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Objective: To investigate the clinical utility of multi-parameter MRI-based radiomics nomogram for predicting telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter mutation status and prognosis in adult glioblastoma (GBM). Methods: We retrospectively analyzed MRI and pathological data of 152 GBM patients. A total of 2,832 radiomics features were extracted and filtered from preoperative MRI images. A radiomics nomogram was created on the basis of radiomics signature (rad-score) and clinical traits. The performance of the nomogram in TERT mutation identification was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, and clinical decision curves. Pathologically confirmed TERT mutations and risk score-based TERT mutations were employed to assess patient prognosis, respectively. Results: The random forest (RF) algorithm outperformed the other two algorithms, yielding the best diagnostic efficacy in differentiating TERT mutations, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.892 (95% CI: 0.828-0.956) and 0.824 (95% CI: 0.677-0.971) in the training set and validation sets, respectively. Furthermore, the predictive power of the radiomics nomogram constructed with the rad-score and clinical variables reached 0.916 (95%CI: 0.864, 0.968) in the training set and 0.880 (95%CI: 0.743, 1) in the validation set. Calibration curve and decision curve analysis findings further uphold the clinical application value of the radiomics nomogram. The overall survival of the high-risk subgroup was significantly shorter than that of the low-risk subgroup, which was consistent with the results of the pathologically confirmed TERT mutation group. Conclusion: The radiomics nomogram could non-invasively provide promising insights for predicting TERT mutations and prognosis in GBM patients with excellent identification and calibration abilities.
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BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The presence of TERT promoter mutations has been associated with worse prognosis and resistance to therapy for patients with glioblastoma (GBM). This study aimed to determine whether the combination model of different feature selections and classification algorithms based on multiparameter MRI can be used to predict TERT subtype in GBM patients. METHODS: A total of 143 patients were included in our retrospective study, and 2553 features were obtained. The datasets were randomly divided into training and test sets in a ratio of 7:3. The synthetic minority oversampling technique was used to achieve data balance. The Pearson correlation coefficients were used for dimension reduction. Three feature selections and five classification algorithms were used to model the selected features. Finally, 10-fold cross validation was applied to the training dataset. RESULTS: A model with eight features generated by recursive feature elimination (RFE) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA) showed the greatest diagnostic performance (area under the curve values for the training, validation, and testing sets: 0.983, 0.964, and 0.926, respectively), followed by relief and random forest (RF), analysis of variance and RF. Furthermore, the relief was the optimal feature selection for separately evaluating those five classification algorithms, and RF was the most preferable algorithm for separately assessing the three feature selectors. ADC entropy was the parameter that made the greatest contribution to the discrimination of TERT mutations. CONCLUSIONS: Radiomics model generated by RFE and LDA mainly based on ADC entropy showed good performance in predicting TERT promoter mutations in GBM.