Humans thrived in South Africa through the Toba eruption about 74,000 years ago.

Approximately 74 thousand years ago (ka), the Toba caldera erupted in Sumatra. Since the magnitude of this eruption was first established, its effects on climate, environment and humans have been debated. Here we describe the discovery of microscopic glass shards characteristic of the Youngest Toba Tuff-ashfall from the Toba eruption-in two archaeological sites on the south coast of South Africa, a region in which there is evidence for early human behavioural complexity. An independently derived dating model supports a date of approximately 74 ka for the sediments containing the Youngest Toba Tuff glass shards. By defining the input of shards at both sites, which are located nine kilometres apart, we are able to establish a close temporal correlation between them. Our high-resolution excavation and sampling technique enable exact comparisons between the input of Youngest Toba Tuff glass shards and the evidence for human occupation. Humans in this region thrived through the Toba event and the ensuing full glacial conditions, perhaps as a combined result of the uniquely rich resource base of the region and fully evolved modern human adaptation.

AGREE II Evaluation of Clinical Practice Guidelines on Generalized Cancer Pain Management.

PURPOSE: While several clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) exist to guide clinical decision-making in patients with generalized cancer pain, to date there has been no comprehensive review of their quality. Our aim was to address this deficiency via the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE II) tool. DESIGN: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guideline-based systematic literature search followed by AGREE II appraisal of identified CPGs. METHODS: Embase, MEDLINE via PubMed, and Scopus were searched from inception to March 3, 2021, for relevant CPGs. Four authors (FR, AR, JN, JH) independently performed assessments and evaluations of the selected CPGs using the AGREE II instrument. Scaled domain percentage scores were calculated with 60% as the satisfactory quality threshold. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) were also calculated to assess interrater reliability. RESULTS: Twelve guidelines were selected for inclusion. Two guidelines were classified high quality, three guidelines as average quality, and seven as low quality. Domains of clarity of presentation (82.41% ± 18.20%) and scope and purpose (56.48% ± 30.59%) received the highest mean scores, while domains of applicability (44.53% ± 26.61%) and stakeholder involvement (36.81% ± 21.24%) received the lowest. ICCs showed high consistency between reviewers (range 0.85-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: Most CPGs for generalized cancer pain are of low quality. Future guidelines can be improved by better-defining scope and purpose, stakeholder involvement, rigor of development, applicability, and editorial independence during development. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: We hope these critiques improve the quality of published guidelines to promote an improved quality of care and method to measure quality outcomes.

Chronic Rhinosinusitis Risk after Maxillectomy with Microvascular Reconstruction.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS) can be associated with tumors involving the maxillary sinus, but outcomes after undergoing maxillectomy with free flap reconstruction remain unclear. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of medical records was performed to evaluate evidence of CRS in patients who underwent maxillectomy with free flap reconstruction at a single tertiary care academic institution from 2013 through 2020. RESULTS: Eighty-four patients were assessed. Nineteen (22.6%) patients were diagnosed with CRS after surgery, 23 (27.4%) patients were treated for sinus symptoms, and 49 (58.3%) had radiographic evidence of sinus inflammation for more than 6 months. Risk factors for requiring sinus treatment included adjuvant or neoadjuvant chemotherapy (p = 0.002) and pre-operative use of sinus medication (p < 0.001). Radiographic evidence of sinusitis 6 months after surgery is also closely associated with sinusitis treatment (p = 0.051). CONCLUSIONS: CRS may be underdiagnosed in patients undergoing maxillectomy with microvascular reconstruction. Further evaluation into patient sinus disease and symptoms following neoplastic surgery may lead to a higher quality of life in some long-term survivors.

Extension of Methane Emission Rate Distribution for Permian Basin Oil and Gas Production Infrastructure by Aerial LiDAR.

Aerial LiDAR measurements at 7474 oil and gas production facilities in the Permian Basin yield a measured methane emission rate distribution extending to the detection sensitivity of the method, 2 kg/h at 90% probability of detection (POD). Emissions are found at 38.3% of facilities scanned, a significantly higher proportion than reported in lower-sensitivity campaigns. LiDAR measurements are analyzed in combination with measurements of the heavy tail portion of the distribution (>600 kg/h) obtained from an airborne solar infrared imaging spectrometry campaign by Carbon Mapper (CM). A joint distribution is found by fitting the aligned LiDAR and CM data. By comparing the aerial samples to the joint distribution, the practical detection sensitivity of the CM 2019 campaign is found to be 280 kg/h [256, 309] (95% confidence) at 50% POD for facility-sized emission sources. With respect to the joint model distribution and its confidence interval, the LiDAR campaign is found to have measured 103.6% [93.5, 114.2%] of the total emission rate predicted by the model for equipment-sized emission sources (∼2 m diameter) with emission rates above 3 kg/h, whereas the CM 2019 campaign is found to have measured 39.7% [34.6, 45.1%] of the same quantity for facility-sized sources (150 m diameter) above 10 kg/h. The analysis is repeated with data from CM 2020-21 campaigns with similar results. The combined distributions represent a more comprehensive view of the emission rate distribution in the survey area, revealing the significance of previously underreported emission sources at rates below the detection sensitivity of some emissions monitoring campaigns.

Sitting, squatting, and the evolutionary biology of human inactivity.

Recent work suggests human physiology is not well adapted to prolonged periods of inactivity, with time spent sitting increasing cardiovascular disease and mortality risk. Health risks from sitting are generally linked with reduced levels of muscle contractions in chair-sitting postures and associated reductions in muscle metabolism. These inactivity-associated health risks are somewhat paradoxical, since evolutionary pressures tend to favor energy-minimizing strategies, including rest. Here, we examined inactivity in a hunter-gatherer population (the Hadza of Tanzania) to understand how sedentary behaviors occur in a nonindustrial economic context more typical of humans' evolutionary history. We tested the hypothesis that nonambulatory rest in hunter-gatherers involves increased muscle activity that is different from chair-sitting sedentary postures used in industrialized populations. Using a combination of objectively measured inactivity from thigh-worn accelerometers, observational data, and electromygraphic data, we show that hunter-gatherers have high levels of total nonambulatory time (mean ± SD = 9.90 ± 2.36 h/d), similar to those found in industrialized populations. However, nonambulatory time in Hadza adults often occurs in postures like squatting, and we show that these "active rest" postures require higher levels of lower limb muscle activity than chair sitting. Based on our results, we introduce the Inactivity Mismatch Hypothesis and propose that human physiology is likely adapted to more consistently active muscles derived from both physical activity and from nonambulatory postures with higher levels of muscle contraction. Interventions built on this model may help reduce the negative health impacts of inactivity in industrialized populations.

Frailty does not worsen postoperative outcomes in sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) is an aggressive malignancy frequently requiring surgical resection and adjuvant treatment. Frailty is a metric that attempts to estimate a patient's ability to tolerate the physiologic stress of treatment. There is limited work describing frailty in patients with sinonasal cancer. We sought to determine the impact of frailty on postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing treatment for sinonasal SCC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cases of patients undergoing surgical resection of sinonasal SCC at two tertiary medical centers were queried. Demographic, treatment, and survival data were recorded. Frailty was calculated using validated indexes, including the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, modified 5-item frailty index (mFI-5), and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Primary outcomes included medical and surgical complications, readmission, and length of stay (LOS). RESULTS: 38 patients were included. There were 23 (60.5 %) men and 15 (39.5 %) women with an average age of 59.6 ± 12.1 years. MFI-5 was 0.76 ± 0.54 and CCI was 5.71 ± 2.64. No significant association was noted between frailty measures and postoperative outcomes including 30-day medical complications, 30-day surgical complications, any 30-day complication, and readmission. Increased ASA was noted to be predictive of increased length of stay (Incidence Rate Ratio: 1.80, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.16-2.83, p = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: We found no association between frailty metrics and worsening surgical or medical postoperative outcomes. This suggests that frailty metrics may not be as relevant for sinonasal surgery even for advanced pathologies, given the more limited physiologic impact of minimally invasive surgery.

Clinical practice guidelines for management of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma of unknown primary: an AGREE II appraisal.

IMPORTANCE: Squamous cell carcinoma without a known primary is an uncommon form of head and neck cancer that requires multidisciplinary collaboration for effective management. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the quality of clinical practice guidelines (CPG) using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE II) instrument. DESIGN: A systematic literature search was performed to identify CPGs pertaining to the diagnosis and treatment of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma of unknown primary (HNSCCUP). Data were abstracted from guidelines meeting inclusion criteria and appraised by four independent reviewers in the six domains of quality defined by the AGREE II. SETTING: Online database. PARTICIPANTS: None. EXPOSURE: None. MAIN OUTCOME(S) AND MEASURE(S): Quality domain scores and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) were calculated across domains to qualify inter-rater reliability. RESULTS: Seven guidelines met inclusion criteria. Two guidelines achieved a score of > 60% in five or more AGREE II quality domains to gain designation as 'high'-quality content. One "average-quality" guideline authored by the ENT UK Head and Neck Society Council achieved a score of > 60% in three quality domains. The remaining four CPGs demonstrated low-quality content, with deficits most pronounced in domains 3 and 5, suggesting a lack of rigorously developed and clinically applicable information. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: As the diagnosis and treatment of head and neck cancer continues to evolve, identification of high-quality guidelines will become increasingly important. The authors recommend consulting HNSCCUP guidelines from the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) or the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO). TRIAL REGISTRATION: None.

Evaluating the Efficacy of Topical Intranasal Fluorescein for Localizing CSF Rhinorrhea: A Systematic Review.

OBJECTIVE: To assess existing literature on topical intranasal fluorescein (TINF) for the diagnosis and localization of nasal cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review. METHODS: A 6-database literature search was conducted to identify articles providing insight into TINF for the diagnosis and treatment of sinonasal CSF leak. Demographic characteristics, technical details, efficacy, and safety data were extracted and analyzed. Methodological quality was assessed using Methodological Items for Non-Randomized Studies (MINORS) criteria. RESULTS: All studies reported a diagnostic accuracy rate ≥96%. There were no major complications reported for any patient (n=99) with either 5% or 10% fluorescein use. The MINORS instrument of methodological quality indicated that the assessed studies were of moderate quality (7.29 out of a maximum score of 24). CONCLUSION: This systematic review indicates that TINF is an easy, safe, inexpensive, and sensitive approach for the diagnosis and treatment of sinonasal CSF leakage. For these reasons, it may be especially well suited for resource-limited clinical scenarios.

Epidemiology of Anterior and Lateral Basilar Skull Fractures With CSF Leak: A National Trauma Data Bank Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leaks are a complication from dural violations that can occur in the setting of skull base fractures. No prior study provides a nationwide epidemiological analysis of traumatic CSF leaks. The objective of this report is to characterize patient demographics, injury-related variables, and operative management. METHODS: The national trauma data bank was queried for both anterior and lateral skull base fracture cases between 2008 and 2016. Clinical data were extracted. RESULTS: A total of 242 skull base fractures with CSF leak were identified. Most patients were male (84.3%), and the median patient age was 39.7±17.6 years old. Glasgow Coma Scale was 14.0 [interquartile range (IQR): 6.5-10.6] for lateral fractures, 13.0 (IQR: 3.0-10.0) for anterior fractures, and severe range for combined fractures at 7.0 (IQR: 5.0-9.0) (analysis of variance, P =0.122). Common mechanisms of injury were motor vehicle accidents (107, 44.2%), followed by falls and firearms (65, 26.9% and 20, 8.3%, respectively). The median length of stay was 2 weeks, with a median of 14 days (IQR: 10-25) for the anterior fractures and 10 days (IQR 5-19) among the lateral fractures ( P =0.592). Patients were most commonly discharged home in both the anterior (43.8%) and lateral (49.2%) groups. CONCLUSIONS: The prototypical patient tends to be a young adult male presenting with moderate-to-severe range neurological dysfunction after a vehicular accident. The overall prognosis of skull base fractures with CSF leak remains encouraging, with nearly half of these patients being discharged home within 2 weeks.

Clinical Practice Guidelines in the Management of Breakthrough Cancer Pain: A Systematic Review using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE II) Instrument.

BACKGROUND: Several clinical practice guidelines (CPGs), consensus statements, and recommendations currently exist for the diagnosis and management of breakthrough cancer pain (BTcP). These documents have considerable variability amongst them, and to date, their quality and methodologic rigor have not been appraised. AIM: We aim to identify and perform a quality appraisal of CPGs for the diagnosis and management of BTcP using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE II) tool. METHODS: A comprehensive literature search was performed in MEDLINE (via PubMed), EMBASE, and SCOPUS databases up until January 1, 2021. Four reviewers independently evaluated each guideline using the AGREE II instrument. Scaled domain scores were generated and the threshold used for satisfactory quality was >60%. Additionally, intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) were calculated to determine level of agreement between reviewers. RESULTS: Eleven guidelines were selected for final evaluation based on inclusion/exclusion criteria. Only one guideline was classified of "average" quality while the rest were classified as "low" quality. The "Editorial Independence" (70.46 ± 35.7) and "Scope and Purpose" (64.78 ± 12.5) domains received the highest mean scores, while the "Applicability" (32.58 ± 13.5) and "Rigor of Development" (35.04 ± 9.0) domains received the lowest mean scores. ICC statistical analysis showed high magnitude of agreement between reviewers with a range of (0.790-0.988). CONCLUSIONS: Reflecting upon our quality appraisal, it is evident that the quality and methodologic rigor of BTcP guidelines can be improved upon in the future. Our findings also elucidate the existing variability/discrepancies among guidelines in diagnostic criteria and management of BTcP.

A systematic quality appraisal of clinical practice guidelines for Ménière's disease using the AGREE II instrument.

PURPOSE: To systematically appraise clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of Ménière's disease using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE II) instrument. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed to identify guidelines pertaining to the diagnosis and treatment of Ménière's disease. Data were abstracted from guidelines that met inclusion criteria and appraised by four independent reviewers in the six domains of quality defined by the AGREE II. Domain scores reflecting quality in each domain were calculated. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) were calculated across domains to qualify interrater reliability. RESULTS: Six guidelines were found to meet inclusion criteria after a systematic literature search. Of the six clinical practice guidelines appraised using the AGREE II, the American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery (AAO-HNS) guideline received the highest average score, with a mean of 90.7% spanning six quality domains. The guideline with the lowest average score across all domains was the European Position Statement on diagnosis and treatment of Ménière's disease, receiving an average score across domains of 34.6%. Overall quality scores of clinical practice guidelines for Ménière's disease had a standard deviation of 21.3%. Two guidelines met the quality threshold of > 60% in at least five domains, qualifying as 'high': AAO-HNS and National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Average ICC across all six domains was 0.87, suggesting near total agreement between reviewers. CONCLUSION: Ménière's disease remains a challenging entity to diagnose and treat; few existing clinical guidelines meet the standards of quality established by the AGREE II appraisal instrument.

Can Use of Default Dispensing Quantities in Electronic Medical Record Lower Opioid Prescribing?

OBJECTIVES: Leftover opioids can contribute to misuse and abuse. Recommended dosing quantities in the electronic medical record can guide prescribing patterns. We hypothesized that decreasing the default from 30 doses to 12 doses would decrease the overall number of opioids prescribed without increasing second opioid prescriptions or additional health utilization. METHODS: We performed a single-center retrospective study of children with forearm and elbow fractures who presented to the emergency department for evaluation and subsequent orthopedic follow-up between January 15, and September 19, 2017. The default dispensing quantity was decreased on June 1, 2016 from 30 doses to 12 doses. Patients were categorized to preintervention and postintervention groups. We compared the number of opioids prescribed, second opioid prescriptions, emergency department visits, and pain-related telephone calls and orthopedic visits with χ2 and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: There were 1107 patients included. Rates of opioid prescribing were similar preintervention and postintervention (61% vs 56%, P = 0.13). After the change to the default quantity, the median number of doses decreased from 18 to 12 doses, with opioid prescriptions of 30 or more doses dropping from 35% to 11%. No significant association was found between preintervention versus postintervention, opioid prescription at discharge, and having 1 or more pain-related or unexpected follow-up visits. CONCLUSIONS: Lowering the default dispensing quantity of opioids in the electronic medical record decreases the number of opioids prescribed without increasing second prescriptions or additional health care utilization. These findings suggest that a further reduction in the number of opioids prescribed for upper-extremity fractures may be possible.

The trajectory of bone surface modification studies in paleoanthropology and a new Bayesian solution to the identification controversy.

A critical issue in human evolution is how to determine when hominins began incorporating significant amounts of meat into their diets. This fueled evolution of a larger brain and other adaptations widely considered unique to modern humans. Determination of the spatiotemporal context of this shift rests on accurate identification of fossil bone surface modifications (BSM), such as stone tool butchery marks. Multidecade-long debates over the agents responsible for individual BSM are indicative of systemic flaws in current approaches to identification. Here we review the current state of BSM studies and introduce a novel probabilistic approach to identifying agents of BSM. We use control assemblages of bones modified by modern agents to train a multivariate Bayesian probability model. The model then identifies BSM agents with associated uncertainties, serving as the basis for a predictive probabilistic algorithm. The multivariate Bayesian approach offers a novel, probabilistic, and analytical method for BSM research that overcomes much of the bias that has typified previous, more qualitative approaches.

Physical activity patterns and biomarkers of cardiovascular disease risk in hunter-gatherers.

OBJECTIVES: Time spent in moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) is a strong predictor of cardiovascular health, yet few humans living in industrialized societies meet current recommendations (150 min/week). Researchers have long suggested that human physiological requirements for aerobic exercise reflect an evolutionary shift to a hunting and gathering foraging strategy, and a recent transition to more sedentary lifestyles likely represents a mismatch with our past in terms of physical activity. The goal of this study is to explore this mismatch by characterizing MVPA and cardiovascular health in the Hadza, a modern hunting and gathering population living in Northern Tanzania. METHODS: We measured MVPA using continuous heart rate monitoring in 46 participants recruited from two Hadza camps. As part of a larger survey of health in the Hadza, we measured blood pressure (n = 198) and biomarkers of cardiovascular health (n = 23) including C-reactive protein, cholesterol (Total, HDL, and LDL), and triglycerides. RESULTS: We show that Hadza participants spend large amounts of time in MVPA (134.92 ± 8.6 min/day), and maintain these activity levels across the lifespan. In fact, the Hadza engage in over 14 times as much MVPA as subjects participating in large epidemiological studies in the United States. We found no evidence of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in this population (low prevalence of hypertension across the lifespan, optimal levels for biomarkers of cardiovascular health). CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide evidence that the hunting and gathering foraging strategy involves high levels of MVPA, supporting the evolutionary medicine model for the relationship between MVPA and cardiovascular health.

Lab-on-a-Drone: Toward Pinpoint Deployment of Smartphone-Enabled Nucleic Acid-Based Diagnostics for Mobile Health Care.

We introduce a portable biochemical analysis platform for rapid field deployment of nucleic acid-based diagnostics using consumer-class quadcopter drones. This approach exploits the ability to isothermally perform the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) with a single heater, enabling the system to be operated using standard 5 V USB sources that power mobile devices (via battery, solar, or hand crank action). Time-resolved fluorescence detection and quantification is achieved using a smartphone camera and integrated image analysis app. Standard sample preparation is enabled by leveraging the drone's motors as centrifuges via 3D printed snap-on attachments. These advancements make it possible to build a complete DNA/RNA analysis system at a cost of ∼$50 ($US). Our instrument is rugged and versatile, enabling pinpoint deployment of sophisticated diagnostics to distributed field sites. This capability is demonstrated by successful in-flight replication of Staphylococcus aureus and λ-phage DNA targets in under 20 min. The ability to perform rapid in-flight assays with smartphone connectivity eliminates delays between sample collection and analysis so that test results can be delivered in minutes, suggesting new possibilities for drone-based systems to function in broader and more sophisticated roles beyond cargo transport and imaging.

Pediatric Custom Tracheostomies: A Ten-Year Experience.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the use of customized and custom tracheostomies at our institution, and to identify trends in patient presentation and tracheostomy design. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted for patients at our institution for whom a customized or custom tracheostomy tube was ordered between January 2011 and July 2021. Customized tracheostomy tubes allow for a small selection of alterations to trach design, such as cuff length and flange type. Custom tracheostomies have a unique design created by tracheostomy tube engineers in collaboration with the clinical provider, and are built specifically for a single patient. RESULTS: A total of 235 patients were included, of whom 220 (93%) received customized tracheostomies and 15 custom (7%). The most common indications for customized tracheostomy were tracheal or stomal breakdown on a standard tracheostomy (n = 73, 33%) and ventilation difficulties (n = 61, 27%). The most frequent customization was shaft length (n = 126, 57%). The most common indication for custom tracheostomies was a persistent air leak on a standard or customized trach (n = 9) and the most frequent designs were custom cuffs (n = 8), flanges (n = 4), and anteriorly curved shafts (n = 4). Patients treated with a customized tracheostomy had a 5-year overall survival of 75.3%, compared to 51.4% for custom. CONCLUSION: These are the first cohorts of pediatric patients with customized and custom tracheostomies to be described. Modifications to tracheostomies, in particular shaft length and cuff design, can address common complications of extended tracheostomy, and may help improve ventilation in the most challenging cases. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4 Laryngoscope, 134:452-458, 2024.

Extragustatory bitter taste receptors in head and neck health and disease.

Taste receptors, first described for their gustatory functions within the oral cavity and oropharynx, are now known to be expressed in many organ systems. Even intraoral taste receptors regulate non-sensory pathways, and recent literature has connected bitter taste receptors to various states of health and disease. These extragustatory pathways involve previously unexplored, clinically relevant roles for taste signaling in areas including susceptibility to infection, antibiotic efficacy, and cancer outcomes. Among other physicians, otolaryngologists who manage head and neck diseases should be aware of this growing body of evidence and its relevance to their fields. In this review, we describe the role of extragustatory taste receptors in head and neck health and disease, highlighting recent advances, clinical implications, and directions for future investigation. Additionally, this review will discuss known TAS2R polymorphisms and the associated implications for clinical prognosis.

Hadza Landscape Burning.

We present the first published ethnographic description of landscape burning by Hadza hunter-gatherers of northern Tanzania and identify environmental, social, and cultural influences on Hadza landscape burning, thereby broadening the ethnographic record of anthropogenic burning practices described for hunter-gatherer communities. We report interview data collected in 2022 and 2023, describing their practices and attitudes regarding the causes and consequences of burning. We provide context by comparing our observations with those recorded for hunting and gathering populations in Africa, Australia, and North America. Hadza landscape burning is generally a solitary and male-dominated activity, contrary to ethnographic accounts of Indigenous landscape burning from North America and Australia. The primary goals stated by Hadza for landscape burning were improved hunting, reduced hazards from dangerous animals, and to reduce the density of livestock. Firsthand observations suggest that landscape burning has decreased over the past 20 years, and this historical trend is supported by interviews. Satellite imagery also suggests an overall decrease in burning activity in the region from 2001 to 2022. Among the Hadza, landscape burning is a culturally influenced and strongly gender-biased activity that is rapidly disappearing. Because burning can radically transform landscapes, these practices often generate or amplify conflicts of interest between groups with different land use strategies. Hadza report serious social conflict with pastoralists over landscape burning, and our study suggests this tension has constrained the practice in the past two decades.

The efficacy of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program surgical risk calculator in head and neck surgery: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program surgical risk calculator (SRC) estimates the risk for postoperative complications. This meta-analysis assesses the efficacy of the SRC in the field of head and neck surgery. METHODS: A systematic review identified studies comparing the SRC's predictions to observed outcomes following head and neck surgeries. Predictive accuracy was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and Brier scoring. RESULTS: Nine studies totaling 1774 patients were included. The SRC underpredicted the risk of all outcomes (including any complication [observed (ob) = 35.9%, predicted (pr) = 21.8%] and serious complication [ob = 28.7%, pr = 17.0%]) except mortality (ob = 0.37%, pr = 1.55%). The observed length of stay was more than twice the predicted length (p < 0.02). Discrimination was acceptable for postoperative pneumonia (AUC = 0.778) and urinary tract infection (AUC = 0.782) only. Predictive accuracy was low for all outcomes (Brier scores ≥0.01) and comparable for patients with and without free-flap reconstructions. CONCLUSION: The SRC is an ineffective instrument for predicting outcomes in head and neck surgery.

Systematic evaluation of Merkel cell carcinoma clinical practice guidelines using the AGREE II instrument.

Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare type of skin cancer that requires a multidisciplinary approach with a variety of specialists for management and treatment. Clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) have recently been established to standardize management algorithms. The objective of this study was to appraise such CPGs via the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE II) instrument. Eight CPGs were identified via systematic literature search following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) criteria. Four appraisers trained in AGREE II protocols evaluated each CPG and deemed two CPGs as high quality, five as moderate quality, and one as low quality. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) were calculated to verify reviewer consistency as excellent, good, and moderate across four, one, and one domain, respectively. The majority of MCC CPGs are lacking in specifying stakeholder involvement, applicability, and rigor of development. The two high quality CPGs are from the Alberta Health Services (AHS) and the collaboration between the European Dermatology Forum, the European Association of Dermato-Oncology, and the European Organization of Research and Treatment of Cancer (EDF/EADO/EORTC). The EDF/EADO/EORTC CPG had the highest overall score with no significant deficiencies across any domain. An important limitation is that the AGREE II instrument is not designed to evaluate the validity of each CPG's recommendations; conclusions therefore can only be drawn about each CPG's developmental quality. Future MCC CPGs may benefit from garnering public perspectives, inviting external expert review, and considering available resources and implementation barriers during their developmental stages.