS offering, waiting list mortality fell while post-transplant survival was not negatively impacted, thus delivering on the scheme's objectives. The scheme continues to be monitored to ensure that the transplant benefit score remains up-to-date and that signals that suggest the possible disadvantage of some patients are investigated.