Validating the predictive ability of the 2MACE score for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from phase II/III of the GLORIA-AF registry.

The 2MACE score was specifically developed as a risk-stratification tool in atrial fibrillation (AF) to predict cardiovascular outcomes. We evaluated the predictive ability of the 2MACE score in the GLORIA-AF registry. All eligible patients from phase II/III of the prospective global GLORIA-AF registry were included. Major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) were defined as the composite outcome of stroke, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. Cox proportional hazards were used to examine the relationship between the 2MACE score and study outcomes. Predictive capability of the 2MACE score was investigated using receiver-operating characteristic curves. A total of 25,696 patients were included (mean age 71 years, female 44.9%). Over 3 years, 1583 MACEs were recorded. Patients who had MACE were older, with more cardiovascular risk factors and were less likely to be managed using a rhythm-control strategy. The median 2MACE score in the MACE and non-MACE groups were 2 (IQR 1-3) and 1 (IQR 0-2), respectively (p < 0.001). The 2MACE score was positively associated with an increase in the risk of MACE, with a score of ≥ 2 providing the best combination of sensitivity (69.6%) and specificity (51.6%), HR 2.47 (95% CI, 2.21-2.77). The 2MACE score had modest predictive performance for MACE in patients with AF (AUC 0.655 (95% CI, 0.641-0.669)). Our analysis in this prospective global registry demonstrates that the 2MACE score can adequately predict the risk of MACE (defined as myocardial infarction, CV death and stroke) in patients with AF. Clinical trial registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifiers: NCT01468701, NCT01671007 and NCT01937377.

Incident heart failure, arrhythmias and cardiovascular outcomes with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor use in patients with diabetes: Insights from a global federated electronic medical record database.

AIM: To investigate the impact of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors on the risk of incident heart failure and adverse cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: All patients with diabetes who were registered between January 2018 and December 2019 were identified from a federated electronic medical record database (TriNetX) and followed up for 2 years. A 1:1 propensity-score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to balance the SGLT2 inhibitor and non-SGLT2 inhibitor cohorts. The primary outcome was incident heart failure. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, cardiac arrest, ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF), incident atrial fibrillation (AF), ischaemic stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA), composite of arterial and venous thrombotic events, and composite of incident VT/VF and cardiac arrest. RESULTS: A total of 131 189 and 2 692 985 patients were treated with and without SGLT2 inhibitors, respectively. After PSM, 131 188 patients remained in each group. The risk of incident heart failure was significantly lower in the SGLT2 inhibitor cohort compared to the non-SGLT2 inhibitor cohort (hazard ratio [HR] 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68-0.73). SGLT2 inhibitor use was also associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.58-0.64), cardiac arrest (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.63-0.78), incident AF (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.76-0.84), ischaemic stroke/TIA (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.88-0.93), composite of arterial and venous thrombotic events (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.88-0.92), and composite of incident VT/VF and cardiac arrest (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.71-0.81). There were no significant differences for VT/VF (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88-1.00). CONCLUSION: Use of SGLT2 inhibitors was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of incident heart failure and adverse cardiovascular outcomes but not ventricular arrhythmias.

Clinical complexity and impact of the ABC (Atrial fibrillation Better Care) pathway in patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the ESC-EHRA EURObservational Research Programme in AF General Long-Term Registry.

BACKGROUND: Clinical complexity is increasingly prevalent among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The 'Atrial fibrillation Better Care' (ABC) pathway approach has been proposed to streamline a more holistic and integrated approach to AF care; however, there are limited data on its usefulness among clinically complex patients. We aim to determine the impact of ABC pathway in a contemporary cohort of clinically complex AF patients. METHODS: From the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry, we analysed clinically complex AF patients, defined as the presence of frailty, multimorbidity and/or polypharmacy. A K-medoids cluster analysis was performed to identify different groups of clinical complexity. The impact of an ABC-adherent approach on major outcomes was analysed through Cox-regression analyses and delay of event (DoE) analyses. RESULTS: Among 9966 AF patients included, 8289 (83.1%) were clinically complex. Adherence to the ABC pathway in the clinically complex group reduced the risk of all-cause death (adjusted HR [aHR]: 0.72, 95%CI 0.58-0.91), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs; aHR: 0.68, 95%CI 0.52-0.87) and composite outcome (aHR: 0.70, 95%CI: 0.58-0.85). Adherence to the ABC pathway was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of death (aHR: 0.74, 95%CI 0.56-0.98) and composite outcome (aHR: 0.76, 95%CI 0.60-0.96) also in the high-complexity cluster; similar trends were observed for MACEs. In DoE analyses, an ABC-adherent approach resulted in significant gains in event-free survival for all the outcomes investigated in clinically complex patients. Based on absolute risk reduction at 1 year of follow-up, the number needed to treat for ABC pathway adherence was 24 for all-cause death, 31 for MACEs and 20 for the composite outcome. CONCLUSIONS: An ABC-adherent approach reduces the risk of major outcomes in clinically complex AF patients. Ensuring adherence to the ABC pathway is essential to improve clinical outcomes among clinically complex AF patients.

Impact of ABC (Atrial Fibrillation Better Care) pathway adherence in high-risk subgroups with atrial fibrillation: A report from the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF long-term general registry.

BACKGROUND: Effects of Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) adherence among high-risk atrial fibrillation (AF) subgroups remains unknown. We aimed to evaluate the impact of ABC adherence on clinical outcomes in these high-risk patients. METHODS: EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry is a prospective, observational registry from 250 centres across 27 European countries. High-risk patients were defined as those with either CKD (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m2), elderly patients (≥75 years) or prior thromboembolism. Primary outcome was a composite event of all-cause death, thromboembolism and acute coronary syndrome. RESULTS: 6646 patients with AF were screened (median age was 70 [IQR 61 - 77] years; 40.2% females). There were 3304 (54.2%) patients with either CKD (n = 1750), older age (n = 2236) or prior thromboembolism (n = 728). Among these, 924 (28.0%) were managed as adherent to ABC. At 2-year follow-up, 966 (14.5%) patients reported the primary outcome. The incidence of the primary outcome was significantly lower in high-risk patients managed as adherent to ABC pathway (IRR 0.53 [95%CI, 0.43 - 0.64]). Consistent results were obtained in the individual subgroups. Using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, ABC adherence in the high-risk cohort was independently associated with a lower risk of the primary outcome (aHR 0.64 [95%CI, 0.51 - 0.80]), as well as in the CKD (aHR 0.51 [95%CI, 0.37 - 0.70]) and elderly subgroups (aHR 0.69 [95%CI, 0.53 - 0.90]). Overall, there was greater reduction in the risk of primary outcome as more ABC criteria were fulfilled, both in the overall high-risk patients (aHR 0.39 [95%CI, 0.25 - 0.61]), as well as in the individual subgroups. CONCLUSION: In a large, contemporary cohort of patients with AF, we demonstrate that adherence to the ABC pathway was associated with a significant benefit among high-risk patients with either CKD, advanced age (≥75 years old) or prior thromboembolism.