Blood-based tumor fibrosis markers as diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers in patients with biliary tract cancer.

Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is characterized by a desmoplastic extracellular matrix (ECM). We tested the diagnostic and prognostic use of seven circulating biomarkers of ECM remodeling: pro-peptides of type III collagen (PRO-C3), VI (PRO-C6) and XI (PRO-C11), matrix metalloprotease (MMP) degraded type III collagen (C3M) and type IV collagen (C4M) fragments, granzyme B degraded type IV collagen fragments (C4G) and MMP degraded and citrullinated vimentin (VICM) a marker of macrophage activation. The study included 269 patients with all stages of BTC and 49 patients with benign biliary tract diseases. Serum samples from BTC patients were collected before surgery, or before first- or second-line chemotherapy. C3M, C4M, PRO-C3, PRO-C6, PRO-C11 and VICM levels were elevated in patients with BTC compared to patients with benign disease. Receiver operating characteristics curve analyses identified PRO-C3 (area under curve [AUC] = 0.87) as the ECM marker with the best diagnostic performance. The ECM biomarkers correlated with inflammation biomarkers (C-reactive protein [CRP], interleukin-6 [IL-6] and YKL-40) but not with CA19-9. To investigate prognostic performance, patients were split into three cohorts (first-line, second-line and surgery). Elevated ECM biomarker levels were associated with short overall survival (OS), but only pretreatment PRO-C3 and PRO-C6 were associated with OS in both the first-line and second-line settings when adjusting for CA19-9, performance status and stage in a multivariate Cox-regression analyses. Our results indicate that collagen remodeling is increased in patients with BTC and associated with survival. The collagen pro-peptides (PRO-C3 and PRO-C6) could be used as novel biomarkers in these patients.

A randomized phase II study of full dose gemcitabine versus reduced dose gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel in vulnerable patients with non-resectable pancreatic cancer (DPCG-01).

BACKGROUND: According to current evidence, the best treatment for fit patients with non-resectable pancreatic cancer (PC) is combination chemotherapy, whereas frail patients are recommended gemcitabine (Gem) monotherapy. Randomized controlled trials in colorectal cancer and a post-hoc analysis of gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel (GemNab) in PC suggest, however, that reduced dose of combination chemotherapy may be feasible and more efficient compared to monotherapy in frail patients. The aim of this study is to investigate whether reduced dose GemNab is superior to full dose Gem in patients with resectable PC, who are not candidates for full dose combination chemotherapy in first line. METHODS: The Danish Pancreas Cancer Group (DPCG)-01 trial is a national multicenter prospective randomized phase II trial. A total of 100 patients in ECOG performance status 0-2 with non-resectable PC, not candidate for full dose combination chemotherapy in first line, but eligible for full dose Gem, will be included. Patients are randomized 1:1 to either full dose Gem or GemNab in 80% of recommended dose. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival. Secondary endpoints are overall survival, overall response rate, quality of life, toxicity and rate of hospitalizations during treatment. The correlation between blood inflammatory markers, including YKL-40 and IL-6, circulating tumor DNA, and tissue biomarkers of resistance to chemotherapy and outcome will be explored. Finally, the study will include measures of frailty (G8, modified G8, and chair-stand-test) to assess whether scoring would enable a personalized allocation to different treatments or indicates a possibility for interventions. DISCUSSION: Single-drug treatment with Gem has for frail patients with non-resectable PC been the main treatment option for more than thirty years, but the impact on outcome is modest. If improved results and sustained tolerability with reduced dose combination chemotherapy can be shown, this could change the future practice for this increasing group of patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05841420. Secondary Identifying No: N-20210068. EudraCT No: 2021-005067-52. PROTOCOL VERSION: 1.5, 16-MAY-2023.

Fibrotic activity quantified in serum by measurements of type III collagen pro-peptides can be used for prognosis across different solid tumor types.

Due to activation of fibroblast into cancer-associated fibroblasts, there is often an increased deposition of extracellular matrix and fibrillar collagens, e.g. type III collagen, in the tumor microenvironment (TME) that leads to tumor fibrosis (desmoplasia). Tumor fibrosis is closely associated with treatment response and poor prognosis for patients with solid tumors. To assure that the best possible treatment option is provided for patients, there is medical need for identifying patients with high (or low) fibrotic activity in the TME. Measuring unique collagen fragments such as the pro-peptides released into the bloodstream during fibrillar collagen deposition in the TME can provide a non-invasive measure of the fibrotic activity. Based on data from 8 previously published cohorts, this review provides insight into the prognostic value of quantifying tumor fibrosis by measuring the pro-peptide of type III collagen in serum of a total of 1692 patients with different solid tumor types and discusses the importance of tumor fibrosis for understanding prognosis and for potentially guiding future drug development efforts that aim at overcoming the poor outcome associated with a fibrotic TME.

Type XX Collagen Is Elevated in Circulation of Patients with Solid Tumors.

In the tumor microenvironment, the extracellular matrix (ECM) has been recognized as an important part of cancer development. The dominant ECM proteins are the 28 types of collagens, each with a unique function in tissue architecture. Type XX collagen, however, is poorly characterized, and little is known about its involvement in cancer. We developed an ELISA quantifying type XX collagen, named PRO-C20, using a monoclonal antibody raised against the C-terminus. PRO-C20 and PRO-C1, an ELISA targeting the N-terminal pro-peptide of type I collagen, was measured in sera of 219 patients with various solid cancer types and compared to sera levels of 33 healthy controls. PRO-C20 was subsequently measured in a separate cohort comprising 36 patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and compared to 20 healthy controls and 11 patients with chronic pancreatitis. PRO-C20 was significantly elevated in all cancers tested: bladder, breast, colorectal, head and neck, kidney, lung, melanoma, ovarian, pancreatic, prostate, and stomach cancer (p < 0.01−p < 0.0001). PRO-C1 was only elevated in patients with ovarian cancer. PRO-C20 could discriminate between patients and healthy controls with AUROC values ranging from 0.76 to 0.92. Elevated levels were confirmed in a separate cohort of patients with PDAC (p < 0.0001). High PRO-C20 levels (above 2.57 nM) were predictive of poor survival after adjusting for the presence of metastasis, age, and sex (HR: 4.25, 95% CI: 1.52−11.9, p-value: 0.006). Circulating type XX collagen is elevated in sera of patients with various types of cancer and has prognostic value in PDAC. If validated, PRO-C20 may be a novel biomarker for patients with solid tumors and can help understand the ECM biology of cancer.

Noninvasive prognostic biomarker potential of quantifying the propeptides of Type XI collagen alpha-1 chain (PRO-C11) in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Type XI collagen has been associated with tumor fibrosis and aggressiveness in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The propeptide on Type XI collagen is released into the circulation after proteolytic processing at either amino acid 253 or 511. This allows for a noninvasive biomarker approach to quantify Type XI collagen production. We developed two ELISA-based biomarkers, targeting the two enzymatic cleavage sites (PRO-C11-253 and PRO-C11-511). In a discovery cohort including serum from patients with PDAC (n = 39, Stages 1-4), chronic pancreatitis (CP, n = 12) and healthy controls (n = 20), PRO-C11-511, but not PRO-C11-253, was significantly upregulated in patients with PDAC and CP compared to healthy controls. Furthermore, PRO-C11-511 levels >75th percentile were associated with poor overall survival (OS) (HR, 95% CI: 3.40, 1.48-7.83). The PRO-C11-511 biomarker potential was validated in serum from 686 patients with PDAC. Again, high levels of PRO-C11-511 (>75th percentile) were associated with poor OS (HR, 95% CI: 1.68, 1.40-2.02). Furthermore, PRO-C11-511 remained significant after adjusting for clinical risk factors (HR, 95% CI: 1.50, 1.22-1.86). In conclusion, quantifying serum levels of Type XI collagen with PRO-C11-511 predicts poor OS in patients with PDAC. This supports that Type XI collagen is important for PDAC biology and that PRO-C11-511 has prognostic noninvasive biomarker potential for patients with PDAC.

Clinical value of serum hyaluronan and propeptide of type III collagen in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Hyaluronan (HA) and collagen are highly expressed in pancreatic cancer (PC) stroma. HA and collagen accumulation increase tumor interstitial fluid pressure, compromising blood flow and drug penetration. The aim of this biomarker study was to determine the clinical utility of serum HA and the propeptide of type III collagen (PRO-C3) in patients with PC. A cohort from the Danish BIOPAC study (NCT03311776) including patients with histologically confirmed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (n = 809), ampullary carcinoma (n = 44), distal biliary tract cancer (n = 31), chronic pancreatitis (n = 15), intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (n = 41), duodenal adenoma (n = 7) and no cancer (n = 25). Healthy controls were available for serum HA (n = 141) and PRO-C3 (n = 8). The main outcome was overall survival (OS) of patients with PC in relation to pretreatment serum HA and PRO-C3 levels. Patients with PC had higher baseline serum HA and PRO-C3 than healthy subjects and patients with benign conditions. Pretreatment serum baseline HA and PRO-C3 in patients with PC were associated with poorer survival and PRO-C3 remained prognostic also after adjusting for age, performance status, stage, the presence of liver and peritoneum metastasis, and CA19-9. Detection of HA and PRO-C3 may be useful in differentiating between malignant and benign pancreatic conditions. Serum HA and PRO-C3 were prognostic for OS in patients with PC.

Prognostic impact of Charlson's Age-Comorbidity Index and other risk factors in patients with pancreatic cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Few studies have evaluated the impact of risk factors and comorbidity on overall survival (OS) in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The aim was to investigate the prognostic importance of Charlson's age-comorbidity index (CACI) and other risk factors on prognosis in a clinical real-world cohort of PDAC patients. METHODS: A total of 1,159 patients with PDAC who had received at least one cycle of adjuvant or palliative chemotherapy were included from the Danish BIOPAC study. We analysed OS according to CACI, tobacco smoking, alcohol intake, performance status (PS), BMI and diabetes. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for OS using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: At the end of follow-up, 994 (86%) patients had died. The median OS was 298 days for all patients (range 3-3010) and shortest in patients with stage IV. No association with short OS was seen for CACI > 2, diabetes, alcohol abuse, tobacco smoking, hypertension, and high BMI. Multivariate analysis showed that stage (IV vs. I: HR = 9.05, 95% CI 5.17-15.84), PS (2 vs. 0: HR = 3.67, 2.92-4.61) and treatment with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (yes vs. no: HR = 1.31, 1.06-1.61) were independent negative prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: We found that CACI, diabetes, tobacco smoking, alcohol abuse, hypertension, and high BMI were not associated with OS in a real-world cohort of patients with PDAC treated with chemotherapy. Only stage and PS were prognostic parameters.

Nivolumab With or Without Ipilimumab Combined with Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy in patients with Metastatic Biliary Tract Cancer: A Randomized Phase 2 Study.

PURPOSE: Evaluate the clinical benefits of nivolumab with/without ipilimumab combined with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in patients with pretreated metastatic biliary tract cancer (mBTC). EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: The study was a phase 2 randomized trial with Simon's optimal 2-stage design requiring 36 evaluable patients per group after second stage. Sixty-one patients were included from September 2018 to January 2022 and randomized (1:1) to receive SBRT (15 Gy × 1 on day one to a primary or metastatic lesion) and nivolumab (3 mg/kg intravenously on day one and every 2 weeks) with/without ipilimumab (1 mg/kg intravenously on day one and every 6 weeks). Primary endpoint was clinical benefit rate (CBR), defined as the percentage of patients with complete response, partial response or stable disease. Decision to continue accrual into the second stage depended on CBR from first stage. RESULTS: Forty-two patients received SBRT/nivolumab/ipilimumab with a CBR of 31.0% (95% CI, 17.6-47.1). Five patients (11.9%) achieved partial response with median duration of 4.4 months (range, 1.1-21.5). Nineteen patients received SBRT/nivolumab. This group was closed after the initial stage based on a CBR of 10.5% (95% CI, 1.3-33.1). Adverse events were graded with National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 4.0. Grade ≥3 treatment-related adverse events occurred in 13 (31%) and 3 (16%) patients in the SBRT/nivolumab/ipilimumab and SBRT/nivolumab groups, respectively. One patient died from immune-related hepatitis in the SBRT/nivolumab/ipilimumab group. CONCLUSION: Combining SBRT, nivolumab and ipilimumab is well tolerated, feasible, and shows response in a subgroup of patients with mBTC.

The fibroblast hormone endotrophin is a biomarker of mortality in chronic diseases.

Fibrosis, driven by fibroblast activities, is an important contributor to morbidity and mortality in most chronic diseases. Endotrophin, a signaling molecule derived from processing of type VI collagen by highly activated fibroblasts, is involved in fibrotic tissue remodeling. Circulating levels of endotrophin have been associated with an increased risk of mortality in multiple chronic diseases. We conducted a systematic literature review collecting evidence from original papers published between 2012 and January 2023 that reported associations between circulating endotrophin (PRO-C6) and mortality. Cohorts with data available to the study authors were included in an Individual Patient Data (IPD) meta-analysis that evaluated the association of PRO-C6 with mortality (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42023340215) after adjustment for age, sex and BMI, where available. In the IPD meta-analysis including sixteen cohorts of patients with different non-communicable chronic diseases (NCCDs) (N=15,205) the estimated summary hazard ratio for 3-years all-cause mortality was 2.10 (95% CI 1.75-2.52) for a 2-fold increase in PRO-C6, with some heterogeneity observed between the studies (I2=70%). This meta-analysis is the first study documenting that fibroblast activities, as quantified by circulating endotrophin, are independently associated with mortality across a broad range of NCCDs. This indicates that, irrespective of disease, interstitial tissue remodeling, and consequently fibroblast activities, has a central role in adverse clinical outcomes, and should be considered with urgency from drug developers as a target to treat.

Protein Signatures and Individual Circulating Proteins, including IL-6 and IL-15, Associated with Prognosis in Patients with Biliary Tract Cancer.

Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is a rare gastrointestinal cancer with a dismal prognosis. Biomarkers with clinical utility are needed. In this study, we investigated the association between survival and 89 immuno-oncology-related proteins, with the aim of identifying prognostic biomarkers for BTC. The study included patients with BTC (n = 394) treated at three Danish hospitals. Patients were divided into four cohorts: the first-line discovery cohort (n = 202), first-line validation cohort (n = 118), second-line cohort (n = 56), and surgery cohort (n = 41). Plasma protein levels were measured using a proximity extension assay (Olink Proteomics). Twenty-seven proteins were associated with overall survival (OS) in a multivariate analysis in the discovery cohort. In the first-line validation cohort, high levels of interleukin (IL)-6, IL-15, mucin 16, hepatocyte growth factor, programmed cell death ligand 1, and placental growth factor were significantly associated with poor OS in univariate Cox regression analyses. When adjusting for performance status, location, and stage, the association was significant only for IL-6 (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.25, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-1.46) and IL-15 (HR = 2.23, 95% CI 1.48-3.35). Receiver operating characteristic analyses confirmed IL-6 and IL-15 as the strongest predictors of survival. Combining several proteins into signatures further improved the ability to distinguish between patients with short (<6 months) and long survival (>18 months). The study identified several circulating proteins as prognostic biomarkers in patients, with BTC, IL-6, and IL-15 being the most promising markers. Combining proteins in a prognostic signature improved prognostic performance, but future studies are needed to determine the optimal combination and thresholds.

Combining sCD163 with CA 19-9 Increases the Predictiveness of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic potential of soluble CD163 (sCD163) in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Preoperative serum samples from 255 patients with PDAC were analyzed for sCD163 using a commercially available enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The diagnostic value of sCD163 was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The prognostic significance of sCD163 was evaluated by Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival curves. sCD163 was significantly increased in patients with PDAC, across all stages, compared to healthy subjects (stage 1: p value = 0.033; stage 2-4: p value ≤ 0.0001). ROC curves showed that sCD163 combined with CA 19-9 had the highest diagnostic potential compared to sCD163 and CA 19-9 alone both in patients with local PDAC and patients with advanced PDAC. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed no association between sCD163 and overall survival. This study found elevated levels of circulating sCD163 in patients with PDAC, regardless of stage, compared to healthy subjects. This suggests that sCD163 may have a clinical value as a novel diagnostic biomarker in PDAC.

Prognostic value of circulating proteins in patients undergoing surgery for pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is the fourth leading cause of cancer death. Less than 20% of patients are diagnosed with resectable disease. Identifying truly resectable disease is challenging because 20%-40% of the patients subjected to resection are found to have advanced disease during surgery. The aim of our study was to identify panels of circulating proteins that could be used to distinguish patients with unresectable PDAC from patients with resectable PDAC and to identify prognostic signatures for both groups. METHODS: We measured 92 circulating immuno-oncology-related proteins using the proximity extension assay from Olink Proteomics in 273 patients eligible for surgery for PDAC. Two bioinformaticians worked independently of one another on the same data. LASSO and Ridge regression were used in the statistical analyses. RESULTS: One protein index for determining resectability had an AUC value of 0.66. Several indices for prognosis had AUC values between 0.50 and 0.75 and were therefore not better than existing prognostic markers. DISCUSSION: Our study did not reveal any new high-performing protein panels that could be used to identify patients with inoperable PDAC before surgery. The panel of 92 proteins investigated has previously been found to be applicable for diagnostic use in patients with PDAC, but it does not seem to warrant further investigation regarding resectability in the subgroup of patients with PDAC referred to surgery.

Pre-existing TGF-ß-specific T-cell immunity in patients with pancreatic cancer predicts survival after checkpoint inhibitors combined with radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Circulating transforming growth factor-ß (TGF-ß)-specific T cells that recognize TGF-ß-expressing immune regulatory cells have been described in patients with cancer. TGF-ß-derived peptide vaccination modulates the tumor microenvironment and has shown clinical effects in animal models of pancreatic cancer (PC). TGF-ß-expressing regulatory cells are especially elevated in PC and may prevent the clinical response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Thus, in the present study we investigated the significance of TGF-ß-specific T-cell immunity in patients with PC treated with ICI combined with radiotherapy in a randomized phase 2 study (CheckPAC). METHODS: Immune responses to a TGF-ß-derived epitope entitled TGF-ß-15 as well as epitopes from Clostridium tetani (tetanus) and influenza were measured in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) with interferon-É£ enzyme-linked immunospot assays. PBMCs were isolated before and after treatment. Correlations between immune response data and clinical data were evaluated with parametric and non-parametric statistical methods. Survival was analyzed with univariate and multivariate Cox-regression. TGF-ß-15 specific T cells were isolated and expanded and examined for recognition of autologous regulatory immune cells by flow cytometry. RESULTS: PBMCs from 32 patients were analyzed for immune responses to the TGF-ß-derived epitope entitled TGF-ß-15. Patients with a strong TGF-ß-specific immune response at treatment initiation had longer progression-free and overall survival, compared with patients with a weak or no TGF-ß-specific immune response. This remained significant in multivariate analysis. Patients with weak and strong TGF-ß-specific responses displayed similar responses towards viral antigens. Furthermore, we show that TGF-ß-specific T cells from a clinical responder specifically reacted to and lysed autologous, regulatory immune cells. Finally, mimicking a TGF-ß-15 vaccination, we showed that repeated stimulations with the TGF-ß-15 epitope in vitro enhanced the immune response to TGF-ß-15. CONCLUSION: A strong TGF-ß-15 specific immune response was associated with clinical benefit and improved survival after ICI/radiotherapy for patients with PC. Importantly, the lack of TGF-ß-specific T cells in some patients was not caused by a general immune dysfunction. TGF-ß-specific T cells recognized regulatory immune cells and could be introduced in vitro in patients without spontaneous responses. Taken together, our data suggest that combining TGF-ß-based vaccination with ICI/radiotherapy will be beneficial for patients with PC.

High serum levels of the C-propetide of type V collagen (PRO-C5) are prognostic for short overall survival in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Introduction: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is characterized by a pronounced fibrotic tumor microenvironment, which impairs treatment response. Type I and V collagens are responsible for the densely packed fibrils in the tumor fibrosis environment. While the role of the major type I collagen in cancer is well described, less is known about the minor type V collagen. Quantifying collagen propeptides in serum has been shown to have prognostic and predictive value. In this study, we evaluated the clinical utility of measuring the propeptide of type V collagen (PRO-C5) in serum from a discovery cohort and a validation cohort of patients with PDAC as well as in non-pancreatic solid tumor types to explore the relevance of the PRO-C5 biomarker in cancer. Methods: Serum PRO-C5 was measured in three cohorts: a discovery cohort (19 healthy controls, 12 patients with chronic pancreatitis and 33 patients with PDAC (stage I-IV)), a validation cohort (800 patients with PDAC (stage I-IV)), and a non-pancreatic solid tumor type cohort of 33 healthy controls and 200 patients with 10 different non-pancreatic solid tumor types. The levels of serum PRO-C5 in patients with cancer were compared to levels in healthy controls. The association between PRO-C5 levels and overall survival (OS) was evaluated in patients with PDAC after adjusting for established prognostic factors. Results: PRO-C5 was significantly increased in serum from patients with PDAC compared to healthy controls (p < 0.001). High PRO-C5 levels were significantly associated with short OS in both the discovery- and the validation cohort, especially in early stages of PDAC (validation cohort stage II, HR = 2.0, 95%CI1.2-3.4). The association was independent of other prognostic parameters including stage, performance status and CA19-9. Furthermore, serum levels of PRO-C5 were significantly increased in serum from patients with other non-pancreatic solid tumor types compared to healthy controls. Conclusion: High levels of serum PRO-C5 is prognostic for short OS in patients with PDAC and may provide clinical value in many other tumor types beyond PDAC. This underlines the importance of type V collagen in tumor fibrosis. PRO-C5 could have the potential to be used in several aspects within drug discovery, patient stratification and drug efficacy.

Development and validation of circulating protein signatures as diagnostic biomarkers for biliary tract cancer.

Background & Aims: Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is associated with a dismal prognosis, partly because it is typically diagnosed late, highlighting the need for diagnostic biomarkers. The purpose of this project was to identify and validate multiprotein signatures that could differentiate patients with BTC from non-cancer controls. Methods: In this study, we included treatment-naïve patients with BTC, healthy controls, and patients with benign conditions including benign biliary tract disease. Participants were divided into three non-overlapping cohorts: a case-control-based discovery cohort (BTC = 186, controls = 249); a case-control-based validation cohort (validation cohort 1: BTC = 113, controls = 241); and a cohort study-based validation cohort including participants (BTC = 8, controls = 132) referred for diagnostic work-up for suspected cancer (validation cohort 2). Immuno-Oncology (I-O)-related proteins were measured in serum and plasma using a proximity extension assay (Olink Proteomics). Lasso and Ridge regressions were used to generate protein signatures of I-O-related proteins and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in the discovery cohort. Results: Sixteen protein signatures, including 2 to 82 proteins, were generated. All signatures included CA19-9 and chemokine C-C motif ligand 20. Signatures discriminated between patients with BTC vs. controls, with AUCs ranging from 0.95 to 0.99 in the discovery cohort and 0.94 to 0.97 in validation cohort 1. In validation cohort 2, AUCs ranged from 0.84 to 0.94. Nine signatures achieved a specificity of 82% to 84% while keeping a sensitivity of 100% in validation cohort 2. All signatures performed better than CA19-9, and signatures including >15 proteins showed the best performance. Conclusion: The study demonstrated that it is possible to generate protein signatures that can successfully differentiate patients with BTC from non-cancer controls. Impact and implications: We attempted to find blood sample-based protein profiles that could differentiate patients with biliary tract cancer from those without cancer. Several profiles were found and tested in different groups of patients. The profiles were successful at identifying most patients with biliary tract cancer, pointing towards the utility of multiprotein signatures in this context.

Pancreatic cancer symptom trajectories from Danish registry data and free text in electronic health records.

Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancer types with poor treatment options. Better detection of early symptoms and relevant disease correlations could improve pancreatic cancer prognosis. In this retrospective study, we used symptom and disease codes (ICD-10) from the Danish National Patient Registry (NPR) encompassing 6.9 million patients from 1994 to 2018,, of whom 23,592 were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. The Danish cancer registry included 18,523 of these patients. To complement and compare the registry diagnosis codes with deeper clinical data, we used a text mining approach to extract symptoms from free text clinical notes in electronic health records (3078 pancreatic cancer patients and 30,780 controls). We used both data sources to generate and compare symptom disease trajectories to uncover temporal patterns of symptoms prior to pancreatic cancer diagnosis for the same patients. We show that the text mining of the clinical notes was able to complement the registry-based symptoms by capturing more symptoms prior to pancreatic cancer diagnosis. For example, 'Blood pressure reading without diagnosis', 'Abnormalities of heartbeat', and 'Intestinal obstruction' were not found for the registry-based analysis. Chaining symptoms together in trajectories identified two groups of patients with lower median survival (<90 days) following the trajectories 'Cough→Jaundice→Intestinal obstruction' and 'Pain→Jaundice→Abnormal results of function studies'. These results provide a comprehensive comparison of the two types of pancreatic cancer symptom trajectories, which in combination can leverage the full potential of the health data and ultimately provide a fuller picture for detection of early risk factors for pancreatic cancer.

Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancer types. Scientists predict it will become the second largest cause of cancer-related deaths in 2030. It has few or no symptoms at early stages and often goes undetected for an extended period. As a result, patients are often diagnosed at an advanced stage when they have few treatment options and lower survival rates. Only 11 percent of patients with pancreatic cancer survive five years past their diagnosis. Earlier detection and surgery to remove the tumor increase patient survival to 42% at five years. Those who undergo surgery at the earliest stage have an 84% survival rate at five years. Developing ways to screen for and detect pancreatic cancer early could improve patient survival. Identifying early symptoms is critical. So far, studies show links between weight loss, abdominal pain, lower back pain, and new-onset diabetes and pancreatic cancer. But clinicians often overlook these symptoms or do not associate them with cancer. National health registries may be data sources that scientists can use to zoom in on early pancreatic symptoms and create alerts for clinicians. Hjaltelin, Novitski et al. identified potential pancreatic cancer symptoms using patient registry data and electronic health records. Hjaltelin, Novitski et al. extracted potential pancreatic cancer-related disease or symptom trajectories from 7 million patients listed in the Danish National Patient Registry. They also scoured clinical notes in 34,000 patients' electronic health records for symptoms. The electronic health records yielded more promising symptoms than the registry. But both data sources produced complementary information. The analysis showed that some symptoms, like jaundice, were associated with higher survival rates because they may lead to earlier diagnosis. The data so far suggest that symptoms leading up to a pancreatic cancer diagnosis may be nonspecific and not occur in a particular order. As the cancer progresses, symptoms may become more specific and severe. Further assessment of the study's results is necessary. Tools like artificial intelligence or advanced text mining may allow scientists identify more definitive early symptom trajectories and help clinicians identify patients earlier.

Plasma YKL-40 is associated with prognosis in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors in combination with radiotherapy.

Background: YKL-40, also known as chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1), is a secreted glycoprotein produced by various cell types including stromal, immune, and cancer cells. It contributes to cancer progression through tumor-promoting inflammation and has been shown to inhibit the cytotoxicity of T and NK lymphocytes. In vivo studies have demonstrated synergistic anti-cancer effects of blocking YKL-40 in combination with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Biomarkers for the prediction of the response to ICIs are highly needed. We investigated the association between plasma YKL-40 and clinical benefit and survival in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPC) receiving ICIs and stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT). Methods: Blood samples were collected from 84 patients with mPC who participated in the randomized phase II CheckPAC study, in which patients received nivolumab with or without ipilimumab combined with a single fraction of SBRT. Plasma YKL-40 was measured using a commercial ELISA kit. Results: Elevated baseline plasma YKL-40 was an independent predictor of shorter overall survival (OS) (HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.21-3.95). A ≥ 40% decrease in plasma YKL-40 during treatment was associated with longer progression-free survival (p = 0.009) and OS (p = 0.0028). There was no correlation between plasma YKL-40 and the tumor burden marker CA19-9 at baseline or during treatment. Conclusion: This study contributes new knowledge regarding YKL-40 as a predictor of clinical benefit from ICIs and radiotherapy. These exploratory results warrant further investigation of YKL-40 as a biomarker for patients treated with immunotherapies. Clinical trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov, identifier NCT02866383.

Phase 2 study of ipilimumab, nivolumab, and tocilizumab combined with stereotactic body radiotherapy in patients with refractory pancreatic cancer (TRIPLE-R).

BACKGROUND: Interleukin-6 blockade and radiation combined with immunotherapy may modulate the tumour microenvironment to overcome immune resistance. We assessed the efficacy of ipilimumab, nivolumab, and tocilizumab combined with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in patients with refractory pancreatic cancer (PC). METHODS: Patients with PC who had progressive disease (PD) or intolerance to gemcitabine- or fluorouracil-containing regimens were enrolled in Part A of the two-part, single-centre, phase 2 study (NCT04258150). SBRT with 15 Gy was administered on day one of the first cycle. Ipilimumab was administered (1 mg/kg every 6 weeks) for a maximum of two infusions. Nivolumab (6 mg/kg) and tocilizumab (8 mg/kg) were given every four weeks until the PD or unacceptable toxicity, or for up to one year. The primary end-point was the objective response rate, with a threshold of 15%. RESULTS: Twenty-six patients were enrolled and treated between April 17, 2020, and January 25, 2021. The median follow-up time at the time of data cutoff (February 7, 2022) was 4.9 months (interquartile range 2.1-7.7). No responses were observed. Five patients (19%; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 7-39) achieved a stable disease. The median progression-free survival was 1.6 months (95% CI 1.4-1.7), and the median overall survival was 5.3 months (95% CI 2.3-8.0). Overall, 19 (73%) experienced adverse events related to the treatment including two (8%) with grade 3 or higher events. CONCLUSION: The combination of ipilimumab, nivolumab, tocilizumab, and SBRT in patients with PC did not meet the prespecified criteria for expansion for full accrual.

Circulating Protein Biomarkers for Prognostic Use in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Undergoing Chemotherapy.

Patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) have a dismal prognosis. We aimed to find a prognostic protein signature for overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced PDAC, and to explore whether early changes in circulating-protein levels could predict survival. We investigated 92 proteins using the Olink Immuno-Oncology panel in serum samples from 363 patients with advanced PDAC. Protein panels for several survival cut-offs were developed independently by two bioinformaticians using LASSO and Ridge regression models. Two panels of proteins discriminated patients with OS < 90 days from those with OS > 2 years. Index I (CSF-1, IL-6, PDCD1, TNFRSF12A, TRAIL, TWEAK, and CA19-9) had AUCs of 0.99 (95% CI: 0.98−1) (discovery cohort) and 0.89 (0.74−1) (replication cohort). For Index II (CXCL13, IL-6, PDCD1, and TNFRSF12A), the corresponding AUCs were 0.97 (0.93−1) and 0.82 (0.68−0.96). Four proteins (ANGPT2, IL-6, IL-10, and TNFRSF12A) were associated with survival across all treatment groups. Longitudinal samples revealed several changes, including four proteins that were also part of the prognostic signatures (CSF-1, CXCL13, IL-6, TNFRSF12A). This study identified two circulating-protein indices with the potential to identify patients with advanced PDAC with very short OS and with long OS.

Type XXII Collagen Complements Fibrillar Collagens in the Serological Assessment of Tumor Fibrosis and the Outcome in Pancreatic Cancer.

Circulating fragments of type III collagen, measured by PRO-C3, has shown promising results as a tumor fibrosis biomarker. However, the fibrotic tumor microenvironment consists of many other collagens with diverse functions and unexplored biomarker potential. One example hereof is type XXII collagen (COL22). In this study, we investigated the biomarker potential of COL22 by measuring this in serum. An ELISA, named PRO-C22, was developed and measured in two serum cohorts consisting of patients with various solid tumors (n = 220) and healthy subjects (n = 33) (Cohort 1), and patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) (n = 34), and healthy subjects (n = 20) (Cohort 2). In Cohort 1, PRO-C22 was elevated in the serum from patients with solid tumors, compared to healthy subjects (p < 0.01 to p < 0.0001), and the diagnostic accuracy (AUROC) ranged from 0.87 to 0.98, p < 0.0001. In Cohort 2, the high levels of PRO-C22, in patients with PDAC, were predictive of a worse overall survival (HR = 4.52, 95% CI 1.90−10.7, p = 0.0006) and this remained significant after adjusting for PRO-C3 (HR = 4.27, 95% CI 1.24−10.4, p = 0.0013). In conclusion, PRO-C22 has diagnostic biomarker potential in various solid tumor types and prognostic biomarker potential in PDAC. Furthermore, PRO-C22 complemented PRO-C3 in predicting mortality, suggesting an additive prognostic value when quantifying different collagens.