Comparing COVID-19 physical distancing policies: results from a physical distancing intensity coding framework for Botswana, India, Jamaica, Mozambique, Namibia, Ukraine, and the United States.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the differences in timing and composition of physical distancing policies is important to evaluate the early global response to COVID-19. A physical distancing intensity monitoring framework comprising 16 domains was recently published to compare physical distancing approaches across 12 U.S. States. We applied this framework to a diverse set of low and middle-income countries (LMICs) (Botswana, India, Jamaica, Mozambique, Namibia, and Ukraine) to test the appropriateness of this framework in the global context and to compare the policy responses in these LMICs with a sample of U.S. States during the first 100-days of the pandemic. RESULTS: The LMICs in our sample adopted wide ranging physical distancing policies. The highest peak daily physical distancing intensity during this period was: Botswana (4.60); India (4.40); Ukraine (4.40); Namibia (4.20); Mozambique (3.87), and Jamaica (3.80). The number of days each country stayed at peak policy intensity ranged from 12-days (Jamaica) to more than 67-days (Mozambique). We found some key similarities and differences, including substantial differences in whether and how countries expressly required certain groups to stay at home. Despite the much higher number of cases in the US, the physical distancing responses in our LMIC sample were generally more intense than in the U.S. States, but results vary depending on the U.S. State. The peak policy intensity for the U.S. 12-state average was 3.84, which would place it lower than every LMIC in this sample except Jamaica. The LMIC sample countries also reached peak physical distancing intensity earlier in outbreak progression compared to the U.S. states sample. The easing of physical distancing policies in the LMIC sample did not discernably correlate with change in COVID-19 incidence. CONCLUSIONS: This physical distancing intensity framework was appropriate for the LMIC context with only minor adaptations. This framework may be useful for ongoing monitoring of physical distancing policy approaches and for use in effectiveness analyses. This analysis helps to highlight the differing paths taken by the countries in this sample and may provide lessons to other countries regarding options for structuring physical distancing policies in response to COVID-19 and future outbreaks.

Reduction in time to viral suppression among persons living with HIV in Jamaica between 2017-2019.

INTRODUCTION: HIV viral suppression is important for effective treatment and for reducing new infections. In 2019, only 66% of persons on antiretroviral treatment (ART) in Jamaica were virally suppressed. We aim to compare time to viral suppression by ART initiation year and type of treatment site to understand the implications for programming. METHODS: We assessed time to viral suppression among 4560 persons who received viral load testing either pre or post ART initiation from 2017-2019. We used descriptive statistics and Kaplan-Meier estimates to compare survival curves by ART year (2017, 2018, 2019), sex and type of treatment site (public and non-governmental organizations). Persons were censored if suppression was not achieved. Mixed effects Cox regression was used to determine the effect of covariates on the likelihood of viral suppression. We report hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Pre-ART viral load testing decreased from 36% in 2017 to 30% in 2019. For post-ART viral load tests, approximately 78% (n = 1589) of persons achieved suppression, 51% (n = 809) were female and 86% (n = 1341) used a public treatment site. The median time to suppression decreased by 3 months from 2017 to 2019. The likelihood of suppression was almost 2 times greater in 2018 (HR = 1.56, CI = 1.39-1.75) and 3 times greater in 2019 (HR = 3.17, CI = 2.76-3.64) compared to 2017. NGO treatment sites were also significantly associated with the likelihood of viral suppression compared to public sites. CONCLUSION: Pre-ART viral load testing and the time to viral suppression decreased over three years. Initiating ART after 2017 and early use of NGO treatment sites were found to significantly increase the likelihood of achieving suppression. This demonstrates improvements in the national HIV response but there is need to increase the number of persons on ART and achieving viral suppression.

Correction: HIV program outcomes for Jamaica before and after "Treat All": A population-based study using the national treatment services database.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0255781.].

Trends and factors associated with initiation of HIV treatment among PLHIV in Jamaica, 2015-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Jamaica did not achieve the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets in 2020. This study aimed to examine trends and factors associated with uptake of HIV treatment among people living with HIV (PLHIV) in Jamaica and to assess the effectiveness of revised treatment guidelines. METHODS: This secondary analysis used patient-level data from the National Treatment Service Information System. The baseline sample was 8147 PLHIV initiating anti-retroviral treatment (ART) between January 2015-December 2019. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize demographic and clinical variables and the primary outcome timing of ART initiation. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with ART initiation (same day vs 31+ days), using categorical variables for age group, sex and regional health authority. Adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals are reported. RESULTS: Most persons initiated ART at 31+ days (n = 3666, 45%) after the first clinic date or on the same day (n = 3461, 43%). Same day ART initiation increased from 37% to 51% over 5 years and was significantly associated with males (aOR = 0.82, CI = 0.74-0.92), 2018 (aOR = 0.66, CI = 0.56-0.77), 2019 (aOR = 0.77, CI = 0.65-0.92). late HIV diagnosis (aOR = 0.3, CI = 0.27-0.33) and viral suppression at the first viral load test (aOR = 0.6, CI = 0.53-0.67). ART initiation at 31+days was associated with 2015 (aOR = 1.21, CI = 1.01-1.45) and 2016 (aOR = 1.30, CI = 1.10-1.53) compared to 2017. CONCLUSION: Our study shows that same day ART initiation increased between 2015-2019, however it remains too low. Same day initiation was associated with the years after Treat All implementation and late initiation before Treat All, providing evidence of the strategy's success. In order to achieve the UNAIDS targets, there is a need to also increase the number of diagnosed PLHIV retained on treatment in Jamaica. Further studies should be conducted to understand important challenges to accessing treatment as well as differentiated care models to improve treatment uptake and retention.

HIV program outcomes for Jamaica before and after "Treat All": A population-based study using the national treatment services database.

OBJECTIVE: The study aims to assess changes in HIV treatment outcomes for Jamaica after the implementation of the WHO Treat All strategy in January 2017, as well as identify variables associated with clinical stage at diagnosis and viral load status, in order to understand implications for enhancing the HIV clinical cascade and boosting progress towards the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets. METHOD: This is a population-based study using the National Treatment Service Information System. The sample consists of persons 15 years and older, placed on treatment before and after Treat All was implemented, across all 4 regional health authorities in Jamaica. Patients were assessed for two binary outcomes: 1. stage at HIV diagnosis (early/baseline CD4 cell count ≧350 cells/mm3, or late/ baseline CD4 <350 cells/mm3), 2. viral load status achieved after ART initiation (suppressed/<1000 copies/ml or non-suppressed/ ≥1000 copies/ml). Categorical variables: age/years, gender and health regions, were investigated using multivariable logistic regression. Adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals are reported. RESULTS: After Treat All, there was an increase in median baseline CD4 results as the proportion of late diagnoses decreased from 60% to 39%. There was a small increase in viral suppression from 76% to 80%, a decrease in baseline viral load testing from 61% to 46% and an increase in the uptake of first viral load testing after starting treatment from 13% to 19%. Males and persons 40+ years had higher odds of late diagnosis before and after Treat All. CONCLUSION: Jamaica's HIV program outcomes have improved after Treat All was implemented. ART initiation time significantly decreased. Early diagnosis, viral load testing uptake and viral suppression increased. However, there is a need to implement targeted testing for men and persons over 40 years to decrease the frequency of late diagnosis.