Frailty Prevalence, Incidence, and Association with Incident Disability in the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

INTRODUCTION: Data on frailty frequency are heterogeneous and mostly based on cross-sectional studies. Little is known about frailty development and progression over time. Our aim was to conduct a systematic analysis of frailty prevalence and incidence in a large cohort of older adults and to evaluate the association with incident disability, in order to tackle the current paucity and fragmentation of longitudinal data on frailty. METHODS: As secondary analysis of the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging (ILSA) population-based cohort (n = 5,632, 65-84), frailty status was operationalized according to Fried criteria (n = 2,457). Weighted prevalence and incidence rates were calculated at each ILSA wave (T0 1992-1993, T1 1995-1996, T2 2000-2001). The association with incident disability in Activities of Daily Living (ADL) or Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) was investigated through Cox proportional hazard models, controlling for possible confounders. RESULTS: Prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty at baseline (mean age 71.6 years; women 58.9%) were 4.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.4-4.6) and 44.6% (95% CI: 43.1-46.1), respectively. Incidence rates per 1,000 person-years for the T0-T1 interval were 7.3 (95% CI: 5.2-9.3) for frailty and 83.7 (95% CI: 73.6-93.8) for pre-frailty. Prevalence and incidence of frailty, and to a lesser degree of pre-frailty, were overall higher for women and increased with age, yet no increasing trend with advancing age was detected for pre-frailty incidence. Frailty incidence rates were significantly higher among pre-frail than non-frail individuals at follow-up entry. After full adjustment, being frail markedly increased the risk of incident disability in ADL (hazard ratio [HR] 3.58, 95% CI: 1.97-6.52) and IADL (HR 2.56, 95% CI: 1.58-4.16) over a 4-year period. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: According to our findings, frailty is common among older people and is a strong and independent predictor of disability. Further research on factors and characteristics related to frailty progression, and especially remission, over time is crucial to calibrate effective public health preventive measures.

Influence of atrial fibrillation subtypes on anticoagulant therapy in a high-risk older population: the FAI project.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Benefits of oral anticoagulants (OAC) in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with moderate-to-high risk of stroke are independent of AF pattern. We evaluated whether AF clinical subtype influenced OAC use in a representative sample of the Italian older population. METHODS: A cross-sectional examination of all subjects aged 65 + years from three general practices in northern, central, and southern Italy started in 2016. A double-screening procedure was followed by clinical and ECG confirmation. Patients were categorized as having paroxysmal, persistent, or permanent AF. OAC use was evaluated in confirmed AF patients. RESULTS: The sample included 6016 subjects. Excluding 235 non-eligible, participation was 78.3%, which left 4528 participants (mean age 74.5 ± 6.8 years, 47.2% men). Overall, 319 AF cases were identified: 43.0% had paroxysmal, 21.3% persistent, and 35.7% permanent AF. Frequency of OAC therapy was 91.2% in permanent, 85.3% in persistent, and only 43.0% in paroxysmal AF (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, controlled for baseline variables and risk scales, persistent and permanent AF were associated with a significant increase in the likelihood of receiving OAC compared with paroxysmal AF (P < 0.001). This was confirmed for permanent AF also in multivariate analyses considering separately vitamin K antagonists or direct-acting oral anticoagulants (OR, 4.37, 95% CI, 2.43-7.85; and 1.92, 95% CI, 1.07-3.42, respectively) and for persistent AF and direct-acting oral anticoagulants (OR, 4.33, 95% CI, 2.30-8.15). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based survey, AF pattern was an independent predictor of OAC treatment. Paroxysmal AF is still perceived as carrying a lower risk of vascular events.

Prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the Italian elderly population and projections from 2020 to 2060 for Italy and the European Union: the FAI Project.

AIMS: To estimate prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in a representative sample of the Italian elderly population, projecting figures for Italy and the European Union. METHODS AND RESULTS: A cross-sectional examination of all subjects aged 65+ years from three general practices in Northern, Central, and Southern Italy started in 2016. Participants were administered a systematic and an opportunistic screening, followed by clinical and electrocardiogram confirmation. The study sample included 6016 subjects. Excluding 235 non-eligible, among the remaining 5781 participation was 78.3%, which left 4528 participants (mean age 74.5 ± 6.8 years, 47.2% men). Prevalence of AF was 7.3% [95% confidence intervals (CI) 6.6-8.1], higher in men and with advancing age (6.6% from systematic plus 0.7% from opportunistic screening). Using prevalence figures, Italian elderly having AF in 2016 were estimated at ∼1 081 000 (95% CI 786 000-1 482 000). Considering stable prevalence, this number will increase by 75% to ∼1 892 000 in 2060 (95% CI 1 378 000-2 579 000). European Union elderly having AF in 2016 were estimated at ∼7 617 000 (95% CI 5 530 000-10 460 000), increasing by 89% to ∼14 401 000 in 2060 (95% CI 10 489 000-19 647 000). In 2016, subjects aged 80+ years represented 53.5% of cases in Italy and 51.2% in the European Union; in 2060, 69.6% and 65.2%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate a high burden of AF in coming decades, especially among the oldest-old, who carry the higher AF-related risk of stroke and medical complications.

Biopsychosocial frailty and the risk of incident dementia: The Italian longitudinal study on aging.

INTRODUCTION: Frailty is a critical intermediate status of the aging process including physical, cognitive, and psychosocial domains/phenotypes. We operationalized a new biopsychosocial frailty (BF) construct, estimating its impact on the risk of incident dementia and its subtypes. METHODS: In 2171 older individuals from the population-based Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging (ILSA), we identified by latent class procedures the BF construct as the physical frail status plus at least one of the two items of the 30-item Geriatric Depression Scale impaired (items 3/10). RESULTS: Over a 3.5-year follow-up, participants with BF showed an increased risk of overall dementia (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.07-4.37), particularly vascular dementia (VaD) (HR: 3.21, 95% CI: 1.05-9.75). Similarly, over a 7-year follow-up, an increased risk of overall dementia (HR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.06-3.20), particularly VaD (HR: 2.53, 95% CI: 1.08-5.91), was also observed. DISCUSSION: In a large cohort of Italian older individuals without cognitive impairment at baseline, a BF model was a short- and long-term predictor of overall dementia, particularly VaD.

Additive Role of a Potentially Reversible Cognitive Frailty Model and Inflammatory State on the Risk of Disability: The Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

OBJECTIVE: Cognitive frailty is a condition recently defined by operationalized criteria describing the simultaneous presence of physical frailty and mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Two subtypes for this clinical construct have been proposed: "potentially reversible" cognitive frailty (physical frailty plus MCI) and "reversible" cognitive frailty (physical frailty plus pre-MCI subjective cognitive decline). Here the prevalence of a potentially reversible cognitive frailty model was estimated. It was also evaluated if introducing a diagnosis of MCI in older subjects with physical frailty could have an additive role on the risk of dementia, disability, and all-cause mortality in comparison with frailty state or MCI condition alone, with analyses separately performed for inflammatory state. METHODS: In 2,373 individuals from the population-based Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging with a 3.5-year-follow-up, we operationally categorized older individuals without dementia into four groups: non-frail/non-MCI, non-frail/MCI, frail/non-MCI, and frail/MCI. RESULTS: The prevalence of potentially reversible cognitive frailty was 1%, increasing with age and more represented in women than in men, and all groups were associated with significant increased incident rate ratios of dementia, disability, and mortality. A significant difference in rates of disability has been found between the MCI and non-MCI groups (contrasts of adjusted predictions: 0.461; 95% confidence interval: 0.187-0.735) in frail individuals with high inflammatory states (fibrinogen >339 mg/dL). CONCLUSION: In older individuals without dementia and with elevated inflammation, a potentially reversible cognitive frailty model could have a significant additional predictive effect on the risk of disability than the single conditions of frailty or MCI.

The Italian stroke-app: ICTUS3R.

Any strategy to reduce stroke burden involves crucial inputs from individuals (risk reduction, rapid recognition and response to symptoms onset) which imply a certain level of stroke knowledge. Health-related applications (apps) have been identified as a novel platform for dissemination of health information to the public. Only few apps about stroke are currently available with scientifically valid information, none of them are available in Italian. We developed the first and only Italian stroke app, ICTUS3R. We also pilot tested ICTUS3R in terms of its usage during the first 12 months following release (October 30, 2014). ICTUS3R was developed in collaboration with communication experts, stroke leaders and web producers. ICTUS3R was pilot tested in terms of number and distribution of downloads. Data about 1 year usage were anonymously collected from ICTUS 3R release on October 30, 2014. ICTUS3R includes a stroke screening tool, information how to react in case of suspected stroke, and information about risk factors including personal stroke risk calculator. ICTUS 3R web site was visited 36,242 times. Mean session duration was over 2 min. The 48 % of downloads were by individuals aged 25-44 years, 12 % by individuals ≥55 years. ICTUS3R downloads were distributed across all the Italian provinces, in varying proportions. The 4.3 % of downloads were done outside Italy. ICTUS3R can be an important contribution to stroke management and prevention, it proved to be well received for dissemination of stroke information among Italians. Its use could contribute to reduce stroke burden in Italy.

A systematic review of the quality of studies on dementia prevalence in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Dementia, including Alzheimer's disease (AD), is one of the most burdensome medical conditions. In order to better understand the epidemiology of dementia in Italy, we conducted a systematic search of studies published between 1980 and April 2014 investigating the prevalence of dementia and AD in Italy and then evaluated the quality of the selected studies. METHODS: A systematic search was performed using PubMed/Medline and Embase to identify Italian population-based studies on the prevalence of dementia among people aged ≥60 years. The quality of the studies was scored according to Alzheimer's Disease International (ADI) criteria. RESULTS: Sixteen articles on the prevalence of dementia and AD in Italy were eligible and 75 % of them were published before the year 2000. Only one study was a national survey, whereas most of the studies were locally based (Northern Italy and Tuscany). Overall, the 16 studies were attributed a mean ADI quality score of 7.6 (median 7.75). CONCLUSIONS: Available studies on the prevalence of dementia and AD in Italy are generally old, of weak quality, and do not include all regions of Italy. The important limitations of the few eligible studies included in our analysis, mostly related to their heterogeneous design, make our systematic review difficult to interpret from an epidemiologic point of view. Full implementation of a Dementia National Plan is highly needed to better understand the epidemiology of the disease and monitor dementia patients.

A systematic review of the quality of studies on dementia prevalence in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Dementia, including Alzheimer's disease (AD), is one of the most burdensome medical conditions. In order to better understand the epidemiology of dementia in Italy, we conducted a systematic search of studies published between 1980 and April 2014 investigating the prevalence of dementia and AD in Italy and then evaluated the quality of the selected studies. METHODS: A systematic search was performed using PubMed/Medline and Embase to identify Italian population-based studies on the prevalence of dementia among people aged ≥60 years. The quality of the studies was scored according to Alzheimer's Disease International (ADI) criteria. RESULTS: Sixteen articles on the prevalence of dementia and AD in Italy were eligible and 75 % of them were published before the year 2000. Only one study was a national survey, whereas most of the studies were locally based (Northern Italy and Tuscany). Overall, the 16 studies were attributed a mean ADI quality score of 7.6 (median 7.75). CONCLUSIONS: Available studies on the prevalence of dementia and AD in Italy are generally old, of weak quality, and do not include all regions of Italy. The important limitations of the few eligible studies included in our analysis, mostly related to their heterogeneous design, make our systematic review difficult to interpret from an epidemiologic point of view. Full implementation of a Dementia National Plan is highly needed to better understand the epidemiology of the disease and monitor dementia patients.

Stroke knowledge in Italy.

Stroke knowledge improves public behavior in terms of prevention, symptom recognition, and timely response. Contemporary data on stroke awareness in the Italian general population are lacking. This study surveyed public knowledge of risk factors, warning signs, and proper reactions to stroke among Italian adults. A population-based telephone survey was carried out in a sample of 1,000 residents aged ≥18 years in May-June 2010. The questionnaire included close-ended questions focused on stroke symptoms, risk factors, and treatment options. We examined the prevalence and distribution of stroke knowledge in the community and generated multivariable logistic regression models. Among the 1,000 participants (481 men, mean age 48.8 ± 17.2), only the 55.8 % correctly identified the brain as the affected organ in stroke. The most common risk factor for stroke identified by respondents was hypertension (67.6 %), the most common warning sign was hemiparesis (68.7 %), the 43.5 % could list >1 warning sign. Multivariate analyses indicate that education and previous stroke experience are the only independent predictors of stroke knowledge. Only 26.2 % reported to know about the availability of t-PA treatment. An ambulance would be called by 59 % of respondents in the event of a stroke. Respondents with a high level of education are more likely to call an ambulance in case of stroke. This study provides the first comprehensive data describing stroke knowledge among Italian adults: the general level is suboptimal and is associated only with education and previous family experience of stroke. Public education could potentially improve treatment and prevention.

Acute ischemic STROKE - from laboratory to the Patient's BED (STROKELABED): A translational approach to reperfusion injury. Study Protocol.

Cerebral edema (CE) and hemorrhagic transformation (HT) are frequent and unpredictable events in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), even when an effective vessel recanalization has been achieved. These complications, related to blood-brain barrier (BBB) disruption, remain difficult to prevent or treat and may offset the beneficial effect of recanalization, and lead to poor outcomes. The aim of this translational study is to evaluate the association of circulating and imaging biomarkers with subsequent CE and HT in stroke patients with the dual purpose of investigating possible predictors as well as molecular dynamics underpinning those events and functional outcomes. Concurrently, the preclinical study will develop a new mouse model of middle cerebral artery (MCA) occlusion and recanalization to explore BBB alterations and their potentially harmful effects on tissue. The clinical section of the study is based on a single-center observational design enrolling consecutive patients with AIS in the anterior circulation territory, treated with recanalization therapies from October 1, 2015 to May 31, 2020. The study will employ an innovative evaluation of routine CT scans: in fact, we will assess and quantify the presence of CE and HT after stroke in CT scans at 24 h, through the quantification of anatomical distortion (AD), a measure of CE and HT. We will investigate the relationship of AD and several blood biomarkers of inflammation and extracellular matrix, with functional outcomes at 3 months. In parallel, we will employ a newly developed mouse model of stroke and recanalization, to investigate the emergence of BBB changes 24 h after the stroke onset. The close interaction between clinical and preclinical research can enhance our understanding of findings from each branch of research, enabling a deeper interpretation of the underlying mechanisms of reperfusion injury following recanalization treatment for AIS.

Vascular factors predict polyneuropathy in a non-diabetic elderly population.

We prospectively examined whether vascular factors are related to an increased incidence of Chronic Idiopathic Distal Symmetric Neuropathy (CI-DSN) in a non-diabetic elderly population. In 8 Italian municipalities, 2,512 men and women without both diabetes and CI-DSN at baseline are examined. Potential effect of vascular factors was estimated by regressing new onset CI-DSN on the occurrence of several vascular diseases and risk factors. Multivariate relative risks of CI-DSN were estimated by Cox proportional hazards models. After 3.8 (±2.4) years of follow-up, we documented 51 incident CI-DSN cases. At univariate analysis, age, comorbidity, waist circumference, leg length, peripheral artery disease, and coronary heart disease proved to increase the risk of developing CI-DSN. By multivariate analyses, only age (RR = 1.08; 95 % CI, 1.02-1.14), leg length (RR = 1.05; 95 % CI, 1.01-1.1) and peripheral artery disease (RR = 2.75; 95 % CI, 1.15-6.56) proved significant predictors of CI-DSN. Separate analyses by gender show that age is an independent predictor of CI-DSN both in men and in women, while PAD predicts the disease only in men, together with body height. Incidence of CI-DSN is higher in individuals carrying vascular conditions. In men, the presence at baseline of peripheral artery disease is associated with a threefold increase in the risk of developing CI-DSN. The incidence of neuropathy in non-diabetic individuals is associated with potentially modifiable vascular factors.

Monitoring the implementation of the State-Regional Council agreement 03/02/2005 as to the management of acute stroke events: a comparison of the Italian regional legislations.

Access to effective acute stroke services is a crucial factor to reduce stroke-related death and disability, but is limited in different parts of Italy. Our study addresses this inequality across the Italian regions by examining the regional legislations issued to adopt and implement the State-Regional Council agreement 03/02/2005 as to the acute stroke management. All decrees and resolutions as to acute stroke were collected from each region and examined by the means of a check list including quantitative and qualitative characteristics, selected in accordance with the recommendations from the State-Regional Council document. Each completed check list was then sent to each regional reference person, who filled in the section on the implementation of the indications and compliance, with the collaboration of stroke specialists if necessary. The study was carried out from November 2009 to September 2010. The documents and information were collected from 19 regions. Our survey revealed disparities both in terms of number of decrees and resolutions and of topics covered by the regional legislations about stroke care. Most legislations lacked practical and economical details. This feedback from national and regional stroke regulations revealed a need of more concrete indications. Involvement of various stakeholders (legislators, consumers, providers) might possibly ensure that policies are actually adopted, implemented and maintained. Although considerable challenges are present to the development of standard and optimal stroke care more widely across Italian regions, the potential gains from such developments are substantial.

Frailty syndrome and the risk of vascular dementia: the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is a clinical syndrome generally associated with a greater risk for adverse outcomes such as falls, disability, institutionalization, and death. Cognition and dementia have already been considered as components of frailty, but the role of frailty as a possible determinant of dementia, Alzheimer's disease (AD), and vascular dementia (VaD) has been poorly investigated. We estimated the predictive role of frailty syndrome on incident dementia and its subtypes in a nondemented, Italian, older population. METHODS: We evaluated 2581 individuals recruited from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging sample population consisting of 5632 subjects aged 65 to 84 years and with a 3.9-year median follow-up. A phenotype of frailty according to a modified measurement of Cardiovascular Health Study criteria was operationalized. Dementia, AD, and VaD were classified using current published criteria. RESULTS: Over a 3.5-year follow-up, 65 of 2581 (2.5%) older subjects, 16 among 252 frail individuals (6.3%), of which 9 were affected by VaD (3.6%), developed overall dementia. In a proportional hazards model, frailty syndrome was associated with a significantly increased risk of overall dementia (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.85; 95% confidence interval: 1.01-3.40) and, in particular, VaD (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.68; 95% confidence interval: 1.16-7.17). The risk of AD or other types of dementia did not significantly change in frail individuals in comparison with subjects without frailty syndrome. CONCLUSION: In our large population-based sample, frailty syndrome was a short-term predictor of overall dementia and VaD.

Effect of an educational intervention to increase stroke awareness among Italian high school students: A prospective study in Tuscany.

INTRODUCTION: Stroke in young people shares traditional modifiable risk factors with older groups, and greatly affects quality of life. However, evidence on the effectiveness of educational interventions in young populations, aiming at spreading stroke knowledge and enhancing prevention, is still scarce. We evaluated baseline knowledge of stroke and possible improvements after an educational intervention among Italian high school students, also considering differences related to sex and type of school. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Using a mixed educational strategy, a prospective evaluation of stroke knowledge was performed in five humanities and sciences (lyceums) and five vocational high schools of Tuscany (students of the 12th and 13th grade). A baseline assessment with a structured questionnaire (21 questions) was followed by a standardized oral presentation, using audiovisual materials. After 3 months, the same questionnaire was re-administered to evaluate the long-term impact of the educational intervention. RESULTS: Overall, 573 students (50.8% males; age range, 17-19 years) were enrolled; 288 (50.3%) were from lyceums and 285 (49.7%) from vocational schools. Follow-up participation was 97.2%. Baseline performances were comparable between groups for most variables examined. At 3 months, all groups showed a significant improvement from baseline regarding reaction to a stroke event, identification of stroke risk factors, such as smoking (from 62.9% to 83.7%; p < 0.001) and alcohol abuse (from 49.6% to 67.2%; p < 0.001), and symptoms. Knowledge of the existence of stroke units and thrombolysis increased from 25.4% to 60.7% (p < 0.001) and from 35.8% to 84.0% (p < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our educational intervention improved stroke awareness in high school students. The effects persisted after 3 months. Improved knowledge in young populations may reduce stroke burden in adult life, increase timely access to therapies, and spread knowledge across families.

Relevance of prehospital stroke code activation for acute treatment measures in stroke care: a review.

BACKGROUND: The use of emergency services with prehospital stroke assessment and early notification to the treatment hospital (stroke code) is a crucial determinant of delay time for acute stroke treatment. We reviewed and summarized the literature on prehospital stroke code system implementation. METHODS: Two databases were explored (last update June 20, 2011) with 3 key words (stroke code, stroke prehospital management and stroke prehospital services). Inclusion criteria were: randomized and quasirandomized controlled trials, cohort and case-control studies, and hospital- and emergency-based registers, with no year or language restrictions. We examined the reference lists of all included articles. All potentially relevant reports and abstracts were transcribed into a specifically designed data abstraction form. RESULTS: Only 19 of the 680 studies which were initially retrieved, published from 1999 to 2011, fulfilled our inclusion criteria. One clinical trial was identified. Large differences in stroke code procedures and study designs within and across countries prohibited the pooling of the data. Most studies were carried out in urban areas. Assuming the rate of tissue-plasminogen activator treatment as the performance measure, most studies report a significant increase in the rate of treatment (increase between 3.2 and 16%) with only 1 study not reporting any increase. CONCLUSIONS: Despite its limitations, this review suggests that the use of prehospital stroke code is an important intervention to improve the accessibility of the benefits of thrombolysis, especially when implemented together with educational campaigns to optimize the awareness and behavior of patients and bystanders.

Translational Stroke Research Review: Using the Mouse to Model Human Futile Recanalization and Reperfusion Injury in Ischemic Brain Tissue.

The approach to reperfusion therapies in stroke patients is rapidly evolving, but there is still no explanation why a substantial proportion of patients have a poor clinical prognosis despite successful flow restoration. This issue of futile recanalization is explained here by three clinical cases, which, despite complete recanalization, have very different outcomes. Preclinical research is particularly suited to characterize the highly dynamic changes in acute ischemic stroke and identify potential treatment targets useful for clinical translation. This review surveys the efforts taken so far to achieve mouse models capable of investigating the neurovascular underpinnings of futile recanalization. We highlight the translational potential of targeting tissue reperfusion in fully recanalized mouse models and of investigating the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms from subcellular to tissue scale. We suggest that stroke preclinical research should increasingly drive forward a continuous and circular dialogue with clinical research. When the preclinical and the clinical stroke research are consistent, translational success will follow.

Metabolic syndrome and the risk of vascular dementia: the Italian Longitudinal Study on Ageing.

OBJECTIVE: The authors investigated the relationship of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its individual components with incident dementia in a prospective population-based study with a 3.5-year follow-up. METHODS: A total of 2097 participants from a sample of 5632 subjects (65-84 years old) from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Ageing were evaluated. MetS was defined according to the Third Adults Treatment Panel of the National Cholesterol Education Program criteria. Dementia, Alzheimer disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD) were classified using current published criteria. RESULTS: MetS subjects (N=918) compared with those without MetS (N=1179) had an increased risk for VaD (1.63% vs 0.85%, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 3.71, 95% CI 1.40 to 9.83). After excluding 338 subjects with baseline undernutrition, MetS subjects compared with those without MetS had an elevated risk of VaD (adjusted HR, 3.82; 95% CI 1.32 to 11.06). Moreover, those with MetS and high inflammation had a still further higher risk of VaD (multivariate adjusted HR, 9.55; 95% CI 1.17 to 78.17) compared with those without MetS and high inflammation. On the other hand, those with MetS and low inflammation compared with those without MetS and low inflammation did not exhibit a significant increased risk of VaD (adjusted HR, 3.31, 95% CI 0.91 to 12.14). Finally, a synergistic MetS effect versus its individual component effects was verified on the risk of VaD. CONCLUSION: In our population, MetS subjects had an elevated risk of VaD that increased after excluding patients with baseline undernutrition and selecting MetS subjects with high inflammation.

Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation Subtypes in Italy and Projections to 2060 for Italy and Europe.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Atrial fibrillation (AF) subtypes may carry different cardiovascular risk profiles, but information on their frequency from population-based studies is lacking. We estimated prevalence of AF subtypes in a representative sample of the Italian older population, projecting figures for Italy and the European Union. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Three primary care practices in northern, central, and southern Italy. PARTICIPANTS: All individuals aged 65 years or older, for a total sample of 6,016 subjects. Excluding 235 noneligible, participation was 78.3%, which left 4,528 participants. MEASUREMENTS: A double systematic and opportunistic screening procedure identified possible AF cases, followed by clinical and electrocardiogram confirmation. Patients were categorized with paroxysmal, persistent, or permanent AF. Prevalence was calculated by sex and 5-year age groups. Prevalence figures were applied to population projections for all 28 European Union states to estimate AF subtypes expected in future decades. RESULTS: In the 4,528 participants (mean age = 74.5 ± 6.8 years; 47.2% men), 331 AF cases were identified: 140 (42.3%) paroxysmal, 77 (23.3%) persistent, and 114 (34.4%) permanent. Prevalence was 3.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.6%-3.6%) for paroxysmal, 1.7% (95% CI = 1.4%-2.1%) for persistent, and 2.5% (95% CI = 2.1%-3.0%) for permanent AF. Italian older persons having AF in 2016 were estimated at approximately 449,000 for paroxysmal, approximately 240,000 for persistent, and approximately 391,000 for permanent AF, projected to increase in 2060 to approximately 785,000, approximately 358,000, and approximately 748,000, respectively. European Union older persons having AF in 2016 were estimated at approximately 3,185,000 for paroxysmal, approximately 1,722,000 for persistent, and approximately 2,710,000 for permanent AF, projected to increase in 2060 to approximately 5,989,000, approximately 2,833,000, and approximately 5,579,000, respectively. CONCLUSION: We provided first projections of AF subtypes for Italy and Europe. The worse cardiovascular risk profile of persistent and permanent forms indicates an increased burden in future decades.

Liver fibrosis score, physical frailty, and the risk of dementia in older adults: The Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

INTRODUCTION: Liver fibrosis increases progressively with aging and has been associated with poorer cognitive performance in middle-aged and older adults. We investigated the relationships between a non-invasive score for advanced liver fibrosis (non-alcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD] fibrosis score [NFS]) and dementia risk. We also assessed physical frailty, a common geriatric condition which is associated to dementia. We tested the joint effects of physical frailty and fibrosis on dementia incidence. METHODS: A total of 1061 older adults (65 to 84 years), from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging, were prospectively evaluated for the risk of dementia in a period between 1992 and 2001. Liver fibrosis was defined according to the NFS. Physical frailty was assessed according to the Fried's criteria. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the short- and long-term risk of overall dementia, associated to the NFS, testing the effect modifier of physical frailty status. RESULTS: Older adults with only high NFS (F3-F4) did not exhibit a significant increased risk of overall dementia. Over 8 years of follow-up, frail older adults with high NFS had an increased risk of overall dementia (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22 to 14.70, P = .023). Finally, physically frail older adults with low albumin serum levels (albumin < 4.3 g/dL) and with advanced liver fibrosis (F3-F4 NFS) compared to those with lower liver fibrosis score (F0-F2 NFS) were more likely to have a higher risk of overall dementia in a long term-period (HR: 16.42; 95% CI: 1.44 to 187.67, P = .024). DISCUSSION: Advanced liver fibrosis (F3-F4 NFS) could be a long-term predictor for overall dementia in people with physical frailty. These findings should encourage a typical geriatric, multidisciplinary assessment which accounts also for the possible co-presence of frail condition in older adults with chronic liver disease and liver fibrosis.

Selective risk factors profiles and outcomes among patients with stroke and history of prior myocardial infarction. The European Community Stroke Project.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Previous myocardial infarction (MI) has been linked with poorer stroke outcome. Whether this depends on a greater stroke severity is still uncertain. The aim of the study was to assess the effect of previous MI on characteristics and outcome of stroke in a large hospital cohort of patients. METHODS: In a European Union Concerted Action, patients hospitalized for first-in-a-lifetime stroke were assessed for demographics, risk factors, clinical presentation, and 3-month survival and handicap. RESULTS: Out of 4190 study patients, 460 (11%) reported a history of MI. Compared with patients without previous MI, those with MI were significantly older, more often males, smokers, alcohol consumers, and with a more severe pre-stroke level of handicap. They had more frequently atrial fibrillation and a history of transient ischemic attack. The acute neurological state and the 28-day mortality did not differ between the two groups. At 3 months, death or severe handicap were more frequent in the MI group (28.3% vs. 21.7%, P=0.001; 74.8% vs. 65.8%, P=0.008). Controlling by logistic regression analysis for age, sex, vascular risk factors, comorbidities, prior to stroke therapy, pre-stroke level of handicap, and clinical acute phase variables, prior MI remained an independent predictor of 3-month death (OR 1.30; 95% CI, 1.02-1.66) and 3-month handicap (OR 1.46; 95% CI, 1.01-2.11). CONCLUSIONS: Previous MI has no impact on clinical severity of acute stroke, but significantly affects 3-month outcome in terms of handicap and mortality.