Analysis of the InsCor Score as a Predictor of Mortality in Patients Undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

INTRODUCTION: Risk scores are important tools for predicting adverse events in cardiac surgery, but their accuracy varies when applied to different populations. The objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of the Brazilian score InsCor as a predictor of mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) compared to the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) and Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) scores. METHODS: This is an observational and retrospective study, with patients undergoing surgical myocardial revascularization in a cardiology hospital in Salvador (Bahia, Brazil), between 2010 and 2015. InsCor, STS, and EuroSCORE were compared for accuracy in predicting mortality within 30 days after surgery. Discrimination capacity of models was assessed using areas under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Significance level was 5%. RESULTS: Four hundred sixty-one patients were evaluated (mean age 63 [± 8.6] years, 77% men). Thirty-day mortality was 2.6%. InsCor classified 88, 210, and 163 patients as having low, medium, and high risk of death, respectively. According to EuroSCORE and STS, 379 and 430 patients were classified as having low risk and 77 and 29 as medium risk, respectively. Area under the ROC curve was 0.734 (P=0.002) for InsCor, 0.615 (P=0.027) for EuroSCORE, and 0.623 (P=0.033) for STS. ROC curve of InsCor maintained statistical significance after adjustment for other models. CONCLUSION: The InsCor score, derived from a Brazilian sample, showed good predictive accuracy of death up to 30 days in patients undergoing CABG in relation to STS and EuroSCORE scores.

Tissue Inhibitor of Metalloproteinase-1 Is Increased in Chagasic Cardiomyopathy.

Chagas disease (CD) mainly conveys stroke risk through structural cardiac disease. However, stroke and cognitive impairment are seen in CD independently of cardiac disease severity. Chronic inflammation may be an explanation for this association, because inflammation plays an important role in the pathogenesis of acute ischemic stroke and dementia. In the present study, we selected five candidate biomarkers for Chagas disease: interleukin-6, membrane metalloproteinase-9, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP1), orosomucoid, and neprilysin. We sought to determine if mean levels of proinflammatory biomarkers are higher in patients with heart failure (HF) associated with Chagas disease when compared with other etiologies of HF. Patients were consecutively enrolled from subspecialty HF outpatient clinics at two university-based hospitals. Serum biomarker levels from blood samples were analyzed by ELISA. Severity of HF on echocardiography was worse in non-CD when compared with CD patients. No significant difference was observed in the levels of candidate biomarkers between the CD and non-CD groups. We found a significantly 2.2 ng/mL higher level of TIMP1 in CD when compared with non-CD patients with HF after adjustment for age and gender (95% confidence interval = 0.1 to 4.5, P = 0.037). In patients with heart failure, serum TIMP1 is increased in Chagas patients despite a lower myocardial disease severity on echocardiography when compared with non-Chagas patients. TIMP1 is probably one of multiple mediators of inflammatory injury.

Analysis of the InsCor Score as a Predictor of Mortality in Patients Undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

Abstract Introduction: Risk scores are important tools for predicting adverse events in cardiac surgery, but their accuracy varies when applied to different populations. The objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of the Brazilian score InsCor as a predictor of mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) compared to the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) and Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) scores. Methods: This is an observational and retrospective study, with patients undergoing surgical myocardial revascularization in a cardiology hospital in Salvador (Bahia, Brazil), between 2010 and 2015. InsCor, STS, and EuroSCORE were compared for accuracy in predicting mortality within 30 days after surgery. Discrimination capacity of models was assessed using areas under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Significance level was 5%. Results: Four hundred sixty-one patients were evaluated (mean age 63 [± 8.6] years, 77% men). Thirty-day mortality was 2.6%. InsCor classified 88, 210, and 163 patients as having low, medium, and high risk of death, respectively. According to EuroSCORE and STS, 379 and 430 patients were classified as having low risk and 77 and 29 as medium risk, respectively. Area under the ROC curve was 0.734 (P=0.002) for InsCor, 0.615 (P=0.027) for EuroSCORE, and 0.623 (P=0.033) for STS. ROC curve of InsCor maintained statistical significance after adjustment for other models. Conclusion: The InsCor score, derived from a Brazilian sample, showed good predictive accuracy of death up to 30 days in patients undergoing CABG in relation to STS and EuroSCORE scores.