Comparison Between Heart Failure Without Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction and Progression to End-Stage in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: The incidence and prognostic predictors of heart failure (HF) without left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), particularly their differences in terms of developing LVSD (progression to end-stage) or sudden cardiac death (SCD), are not fully elucidated.Methods and Results: This study included 330 consecutive HCM patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥50%. HF hospitalization without LVSD and development of LVSD were evaluated as main outcomes. During a median follow-up of 7.3 years, the incidence of HF hospitalization without LVSD was 18.8%, which was higher than the incidence of developing LVSD (10.9%) or SCD (8.8%). Among patients who developed LVSD, only 19.4% experienced HF hospitalization without LVSD before developing LVSD. Multivariable analysis showed that predictors for HF hospitalization without LVSD (higher age, atrial fibrillation, history of HF hospitalization, and higher B-type natriuretic peptide concentrations) were different from those of developing LVSD (male sex, lower LVEF, lower left ventricular outflow tract gradient, and higher tricuspid regurgitation pressure gradient). Known risk factors for SCD did not predict either HF without LVSD or developing LVSD. CONCLUSIONS: In HCM with LVEF ≥50%, HF hospitalization without LVSD was more frequently observed than development of LVSD or SCD during mid-term follow-up. The overlap between HF without LVSD and developing LVSD was small (19.4%), and these 2 HF events had different predictors.

Sex-Specific Left Ventricular and Aorta Size Cut-Off Values for Hemodynamically Significant Chronic Aortic Regurgitation　- Implications for Treatment in Asian Populations.

BACKGROUND: There are no sex-specific guidelines for chronic aortic regurgitation (AR). This retrospective study examined sex-specific differences and propose treatment criteria from an Asian AR cohort.Methods and Results: Consecutive 1,305 patients with moderate-severe AR or greater at 3 tertiary centers in Taiwan and Japan (2008-2022) were identified. Study endpoints were aortic valve surgery (AVS), all-cause death (ACD), and cardiovascular death (CVD). The median follow up was 3.9 years (interquartile range 1.3-7.1 years). Compared with men (n=968), women (n=337) were older, had more advanced symptoms, more comorbidities, larger indexed aorta size (iAortamax) and indexed left ventricular (LV) end-systolic dimension (LVESDi; P<0.001 for all). Symptomatic status was poorly correlated with the degree of LV remodeling in women (P≥0.18). Women received fewer AVS (P≤0.001) and men had better overall 10-year survival (P<0.01). Ten-year post-AVS survival (P=0.9) and the progression of LV remodeling were similar between sexes (P≥0.16). Multivariable determinants of ACD and CVD were age, advanced symptoms, iAortamax, LV ejection fraction (LVEF), LVESDi, LV end-systolic volume index (LVESVi), and Taiwanese ethnicity (all P<0.05), but not female sex (P≥0.05). AVS was associated with better survival (P<0.01). Adjusted LVEF, LVESDi, LVESVi, and iAortamaxcut-off values for ACD were 53%, 24.8 mm/m2, 44 mL/m2, and 25.5 mm/m2, respectively, in women and 52%, 23.4 mm/m2, 52 mL/m2, and 23.2 mm/m2, respectively, in men. CONCLUSIONS: Early detection and intervention using sex-specific cut-off values may improve survival in women with AR.

Concomitant Mitral Regurgitation in Severe Aortic Stenosis　- Insights From the CURRENT AS Registry-2.

BACKGROUND: Data on concomitant mitral regurgitation (MR) in patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS) are scarce.Methods and Results: We investigated the risk of concomitant MR in patients with severe AS in the CURRENT AS Registry-2 according to initial treatment strategy (transcatheter aortic valve implantation [TAVI], surgical aortic valve replacement [SAVR], or conservative). Among 3,365 patients with severe AS, 384 (11.4%) had moderate/severe MR (TAVI: n=126/1,148; SAVR: n=68/591; conservative: n=190/1,626). The cumulative 3-year incidence for death or heart failure (HF) hospitalization was significantly higher in the moderate/severe than no/mild MR group in the entire population (54.6% vs. 34.3%, respectively; P<0.001) and for each treatment strategy (TAVI: 45.0% vs. 31.8% [P=0.006]; SAVR: 31.9% vs. 18.7% [P<0.001]; conservative: 67.8% vs. 41.6% [P<0.001]). The higher adjusted risk of moderate/severe MR relative to no/mild MR for death or HF hospitalization was not significant in the entire population (hazard ratio [HR] 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.95-1.39; P=0.15); however, the risk was significant in the SAVR (HR 1.92; 95% CI 1.04-3.56; P=0.04) and conservative (HR 1.30; 95% CI 1.02-1.67; P=0.04) groups, but not in the TAVI group (HR 1.03; 95% CI 0.70-1.52; P=0.86), despite no significant interaction (Pinteraction=0.37). CONCLUSIONS: Moderate/severe MR was associated with a higher risk for death or HF hospitalization in the initial SAVR and conservative strategies, while the association was less pronounced in the initial TAVI strategy.

Efficacy and Safety of Edoxaban in Anticoagulant Therapy Early After Surgical Bioprosthetic Valve Replacement: Rationale and Design of the ENBALV Trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Anticoagulant therapy with vitamin K antagonists is recommended within 3 to 6 months after bioprosthetic valve replacement to prevent thromboembolic events. However, data regarding whether direct oral anticoagulants can be an alternative to warfarin in such patients are limited. The purpose of this study is to compare the efficacy and safety of edoxaban versus warfarin within 3 months after bioprosthetic valve replacement. METHODS: The ENBALV trial is an investigator-initiated, phase 3, randomized, open-label, multicenter study. It involves patients aged 18 to 85 years undergoing bioprosthetic valve replacement at the aortic and/or mitral position. They are randomized 1:1 to receive either edoxaban or warfarin. Administration of edoxaban or warfarin is to be continued for 12 weeks after surgery. The primary outcome is the occurrence rate of stroke or systemic embolism at 12 weeks after surgery. The net clinical outcome is a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, or major bleeding, which is included in the secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: The ENBALV trial demonstrates the efficacy and safety of edoxaban compared with warfarin in patients early after bioprosthetic valve replacement, including patients with sinus rhythm, which will bring a significant benefit to patients in clinical practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (jRCT) 2051210209. 30 Mar 2022 https://jrct.niph.go.jp/latest-detail/jRCT2051210209 .

Clinical application of artificial intelligence algorithm for prediction of one-year mortality in heart failure patients.

Risk prediction for heart failure (HF) using machine learning methods (MLM) has not yet been established at practical application levels in clinical settings. This study aimed to create a new risk prediction model for HF with a minimum number of predictor variables using MLM. We used two datasets of hospitalized HF patients: retrospective data for creating the model and prospectively registered data for model validation. Critical clinical events (CCEs) were defined as death or LV assist device implantation within 1 year from the discharge date. We randomly divided the retrospective data into training and testing datasets and created a risk prediction model based on the training dataset (MLM-risk model). The prediction model was validated using both the testing dataset and the prospectively registered data. Finally, we compared predictive power with published conventional risk models. In the patients with HF (n = 987), CCEs occurred in 142 patients. In the testing dataset, the substantial predictive power of the MLM-risk model was obtained (AUC = 0.87). We generated the model using 15 variables. Our MLM-risk model showed superior predictive power in the prospective study compared to conventional risk models such as the Seattle Heart Failure Model (c-statistics: 0.86 vs. 0.68, p < 0.05). Notably, the model with an input variable number (n = 5) has comparable predictive power for CCE with the model (variable number = 15). This study developed and validated a model with minimized variables to predict mortality more accurately in patients with HF, using a MLM, than the existing risk scores.

Optimal Management of Chronic Severe Aortic Regurgitation　- How to Determine Cutoff Values for Surgical Intervention?

Aortic regurgitation (AR) is a common valvular heart disease, but the optimal timing of surgical intervention remains controversial. In the natural history of chronic severe AR, sudden death is rare, and the annual mortality rate is comparatively low. Considering the hemodynamic features of combined volume and pressure overload and long-term compensation in patients with chronic AR, symptoms related to AR do not frequently occur. Therefore, the progression of left ventricular (LV) dysfunction is a key factor in determining the timing of surgical intervention in patients with severe chronic AR. In addition to symptoms, an ejection fraction <50% and an LV endsystolic diameter (LVESD) >45 mm are appropriate cutoff values for surgical intervention in Japanese patients, whereas LV end-diastolic diameter is not a good indicator. An LVESD index of 25 mm/m2is controversial, because adjusting for body size may cause overcorrection in Japanese patients who have a small body size compared with Westerners. Accumulation of data from the Japanese population is indispensable for establishing guidelines on optimal management of patients with chronic AR.

Additional Effects of Antiplatelet Therapy on Anticoagulant Agents in Patients With Bioprosthetic Valves and Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The additional effects of single-antiplatelet therapy (SAPT) on anticoagulant therapy are still unclear in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) after bioprosthetic valve replacement.Methods and Results:We conducted a subanalysis of a multicenter, retrospective, observational registry of patients with bioprosthetic valves and AF in Japan. Patients administered anticoagulants alone comprised the ACA group (n=107), and patients given concomitant SAPT and anticoagulant therapy comprised the On SAPT group (n=82). The primary efficacy endpoint was the incidence of stroke/systemic embolism, and the primary safety endpoint was the incidence of major bleeding. The observation period was 46.3±24.6 months. The primary efficacy endpoint occurred in 12 patients, and the cumulative incidence of primary efficacy events was significantly higher in the ACA group compared with the On SAPT group (P=0.039). The primary safety endpoint occurred in 22 patients, and the cumulative incidence of primary safety events was similar between groups (P=0.66). No differences between the groups were observed for cardiac events. CONCLUSIONS: Additional SAPT on anticoagulant therapy in patients with bioprosthetic valves and AF was associated with a reduction in stroke/systemic embolic events, although the cumulative incidence of bleeding was similar, regardless of additional SAPT. These findings suggest that additional SAPT on anticoagulant therapy may be safe and effective in real-world clinical settings.

Comparison of Direct Oral Anticoagulants and Warfarin in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and an Aortic Bioprosthetic Valve.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines equally recommend direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and warfarin for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with a bioprosthetic valve (BPV); however, there are limited data comparing DOACs and warfarin in AF patients with an aortic BPV.Methods and Results: This post-hoc subgroup analysis of a multicenter, prospective, observational registry (BPV-AF Registry) aimed to compare DOACs and warfarin in AF patients with an aortic BPV. The primary outcome was a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, major bleeding, heart failure requiring hospitalization, all-cause death, or BPV reoperation. The analysis included 479 patients (warfarin group, n=258; DOAC group, n=221). Surgical aortic valve replacement was performed in 74.4% and 36.7% of patients in the warfarin and DOAC groups, respectively. During a mean follow up of 15.5 months, the primary outcome occurred in 45 (17.4%) and 32 (14.5%) patients in the warfarin and DOAC groups, respectively. No significant difference was found in the primary outcome between the 2 groups (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.88, 95% confidence interval: 0.51-1.50). No significant multiplicative interaction was observed between the anticoagulant effects and type of aortic valve procedure (P=0.577). CONCLUSIONS: Among AF patients with an aortic BPV, no significant difference was observed in the composite outcome of adverse clinical events between patients treated with warfarin and those treated with DOACs, suggesting that DOACs can be used as alternatives to warfarin in these patients.

Rationale, Design, and Baseline Characteristics of the CURRENT AS Registry-2.

BACKGROUND: There is scarce data evaluating the current practice pattern and clinical outcomes for patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS), including both those who underwent surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) or transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) and those who were managed conservatively in the TAVI era.Methods and Results: The Contemporary outcomes after sURgery and medical tREatmeNT in patients with severe Aortic Stenosis (CURRENT AS) Registry-2 is a prospective, physician-initiated, multicenter registry enrolling consecutive patients who were diagnosed with severe AS between April 2018 and December 2020 among 21 centers in Japan. The rationale for the prospective enrollment was to standardize the assessment of symptomatic status, echocardiographic evaluation, and other recommended diagnostic examinations such as computed tomography and measurement of B-type natriuretic peptide. Moreover, the schedule of clinical and echocardiographic follow up was prospectively defined and strongly recommended for patients who were managed conservatively. The entire study population consisted of 3,394 patients (mean age: 81.6 years and women: 60%). Etiology of AS was degenerative in 90% of patients. AS-related symptoms were present in 60% of patients; these were most often heart failure symptoms. The prevalence of high- and low-gradient AS was 58% and 42%, respectively, with classical and paradoxical low-flow low-gradient AS in 4.6% and 6.7%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The CURRENT AS Registry-2 might be large and meticulous enough to determine the appropriate timing of intervention for patients with severe AS in contemporary clinical practice.

Diagnostic value of vena contracta area measurement using three-dimensional transesophageal echocardiography in assessing the severity of aortic regurgitation.

PURPOSE: Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) provides noninvasively quantitative assessment of aortic regurgitation (AR) severity, but its diagnostic accuracy depends on image quality. Two-dimensional transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) is a semi-invasive procedure that is excellent in evaluating AR mechanism. However, quantitative assessment may be challenging due to restrictions in probe manipulation. This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of three-dimensional TEE to measure the vena contracta area (3DVCA) of AR. METHODS: The subjects comprised 62 patients (age, 65 ± 16 years) whose AR was evaluated using TEE. The 3DVCA and semi-quantitative TEE parameters, such as the ratio of AR jet width to left ventricular outflow tract (jet/LVOT) and the vena contracta width (VCW) of AR jet, were compared using angiography grade and quantitative TTE measurements including regurgitant volume (RVol) and effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA). The diagnostic accuracy was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and the reproducibility of 3DVCA was also evaluated. RESULTS: In 3DVCA, less overlap between angiography grades were observed. Correlation with RVol or EROA was better in 3DVCA than in Jet/LVOT or VCW. The area under the ROC curve was .737 for jet/LVOT, .773 for VCW, and .849 for 3DVCA, respectively. The optimal cutoff value of 3DVCA was ≥.31 cm2 for grading severe AR. Inter- and intra-observer reproducibility of 3DVCA were .92 and .97, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The 3DVCA method using TEE showed high diagnostic accuracy and reproducibility. 3DVCA deserves use in accurately assessing AR severity, especially in patients who present difficulty in quantitative Doppler assessment using TTE.

Occurrence of right ventricular dysfunction immediately after pericardiocentesis.

The changes in cardiac function that occur after pericardiocentesis are unclear. An understanding of the effect of pericardiocentesis on right ventricular (RV) and left ventricular (LV) function is clinically important. This study was performed to assess RV and LV function with echocardiography before and after pericardiocentesis. In total, 19 consecutive patients who underwent pericardiocentesis for more than moderate pericardial effusion were prospectively enrolled from August 2015 to October 2017. Comprehensive transthoracic echocardiography was performed before, immediately after (within 3 h), and 1 day after pericardiocentesis to investigate the changes in RV and LV function. The mean age of all patients was 72.6 ± 12.2 years. No pericardiocentesis-related complications occurred during the procedure, but one patient died of right heart failure 8 h after pericardiocentesis. After pericardiocentesis, RV inflow and outflow diameters increased (p < 0.05 versus values before pericardiocentesis), and the parameters of RV function (tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, tricuspid lateral annular systolic velocity, fractional area change, and RV free wall longitudinal strain) significantly decreased (p < 0.001 versus values before pericardiocentesis). These abnormal values or RV dysfunction remained 1 day after pericardiocentesis (p > 0.05 versus values immediately after pericardiocentesis). Conversely, no parameters of LV function changed after pericardiocentesis. Of 19 patients, 13 patients showed RV dysfunction immediately after pericardiocentesis and 6 patients did not. RV free wall longitudinal strain before pericardiocentesis in patients with post-procedural RV dysfunction was reduced compared to those without post-procedural RV dysfunction ( - 18.9 ± 3.6 versus - 28.4 ± 6.3%; p = 0.005). The area under the curve values for prediction of post-procedural RV dysfunction was 0.910 for RV free wall longitudinal strain. The occurrence of RV dysfunction after pericardiocentesis should be given more attention, and pre-procedural RV free wall longitudinal strain may be a predictor of post-procedural RV dysfunction.

Changes of echocardiographic parameters in primary mitral regurgitation and determinants of symptom: an assessment from the Asian Valve Registry data.

Clinicians often have a difficulty in determining the presence of mitral regurgitation (MR)-related symptoms because of subjectivity. However, there are few actual measurement data for echocardiographic left ventricular (LV) and left atrial (LA) size related to the severity of MR and the relationship between MR-related symptoms and these echocardiographic parameters. Among patients enrolled in the Asian Valve Registry, we investigated 778 consecutive patients with primary MR showing sinus rhythm. Symptoms were determined by New York Heart Association grade (≤ II or ≥ III). MR severity was mild in 106, moderate in 285, and severe in 387 patients. LA volume index, LV end-diastolic diameter, and LV mass index increased with increasing MR grade [LA volume index: 47.9 (mild), 56.2 (moderate), and 64.9 ml/m2 (severe) (p < 0.001), LV end-diastolic diameter: 51.2, 54.5, 58.1 mm (p < 0.001), and LV mass index: 101, 109, 123 g/m2 (p < 0.001)]. Regarding moderate and severe MR, 70 patients (10.4%) were symptomatic. In multivariable analysis, for being symptomatic in moderate and severe MR patients, LV mass index (odds ratio [OR] per 10 g/m2 increment; 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.005-1.18, p = 0.040), ejection fraction (OR per 1% increment; 0.96, 95%CI: 0.93-0.98, p < 0.001), female gender (OR 2.28; 95% CI: 1.31-3.98, p = 0.004), and heart rate (OR per 1 bpm increment; 1.03; 95%CI: 1.01-1.05, p = 0.007) were independent factors. LV and LA parameters on echocardiography worsened as MR severity progressed. Larger LV mass index and lower ejection fraction were independent determinant factors for MR-related symptoms. We should also pay attention to LV hypertrophy in patients with primary MR.

Survey of Palliative Sedation at End of Life in Terminally Ill Heart Failure Patients　- A Single-Center Experience of 5-Year Follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about palliative sedation in terminally ill heart failure (HF) patients.Methods and Results:We retrospectively reviewed terminally ill HF patients who received palliative sedation from September 2013 to August 2018. Among 95 terminally ill HF patients, 25 were prescribed dexmedetomidine and 12 were prescribed midazolam at the end of life. Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale was significantly reduced (P<0.01), but blood pressure and heart rate were unaltered after treatment in both the dexmedetomidine and midazolam groups. CONCLUSIONS: Prescription of dexmedetomidine and/or midazolam might be feasible in selected terminally ill HF patients.

Very long-term follow-up data of non-ischemic idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy after beta-blocker therapy: recurrence of left ventricular dysfunction and predictive value of 123I-metaiodobenzylguanidine scintigraphy.

The management of idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is well established. However, a subset of patients do not have recovery from or have recurrences of left ventricular (LV) dysfunction despite receiving optimal medical therapy. There are limited long-term follow-up data about LV function and the predictive value of iodine-123-metaiodobenzylguanidine (123I-MIBG) scintigraphy, especially among the Japanese population. We retrospectively investigated 81 consecutive patients with DCM (mean LV ejection fraction (EF) 28 ± 7.5%) who had undergone 123I-MIBG scintigraphy before starting ß-blockers. According to chronological changes in LVEF, study patients were classified into three subgroups: sustained recovery group, recurrence group, and non-recovery group. The outcome measure was cardiac death. Mean age was 59 ± 11 years and median follow-up was 11.5 (5.8-15.0) years. Thirty-six patients had recovery, 11 had recurrences, and 34 did not have recovery. The sustained recovery group had the best cardiac death-free survival, followed by the recurrence and non-recovery groups. Prolonged time to initial recovery was associated with recurrence of LV dysfunction. Large LV end-diastolic diameter and reduced heart to mediastinum ratio were associated with poor prognosis. In conclusion, with ß-blocker therapy, 14% of patients showed recurrences of LV dysfunction. Thus, careful follow-up is needed, keeping in mind the possibility of recurrence, even if LVEF once improved, especially in patients whose time to initial recovery was long. 123I-MIBG scintigraphy provides clinicians with additional prognostic information.

Early Surgery vs. Surgery After Watchful Waiting for Asymptomatic Severe Aortic Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: There is no large-scale study comparing postoperative mortality after aortic valve replacement (AVR) for asymptomatic severe aortic stenosis (AS) between initial treatment with AVR vs. eventual AVR after conservative management. Methods and Results: We analyzed data from a multicenter registry enrolling 3,815 consecutive patients with severe AS. Of 1,808 asymptomatic patients, 286 patients initially underwent AVR (initial AVR group), and 377 patients were initially managed conservatively and eventually underwent AVR (AVR after watchful waiting group). Mortality after AVR was compared between the 2 groups. Subgroup analysis according to peak aortic jet velocity (Vmax) at diagnosis was also conducted. There was no significant difference between the 2 groups in 5-year overall survival (OS; 86.0% vs. 84.1%, P=0.34) or cardiovascular death-free survival (DFS; 91.3% vs. 91.1%, P=0.61), but on subgroup analysis of patients with Vmax ≥4.5 m/s at diagnosis, the initial AVR group was superior to the AVR after watchful waiting group in both 5-year OS (88.4% vs. 70.6%, P=0.003) and cardiovascular DFS (91.9% vs. 81.7%, P=0.023). CONCLUSIONS: Asymptomatic severe AS patients who underwent AVR after watchful waiting had a postoperative survival rate similar to those who initially underwent AVR. In a subgroup of patients with Vmax ≥4.5 m/s at diagnosis, however, the AVR after watchful waiting group had worse postoperative survival rate than the initial AVR group.

Relationship between left ventricular diastolic dysfunction and very late recurrences after multiple procedures for atrial fibrillation ablation.

Although very late recurrences (VLRs) (first recurrence >12 months after the last catheter ablation) of atrial fibrillation (AF) after multiple catheter ablation procedures are rare, it remains a critical issue. The risk factors for VLRs remain largely unclear. From December 2011 to April 2014, 253 patients underwent an initial catheter ablation. Of the 253 patients, 21 had AF recurrences within 1 year after the last catheter ablation. The study was conducted in the remaining 232 patients. Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) was assessed by echocardiography using composite categories with tissue Doppler imaging and left atrial volume measurements, i.e., a septal e' < 8 cm/s, lateral e' < 10 cm/s, and left atrium volume index (LAV/body surface area) (LAVI) ≥34 mL/m2. LVDD was observed in 40 patients. Sinus rhythm was preserved in 220 patients after multiple catheter procedures, and 12 had VLRs. The clinical factors possibly related to VLRs were examined, and a multivariate regression analysis showed that LVDD was the only independent risk factor for VLRs (hazard ratio: 10.31, 95% confidence interval: 2.78-38.18, P < 0.0001). LVDD at baseline is a risk factor for a VLR after multiple catheter ablation procedures for AF.

Long-Term Clinical Outcomes and Prognostic Factors After Pericardiectomy for Constrictive Pericarditis in a Japanese Population.

BACKGROUND: Constrictive pericarditis (CP) is characterized by impaired diastolic cardiac function leading to heart failure. Pericardiectomy is considered effective treatment for CP, but data on long-term clinical outcomes after pericardiectomy are limited.Methods and Results:We retrospectively investigated 45 consecutive patients (mean age, 59±14 years) who underwent pericardiectomy for CP. Preoperative clinical factors, parameters of cardiac catheterization, and cardiac events were examined. Cardiac events were defined as hospitalization owing to heart failure or cardiac death.Median follow-up was 5.7 years. CP etiology was idiopathic in 16 patients, post-cardiac surgery (CS) in 21, tuberculosis-related in 4, non-tuberculosis infection-related in 2, infarction-related in 1, and post-radiation in 1. The 5-year event-free survival was 65%. Patients with idiopathic CP and tuberculosis-related CP had favorable outcomes compared with post-CS CP (5-year event-free survival: idiopathic, 80%; tuberculosis, 100%; post-CS, 52%). Higher age (hazard ratio: 2.51), preoperative atrial fibrillation (3.25), advanced New York Heart Association class (3.92), and increased pulmonary artery pressure (1.06) were predictors of cardiac events. Patients with postoperative right-atrial pressure ≥9 mmHg had lower event-free survival than those with right-atrial pressure <9 mmHg (39% vs. 75% at 5 years, P=0.013). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term clinical outcomes after pericardiectomy among a Japanese population were related to the underlying etiology and the patient's preoperative clinical condition. Postoperative cardiac catheterization may be helpful in the prediction of prognosis after pericardiectomy.

Pre- and Postoperative Predictors of Long-Term Prognosis After Aortic Valve Replacement for Severe Chronic Aortic Regurgitation.

BACKGROUND: There are few data on the long-term prognosis and chronological changes in left ventricular (LV) function after aortic valve replacement (AVR) in patients with severe chronic aortic regurgitation (AR) among the Japanese population.Methods and Results:We retrospectively investigated the long-term prognosis in 80 consecutive patients with severe chronic AR who underwent AVR. Additionally, 65 patients with follow-up echocardiography at 1 year after AVR were investigated to evaluate chronological changes in LV function. The mean follow-up period was 8.9±5.2 years. Freedom from all-cause death and cardiac death at 10 years after AVR was 76% and 91%, respectively. The preoperative ejection fraction (EF) and estimated glomerular filtration rate were independent predictors of all-cause death. Preoperative EF, LV end-systolic diameter, and diabetes might be useful predictors of cardiac death. Among the 65 patients with follow-up echocardiographic data, LV function had normalized at 1 year after AVR in all patients, except for 2 who died of cardiac causes in the long-term after AVR. LV end-diastolic diameter, LV end-systolic diameter, and EF at 1 year after AVR might be useful predictors of long-term cardiac death. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with severe chronic AR, preoperative LV dysfunction is remarkably improved at 1 year after AVR. Pre- and postoperative echocardiographic data are important for predicting long-term outcome after AVR. (Circ J 2016; 80: 2460-2467).

Predictors of Rapid Progression and Clinical Outcome of Asymptomatic Severe Aortic Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: The optimal timing of aortic valve replacement (AVR) is controversial in patients with asymptomatic severe aortic stenosis (AS) except when very severe. Prediction of progression of severe AS is helpful in deciding on the timing of AVR. The purpose of this study was to clarify the predictors of progression rate and clinical outcomes of severe AS. METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively investigated 140 consecutive patients with asymptomatic severe AS (aortic valve area [AVA], 0.75-1.0 cm(2)). First-year progression rate and annual progression rate of AVA and of aortic jet velocity (AV-Vel) were calculated. Cardiac events were examined and the predictors of rapid progression and cardiac events were analyzed. The median follow-up period was 36 months. The median annual progression rate was -0.05 cm(2)/year for AVA and 0.22 m/s/year for AV-Vel. Dyslipidemia, moderate-severe calcification, and first-year AV-Vel progression ≥0.22 m/s/year were independent predictors of cardiac events. Cardiac event-free rate was lower in patients with AV-Vel first-year progression rate ≥0.22 m/s/year than in those with a lower rate. Diabetes and moderate-severe calcification were related to first-year rapid progression. CONCLUSIONS: The annual progression rate of severe AS was -0.05 cm(2)/year for AVA and 0.22 m/s/year for AV-Vel. Patients with first-year rapid progression or severely calcified aortic valve should be carefully observed while considering an early operation. (Circ J 2016; 80: 1863-1869).