Clinical Prediction of Iron Deficiency at Age 2 Years: A National Cross-sectional Study in France.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the diagnostic accuracy of existing clinical criteria and to develop prediction tools for iron deficiency in 2-year-old children. STUDY DESIGN: In a national cross-sectional study conducted in primary care pediatricians' practices throughout France, 2-year-old children were consecutively included (2016-2017). Multivariable logistic regression modeling and bootstrapping were used to develop several clinical models to predict iron deficiency (serum ferritin <12 µg/L). These models used the best criteria and combinations among the American Academy of Pediatrics' (AAP) criteria adapted to the European context (n = 10), then all potential predictors (n = 19). One model was then simplified into a simple prediction tool. RESULTS: Among 568 included infants, 38 had iron deficiency (6.7%). In univariable analyses, no significant association with iron deficiency was observed for 8 of the 10 adapted AAP criteria. Three criteria (both parents born outside the European Union, low weight at 1 year old, and weaning to cow's milk without supplemental iron) were retained in the AAP model, which area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.62 (95% CI, 0.58-0.67), 30% (95% CI, 22%-39%), and 95% (95% CI, 92%-97%), respectively. Four criteria were retained in a newly derived simple prediction tool (≥1 criterion among the 3 previous plus duration of iron-rich formula consumption <12 months), which area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.72 (95% CI, 0.65-0.79), 63% (95% CI, 47%-80%), and 81% (95% CI, 70%-91%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: All prediction tools achieved acceptable diagnostic accuracy. The newly derived simple prediction tool offered potential ease of use. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02484274.

Sickness behavior in feverish children is independent of the severity of fever. An observational, multicenter study.

BACKGROUND. OBJECTIVES: Behavioral changes in a febrile child are usually considered to stem from the fever. We studied sickness behavior (SB) in terms of its clinical components and its relation to fever. METHODS: This observational, multicenter study included children aged 6 months to 3 years who were either febrile (fever ≥12 hours, ≥ 39°C and ≥38°C at inclusion) or non-febrile and well. The child had to have been awake for the 2 hours preceding the consultation and cared for by the parent who brought him/her to the doctor. SB was evaluated according to 6 parameters over this 2-hour period: time spent playing, distance covered, time spent seeking comfort, time spent whining or crying, time spent in a state of irritation or of anger, most distorted facial expression. Two parameters were assessed for the 24-hour period preceding the consultation: time spent sleeping and appetite. The parent reported the degree of change in these parameters compared with the usual situation, using rating scales. RESULTS: 200 febrile children (most with nonspecific upper respiratory infections) and 200 non-febrile children were included. The mean values of the 8 parameters differed significantly (p<0.001) between the 2 groups and were independent of the height of fever at inclusion in the febrile children. In the study conditions, paracetamol failed to improve SB when the child was still feverish. CONCLUSION: The 8 parameters suggested that SB and fever are two independent manifestations that are activated simultaneously during an infection. This independence is in harmony with recommendations to treat the discomfort of SB and not the fever.