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1.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(3): 535-543, 2024 03 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37823421

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Nontyphoidal Salmonella causes an estimated 1.35 million US infections annually. Antimicrobial-resistant strains are a serious public health threat. We examined the association between resistance and the clinical outcomes of hospitalization, length-of-stay ≥3 days, and death. METHODS: We linked epidemiologic data from the Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network with antimicrobial resistance data from the National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System (NARMS) for nontyphoidal Salmonella infections from 2004 to 2018. We defined any resistance as resistance to ≥1 antimicrobial and clinical resistance as resistance to ampicillin, azithromycin, ceftriaxone, ciprofloxacin, or trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (for the subset of isolates tested for all 5 agents). We compared outcomes before and after adjusting for age, state, race/ethnicity, international travel, outbreak association, and isolate serotype and source. RESULTS: Twenty percent of isolates (1105/5549) had any resistance, and 16% (469/2969) had clinical resistance. Persons whose isolates had any resistance were more likely to be hospitalized (31% vs 28%, P = .01) or have length-of-stay ≥3 days (20% vs 16%, P = .01). Deaths were rare but more common among those with any than no resistance (1.0% vs 0.4%, P = .01). Outcomes for patients whose isolates had clinical resistance did not differ significantly from those with no resistance. After adjustment, any resistance (adjusted odds ratio 1.23, 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.46) remained significantly associated with hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a significant association between nontyphoidal Salmonella infections caused by resistant pathogens and likelihood of hospitalization. Clinical resistance was not associated with poorer outcomes, suggesting that factors other than treatment failure (eg, strain virulence, strain source, host factors) may be important.


Asunto(s)
Antiinfecciosos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Infecciones por Salmonella , Humanos , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Espera Vigilante , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana , Infecciones por Salmonella/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por Salmonella/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología
2.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(6): 1144-1153, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38781926

RESUMEN

Few precise estimates of hospitalization and fatality rates from COVID-19 exist for naive populations, especially within demographic subgroups. We estimated rates among persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection in the United States during May 1-December 1, 2020, before vaccines became available. Both rates generally increased with age; fatality rates were highest for persons >85 years of age (24%) and lowest for children 1-14 years of age (0.01%). Age-adjusted case hospitalization rates were highest for African American or Black, not Hispanic persons (14%), and case-fatality rates were highest for Asian or Pacific Islander, not Hispanic persons (4.4%). Eighteen percent of hospitalized patients and 44.2% of those admitted to an intensive care unit died. Male patients had higher hospitalization (6.2% vs. 5.2%) and fatality rates (1.9% vs. 1.5%) than female patients. These findings highlight the importance of collecting surveillance data to devise appropriate control measures for persons in underserved racial/ethnic groups and older adults.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Hospitalización , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Femenino , Adolescente , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Lactante , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Adulto Joven , Recién Nacido , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Etnicidad/estadística & datos numéricos
3.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 73(19): 430-434, 2024 May 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38753544

RESUMEN

Measles is a highly infectious, vaccine-preventable disease that can cause severe illness, hospitalization, and death. A measles outbreak associated with a migrant shelter in Chicago occurred during February-April 2024, in which a total of 57 confirmed cases were identified, including 52 among shelter residents, three among staff members, and two among community members with a known link to the shelter. CDC simulated a measles outbreak among shelter residents using a dynamic disease model, updated in real time as additional cases were identified, to produce outbreak forecasts and assess the impact of public health interventions. As of April 8, the model forecasted a median final outbreak size of 58 cases (IQR = 56-60 cases); model fit and prediction range improved as more case data became available. Counterfactual analysis of different intervention scenarios demonstrated the importance of early deployment of public health interventions in Chicago, with a 69% chance of an outbreak of 100 or more cases had there been no mass vaccination or active case-finding compared with only a 1% chance when those interventions were deployed. This analysis highlights the value of using real-time, dynamic models to aid public health response, set expectations about outbreak size and duration, and quantify the impact of interventions. The model shows that prompt mass vaccination and active case-finding likely substantially reduced the chance of a large (100 or more cases) outbreak in Chicago.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Sarampión , Humanos , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Chicago/epidemiología , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/prevención & control , Modelos Epidemiológicos , Salud Pública , Factores de Tiempo , Predicción , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Vacunación Masiva , Adulto
4.
J Neuroophthalmol ; 44(1): 22-29, 2024 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38251954

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: MRI abnormalities are common in optic neuropathies, especially on dedicated orbital imaging. In acute optic neuritis, optic nerve T2-hyperintensity associated with optic nerve contrast enhancement is the typical imaging finding. In chronic optic neuropathies, optic nerve T2-hyperintensity and atrophy are regularly seen. Isolated optic nerve T2-hyperintensity is often erroneously presumed to reflect optic neuritis, frequently prompting unnecessary investigations and neuro-ophthalmology consultations. Our goal was to determine the significance of optic nerve/chiasm T2-hyperintensity and/or atrophy on MRI. METHODS: Retrospective study of consecutive patients who underwent brain/orbital MRI with/without contrast at our institution between July 1, 2019, and June 6, 2022. Patients with optic nerve/chiasm T2-hyperintensity and/or atrophy were included. Medical records were reviewed to determine the etiology of the T2-hyperintensity and/or atrophy. RESULTS: Four hundred seventy-seven patients (698 eyes) were included [mean age 52 years (SD ±18 years); 57% women]. Of the 364 of 698 eyes with optic nerve/chiasm T2-hyperintensity without atrophy, the causes were compressive (104), inflammatory (103), multifactorial (49), glaucoma (21), normal (19), and other (68); of the 219 of 698 eyes with optic nerve/chiasm T2-hyperintensity and atrophy, the causes were compressive (57), multifactorial (40), inflammatory (38), glaucoma (33), normal (7), and other (44); of the 115 of 698 eyes with optic nerve/chiasm atrophy without T2-hyperintensity, the causes were glaucoma (34), multifactorial (21), inflammatory (13), compressive (11), normal (10), and other (26). Thirty-six eyes with optic nerve/chiasm T2-hyperintensity or atrophy did not have evidence of optic neuropathy or retinopathy on ophthalmologic examination, and 17 eyes had clinical evidence of severe retinopathy without primary optic neuropathy. CONCLUSIONS: Optic nerve T2-hyperintensity or atrophy can be found with any cause of optic neuropathy and with severe chronic retinopathy. These MRI findings should not automatically prompt optic neuritis diagnosis, workup, and treatment, and caution is advised regarding their use in the diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis. Cases of incidentally found MRI optic nerve T2-hyperintensity and/or atrophy without a known underlying optic neuropathy or severe retinopathy are rare. Such patients should receive an ophthalmologic examination before further investigations.


Asunto(s)
Glaucoma , Atrofia Óptica , Enfermedades del Nervio Óptico , Traumatismos del Nervio Óptico , Neuritis Óptica , Enfermedades de la Retina , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Nervio Óptico/diagnóstico por imagen , Nervio Óptico/patología , Enfermedades del Nervio Óptico/patología , Neuritis Óptica/etiología , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética/métodos , Atrofia Óptica/diagnóstico , Atrofia Óptica/complicaciones , Traumatismos del Nervio Óptico/complicaciones , Atrofia/complicaciones , Atrofia/patología , Glaucoma/complicaciones , Glaucoma/patología , Enfermedades de la Retina/complicaciones
5.
J Neuroophthalmol ; 2024 Mar 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38502219

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Increasing incidence of idiopathic intracranial hypertension (IIH), overreported radiologic signs of intracranial hypertension, difficult access to outpatient neuro-ophthalmology services, poor insurance coverage, and medicolegal concerns have lowered the threshold for emergency department (ED) visits for "papilledema." Our objective was to examine referral patterns and outcomes of neuro-ophthalmology ED and inpatient consultations for concern for papilledema. METHODS: At one university-based quaternary care center, all adults referred for "papilledema" over one year underwent a standardized ED "papilledema protocol." We collected patient demographics, final diagnoses, and referral patterns. RESULTS: Over 1 year, 153 consecutive patients were referred for concern for papilledema. After papilledema protocol, 89 of 153 patients (58%) had bilateral optic disc edema, among whom 89% (79/89) had papilledema (intracranial hypertension). Of the 38 of 153 (25%) consultations for suspected disorder of intracranial pressure without previous fundus examination (Group 1), 74% (28/38) did not have optic disc edema, 21% (8/38) had papilledema, and 5% (2/38) had other causes of bilateral disc edema. Of the 89 of 153 (58%) consultations for presumed papilledema seen on fundus examination (Group 2), 58% (66/89) had confirmed papilledema, 17% (15/89) had pseudopapilledema, and 9% (8/89) had other causes of bilateral optic disc edema. Of the 26 of 153 (17%) patients with known IIH (Group 3), 5 had papilledema and 4 required urgent intervention. The most common diagnosis was IIH (58/79). Compared with IIH, patients with secondary causes of intracranial hypertension were older (P = 0.002), men (P < 0.001), not obese (P < 0.001), and more likely to have neurologic symptoms (P = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Inpatient and ED consultations for "papilledema" are increasing. Of the 153 ED and inpatient neuro-ophthalmology consultations seen for "papilledema" over 1 year, one-third of patients with optic disc edema of unknown cause before presentation to our ED had new vision- or life-threatening disease, supporting the need for prompt identification and evaluation of optic disc edema in the ED. In the face of limited access to neuro-ophthalmologists, this study supports the need for emergency department access to expert eye-care evaluation or ocular fundus camera for prompt identification of optic disc edema and standardized evaluation for neurologic emergencies.

6.
Foodborne Pathog Dis ; 21(2): 83-91, 2024 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37943621

RESUMEN

Information on the causative agent in an enteric disease outbreak can be used to generate hypotheses about the route of transmission and possible vehicles, to guide environmental assessments, and to target outbreak control measures. However, only about 40% of outbreaks reported in the United States include a confirmed etiology. The goal of this project was to identify clinical and demographic characteristics that can be used to predict the causative agent in an enteric disease outbreak and to use these data to develop an online tool for investigators to use during an outbreak when hypothesizing about the causative agent. Using data on enteric disease outbreaks from all transmission routes (animal contact, environmental contamination, foodborne, person-to-person, waterborne, unknown) reported to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, we developed random forest models to predict the etiology of an outbreak based on aggregated clinical and demographic characteristics at both the etiology category (i.e., bacteria, parasites, toxins, viruses) and individual etiology (Clostridium perfringens, Campylobacter, Cryptosporidium, norovirus, Salmonella, Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli, and Shigella) levels. The etiology category model had a kappa of 0.85 and an accuracy of 0.92, whereas the etiology-specific model had a kappa of 0.75 and an accuracy of 0.86. The highest sensitivities in the etiology category model were for bacteria and viruses; all categories had high specificities (>0.90). For the etiology-specific model, norovirus and Salmonella had the highest sensitivity and all etiologies had high specificities. When laboratory confirmation is unavailable, information on the clinical signs and symptoms reported by people associated with the outbreak, with other characteristics including case demographics and illness severity, can be used to predict the etiology or etiology category. An online publicly available tool was developed to assist investigators in their enteric disease outbreak investigations.


Asunto(s)
Criptosporidiosis , Cryptosporidium , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Norovirus , Virus , Animales , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Bacterias , Vigilancia de la Población , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/microbiología
7.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(2): 337-340, 2023 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38270126

RESUMEN

We fit a power law distribution to US foodborne disease outbreaks to assess underdetection and underreporting. We predicted that 788 fewer than expected small outbreaks were identified annually during 1998-2017 and 365 fewer during 2018-2019, after whole-genome sequencing was implemented. Power law can help assess effectiveness of public health interventions.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Humanos , Salud Pública , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma
8.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(6): 1183-1190, 2023 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37209671

RESUMEN

Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) causes acute diarrheal illness. To determine risk factors for non-O157 STEC infection, we enrolled 939 patients and 2,464 healthy controls in a case-control study conducted in 10 US sites. The highest population-attributable fractions for domestically acquired infections were for eating lettuce (39%), tomatoes (21%), or at a fast-food restaurant (23%). Exposures with 10%-19% population attributable fractions included eating at a table service restaurant, eating watermelon, eating chicken, pork, beef, or iceberg lettuce prepared in a restaurant, eating exotic fruit, taking acid-reducing medication, and living or working on or visiting a farm. Significant exposures with high individual-level risk (odds ratio >10) among those >1 year of age who did not travel internationally were all from farm animal environments. To markedly decrease the number of STEC-related illnesses, prevention measures should focus on decreasing contamination of produce and improving the safety of foods prepared in restaurants.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Escherichia coli Shiga-Toxigénica , Animales , Bovinos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Factores de Riesgo , Diarrea/epidemiología
9.
Ophthalmology ; 130(12): 1304-1312, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37544433

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Prompt neuro-ophthalmology consultation prevents diagnostic errors and improves patient outcomes. The scarcity of neuro-ophthalmologists means that the increasing outpatient demand cannot be met, prompting many emergency department (ED) referrals by non-neuro-ophthalmologists. We describe our quaternary care institution's ED and inpatient neuro-ophthalmology consultation patterns and patient outcomes. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive neuro-ophthalmology ED and inpatient consultation requests over 1 year. METHODS: We collected patient demographics, distance traveled, insurance status, referring provider details, consultation question, final diagnosis, complexity of consultation, time of consultation, and need for outpatient follow-up. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Consultation patterns and diagnoses, complexity, and follow-up. RESULTS: Of 494 consecutive adult ED and inpatient neuro-ophthalmology consultations requested over 1 year, 241 of 494 consultations (49%) occurred at night or during weekends. Of ED consultations (322 of 494 [65%]), 127 of 322 consultations (39%) occurred during weekdays, 126 of 322 consultations (39%) occurred on weeknights, and 69 of 322 consultations (22%) occurred on weekends or holidays. Of 322 ED consultations, 225 of 322 consultations (70%) were patients who initially sought treatment in the ED with a neuro-ophthalmic chief symptom. Of the 196 patients sent to the ED by a health care professional, 148 patients (148/196 [76%]) were referred by eye care specialists (74 optometrists and 74 ophthalmologists). The most common ED referral questions were for papilledema (75 of 322 [23%]) and vision loss (72 of 322 [22%]). A total of 219 of 322 patients (68%) received a final active neuro-ophthalmic diagnosis, 222 of 322 patients (69%) were cases of high or very high complexity, and 143 of 322 patients (44%) required admission. Inpatient consultations (n = 172) were requested most frequently by hospitalists, including neurologists (71 of 172 [41%]) and oncologists (20 of 172 [12%]) for vision loss (43 of 172 [25%]) and eye movement disorders (36 of 172 [21%]) and by neurosurgeons (58 of 172 [33%]) for examination for mass or a preoperative evaluation (19 of 172 [11%]). An active neuro-ophthalmic diagnosis was confirmed in 67% of patients (116 of 172). Outpatient neuro-ophthalmology follow-up was required for 291 of 494 patients (59%). CONCLUSIONS: Neuro-ophthalmology consultations are critical to the diagnosis and management in the hospital setting. In the face of a critical shortage of neuro-ophthalmologists, this study highlights the need for technological and diagnostic aids for greater outpatient access. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.


Asunto(s)
Neurología , Oftalmología , Adulto , Humanos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Pacientes Internos , Derivación y Consulta , Estudios Prospectivos
10.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(26): 701-706, 2023 Jun 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37384552

RESUMEN

Each year, infections from major foodborne pathogens are responsible for an estimated 9.4 million illnesses, 56,000 hospitalizations, and 1,350 deaths in the United States (1). To evaluate progress toward prevention of enteric infections in the United States, the Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network (FoodNet) conducts surveillance for laboratory-diagnosed infections caused by eight pathogens transmitted commonly through food at 10 U.S. sites. During 2020-2021, FoodNet detected decreases in many infections that were due to behavioral modifications, public health interventions, and changes in health care-seeking and testing practices during the COVID-19 pandemic. This report presents preliminary estimates of pathogen-specific annual incidences during 2022, compared with average annual incidences during 2016-2018, the reference period for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services' Healthy People 2030 targets (2). Many pandemic interventions ended by 2022, resulting in a resumption of outbreaks, international travel, and other factors leading to enteric infections. During 2022, annual incidences of illnesses caused by the pathogens Campylobacter, Salmonella, Shigella, and Listeria were similar to average annual incidences during 2016-2018; however, incidences of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC), Yersinia, Vibrio, and Cyclospora illnesses were higher. Increasing culture-independent diagnostic test (CIDT) usage likely contributed to increased detection by identifying infections that would have remained undetected before widespread CIDT usage. Reducing pathogen contamination during poultry slaughter and processing of leafy greens requires collaboration among food growers and processors, retail stores, restaurants, and regulators.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Humanos , Animales , Incidencia , Pandemias , Espera Vigilante , COVID-19/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología
11.
J Neuroophthalmol ; 43(1): 55-62, 2023 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36166790

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Radiologic findings of intracranial hypertension (RAD-IH) are common in idiopathic intracranial hypertension (IIH) patients. Paralleling the increasing rates of obesity, the burden of IIH is growing. Urgent neuro-ophthalmology consultations for possible IIH in patients with incidentally detected RAD-IH are increasing, with many patients receiving unnecessary lumbar punctures (LPs) and treatments. This retrospective observational study aimed to determine the prevalence of neuro-ophthalmology consultations for RAD-IH, rate of funduscopic examination by referring providers, prevalence of papilledema, outcomes after neuro-ophthalmic evaluation, and rates of misdiagnosis. METHODS: Records of 1,262 consecutive new patients seen in one neuro-ophthalmology clinic from January 2019 to January 2020 were reviewed. We identified patients who were: 1) referred with concern for IIH because of findings of RAD-IH; 2) referred for "papilledema"; 3) referred with a diagnosis of IIH; and 4) referred for spontaneous cranial cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leaks. In addition to basic demographic profiles for all groups, detailed information was collected for patients referred solely for RAD-IH, including referral patterns, prior history of IIH, previous LPs, prior medical or surgical treatment(s), risk factors for increased intracranial pressure (ICP), presenting symptoms, radiologic features observed on neuroimaging, and final disposition. When available, the neuroimaging was reviewed by an expert neuroradiologist. RESULTS: Of 1,262 consecutive new patients, 66 (5%) were referred specifically for RAD-IH; most referrals came from neurologists (58%); 8/66 (12%) patients had papilledema; 16/66 (24%) patients had prior LP and 13/66 (20%) were already treated based on MRI findings; and 22/66 (33%) patients had ≤2 RAD-IH. Only 34/66 (52%) of patients referred for RAD-IH had prior funduscopic examinations. We confirmed papilledema in 26/82 (32%) patients referred for "papilledema." Only 29/83 (35%) patients referred with a diagnosis of IIH had active papilledema, and 3/16 (19%) patients with spontaneous CSF leaks had papilledema. In total, 247/1,262 (20%) new patients were referred to our clinic over 1 year with concern for IIH, among whom only 66 (27%) were confirmed to have active IIH with papilledema. CONCLUSIONS: One in 5 new patient referrals seen in our neuro-ophthalmology clinic were referred because of concern for increased ICP, but only 1/4 had active papilledema. Most patients referred for isolated RAD-IH do not have papilledema, many having undergone unnecessary LPs and treatments. The burden of these "rule-out IIH" consultations is overwhelming and will only continue to increase with the concurrent rise of obesity and IIH, straining the already limited neuro-ophthalmologic resources available in the US.


Asunto(s)
Hipertensión Intracraneal , Papiledema , Seudotumor Cerebral , Humanos , Seudotumor Cerebral/complicaciones , Seudotumor Cerebral/diagnóstico , Seudotumor Cerebral/epidemiología , Lipopolisacáridos , Hipertensión Intracraneal/diagnóstico , Papiledema/diagnóstico , Papiledema/epidemiología , Papiledema/etiología , Obesidad/complicaciones , Neuroimagen , Pérdida de Líquido Cefalorraquídeo/diagnóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos
12.
Foodborne Pathog Dis ; 20(9): 414-418, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37578455

RESUMEN

CDC and health departments investigate foodborne disease outbreaks to identify a source. To generate and test hypotheses about vehicles, investigators typically compare exposure prevalence among case-patients with the general population using a one-sample binomial test. We propose a Bayesian alternative that also accounts for uncertainty in the estimate of exposure prevalence in the reference population. We compared exposure prevalence in a 2020 outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7 illnesses linked to leafy greens with 2018-2019 FoodNet Population Survey estimates. We ran prospective simulations using our Bayesian approach at three time points during the investigation. The posterior probability that leafy green consumption prevalence was higher than the general population prevalence increased as additional case-patients were interviewed. Probabilities were >0.70 for multiple leafy green items 2 weeks before the exact binomial p-value was statistically significant. A Bayesian approach to assessing exposure prevalence among cases could be superior to the one-sample binomial test typically used during foodborne outbreak investigations.


Asunto(s)
Escherichia coli O157 , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Prevalencia , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades
13.
Foodborne Pathog Dis ; 20(12): 579-586, 2023 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37699246

RESUMEN

Listeria monocytogenes can cause severe foodborne illness, including miscarriage during pregnancy or death in newborn infants. When outbreaks of L. monocytogenes illness occur, it may be possible to determine the food source of the outbreak. However, most reported L. monocytogenes illnesses do not occur as part of a recognized outbreak and most of the time the food source of sporadic L. monocytogenes illness in people cannot be determined. In the United States, L. monocytogenes isolates from patients, foods, and environments are routinely sequenced and analyzed by whole genome multilocus sequence typing (wgMLST) for outbreak detection by PulseNet, the national molecular surveillance system for foodborne illnesses. We investigated whether machine learning approaches applied to wgMLST allele call data could assist in attribution analysis of food source of L. monocytogenes isolates. We compiled isolates with a known source from five food categories (dairy, fruit, meat, seafood, and vegetable) using the metadata of L. monocytogenes isolates in PulseNet, deduplicated closely genetically related isolates, and developed random forest models to predict the food sources of isolates. Prediction accuracy of the final model varied across the food categories; it was highest for meat (65%), followed by fruit (45%), vegetable (45%), dairy (44%), and seafood (37%); overall accuracy was 49%, compared with the naive prediction accuracy of 28%. Our results show that random forest can be used to capture genetically complex features of high-resolution wgMLST for attribution of isolates to their sources.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Listeria monocytogenes , Listeriosis , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Listeriosis/epidemiología , Bosques Aleatorios , Microbiología de Alimentos , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Tipificación de Secuencias Multilocus , Brotes de Enfermedades , Verduras , Genómica
14.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 28(1): 210-213, 2022 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34932459

RESUMEN

We sought to determine which Salmonella serotypes cause illness related to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States and to foods disproportionately eaten then (e.g., turkey). Using routine surveillance for 1998-2018 and a case-crossover design, we found serotype Reading to be most strongly associated with Thanksgiving.


Asunto(s)
Vacaciones y Feriados , Salmonella , Animales , Salmonella/genética , Serogrupo , Pavos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
15.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 28(6): 1117-1127, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35608555

RESUMEN

Foodborne outbreaks reported to national surveillance systems represent a subset of all outbreaks in the United States; not all outbreaks are detected, investigated, and reported. We described the structural factors and outbreak characteristics of outbreaks reported during 2009-2018. We categorized states (plus DC) as high (highest quintile), middle (middle 3 quintiles), or low (lowest quintile) reporters on the basis of the number of reported outbreaks per 10 million population. Analysis revealed considerable variation across states in the number and types of foodborne outbreaks reported. High-reporting states reported 4 times more outbreaks than low reporters. Low reporters were more likely than high reporters to report larger outbreaks and less likely to implicate a setting or food vehicle; however, we did not observe a significant difference in the types of food vehicles identified. Per capita funding was strongly associated with increased reporting. Investments in public health programming have a measurable effect on outbreak reporting.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Humanos , Vigilancia de la Población , Salud Pública , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
16.
Epidemiology ; 33(5): 633-641, 2022 09 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35580244

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Case-control studies are commonly used to explore factors associated with enteric bacterial diseases. Control of confounding is challenging due to a large number of exposures of interest and the low frequencies of many of them. METHODS: We evaluated nearest-neighbors matching in a case-control study (originally 1:1 matched, published in 2004) of sporadic Campylobacter infections that included information on 433 exposures in 2632 subjects during 1998-1999. We performed multiple imputations of missing data (m = 100) and calculated Gower distances between cases and controls using all possible confounders for each exposure in each dataset. We matched each case with ≤20 controls within a data-determined distance. We calculated odds ratios and population attributable fractions (PAFs). RESULTS: Examination of pairwise correlation between exposures found very strong associations for 1046 pairs of exposures. More than 100 exposures were associated with campylobacteriosis, including nearly all risk factors identified using the previously published approach that included only 16 exposures and some less studied, rare exposures such as consumption of chicken liver and raw clams. Consumption of chicken and nonpoultry meat had the highest PAFs (62% and 59%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Nearest-neighbors matching appear to provide an improved ability to examine rare exposures and better control for numerous highly associated confounders.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Campylobacter , Gastroenteritis , Infecciones por Campylobacter/epidemiología , Infecciones por Campylobacter/microbiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Humanos , Carne , Oportunidad Relativa , Factores de Riesgo , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
17.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 71(40): 1260-1264, 2022 Oct 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36201372

RESUMEN

To evaluate progress toward prevention of enteric infections in the United States, the Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network (FoodNet) conducts active population-based surveillance for laboratory-diagnosed infections caused by Campylobacter, Cyclospora, Listeria, Salmonella, Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC), Shigella, Vibrio, and Yersinia at 10 U.S. sites. This report summarizes preliminary 2021 data and describes changes in annual incidence compared with the average annual incidence for 2016-2018, the reference period for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services' (HHS) Healthy People 2030 goals for some pathogens (1). During 2021, the incidence of infections caused by Salmonella decreased, incidence of infections caused by Cyclospora, Yersinia, and Vibrio increased, and incidence of infections caused by other pathogens did not change. As in 2020, behavioral modifications and public health interventions implemented to control the COVID-19 pandemic might have decreased transmission of enteric infections (2). Other factors (e.g., increased use of telemedicine and continued increase in use of culture-independent diagnostic tests [CIDTs]) might have altered their detection or reporting (2). Much work remains to achieve HHS Healthy People 2030 goals, particularly for Salmonella infections, which are frequently attributed to poultry products and produce, and Campylobacter infections, which are frequently attributed to chicken products (3).


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Vibrio , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Pandemias , Vigilancia de la Población , Salmonella , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Espera Vigilante
18.
Epidemiol Infect ; 150: e183, 2022 10 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36280604

RESUMEN

Consumption of unpasteurised milk in the United States has presented a public health challenge for decades because of the increased risk of pathogen transmission causing illness outbreaks. We analysed Foodborne Disease Outbreak Surveillance System data to characterise unpasteurised milk outbreaks. Using Poisson and negative binomial regression, we compared the number of outbreaks and outbreak-associated illnesses between jurisdictions grouped by legal status of unpasteurised milk sale based on a May 2019 survey of state laws. During 2013-2018, 75 outbreaks with 675 illnesses occurred that were linked to unpasteurised milk; of these, 325 illnesses (48%) were among people aged 0-19 years. Of 74 single-state outbreaks, 58 (78%) occurred in states where the sale of unpasteurised milk was expressly allowed. Compared with jurisdictions where retail sales were prohibited (n = 24), those where sales were expressly allowed (n = 27) were estimated to have 3.2 (95% CI 1.4-7.6) times greater number of outbreaks; of these, jurisdictions where sale was allowed in retail stores (n = 14) had 3.6 (95% CI 1.3-9.6) times greater number of outbreaks compared with those where sale was allowed on-farm only (n = 13). This study supports findings of previously published reports indicating that state laws resulting in increased availability of unpasteurised milk are associated with more outbreak-associated illnesses and outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos , Leche , Animales , Humanos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Enfermedades Transmitidas por los Alimentos/epidemiología , Leche/legislación & jurisprudencia , Leche/normas , Salud Pública , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Pasteurización
19.
J Neuroophthalmol ; 42(2): 256-259, 2022 06 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35195545

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The Neurological Pupil index (NPi) provides a quantitative assessment of pupil reactivity and may have prognostic value in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). We aimed to explore associations between the NPi and clinical outcomes in patients with SAH. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 79 consecutive patients with acute SAH. Age, sex, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-II score, and respiratory failure and NPi in each eye were recorded at admission. The primary outcomes included death and poor clinical outcome (defined as inpatient death, care withdrawal, or discharge Glasgow Outcome Score <4). Groups were compared using the Fisher exact test, and predictive models developed with fast-and-frugal trees (FFTs). RESULTS: A total of 53 patients were included: 21 (40%) had poor clinical outcomes and 2 (4%) died. Univariate analysis found that only APACHE-II score (P < 0.001) and respiratory failure (P = 0.04) were significantly associated with poor clinical outcomes. NPi was lower among patients with poor clinical outcomes (mean 4.3 in the right eye and 4.2 in the left eye) vs those without (mean 4.5 in the right eye and 4.5 in the left eye), but neither was significant. However, the most accurate FFTs for death and poor clinical outcome included NPi after accounting for age in the death FFT and APACHE-II score in the poor outcome FFT (sensitivity [sn] = 100%, specificity [sp] = 94%, and accuracy (ac) = 94% in a model for death; sn = 100%, sp = 50%, and ac = 70%) in a model for poor clinical outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Our study supports the NPi as a useful prognostic marker for poor outcomes in acute SAH after accounting for age and APACHE-II score.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Respiratoria , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea , Humanos , Pronóstico , Pupila , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/complicaciones , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/complicaciones , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/diagnóstico
20.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(Suppl 1): S5-S16, 2021 07 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33909072

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Late sequelae of COVID-19 have been reported; however, few studies have investigated the time course or incidence of late new COVID-19-related health conditions (post-COVID conditions) after COVID-19 diagnosis. Studies distinguishing post-COVID conditions from late conditions caused by other etiologies are lacking. Using data from a large administrative all-payer database, we assessed type, association, and timing of post-COVID conditions following COVID-19 diagnosis. METHODS: Using the Premier Healthcare Database Special COVID-19 Release (release date, 20 October 2020) data, during March-June 2020, 27 589 inpatients and 46 857 outpatients diagnosed with COVID-19 (case-patients) were 1:1 matched with patients without COVID-19 through the 4-month follow-up period (control-patients) by using propensity score matching. In this matched-cohort study, adjusted ORs were calculated to assess for late conditions that were more common in case-patients than control-patients. Incidence proportion was calculated for conditions that were more common in case-patients than control-patients during 31-120 days following a COVID-19 encounter. RESULTS: During 31-120 days after an initial COVID-19 inpatient hospitalization, 7.0% of adults experienced ≥1 of 5 post-COVID conditions. Among adult outpatients with COVID-19, 7.7% experienced ≥1 of 10 post-COVID conditions. During 31-60 days after an initial outpatient encounter, adults with COVID-19 were 2.8 times as likely to experience acute pulmonary embolism as outpatient control-patients and also more likely to experience a range of conditions affecting multiple body systems (eg, nonspecific chest pain, fatigue, headache, and respiratory, nervous, circulatory, and gastrointestinal symptoms) than outpatient control-patients. CONCLUSIONS: These findings add to the evidence of late health conditions possibly related to COVID-19 in adults following COVID-19 diagnosis and can inform healthcare practice and resource planning for follow-up COVID-19 care.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Pacientes Ambulatorios , Adulto , Prueba de COVID-19 , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Pacientes Internos , SARS-CoV-2 , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
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